The receipts, kept in public

Take
Scoreboard

The current argument connects to the historical record. Every result keeps the original prediction, the event outcome and the evidence status visible.

107historical records
18current voices searched
49314human decisions
1.44FPI win error
Research previewUseful record. Provisional evidence.

These results are not yet a public ranking. 98 records rely on live pages and 9 carry an edit or source-conflict flag. Verified pre-event snapshots are required before a result affects the official board.

Like compared with like

Early category reads

Winner picks and season totals remain separate. Accuracy excludes pushes, and small samples stay plainly labeled.

Model track record

FPI, measured in wins.

Twenty-two preseason Big Ten team projections are compared with regular-season wins. Because ESPN's displayed records can reflect postseason opportunity, this is a consistent proxy—not a pure calibration grade.

Open every FPI result →
2024 recovered0.875

mean absolute win error

2 of 4 within one win
2025 full Big Ten1.561

mean absolute win error

7 of 18 within one win
Combined1.436

mean absolute win error

9 of 22 within one win

From old calls to the live board

Every current voice

All 18 Bull-vs.-Bear identities received at least three historical searches. Open a profile to inspect recovered results and jump directly into that voice's live 2026 takes.

01

Pundit

Andrew Rice

Historical sample recovered
57.1%43 across 7 decisions
03

Pundit

Connor Dullinger

Historical sample recovered
58.3%75 across 12 decisions
05

Model

ESPN FPI

Historical sample recovered
1.44win MAE across 22 projections
07

Pundit

Pete Fiutak

Historical sample recovered
43.8%1418–4 across 32 decisions
08

Pundit

Ryan Kartje

Historical sample recovered
91.7%111 across 12 decisions
09

Pundit

Ted Schwerzler

Historical sample recovered
80.0%82 across 10 decisions
12

Pundit

Chris Landers

Search complete · no compatible result
No compatible scored sample recovered
13

Pundit

Cody Nagel

Search complete · no compatible result
No compatible scored sample recovered
14

Pundit

Erik Skopil

Historical leads found
No compatible scored sample recovered
15

Pundit

George Wrighster and Ralph Amsden

Search complete · no compatible result
No compatible scored sample recovered
17

Pundit

Robert Shields

Search complete · no compatible result
No compatible scored sample recovered