College football · ratings lab
The season behind a final rating
Compare a team’s Game Ratings across seasons, then see how an assumed spread around final FEI changes the comparison with its weekly ratings.
01 · Game performance
How did this team play across seasons?
Each dot is one opponent-adjusted game rating. Choose overall, offense or defense, then compare the weekly pattern or follow the games across seasons.
52 rated games · 5 seasons
Weeks align across seasons. Dots are offset by year; each dot’s distance above or below the red line shows its difference from the smoothed weekly mean.
2026 is in progress: ratings through Week 4. Later weeks use completed seasons only.
2026 · Week 4: vs. Northwestern · W 29-23 · GR +0.70 · -0.24 from line
GR, OGR and DGR are BCF Toys’ opponent-adjusted overall, offensive and defensive scoring value per non-garbage possession. The chart uses ratings, not percentiles. In Weekly pattern, each week’s mean is smoothed over the latest four observed weeks, with the first three backfilled from their mean. Postseason games align by order. In Continuous timeline, the four-game average runs across years. 2022 GR source · 2023 GR source · 2024 GR source · 2025 GR source · 2026 GR source
Next · The team rating
Game Ratings describe individual performances. Weekly FEI estimates team strength. This chart uses completed seasons, 2022–2025, to compare weekly ratings with sampled values around the published final.
02 · Rating uncertainty
Weekly FEI and uncertainty at the finish
For 2025’s 136 teams, choose a week to compare published FEI with one sample around each team’s final rating. Draw again to see another sample.
Indiana: published final FEI 1.86; sampled value 1.74.
The pale lines show the middle 90% of draws under an assumed 0.24-point spread, based on late-2025 FEI changes and reused across seasons. FEI does not publish these intervals, and the spread has not been calibrated against true team strength. See 2025 weekly FEI data.