2014–2026 performance history

App State over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Sun BeltHead coach: Dowell LoggainsView App State games →
Offense · 2026 estimate38.6/100

69.8 average through 2 games

31.2 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate30.4/100

56.6 average through 2 games

24.7 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

App State individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Satterfield · ’14–’18Scott Satterfield, 2014–2018DrinkwitzEli Drinkwitz, 2019Clark · ’20–’24Shawn Clark, 2020–2024Loggains · ’25–’26Dowell Loggains, 2025–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: App State at Michigan · L 14–52; offense 36.4 percentile2014 Week 2: App State vs. Campbell · W 66–0; offense 77.8 percentile2014 Week 4: App State at Southern Miss · L 20–21; offense 37.7 percentile2014 Week 5: App State at Georgia Southern · L 14–34; offense 21.4 percentile2014 Week 6: App State vs. South Alabama · L 21–47; offense 31.3 percentile2014 Week 7: App State vs. Liberty · L 48–55; offense 62.2 percentile2014 Week 8: App State at Troy · W 53–14; offense 82.9 percentile2014 Week 10: App State vs. Georgia State · W 44–0; offense 72.3 percentile2014 Week 11: App State vs. UL Monroe · W 31–29; offense 48.9 percentile2014 Week 12: App State at Arkansas State · W 37–32; offense 81.3 percentile2014 Week 13: App State at Louisiana · W 35–16; offense 74.4 percentile2014 Week 14: App State vs. Idaho · W 45–28; offense 80.7 percentile2015 Week 1: App State vs. Howard · W 49–0; offense 51.0 percentile2015 Week 2: App State at Clemson · L 10–41; offense 16.2 percentile2015 Week 4: App State at Old Dominion · W 49–0; offense 82.0 percentile2015 Week 5: App State vs. Wyoming · W 31–13; offense 35.9 percentile2015 Week 6: App State at Georgia State · W 37–3; offense 93.0 percentile2015 Week 7: App State at UL Monroe · W 59–14; offense 99.6 percentile2015 Week 8: App State vs. Georgia Southern · W 31–13; offense 82.1 percentile2015 Week 9: App State vs. Troy · W 44–41; offense 40.6 percentile2015 Week 10: App State vs. Arkansas State · L 27–40; offense 46.6 percentile2015 Week 11: App State at Idaho · W 47–20; offense 93.5 percentile2015 Week 13: App State vs. Louisiana · W 28–7; offense 84.2 percentile2015 Week 14: App State at South Alabama · W 34–27; offense 82.6 percentile2015 Week 1: App State vs. Ohio · W 31–29; offense 40.8 percentile2016 Week 1: App State at Tennessee · L 13–20; offense 14.3 percentile2016 Week 2: App State vs. Old Dominion · W 31–7; offense 40.1 percentile2016 Week 3: App State vs. Miami · L 10–45; offense 4.1 percentile2016 Week 4: App State at Akron · W 45–38; offense 79.5 percentile2016 Week 5: App State vs. Georgia State · W 17–3; offense 23.4 percentile2016 Week 7: App State at Louisiana · W 24–0; offense 68.0 percentile2016 Week 8: App State vs. Idaho · W 37–19; offense 55.8 percentile2016 Week 9: App State at Georgia Southern · W 34–10; offense 51.0 percentile2016 Week 10: App State vs. Texas State · W 35–10; offense 71.2 percentile2016 Week 12: App State vs. UL Monroe · W 42–17; offense 94.0 percentile2016 Week 13: App State at New Mexico State · W 37–7; offense 62.1 percentile2016 Week 1: App State vs. Toledo · W 31–28; offense 50.4 percentile2017 Week 1: App State at Georgia · L 10–31; offense 22.9 percentile2017 Week 2: App State vs. Savannah State · W 54–7; offense 90.7 percentile2017 Week 3: App State at Texas State · W 20–13; offense 27.6 percentile2017 Week 4: App State vs. Wake Forest · L 19–20; offense 20.2 percentile2017 Week 6: App State vs. New Mexico State · W 45–31; offense 72.2 percentile2017 Week 7: App State at Idaho · W 23–20; offense 16.5 percentile2017 Week 8: App State vs. Coastal Carolina · W 37–29; offense 69.7 percentile2017 Week 9: App State at Massachusetts · L 27–30; offense 9.4 percentile2017 Week 10: App State at UL Monroe · L 45–52; offense 78.2 percentile2017 Week 11: App State vs. Georgia Southern · W 27–6; offense 65.0 percentile2017 Week 13: App State at Georgia State · W 31–10; offense 90.7 percentile2017 Week 14: App State vs. Louisiana · W 63–14; offense 99.3 percentile2017 Week 1: App State vs. Toledo · W 34–0; offense 72.6 percentile2018 Week 1: App State at Penn State · L 38–45; offense 87.2 percentile2018 Week 2: App State at Charlotte · W 45–9; offense 89.7 percentile2018 Week 4: App State vs. Gardner-Webb · W 72–7; offense 91.2 percentile2018 Week 5: App State vs. South Alabama · W 52–7; offense 96.2 percentile2018 Week 7: App State at Arkansas State · W 35–9; offense 41.8 percentile2018 Week 8: App State vs. Louisiana · W 27–17; offense 9.1 percentile2018 Week 9: App State at Georgia Southern · L 14–34; offense 33.0 percentile2018 Week 10: App State at Coastal Carolina · W 23–7; offense 6.7 percentile2018 Week 11: App State at Texas State · W 38–7; offense 89.8 percentile2018 Week 12: App State vs. Georgia State · W 45–17; offense 82.6 percentile2018 Week 13: App State vs. Troy · W 21–10; offense 22.5 percentile2018 Week 14: App State vs. Louisiana · W 30–19; offense 22.0 percentile2018 Week 1: App State vs. Middle Tennessee · W 45–13; offense 84.4 percentile2019 Week 1: App State vs. East Tennessee State · W 42–7; offense 59.6 percentile2019 Week 2: App State vs. Charlotte · W 56–41; offense 67.6 percentile2019 Week 4: App State at North Carolina · W 34–31; offense 59.1 percentile2019 Week 5: App State vs. Coastal Carolina · W 56–37; offense 85.7 percentile2019 Week 7: App State at Louisiana · W 17–7; offense 47.7 percentile2019 Week 8: App State vs. UL Monroe · W 52–7; offense 68.7 percentile2019 Week 9: App State at South Alabama · W 30–3; offense 65.2 percentile2019 Week 10: App State vs. Georgia Southern · L 21–24; offense 24.8 percentile2019 Week 11: App State at South Carolina · W 20–15; offense 6.8 percentile2019 Week 12: App State at Georgia State · W 56–27; offense 51.6 percentile2019 Week 13: App State vs. Texas State · W 35–13; offense 58.7 percentile2019 Week 14: App State at Troy · W 48–13; offense 94.8 percentile2019 Week 15: App State vs. Louisiana · W 45–38; offense 50.5 percentile2019 Week 1: App State vs. UAB · W 31–17; offense 69.6 percentile2020 Week 2: App State vs. Charlotte · W 35–20; offense 83.5 percentile2020 Week 3: App State at Marshall · L 7–17; offense 48.1 percentile2020 Week 4: App State vs. Campbell · W 52–21; offense 77.0 percentile2020 Week 8: App State vs. Arkansas State · W 45–17; offense 83.6 percentile2020 Week 9: App State at UL Monroe · W 31–13; offense 74.3 percentile2020 Week 10: App State at Texas State · W 38–17; offense 60.0 percentile2020 Week 11: App State vs. Georgia State · W 17–13; offense 12.2 percentile2020 Week 12: App State at Coastal Carolina · L 23–34; offense 72.0 percentile2020 Week 13: App State vs. Troy · W 47–10; offense 98.6 percentile2020 Week 14: App State vs. Louisiana · L 21–24; offense 38.6 percentile2020 Week 15: App State at Georgia Southern · W 34–26; offense 55.3 percentile2020 Week 1: App State vs. North Texas · W 56–28; offense 93.6 percentile2021 Week 1: App State vs. East Carolina · W 33–19; offense 89.7 percentile2021 Week 2: App State at Miami · L 23–25; offense 7.2 percentile2021 Week 3: App State vs. Elon · W 44–10; offense 39.4 percentile2021 Week 4: App State vs. Marshall · W 31–30; offense 73.1 percentile2021 Week 5: App State at Georgia State · W 45–16; offense 82.3 percentile2021 Week 7: App State at Louisiana · L 13–41; offense 26.9 percentile2021 Week 8: App State vs. Coastal Carolina · W 30–27; offense 83.7 percentile2021 Week 9: App State vs. UL Monroe · W 59–28; offense 80.0 percentile2021 Week 10: App State at Arkansas State · W 48–14; offense 72.0 percentile2021 Week 11: App State vs. South Alabama · W 31–7; offense 52.0 percentile2021 Week 12: App State at Troy · W 45–7; offense 88.3 percentile2021 Week 14: App State at Louisiana · L 16–24; offense 44.5 percentile2021 Week 1: App State vs. Western Kentucky · L 38–59; offense 74.8 percentile2022 Week 2: App State at Texas A&M · W 17–14; offense 29.1 percentile2022 Week 3: App State vs. Troy · W 32–28; offense 97.8 percentile2022 Week 4: App State vs. James Madison · L 28–32; offense 46.3 percentile2022 Week 5: App State vs. The Citadel · W 49–0; offense 85.2 percentile2022 Week 6: App State at Texas State · L 24–36; offense 45.3 percentile2022 Week 8: App State vs. Georgia State · W 42–17; offense 76.8 percentile2022 Week 9: App State vs. Robert Morris · W 42–3; offense 47.2 percentile2022 Week 10: App State at Coastal Carolina · L 28–35; offense 32.8 percentile2022 Week 11: App State at Marshall · L 21–28; offense 31.9 percentile2022 Week 12: App State vs. Old Dominion · W 27–14; offense 91.1 percentile2022 Week 13: App State at Georgia Southern · L 48–51; offense 82.3 percentile2023 Week 1: App State vs. Gardner-Webb · W 45–24; offense 48.2 percentile2023 Week 2: App State at North Carolina · L 34–40; offense 80.6 percentile2023 Week 3: App State vs. East Carolina · W 43–28; offense 84.4 percentile2023 Week 5: App State at UL Monroe · W 41–40; offense 48.1 percentile2023 Week 7: App State vs. Coastal Carolina · L 24–27; offense 52.5 percentile2023 Week 8: App State at Old Dominion · L 21–28; offense 67.0 percentile2023 Week 9: App State vs. Southern Miss · W 48–38; offense 83.3 percentile2023 Week 10: App State vs. Marshall · W 31–9; offense 64.2 percentile2023 Week 11: App State at Georgia State · W 42–14; offense 78.0 percentile2023 Week 12: App State at James Madison · W 26–23; offense 36.1 percentile2023 Week 14: App State at Troy · L 23–49; offense 62.6 percentile2023 Week 1: App State vs. Miami (OH) · W 13–9; offense 44.8 percentile2024 Week 1: App State vs. East Tennessee State · W 38–10; offense 40.7 percentile2024 Week 2: App State at Clemson · L 20–66; offense 65.7 percentile2024 Week 3: App State at East Carolina · W 21–19; offense 37.4 percentile2024 Week 4: App State vs. South Alabama · L 14–48; offense 34.7 percentile2024 Week 6: App State at Marshall · L 37–52; offense 86.1 percentile2024 Week 7: App State at Louisiana · L 24–34; offense 68.2 percentile2024 Week 9: App State vs. Georgia State · W 33–26; offense 77.4 percentile2024 Week 10: App State vs. Old Dominion · W 28–20; offense 90.0 percentile2024 Week 11: App State at Coastal Carolina · L 24–38; offense 38.8 percentile2024 Week 13: App State vs. James Madison · W 34–20; offense 67.7 percentile2024 Week 14: App State at Georgia Southern · L 20–29; offense 38.5 percentile2025 Week 2: App State vs. Lindenwood · W 20–13; offense 49.1 percentile2025 Week 3: App State at Southern Miss · L 22–38; offense 30.5 percentile2025 Week 5: App State at Boise State · L 14–47; offense 26.6 percentile2025 Week 6: App State vs. Oregon State · W 27–23; offense 37.3 percentile2025 Week 7: App State at Georgia State · W 41–20; offense 34.0 percentile2025 Week 8: App State vs. Coastal Carolina · L 37–45; offense 46.6 percentile2025 Week 9: App State at Old Dominion · L 21–24; offense 75.2 percentile2025 Week 11: App State vs. Georgia Southern · L 23–25; offense 7.3 percentile2025 Week 12: App State at James Madison · L 10–58; offense 4.5 percentile2025 Week 13: App State vs. Marshall · W 26–24; offense 35.2 percentile2025 Week 14: App State vs. Arkansas State · L 29–30; offense 45.9 percentile2025 Week 1: App State vs. Georgia Southern · L 10–29; offense 16.9 percentile2026 Week 1: App State vs. Maine · W 55–3; offense 86.4 percentile2026 Week 2: App State at East Carolina · W 27–24; offense 47.7 percentile2014 offense season mean: 60.0 percentile2015 offense season mean: 71.8 percentile2016 offense season mean: 50.4 percentile2017 offense season mean: 60.7 percentile2018 offense season mean: 61.3 percentile2019 offense season mean: 58.6 percentile2020 offense season mean: 70.7 percentile2021 offense season mean: 64.0 percentile2022 offense season mean: 65.3 percentile2023 offense season mean: 63.8 percentile2024 offense season mean: 60.5 percentile2025 offense season mean: 31.2 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 38.6 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 69.8 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: App State at Michigan · L 14–52; defense 3.1 percentile2014 Week 2: App State vs. Campbell · W 66–0; defense 88.6 percentile2014 Week 4: App State at Southern Miss · L 20–21; defense 62.4 percentile2014 Week 5: App State at Georgia Southern · L 14–34; defense 34.4 percentile2014 Week 6: App State vs. South Alabama · L 21–47; defense 5.1 percentile2014 Week 7: App State vs. Liberty · L 48–55; defense 8.9 percentile2014 Week 8: App State at Troy · W 53–14; defense 84.7 percentile2014 Week 10: App State vs. Georgia State · W 44–0; defense 99.8 percentile2014 Week 11: App State vs. UL Monroe · W 31–29; defense 23.6 percentile2014 Week 12: App State at Arkansas State · W 37–32; defense 66.7 percentile2014 Week 13: App State at Louisiana · W 35–16; defense 92.6 percentile2014 Week 14: App State vs. Idaho · W 45–28; defense 57.3 percentile2015 Week 1: App State vs. Howard · W 49–0; defense 80.7 percentile2015 Week 2: App State at Clemson · L 10–41; defense 74.8 percentile2015 Week 4: App State at Old Dominion · W 49–0; defense 94.4 percentile2015 Week 5: App State vs. Wyoming · W 31–13; defense 60.2 percentile2015 Week 6: App State at Georgia State · W 37–3; defense 89.9 percentile2015 Week 7: App State at UL Monroe · W 59–14; defense 31.2 percentile2015 Week 8: App State vs. Georgia Southern · W 31–13; defense 93.9 percentile2015 Week 9: App State vs. Troy · W 44–41; defense 36.4 percentile2015 Week 10: App State vs. Arkansas State · L 27–40; defense 22.4 percentile2015 Week 11: App State at Idaho · W 47–20; defense 71.0 percentile2015 Week 13: App State vs. Louisiana · W 28–7; defense 94.1 percentile2015 Week 14: App State at South Alabama · W 34–27; defense 34.7 percentile2015 Week 1: App State vs. Ohio · W 31–29; defense 88.0 percentile2016 Week 1: App State at Tennessee · L 13–20; defense 91.6 percentile2016 Week 2: App State vs. Old Dominion · W 31–7; defense 86.0 percentile2016 Week 3: App State vs. Miami · L 10–45; defense 9.0 percentile2016 Week 4: App State at Akron · W 45–38; defense 7.6 percentile2016 Week 5: App State vs. Georgia State · W 17–3; defense 70.5 percentile2016 Week 7: App State at Louisiana · W 24–0; defense 77.3 percentile2016 Week 8: App State vs. Idaho · W 37–19; defense 53.4 percentile2016 Week 9: App State at Georgia Southern · W 34–10; defense 99.8 percentile2016 Week 10: App State vs. Texas State · W 35–10; defense 84.4 percentile2016 Week 12: App State vs. UL Monroe · W 42–17; defense 30.3 percentile2016 Week 13: App State at New Mexico State · W 37–7; defense 76.0 percentile2016 Week 1: App State vs. Toledo · W 31–28; defense 69.4 percentile2017 Week 1: App State at Georgia · L 10–31; defense 66.9 percentile2017 Week 2: App State vs. Savannah State · W 54–7; defense 88.1 percentile2017 Week 3: App State at Texas State · W 20–13; defense 29.4 percentile2017 Week 4: App State vs. Wake Forest · L 19–20; defense 65.0 percentile2017 Week 6: App State vs. New Mexico State · W 45–31; defense 29.7 percentile2017 Week 7: App State at Idaho · W 23–20; defense 59.0 percentile2017 Week 8: App State vs. Coastal Carolina · W 37–29; defense 44.1 percentile2017 Week 9: App State at Massachusetts · L 27–30; defense 66.3 percentile2017 Week 10: App State at UL Monroe · L 45–52; defense 8.9 percentile2017 Week 11: App State vs. Georgia Southern · W 27–6; defense 81.8 percentile2017 Week 13: App State at Georgia State · W 31–10; defense 78.7 percentile2017 Week 14: App State vs. Louisiana · W 63–14; defense 70.8 percentile2017 Week 1: App State vs. Toledo · W 34–0; defense 99.7 percentile2018 Week 1: App State at Penn State · L 38–45; defense 46.3 percentile2018 Week 2: App State at Charlotte · W 45–9; defense 80.0 percentile2018 Week 4: App State vs. Gardner-Webb · W 72–7; defense 83.0 percentile2018 Week 5: App State vs. South Alabama · W 52–7; defense 91.5 percentile2018 Week 7: App State at Arkansas State · W 35–9; defense 97.0 percentile2018 Week 8: App State vs. Louisiana · W 27–17; defense 88.5 percentile2018 Week 9: App State at Georgia Southern · L 14–34; defense 58.1 percentile2018 Week 10: App State at Coastal Carolina · W 23–7; defense 98.8 percentile2018 Week 11: App State at Texas State · W 38–7; defense 84.6 percentile2018 Week 12: App State vs. Georgia State · W 45–17; defense 23.7 percentile2018 Week 13: App State vs. Troy · W 21–10; defense 95.0 percentile2018 Week 14: App State vs. Louisiana · W 30–19; defense 71.7 percentile2018 Week 1: App State vs. Middle Tennessee · W 45–13; defense 80.8 percentile2019 Week 1: App State vs. East Tennessee State · W 42–7; defense 35.6 percentile2019 Week 2: App State vs. Charlotte · W 56–41; defense 47.2 percentile2019 Week 4: App State at North Carolina · W 34–31; defense 35.8 percentile2019 Week 5: App State vs. Coastal Carolina · W 56–37; defense 18.9 percentile2019 Week 7: App State at Louisiana · W 17–7; defense 99.7 percentile2019 Week 8: App State vs. UL Monroe · W 52–7; defense 97.6 percentile2019 Week 9: App State at South Alabama · W 30–3; defense 99.6 percentile2019 Week 10: App State vs. Georgia Southern · L 21–24; defense 36.8 percentile2019 Week 11: App State at South Carolina · W 20–15; defense 81.1 percentile2019 Week 12: App State at Georgia State · W 56–27; defense 92.1 percentile2019 Week 13: App State vs. Texas State · W 35–13; defense 79.8 percentile2019 Week 14: App State at Troy · W 48–13; defense 94.6 percentile2019 Week 15: App State vs. Louisiana · W 45–38; defense 75.9 percentile2019 Week 1: App State vs. UAB · W 31–17; defense 75.6 percentile2020 Week 2: App State vs. Charlotte · W 35–20; defense 76.2 percentile2020 Week 3: App State at Marshall · L 7–17; defense 59.9 percentile2020 Week 4: App State vs. Campbell · W 52–21; defense 42.8 percentile2020 Week 8: App State vs. Arkansas State · W 45–17; defense 92.8 percentile2020 Week 9: App State at UL Monroe · W 31–13; defense 64.2 percentile2020 Week 10: App State at Texas State · W 38–17; defense 32.5 percentile2020 Week 11: App State vs. Georgia State · W 17–13; defense 88.2 percentile2020 Week 12: App State at Coastal Carolina · L 23–34; defense 43.4 percentile2020 Week 13: App State vs. Troy · W 47–10; defense 78.2 percentile2020 Week 14: App State vs. Louisiana · L 21–24; defense 72.5 percentile2020 Week 15: App State at Georgia Southern · W 34–26; defense 71.7 percentile2020 Week 1: App State vs. North Texas · W 56–28; defense 57.1 percentile2021 Week 1: App State vs. East Carolina · W 33–19; defense 58.9 percentile2021 Week 2: App State at Miami · L 23–25; defense 89.3 percentile2021 Week 3: App State vs. Elon · W 44–10; defense 62.1 percentile2021 Week 4: App State vs. Marshall · W 31–30; defense 56.3 percentile2021 Week 5: App State at Georgia State · W 45–16; defense 94.7 percentile2021 Week 7: App State at Louisiana · L 13–41; defense 25.8 percentile2021 Week 8: App State vs. Coastal Carolina · W 30–27; defense 94.9 percentile2021 Week 9: App State vs. UL Monroe · W 59–28; defense 84.1 percentile2021 Week 10: App State at Arkansas State · W 48–14; defense 84.8 percentile2021 Week 11: App State vs. South Alabama · W 31–7; defense 92.4 percentile2021 Week 12: App State at Troy · W 45–7; defense 98.6 percentile2021 Week 14: App State at Louisiana · L 16–24; defense 85.3 percentile2021 Week 1: App State vs. Western Kentucky · L 38–59; defense 3.9 percentile2022 Week 2: App State at Texas A&M · W 17–14; defense 95.2 percentile2022 Week 3: App State vs. Troy · W 32–28; defense 25.7 percentile2022 Week 4: App State vs. James Madison · L 28–32; defense 57.1 percentile2022 Week 5: App State vs. The Citadel · W 49–0; defense 46.7 percentile2022 Week 6: App State at Texas State · L 24–36; defense 23.8 percentile2022 Week 8: App State vs. Georgia State · W 42–17; defense 59.2 percentile2022 Week 9: App State vs. Robert Morris · W 42–3; defense 64.4 percentile2022 Week 10: App State at Coastal Carolina · L 28–35; defense 45.7 percentile2022 Week 11: App State at Marshall · L 21–28; defense 61.3 percentile2022 Week 12: App State vs. Old Dominion · W 27–14; defense 40.1 percentile2022 Week 13: App State at Georgia Southern · L 48–51; defense 33.8 percentile2023 Week 1: App State vs. Gardner-Webb · W 45–24; defense 4.6 percentile2023 Week 2: App State at North Carolina · L 34–40; defense 13.6 percentile2023 Week 3: App State vs. East Carolina · W 43–28; defense 23.7 percentile2023 Week 5: App State at UL Monroe · W 41–40; defense 13.5 percentile2023 Week 7: App State vs. Coastal Carolina · L 24–27; defense 32.8 percentile2023 Week 8: App State at Old Dominion · L 21–28; defense 16.6 percentile2023 Week 9: App State vs. Southern Miss · W 48–38; defense 2.9 percentile2023 Week 10: App State vs. Marshall · W 31–9; defense 9.5 percentile2023 Week 11: App State at Georgia State · W 42–14; defense 99.8 percentile2023 Week 12: App State at James Madison · W 26–23; defense 92.2 percentile2023 Week 14: App State at Troy · L 23–49; defense 4.7 percentile2023 Week 1: App State vs. Miami (OH) · W 13–9; defense 92.6 percentile2024 Week 1: App State vs. East Tennessee State · W 38–10; defense 15.4 percentile2024 Week 2: App State at Clemson · L 20–66; defense 3.6 percentile2024 Week 3: App State at East Carolina · W 21–19; defense 77.0 percentile2024 Week 4: App State vs. South Alabama · L 14–48; defense 0.4 percentile2024 Week 6: App State at Marshall · L 37–52; defense 7.4 percentile2024 Week 7: App State at Louisiana · L 24–34; defense 55.2 percentile2024 Week 9: App State vs. Georgia State · W 33–26; defense 13.4 percentile2024 Week 10: App State vs. Old Dominion · W 28–20; defense 28.6 percentile2024 Week 11: App State at Coastal Carolina · L 24–38; defense 23.3 percentile2024 Week 13: App State vs. James Madison · W 34–20; defense 74.5 percentile2024 Week 14: App State at Georgia Southern · L 20–29; defense 14.5 percentile2025 Week 2: App State vs. Lindenwood · W 20–13; defense 50.3 percentile2025 Week 3: App State at Southern Miss · L 22–38; defense 4.2 percentile2025 Week 5: App State at Boise State · L 14–47; defense 49.4 percentile2025 Week 6: App State vs. Oregon State · W 27–23; defense 17.9 percentile2025 Week 7: App State at Georgia State · W 41–20; defense 75.8 percentile2025 Week 8: App State vs. Coastal Carolina · L 37–45; defense 0.2 percentile2025 Week 9: App State at Old Dominion · L 21–24; defense 53.8 percentile2025 Week 11: App State vs. Georgia Southern · L 23–25; defense 31.1 percentile2025 Week 12: App State at James Madison · L 10–58; defense 17.7 percentile2025 Week 13: App State vs. Marshall · W 26–24; defense 23.3 percentile2025 Week 14: App State vs. Arkansas State · L 29–30; defense 40.5 percentile2025 Week 1: App State vs. Georgia Southern · L 10–29; defense 13.0 percentile2026 Week 1: App State vs. Maine · W 55–3; defense 58.2 percentile2026 Week 2: App State at East Carolina · W 27–24; defense 55.0 percentile2014 defense season mean: 55.1 percentile2015 defense season mean: 71.8 percentile2016 defense season mean: 68.2 percentile2017 defense season mean: 65.2 percentile2018 defense season mean: 82.3 percentile2019 defense season mean: 79.4 percentile2020 defense season mean: 67.0 percentile2021 defense season mean: 76.7 percentile2022 defense season mean: 51.9 percentile2023 defense season mean: 33.2 percentile2024 defense season mean: 21.1 percentile2025 defense season mean: 24.7 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 30.4 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 56.6 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2018Scott Satterfield / Mark Ivey
2019Eli Drinkwitz / Shawn Clark
2020Shawn Clark
2025Dowell Loggains

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateDowell Loggains2
38.6 estimate69.8 games-only average
30.4 estimate56.6 games-only average
2025Dowell LoggainsCoaching change1231.224.7
2024Shawn Clark1160.521.1
2023Shawn Clark1263.833.2
2022Shawn Clark1165.351.9
2021Shawn Clark1364.076.7
2020Shawn ClarkCoaching change1270.767.0
2019Eli Drinkwitz / Shawn ClarkCoaching change1458.679.4
2018Scott Satterfield / Mark IveyCoaching change1361.382.3
2017Scott Satterfield1360.765.2
2016Scott Satterfield1250.468.2
2015Scott Satterfield1371.871.8
2014Scott Satterfield1260.055.1