2014–2026 performance history

Arizona over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Big 12Head coach: Brent BrennanView Arizona games →
Offense · 2026 estimate62.4/100

55.5 average through 2 games

64.0 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate65.6/100

52.1 average through 2 games

68.7 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Arizona individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Rodriguez · ’14–’17Rich Rodriguez, 2014–2017Sumlin · ’18–’20Kevin Sumlin, 2018–2020Fisch · ’21–’23Jedd Fisch, 2021–2023Brennan · ’24–’26Brent Brennan, 2024–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Arizona vs. UNLV · W 58–13; offense 89.3 percentile2014 Week 2: Arizona at UTSA · W 26–23; offense 72.1 percentile2014 Week 3: Arizona vs. Nevada · W 35–28; offense 95.4 percentile2014 Week 4: Arizona vs. California · W 49–45; offense 48.2 percentile2014 Week 6: Arizona at Oregon · W 31–24; offense 78.1 percentile2014 Week 7: Arizona vs. USC · L 26–28; offense 60.8 percentile2014 Week 9: Arizona at Washington State · W 59–37; offense 80.8 percentile2014 Week 10: Arizona at UCLA · L 7–17; offense 8.9 percentile2014 Week 11: Arizona vs. Colorado · W 38–20; offense 21.8 percentile2014 Week 12: Arizona vs. Washington · W 27–26; offense 27.4 percentile2014 Week 13: Arizona at Utah · W 42–10; offense 87.2 percentile2014 Week 14: Arizona vs. Arizona State · W 42–35; offense 60.2 percentile2014 Week 15: Arizona vs. Oregon · L 13–51; offense 5.5 percentile2014 Week 1: Arizona vs. Boise State · L 30–38; offense 55.2 percentile2015 Week 1: Arizona vs. UTSA · W 42–32; offense 53.3 percentile2015 Week 2: Arizona at Nevada · W 44–20; offense 61.7 percentile2015 Week 3: Arizona vs. Northern Arizona · W 77–13; offense 94.7 percentile2015 Week 4: Arizona vs. UCLA · L 30–56; offense 60.6 percentile2015 Week 5: Arizona at Stanford · L 17–55; offense 40.6 percentile2015 Week 6: Arizona vs. Oregon State · W 44–7; offense 71.8 percentile2015 Week 7: Arizona at Colorado · W 38–31; offense 77.5 percentile2015 Week 8: Arizona vs. Washington State · L 42–45; offense 80.6 percentile2015 Week 9: Arizona at Washington · L 3–49; offense 18.9 percentile2015 Week 10: Arizona at USC · L 30–38; offense 20.1 percentile2015 Week 11: Arizona vs. Utah · W 37–30; offense 57.6 percentile2015 Week 12: Arizona at Arizona State · L 37–52; offense 41.9 percentile2015 Week 1: Arizona vs. New Mexico · W 45–37; offense 77.9 percentile2016 Week 2: Arizona vs. Grambling · W 31–21; offense 12.8 percentile2016 Week 3: Arizona vs. Hawai'i · W 47–28; offense 74.7 percentile2016 Week 4: Arizona vs. Washington · L 28–35; offense 95.3 percentile2016 Week 5: Arizona at UCLA · L 24–45; offense 44.8 percentile2016 Week 6: Arizona at Utah · L 23–36; offense 60.1 percentile2016 Week 7: Arizona vs. USC · L 14–48; offense 30.0 percentile2016 Week 9: Arizona vs. Stanford · L 10–34; offense 10.0 percentile2016 Week 10: Arizona at Washington State · L 7–69; offense 24.2 percentile2016 Week 12: Arizona at Oregon State · L 17–42; offense 37.6 percentile2016 Week 13: Arizona vs. Arizona State · W 56–35; offense 89.7 percentile2017 Week 1: Arizona vs. Northern Arizona · W 62–24; offense 84.2 percentile2017 Week 2: Arizona vs. Houston · L 16–19; offense 37.4 percentile2017 Week 3: Arizona at UTEP · W 63–16; offense 71.7 percentile2017 Week 4: Arizona vs. Utah · L 24–30; offense 62.4 percentile2017 Week 6: Arizona at Colorado · W 45–42; offense 99.0 percentile2017 Week 7: Arizona vs. UCLA · W 47–30; offense 88.7 percentile2017 Week 8: Arizona at California · W 45–44; offense 89.5 percentile2017 Week 9: Arizona vs. Washington State · W 58–37; offense 65.0 percentile2017 Week 10: Arizona at USC · L 35–49; offense 74.5 percentile2017 Week 11: Arizona vs. Oregon State · W 49–28; offense 99.2 percentile2017 Week 12: Arizona at Oregon · L 28–48; offense 59.9 percentile2017 Week 13: Arizona at Arizona State · L 30–42; offense 60.9 percentile2017 Week 1: Arizona vs. Purdue · L 35–38; offense 68.2 percentile2018 Week 1: Arizona vs. BYU · L 23–28; offense 41.6 percentile2018 Week 2: Arizona at Houston · L 18–45; offense 11.1 percentile2018 Week 3: Arizona vs. Southern Utah · W 62–31; offense 86.0 percentile2018 Week 4: Arizona at Oregon State · W 35–14; offense 89.2 percentile2018 Week 5: Arizona vs. USC · L 20–24; offense 8.5 percentile2018 Week 6: Arizona vs. California · W 24–17; offense 25.6 percentile2018 Week 7: Arizona at Utah · L 10–42; offense 36.0 percentile2018 Week 8: Arizona at UCLA · L 30–31; offense 69.9 percentile2018 Week 9: Arizona vs. Oregon · W 44–15; offense 82.9 percentile2018 Week 10: Arizona vs. Colorado · W 42–34; offense 92.3 percentile2018 Week 12: Arizona at Washington State · L 28–69; offense 72.3 percentile2018 Week 13: Arizona vs. Arizona State · L 40–41; offense 77.0 percentile2019 Week 1: Arizona at Hawai'i · L 38–45; offense 39.9 percentile2019 Week 2: Arizona vs. Northern Arizona · W 65–41; offense 87.4 percentile2019 Week 3: Arizona vs. Texas Tech · W 28–14; offense 56.5 percentile2019 Week 5: Arizona vs. UCLA · W 20–17; offense 18.9 percentile2019 Week 6: Arizona at Colorado · W 35–30; offense 76.5 percentile2019 Week 7: Arizona vs. Washington · L 27–51; offense 50.0 percentile2019 Week 8: Arizona at USC · L 14–41; offense 23.5 percentile2019 Week 9: Arizona at Stanford · L 31–41; offense 74.4 percentile2019 Week 10: Arizona vs. Oregon State · L 38–56; offense 78.8 percentile2019 Week 12: Arizona at Oregon · L 6–34; offense 12.1 percentile2019 Week 13: Arizona vs. Utah · L 7–35; offense 7.5 percentile2019 Week 14: Arizona at Arizona State · L 14–24; offense 49.2 percentile2020 Week 11: Arizona vs. USC · L 30–34; offense 64.8 percentile2020 Week 12: Arizona at Washington · L 27–44; offense 17.4 percentile2020 Week 13: Arizona at UCLA · L 10–27; offense 15.1 percentile2020 Week 14: Arizona vs. Colorado · L 13–24; offense 25.5 percentile2020 Week 15: Arizona vs. Arizona State · L 7–70; offense 6.1 percentile2021 Week 1: Arizona vs. BYU · L 16–24; offense 26.0 percentile2021 Week 2: Arizona vs. San Diego State · L 14–38; offense 5.1 percentile2021 Week 3: Arizona vs. Northern Arizona · L 19–21; offense 1.8 percentile2021 Week 4: Arizona at Oregon · L 19–41; offense 40.1 percentile2021 Week 6: Arizona vs. UCLA · L 16–34; offense 36.8 percentile2021 Week 7: Arizona at Colorado · L 0–34; offense 1.5 percentile2021 Week 8: Arizona vs. Washington · L 16–21; offense 27.7 percentile2021 Week 9: Arizona at USC · L 34–41; offense 86.1 percentile2021 Week 10: Arizona vs. California · W 10–3; offense 6.3 percentile2021 Week 11: Arizona vs. Utah · L 29–38; offense 38.7 percentile2021 Week 12: Arizona at Washington State · L 18–44; offense 23.7 percentile2021 Week 13: Arizona at Arizona State · L 15–38; offense 61.9 percentile2022 Week 1: Arizona at San Diego State · W 38–20; offense 89.4 percentile2022 Week 2: Arizona vs. Mississippi State · L 17–39; offense 5.9 percentile2022 Week 3: Arizona vs. North Dakota State · W 31–28; offense 37.6 percentile2022 Week 4: Arizona at California · L 31–49; offense 90.8 percentile2022 Week 5: Arizona vs. Colorado · W 43–20; offense 68.9 percentile2022 Week 6: Arizona vs. Oregon · L 22–49; offense 19.6 percentile2022 Week 7: Arizona at Washington · L 39–49; offense 96.2 percentile2022 Week 9: Arizona vs. USC · L 37–45; offense 85.9 percentile2022 Week 10: Arizona at Utah · L 20–45; offense 45.1 percentile2022 Week 11: Arizona at UCLA · W 34–28; offense 75.6 percentile2022 Week 12: Arizona vs. Washington State · L 20–31; offense 25.1 percentile2022 Week 13: Arizona vs. Arizona State · W 38–35; offense 85.0 percentile2023 Week 1: Arizona vs. Northern Arizona · W 38–3; offense 69.5 percentile2023 Week 2: Arizona at Mississippi State · L 24–31; offense 38.0 percentile2023 Week 3: Arizona vs. UTEP · W 31–10; offense 86.8 percentile2023 Week 4: Arizona at Stanford · W 21–20; offense 27.7 percentile2023 Week 5: Arizona vs. Washington · L 24–31; offense 33.9 percentile2023 Week 6: Arizona at USC · L 41–43; offense 60.1 percentile2023 Week 7: Arizona at Washington State · W 44–6; offense 76.3 percentile2023 Week 9: Arizona vs. Oregon State · W 27–24; offense 81.0 percentile2023 Week 10: Arizona vs. UCLA · W 27–10; offense 91.2 percentile2023 Week 11: Arizona at Colorado · W 34–31; offense 48.6 percentile2023 Week 12: Arizona vs. Utah · W 42–18; offense 96.4 percentile2023 Week 13: Arizona at Arizona State · W 59–23; offense 91.1 percentile2023 Week 1: Arizona vs. Oklahoma · W 38–24; offense 58.8 percentile2024 Week 1: Arizona vs. New Mexico · W 61–39; offense 87.9 percentile2024 Week 2: Arizona vs. Northern Arizona · W 22–10; offense 5.1 percentile2024 Week 3: Arizona at Kansas State · L 7–31; offense 24.0 percentile2024 Week 5: Arizona at Utah · W 23–10; offense 65.0 percentile2024 Week 6: Arizona vs. Texas Tech · L 22–28; offense 17.0 percentile2024 Week 7: Arizona at BYU · L 19–41; offense 51.8 percentile2024 Week 8: Arizona vs. Colorado · L 7–34; offense 27.2 percentile2024 Week 9: Arizona vs. West Virginia · L 26–31; offense 31.0 percentile2024 Week 10: Arizona at UCF · L 12–56; offense 7.8 percentile2024 Week 12: Arizona vs. Houston · W 27–3; offense 45.8 percentile2024 Week 13: Arizona at TCU · L 28–49; offense 48.3 percentile2024 Week 14: Arizona vs. Arizona State · L 7–49; offense 10.4 percentile2025 Week 1: Arizona vs. Hawai'i · W 40–6; offense 70.0 percentile2025 Week 2: Arizona vs. Weber State · W 48–3; offense 73.5 percentile2025 Week 5: Arizona at Iowa State · L 14–39; offense 33.7 percentile2025 Week 6: Arizona vs. Oklahoma State · W 41–13; offense 51.4 percentile2025 Week 7: Arizona vs. BYU · L 27–33; offense 51.9 percentile2025 Week 8: Arizona at Houston · L 28–31; offense 86.4 percentile2025 Week 10: Arizona at Colorado · W 52–17; offense 81.0 percentile2025 Week 11: Arizona vs. Kansas · W 24–20; offense 49.1 percentile2025 Week 12: Arizona at Cincinnati · W 30–24; offense 81.5 percentile2025 Week 13: Arizona vs. Baylor · W 41–17; offense 63.4 percentile2025 Week 14: Arizona at Arizona State · W 23–7; offense 42.6 percentile2025 Week 1: Arizona vs. SMU · L 19–24; offense 68.5 percentile2026 Week 1: Arizona vs. Northern Arizona · W 35–7; offense 57.7 percentile2026 Week 2: Arizona at BYU · L 17–28; offense 53.2 percentile2014 offense season mean: 57.4 percentile2015 offense season mean: 59.9 percentile2016 offense season mean: 49.1 percentile2017 offense season mean: 79.7 percentile2018 offense season mean: 59.0 percentile2019 offense season mean: 46.7 percentile2020 offense season mean: 22.4 percentile2021 offense season mean: 22.9 percentile2022 offense season mean: 63.4 percentile2023 offense season mean: 70.1 percentile2024 offense season mean: 31.9 percentile2025 offense season mean: 64.0 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 62.4 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 55.5 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Arizona vs. UNLV · W 58–13; defense 68.9 percentile2014 Week 2: Arizona at UTSA · W 26–23; defense 49.1 percentile2014 Week 3: Arizona vs. Nevada · W 35–28; defense 43.1 percentile2014 Week 4: Arizona vs. California · W 49–45; defense 38.1 percentile2014 Week 6: Arizona at Oregon · W 31–24; defense 90.5 percentile2014 Week 7: Arizona vs. USC · L 26–28; defense 40.7 percentile2014 Week 9: Arizona at Washington State · W 59–37; defense 53.9 percentile2014 Week 10: Arizona at UCLA · L 7–17; defense 72.9 percentile2014 Week 11: Arizona vs. Colorado · W 38–20; defense 77.6 percentile2014 Week 12: Arizona vs. Washington · W 27–26; defense 39.9 percentile2014 Week 13: Arizona at Utah · W 42–10; defense 60.9 percentile2014 Week 14: Arizona vs. Arizona State · W 42–35; defense 77.8 percentile2014 Week 15: Arizona vs. Oregon · L 13–51; defense 53.8 percentile2014 Week 1: Arizona vs. Boise State · L 30–38; defense 71.2 percentile2015 Week 1: Arizona vs. UTSA · W 42–32; defense 26.5 percentile2015 Week 2: Arizona at Nevada · W 44–20; defense 88.6 percentile2015 Week 3: Arizona vs. Northern Arizona · W 77–13; defense 31.3 percentile2015 Week 4: Arizona vs. UCLA · L 30–56; defense 11.3 percentile2015 Week 5: Arizona at Stanford · L 17–55; defense 3.7 percentile2015 Week 6: Arizona vs. Oregon State · W 44–7; defense 64.0 percentile2015 Week 7: Arizona at Colorado · W 38–31; defense 51.5 percentile2015 Week 8: Arizona vs. Washington State · L 42–45; defense 26.9 percentile2015 Week 9: Arizona at Washington · L 3–49; defense 19.1 percentile2015 Week 10: Arizona at USC · L 30–38; defense 37.3 percentile2015 Week 11: Arizona vs. Utah · W 37–30; defense 15.3 percentile2015 Week 12: Arizona at Arizona State · L 37–52; defense 39.3 percentile2015 Week 1: Arizona vs. New Mexico · W 45–37; defense 32.1 percentile2016 Week 2: Arizona vs. Grambling · W 31–21; defense 10.0 percentile2016 Week 3: Arizona vs. Hawai'i · W 47–28; defense 39.6 percentile2016 Week 4: Arizona vs. Washington · L 28–35; defense 44.5 percentile2016 Week 5: Arizona at UCLA · L 24–45; defense 42.0 percentile2016 Week 6: Arizona at Utah · L 23–36; defense 33.7 percentile2016 Week 7: Arizona vs. USC · L 14–48; defense 7.8 percentile2016 Week 9: Arizona vs. Stanford · L 10–34; defense 55.3 percentile2016 Week 10: Arizona at Washington State · L 7–69; defense 18.2 percentile2016 Week 12: Arizona at Oregon State · L 17–42; defense 6.0 percentile2016 Week 13: Arizona vs. Arizona State · W 56–35; defense 46.6 percentile2017 Week 1: Arizona vs. Northern Arizona · W 62–24; defense 16.5 percentile2017 Week 2: Arizona vs. Houston · L 16–19; defense 67.8 percentile2017 Week 3: Arizona at UTEP · W 63–16; defense 70.6 percentile2017 Week 4: Arizona vs. Utah · L 24–30; defense 58.9 percentile2017 Week 6: Arizona at Colorado · W 45–42; defense 7.4 percentile2017 Week 7: Arizona vs. UCLA · W 47–30; defense 24.5 percentile2017 Week 8: Arizona at California · W 45–44; defense 17.6 percentile2017 Week 9: Arizona vs. Washington State · W 58–37; defense 43.1 percentile2017 Week 10: Arizona at USC · L 35–49; defense 27.2 percentile2017 Week 11: Arizona vs. Oregon State · W 49–28; defense 24.5 percentile2017 Week 12: Arizona at Oregon · L 28–48; defense 4.2 percentile2017 Week 13: Arizona at Arizona State · L 30–42; defense 20.3 percentile2017 Week 1: Arizona vs. Purdue · L 35–38; defense 32.4 percentile2018 Week 1: Arizona vs. BYU · L 23–28; defense 20.5 percentile2018 Week 2: Arizona at Houston · L 18–45; defense 42.4 percentile2018 Week 3: Arizona vs. Southern Utah · W 62–31; defense 17.9 percentile2018 Week 4: Arizona at Oregon State · W 35–14; defense 78.1 percentile2018 Week 5: Arizona vs. USC · L 20–24; defense 35.4 percentile2018 Week 6: Arizona vs. California · W 24–17; defense 26.1 percentile2018 Week 7: Arizona at Utah · L 10–42; defense 3.7 percentile2018 Week 8: Arizona at UCLA · L 30–31; defense 61.1 percentile2018 Week 9: Arizona vs. Oregon · W 44–15; defense 90.4 percentile2018 Week 10: Arizona vs. Colorado · W 42–34; defense 55.6 percentile2018 Week 12: Arizona at Washington State · L 28–69; defense 4.9 percentile2018 Week 13: Arizona vs. Arizona State · L 40–41; defense 41.1 percentile2019 Week 1: Arizona at Hawai'i · L 38–45; defense 16.2 percentile2019 Week 2: Arizona vs. Northern Arizona · W 65–41; defense 22.9 percentile2019 Week 3: Arizona vs. Texas Tech · W 28–14; defense 83.8 percentile2019 Week 5: Arizona vs. UCLA · W 20–17; defense 41.5 percentile2019 Week 6: Arizona at Colorado · W 35–30; defense 53.9 percentile2019 Week 7: Arizona vs. Washington · L 27–51; defense 34.1 percentile2019 Week 8: Arizona at USC · L 14–41; defense 43.0 percentile2019 Week 9: Arizona at Stanford · L 31–41; defense 12.3 percentile2019 Week 10: Arizona vs. Oregon State · L 38–56; defense 0.1 percentile2019 Week 12: Arizona at Oregon · L 6–34; defense 21.2 percentile2019 Week 13: Arizona vs. Utah · L 7–35; defense 8.0 percentile2019 Week 14: Arizona at Arizona State · L 14–24; defense 66.8 percentile2020 Week 11: Arizona vs. USC · L 30–34; defense 37.4 percentile2020 Week 12: Arizona at Washington · L 27–44; defense 14.2 percentile2020 Week 13: Arizona at UCLA · L 10–27; defense 78.6 percentile2020 Week 14: Arizona vs. Colorado · L 13–24; defense 24.4 percentile2020 Week 15: Arizona vs. Arizona State · L 7–70; defense 43.9 percentile2021 Week 1: Arizona vs. BYU · L 16–24; defense 72.5 percentile2021 Week 2: Arizona vs. San Diego State · L 14–38; defense 27.7 percentile2021 Week 3: Arizona vs. Northern Arizona · L 19–21; defense 67.1 percentile2021 Week 4: Arizona at Oregon · L 19–41; defense 33.8 percentile2021 Week 6: Arizona vs. UCLA · L 16–34; defense 18.9 percentile2021 Week 7: Arizona at Colorado · L 0–34; defense 31.2 percentile2021 Week 8: Arizona vs. Washington · L 16–21; defense 52.8 percentile2021 Week 9: Arizona at USC · L 34–41; defense 19.3 percentile2021 Week 10: Arizona vs. California · W 10–3; defense 99.5 percentile2021 Week 11: Arizona vs. Utah · L 29–38; defense 34.4 percentile2021 Week 12: Arizona at Washington State · L 18–44; defense 24.2 percentile2021 Week 13: Arizona at Arizona State · L 15–38; defense 28.5 percentile2022 Week 1: Arizona at San Diego State · W 38–20; defense 76.2 percentile2022 Week 2: Arizona vs. Mississippi State · L 17–39; defense 19.1 percentile2022 Week 3: Arizona vs. North Dakota State · W 31–28; defense 3.1 percentile2022 Week 4: Arizona at California · L 31–49; defense 0.8 percentile2022 Week 5: Arizona vs. Colorado · W 43–20; defense 2.7 percentile2022 Week 6: Arizona vs. Oregon · L 22–49; defense 1.6 percentile2022 Week 7: Arizona at Washington · L 39–49; defense 9.1 percentile2022 Week 9: Arizona vs. USC · L 37–45; defense 11.4 percentile2022 Week 10: Arizona at Utah · L 20–45; defense 27.4 percentile2022 Week 11: Arizona at UCLA · W 34–28; defense 81.9 percentile2022 Week 12: Arizona vs. Washington State · L 20–31; defense 59.0 percentile2022 Week 13: Arizona vs. Arizona State · W 38–35; defense 10.9 percentile2023 Week 1: Arizona vs. Northern Arizona · W 38–3; defense 82.3 percentile2023 Week 2: Arizona at Mississippi State · L 24–31; defense 48.3 percentile2023 Week 3: Arizona vs. UTEP · W 31–10; defense 77.9 percentile2023 Week 4: Arizona at Stanford · W 21–20; defense 43.2 percentile2023 Week 5: Arizona vs. Washington · L 24–31; defense 33.2 percentile2023 Week 6: Arizona at USC · L 41–43; defense 90.2 percentile2023 Week 7: Arizona at Washington State · W 44–6; defense 97.7 percentile2023 Week 9: Arizona vs. Oregon State · W 27–24; defense 29.1 percentile2023 Week 10: Arizona vs. UCLA · W 27–10; defense 85.5 percentile2023 Week 11: Arizona at Colorado · W 34–31; defense 49.7 percentile2023 Week 12: Arizona vs. Utah · W 42–18; defense 53.2 percentile2023 Week 13: Arizona at Arizona State · W 59–23; defense 52.7 percentile2023 Week 1: Arizona vs. Oklahoma · W 38–24; defense 60.2 percentile2024 Week 1: Arizona vs. New Mexico · W 61–39; defense 64.8 percentile2024 Week 2: Arizona vs. Northern Arizona · W 22–10; defense 57.3 percentile2024 Week 3: Arizona at Kansas State · L 7–31; defense 19.9 percentile2024 Week 5: Arizona at Utah · W 23–10; defense 66.0 percentile2024 Week 6: Arizona vs. Texas Tech · L 22–28; defense 59.8 percentile2024 Week 7: Arizona at BYU · L 19–41; defense 41.0 percentile2024 Week 8: Arizona vs. Colorado · L 7–34; defense 42.9 percentile2024 Week 9: Arizona vs. West Virginia · L 26–31; defense 5.6 percentile2024 Week 10: Arizona at UCF · L 12–56; defense 2.8 percentile2024 Week 12: Arizona vs. Houston · W 27–3; defense 79.5 percentile2024 Week 13: Arizona at TCU · L 28–49; defense 11.1 percentile2024 Week 14: Arizona vs. Arizona State · L 7–49; defense 2.3 percentile2025 Week 1: Arizona vs. Hawai'i · W 40–6; defense 98.9 percentile2025 Week 2: Arizona vs. Weber State · W 48–3; defense 66.5 percentile2025 Week 5: Arizona at Iowa State · L 14–39; defense 29.9 percentile2025 Week 6: Arizona vs. Oklahoma State · W 41–13; defense 96.8 percentile2025 Week 7: Arizona vs. BYU · L 27–33; defense 34.3 percentile2025 Week 8: Arizona at Houston · L 28–31; defense 11.3 percentile2025 Week 10: Arizona at Colorado · W 52–17; defense 56.4 percentile2025 Week 11: Arizona vs. Kansas · W 24–20; defense 78.0 percentile2025 Week 12: Arizona at Cincinnati · W 30–24; defense 59.3 percentile2025 Week 13: Arizona vs. Baylor · W 41–17; defense 63.7 percentile2025 Week 14: Arizona at Arizona State · W 23–7; defense 96.0 percentile2025 Week 1: Arizona vs. SMU · L 19–24; defense 56.5 percentile2026 Week 1: Arizona vs. Northern Arizona · W 35–7; defense 83.6 percentile2026 Week 2: Arizona at BYU · L 17–28; defense 19.1 percentile2014 defense season mean: 61.2 percentile2015 defense season mean: 32.0 percentile2016 defense season mean: 26.9 percentile2017 defense season mean: 28.8 percentile2018 defense season mean: 36.6 percentile2019 defense season mean: 26.3 percentile2020 defense season mean: 38.6 percentile2021 defense season mean: 45.8 percentile2022 defense season mean: 16.4 percentile2023 defense season mean: 65.7 percentile2024 defense season mean: 31.1 percentile2025 defense season mean: 68.7 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 65.6 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 52.1 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2018Kevin Sumlin
2021Jedd Fisch
2024Brent Brennan

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateBrent Brennan2
62.4 estimate55.5 games-only average
65.6 estimate52.1 games-only average
2025Brent Brennan1264.068.7
2024Brent BrennanCoaching change1231.931.1
2023Jedd Fisch1370.165.7
2022Jedd Fisch1263.416.4
2021Jedd FischCoaching change1222.945.8
2020Kevin Sumlin522.438.6
2019Kevin Sumlin1246.726.3
2018Kevin SumlinCoaching change1259.036.6
2017Rich Rodriguez1379.728.8
2016Rich Rodriguez1049.126.9
2015Rich Rodriguez1359.932.0
2014Rich Rodriguez1457.461.2