2014–2026 performance history

Arizona State over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Big 12Head coach: Kenny DillinghamView Arizona State games →
Offense · 2026 estimate56.0/100

85.1 average through 2 games

47.1 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate64.5/100

58.3 average through 2 games

66.0 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Arizona State individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Graham · ’14–’17Todd Graham, 2014–2017Edwards · ’18–’21Herm Edwards, 2018–2021AguanoShaun Aguano, 2022Dillingham · ’23–’26Kenny Dillingham, 2023–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Weber State · W 45–14; offense 74.7 percentile2014 Week 2: Arizona State at New Mexico · W 58–23; offense 89.9 percentile2014 Week 3: Arizona State at Colorado · W 38–24; offense 69.1 percentile2014 Week 6: Arizona State at USC · W 38–34; offense 61.7 percentile2014 Week 8: Arizona State vs. Stanford · W 26–10; offense 47.7 percentile2014 Week 9: Arizona State at Washington · W 24–10; offense 15.4 percentile2014 Week 10: Arizona State vs. Utah · W 19–16; offense 48.9 percentile2014 Week 11: Arizona State vs. Notre Dame · W 55–31; offense 54.4 percentile2014 Week 12: Arizona State at Oregon State · L 27–35; offense 29.1 percentile2014 Week 13: Arizona State vs. Washington State · W 52–31; offense 44.7 percentile2014 Week 14: Arizona State at Arizona · L 35–42; offense 30.3 percentile2014 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Duke · W 36–31; offense 90.1 percentile2015 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Texas A&M · L 17–38; offense 9.9 percentile2015 Week 2: Arizona State vs. Cal Poly · W 35–21; offense 29.9 percentile2015 Week 3: Arizona State vs. New Mexico · W 34–10; offense 60.9 percentile2015 Week 4: Arizona State vs. USC · L 14–42; offense 39.7 percentile2015 Week 5: Arizona State at UCLA · W 38–23; offense 45.0 percentile2015 Week 6: Arizona State vs. Colorado · W 48–23; offense 86.5 percentile2015 Week 7: Arizona State at Utah · L 18–34; offense 5.7 percentile2015 Week 9: Arizona State vs. Oregon · L 55–61; offense 87.0 percentile2015 Week 10: Arizona State at Washington State · L 24–38; offense 65.9 percentile2015 Week 11: Arizona State vs. Washington · W 27–17; offense 39.8 percentile2015 Week 12: Arizona State vs. Arizona · W 52–37; offense 44.6 percentile2015 Week 13: Arizona State at California · L 46–48; offense 71.7 percentile2015 Week 1: Arizona State vs. West Virginia · L 42–43; offense 49.5 percentile2016 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Northern Arizona · W 44–13; offense 47.5 percentile2016 Week 2: Arizona State vs. Texas Tech · W 68–55; offense 73.5 percentile2016 Week 3: Arizona State at UTSA · W 32–28; offense 83.5 percentile2016 Week 4: Arizona State vs. California · W 51–41; offense 27.6 percentile2016 Week 5: Arizona State at USC · L 20–41; offense 20.7 percentile2016 Week 6: Arizona State vs. UCLA · W 23–20; offense 5.2 percentile2016 Week 7: Arizona State at Colorado · L 16–40; offense 7.5 percentile2016 Week 8: Arizona State vs. Washington State · L 32–37; offense 42.7 percentile2016 Week 9: Arizona State at Oregon · L 35–54; offense 41.6 percentile2016 Week 11: Arizona State vs. Utah · L 26–49; offense 30.5 percentile2016 Week 12: Arizona State at Washington · L 18–44; offense 7.1 percentile2016 Week 13: Arizona State at Arizona · L 35–56; offense 16.1 percentile2017 Week 1: Arizona State vs. New Mexico State · W 37–31; offense 45.7 percentile2017 Week 2: Arizona State vs. San Diego State · L 20–30; offense 44.1 percentile2017 Week 3: Arizona State at Texas Tech · L 45–52; offense 80.0 percentile2017 Week 4: Arizona State vs. Oregon · W 37–35; offense 44.8 percentile2017 Week 5: Arizona State at Stanford · L 24–34; offense 77.4 percentile2017 Week 7: Arizona State vs. Washington · W 13–7; offense 21.6 percentile2017 Week 8: Arizona State at Utah · W 30–10; offense 67.1 percentile2017 Week 9: Arizona State vs. USC · L 17–48; offense 26.6 percentile2017 Week 10: Arizona State vs. Colorado · W 41–30; offense 71.3 percentile2017 Week 11: Arizona State at UCLA · L 37–44; offense 48.5 percentile2017 Week 12: Arizona State at Oregon State · W 40–24; offense 70.5 percentile2017 Week 13: Arizona State vs. Arizona · W 42–30; offense 75.4 percentile2017 Week 1: Arizona State vs. NC State · L 31–52; offense 87.3 percentile2018 Week 1: Arizona State vs. UTSA · W 49–7; offense 91.1 percentile2018 Week 2: Arizona State vs. Michigan State · W 16–13; offense 43.7 percentile2018 Week 3: Arizona State at San Diego State · L 21–28; offense 34.7 percentile2018 Week 4: Arizona State at Washington · L 20–27; offense 58.3 percentile2018 Week 5: Arizona State vs. Oregon State · W 52–24; offense 88.6 percentile2018 Week 6: Arizona State at Colorado · L 21–28; offense 75.4 percentile2018 Week 8: Arizona State vs. Stanford · L 13–20; offense 49.1 percentile2018 Week 9: Arizona State at USC · W 38–35; offense 92.2 percentile2018 Week 10: Arizona State vs. Utah · W 38–20; offense 93.6 percentile2018 Week 11: Arizona State vs. UCLA · W 31–28; offense 66.7 percentile2018 Week 12: Arizona State at Oregon · L 29–31; offense 26.4 percentile2018 Week 13: Arizona State at Arizona · W 41–40; offense 60.9 percentile2018 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Fresno State · L 20–31; offense 67.6 percentile2019 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Kent State · W 30–7; offense 56.8 percentile2019 Week 2: Arizona State vs. Sacramento State · W 19–7; offense 2.2 percentile2019 Week 3: Arizona State at Michigan State · W 10–7; offense 35.4 percentile2019 Week 4: Arizona State vs. Colorado · L 31–34; offense 75.7 percentile2019 Week 5: Arizona State at California · W 24–17; offense 52.7 percentile2019 Week 7: Arizona State vs. Washington State · W 38–34; offense 84.6 percentile2019 Week 8: Arizona State at Utah · L 3–21; offense 9.4 percentile2019 Week 9: Arizona State at UCLA · L 32–42; offense 33.5 percentile2019 Week 11: Arizona State vs. USC · L 26–31; offense 25.8 percentile2019 Week 12: Arizona State at Oregon State · L 34–35; offense 67.7 percentile2019 Week 13: Arizona State vs. Oregon · W 31–28; offense 80.9 percentile2019 Week 14: Arizona State vs. Arizona · W 24–14; offense 12.4 percentile2019 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Florida State · W 20–14; offense 7.8 percentile2020 Week 10: Arizona State at USC · L 27–28; offense 72.6 percentile2020 Week 14: Arizona State vs. UCLA · L 18–25; offense 67.9 percentile2020 Week 15: Arizona State at Arizona · W 70–7; offense 56.3 percentile2020 Week 16: Arizona State at Oregon State · W 46–33; offense 94.8 percentile2021 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Southern Utah · W 41–14; offense 92.2 percentile2021 Week 2: Arizona State vs. UNLV · W 37–10; offense 87.4 percentile2021 Week 3: Arizona State at BYU · L 17–27; offense 63.5 percentile2021 Week 4: Arizona State vs. Colorado · W 35–13; offense 88.8 percentile2021 Week 5: Arizona State at UCLA · W 42–23; offense 96.8 percentile2021 Week 6: Arizona State vs. Stanford · W 28–10; offense 48.0 percentile2021 Week 7: Arizona State at Utah · L 21–35; offense 66.4 percentile2021 Week 9: Arizona State vs. Washington State · L 21–34; offense 49.5 percentile2021 Week 10: Arizona State vs. USC · W 31–16; offense 63.4 percentile2021 Week 11: Arizona State at Washington · W 35–30; offense 71.6 percentile2021 Week 12: Arizona State at Oregon State · L 10–24; offense 14.8 percentile2021 Week 13: Arizona State vs. Arizona · W 38–15; offense 77.2 percentile2021 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Wisconsin · L 13–20; offense 66.7 percentile2022 Week 2: Arizona State at Oklahoma State · L 17–34; offense 15.6 percentile2022 Week 4: Arizona State vs. Utah · L 13–34; offense 9.0 percentile2022 Week 5: Arizona State at USC · L 25–42; offense 55.1 percentile2022 Week 6: Arizona State vs. Washington · W 45–38; offense 91.0 percentile2022 Week 8: Arizona State at Stanford · L 14–15; offense 9.8 percentile2022 Week 9: Arizona State at Colorado · W 42–34; offense 42.1 percentile2022 Week 10: Arizona State vs. UCLA · L 36–50; offense 73.0 percentile2022 Week 11: Arizona State at Washington State · L 18–28; offense 20.7 percentile2022 Week 12: Arizona State vs. Oregon State · L 7–31; offense 51.3 percentile2022 Week 13: Arizona State at Arizona · L 35–38; offense 58.4 percentile2023 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Southern Utah · W 24–21; offense 15.7 percentile2023 Week 2: Arizona State vs. Oklahoma State · L 15–27; offense 23.5 percentile2023 Week 3: Arizona State vs. Fresno State · L 0–29; offense 3.9 percentile2023 Week 4: Arizona State vs. USC · L 28–42; offense 55.3 percentile2023 Week 5: Arizona State at California · L 21–24; offense 17.3 percentile2023 Week 6: Arizona State vs. Colorado · L 24–27; offense 27.4 percentile2023 Week 8: Arizona State at Washington · L 7–15; offense 36.9 percentile2023 Week 9: Arizona State vs. Washington State · W 38–27; offense 99.0 percentile2023 Week 10: Arizona State at Utah · L 3–55; offense 1.3 percentile2023 Week 11: Arizona State at UCLA · W 17–7; offense 56.1 percentile2023 Week 12: Arizona State vs. Oregon · L 13–49; offense 39.4 percentile2023 Week 13: Arizona State vs. Arizona · L 23–59; offense 39.4 percentile2024 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Wyoming · W 48–7; offense 94.1 percentile2024 Week 2: Arizona State vs. Mississippi State · W 30–23; offense 52.9 percentile2024 Week 4: Arizona State at Texas Tech · L 22–30; offense 32.6 percentile2024 Week 6: Arizona State vs. Kansas · W 35–31; offense 94.7 percentile2024 Week 7: Arizona State vs. Utah · W 27–19; offense 62.5 percentile2024 Week 8: Arizona State at Cincinnati · L 14–24; offense 40.1 percentile2024 Week 10: Arizona State at Oklahoma State · W 42–21; offense 79.1 percentile2024 Week 11: Arizona State vs. UCF · W 35–31; offense 51.7 percentile2024 Week 12: Arizona State at Kansas State · W 24–14; offense 64.5 percentile2024 Week 13: Arizona State vs. BYU · W 28–23; offense 66.1 percentile2024 Week 14: Arizona State at Arizona · W 49–7; offense 98.3 percentile2024 Week 15: Arizona State vs. Iowa State · W 45–19; offense 94.2 percentile2024 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Texas · L 31–39; offense 71.9 percentile2025 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Northern Arizona · W 38–19; offense 44.9 percentile2025 Week 2: Arizona State at Mississippi State · L 20–24; offense 15.3 percentile2025 Week 3: Arizona State vs. Texas State · W 34–15; offense 85.8 percentile2025 Week 4: Arizona State at Baylor · W 27–24; offense 23.9 percentile2025 Week 5: Arizona State vs. TCU · W 27–24; offense 58.7 percentile2025 Week 7: Arizona State at Utah · L 10–42; offense 35.6 percentile2025 Week 8: Arizona State vs. Texas Tech · W 26–22; offense 54.0 percentile2025 Week 9: Arizona State vs. Houston · L 16–24; offense 64.2 percentile2025 Week 10: Arizona State at Iowa State · W 24–19; offense 63.3 percentile2025 Week 12: Arizona State vs. West Virginia · W 25–23; offense 40.4 percentile2025 Week 13: Arizona State at Colorado · W 42–17; offense 77.7 percentile2025 Week 14: Arizona State vs. Arizona · L 7–23; offense 6.8 percentile2025 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Duke · L 39–42; offense 56.5 percentile2026 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Morgan State · W 70–7; offense 97.3 percentile2026 Week 2: Arizona State at Texas A&M · L 20–48; offense 56.4 percentile2014 offense season mean: 56.1 percentile2015 offense season mean: 47.9 percentile2016 offense season mean: 30.0 percentile2017 offense season mean: 59.5 percentile2018 offense season mean: 68.7 percentile2019 offense season mean: 37.7 percentile2020 offense season mean: 76.2 percentile2021 offense season mean: 71.5 percentile2022 offense season mean: 40.8 percentile2023 offense season mean: 32.3 percentile2024 offense season mean: 75.1 percentile2025 offense season mean: 47.1 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 56.0 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 85.1 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Weber State · W 45–14; defense 46.8 percentile2014 Week 2: Arizona State at New Mexico · W 58–23; defense 87.9 percentile2014 Week 3: Arizona State at Colorado · W 38–24; defense 51.7 percentile2014 Week 6: Arizona State at USC · W 38–34; defense 69.9 percentile2014 Week 8: Arizona State vs. Stanford · W 26–10; defense 87.5 percentile2014 Week 9: Arizona State at Washington · W 24–10; defense 91.8 percentile2014 Week 10: Arizona State vs. Utah · W 19–16; defense 78.9 percentile2014 Week 11: Arizona State vs. Notre Dame · W 55–31; defense 61.7 percentile2014 Week 12: Arizona State at Oregon State · L 27–35; defense 56.7 percentile2014 Week 13: Arizona State vs. Washington State · W 52–31; defense 43.2 percentile2014 Week 14: Arizona State at Arizona · L 35–42; defense 53.7 percentile2014 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Duke · W 36–31; defense 38.9 percentile2015 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Texas A&M · L 17–38; defense 63.0 percentile2015 Week 2: Arizona State vs. Cal Poly · W 35–21; defense 28.0 percentile2015 Week 3: Arizona State vs. New Mexico · W 34–10; defense 83.2 percentile2015 Week 4: Arizona State vs. USC · L 14–42; defense 33.9 percentile2015 Week 5: Arizona State at UCLA · W 38–23; defense 96.6 percentile2015 Week 6: Arizona State vs. Colorado · W 48–23; defense 30.4 percentile2015 Week 7: Arizona State at Utah · L 18–34; defense 65.4 percentile2015 Week 9: Arizona State vs. Oregon · L 55–61; defense 66.7 percentile2015 Week 10: Arizona State at Washington State · L 24–38; defense 36.7 percentile2015 Week 11: Arizona State vs. Washington · W 27–17; defense 62.1 percentile2015 Week 12: Arizona State vs. Arizona · W 52–37; defense 68.5 percentile2015 Week 13: Arizona State at California · L 46–48; defense 10.1 percentile2015 Week 1: Arizona State vs. West Virginia · L 42–43; defense 36.4 percentile2016 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Northern Arizona · W 44–13; defense 46.9 percentile2016 Week 2: Arizona State vs. Texas Tech · W 68–55; defense 21.7 percentile2016 Week 3: Arizona State at UTSA · W 32–28; defense 84.2 percentile2016 Week 4: Arizona State vs. California · W 51–41; defense 17.2 percentile2016 Week 5: Arizona State at USC · L 20–41; defense 46.7 percentile2016 Week 6: Arizona State vs. UCLA · W 23–20; defense 75.0 percentile2016 Week 7: Arizona State at Colorado · L 16–40; defense 14.4 percentile2016 Week 8: Arizona State vs. Washington State · L 32–37; defense 78.6 percentile2016 Week 9: Arizona State at Oregon · L 35–54; defense 25.3 percentile2016 Week 11: Arizona State vs. Utah · L 26–49; defense 24.3 percentile2016 Week 12: Arizona State at Washington · L 18–44; defense 45.7 percentile2016 Week 13: Arizona State at Arizona · L 35–56; defense 12.9 percentile2017 Week 1: Arizona State vs. New Mexico State · W 37–31; defense 24.8 percentile2017 Week 2: Arizona State vs. San Diego State · L 20–30; defense 57.6 percentile2017 Week 3: Arizona State at Texas Tech · L 45–52; defense 6.6 percentile2017 Week 4: Arizona State vs. Oregon · W 37–35; defense 62.0 percentile2017 Week 5: Arizona State at Stanford · L 24–34; defense 21.5 percentile2017 Week 7: Arizona State vs. Washington · W 13–7; defense 90.7 percentile2017 Week 8: Arizona State at Utah · W 30–10; defense 73.0 percentile2017 Week 9: Arizona State vs. USC · L 17–48; defense 8.6 percentile2017 Week 10: Arizona State vs. Colorado · W 41–30; defense 38.1 percentile2017 Week 11: Arizona State at UCLA · L 37–44; defense 50.7 percentile2017 Week 12: Arizona State at Oregon State · W 40–24; defense 57.3 percentile2017 Week 13: Arizona State vs. Arizona · W 42–30; defense 64.8 percentile2017 Week 1: Arizona State vs. NC State · L 31–52; defense 5.2 percentile2018 Week 1: Arizona State vs. UTSA · W 49–7; defense 83.8 percentile2018 Week 2: Arizona State vs. Michigan State · W 16–13; defense 35.2 percentile2018 Week 3: Arizona State at San Diego State · L 21–28; defense 31.6 percentile2018 Week 4: Arizona State at Washington · L 20–27; defense 33.9 percentile2018 Week 5: Arizona State vs. Oregon State · W 52–24; defense 15.7 percentile2018 Week 6: Arizona State at Colorado · L 21–28; defense 16.4 percentile2018 Week 8: Arizona State vs. Stanford · L 13–20; defense 82.3 percentile2018 Week 9: Arizona State at USC · W 38–35; defense 55.9 percentile2018 Week 10: Arizona State vs. Utah · W 38–20; defense 28.2 percentile2018 Week 11: Arizona State vs. UCLA · W 31–28; defense 23.3 percentile2018 Week 12: Arizona State at Oregon · L 29–31; defense 45.5 percentile2018 Week 13: Arizona State at Arizona · W 41–40; defense 27.1 percentile2018 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Fresno State · L 20–31; defense 26.3 percentile2019 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Kent State · W 30–7; defense 97.1 percentile2019 Week 2: Arizona State vs. Sacramento State · W 19–7; defense 61.7 percentile2019 Week 3: Arizona State at Michigan State · W 10–7; defense 58.2 percentile2019 Week 4: Arizona State vs. Colorado · L 31–34; defense 17.1 percentile2019 Week 5: Arizona State at California · W 24–17; defense 72.5 percentile2019 Week 7: Arizona State vs. Washington State · W 38–34; defense 65.0 percentile2019 Week 8: Arizona State at Utah · L 3–21; defense 89.3 percentile2019 Week 9: Arizona State at UCLA · L 32–42; defense 30.1 percentile2019 Week 11: Arizona State vs. USC · L 26–31; defense 56.2 percentile2019 Week 12: Arizona State at Oregon State · L 34–35; defense 57.6 percentile2019 Week 13: Arizona State vs. Oregon · W 31–28; defense 33.5 percentile2019 Week 14: Arizona State vs. Arizona · W 24–14; defense 54.7 percentile2019 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Florida State · W 20–14; defense 58.0 percentile2020 Week 10: Arizona State at USC · L 27–28; defense 44.5 percentile2020 Week 14: Arizona State vs. UCLA · L 18–25; defense 59.8 percentile2020 Week 15: Arizona State at Arizona · W 70–7; defense 88.0 percentile2020 Week 16: Arizona State at Oregon State · W 46–33; defense 41.6 percentile2021 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Southern Utah · W 41–14; defense 39.5 percentile2021 Week 2: Arizona State vs. UNLV · W 37–10; defense 68.1 percentile2021 Week 3: Arizona State at BYU · L 17–27; defense 81.6 percentile2021 Week 4: Arizona State vs. Colorado · W 35–13; defense 25.1 percentile2021 Week 5: Arizona State at UCLA · W 42–23; defense 92.0 percentile2021 Week 6: Arizona State vs. Stanford · W 28–10; defense 68.8 percentile2021 Week 7: Arizona State at Utah · L 21–35; defense 21.1 percentile2021 Week 9: Arizona State vs. Washington State · L 21–34; defense 17.9 percentile2021 Week 10: Arizona State vs. USC · W 31–16; defense 95.4 percentile2021 Week 11: Arizona State at Washington · W 35–30; defense 36.2 percentile2021 Week 12: Arizona State at Oregon State · L 10–24; defense 81.6 percentile2021 Week 13: Arizona State vs. Arizona · W 38–15; defense 27.5 percentile2021 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Wisconsin · L 13–20; defense 65.9 percentile2022 Week 2: Arizona State at Oklahoma State · L 17–34; defense 26.3 percentile2022 Week 4: Arizona State vs. Utah · L 13–34; defense 38.6 percentile2022 Week 5: Arizona State at USC · L 25–42; defense 12.6 percentile2022 Week 6: Arizona State vs. Washington · W 45–38; defense 58.6 percentile2022 Week 8: Arizona State at Stanford · L 14–15; defense 60.0 percentile2022 Week 9: Arizona State at Colorado · W 42–34; defense 34.7 percentile2022 Week 10: Arizona State vs. UCLA · L 36–50; defense 1.0 percentile2022 Week 11: Arizona State at Washington State · L 18–28; defense 63.8 percentile2022 Week 12: Arizona State vs. Oregon State · L 7–31; defense 3.8 percentile2022 Week 13: Arizona State at Arizona · L 35–38; defense 6.5 percentile2023 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Southern Utah · W 24–21; defense 43.4 percentile2023 Week 2: Arizona State vs. Oklahoma State · L 15–27; defense 46.5 percentile2023 Week 3: Arizona State vs. Fresno State · L 0–29; defense 41.6 percentile2023 Week 4: Arizona State vs. USC · L 28–42; defense 7.2 percentile2023 Week 5: Arizona State at California · L 21–24; defense 48.5 percentile2023 Week 6: Arizona State vs. Colorado · L 24–27; defense 44.5 percentile2023 Week 8: Arizona State at Washington · L 7–15; defense 96.5 percentile2023 Week 9: Arizona State vs. Washington State · W 38–27; defense 7.8 percentile2023 Week 10: Arizona State at Utah · L 3–55; defense 12.3 percentile2023 Week 11: Arizona State at UCLA · W 17–7; defense 86.8 percentile2023 Week 12: Arizona State vs. Oregon · L 13–49; defense 0.7 percentile2023 Week 13: Arizona State vs. Arizona · L 23–59; defense 4.5 percentile2024 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Wyoming · W 48–7; defense 94.5 percentile2024 Week 2: Arizona State vs. Mississippi State · W 30–23; defense 49.4 percentile2024 Week 4: Arizona State at Texas Tech · L 22–30; defense 76.4 percentile2024 Week 6: Arizona State vs. Kansas · W 35–31; defense 16.7 percentile2024 Week 7: Arizona State vs. Utah · W 27–19; defense 35.3 percentile2024 Week 8: Arizona State at Cincinnati · L 14–24; defense 71.8 percentile2024 Week 10: Arizona State at Oklahoma State · W 42–21; defense 66.3 percentile2024 Week 11: Arizona State vs. UCF · W 35–31; defense 35.6 percentile2024 Week 12: Arizona State at Kansas State · W 24–14; defense 82.9 percentile2024 Week 13: Arizona State vs. BYU · W 28–23; defense 24.2 percentile2024 Week 14: Arizona State at Arizona · W 49–7; defense 86.9 percentile2024 Week 15: Arizona State vs. Iowa State · W 45–19; defense 74.7 percentile2024 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Texas · L 31–39; defense 73.5 percentile2025 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Northern Arizona · W 38–19; defense 39.8 percentile2025 Week 2: Arizona State at Mississippi State · L 20–24; defense 78.9 percentile2025 Week 3: Arizona State vs. Texas State · W 34–15; defense 95.6 percentile2025 Week 4: Arizona State at Baylor · W 27–24; defense 48.2 percentile2025 Week 5: Arizona State vs. TCU · W 27–24; defense 88.7 percentile2025 Week 7: Arizona State at Utah · L 10–42; defense 11.1 percentile2025 Week 8: Arizona State vs. Texas Tech · W 26–22; defense 88.5 percentile2025 Week 9: Arizona State vs. Houston · L 16–24; defense 59.5 percentile2025 Week 10: Arizona State at Iowa State · W 24–19; defense 76.3 percentile2025 Week 12: Arizona State vs. West Virginia · W 25–23; defense 49.1 percentile2025 Week 13: Arizona State at Colorado · W 42–17; defense 79.2 percentile2025 Week 14: Arizona State vs. Arizona · L 7–23; defense 77.2 percentile2025 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Duke · L 39–42; defense 30.3 percentile2026 Week 1: Arizona State vs. Morgan State · W 70–7; defense 31.8 percentile2026 Week 2: Arizona State at Texas A&M · L 20–48; defense 81.4 percentile2014 defense season mean: 66.5 percentile2015 defense season mean: 53.9 percentile2016 defense season mean: 39.9 percentile2017 defense season mean: 40.1 percentile2018 defense season mean: 38.3 percentile2019 defense season mean: 60.3 percentile2020 defense season mean: 60.6 percentile2021 defense season mean: 58.1 percentile2022 defense season mean: 23.4 percentile2023 defense season mean: 31.1 percentile2024 defense season mean: 62.8 percentile2025 defense season mean: 66.0 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 64.5 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 58.3 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2018Herm Edwards
2022Shaun Aguano / Herm Edwards
2023Kenny Dillingham

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateKenny Dillingham2
56.0 estimate85.1 games-only average
64.5 estimate58.3 games-only average
2025Kenny Dillingham1347.166.0
2024Kenny Dillingham1375.162.8
2023Kenny DillinghamCoaching change1232.331.1
2022Shaun Aguano / Herm EdwardsCoaching change1040.823.4
2021Herm Edwards1371.558.1
2020Herm Edwards476.260.6
2019Herm Edwards1337.760.3
2018Herm EdwardsCoaching change1368.738.3
2017Todd Graham1359.540.1
2016Todd Graham1230.039.9
2015Todd Graham1347.953.9
2014Todd Graham1256.166.5