2014–2026 performance history

Arkansas over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

SECHead coach: Ryan SilverfieldView Arkansas games →
Offense · 2026 estimate69.3/100

9.1 average through 1 game

76.9 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate20.8/100

43.6 average through 1 game

18.5 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Arkansas individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Bielema · ’14–’17Bret Bielema, 2014–2017Morris · ’18–’19Chad Morris, 2018–2019Pittman · ’20–’24Sam Pittman, 2020–2024PetrinoBobby Petrino, 2025SilverfieldRyan Silverfield, 2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Arkansas at Auburn · L 21–45; offense 54.8 percentile2014 Week 2: Arkansas vs. Nicholls · W 73–7; offense 96.5 percentile2014 Week 3: Arkansas at Texas Tech · W 49–28; offense 98.9 percentile2014 Week 4: Arkansas vs. Northern Illinois · W 52–14; offense 82.3 percentile2014 Week 5: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 28–35; offense 45.5 percentile2014 Week 7: Arkansas vs. Alabama · L 13–14; offense 19.8 percentile2014 Week 8: Arkansas vs. Georgia · L 32–45; offense 83.1 percentile2014 Week 9: Arkansas vs. UAB · W 45–17; offense 94.2 percentile2014 Week 10: Arkansas at Mississippi State · L 10–17; offense 34.0 percentile2014 Week 12: Arkansas vs. LSU · W 17–0; offense 51.9 percentile2014 Week 13: Arkansas vs. Ole Miss · W 30–0; offense 39.3 percentile2014 Week 14: Arkansas at Missouri · L 14–21; offense 49.3 percentile2014 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Texas · W 31–7; offense 72.6 percentile2015 Week 1: Arkansas vs. UTEP · W 48–13; offense 87.5 percentile2015 Week 2: Arkansas vs. Toledo · L 12–16; offense 34.6 percentile2015 Week 3: Arkansas vs. Texas Tech · L 24–35; offense 71.6 percentile2015 Week 4: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 21–28; offense 96.7 percentile2015 Week 5: Arkansas at Tennessee · W 24–20; offense 74.8 percentile2015 Week 6: Arkansas at Alabama · L 14–27; offense 36.1 percentile2015 Week 8: Arkansas vs. Auburn · W 54–46; offense 80.8 percentile2015 Week 9: Arkansas vs. UT Martin · W 63–28; offense 95.0 percentile2015 Week 10: Arkansas at Ole Miss · W 53–52; offense 99.1 percentile2015 Week 11: Arkansas at LSU · W 31–14; offense 91.3 percentile2015 Week 12: Arkansas vs. Mississippi State · L 50–51; offense 73.5 percentile2015 Week 13: Arkansas vs. Missouri · W 28–3; offense 70.5 percentile2015 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Kansas State · W 45–23; offense 98.8 percentile2016 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Louisiana Tech · W 21–20; offense 18.3 percentile2016 Week 2: Arkansas at TCU · W 41–38; offense 36.7 percentile2016 Week 3: Arkansas vs. Texas State · W 42–3; offense 87.0 percentile2016 Week 4: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 24–45; offense 38.9 percentile2016 Week 5: Arkansas vs. Alcorn State · W 52–10; offense 79.1 percentile2016 Week 6: Arkansas vs. Alabama · L 30–49; offense 93.9 percentile2016 Week 7: Arkansas vs. Ole Miss · W 34–30; offense 22.6 percentile2016 Week 8: Arkansas at Auburn · L 3–56; offense 0.5 percentile2016 Week 10: Arkansas vs. Florida · W 31–10; offense 75.6 percentile2016 Week 11: Arkansas vs. LSU · L 10–38; offense 44.0 percentile2016 Week 12: Arkansas at Mississippi State · W 58–42; offense 95.8 percentile2016 Week 13: Arkansas at Missouri · L 24–28; offense 40.9 percentile2016 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Virginia Tech · L 24–35; offense 30.7 percentile2017 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Florida A&M · W 49–7; offense 62.9 percentile2017 Week 2: Arkansas vs. TCU · L 7–28; offense 35.1 percentile2017 Week 4: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 43–50; offense 90.1 percentile2017 Week 5: Arkansas vs. New Mexico State · W 42–24; offense 95.6 percentile2017 Week 6: Arkansas at South Carolina · L 22–48; offense 40.7 percentile2017 Week 7: Arkansas at Alabama · L 9–41; offense 13.5 percentile2017 Week 8: Arkansas vs. Auburn · L 20–52; offense 73.0 percentile2017 Week 9: Arkansas at Ole Miss · W 38–37; offense 62.5 percentile2017 Week 10: Arkansas vs. Coastal Carolina · W 39–38; offense 75.7 percentile2017 Week 11: Arkansas at LSU · L 10–33; offense 26.4 percentile2017 Week 12: Arkansas vs. Mississippi State · L 21–28; offense 4.9 percentile2017 Week 13: Arkansas vs. Missouri · L 45–48; offense 74.7 percentile2018 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Eastern Illinois · W 55–20; offense 22.6 percentile2018 Week 2: Arkansas at Colorado State · L 27–34; offense 43.8 percentile2018 Week 3: Arkansas vs. North Texas · L 17–44; offense 18.8 percentile2018 Week 4: Arkansas at Auburn · L 3–34; offense 16.8 percentile2018 Week 5: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 17–24; offense 18.5 percentile2018 Week 6: Arkansas vs. Alabama · L 31–65; offense 80.9 percentile2018 Week 7: Arkansas vs. Ole Miss · L 33–37; offense 59.9 percentile2018 Week 8: Arkansas vs. Tulsa · W 23–0; offense 23.9 percentile2018 Week 9: Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt · L 31–45; offense 72.7 percentile2018 Week 11: Arkansas vs. LSU · L 17–24; offense 3.2 percentile2018 Week 12: Arkansas at Mississippi State · L 6–52; offense 16.4 percentile2018 Week 13: Arkansas at Missouri · L 0–38; offense 1.2 percentile2019 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Portland State · W 20–13; offense 20.7 percentile2019 Week 2: Arkansas at Ole Miss · L 17–31; offense 8.7 percentile2019 Week 3: Arkansas vs. Colorado State · W 55–34; offense 90.6 percentile2019 Week 4: Arkansas vs. San José State · L 24–31; offense 26.8 percentile2019 Week 5: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 27–31; offense 53.6 percentile2019 Week 7: Arkansas at Kentucky · L 20–24; offense 62.1 percentile2019 Week 8: Arkansas vs. Auburn · L 10–51; offense 9.3 percentile2019 Week 9: Arkansas at Alabama · L 7–48; offense 36.8 percentile2019 Week 10: Arkansas vs. Mississippi State · L 24–54; offense 22.2 percentile2019 Week 11: Arkansas vs. Western Kentucky · L 19–45; offense 67.5 percentile2019 Week 13: Arkansas at LSU · L 20–56; offense 15.8 percentile2019 Week 14: Arkansas vs. Missouri · L 14–24; offense 38.5 percentile2020 Week 4: Arkansas vs. Georgia · L 10–37; offense 22.0 percentile2020 Week 5: Arkansas at Mississippi State · W 21–14; offense 7.4 percentile2020 Week 6: Arkansas at Auburn · L 28–30; offense 39.0 percentile2020 Week 7: Arkansas vs. Ole Miss · W 33–21; offense 2.4 percentile2020 Week 9: Arkansas at Texas A&M · L 31–42; offense 86.3 percentile2020 Week 10: Arkansas vs. Tennessee · W 24–13; offense 59.0 percentile2020 Week 11: Arkansas at Florida · L 35–63; offense 84.6 percentile2020 Week 12: Arkansas vs. LSU · L 24–27; offense 33.1 percentile2020 Week 14: Arkansas at Missouri · L 48–50; offense 93.2 percentile2020 Week 15: Arkansas vs. Alabama · L 3–52; offense 11.2 percentile2021 Week 2: Arkansas vs. Texas · W 40–21; offense 70.0 percentile2021 Week 3: Arkansas vs. Georgia Southern · W 45–10; offense 87.2 percentile2021 Week 4: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · W 20–10; offense 56.1 percentile2021 Week 5: Arkansas at Georgia · L 0–37; offense 18.4 percentile2021 Week 6: Arkansas at Ole Miss · L 51–52; offense 96.3 percentile2021 Week 7: Arkansas vs. Auburn · L 23–38; offense 61.3 percentile2021 Week 8: Arkansas vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff · W 45–3; offense 63.1 percentile2021 Week 10: Arkansas vs. Mississippi State · W 31–28; offense 78.7 percentile2021 Week 11: Arkansas at LSU · W 16–13; offense 8.5 percentile2021 Week 12: Arkansas at Alabama · L 35–42; offense 75.3 percentile2021 Week 13: Arkansas vs. Missouri · W 34–17; offense 59.7 percentile2021 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Penn State · W 24–10; offense 82.1 percentile2022 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Cincinnati · W 31–24; offense 74.7 percentile2022 Week 2: Arkansas vs. South Carolina · W 44–30; offense 55.4 percentile2022 Week 3: Arkansas vs. Missouri State · W 38–27; offense 40.2 percentile2022 Week 4: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 21–23; offense 73.4 percentile2022 Week 5: Arkansas vs. Alabama · L 26–49; offense 47.0 percentile2022 Week 6: Arkansas at Mississippi State · L 17–40; offense 79.9 percentile2022 Week 7: Arkansas at BYU · W 52–35; offense 96.9 percentile2022 Week 9: Arkansas at Auburn · W 41–27; offense 95.4 percentile2022 Week 10: Arkansas vs. Liberty · L 19–21; offense 22.1 percentile2022 Week 11: Arkansas vs. LSU · L 10–13; offense 6.9 percentile2022 Week 12: Arkansas vs. Ole Miss · W 42–27; offense 86.1 percentile2022 Week 13: Arkansas at Missouri · L 27–29; offense 63.9 percentile2022 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Kansas · W 55–53; offense 71.1 percentile2023 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Western Carolina · W 56–13; offense 43.9 percentile2023 Week 2: Arkansas vs. Kent State · W 28–6; offense 59.9 percentile2023 Week 3: Arkansas vs. BYU · L 31–38; offense 16.0 percentile2023 Week 4: Arkansas at LSU · L 31–34; offense 70.3 percentile2023 Week 5: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 22–34; offense 29.9 percentile2023 Week 6: Arkansas at Ole Miss · L 20–27; offense 19.3 percentile2023 Week 7: Arkansas at Alabama · L 21–24; offense 32.4 percentile2023 Week 8: Arkansas vs. Mississippi State · L 3–7; offense 12.0 percentile2023 Week 10: Arkansas at Florida · W 39–36; offense 61.5 percentile2023 Week 11: Arkansas vs. Auburn · L 10–48; offense 18.9 percentile2023 Week 12: Arkansas vs. Florida International · W 44–20; offense 85.1 percentile2023 Week 13: Arkansas vs. Missouri · L 14–48; offense 13.0 percentile2024 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff · W 70–0; offense 99.2 percentile2024 Week 2: Arkansas at Oklahoma State · L 31–39; offense 41.4 percentile2024 Week 3: Arkansas vs. UAB · W 37–27; offense 95.0 percentile2024 Week 4: Arkansas at Auburn · W 24–14; offense 45.5 percentile2024 Week 5: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 17–21; offense 28.8 percentile2024 Week 6: Arkansas vs. Tennessee · W 19–14; offense 52.6 percentile2024 Week 8: Arkansas vs. LSU · L 10–34; offense 31.9 percentile2024 Week 9: Arkansas at Mississippi State · W 58–25; offense 93.3 percentile2024 Week 10: Arkansas vs. Ole Miss · L 31–63; offense 92.8 percentile2024 Week 12: Arkansas vs. Texas · L 10–20; offense 55.5 percentile2024 Week 13: Arkansas vs. Louisiana Tech · W 35–14; offense 70.4 percentile2024 Week 14: Arkansas at Missouri · L 21–28; offense 69.2 percentile2024 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Texas Tech · W 39–26; offense 75.4 percentile2025 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Alabama A&M · W 52–7; offense 64.4 percentile2025 Week 3: Arkansas at Ole Miss · L 35–41; offense 94.4 percentile2025 Week 4: Arkansas at Memphis · L 31–32; offense 62.9 percentile2025 Week 5: Arkansas vs. Notre Dame · L 13–56; offense 73.5 percentile2025 Week 7: Arkansas at Tennessee · L 31–34; offense 82.8 percentile2025 Week 8: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 42–45; offense 83.0 percentile2025 Week 9: Arkansas vs. Auburn · L 24–33; offense 81.7 percentile2025 Week 10: Arkansas vs. Mississippi State · L 35–38; offense 65.0 percentile2025 Week 12: Arkansas at LSU · L 22–23; offense 66.2 percentile2025 Week 13: Arkansas at Texas · L 37–52; offense 95.4 percentile2025 Week 14: Arkansas vs. Missouri · L 17–31; offense 44.9 percentile2026 Week 1: Arkansas vs. North Alabama · W 31–14; offense 9.1 percentile2014 offense season mean: 69.7 percentile2015 offense season mean: 84.4 percentile2016 offense season mean: 50.5 percentile2017 offense season mean: 55.3 percentile2018 offense season mean: 26.0 percentile2019 offense season mean: 35.9 percentile2020 offense season mean: 41.0 percentile2021 offense season mean: 64.9 percentile2022 offense season mean: 65.7 percentile2023 offense season mean: 36.7 percentile2024 offense season mean: 72.0 percentile2025 offense season mean: 76.9 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 69.3 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 9.1 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Arkansas at Auburn · L 21–45; defense 25.1 percentile2014 Week 2: Arkansas vs. Nicholls · W 73–7; defense 83.4 percentile2014 Week 3: Arkansas at Texas Tech · W 49–28; defense 55.2 percentile2014 Week 4: Arkansas vs. Northern Illinois · W 52–14; defense 90.4 percentile2014 Week 5: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 28–35; defense 49.3 percentile2014 Week 7: Arkansas vs. Alabama · L 13–14; defense 99.2 percentile2014 Week 8: Arkansas vs. Georgia · L 32–45; defense 29.4 percentile2014 Week 9: Arkansas vs. UAB · W 45–17; defense 98.4 percentile2014 Week 10: Arkansas at Mississippi State · L 10–17; defense 51.2 percentile2014 Week 12: Arkansas vs. LSU · W 17–0; defense 97.6 percentile2014 Week 13: Arkansas vs. Ole Miss · W 30–0; defense 84.4 percentile2014 Week 14: Arkansas at Missouri · L 14–21; defense 55.3 percentile2014 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Texas · W 31–7; defense 94.3 percentile2015 Week 1: Arkansas vs. UTEP · W 48–13; defense 75.8 percentile2015 Week 2: Arkansas vs. Toledo · L 12–16; defense 86.0 percentile2015 Week 3: Arkansas vs. Texas Tech · L 24–35; defense 11.6 percentile2015 Week 4: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 21–28; defense 44.3 percentile2015 Week 5: Arkansas at Tennessee · W 24–20; defense 86.1 percentile2015 Week 6: Arkansas at Alabama · L 14–27; defense 75.8 percentile2015 Week 8: Arkansas vs. Auburn · W 54–46; defense 62.6 percentile2015 Week 9: Arkansas vs. UT Martin · W 63–28; defense 1.3 percentile2015 Week 10: Arkansas at Ole Miss · W 53–52; defense 2.6 percentile2015 Week 11: Arkansas at LSU · W 31–14; defense 88.1 percentile2015 Week 12: Arkansas vs. Mississippi State · L 50–51; defense 5.8 percentile2015 Week 13: Arkansas vs. Missouri · W 28–3; defense 85.9 percentile2015 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Kansas State · W 45–23; defense 55.1 percentile2016 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Louisiana Tech · W 21–20; defense 85.0 percentile2016 Week 2: Arkansas at TCU · W 41–38; defense 16.9 percentile2016 Week 3: Arkansas vs. Texas State · W 42–3; defense 83.2 percentile2016 Week 4: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 24–45; defense 8.0 percentile2016 Week 5: Arkansas vs. Alcorn State · W 52–10; defense 34.5 percentile2016 Week 6: Arkansas vs. Alabama · L 30–49; defense 22.9 percentile2016 Week 7: Arkansas vs. Ole Miss · W 34–30; defense 41.1 percentile2016 Week 8: Arkansas at Auburn · L 3–56; defense 0.7 percentile2016 Week 10: Arkansas vs. Florida · W 31–10; defense 94.1 percentile2016 Week 11: Arkansas vs. LSU · L 10–38; defense 7.1 percentile2016 Week 12: Arkansas at Mississippi State · W 58–42; defense 19.2 percentile2016 Week 13: Arkansas at Missouri · L 24–28; defense 32.4 percentile2016 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Virginia Tech · L 24–35; defense 58.2 percentile2017 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Florida A&M · W 49–7; defense 61.6 percentile2017 Week 2: Arkansas vs. TCU · L 7–28; defense 37.7 percentile2017 Week 4: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 43–50; defense 7.6 percentile2017 Week 5: Arkansas vs. New Mexico State · W 42–24; defense 27.4 percentile2017 Week 6: Arkansas at South Carolina · L 22–48; defense 28.6 percentile2017 Week 7: Arkansas at Alabama · L 9–41; defense 12.9 percentile2017 Week 8: Arkansas vs. Auburn · L 20–52; defense 29.6 percentile2017 Week 9: Arkansas at Ole Miss · W 38–37; defense 17.5 percentile2017 Week 10: Arkansas vs. Coastal Carolina · W 39–38; defense 17.7 percentile2017 Week 11: Arkansas at LSU · L 10–33; defense 7.7 percentile2017 Week 12: Arkansas vs. Mississippi State · L 21–28; defense 62.3 percentile2017 Week 13: Arkansas vs. Missouri · L 45–48; defense 12.8 percentile2018 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Eastern Illinois · W 55–20; defense 37.7 percentile2018 Week 2: Arkansas at Colorado State · L 27–34; defense 63.4 percentile2018 Week 3: Arkansas vs. North Texas · L 17–44; defense 69.8 percentile2018 Week 4: Arkansas at Auburn · L 3–34; defense 84.7 percentile2018 Week 5: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 17–24; defense 64.6 percentile2018 Week 6: Arkansas vs. Alabama · L 31–65; defense 9.4 percentile2018 Week 7: Arkansas vs. Ole Miss · L 33–37; defense 3.9 percentile2018 Week 8: Arkansas vs. Tulsa · W 23–0; defense 80.7 percentile2018 Week 9: Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt · L 31–45; defense 15.0 percentile2018 Week 11: Arkansas vs. LSU · L 17–24; defense 45.3 percentile2018 Week 12: Arkansas at Mississippi State · L 6–52; defense 2.0 percentile2018 Week 13: Arkansas at Missouri · L 0–38; defense 50.0 percentile2019 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Portland State · W 20–13; defense 35.3 percentile2019 Week 2: Arkansas at Ole Miss · L 17–31; defense 31.8 percentile2019 Week 3: Arkansas vs. Colorado State · W 55–34; defense 28.5 percentile2019 Week 4: Arkansas vs. San José State · L 24–31; defense 54.5 percentile2019 Week 5: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 27–31; defense 46.6 percentile2019 Week 7: Arkansas at Kentucky · L 20–24; defense 53.1 percentile2019 Week 8: Arkansas vs. Auburn · L 10–51; defense 4.9 percentile2019 Week 9: Arkansas at Alabama · L 7–48; defense 45.0 percentile2019 Week 10: Arkansas vs. Mississippi State · L 24–54; defense 2.2 percentile2019 Week 11: Arkansas vs. Western Kentucky · L 19–45; defense 5.5 percentile2019 Week 13: Arkansas at LSU · L 20–56; defense 23.5 percentile2019 Week 14: Arkansas vs. Missouri · L 14–24; defense 61.3 percentile2020 Week 4: Arkansas vs. Georgia · L 10–37; defense 91.2 percentile2020 Week 5: Arkansas at Mississippi State · W 21–14; defense 37.6 percentile2020 Week 6: Arkansas at Auburn · L 28–30; defense 36.0 percentile2020 Week 7: Arkansas vs. Ole Miss · W 33–21; defense 83.5 percentile2020 Week 9: Arkansas at Texas A&M · L 31–42; defense 11.7 percentile2020 Week 10: Arkansas vs. Tennessee · W 24–13; defense 76.8 percentile2020 Week 11: Arkansas at Florida · L 35–63; defense 7.7 percentile2020 Week 12: Arkansas vs. LSU · L 24–27; defense 65.6 percentile2020 Week 14: Arkansas at Missouri · L 48–50; defense 1.4 percentile2020 Week 15: Arkansas vs. Alabama · L 3–52; defense 38.4 percentile2021 Week 2: Arkansas vs. Texas · W 40–21; defense 96.3 percentile2021 Week 3: Arkansas vs. Georgia Southern · W 45–10; defense 95.1 percentile2021 Week 4: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · W 20–10; defense 91.0 percentile2021 Week 5: Arkansas at Georgia · L 0–37; defense 68.2 percentile2021 Week 6: Arkansas at Ole Miss · L 51–52; defense 11.2 percentile2021 Week 7: Arkansas vs. Auburn · L 23–38; defense 26.9 percentile2021 Week 8: Arkansas vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff · W 45–3; defense 82.8 percentile2021 Week 10: Arkansas vs. Mississippi State · W 31–28; defense 28.2 percentile2021 Week 11: Arkansas at LSU · W 16–13; defense 94.8 percentile2021 Week 12: Arkansas at Alabama · L 35–42; defense 20.6 percentile2021 Week 13: Arkansas vs. Missouri · W 34–17; defense 74.9 percentile2021 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Penn State · W 24–10; defense 47.9 percentile2022 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Cincinnati · W 31–24; defense 28.0 percentile2022 Week 2: Arkansas vs. South Carolina · W 44–30; defense 36.5 percentile2022 Week 3: Arkansas vs. Missouri State · W 38–27; defense 12.1 percentile2022 Week 4: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 21–23; defense 42.1 percentile2022 Week 5: Arkansas vs. Alabama · L 26–49; defense 22.8 percentile2022 Week 6: Arkansas at Mississippi State · L 17–40; defense 5.0 percentile2022 Week 7: Arkansas at BYU · W 52–35; defense 45.6 percentile2022 Week 9: Arkansas at Auburn · W 41–27; defense 37.1 percentile2022 Week 10: Arkansas vs. Liberty · L 19–21; defense 70.6 percentile2022 Week 11: Arkansas vs. LSU · L 10–13; defense 91.9 percentile2022 Week 12: Arkansas vs. Ole Miss · W 42–27; defense 35.1 percentile2022 Week 13: Arkansas at Missouri · L 27–29; defense 13.4 percentile2022 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Kansas · W 55–53; defense 55.7 percentile2023 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Western Carolina · W 56–13; defense 26.2 percentile2023 Week 2: Arkansas vs. Kent State · W 28–6; defense 68.6 percentile2023 Week 3: Arkansas vs. BYU · L 31–38; defense 63.4 percentile2023 Week 4: Arkansas at LSU · L 31–34; defense 13.9 percentile2023 Week 5: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 22–34; defense 42.3 percentile2023 Week 6: Arkansas at Ole Miss · L 20–27; defense 83.3 percentile2023 Week 7: Arkansas at Alabama · L 21–24; defense 56.0 percentile2023 Week 8: Arkansas vs. Mississippi State · L 3–7; defense 94.1 percentile2023 Week 10: Arkansas at Florida · W 39–36; defense 53.7 percentile2023 Week 11: Arkansas vs. Auburn · L 10–48; defense 0.2 percentile2023 Week 12: Arkansas vs. Florida International · W 44–20; defense 27.5 percentile2023 Week 13: Arkansas vs. Missouri · L 14–48; defense 46.9 percentile2024 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff · W 70–0; defense 91.8 percentile2024 Week 2: Arkansas at Oklahoma State · L 31–39; defense 79.9 percentile2024 Week 3: Arkansas vs. UAB · W 37–27; defense 39.8 percentile2024 Week 4: Arkansas at Auburn · W 24–14; defense 39.4 percentile2024 Week 5: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 17–21; defense 92.8 percentile2024 Week 6: Arkansas vs. Tennessee · W 19–14; defense 66.5 percentile2024 Week 8: Arkansas vs. LSU · L 10–34; defense 28.2 percentile2024 Week 9: Arkansas at Mississippi State · W 58–25; defense 42.1 percentile2024 Week 10: Arkansas vs. Ole Miss · L 31–63; defense 12.7 percentile2024 Week 12: Arkansas vs. Texas · L 10–20; defense 84.2 percentile2024 Week 13: Arkansas vs. Louisiana Tech · W 35–14; defense 97.3 percentile2024 Week 14: Arkansas at Missouri · L 21–28; defense 45.8 percentile2024 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Texas Tech · W 39–26; defense 46.8 percentile2025 Week 1: Arkansas vs. Alabama A&M · W 52–7; defense 54.2 percentile2025 Week 3: Arkansas at Ole Miss · L 35–41; defense 28.4 percentile2025 Week 4: Arkansas at Memphis · L 31–32; defense 41.6 percentile2025 Week 5: Arkansas vs. Notre Dame · L 13–56; defense 4.1 percentile2025 Week 7: Arkansas at Tennessee · L 31–34; defense 38.0 percentile2025 Week 8: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M · L 42–45; defense 4.7 percentile2025 Week 9: Arkansas vs. Auburn · L 24–33; defense 25.1 percentile2025 Week 10: Arkansas vs. Mississippi State · L 35–38; defense 24.1 percentile2025 Week 12: Arkansas at LSU · L 22–23; defense 13.1 percentile2025 Week 13: Arkansas at Texas · L 37–52; defense 1.9 percentile2025 Week 14: Arkansas vs. Missouri · L 17–31; defense 19.0 percentile2026 Week 1: Arkansas vs. North Alabama · W 31–14; defense 43.6 percentile2014 defense season mean: 79.0 percentile2015 defense season mean: 47.5 percentile2016 defense season mean: 34.4 percentile2017 defense season mean: 24.2 percentile2018 defense season mean: 38.6 percentile2019 defense season mean: 27.6 percentile2020 defense season mean: 40.8 percentile2021 defense season mean: 66.8 percentile2022 defense season mean: 36.4 percentile2023 defense season mean: 44.0 percentile2024 defense season mean: 63.3 percentile2025 defense season mean: 18.5 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 20.8 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 43.6 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2018Chad Morris
2019Chad Morris / Barry Lunney Jr.
2020Sam Pittman
2025Bobby Petrino / Sam Pittman
2026Ryan Silverfield

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateRyan SilverfieldCoaching change1
69.3 estimate9.1 games-only average
20.8 estimate43.6 games-only average
2025Bobby Petrino / Sam PittmanCoaching change1176.918.5
2024Sam Pittman1372.063.3
2023Sam Pittman1236.744.0
2022Sam Pittman1365.736.4
2021Sam Pittman1264.966.8
2020Sam PittmanCoaching change1041.040.8
2019Chad Morris / Barry Lunney Jr.Coaching change1235.927.6
2018Chad MorrisCoaching change1226.038.6
2017Bret Bielema1255.324.2
2016Bret Bielema1350.534.4
2015Bret Bielema1384.447.5
2014Bret Bielema1369.779.0