2014–2026 performance history

Ball State over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Mid-AmericanHead coach: Mike UremovichView Ball State games →
Offense · 2026 estimate12.7/100

21.2 average through 2 games

11.0 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate25.8/100

14.4 average through 2 games

29.2 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Ball State individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Lembo · ’14–’15Pete Lembo, 2014–2015Neu · ’16–’24Mike Neu, 2016–2024Uremovich · ’25–’26Mike Uremovich, 2025–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Ball State vs. Colgate · W 30–10; offense 40.2 percentile2014 Week 2: Ball State at Iowa · L 13–17; offense 3.6 percentile2014 Week 3: Ball State vs. Indiana State · L 20–27; offense 2.3 percentile2014 Week 4: Ball State at Toledo · L 23–34; offense 39.0 percentile2014 Week 6: Ball State at Army · L 24–33; offense 30.0 percentile2014 Week 7: Ball State vs. Western Michigan · L 38–42; offense 55.2 percentile2014 Week 8: Ball State at Central Michigan · W 32–29; offense 41.7 percentile2014 Week 9: Ball State vs. Akron · W 35–21; offense 38.9 percentile2014 Week 11: Ball State vs. Northern Illinois · L 21–35; offense 18.8 percentile2014 Week 12: Ball State at Massachusetts · L 10–24; offense 6.7 percentile2014 Week 13: Ball State vs. Eastern Michigan · W 45–30; offense 46.5 percentile2014 Week 14: Ball State at Bowling Green · W 41–24; offense 81.6 percentile2015 Week 1: Ball State vs. VMI · W 48–36; offense 35.0 percentile2015 Week 2: Ball State at Texas A&M · L 23–56; offense 49.2 percentile2015 Week 3: Ball State at Eastern Michigan · W 28–17; offense 29.8 percentile2015 Week 4: Ball State at Northwestern · L 19–24; offense 46.6 percentile2015 Week 5: Ball State vs. Toledo · L 10–24; offense 7.2 percentile2015 Week 6: Ball State at Northern Illinois · L 41–59; offense 79.6 percentile2015 Week 7: Ball State vs. Georgia State · L 19–31; offense 42.4 percentile2015 Week 8: Ball State vs. Central Michigan · L 21–23; offense 17.0 percentile2015 Week 9: Ball State vs. Massachusetts · W 20–10; offense 53.3 percentile2015 Week 10: Ball State at Western Michigan · L 7–54; offense 0.5 percentile2015 Week 12: Ball State at Ohio · L 31–48; offense 71.0 percentile2015 Week 13: Ball State vs. Bowling Green · L 10–48; offense 7.3 percentile2016 Week 1: Ball State at Georgia State · W 31–21; offense 65.6 percentile2016 Week 2: Ball State at Indiana · L 20–30; offense 47.0 percentile2016 Week 3: Ball State vs. Eastern Kentucky · W 41–14; offense 33.2 percentile2016 Week 4: Ball State at Florida Atlantic · W 31–27; offense 34.8 percentile2016 Week 5: Ball State vs. Northern Illinois · L 24–31; offense 20.9 percentile2016 Week 6: Ball State at Central Michigan · L 21–24; offense 36.0 percentile2016 Week 7: Ball State at Buffalo · W 31–21; offense 68.8 percentile2016 Week 8: Ball State vs. Akron · L 25–35; offense 68.2 percentile2016 Week 10: Ball State vs. Western Michigan · L 20–52; offense 54.9 percentile2016 Week 11: Ball State vs. Eastern Michigan · L 41–48; offense 60.3 percentile2016 Week 12: Ball State at Toledo · L 19–37; offense 30.3 percentile2016 Week 13: Ball State at Miami (OH) · L 20–21; offense 78.4 percentile2017 Week 1: Ball State at Illinois · L 21–24; offense 33.9 percentile2017 Week 2: Ball State vs. UAB · W 51–31; offense 52.7 percentile2017 Week 3: Ball State vs. Tennessee Tech · W 28–13; offense 32.0 percentile2017 Week 4: Ball State at Western Kentucky · L 21–33; offense 49.1 percentile2017 Week 5: Ball State at Western Michigan · L 3–55; offense 8.4 percentile2017 Week 6: Ball State at Akron · L 3–31; offense 18.2 percentile2017 Week 8: Ball State vs. Central Michigan · L 9–56; offense 10.1 percentile2017 Week 9: Ball State vs. Toledo · L 17–58; offense 13.2 percentile2017 Week 10: Ball State at Eastern Michigan · L 14–56; offense 62.8 percentile2017 Week 11: Ball State at Northern Illinois · L 17–63; offense 29.9 percentile2017 Week 12: Ball State vs. Buffalo · L 24–40; offense 61.0 percentile2017 Week 13: Ball State vs. Miami (OH) · L 7–28; offense 31.4 percentile2018 Week 1: Ball State vs. Central Connecticut · W 42–6; offense 68.5 percentile2018 Week 2: Ball State at Notre Dame · L 16–24; offense 36.5 percentile2018 Week 3: Ball State at Indiana · L 10–38; offense 27.1 percentile2018 Week 4: Ball State vs. Western Kentucky · L 20–28; offense 39.9 percentile2018 Week 5: Ball State vs. Kent State · W 52–24; offense 56.2 percentile2018 Week 6: Ball State vs. Northern Illinois · L 16–24; offense 44.6 percentile2018 Week 7: Ball State at Central Michigan · W 24–23; offense 70.3 percentile2018 Week 8: Ball State vs. Eastern Michigan · L 20–42; offense 53.1 percentile2018 Week 9: Ball State at Ohio · L 14–52; offense 13.5 percentile2018 Week 10: Ball State at Toledo · L 13–45; offense 23.7 percentile2018 Week 12: Ball State vs. Western Michigan · W 42–41; offense 56.5 percentile2018 Week 13: Ball State at Miami (OH) · L 21–42; offense 73.4 percentile2019 Week 1: Ball State vs. Indiana · L 24–34; offense 46.8 percentile2019 Week 2: Ball State vs. Fordham · W 57–29; offense 48.6 percentile2019 Week 3: Ball State vs. Florida Atlantic · L 31–41; offense 48.8 percentile2019 Week 4: Ball State at NC State · L 23–34; offense 18.3 percentile2019 Week 6: Ball State at Northern Illinois · W 27–20; offense 14.3 percentile2019 Week 7: Ball State at Eastern Michigan · W 29–23; offense 55.0 percentile2019 Week 8: Ball State vs. Toledo · W 52–14; offense 96.0 percentile2019 Week 9: Ball State vs. Ohio · L 21–34; offense 50.4 percentile2019 Week 11: Ball State at Western Michigan · L 31–35; offense 74.6 percentile2019 Week 12: Ball State vs. Central Michigan · L 44–45; offense 76.1 percentile2019 Week 13: Ball State at Kent State · L 38–41; offense 69.1 percentile2019 Week 14: Ball State vs. Miami (OH) · W 41–27; offense 84.0 percentile2020 Week 11: Ball State vs. Eastern Michigan · W 38–31; offense 70.9 percentile2020 Week 12: Ball State vs. Northern Illinois · W 31–25; offense 66.8 percentile2020 Week 13: Ball State at Toledo · W 27–24; offense 46.8 percentile2020 Week 14: Ball State at Central Michigan · W 45–20; offense 80.5 percentile2020 Week 15: Ball State vs. Western Michigan · W 30–27; offense 60.6 percentile2020 Week 16: Ball State vs. Buffalo · W 38–28; offense 67.2 percentile2020 Week 1: Ball State vs. San José State · W 34–13; offense 72.3 percentile2021 Week 1: Ball State vs. Western Illinois · W 31–21; offense 20.2 percentile2021 Week 2: Ball State at Penn State · L 13–44; offense 15.5 percentile2021 Week 3: Ball State at Wyoming · L 12–45; offense 36.5 percentile2021 Week 4: Ball State vs. Toledo · L 12–22; offense 34.3 percentile2021 Week 5: Ball State vs. Army · W 28–16; offense 15.6 percentile2021 Week 6: Ball State at Western Michigan · W 45–20; offense 69.2 percentile2021 Week 7: Ball State at Eastern Michigan · W 38–31; offense 74.1 percentile2021 Week 8: Ball State vs. Miami (OH) · L 17–24; offense 43.5 percentile2021 Week 10: Ball State at Akron · W 31–25; offense 22.3 percentile2021 Week 11: Ball State at Northern Illinois · L 29–30; offense 28.4 percentile2021 Week 12: Ball State vs. Central Michigan · L 17–37; offense 32.3 percentile2021 Week 13: Ball State vs. Buffalo · W 20–3; offense 7.8 percentile2021 Week 1: Ball State vs. Georgia State · L 20–51; offense 23.0 percentile2022 Week 1: Ball State at Tennessee · L 10–59; offense 10.7 percentile2022 Week 3: Ball State vs. Murray State · W 31–0; offense 12.5 percentile2022 Week 4: Ball State at Georgia Southern · L 23–34; offense 21.8 percentile2022 Week 6: Ball State at Central Michigan · W 17–16; offense 15.8 percentile2022 Week 7: Ball State vs. UConn · W 25–21; offense 49.5 percentile2022 Week 8: Ball State vs. Eastern Michigan · L 16–20; offense 48.8 percentile2022 Week 10: Ball State at Kent State · W 27–20; offense 48.3 percentile2022 Week 11: Ball State at Toledo · L 21–28; offense 30.8 percentile2022 Week 12: Ball State vs. Ohio · L 18–32; offense 26.3 percentile2023 Week 1: Ball State at Kentucky · L 14–44; offense 12.5 percentile2023 Week 2: Ball State at Georgia · L 3–45; offense 5.5 percentile2023 Week 3: Ball State vs. Indiana State · W 45–7; offense 27.8 percentile2023 Week 4: Ball State vs. Georgia Southern · L 3–40; offense 2.9 percentile2023 Week 5: Ball State at Western Michigan · L 24–42; offense 19.2 percentile2023 Week 6: Ball State at Eastern Michigan · L 10–24; offense 37.1 percentile2023 Week 7: Ball State vs. Toledo · L 6–13; offense 27.9 percentile2023 Week 8: Ball State vs. Central Michigan · W 24–17; offense 73.1 percentile2023 Week 10: Ball State at Bowling Green · L 21–24; offense 52.0 percentile2023 Week 11: Ball State at Northern Illinois · W 20–17; offense 44.6 percentile2023 Week 12: Ball State vs. Kent State · W 34–3; offense 55.1 percentile2023 Week 13: Ball State vs. Miami (OH) · L 15–17; offense 55.0 percentile2024 Week 3: Ball State at Miami · L 0–62; offense 0.3 percentile2024 Week 4: Ball State at Central Michigan · L 34–37; offense 73.6 percentile2024 Week 5: Ball State at James Madison · L 7–63; offense 46.9 percentile2024 Week 6: Ball State vs. Western Michigan · L 42–45; offense 64.0 percentile2024 Week 7: Ball State at Kent State · W 37–35; offense 23.6 percentile2024 Week 8: Ball State at Vanderbilt · L 14–24; offense 25.0 percentile2024 Week 9: Ball State vs. Northern Illinois · W 25–23; offense 69.0 percentile2024 Week 11: Ball State vs. Miami (OH) · L 21–27; offense 49.4 percentile2024 Week 12: Ball State at Buffalo · L 48–51; offense 94.3 percentile2024 Week 13: Ball State vs. Bowling Green · L 13–38; offense 8.8 percentile2024 Week 14: Ball State at Ohio · L 21–42; offense 49.9 percentile2025 Week 1: Ball State at Purdue · L 0–31; offense 1.8 percentile2025 Week 2: Ball State at Auburn · L 3–42; offense 0.2 percentile2025 Week 3: Ball State vs. New Hampshire · W 34–29; offense 66.3 percentile2025 Week 4: Ball State at UConn · L 25–31; offense 44.7 percentile2025 Week 6: Ball State vs. Ohio · W 20–14; offense 17.8 percentile2025 Week 7: Ball State at Western Michigan · L 0–42; offense 0.3 percentile2025 Week 9: Ball State at Northern Illinois · L 7–21; offense 10.7 percentile2025 Week 11: Ball State vs. Kent State · W 17–13; offense 1.4 percentile2025 Week 12: Ball State vs. Eastern Michigan · L 9–24; offense 8.8 percentile2025 Week 13: Ball State at Toledo · L 9–38; offense 57.9 percentile2025 Week 14: Ball State at Miami (OH) · L 24–45; offense 27.5 percentile2026 Week 1: Ball State at Ohio State · L 3–56; offense 12.7 percentile2026 Week 2: Ball State vs. Stony Brook · W 41–17; offense 32.3 percentile2014 offense season mean: 28.6 percentile2015 offense season mean: 30.3 percentile2016 offense season mean: 49.8 percentile2017 offense season mean: 31.1 percentile2018 offense season mean: 46.2 percentile2019 offense season mean: 58.7 percentile2020 offense season mean: 67.0 percentile2021 offense season mean: 30.6 percentile2022 offense season mean: 27.5 percentile2023 offense season mean: 30.2 percentile2024 offense season mean: 40.9 percentile2025 offense season mean: 11.0 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 12.7 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 21.2 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Ball State vs. Colgate · W 30–10; defense 57.9 percentile2014 Week 2: Ball State at Iowa · L 13–17; defense 43.7 percentile2014 Week 3: Ball State vs. Indiana State · L 20–27; defense 25.9 percentile2014 Week 4: Ball State at Toledo · L 23–34; defense 13.6 percentile2014 Week 6: Ball State at Army · L 24–33; defense 12.0 percentile2014 Week 7: Ball State vs. Western Michigan · L 38–42; defense 24.7 percentile2014 Week 8: Ball State at Central Michigan · W 32–29; defense 26.2 percentile2014 Week 9: Ball State vs. Akron · W 35–21; defense 26.1 percentile2014 Week 11: Ball State vs. Northern Illinois · L 21–35; defense 58.9 percentile2014 Week 12: Ball State at Massachusetts · L 10–24; defense 43.2 percentile2014 Week 13: Ball State vs. Eastern Michigan · W 45–30; defense 22.0 percentile2014 Week 14: Ball State at Bowling Green · W 41–24; defense 31.3 percentile2015 Week 1: Ball State vs. VMI · W 48–36; defense 13.5 percentile2015 Week 2: Ball State at Texas A&M · L 23–56; defense 9.3 percentile2015 Week 3: Ball State at Eastern Michigan · W 28–17; defense 82.3 percentile2015 Week 4: Ball State at Northwestern · L 19–24; defense 15.0 percentile2015 Week 5: Ball State vs. Toledo · L 10–24; defense 23.6 percentile2015 Week 6: Ball State at Northern Illinois · L 41–59; defense 1.7 percentile2015 Week 7: Ball State vs. Georgia State · L 19–31; defense 62.5 percentile2015 Week 8: Ball State vs. Central Michigan · L 21–23; defense 47.0 percentile2015 Week 9: Ball State vs. Massachusetts · W 20–10; defense 38.7 percentile2015 Week 10: Ball State at Western Michigan · L 7–54; defense 8.5 percentile2015 Week 12: Ball State at Ohio · L 31–48; defense 5.7 percentile2015 Week 13: Ball State vs. Bowling Green · L 10–48; defense 27.2 percentile2016 Week 1: Ball State at Georgia State · W 31–21; defense 90.2 percentile2016 Week 2: Ball State at Indiana · L 20–30; defense 41.4 percentile2016 Week 3: Ball State vs. Eastern Kentucky · W 41–14; defense 68.1 percentile2016 Week 4: Ball State at Florida Atlantic · W 31–27; defense 71.3 percentile2016 Week 5: Ball State vs. Northern Illinois · L 24–31; defense 26.4 percentile2016 Week 6: Ball State at Central Michigan · L 21–24; defense 61.0 percentile2016 Week 7: Ball State at Buffalo · W 31–21; defense 36.0 percentile2016 Week 8: Ball State vs. Akron · L 25–35; defense 3.3 percentile2016 Week 10: Ball State vs. Western Michigan · L 20–52; defense 17.4 percentile2016 Week 11: Ball State vs. Eastern Michigan · L 41–48; defense 44.7 percentile2016 Week 12: Ball State at Toledo · L 19–37; defense 52.0 percentile2016 Week 13: Ball State at Miami (OH) · L 20–21; defense 36.2 percentile2017 Week 1: Ball State at Illinois · L 21–24; defense 63.4 percentile2017 Week 2: Ball State vs. UAB · W 51–31; defense 16.7 percentile2017 Week 3: Ball State vs. Tennessee Tech · W 28–13; defense 22.2 percentile2017 Week 4: Ball State at Western Kentucky · L 21–33; defense 34.5 percentile2017 Week 5: Ball State at Western Michigan · L 3–55; defense 14.8 percentile2017 Week 6: Ball State at Akron · L 3–31; defense 32.6 percentile2017 Week 8: Ball State vs. Central Michigan · L 9–56; defense 7.4 percentile2017 Week 9: Ball State vs. Toledo · L 17–58; defense 26.8 percentile2017 Week 10: Ball State at Eastern Michigan · L 14–56; defense 1.4 percentile2017 Week 11: Ball State at Northern Illinois · L 17–63; defense 3.7 percentile2017 Week 12: Ball State vs. Buffalo · L 24–40; defense 8.7 percentile2017 Week 13: Ball State vs. Miami (OH) · L 7–28; defense 37.9 percentile2018 Week 1: Ball State vs. Central Connecticut · W 42–6; defense 48.1 percentile2018 Week 2: Ball State at Notre Dame · L 16–24; defense 89.7 percentile2018 Week 3: Ball State at Indiana · L 10–38; defense 29.7 percentile2018 Week 4: Ball State vs. Western Kentucky · L 20–28; defense 8.2 percentile2018 Week 5: Ball State vs. Kent State · W 52–24; defense 36.1 percentile2018 Week 6: Ball State vs. Northern Illinois · L 16–24; defense 24.4 percentile2018 Week 7: Ball State at Central Michigan · W 24–23; defense 14.6 percentile2018 Week 8: Ball State vs. Eastern Michigan · L 20–42; defense 23.4 percentile2018 Week 9: Ball State at Ohio · L 14–52; defense 13.2 percentile2018 Week 10: Ball State at Toledo · L 13–45; defense 17.5 percentile2018 Week 12: Ball State vs. Western Michigan · W 42–41; defense 22.3 percentile2018 Week 13: Ball State at Miami (OH) · L 21–42; defense 4.0 percentile2019 Week 1: Ball State vs. Indiana · L 24–34; defense 37.1 percentile2019 Week 2: Ball State vs. Fordham · W 57–29; defense 23.4 percentile2019 Week 3: Ball State vs. Florida Atlantic · L 31–41; defense 38.9 percentile2019 Week 4: Ball State at NC State · L 23–34; defense 27.2 percentile2019 Week 6: Ball State at Northern Illinois · W 27–20; defense 80.5 percentile2019 Week 7: Ball State at Eastern Michigan · W 29–23; defense 87.1 percentile2019 Week 8: Ball State vs. Toledo · W 52–14; defense 98.0 percentile2019 Week 9: Ball State vs. Ohio · L 21–34; defense 31.2 percentile2019 Week 11: Ball State at Western Michigan · L 31–35; defense 10.2 percentile2019 Week 12: Ball State vs. Central Michigan · L 44–45; defense 8.1 percentile2019 Week 13: Ball State at Kent State · L 38–41; defense 20.5 percentile2019 Week 14: Ball State vs. Miami (OH) · W 41–27; defense 38.9 percentile2020 Week 11: Ball State vs. Eastern Michigan · W 38–31; defense 40.7 percentile2020 Week 12: Ball State vs. Northern Illinois · W 31–25; defense 16.2 percentile2020 Week 13: Ball State at Toledo · W 27–24; defense 82.9 percentile2020 Week 14: Ball State at Central Michigan · W 45–20; defense 86.7 percentile2020 Week 15: Ball State vs. Western Michigan · W 30–27; defense 67.2 percentile2020 Week 16: Ball State vs. Buffalo · W 38–28; defense 82.2 percentile2020 Week 1: Ball State vs. San José State · W 34–13; defense 91.4 percentile2021 Week 1: Ball State vs. Western Illinois · W 31–21; defense 30.6 percentile2021 Week 2: Ball State at Penn State · L 13–44; defense 8.0 percentile2021 Week 3: Ball State at Wyoming · L 12–45; defense 31.6 percentile2021 Week 4: Ball State vs. Toledo · L 12–22; defense 41.1 percentile2021 Week 5: Ball State vs. Army · W 28–16; defense 87.3 percentile2021 Week 6: Ball State at Western Michigan · W 45–20; defense 87.0 percentile2021 Week 7: Ball State at Eastern Michigan · W 38–31; defense 37.4 percentile2021 Week 8: Ball State vs. Miami (OH) · L 17–24; defense 28.3 percentile2021 Week 10: Ball State at Akron · W 31–25; defense 40.2 percentile2021 Week 11: Ball State at Northern Illinois · L 29–30; defense 44.1 percentile2021 Week 12: Ball State vs. Central Michigan · L 17–37; defense 7.8 percentile2021 Week 13: Ball State vs. Buffalo · W 20–3; defense 71.0 percentile2021 Week 1: Ball State vs. Georgia State · L 20–51; defense 8.3 percentile2022 Week 1: Ball State at Tennessee · L 10–59; defense 32.2 percentile2022 Week 3: Ball State vs. Murray State · W 31–0; defense 70.4 percentile2022 Week 4: Ball State at Georgia Southern · L 23–34; defense 28.3 percentile2022 Week 6: Ball State at Central Michigan · W 17–16; defense 93.2 percentile2022 Week 7: Ball State vs. UConn · W 25–21; defense 19.8 percentile2022 Week 8: Ball State vs. Eastern Michigan · L 16–20; defense 41.8 percentile2022 Week 10: Ball State at Kent State · W 27–20; defense 66.2 percentile2022 Week 11: Ball State at Toledo · L 21–28; defense 70.8 percentile2022 Week 12: Ball State vs. Ohio · L 18–32; defense 45.3 percentile2023 Week 1: Ball State at Kentucky · L 14–44; defense 23.4 percentile2023 Week 2: Ball State at Georgia · L 3–45; defense 58.7 percentile2023 Week 3: Ball State vs. Indiana State · W 45–7; defense 28.1 percentile2023 Week 4: Ball State vs. Georgia Southern · L 3–40; defense 10.6 percentile2023 Week 5: Ball State at Western Michigan · L 24–42; defense 11.8 percentile2023 Week 6: Ball State at Eastern Michigan · L 10–24; defense 37.2 percentile2023 Week 7: Ball State vs. Toledo · L 6–13; defense 51.7 percentile2023 Week 8: Ball State vs. Central Michigan · W 24–17; defense 69.9 percentile2023 Week 10: Ball State at Bowling Green · L 21–24; defense 37.9 percentile2023 Week 11: Ball State at Northern Illinois · W 20–17; defense 55.3 percentile2023 Week 12: Ball State vs. Kent State · W 34–3; defense 90.8 percentile2023 Week 13: Ball State vs. Miami (OH) · L 15–17; defense 89.5 percentile2024 Week 3: Ball State at Miami · L 0–62; defense 5.6 percentile2024 Week 4: Ball State at Central Michigan · L 34–37; defense 8.2 percentile2024 Week 5: Ball State at James Madison · L 7–63; defense 0.6 percentile2024 Week 6: Ball State vs. Western Michigan · L 42–45; defense 11.5 percentile2024 Week 7: Ball State at Kent State · W 37–35; defense 4.0 percentile2024 Week 8: Ball State at Vanderbilt · L 14–24; defense 13.3 percentile2024 Week 9: Ball State vs. Northern Illinois · W 25–23; defense 26.1 percentile2024 Week 11: Ball State vs. Miami (OH) · L 21–27; defense 23.7 percentile2024 Week 12: Ball State at Buffalo · L 48–51; defense 14.8 percentile2024 Week 13: Ball State vs. Bowling Green · L 13–38; defense 45.4 percentile2024 Week 14: Ball State at Ohio · L 21–42; defense 7.0 percentile2025 Week 1: Ball State at Purdue · L 0–31; defense 22.7 percentile2025 Week 2: Ball State at Auburn · L 3–42; defense 10.5 percentile2025 Week 3: Ball State vs. New Hampshire · W 34–29; defense 5.5 percentile2025 Week 4: Ball State at UConn · L 25–31; defense 49.0 percentile2025 Week 6: Ball State vs. Ohio · W 20–14; defense 72.5 percentile2025 Week 7: Ball State at Western Michigan · L 0–42; defense 29.0 percentile2025 Week 9: Ball State at Northern Illinois · L 7–21; defense 31.7 percentile2025 Week 11: Ball State vs. Kent State · W 17–13; defense 71.5 percentile2025 Week 12: Ball State vs. Eastern Michigan · L 9–24; defense 38.8 percentile2025 Week 13: Ball State at Toledo · L 9–38; defense 26.1 percentile2025 Week 14: Ball State at Miami (OH) · L 24–45; defense 5.6 percentile2026 Week 1: Ball State at Ohio State · L 3–56; defense 10.9 percentile2026 Week 2: Ball State vs. Stony Brook · W 41–17; defense 18.6 percentile2014 defense season mean: 30.7 percentile2015 defense season mean: 22.7 percentile2016 defense season mean: 44.0 percentile2017 defense season mean: 18.0 percentile2018 defense season mean: 25.0 percentile2019 defense season mean: 42.8 percentile2020 defense season mean: 69.5 percentile2021 defense season mean: 38.3 percentile2022 defense season mean: 53.5 percentile2023 defense season mean: 47.1 percentile2024 defense season mean: 10.9 percentile2025 defense season mean: 29.2 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 25.8 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 14.4 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2016Mike Neu
2024Mike Neu / Colin Johnson
2025Mike Uremovich

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateMike Uremovich2
12.7 estimate21.2 games-only average
25.8 estimate14.4 games-only average
2025Mike UremovichCoaching change1111.029.2
2024Mike Neu / Colin JohnsonCoaching change1140.910.9
2023Mike Neu1230.247.1
2022Mike Neu927.553.5
2021Mike Neu1330.638.3
2020Mike Neu767.069.5
2019Mike Neu1258.742.8
2018Mike Neu1246.225.0
2017Mike Neu1231.118.0
2016Mike NeuCoaching change1249.844.0
2015Pete Lembo1230.322.7
2014Pete Lembo1228.630.7