2014–2026 performance history

BYU over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Big 12Head coach: Kalani SitakeView BYU games →
Offense · 2026 estimate75.3/100

89.4 average through 2 games

70.7 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate68.0/100

64.1 average through 2 games

68.9 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

BYU individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Mendenhall · ’14–’15Bronco Mendenhall, 2014–2015Sitake · ’16–’26Kalani Sitake, 2016–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: BYU at UConn · W 35–10; offense 94.8 percentile2014 Week 2: BYU at Texas · W 41–7; offense 75.4 percentile2014 Week 3: BYU vs. Houston · W 33–25; offense 87.8 percentile2014 Week 4: BYU vs. Virginia · W 41–33; offense 81.1 percentile2014 Week 6: BYU vs. Utah State · L 20–35; offense 71.8 percentile2014 Week 7: BYU at UCF · L 24–31; offense 52.7 percentile2014 Week 8: BYU vs. Nevada · L 35–42; offense 82.0 percentile2014 Week 9: BYU at Boise State · L 30–55; offense 33.4 percentile2014 Week 10: BYU at Middle Tennessee · W 27–7; offense 28.0 percentile2014 Week 12: BYU vs. UNLV · W 42–23; offense 72.9 percentile2014 Week 13: BYU vs. Savannah State · W 64–0; offense 31.1 percentile2014 Week 14: BYU at California · W 42–35; offense 77.0 percentile2014 Week 1: BYU vs. Memphis · L 48–55; offense 43.2 percentile2015 Week 1: BYU at Nebraska · W 33–28; offense 67.2 percentile2015 Week 2: BYU vs. Boise State · W 35–24; offense 57.1 percentile2015 Week 3: BYU at UCLA · L 23–24; offense 52.0 percentile2015 Week 4: BYU at Michigan · L 0–31; offense 5.7 percentile2015 Week 5: BYU vs. UConn · W 30–13; offense 69.3 percentile2015 Week 6: BYU vs. East Carolina · W 45–38; offense 83.3 percentile2015 Week 7: BYU vs. Cincinnati · W 38–24; offense 78.6 percentile2015 Week 8: BYU vs. Wagner · W 70–6; offense 86.9 percentile2015 Week 10: BYU at San José State · W 17–16; offense 46.3 percentile2015 Week 11: BYU vs. Missouri · L 16–20; offense 55.6 percentile2015 Week 12: BYU vs. Fresno State · W 52–10; offense 39.4 percentile2015 Week 13: BYU at Utah State · W 51–28; offense 54.9 percentile2015 Week 1: BYU vs. Utah · L 28–35; offense 48.4 percentile2016 Week 2: BYU at Utah · L 19–20; offense 46.1 percentile2016 Week 3: BYU vs. UCLA · L 14–17; offense 5.8 percentile2016 Week 4: BYU vs. West Virginia · L 32–35; offense 98.0 percentile2016 Week 5: BYU vs. Toledo · W 55–53; offense 95.7 percentile2016 Week 6: BYU at Michigan State · W 31–14; offense 71.6 percentile2016 Week 7: BYU vs. Mississippi State · W 28–21; offense 10.7 percentile2016 Week 8: BYU at Boise State · L 27–28; offense 18.1 percentile2016 Week 10: BYU at Cincinnati · W 20–3; offense 55.7 percentile2016 Week 11: BYU vs. Southern Utah · W 37–7; offense 39.3 percentile2016 Week 12: BYU vs. Massachusetts · W 51–9; offense 70.9 percentile2016 Week 13: BYU vs. Utah State · W 28–10; offense 61.4 percentile2016 Week 1: BYU vs. Wyoming · W 24–21; offense 45.9 percentile2017 Week 1: BYU vs. Portland State · W 20–6; offense 12.1 percentile2017 Week 1: BYU vs. LSU · L 0–27; offense 0.5 percentile2017 Week 2: BYU vs. Utah · L 13–19; offense 35.5 percentile2017 Week 3: BYU vs. Wisconsin · L 6–40; offense 42.4 percentile2017 Week 5: BYU at Utah State · L 24–40; offense 37.4 percentile2017 Week 6: BYU vs. Boise State · L 7–24; offense 23.2 percentile2017 Week 7: BYU at Mississippi State · L 10–35; offense 14.3 percentile2017 Week 8: BYU at East Carolina · L 17–33; offense 9.3 percentile2017 Week 9: BYU vs. San José State · W 41–20; offense 57.5 percentile2017 Week 10: BYU at Fresno State · L 13–20; offense 62.4 percentile2017 Week 11: BYU at UNLV · W 31–21; offense 70.7 percentile2017 Week 12: BYU vs. Massachusetts · L 10–16; offense 18.8 percentile2017 Week 13: BYU at Hawai'i · W 30–20; offense 53.2 percentile2018 Week 1: BYU at Arizona · W 28–23; offense 70.1 percentile2018 Week 2: BYU vs. California · L 18–21; offense 10.5 percentile2018 Week 3: BYU at Wisconsin · W 24–21; offense 76.1 percentile2018 Week 4: BYU vs. McNeese · W 30–3; offense 6.9 percentile2018 Week 5: BYU at Washington · L 7–35; offense 7.2 percentile2018 Week 6: BYU vs. Utah State · L 20–45; offense 31.9 percentile2018 Week 7: BYU vs. Hawai'i · W 49–23; offense 87.8 percentile2018 Week 9: BYU vs. Northern Illinois · L 6–7; offense 22.7 percentile2018 Week 10: BYU at Boise State · L 16–21; offense 42.6 percentile2018 Week 11: BYU at Massachusetts · W 35–16; offense 27.6 percentile2018 Week 12: BYU vs. New Mexico State · W 45–10; offense 60.6 percentile2018 Week 13: BYU at Utah · L 27–35; offense 54.3 percentile2018 Week 1: BYU vs. Western Michigan · W 49–18; offense 93.8 percentile2019 Week 1: BYU vs. Utah · L 12–30; offense 45.0 percentile2019 Week 2: BYU at Tennessee · W 29–26; offense 28.4 percentile2019 Week 3: BYU vs. USC · W 30–27; offense 46.3 percentile2019 Week 4: BYU vs. Washington · L 19–45; offense 34.7 percentile2019 Week 5: BYU at Toledo · L 21–28; offense 18.8 percentile2019 Week 8: BYU vs. Boise State · W 28–25; offense 48.9 percentile2019 Week 10: BYU at Utah State · W 42–14; offense 97.8 percentile2019 Week 11: BYU vs. Liberty · W 31–24; offense 78.3 percentile2019 Week 12: BYU vs. Idaho State · W 42–10; offense 45.2 percentile2019 Week 13: BYU at Massachusetts · W 56–24; offense 89.1 percentile2019 Week 14: BYU at San Diego State · L 3–13; offense 52.5 percentile2019 Week 1: BYU vs. Hawai'i · L 34–38; offense 49.5 percentile2020 Week 1: BYU at Navy · W 55–3; offense 96.9 percentile2020 Week 4: BYU vs. Troy · W 48–7; offense 94.1 percentile2020 Week 5: BYU vs. Louisiana Tech · W 45–14; offense 88.4 percentile2020 Week 6: BYU vs. UTSA · W 27–20; offense 73.9 percentile2020 Week 7: BYU at Houston · W 43–26; offense 70.6 percentile2020 Week 8: BYU vs. Texas State · W 52–14; offense 87.2 percentile2020 Week 9: BYU vs. Western Kentucky · W 41–10; offense 84.0 percentile2020 Week 10: BYU at Boise State · W 51–17; offense 95.4 percentile2020 Week 12: BYU vs. North Alabama · W 66–14; offense 89.8 percentile2020 Week 14: BYU at Coastal Carolina · L 17–22; offense 70.0 percentile2020 Week 15: BYU vs. San Diego State · W 28–14; offense 95.0 percentile2020 Week 1: BYU vs. UCF · W 49–23; offense 98.4 percentile2021 Week 1: BYU vs. Arizona · W 24–16; offense 47.9 percentile2021 Week 2: BYU vs. Utah · W 26–17; offense 57.6 percentile2021 Week 3: BYU vs. Arizona State · W 27–17; offense 53.8 percentile2021 Week 4: BYU vs. South Florida · W 35–27; offense 90.8 percentile2021 Week 5: BYU at Utah State · W 34–20; offense 87.5 percentile2021 Week 6: BYU vs. Boise State · L 17–26; offense 66.0 percentile2021 Week 7: BYU at Baylor · L 24–38; offense 65.6 percentile2021 Week 8: BYU at Washington State · W 21–19; offense 82.7 percentile2021 Week 9: BYU vs. Virginia · W 66–49; offense 98.0 percentile2021 Week 10: BYU vs. Idaho State · W 59–14; offense 73.7 percentile2021 Week 12: BYU at Georgia Southern · W 34–17; offense 89.4 percentile2021 Week 13: BYU at USC · W 35–31; offense 81.3 percentile2021 Week 1: BYU vs. UAB · L 28–31; offense 67.4 percentile2022 Week 1: BYU at South Florida · W 50–21; offense 74.3 percentile2022 Week 2: BYU vs. Baylor · W 26–20; offense 17.1 percentile2022 Week 3: BYU at Oregon · L 20–41; offense 15.1 percentile2022 Week 4: BYU vs. Wyoming · W 38–24; offense 88.9 percentile2022 Week 5: BYU vs. Utah State · W 38–26; offense 58.2 percentile2022 Week 6: BYU vs. Notre Dame · L 20–28; offense 79.3 percentile2022 Week 7: BYU vs. Arkansas · L 35–52; offense 57.8 percentile2022 Week 8: BYU at Liberty · L 14–41; offense 44.9 percentile2022 Week 9: BYU vs. East Carolina · L 24–27; offense 60.1 percentile2022 Week 12: BYU vs. Utah Tech · W 52–26; offense 63.0 percentile2022 Week 13: BYU at Stanford · W 35–26; offense 99.0 percentile2022 Week 1: BYU vs. SMU · W 24–23; offense 38.9 percentile2023 Week 1: BYU vs. Sam Houston · W 14–0; offense 16.6 percentile2023 Week 2: BYU vs. Southern Utah · W 41–16; offense 38.7 percentile2023 Week 3: BYU at Arkansas · W 38–31; offense 24.3 percentile2023 Week 4: BYU at Kansas · L 27–38; offense 51.9 percentile2023 Week 5: BYU vs. Cincinnati · W 35–27; offense 38.5 percentile2023 Week 7: BYU at TCU · L 11–44; offense 3.2 percentile2023 Week 8: BYU vs. Texas Tech · W 27–14; offense 43.0 percentile2023 Week 9: BYU at Texas · L 6–35; offense 39.6 percentile2023 Week 10: BYU at West Virginia · L 7–37; offense 16.0 percentile2023 Week 11: BYU vs. Iowa State · L 13–45; offense 47.2 percentile2023 Week 12: BYU vs. Oklahoma · L 24–31; offense 85.2 percentile2023 Week 13: BYU at Oklahoma State · L 34–40; offense 38.9 percentile2024 Week 1: BYU vs. Southern Illinois · W 41–13; offense 50.4 percentile2024 Week 2: BYU at SMU · W 18–15; offense 46.0 percentile2024 Week 3: BYU at Wyoming · W 34–14; offense 65.9 percentile2024 Week 4: BYU vs. Kansas State · W 38–9; offense 62.8 percentile2024 Week 5: BYU at Baylor · W 34–28; offense 61.2 percentile2024 Week 7: BYU vs. Arizona · W 41–19; offense 42.9 percentile2024 Week 8: BYU vs. Oklahoma State · W 38–35; offense 86.5 percentile2024 Week 9: BYU at UCF · W 37–24; offense 95.4 percentile2024 Week 11: BYU at Utah · W 22–21; offense 18.8 percentile2024 Week 12: BYU vs. Kansas · L 13–17; offense 22.8 percentile2024 Week 13: BYU at Arizona State · L 23–28; offense 88.4 percentile2024 Week 14: BYU vs. Houston · W 30–18; offense 74.5 percentile2024 Week 1: BYU vs. Colorado · W 36–14; offense 73.4 percentile2025 Week 1: BYU vs. Portland State · W 69–0; offense 95.1 percentile2025 Week 2: BYU vs. Stanford · W 27–3; offense 31.7 percentile2025 Week 4: BYU at East Carolina · W 34–13; offense 77.1 percentile2025 Week 5: BYU at Colorado · W 24–21; offense 57.5 percentile2025 Week 6: BYU vs. West Virginia · W 38–24; offense 73.7 percentile2025 Week 7: BYU at Arizona · W 33–27; offense 85.4 percentile2025 Week 8: BYU vs. Utah · W 24–21; offense 53.4 percentile2025 Week 9: BYU at Iowa State · W 41–27; offense 78.8 percentile2025 Week 11: BYU at Texas Tech · L 7–29; offense 28.6 percentile2025 Week 12: BYU vs. TCU · W 44–13; offense 90.0 percentile2025 Week 13: BYU at Cincinnati · W 26–14; offense 70.9 percentile2025 Week 14: BYU vs. UCF · W 41–21; offense 87.2 percentile2025 Week 15: BYU vs. Texas Tech · L 7–34; offense 51.3 percentile2025 Week 1: BYU vs. Georgia Tech · W 25–21; offense 68.7 percentile2026 Week 1: BYU vs. Utah Tech · W 63–7; offense 85.0 percentile2026 Week 2: BYU vs. Arizona · W 28–17; offense 92.7 percentile2014 offense season mean: 66.7 percentile2015 offense season mean: 57.1 percentile2016 offense season mean: 53.8 percentile2017 offense season mean: 28.2 percentile2018 offense season mean: 44.3 percentile2019 offense season mean: 56.1 percentile2020 offense season mean: 89.8 percentile2021 offense season mean: 77.3 percentile2022 offense season mean: 61.8 percentile2023 offense season mean: 34.5 percentile2024 offense season mean: 63.2 percentile2025 offense season mean: 70.7 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 75.3 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 89.4 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: BYU at UConn · W 35–10; defense 55.9 percentile2014 Week 2: BYU at Texas · W 41–7; defense 91.1 percentile2014 Week 3: BYU vs. Houston · W 33–25; defense 75.4 percentile2014 Week 4: BYU vs. Virginia · W 41–33; defense 37.1 percentile2014 Week 6: BYU vs. Utah State · L 20–35; defense 36.4 percentile2014 Week 7: BYU at UCF · L 24–31; defense 84.3 percentile2014 Week 8: BYU vs. Nevada · L 35–42; defense 32.3 percentile2014 Week 9: BYU at Boise State · L 30–55; defense 6.3 percentile2014 Week 10: BYU at Middle Tennessee · W 27–7; defense 79.7 percentile2014 Week 12: BYU vs. UNLV · W 42–23; defense 50.3 percentile2014 Week 13: BYU vs. Savannah State · W 64–0; defense 90.2 percentile2014 Week 14: BYU at California · W 42–35; defense 30.3 percentile2014 Week 1: BYU vs. Memphis · L 48–55; defense 34.6 percentile2015 Week 1: BYU at Nebraska · W 33–28; defense 80.0 percentile2015 Week 2: BYU vs. Boise State · W 35–24; defense 86.0 percentile2015 Week 3: BYU at UCLA · L 23–24; defense 40.5 percentile2015 Week 4: BYU at Michigan · L 0–31; defense 25.7 percentile2015 Week 5: BYU vs. UConn · W 30–13; defense 73.3 percentile2015 Week 6: BYU vs. East Carolina · W 45–38; defense 37.5 percentile2015 Week 7: BYU vs. Cincinnati · W 38–24; defense 80.3 percentile2015 Week 8: BYU vs. Wagner · W 70–6; defense 73.6 percentile2015 Week 10: BYU at San José State · W 17–16; defense 94.9 percentile2015 Week 11: BYU vs. Missouri · L 16–20; defense 26.0 percentile2015 Week 12: BYU vs. Fresno State · W 52–10; defense 80.8 percentile2015 Week 13: BYU at Utah State · W 51–28; defense 60.9 percentile2015 Week 1: BYU vs. Utah · L 28–35; defense 83.4 percentile2016 Week 2: BYU at Utah · L 19–20; defense 67.3 percentile2016 Week 3: BYU vs. UCLA · L 14–17; defense 83.4 percentile2016 Week 4: BYU vs. West Virginia · L 32–35; defense 39.6 percentile2016 Week 5: BYU vs. Toledo · W 55–53; defense 14.3 percentile2016 Week 6: BYU at Michigan State · W 31–14; defense 72.8 percentile2016 Week 7: BYU vs. Mississippi State · W 28–21; defense 86.2 percentile2016 Week 8: BYU at Boise State · L 27–28; defense 34.2 percentile2016 Week 10: BYU at Cincinnati · W 20–3; defense 69.4 percentile2016 Week 11: BYU vs. Southern Utah · W 37–7; defense 65.1 percentile2016 Week 12: BYU vs. Massachusetts · W 51–9; defense 68.2 percentile2016 Week 13: BYU vs. Utah State · W 28–10; defense 85.8 percentile2016 Week 1: BYU vs. Wyoming · W 24–21; defense 69.1 percentile2017 Week 1: BYU vs. Portland State · W 20–6; defense 52.2 percentile2017 Week 1: BYU vs. LSU · L 0–27; defense 16.9 percentile2017 Week 2: BYU vs. Utah · L 13–19; defense 79.7 percentile2017 Week 3: BYU vs. Wisconsin · L 6–40; defense 5.4 percentile2017 Week 5: BYU at Utah State · L 24–40; defense 82.1 percentile2017 Week 6: BYU vs. Boise State · L 7–24; defense 54.1 percentile2017 Week 7: BYU at Mississippi State · L 10–35; defense 4.3 percentile2017 Week 8: BYU at East Carolina · L 17–33; defense 25.9 percentile2017 Week 9: BYU vs. San José State · W 41–20; defense 50.5 percentile2017 Week 10: BYU at Fresno State · L 13–20; defense 42.7 percentile2017 Week 11: BYU at UNLV · W 31–21; defense 55.5 percentile2017 Week 12: BYU vs. Massachusetts · L 10–16; defense 89.2 percentile2017 Week 13: BYU at Hawai'i · W 30–20; defense 87.7 percentile2018 Week 1: BYU at Arizona · W 28–23; defense 69.3 percentile2018 Week 2: BYU vs. California · L 18–21; defense 18.9 percentile2018 Week 3: BYU at Wisconsin · W 24–21; defense 66.7 percentile2018 Week 4: BYU vs. McNeese · W 30–3; defense 51.7 percentile2018 Week 5: BYU at Washington · L 7–35; defense 2.3 percentile2018 Week 6: BYU vs. Utah State · L 20–45; defense 32.9 percentile2018 Week 7: BYU vs. Hawai'i · W 49–23; defense 64.5 percentile2018 Week 9: BYU vs. Northern Illinois · L 6–7; defense 93.0 percentile2018 Week 10: BYU at Boise State · L 16–21; defense 79.5 percentile2018 Week 11: BYU at Massachusetts · W 35–16; defense 87.3 percentile2018 Week 12: BYU vs. New Mexico State · W 45–10; defense 82.4 percentile2018 Week 13: BYU at Utah · L 27–35; defense 51.7 percentile2018 Week 1: BYU vs. Western Michigan · W 49–18; defense 76.7 percentile2019 Week 1: BYU vs. Utah · L 12–30; defense 51.4 percentile2019 Week 2: BYU at Tennessee · W 29–26; defense 60.1 percentile2019 Week 3: BYU vs. USC · W 30–27; defense 45.9 percentile2019 Week 4: BYU vs. Washington · L 19–45; defense 8.3 percentile2019 Week 5: BYU at Toledo · L 21–28; defense 48.5 percentile2019 Week 8: BYU vs. Boise State · W 28–25; defense 58.7 percentile2019 Week 10: BYU at Utah State · W 42–14; defense 27.9 percentile2019 Week 11: BYU vs. Liberty · W 31–24; defense 50.0 percentile2019 Week 12: BYU vs. Idaho State · W 42–10; defense 41.9 percentile2019 Week 13: BYU at Massachusetts · W 56–24; defense 79.3 percentile2019 Week 14: BYU at San Diego State · L 3–13; defense 82.1 percentile2019 Week 1: BYU vs. Hawai'i · L 34–38; defense 56.6 percentile2020 Week 1: BYU at Navy · W 55–3; defense 93.7 percentile2020 Week 4: BYU vs. Troy · W 48–7; defense 95.4 percentile2020 Week 5: BYU vs. Louisiana Tech · W 45–14; defense 54.6 percentile2020 Week 6: BYU vs. UTSA · W 27–20; defense 85.1 percentile2020 Week 7: BYU at Houston · W 43–26; defense 62.8 percentile2020 Week 8: BYU vs. Texas State · W 52–14; defense 83.0 percentile2020 Week 9: BYU vs. Western Kentucky · W 41–10; defense 36.4 percentile2020 Week 10: BYU at Boise State · W 51–17; defense 82.7 percentile2020 Week 12: BYU vs. North Alabama · W 66–14; defense 45.3 percentile2020 Week 14: BYU at Coastal Carolina · L 17–22; defense 66.4 percentile2020 Week 15: BYU vs. San Diego State · W 28–14; defense 44.6 percentile2020 Week 1: BYU vs. UCF · W 49–23; defense 80.6 percentile2021 Week 1: BYU vs. Arizona · W 24–16; defense 48.0 percentile2021 Week 2: BYU vs. Utah · W 26–17; defense 62.3 percentile2021 Week 3: BYU vs. Arizona State · W 27–17; defense 45.7 percentile2021 Week 4: BYU vs. South Florida · W 35–27; defense 45.1 percentile2021 Week 5: BYU at Utah State · W 34–20; defense 88.4 percentile2021 Week 6: BYU vs. Boise State · L 17–26; defense 51.8 percentile2021 Week 7: BYU at Baylor · L 24–38; defense 15.1 percentile2021 Week 8: BYU at Washington State · W 21–19; defense 37.0 percentile2021 Week 9: BYU vs. Virginia · W 66–49; defense 4.7 percentile2021 Week 10: BYU vs. Idaho State · W 59–14; defense 48.8 percentile2021 Week 12: BYU at Georgia Southern · W 34–17; defense 49.2 percentile2021 Week 13: BYU at USC · W 35–31; defense 51.7 percentile2021 Week 1: BYU vs. UAB · L 28–31; defense 15.7 percentile2022 Week 1: BYU at South Florida · W 50–21; defense 86.3 percentile2022 Week 2: BYU vs. Baylor · W 26–20; defense 58.2 percentile2022 Week 3: BYU at Oregon · L 20–41; defense 37.4 percentile2022 Week 4: BYU vs. Wyoming · W 38–24; defense 35.0 percentile2022 Week 5: BYU vs. Utah State · W 38–26; defense 41.6 percentile2022 Week 6: BYU vs. Notre Dame · L 20–28; defense 17.2 percentile2022 Week 7: BYU vs. Arkansas · L 35–52; defense 1.4 percentile2022 Week 8: BYU at Liberty · L 14–41; defense 4.6 percentile2022 Week 9: BYU vs. East Carolina · L 24–27; defense 31.6 percentile2022 Week 12: BYU vs. Utah Tech · W 52–26; defense 12.5 percentile2022 Week 13: BYU at Stanford · W 35–26; defense 14.1 percentile2022 Week 1: BYU vs. SMU · W 24–23; defense 58.0 percentile2023 Week 1: BYU vs. Sam Houston · W 14–0; defense 87.4 percentile2023 Week 2: BYU vs. Southern Utah · W 41–16; defense 22.8 percentile2023 Week 3: BYU at Arkansas · W 38–31; defense 63.1 percentile2023 Week 4: BYU at Kansas · L 27–38; defense 38.8 percentile2023 Week 5: BYU vs. Cincinnati · W 35–27; defense 22.1 percentile2023 Week 7: BYU at TCU · L 11–44; defense 23.5 percentile2023 Week 8: BYU vs. Texas Tech · W 27–14; defense 65.9 percentile2023 Week 9: BYU at Texas · L 6–35; defense 65.7 percentile2023 Week 10: BYU at West Virginia · L 7–37; defense 9.5 percentile2023 Week 11: BYU vs. Iowa State · L 13–45; defense 2.5 percentile2023 Week 12: BYU vs. Oklahoma · L 24–31; defense 73.3 percentile2023 Week 13: BYU at Oklahoma State · L 34–40; defense 49.8 percentile2024 Week 1: BYU vs. Southern Illinois · W 41–13; defense 16.1 percentile2024 Week 2: BYU at SMU · W 18–15; defense 97.7 percentile2024 Week 3: BYU at Wyoming · W 34–14; defense 94.2 percentile2024 Week 4: BYU vs. Kansas State · W 38–9; defense 76.6 percentile2024 Week 5: BYU at Baylor · W 34–28; defense 80.7 percentile2024 Week 7: BYU vs. Arizona · W 41–19; defense 53.9 percentile2024 Week 8: BYU vs. Oklahoma State · W 38–35; defense 1.5 percentile2024 Week 9: BYU at UCF · W 37–24; defense 68.2 percentile2024 Week 11: BYU at Utah · W 22–21; defense 39.5 percentile2024 Week 12: BYU vs. Kansas · L 13–17; defense 91.5 percentile2024 Week 13: BYU at Arizona State · L 23–28; defense 65.3 percentile2024 Week 14: BYU vs. Houston · W 30–18; defense 41.2 percentile2024 Week 1: BYU vs. Colorado · W 36–14; defense 84.4 percentile2025 Week 1: BYU vs. Portland State · W 69–0; defense 95.3 percentile2025 Week 2: BYU vs. Stanford · W 27–3; defense 97.4 percentile2025 Week 4: BYU at East Carolina · W 34–13; defense 89.9 percentile2025 Week 5: BYU at Colorado · W 24–21; defense 37.3 percentile2025 Week 6: BYU vs. West Virginia · W 38–24; defense 42.5 percentile2025 Week 7: BYU at Arizona · W 33–27; defense 71.0 percentile2025 Week 8: BYU vs. Utah · W 24–21; defense 84.8 percentile2025 Week 9: BYU at Iowa State · W 41–27; defense 13.7 percentile2025 Week 11: BYU at Texas Tech · L 7–29; defense 80.6 percentile2025 Week 12: BYU vs. TCU · W 44–13; defense 52.7 percentile2025 Week 13: BYU at Cincinnati · W 26–14; defense 87.7 percentile2025 Week 14: BYU vs. UCF · W 41–21; defense 26.2 percentile2025 Week 15: BYU vs. Texas Tech · L 7–34; defense 61.3 percentile2025 Week 1: BYU vs. Georgia Tech · W 25–21; defense 62.3 percentile2026 Week 1: BYU vs. Utah Tech · W 63–7; defense 64.5 percentile2026 Week 2: BYU vs. Arizona · W 28–17; defense 63.6 percentile2014 defense season mean: 55.4 percentile2015 defense season mean: 67.6 percentile2016 defense season mean: 64.0 percentile2017 defense season mean: 48.0 percentile2018 defense season mean: 59.6 percentile2019 defense season mean: 50.3 percentile2020 defense season mean: 72.8 percentile2021 defense season mean: 41.5 percentile2022 defense season mean: 28.1 percentile2023 defense season mean: 40.5 percentile2024 defense season mean: 64.6 percentile2025 defense season mean: 68.9 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 68.0 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 64.1 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2016Kalani Sitake

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateKalani Sitake2
75.3 estimate89.4 games-only average
68.0 estimate64.1 games-only average
2025Kalani Sitake1470.768.9
2024Kalani Sitake1363.264.6
2023Kalani Sitake1234.540.5
2022Kalani Sitake1261.828.1
2021Kalani Sitake1377.341.5
2020Kalani Sitake1289.872.8
2019Kalani Sitake1256.150.3
2018Kalani Sitake1344.359.6
2017Kalani Sitake1328.248.0
2016Kalani SitakeCoaching change1253.864.0
2015Bronco Mendenhall1357.167.6
2014Bronco Mendenhall1366.755.4