2014–2026 performance history

Colorado State over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Pac-12Head coach: Jim MoraView Colorado State games →
Offense · 2026 estimate30.6/100

60.9 average through 1 game

27.2 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate25.4/100

30.9 average through 1 game

24.8 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Colorado State individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.McElwainJim McElwain, 2014Bobo · ’15–’19Mike Bobo, 2015–2019Addazio · ’20–’21Steve Addazio, 2020–2021Norvell · ’22–’25Jay Norvell, 2022–2025MoraJim Mora, 2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Colorado · W 31–17; offense 68.0 percentile2014 Week 2: Colorado State at Boise State · L 24–37; offense 53.0 percentile2014 Week 3: Colorado State vs. UC Davis · W 49–21; offense 73.5 percentile2014 Week 5: Colorado State at Boston College · W 24–21; offense 94.4 percentile2014 Week 6: Colorado State vs. Tulsa · W 42–17; offense 70.2 percentile2014 Week 7: Colorado State at Nevada · W 31–24; offense 57.1 percentile2014 Week 8: Colorado State vs. Utah State · W 16–13; offense 32.0 percentile2014 Week 9: Colorado State vs. Wyoming · W 45–31; offense 89.3 percentile2014 Week 11: Colorado State vs. Hawai'i · W 49–22; offense 98.9 percentile2014 Week 13: Colorado State vs. New Mexico · W 58–20; offense 84.2 percentile2014 Week 14: Colorado State at Air Force · L 24–27; offense 60.7 percentile2014 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Utah · L 10–45; offense 11.6 percentile2015 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Savannah State · W 65–13; offense 72.3 percentile2015 Week 3: Colorado State vs. Colorado · L 24–27; offense 50.0 percentile2015 Week 4: Colorado State at UTSA · W 33–31; offense 59.5 percentile2015 Week 5: Colorado State at Utah State · L 18–33; offense 42.3 percentile2015 Week 6: Colorado State vs. Boise State · L 10–41; offense 42.6 percentile2015 Week 7: Colorado State vs. Air Force · W 38–23; offense 92.8 percentile2015 Week 9: Colorado State vs. San Diego State · L 17–41; offense 85.1 percentile2015 Week 10: Colorado State at Wyoming · W 26–7; offense 43.9 percentile2015 Week 11: Colorado State vs. UNLV · W 49–35; offense 95.2 percentile2015 Week 12: Colorado State at New Mexico · W 28–21; offense 91.1 percentile2015 Week 13: Colorado State at Fresno State · W 34–31; offense 25.5 percentile2015 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Nevada · L 23–28; offense 80.5 percentile2016 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Colorado · L 7–44; offense 23.7 percentile2016 Week 2: Colorado State vs. UTSA · W 23–14; offense 39.2 percentile2016 Week 3: Colorado State vs. Northern Colorado · W 47–21; offense 80.0 percentile2016 Week 4: Colorado State at Minnesota · L 24–31; offense 55.4 percentile2016 Week 5: Colorado State vs. Wyoming · L 17–38; offense 14.9 percentile2016 Week 6: Colorado State vs. Utah State · W 31–24; offense 41.2 percentile2016 Week 7: Colorado State at Boise State · L 23–28; offense 74.4 percentile2016 Week 8: Colorado State at UNLV · W 42–23; offense 70.8 percentile2016 Week 10: Colorado State vs. Fresno State · W 37–0; offense 82.1 percentile2016 Week 12: Colorado State vs. New Mexico · W 49–31; offense 94.8 percentile2016 Week 13: Colorado State at San Diego State · W 63–31; offense 100.0 percentile2016 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Idaho · L 50–61; offense 69.7 percentile2017 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Oregon State · W 58–27; offense 64.7 percentile2017 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Colorado · L 3–17; offense 4.1 percentile2017 Week 2: Colorado State vs. Abilene Christian · W 38–10; offense 59.1 percentile2017 Week 3: Colorado State at Alabama · L 23–41; offense 77.5 percentile2017 Week 5: Colorado State at Hawai'i · W 51–21; offense 98.2 percentile2017 Week 6: Colorado State at Utah State · W 27–14; offense 59.4 percentile2017 Week 7: Colorado State vs. Nevada · W 44–42; offense 88.4 percentile2017 Week 8: Colorado State at New Mexico · W 27–24; offense 49.2 percentile2017 Week 9: Colorado State vs. Air Force · L 28–45; offense 82.1 percentile2017 Week 10: Colorado State at Wyoming · L 13–16; offense 43.9 percentile2017 Week 11: Colorado State vs. Boise State · L 52–59; offense 91.7 percentile2017 Week 12: Colorado State vs. San José State · W 42–14; offense 79.7 percentile2017 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Marshall · L 28–31; offense 62.7 percentile2018 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Hawai'i · L 34–43; offense 75.2 percentile2018 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Colorado · L 13–45; offense 8.1 percentile2018 Week 2: Colorado State vs. Arkansas · W 34–27; offense 19.4 percentile2018 Week 3: Colorado State at Florida · L 10–48; offense 8.9 percentile2018 Week 4: Colorado State vs. Illinois State · L 19–35; offense 18.7 percentile2018 Week 6: Colorado State at San José State · W 42–30; offense 46.2 percentile2018 Week 7: Colorado State vs. New Mexico · W 20–18; offense 11.9 percentile2018 Week 8: Colorado State at Boise State · L 28–56; offense 84.8 percentile2018 Week 9: Colorado State vs. Wyoming · L 21–34; offense 25.7 percentile2018 Week 11: Colorado State at Nevada · L 10–49; offense 12.6 percentile2018 Week 12: Colorado State vs. Utah State · L 24–29; offense 90.4 percentile2018 Week 13: Colorado State at Air Force · L 19–27; offense 78.8 percentile2019 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Colorado · L 31–52; offense 51.2 percentile2019 Week 2: Colorado State vs. Western Illinois · W 38–13; offense 48.3 percentile2019 Week 3: Colorado State at Arkansas · L 34–55; offense 37.6 percentile2019 Week 4: Colorado State vs. Toledo · L 35–41; offense 57.3 percentile2019 Week 5: Colorado State at Utah State · L 24–34; offense 2.2 percentile2019 Week 6: Colorado State vs. San Diego State · L 10–24; offense 6.9 percentile2019 Week 7: Colorado State at New Mexico · W 35–21; offense 49.7 percentile2019 Week 9: Colorado State at Fresno State · W 41–31; offense 47.5 percentile2019 Week 10: Colorado State vs. UNLV · W 37–17; offense 58.1 percentile2019 Week 12: Colorado State vs. Air Force · L 21–38; offense 43.5 percentile2019 Week 13: Colorado State at Wyoming · L 7–17; offense 12.8 percentile2019 Week 14: Colorado State vs. Boise State · L 24–31; offense 85.7 percentile2020 Week 9: Colorado State at Fresno State · L 17–38; offense 18.0 percentile2020 Week 10: Colorado State vs. Wyoming · W 34–24; offense 44.6 percentile2020 Week 11: Colorado State at Boise State · L 21–52; offense 20.9 percentile2020 Week 14: Colorado State at San Diego State · L 17–29; offense 6.4 percentile2021 Week 2: Colorado State vs. Vanderbilt · L 21–24; offense 20.9 percentile2021 Week 3: Colorado State at Toledo · W 22–6; offense 33.5 percentile2021 Week 4: Colorado State at Iowa · L 14–24; offense 12.2 percentile2021 Week 6: Colorado State vs. San José State · W 32–14; offense 68.4 percentile2021 Week 7: Colorado State at New Mexico · W 36–7; offense 44.3 percentile2021 Week 8: Colorado State at Utah State · L 24–26; offense 71.7 percentile2021 Week 9: Colorado State vs. Boise State · L 19–28; offense 27.3 percentile2021 Week 10: Colorado State at Wyoming · L 17–31; offense 41.0 percentile2021 Week 11: Colorado State vs. Air Force · L 21–35; offense 52.2 percentile2021 Week 12: Colorado State at Hawai'i · L 45–50; offense 71.3 percentile2021 Week 13: Colorado State vs. Nevada · L 10–52; offense 15.5 percentile2022 Week 1: Colorado State at Michigan · L 7–51; offense 39.9 percentile2022 Week 2: Colorado State vs. Middle Tennessee · L 19–34; offense 8.9 percentile2022 Week 3: Colorado State at Washington State · L 7–38; offense 1.8 percentile2022 Week 4: Colorado State vs. Sacramento State · L 10–41; offense 0.6 percentile2022 Week 6: Colorado State at Nevada · W 17–14; offense 12.0 percentile2022 Week 7: Colorado State vs. Utah State · L 13–17; offense 1.4 percentile2022 Week 8: Colorado State vs. Hawai'i · W 17–13; offense 13.6 percentile2022 Week 9: Colorado State at Boise State · L 10–49; offense 14.9 percentile2022 Week 11: Colorado State vs. Wyoming · L 13–14; offense 41.2 percentile2022 Week 12: Colorado State at Air Force · L 12–24; offense 62.5 percentile2022 Week 13: Colorado State vs. New Mexico · W 17–0; offense 14.1 percentile2023 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Washington State · L 24–50; offense 8.1 percentile2023 Week 3: Colorado State at Colorado · L 35–43; offense 31.6 percentile2023 Week 4: Colorado State at Middle Tennessee · W 31–23; offense 47.4 percentile2023 Week 5: Colorado State vs. Utah Tech · W 41–20; offense 35.5 percentile2023 Week 6: Colorado State at Utah State · L 24–44; offense 2.7 percentile2023 Week 7: Colorado State vs. Boise State · W 31–30; offense 37.2 percentile2023 Week 8: Colorado State at UNLV · L 23–25; offense 42.9 percentile2023 Week 9: Colorado State vs. Air Force · L 13–30; offense 37.1 percentile2023 Week 10: Colorado State at Wyoming · L 15–24; offense 6.1 percentile2023 Week 11: Colorado State vs. San Diego State · W 22–19; offense 25.5 percentile2023 Week 12: Colorado State vs. Nevada · W 30–20; offense 62.3 percentile2023 Week 13: Colorado State at Hawai'i · L 24–27; offense 41.8 percentile2024 Week 1: Colorado State at Texas · L 0–52; offense 19.8 percentile2024 Week 2: Colorado State vs. Northern Colorado · W 38–17; offense 15.2 percentile2024 Week 3: Colorado State vs. Colorado · L 9–28; offense 10.1 percentile2024 Week 4: Colorado State vs. UTEP · W 27–17; offense 23.1 percentile2024 Week 6: Colorado State at Oregon State · L 31–39; offense 59.7 percentile2024 Week 7: Colorado State vs. San José State · W 31–24; offense 93.2 percentile2024 Week 8: Colorado State at Air Force · W 21–13; offense 57.2 percentile2024 Week 9: Colorado State vs. New Mexico · W 17–6; offense 13.9 percentile2024 Week 10: Colorado State at Nevada · W 38–21; offense 61.5 percentile2024 Week 12: Colorado State vs. Wyoming · W 24–10; offense 35.3 percentile2024 Week 13: Colorado State at Fresno State · L 22–28; offense 29.4 percentile2024 Week 14: Colorado State vs. Utah State · W 42–37; offense 32.9 percentile2024 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Miami (OH) · L 17–43; offense 36.7 percentile2025 Week 1: Colorado State at Washington · L 21–38; offense 28.9 percentile2025 Week 2: Colorado State vs. Northern Colorado · W 21–17; offense 17.0 percentile2025 Week 4: Colorado State vs. UTSA · L 16–17; offense 24.9 percentile2025 Week 5: Colorado State vs. Washington State · L 3–20; offense 18.8 percentile2025 Week 6: Colorado State at San Diego State · L 24–45; offense 76.0 percentile2025 Week 7: Colorado State vs. Fresno State · W 49–21; offense 68.3 percentile2025 Week 8: Colorado State vs. Hawai'i · L 19–31; offense 20.5 percentile2025 Week 9: Colorado State at Wyoming · L 0–28; offense 19.7 percentile2025 Week 11: Colorado State vs. UNLV · L 10–42; offense 2.6 percentile2025 Week 12: Colorado State at New Mexico · L 17–20; offense 17.2 percentile2025 Week 13: Colorado State at Boise State · L 21–49; offense 34.6 percentile2025 Week 14: Colorado State vs. Air Force · L 21–42; offense 33.5 percentile2026 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Wyoming · W 35–13; offense 60.9 percentile2014 offense season mean: 70.9 percentile2015 offense season mean: 69.2 percentile2016 offense season mean: 70.3 percentile2017 offense season mean: 69.0 percentile2018 offense season mean: 37.7 percentile2019 offense season mean: 37.8 percentile2020 offense season mean: 19.9 percentile2021 offense season mean: 40.2 percentile2022 offense season mean: 12.4 percentile2023 offense season mean: 27.5 percentile2024 offense season mean: 36.5 percentile2025 offense season mean: 27.2 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 30.6 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 60.9 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Colorado · W 31–17; defense 51.1 percentile2014 Week 2: Colorado State at Boise State · L 24–37; defense 23.9 percentile2014 Week 3: Colorado State vs. UC Davis · W 49–21; defense 20.7 percentile2014 Week 5: Colorado State at Boston College · W 24–21; defense 28.8 percentile2014 Week 6: Colorado State vs. Tulsa · W 42–17; defense 52.5 percentile2014 Week 7: Colorado State at Nevada · W 31–24; defense 52.7 percentile2014 Week 8: Colorado State vs. Utah State · W 16–13; defense 90.3 percentile2014 Week 9: Colorado State vs. Wyoming · W 45–31; defense 31.0 percentile2014 Week 11: Colorado State vs. Hawai'i · W 49–22; defense 48.8 percentile2014 Week 13: Colorado State vs. New Mexico · W 58–20; defense 22.0 percentile2014 Week 14: Colorado State at Air Force · L 24–27; defense 59.7 percentile2014 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Utah · L 10–45; defense 1.4 percentile2015 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Savannah State · W 65–13; defense 79.6 percentile2015 Week 3: Colorado State vs. Colorado · L 24–27; defense 54.7 percentile2015 Week 4: Colorado State at UTSA · W 33–31; defense 8.2 percentile2015 Week 5: Colorado State at Utah State · L 18–33; defense 46.1 percentile2015 Week 6: Colorado State vs. Boise State · L 10–41; defense 41.2 percentile2015 Week 7: Colorado State vs. Air Force · W 38–23; defense 51.4 percentile2015 Week 9: Colorado State vs. San Diego State · L 17–41; defense 26.6 percentile2015 Week 10: Colorado State at Wyoming · W 26–7; defense 93.1 percentile2015 Week 11: Colorado State vs. UNLV · W 49–35; defense 13.5 percentile2015 Week 12: Colorado State at New Mexico · W 28–21; defense 18.1 percentile2015 Week 13: Colorado State at Fresno State · W 34–31; defense 41.4 percentile2015 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Nevada · L 23–28; defense 19.2 percentile2016 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Colorado · L 7–44; defense 4.9 percentile2016 Week 2: Colorado State vs. UTSA · W 23–14; defense 93.6 percentile2016 Week 3: Colorado State vs. Northern Colorado · W 47–21; defense 41.0 percentile2016 Week 4: Colorado State at Minnesota · L 24–31; defense 12.2 percentile2016 Week 5: Colorado State vs. Wyoming · L 17–38; defense 29.2 percentile2016 Week 6: Colorado State vs. Utah State · W 31–24; defense 23.8 percentile2016 Week 7: Colorado State at Boise State · L 23–28; defense 65.0 percentile2016 Week 8: Colorado State at UNLV · W 42–23; defense 52.5 percentile2016 Week 10: Colorado State vs. Fresno State · W 37–0; defense 74.9 percentile2016 Week 12: Colorado State vs. New Mexico · W 49–31; defense 68.2 percentile2016 Week 13: Colorado State at San Diego State · W 63–31; defense 65.8 percentile2016 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Idaho · L 50–61; defense 5.2 percentile2017 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Oregon State · W 58–27; defense 18.7 percentile2017 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Colorado · L 3–17; defense 42.2 percentile2017 Week 2: Colorado State vs. Abilene Christian · W 38–10; defense 38.4 percentile2017 Week 3: Colorado State at Alabama · L 23–41; defense 3.6 percentile2017 Week 5: Colorado State at Hawai'i · W 51–21; defense 21.1 percentile2017 Week 6: Colorado State at Utah State · W 27–14; defense 84.6 percentile2017 Week 7: Colorado State vs. Nevada · W 44–42; defense 29.4 percentile2017 Week 8: Colorado State at New Mexico · W 27–24; defense 34.1 percentile2017 Week 9: Colorado State vs. Air Force · L 28–45; defense 2.3 percentile2017 Week 10: Colorado State at Wyoming · L 13–16; defense 44.3 percentile2017 Week 11: Colorado State vs. Boise State · L 52–59; defense 2.6 percentile2017 Week 12: Colorado State vs. San José State · W 42–14; defense 47.0 percentile2017 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Marshall · L 28–31; defense 15.2 percentile2018 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Hawai'i · L 34–43; defense 4.3 percentile2018 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Colorado · L 13–45; defense 3.0 percentile2018 Week 2: Colorado State vs. Arkansas · W 34–27; defense 15.4 percentile2018 Week 3: Colorado State at Florida · L 10–48; defense 22.7 percentile2018 Week 4: Colorado State vs. Illinois State · L 19–35; defense 3.1 percentile2018 Week 6: Colorado State at San José State · W 42–30; defense 58.5 percentile2018 Week 7: Colorado State vs. New Mexico · W 20–18; defense 61.1 percentile2018 Week 8: Colorado State at Boise State · L 28–56; defense 7.8 percentile2018 Week 9: Colorado State vs. Wyoming · L 21–34; defense 21.4 percentile2018 Week 11: Colorado State at Nevada · L 10–49; defense 3.6 percentile2018 Week 12: Colorado State vs. Utah State · L 24–29; defense 77.8 percentile2018 Week 13: Colorado State at Air Force · L 19–27; defense 26.9 percentile2019 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Colorado · L 31–52; defense 9.2 percentile2019 Week 2: Colorado State vs. Western Illinois · W 38–13; defense 45.6 percentile2019 Week 3: Colorado State at Arkansas · L 34–55; defense 2.7 percentile2019 Week 4: Colorado State vs. Toledo · L 35–41; defense 6.7 percentile2019 Week 5: Colorado State at Utah State · L 24–34; defense 42.1 percentile2019 Week 6: Colorado State vs. San Diego State · L 10–24; defense 80.0 percentile2019 Week 7: Colorado State at New Mexico · W 35–21; defense 55.7 percentile2019 Week 9: Colorado State at Fresno State · W 41–31; defense 52.5 percentile2019 Week 10: Colorado State vs. UNLV · W 37–17; defense 47.4 percentile2019 Week 12: Colorado State vs. Air Force · L 21–38; defense 56.1 percentile2019 Week 13: Colorado State at Wyoming · L 7–17; defense 62.4 percentile2019 Week 14: Colorado State vs. Boise State · L 24–31; defense 63.2 percentile2020 Week 9: Colorado State at Fresno State · L 17–38; defense 51.4 percentile2020 Week 10: Colorado State vs. Wyoming · W 34–24; defense 64.0 percentile2020 Week 11: Colorado State at Boise State · L 21–52; defense 68.7 percentile2020 Week 14: Colorado State at San Diego State · L 17–29; defense 95.2 percentile2021 Week 2: Colorado State vs. Vanderbilt · L 21–24; defense 59.6 percentile2021 Week 3: Colorado State at Toledo · W 22–6; defense 98.8 percentile2021 Week 4: Colorado State at Iowa · L 14–24; defense 58.8 percentile2021 Week 6: Colorado State vs. San José State · W 32–14; defense 49.6 percentile2021 Week 7: Colorado State at New Mexico · W 36–7; defense 91.6 percentile2021 Week 8: Colorado State at Utah State · L 24–26; defense 77.4 percentile2021 Week 9: Colorado State vs. Boise State · L 19–28; defense 24.2 percentile2021 Week 10: Colorado State at Wyoming · L 17–31; defense 29.4 percentile2021 Week 11: Colorado State vs. Air Force · L 21–35; defense 15.5 percentile2021 Week 12: Colorado State at Hawai'i · L 45–50; defense 32.7 percentile2021 Week 13: Colorado State vs. Nevada · L 10–52; defense 10.7 percentile2022 Week 1: Colorado State at Michigan · L 7–51; defense 40.5 percentile2022 Week 2: Colorado State vs. Middle Tennessee · L 19–34; defense 62.2 percentile2022 Week 3: Colorado State at Washington State · L 7–38; defense 19.9 percentile2022 Week 4: Colorado State vs. Sacramento State · L 10–41; defense 3.9 percentile2022 Week 6: Colorado State at Nevada · W 17–14; defense 77.1 percentile2022 Week 7: Colorado State vs. Utah State · L 13–17; defense 54.6 percentile2022 Week 8: Colorado State vs. Hawai'i · W 17–13; defense 75.2 percentile2022 Week 9: Colorado State at Boise State · L 10–49; defense 5.8 percentile2022 Week 11: Colorado State vs. Wyoming · L 13–14; defense 67.1 percentile2022 Week 12: Colorado State at Air Force · L 12–24; defense 20.5 percentile2022 Week 13: Colorado State vs. New Mexico · W 17–0; defense 94.0 percentile2023 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Washington State · L 24–50; defense 32.5 percentile2023 Week 3: Colorado State at Colorado · L 35–43; defense 49.1 percentile2023 Week 4: Colorado State at Middle Tennessee · W 31–23; defense 51.6 percentile2023 Week 5: Colorado State vs. Utah Tech · W 41–20; defense 25.1 percentile2023 Week 6: Colorado State at Utah State · L 24–44; defense 12.0 percentile2023 Week 7: Colorado State vs. Boise State · W 31–30; defense 67.8 percentile2023 Week 8: Colorado State at UNLV · L 23–25; defense 70.0 percentile2023 Week 9: Colorado State vs. Air Force · L 13–30; defense 58.0 percentile2023 Week 10: Colorado State at Wyoming · L 15–24; defense 59.5 percentile2023 Week 11: Colorado State vs. San Diego State · W 22–19; defense 49.8 percentile2023 Week 12: Colorado State vs. Nevada · W 30–20; defense 57.4 percentile2023 Week 13: Colorado State at Hawai'i · L 24–27; defense 10.2 percentile2024 Week 1: Colorado State at Texas · L 0–52; defense 10.6 percentile2024 Week 2: Colorado State vs. Northern Colorado · W 38–17; defense 33.1 percentile2024 Week 3: Colorado State vs. Colorado · L 9–28; defense 29.9 percentile2024 Week 4: Colorado State vs. UTEP · W 27–17; defense 65.9 percentile2024 Week 6: Colorado State at Oregon State · L 31–39; defense 47.0 percentile2024 Week 7: Colorado State vs. San José State · W 31–24; defense 36.5 percentile2024 Week 8: Colorado State at Air Force · W 21–13; defense 85.8 percentile2024 Week 9: Colorado State vs. New Mexico · W 17–6; defense 84.8 percentile2024 Week 10: Colorado State at Nevada · W 38–21; defense 48.7 percentile2024 Week 12: Colorado State vs. Wyoming · W 24–10; defense 93.1 percentile2024 Week 13: Colorado State at Fresno State · L 22–28; defense 35.9 percentile2024 Week 14: Colorado State vs. Utah State · W 42–37; defense 15.2 percentile2024 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Miami (OH) · L 17–43; defense 21.8 percentile2025 Week 1: Colorado State at Washington · L 21–38; defense 25.6 percentile2025 Week 2: Colorado State vs. Northern Colorado · W 21–17; defense 48.6 percentile2025 Week 4: Colorado State vs. UTSA · L 16–17; defense 84.0 percentile2025 Week 5: Colorado State vs. Washington State · L 3–20; defense 25.3 percentile2025 Week 6: Colorado State at San Diego State · L 24–45; defense 4.3 percentile2025 Week 7: Colorado State vs. Fresno State · W 49–21; defense 28.3 percentile2025 Week 8: Colorado State vs. Hawai'i · L 19–31; defense 25.5 percentile2025 Week 9: Colorado State at Wyoming · L 0–28; defense 3.2 percentile2025 Week 11: Colorado State vs. UNLV · L 10–42; defense 6.4 percentile2025 Week 12: Colorado State at New Mexico · L 17–20; defense 78.6 percentile2025 Week 13: Colorado State at Boise State · L 21–49; defense 16.0 percentile2025 Week 14: Colorado State vs. Air Force · L 21–42; defense 10.1 percentile2026 Week 1: Colorado State vs. Wyoming · W 35–13; defense 30.9 percentile2014 defense season mean: 37.4 percentile2015 defense season mean: 40.2 percentile2016 defense season mean: 42.0 percentile2017 defense season mean: 24.2 percentile2018 defense season mean: 18.8 percentile2019 defense season mean: 39.2 percentile2020 defense season mean: 73.8 percentile2021 defense season mean: 53.2 percentile2022 defense season mean: 45.0 percentile2023 defense season mean: 43.6 percentile2024 defense season mean: 47.4 percentile2025 defense season mean: 24.8 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 25.4 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 30.9 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2015Mike Bobo
2020Steve Addazio
2022Jay Norvell
2025Jay Norvell / Tyson Summers
2026Jim Mora

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateJim MoraCoaching change1
30.6 estimate60.9 games-only average
25.4 estimate30.9 games-only average
2025Jay Norvell / Tyson SummersCoaching change1227.224.8
2024Jay Norvell1336.547.4
2023Jay Norvell1227.543.6
2022Jay NorvellCoaching change1112.445.0
2021Steve Addazio1140.253.2
2020Steve AddazioCoaching change419.973.8
2019Mike Bobo1237.839.2
2018Mike Bobo1237.718.8
2017Mike Bobo1369.024.2
2016Mike Bobo1270.342.0
2015Mike BoboCoaching change1269.240.2
2014Jim McElwain1270.937.4