20142026 performance history

Delaware over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Conference USAHead coach: Ryan CartyView Delaware games →
Offense · 2026 estimate40.5/100

42.6 average through 2 games

40.0 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate40.1/100

82.5 average through 2 games

29.2 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Delaware individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Carty · ’25–’26Ryan Carty, 2025–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512025 Week 1: Delaware vs. Delaware State · W 35–17; offense 46.6 percentile2025 Week 2: Delaware at Colorado · L 7–31; offense 12.8 percentile2025 Week 3: Delaware vs. UConn · W 44–41; offense 78.9 percentile2025 Week 4: Delaware at Florida International · W 38–16; offense 63.9 percentile2025 Week 6: Delaware vs. Western Kentucky · L 24–27; offense 50.1 percentile2025 Week 8: Delaware at Jacksonville State · L 25–38; offense 19.4 percentile2025 Week 9: Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee · W 31–28; offense 33.6 percentile2025 Week 10: Delaware at Liberty · L 30–59; offense 66.5 percentile2025 Week 12: Delaware vs. Sam Houston · L 23–26; offense 19.6 percentile2025 Week 13: Delaware at Wake Forest · L 14–52; offense 37.3 percentile2025 Week 1: Delaware vs. Louisiana · W 20–13; offense 24.8 percentile2026 Week 1: Delaware vs. Merrimack · W 42–7; offense 54.5 percentile2026 Week 2: Delaware at Vanderbilt · L 26–35; offense 31.4 percentile2025 offense season mean: 40.0 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 40.5 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 42.6 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512025 Week 1: Delaware vs. Delaware State · W 35–17; defense 7.4 percentile2025 Week 2: Delaware at Colorado · L 7–31; defense 20.1 percentile2025 Week 3: Delaware vs. UConn · W 44–41; defense 26.8 percentile2025 Week 4: Delaware at Florida International · W 38–16; defense 84.8 percentile2025 Week 6: Delaware vs. Western Kentucky · L 24–27; defense 34.2 percentile2025 Week 8: Delaware at Jacksonville State · L 25–38; defense 58.3 percentile2025 Week 9: Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee · W 31–28; defense 35.1 percentile2025 Week 10: Delaware at Liberty · L 30–59; defense 4.3 percentile2025 Week 12: Delaware vs. Sam Houston · L 23–26; defense 29.1 percentile2025 Week 13: Delaware at Wake Forest · L 14–52; defense 1.3 percentile2025 Week 1: Delaware vs. Louisiana · W 20–13; defense 83.1 percentile2026 Week 1: Delaware vs. Merrimack · W 42–7; defense 47.7 percentile2026 Week 2: Delaware at Vanderbilt · L 26–35; defense 97.3 percentile2025 defense season mean: 29.2 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 40.1 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 82.5 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateRyan Carty2
40.5 estimate42.6 games-only average
40.1 estimate82.5 games-only average
2025Ryan Carty1140.029.2