2014–2026 performance history

Eastern Michigan over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Mid-AmericanHead coach: Chris CreightonView Eastern Michigan games →
Offense · 2026 estimate31.1/100

8.7 average through 3 games

43.3 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate22.8/100

34.5 average through 3 games

19.1 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Eastern Michigan individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Creighton · ’14–’26Chris Creighton, 2014–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Florida · L 0–65; offense 7.0 percentile2014 Week 3: Eastern Michigan at Old Dominion · L 3–17; offense 0.4 percentile2014 Week 4: Eastern Michigan at Michigan State · L 14–73; offense 3.1 percentile2014 Week 6: Eastern Michigan at Akron · L 6–31; offense 15.1 percentile2014 Week 7: Eastern Michigan vs. Buffalo · W 37–27; offense 63.6 percentile2014 Week 8: Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts · L 14–36; offense 18.7 percentile2014 Week 9: Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois · L 17–28; offense 47.0 percentile2014 Week 10: Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan · L 7–38; offense 0.1 percentile2014 Week 12: Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan · L 7–51; offense 39.8 percentile2014 Week 13: Eastern Michigan at Ball State · L 30–45; offense 34.6 percentile2014 Week 14: Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo · L 16–52; offense 3.0 percentile2015 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Old Dominion · L 34–38; offense 60.7 percentile2015 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Wyoming · W 48–29; offense 78.8 percentile2015 Week 3: Eastern Michigan vs. Ball State · L 17–28; offense 2.6 percentile2015 Week 4: Eastern Michigan vs. Army · L 36–58; offense 81.9 percentile2015 Week 5: Eastern Michigan at LSU · L 22–44; offense 49.7 percentile2015 Week 6: Eastern Michigan vs. Akron · L 21–47; offense 89.2 percentile2015 Week 7: Eastern Michigan at Toledo · L 20–63; offense 64.7 percentile2015 Week 8: Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois · L 21–49; offense 40.5 percentile2015 Week 9: Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan · L 28–58; offense 48.2 percentile2015 Week 10: Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · L 13–28; offense 4.2 percentile2015 Week 11: Eastern Michigan vs. Massachusetts · L 17–28; offense 5.8 percentile2015 Week 13: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · L 28–35; offense 14.1 percentile2016 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Mississippi Valley State · W 61–14; offense 44.7 percentile2016 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Missouri · L 21–61; offense 21.7 percentile2016 Week 3: Eastern Michigan at Charlotte · W 37–19; offense 61.9 percentile2016 Week 4: Eastern Michigan vs. Wyoming · W 27–24; offense 41.7 percentile2016 Week 5: Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green · W 28–25; offense 61.8 percentile2016 Week 6: Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo · L 20–35; offense 29.7 percentile2016 Week 7: Eastern Michigan at Ohio · W 27–20; offense 67.7 percentile2016 Week 8: Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan · L 31–45; offense 63.5 percentile2016 Week 9: Eastern Michigan vs. Miami (OH) · L 15–28; offense 51.7 percentile2016 Week 11: Eastern Michigan at Ball State · W 48–41; offense 53.9 percentile2016 Week 12: Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois · L 24–31; offense 57.0 percentile2016 Week 13: Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan · W 26–21; offense 61.6 percentile2016 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Old Dominion · L 20–24; offense 43.4 percentile2017 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Charlotte · W 24–7; offense 15.1 percentile2017 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Rutgers · W 16–13; offense 9.7 percentile2017 Week 4: Eastern Michigan vs. Ohio · L 20–27; offense 11.4 percentile2017 Week 5: Eastern Michigan at Kentucky · L 20–24; offense 3.4 percentile2017 Week 6: Eastern Michigan at Toledo · L 15–20; offense 21.5 percentile2017 Week 7: Eastern Michigan at Army · L 27–28; offense 89.2 percentile2017 Week 8: Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan · L 17–20; offense 24.5 percentile2017 Week 10: Eastern Michigan vs. Ball State · W 56–14; offense 94.5 percentile2017 Week 11: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · L 30–42; offense 40.5 percentile2017 Week 12: Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · W 27–24; offense 50.6 percentile2017 Week 13: Eastern Michigan vs. Bowling Green · W 34–31; offense 46.5 percentile2018 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Monmouth · W 51–17; offense 56.7 percentile2018 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Purdue · W 20–19; offense 37.9 percentile2018 Week 3: Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · L 28–35; offense 50.5 percentile2018 Week 4: Eastern Michigan at San Diego State · L 20–23; offense 66.6 percentile2018 Week 5: Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois · L 23–26; offense 4.7 percentile2018 Week 6: Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan · L 24–27; offense 6.2 percentile2018 Week 7: Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo · W 28–26; offense 27.9 percentile2018 Week 8: Eastern Michigan at Ball State · W 42–20; offense 44.3 percentile2018 Week 9: Eastern Michigan vs. Army · L 22–37; offense 49.8 percentile2018 Week 10: Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan · W 17–7; offense 14.7 percentile2018 Week 11: Eastern Michigan vs. Akron · W 27–7; offense 25.2 percentile2018 Week 13: Eastern Michigan at Kent State · W 28–20; offense 9.1 percentile2018 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Georgia Southern · L 21–23; offense 67.5 percentile2019 Week 1: Eastern Michigan at Coastal Carolina · W 30–23; offense 43.2 percentile2019 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Kentucky · L 17–38; offense 33.2 percentile2019 Week 3: Eastern Michigan at Illinois · W 34–31; offense 50.3 percentile2019 Week 4: Eastern Michigan vs. Central Connecticut · W 34–29; offense 9.0 percentile2019 Week 6: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · L 16–42; offense 28.2 percentile2019 Week 7: Eastern Michigan vs. Ball State · L 23–29; offense 13.5 percentile2019 Week 8: Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan · W 34–27; offense 83.6 percentile2019 Week 9: Eastern Michigan at Toledo · L 34–37; offense 42.7 percentile2019 Week 10: Eastern Michigan vs. Buffalo · L 14–43; offense 31.5 percentile2019 Week 12: Eastern Michigan at Akron · W 42–14; offense 91.0 percentile2019 Week 13: Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois · W 45–17; offense 99.5 percentile2019 Week 14: Eastern Michigan vs. Kent State · L 26–34; offense 38.9 percentile2019 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Pittsburgh · L 30–34; offense 69.6 percentile2020 Week 10: Eastern Michigan at Kent State · L 23–27; offense 16.9 percentile2020 Week 11: Eastern Michigan at Ball State · L 31–38; offense 67.8 percentile2020 Week 12: Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo · L 28–45; offense 15.6 percentile2020 Week 13: Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan · L 23–31; offense 49.9 percentile2020 Week 14: Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan · W 53–42; offense 97.6 percentile2020 Week 15: Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois · W 41–33; offense 33.0 percentile2021 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin · L 7–34; offense 15.9 percentile2021 Week 3: Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts · W 42–28; offense 65.9 percentile2021 Week 4: Eastern Michigan vs. Texas State · W 59–21; offense 90.6 percentile2021 Week 5: Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois · L 20–27; offense 39.2 percentile2021 Week 6: Eastern Michigan vs. Miami (OH) · W 13–12; offense 14.1 percentile2021 Week 7: Eastern Michigan vs. Ball State · L 31–38; offense 50.5 percentile2021 Week 10: Eastern Michigan at Toledo · W 52–49; offense 86.0 percentile2021 Week 11: Eastern Michigan vs. Ohio · L 26–34; offense 50.3 percentile2021 Week 12: Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan · W 22–21; offense 37.9 percentile2021 Week 13: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · L 10–31; offense 13.4 percentile2021 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Liberty · L 20–56; offense 31.7 percentile2022 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Eastern Kentucky · W 42–34; offense 43.5 percentile2022 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Louisiana · L 21–49; offense 9.1 percentile2022 Week 4: Eastern Michigan vs. Buffalo · L 31–50; offense 61.8 percentile2022 Week 5: Eastern Michigan vs. Massachusetts · W 20–13; offense 41.0 percentile2022 Week 6: Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan · W 45–23; offense 91.9 percentile2022 Week 7: Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois · L 10–39; offense 2.8 percentile2022 Week 8: Eastern Michigan at Ball State · W 20–16; offense 54.8 percentile2022 Week 9: Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo · L 24–27; offense 35.3 percentile2022 Week 12: Eastern Michigan at Kent State · W 31–24; offense 42.5 percentile2022 Week 13: Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan · W 38–19; offense 72.8 percentile2022 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. San José State · W 41–27; offense 81.4 percentile2023 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Howard · W 33–23; offense 8.7 percentile2023 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Minnesota · L 6–25; offense 18.0 percentile2023 Week 3: Eastern Michigan vs. Massachusetts · W 19–17; offense 10.5 percentile2023 Week 4: Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State · L 0–21; offense 1.9 percentile2023 Week 5: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · L 23–26; offense 61.3 percentile2023 Week 6: Eastern Michigan vs. Ball State · W 24–10; offense 48.9 percentile2023 Week 7: Eastern Michigan vs. Kent State · W 28–14; offense 9.4 percentile2023 Week 8: Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois · L 13–20; offense 33.3 percentile2023 Week 9: Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan · L 21–45; offense 21.7 percentile2023 Week 11: Eastern Michigan at Toledo · L 23–49; offense 25.9 percentile2023 Week 12: Eastern Michigan vs. Akron · W 30–27; offense 30.0 percentile2023 Week 13: Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · W 24–11; offense 49.1 percentile2024 Week 1: Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts · W 28–14; offense 38.3 percentile2024 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Washington · L 9–30; offense 6.3 percentile2024 Week 3: Eastern Michigan vs. Jacksonville State · W 37–34; offense 56.1 percentile2024 Week 4: Eastern Michigan vs. Saint Francis · W 36–0; offense 5.0 percentile2024 Week 5: Eastern Michigan at Kent State · W 52–33; offense 31.2 percentile2024 Week 7: Eastern Michigan vs. Miami (OH) · L 14–38; offense 18.6 percentile2024 Week 8: Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan · W 38–34; offense 61.8 percentile2024 Week 9: Eastern Michigan at Akron · L 21–25; offense 18.5 percentile2024 Week 10: Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo · L 28–29; offense 65.3 percentile2024 Week 12: Eastern Michigan at Ohio · L 10–35; offense 30.4 percentile2024 Week 13: Eastern Michigan vs. Buffalo · L 20–37; offense 60.0 percentile2025 Week 1: Eastern Michigan at Texas State · L 27–52; offense 43.7 percentile2025 Week 2: Eastern Michigan vs. Long Island University · L 23–28; offense 4.8 percentile2025 Week 3: Eastern Michigan at Kentucky · L 23–48; offense 51.1 percentile2025 Week 4: Eastern Michigan vs. Louisiana · W 34–31; offense 62.3 percentile2025 Week 5: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · L 13–24; offense 48.8 percentile2025 Week 6: Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · L 30–31; offense 39.5 percentile2025 Week 7: Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois · W 16–10; offense 8.5 percentile2025 Week 8: Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · L 30–44; offense 50.9 percentile2025 Week 9: Eastern Michigan vs. Ohio · L 21–28; offense 65.4 percentile2025 Week 11: Eastern Michigan vs. Bowling Green · W 27–21; offense 62.3 percentile2025 Week 12: Eastern Michigan at Ball State · W 24–9; offense 45.2 percentile2025 Week 14: Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan · L 21–31; offense 69.8 percentile2026 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Sacramento State · W 28–17; offense 4.5 percentile2026 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. San José State · L 21–27; offense 1.8 percentile2026 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Michigan State · L 7–35; offense 38.2 percentile2014 offense season mean: 11.6 percentile2015 offense season mean: 40.1 percentile2016 offense season mean: 50.6 percentile2017 offense season mean: 34.7 percentile2018 offense season mean: 31.6 percentile2019 offense season mean: 52.5 percentile2020 offense season mean: 50.2 percentile2021 offense season mean: 44.9 percentile2022 offense season mean: 46.8 percentile2023 offense season mean: 22.5 percentile2024 offense season mean: 31.9 percentile2025 offense season mean: 43.3 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 31.1 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 8.7 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Florida · L 0–65; defense 3.9 percentile2014 Week 3: Eastern Michigan at Old Dominion · L 3–17; defense 99.1 percentile2014 Week 4: Eastern Michigan at Michigan State · L 14–73; defense 21.0 percentile2014 Week 6: Eastern Michigan at Akron · L 6–31; defense 5.8 percentile2014 Week 7: Eastern Michigan vs. Buffalo · W 37–27; defense 61.4 percentile2014 Week 8: Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts · L 14–36; defense 8.6 percentile2014 Week 9: Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois · L 17–28; defense 28.3 percentile2014 Week 10: Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan · L 7–38; defense 34.9 percentile2014 Week 12: Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan · L 7–51; defense 20.0 percentile2014 Week 13: Eastern Michigan at Ball State · L 30–45; defense 18.3 percentile2014 Week 14: Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo · L 16–52; defense 18.7 percentile2015 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Old Dominion · L 34–38; defense 22.7 percentile2015 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Wyoming · W 48–29; defense 14.9 percentile2015 Week 3: Eastern Michigan vs. Ball State · L 17–28; defense 10.5 percentile2015 Week 4: Eastern Michigan vs. Army · L 36–58; defense 0.1 percentile2015 Week 5: Eastern Michigan at LSU · L 22–44; defense 16.7 percentile2015 Week 6: Eastern Michigan vs. Akron · L 21–47; defense 0.1 percentile2015 Week 7: Eastern Michigan at Toledo · L 20–63; defense 6.2 percentile2015 Week 8: Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois · L 21–49; defense 3.3 percentile2015 Week 9: Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan · L 28–58; defense 2.4 percentile2015 Week 10: Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · L 13–28; defense 10.4 percentile2015 Week 11: Eastern Michigan vs. Massachusetts · L 17–28; defense 15.8 percentile2015 Week 13: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · L 28–35; defense 27.8 percentile2016 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Mississippi Valley State · W 61–14; defense 82.0 percentile2016 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Missouri · L 21–61; defense 6.7 percentile2016 Week 3: Eastern Michigan at Charlotte · W 37–19; defense 48.0 percentile2016 Week 4: Eastern Michigan vs. Wyoming · W 27–24; defense 89.7 percentile2016 Week 5: Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green · W 28–25; defense 43.6 percentile2016 Week 6: Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo · L 20–35; defense 38.8 percentile2016 Week 7: Eastern Michigan at Ohio · W 27–20; defense 45.9 percentile2016 Week 8: Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan · L 31–45; defense 12.0 percentile2016 Week 9: Eastern Michigan vs. Miami (OH) · L 15–28; defense 15.0 percentile2016 Week 11: Eastern Michigan at Ball State · W 48–41; defense 29.4 percentile2016 Week 12: Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois · L 24–31; defense 47.4 percentile2016 Week 13: Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan · W 26–21; defense 24.8 percentile2016 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Old Dominion · L 20–24; defense 20.2 percentile2017 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Charlotte · W 24–7; defense 60.2 percentile2017 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Rutgers · W 16–13; defense 43.6 percentile2017 Week 4: Eastern Michigan vs. Ohio · L 20–27; defense 85.4 percentile2017 Week 5: Eastern Michigan at Kentucky · L 20–24; defense 87.3 percentile2017 Week 6: Eastern Michigan at Toledo · L 15–20; defense 93.1 percentile2017 Week 7: Eastern Michigan at Army · L 27–28; defense 18.0 percentile2017 Week 8: Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan · L 17–20; defense 30.9 percentile2017 Week 10: Eastern Michigan vs. Ball State · W 56–14; defense 26.4 percentile2017 Week 11: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · L 30–42; defense 41.3 percentile2017 Week 12: Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · W 27–24; defense 50.8 percentile2017 Week 13: Eastern Michigan vs. Bowling Green · W 34–31; defense 18.1 percentile2018 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Monmouth · W 51–17; defense 19.7 percentile2018 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Purdue · W 20–19; defense 48.0 percentile2018 Week 3: Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · L 28–35; defense 20.1 percentile2018 Week 4: Eastern Michigan at San Diego State · L 20–23; defense 35.1 percentile2018 Week 5: Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois · L 23–26; defense 69.0 percentile2018 Week 6: Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan · L 24–27; defense 49.3 percentile2018 Week 7: Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo · W 28–26; defense 59.8 percentile2018 Week 8: Eastern Michigan at Ball State · W 42–20; defense 51.2 percentile2018 Week 9: Eastern Michigan vs. Army · L 22–37; defense 37.8 percentile2018 Week 10: Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan · W 17–7; defense 77.0 percentile2018 Week 11: Eastern Michigan vs. Akron · W 27–7; defense 98.1 percentile2018 Week 13: Eastern Michigan at Kent State · W 28–20; defense 46.2 percentile2018 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Georgia Southern · L 21–23; defense 54.5 percentile2019 Week 1: Eastern Michigan at Coastal Carolina · W 30–23; defense 54.9 percentile2019 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Kentucky · L 17–38; defense 17.8 percentile2019 Week 3: Eastern Michigan at Illinois · W 34–31; defense 20.5 percentile2019 Week 4: Eastern Michigan vs. Central Connecticut · W 34–29; defense 5.0 percentile2019 Week 6: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · L 16–42; defense 7.3 percentile2019 Week 7: Eastern Michigan vs. Ball State · L 23–29; defense 38.6 percentile2019 Week 8: Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan · W 34–27; defense 21.4 percentile2019 Week 9: Eastern Michigan at Toledo · L 34–37; defense 14.6 percentile2019 Week 10: Eastern Michigan vs. Buffalo · L 14–43; defense 25.4 percentile2019 Week 12: Eastern Michigan at Akron · W 42–14; defense 64.0 percentile2019 Week 13: Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois · W 45–17; defense 39.6 percentile2019 Week 14: Eastern Michigan vs. Kent State · L 26–34; defense 23.6 percentile2019 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Pittsburgh · L 30–34; defense 26.0 percentile2020 Week 10: Eastern Michigan at Kent State · L 23–27; defense 83.6 percentile2020 Week 11: Eastern Michigan at Ball State · L 31–38; defense 16.4 percentile2020 Week 12: Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo · L 28–45; defense 10.2 percentile2020 Week 13: Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan · L 23–31; defense 15.7 percentile2020 Week 14: Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan · W 53–42; defense 8.1 percentile2020 Week 15: Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois · W 41–33; defense 25.4 percentile2021 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin · L 7–34; defense 6.0 percentile2021 Week 3: Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts · W 42–28; defense 15.2 percentile2021 Week 4: Eastern Michigan vs. Texas State · W 59–21; defense 30.5 percentile2021 Week 5: Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois · L 20–27; defense 80.2 percentile2021 Week 6: Eastern Michigan vs. Miami (OH) · W 13–12; defense 62.5 percentile2021 Week 7: Eastern Michigan vs. Ball State · L 31–38; defense 5.5 percentile2021 Week 10: Eastern Michigan at Toledo · W 52–49; defense 10.7 percentile2021 Week 11: Eastern Michigan vs. Ohio · L 26–34; defense 0.2 percentile2021 Week 12: Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan · W 22–21; defense 30.2 percentile2021 Week 13: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · L 10–31; defense 78.4 percentile2021 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Liberty · L 20–56; defense 9.0 percentile2022 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Eastern Kentucky · W 42–34; defense 1.0 percentile2022 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Louisiana · L 21–49; defense 11.5 percentile2022 Week 4: Eastern Michigan vs. Buffalo · L 31–50; defense 8.1 percentile2022 Week 5: Eastern Michigan vs. Massachusetts · W 20–13; defense 33.5 percentile2022 Week 6: Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan · W 45–23; defense 47.0 percentile2022 Week 7: Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois · L 10–39; defense 11.1 percentile2022 Week 8: Eastern Michigan at Ball State · W 20–16; defense 23.3 percentile2022 Week 9: Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo · L 24–27; defense 25.0 percentile2022 Week 12: Eastern Michigan at Kent State · W 31–24; defense 43.4 percentile2022 Week 13: Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan · W 38–19; defense 61.4 percentile2022 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. San José State · W 41–27; defense 35.2 percentile2023 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Howard · W 33–23; defense 8.5 percentile2023 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Minnesota · L 6–25; defense 22.5 percentile2023 Week 3: Eastern Michigan vs. Massachusetts · W 19–17; defense 37.2 percentile2023 Week 4: Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State · L 0–21; defense 44.3 percentile2023 Week 5: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · L 23–26; defense 7.6 percentile2023 Week 6: Eastern Michigan vs. Ball State · W 24–10; defense 40.0 percentile2023 Week 7: Eastern Michigan vs. Kent State · W 28–14; defense 49.2 percentile2023 Week 8: Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois · L 13–20; defense 56.5 percentile2023 Week 9: Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan · L 21–45; defense 30.6 percentile2023 Week 11: Eastern Michigan at Toledo · L 23–49; defense 8.1 percentile2023 Week 12: Eastern Michigan vs. Akron · W 30–27; defense 24.4 percentile2023 Week 13: Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · W 24–11; defense 49.5 percentile2024 Week 1: Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts · W 28–14; defense 63.7 percentile2024 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Washington · L 9–30; defense 0.7 percentile2024 Week 3: Eastern Michigan vs. Jacksonville State · W 37–34; defense 56.3 percentile2024 Week 4: Eastern Michigan vs. Saint Francis · W 36–0; defense 76.6 percentile2024 Week 5: Eastern Michigan at Kent State · W 52–33; defense 22.7 percentile2024 Week 7: Eastern Michigan vs. Miami (OH) · L 14–38; defense 16.9 percentile2024 Week 8: Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan · W 38–34; defense 36.4 percentile2024 Week 9: Eastern Michigan at Akron · L 21–25; defense 41.7 percentile2024 Week 10: Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo · L 28–29; defense 48.4 percentile2024 Week 12: Eastern Michigan at Ohio · L 10–35; defense 49.3 percentile2024 Week 13: Eastern Michigan vs. Buffalo · L 20–37; defense 42.2 percentile2025 Week 1: Eastern Michigan at Texas State · L 27–52; defense 0.6 percentile2025 Week 2: Eastern Michigan vs. Long Island University · L 23–28; defense 0.8 percentile2025 Week 3: Eastern Michigan at Kentucky · L 23–48; defense 5.0 percentile2025 Week 4: Eastern Michigan vs. Louisiana · W 34–31; defense 15.8 percentile2025 Week 5: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · L 13–24; defense 11.0 percentile2025 Week 6: Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · L 30–31; defense 48.4 percentile2025 Week 7: Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois · W 16–10; defense 75.4 percentile2025 Week 8: Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · L 30–44; defense 21.8 percentile2025 Week 9: Eastern Michigan vs. Ohio · L 21–28; defense 33.6 percentile2025 Week 11: Eastern Michigan vs. Bowling Green · W 27–21; defense 55.1 percentile2025 Week 12: Eastern Michigan at Ball State · W 24–9; defense 47.2 percentile2025 Week 14: Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan · L 21–31; defense 11.3 percentile2026 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. Sacramento State · W 28–17; defense 75.9 percentile2026 Week 1: Eastern Michigan vs. San José State · L 21–27; defense 48.2 percentile2026 Week 2: Eastern Michigan at Michigan State · L 7–35; defense 3.2 percentile2014 defense season mean: 27.8 percentile2015 defense season mean: 6.2 percentile2016 defense season mean: 37.2 percentile2017 defense season mean: 52.2 percentile2018 defense season mean: 53.5 percentile2019 defense season mean: 25.0 percentile2020 defense season mean: 23.5 percentile2021 defense season mean: 21.4 percentile2022 defense season mean: 22.6 percentile2023 defense season mean: 28.7 percentile2024 defense season mean: 36.6 percentile2025 defense season mean: 19.1 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 22.8 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 34.5 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2014Chris Creighton

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateChris Creighton3
31.1 estimate8.7 games-only average
22.8 estimate34.5 games-only average
2025Chris Creighton1243.319.1
2024Chris Creighton1131.936.6
2023Chris Creighton1222.528.7
2022Chris Creighton1146.822.6
2021Chris Creighton1144.921.4
2020Chris Creighton650.223.5
2019Chris Creighton1352.525.0
2018Chris Creighton1331.653.5
2017Chris Creighton1134.752.2
2016Chris Creighton1350.637.2
2015Chris Creighton1240.16.2
2014Chris CreightonCoaching change1111.627.8