2014–2026 performance history

Florida Atlantic over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

American AthleticHead coach: Zach KittleyView Florida Atlantic games →
Offense · 2026 estimate47.2/100

38.6 average through 1 game

48.3 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate24.3/100

6.4 average through 1 game

27.7 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Florida Atlantic individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Partridge · ’14–’16Charlie Partridge, 2014–2016Kiffin · ’17–’19Lane Kiffin, 2017–2019Taggart · ’20–’22Willie Taggart, 2020–2022Herman · ’23–’24Tom Herman, 2023–2024Kittley · ’25–’26Zach Kittley, 2025–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Nebraska · L 7–55; offense 10.0 percentile2014 Week 2: Florida Atlantic at Alabama · L 0–41; offense 16.5 percentile2014 Week 4: Florida Atlantic at Wyoming · L 19–20; offense 13.2 percentile2014 Week 5: Florida Atlantic vs. UTSA · W 41–37; offense 79.2 percentile2014 Week 6: Florida Atlantic at Florida International · L 10–38; offense 53.8 percentile2014 Week 8: Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky · W 45–38; offense 78.1 percentile2014 Week 9: Florida Atlantic at Marshall · L 16–35; offense 50.8 percentile2014 Week 14: Florida Atlantic vs. Old Dominion · L 28–31; offense 34.5 percentile2015 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Tulsa · L 44–47; offense 49.4 percentile2015 Week 3: Florida Atlantic vs. Buffalo · L 15–33; offense 35.8 percentile2015 Week 4: Florida Atlantic at Charlotte · W 17–7; offense 0.4 percentile2015 Week 6: Florida Atlantic vs. Rice · L 26–27; offense 36.5 percentile2015 Week 7: Florida Atlantic vs. Marshall · L 17–33; offense 55.2 percentile2015 Week 8: Florida Atlantic at UTEP · L 17–27; offense 22.4 percentile2015 Week 9: Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International · W 31–17; offense 75.7 percentile2015 Week 10: Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky · L 19–35; offense 66.2 percentile2015 Week 11: Florida Atlantic vs. Middle Tennessee · L 17–24; offense 10.4 percentile2015 Week 12: Florida Atlantic at Florida · L 14–20; offense 42.2 percentile2015 Week 13: Florida Atlantic at Old Dominion · W 33–31; offense 30.6 percentile2016 Week 1: Florida Atlantic vs. Southern Illinois · W 38–30; offense 10.6 percentile2016 Week 2: Florida Atlantic at Miami · L 10–38; offense 4.0 percentile2016 Week 4: Florida Atlantic vs. Ball State · L 27–31; offense 21.7 percentile2016 Week 5: Florida Atlantic at Florida International · L 31–33; offense 37.9 percentile2016 Week 6: Florida Atlantic vs. Charlotte · L 23–28; offense 31.4 percentile2016 Week 9: Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky · L 3–52; offense 16.1 percentile2016 Week 10: Florida Atlantic at Rice · W 42–25; offense 82.0 percentile2016 Week 11: Florida Atlantic vs. UTEP · W 35–31; offense 87.1 percentile2016 Week 12: Florida Atlantic vs. Old Dominion · L 24–42; offense 64.0 percentile2016 Week 13: Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee · L 56–77; offense 97.2 percentile2017 Week 1: Florida Atlantic vs. Navy · L 19–42; offense 8.5 percentile2017 Week 2: Florida Atlantic at Wisconsin · L 14–31; offense 27.7 percentile2017 Week 3: Florida Atlantic vs. Bethune-Cookman · W 45–0; offense 43.9 percentile2017 Week 4: Florida Atlantic at Buffalo · L 31–34; offense 76.6 percentile2017 Week 5: Florida Atlantic vs. Middle Tennessee · W 38–20; offense 89.0 percentile2017 Week 6: Florida Atlantic at Old Dominion · W 58–28; offense 90.2 percentile2017 Week 8: Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas · W 69–31; offense 99.7 percentile2017 Week 9: Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky · W 42–28; offense 69.3 percentile2017 Week 10: Florida Atlantic vs. Marshall · W 30–25; offense 51.7 percentile2017 Week 11: Florida Atlantic at Louisiana Tech · W 48–23; offense 88.2 percentile2017 Week 12: Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International · W 52–24; offense 96.4 percentile2017 Week 13: Florida Atlantic at Charlotte · W 31–12; offense 68.9 percentile2017 Week 14: Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas · W 41–17; offense 90.8 percentile2017 Week 1: Florida Atlantic vs. Akron · W 50–3; offense 79.2 percentile2018 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Oklahoma · L 14–63; offense 2.1 percentile2018 Week 3: Florida Atlantic vs. Bethune-Cookman · W 49–28; offense 39.0 percentile2018 Week 4: Florida Atlantic at UCF · L 36–56; offense 92.8 percentile2018 Week 6: Florida Atlantic vs. Old Dominion · W 52–33; offense 79.4 percentile2018 Week 8: Florida Atlantic at Marshall · L 7–31; offense 14.8 percentile2018 Week 9: Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana Tech · L 13–21; offense 19.8 percentile2018 Week 10: Florida Atlantic at Florida International · W 49–14; offense 71.8 percentile2018 Week 11: Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky · W 34–15; offense 82.0 percentile2018 Week 12: Florida Atlantic at North Texas · L 38–41; offense 43.1 percentile2019 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Ohio State · L 21–45; offense 19.0 percentile2019 Week 2: Florida Atlantic vs. UCF · L 14–48; offense 6.3 percentile2019 Week 3: Florida Atlantic at Ball State · W 41–31; offense 56.3 percentile2019 Week 4: Florida Atlantic vs. Wagner · W 42–7; offense 54.9 percentile2019 Week 5: Florida Atlantic at Charlotte · W 45–27; offense 72.7 percentile2019 Week 7: Florida Atlantic vs. Middle Tennessee · W 28–13; offense 29.7 percentile2019 Week 8: Florida Atlantic vs. Marshall · L 31–36; offense 33.9 percentile2019 Week 9: Florida Atlantic at Old Dominion · W 41–3; offense 56.0 percentile2019 Week 10: Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky · W 35–24; offense 77.2 percentile2019 Week 11: Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International · W 37–7; offense 76.9 percentile2019 Week 13: Florida Atlantic at UTSA · W 40–26; offense 64.8 percentile2019 Week 14: Florida Atlantic vs. Southern Miss · W 34–17; offense 62.8 percentile2019 Week 15: Florida Atlantic vs. UAB · W 49–6; offense 96.8 percentile2019 Week 1: Florida Atlantic vs. SMU · W 52–28; offense 76.3 percentile2020 Week 5: Florida Atlantic vs. Charlotte · W 21–17; offense 43.4 percentile2020 Week 8: Florida Atlantic at Marshall · L 9–20; offense 26.2 percentile2020 Week 10: Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky · W 10–6; offense 33.8 percentile2020 Week 12: Florida Atlantic vs. Massachusetts · W 24–2; offense 2.3 percentile2020 Week 14: Florida Atlantic at Georgia Southern · L 3–20; offense 28.4 percentile2020 Week 15: Florida Atlantic at Southern Miss · L 31–45; offense 31.3 percentile2020 Week 1: Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis · L 10–25; offense 19.2 percentile2021 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Florida · L 14–35; offense 36.2 percentile2021 Week 3: Florida Atlantic vs. Fordham · W 45–14; offense 29.1 percentile2021 Week 4: Florida Atlantic at Air Force · L 7–31; offense 42.2 percentile2021 Week 5: Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International · W 58–21; offense 92.8 percentile2021 Week 6: Florida Atlantic at UAB · L 14–31; offense 39.5 percentile2021 Week 8: Florida Atlantic at Charlotte · W 38–9; offense 60.1 percentile2021 Week 12: Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky · L 17–52; offense 3.6 percentile2022 Week 1: Florida Atlantic vs. Charlotte · W 43–13; offense 56.5 percentile2022 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Ohio · L 38–41; offense 93.9 percentile2022 Week 2: Florida Atlantic vs. SE Louisiana · W 42–9; offense 80.1 percentile2022 Week 3: Florida Atlantic vs. UCF · L 14–40; offense 31.2 percentile2022 Week 4: Florida Atlantic at Purdue · L 26–28; offense 42.5 percentile2022 Week 5: Florida Atlantic at North Texas · L 28–45; offense 42.4 percentile2022 Week 8: Florida Atlantic at UTEP · L 21–24; offense 34.3 percentile2022 Week 11: Florida Atlantic at Florida International · W 52–7; offense 57.9 percentile2022 Week 12: Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee · L 21–49; offense 21.8 percentile2022 Week 13: Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky · L 31–32; offense 96.4 percentile2023 Week 1: Florida Atlantic vs. Monmouth · W 42–20; offense 50.6 percentile2023 Week 2: Florida Atlantic vs. Ohio · L 10–17; offense 17.0 percentile2023 Week 3: Florida Atlantic at Clemson · L 14–48; offense 20.3 percentile2023 Week 4: Florida Atlantic at Illinois · L 17–23; offense 19.8 percentile2023 Week 6: Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa · W 20–17; offense 17.8 percentile2023 Week 7: Florida Atlantic at South Florida · W 56–14; offense 92.2 percentile2023 Week 8: Florida Atlantic vs. UTSA · L 10–36; offense 18.7 percentile2023 Week 9: Florida Atlantic at Charlotte · W 38–16; offense 87.8 percentile2023 Week 10: Florida Atlantic at UAB · L 42–45; offense 65.0 percentile2023 Week 11: Florida Atlantic vs. East Carolina · L 7–22; offense 10.1 percentile2023 Week 12: Florida Atlantic vs. Tulane · L 8–24; offense 4.6 percentile2023 Week 13: Florida Atlantic at Rice · L 21–24; offense 83.5 percentile2024 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Michigan State · L 10–16; offense 6.2 percentile2024 Week 2: Florida Atlantic vs. Army · L 7–24; offense 11.9 percentile2024 Week 3: Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International · W 38–20; offense 76.4 percentile2024 Week 7: Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas · L 37–41; offense 73.2 percentile2024 Week 8: Florida Atlantic at UTSA · L 24–38; offense 7.5 percentile2024 Week 10: Florida Atlantic vs. South Florida · L 21–44; offense 52.1 percentile2024 Week 11: Florida Atlantic at East Carolina · L 14–49; offense 35.2 percentile2024 Week 12: Florida Atlantic at Temple · L 15–18; offense 17.1 percentile2024 Week 13: Florida Atlantic vs. Charlotte · L 27–39; offense 37.7 percentile2024 Week 14: Florida Atlantic at Tulsa · W 63–16; offense 90.4 percentile2025 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Maryland · L 7–39; offense 1.1 percentile2025 Week 2: Florida Atlantic vs. Florida A&M · W 56–14; offense 47.9 percentile2025 Week 3: Florida Atlantic at Florida International · L 28–38; offense 41.6 percentile2025 Week 5: Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis · L 26–55; offense 27.4 percentile2025 Week 6: Florida Atlantic at Rice · W 27–21; offense 57.5 percentile2025 Week 7: Florida Atlantic vs. UAB · W 53–33; offense 82.5 percentile2025 Week 8: Florida Atlantic at South Florida · L 13–48; offense 13.4 percentile2025 Week 9: Florida Atlantic at Navy · L 32–42; offense 46.9 percentile2025 Week 11: Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa · W 40–21; offense 78.5 percentile2025 Week 12: Florida Atlantic at Tulane · L 24–35; offense 67.7 percentile2025 Week 13: Florida Atlantic vs. UConn · L 45–48; offense 96.9 percentile2025 Week 14: Florida Atlantic vs. East Carolina · L 3–42; offense 34.4 percentile2026 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Florida · L 21–66; offense 38.6 percentile2014 offense season mean: 39.8 percentile2015 offense season mean: 32.9 percentile2016 offense season mean: 45.0 percentile2017 offense season mean: 76.3 percentile2018 offense season mean: 47.3 percentile2019 offense season mean: 56.9 percentile2020 offense season mean: 23.1 percentile2021 offense season mean: 41.8 percentile2022 offense season mean: 59.9 percentile2023 offense season mean: 38.7 percentile2024 offense season mean: 37.8 percentile2025 offense season mean: 48.3 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 47.2 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 38.6 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Nebraska · L 7–55; defense 0.6 percentile2014 Week 2: Florida Atlantic at Alabama · L 0–41; defense 3.2 percentile2014 Week 4: Florida Atlantic at Wyoming · L 19–20; defense 51.8 percentile2014 Week 5: Florida Atlantic vs. UTSA · W 41–37; defense 4.0 percentile2014 Week 6: Florida Atlantic at Florida International · L 10–38; defense 27.1 percentile2014 Week 8: Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky · W 45–38; defense 56.1 percentile2014 Week 9: Florida Atlantic at Marshall · L 16–35; defense 48.2 percentile2014 Week 14: Florida Atlantic vs. Old Dominion · L 28–31; defense 45.5 percentile2015 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Tulsa · L 44–47; defense 19.6 percentile2015 Week 3: Florida Atlantic vs. Buffalo · L 15–33; defense 65.6 percentile2015 Week 4: Florida Atlantic at Charlotte · W 17–7; defense 91.0 percentile2015 Week 6: Florida Atlantic vs. Rice · L 26–27; defense 14.4 percentile2015 Week 7: Florida Atlantic vs. Marshall · L 17–33; defense 3.4 percentile2015 Week 8: Florida Atlantic at UTEP · L 17–27; defense 15.8 percentile2015 Week 9: Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International · W 31–17; defense 41.7 percentile2015 Week 10: Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky · L 19–35; defense 2.0 percentile2015 Week 11: Florida Atlantic vs. Middle Tennessee · L 17–24; defense 46.4 percentile2015 Week 12: Florida Atlantic at Florida · L 14–20; defense 92.5 percentile2015 Week 13: Florida Atlantic at Old Dominion · W 33–31; defense 60.7 percentile2016 Week 1: Florida Atlantic vs. Southern Illinois · W 38–30; defense 17.8 percentile2016 Week 2: Florida Atlantic at Miami · L 10–38; defense 27.3 percentile2016 Week 4: Florida Atlantic vs. Ball State · L 27–31; defense 32.5 percentile2016 Week 5: Florida Atlantic at Florida International · L 31–33; defense 19.6 percentile2016 Week 6: Florida Atlantic vs. Charlotte · L 23–28; defense 5.4 percentile2016 Week 9: Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky · L 3–52; defense 12.8 percentile2016 Week 10: Florida Atlantic at Rice · W 42–25; defense 37.3 percentile2016 Week 11: Florida Atlantic vs. UTEP · W 35–31; defense 9.1 percentile2016 Week 12: Florida Atlantic vs. Old Dominion · L 24–42; defense 6.2 percentile2016 Week 13: Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee · L 56–77; defense 0.9 percentile2017 Week 1: Florida Atlantic vs. Navy · L 19–42; defense 10.4 percentile2017 Week 2: Florida Atlantic at Wisconsin · L 14–31; defense 48.8 percentile2017 Week 3: Florida Atlantic vs. Bethune-Cookman · W 45–0; defense 75.4 percentile2017 Week 4: Florida Atlantic at Buffalo · L 31–34; defense 33.2 percentile2017 Week 5: Florida Atlantic vs. Middle Tennessee · W 38–20; defense 28.4 percentile2017 Week 6: Florida Atlantic at Old Dominion · W 58–28; defense 22.2 percentile2017 Week 8: Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas · W 69–31; defense 51.5 percentile2017 Week 9: Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky · W 42–28; defense 32.0 percentile2017 Week 10: Florida Atlantic vs. Marshall · W 30–25; defense 34.9 percentile2017 Week 11: Florida Atlantic at Louisiana Tech · W 48–23; defense 71.3 percentile2017 Week 12: Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International · W 52–24; defense 35.5 percentile2017 Week 13: Florida Atlantic at Charlotte · W 31–12; defense 55.4 percentile2017 Week 14: Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas · W 41–17; defense 57.8 percentile2017 Week 1: Florida Atlantic vs. Akron · W 50–3; defense 92.3 percentile2018 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Oklahoma · L 14–63; defense 15.6 percentile2018 Week 3: Florida Atlantic vs. Bethune-Cookman · W 49–28; defense 24.4 percentile2018 Week 4: Florida Atlantic at UCF · L 36–56; defense 20.8 percentile2018 Week 6: Florida Atlantic vs. Old Dominion · W 52–33; defense 38.3 percentile2018 Week 8: Florida Atlantic at Marshall · L 7–31; defense 65.8 percentile2018 Week 9: Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana Tech · L 13–21; defense 58.1 percentile2018 Week 10: Florida Atlantic at Florida International · W 49–14; defense 79.7 percentile2018 Week 11: Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky · W 34–15; defense 75.6 percentile2018 Week 12: Florida Atlantic at North Texas · L 38–41; defense 61.9 percentile2019 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Ohio State · L 21–45; defense 72.8 percentile2019 Week 2: Florida Atlantic vs. UCF · L 14–48; defense 12.8 percentile2019 Week 3: Florida Atlantic at Ball State · W 41–31; defense 77.4 percentile2019 Week 4: Florida Atlantic vs. Wagner · W 42–7; defense 71.5 percentile2019 Week 5: Florida Atlantic at Charlotte · W 45–27; defense 96.8 percentile2019 Week 7: Florida Atlantic vs. Middle Tennessee · W 28–13; defense 45.3 percentile2019 Week 8: Florida Atlantic vs. Marshall · L 31–36; defense 26.9 percentile2019 Week 9: Florida Atlantic at Old Dominion · W 41–3; defense 89.9 percentile2019 Week 10: Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky · W 35–24; defense 55.2 percentile2019 Week 11: Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International · W 37–7; defense 97.9 percentile2019 Week 13: Florida Atlantic at UTSA · W 40–26; defense 39.7 percentile2019 Week 14: Florida Atlantic vs. Southern Miss · W 34–17; defense 82.5 percentile2019 Week 15: Florida Atlantic vs. UAB · W 49–6; defense 91.2 percentile2019 Week 1: Florida Atlantic vs. SMU · W 52–28; defense 85.3 percentile2020 Week 5: Florida Atlantic vs. Charlotte · W 21–17; defense 74.9 percentile2020 Week 8: Florida Atlantic at Marshall · L 9–20; defense 48.4 percentile2020 Week 10: Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky · W 10–6; defense 74.2 percentile2020 Week 12: Florida Atlantic vs. Massachusetts · W 24–2; defense 85.8 percentile2020 Week 14: Florida Atlantic at Georgia Southern · L 3–20; defense 84.8 percentile2020 Week 15: Florida Atlantic at Southern Miss · L 31–45; defense 6.9 percentile2020 Week 1: Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis · L 10–25; defense 6.8 percentile2021 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Florida · L 14–35; defense 18.7 percentile2021 Week 3: Florida Atlantic vs. Fordham · W 45–14; defense 72.7 percentile2021 Week 4: Florida Atlantic at Air Force · L 7–31; defense 30.0 percentile2021 Week 5: Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International · W 58–21; defense 69.6 percentile2021 Week 6: Florida Atlantic at UAB · L 14–31; defense 63.0 percentile2021 Week 8: Florida Atlantic at Charlotte · W 38–9; defense 97.6 percentile2021 Week 12: Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky · L 17–52; defense 23.5 percentile2022 Week 1: Florida Atlantic vs. Charlotte · W 43–13; defense 54.5 percentile2022 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Ohio · L 38–41; defense 41.1 percentile2022 Week 2: Florida Atlantic vs. SE Louisiana · W 42–9; defense 63.5 percentile2022 Week 3: Florida Atlantic vs. UCF · L 14–40; defense 10.6 percentile2022 Week 4: Florida Atlantic at Purdue · L 26–28; defense 32.4 percentile2022 Week 5: Florida Atlantic at North Texas · L 28–45; defense 20.5 percentile2022 Week 8: Florida Atlantic at UTEP · L 21–24; defense 38.2 percentile2022 Week 11: Florida Atlantic at Florida International · W 52–7; defense 60.3 percentile2022 Week 12: Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee · L 21–49; defense 11.0 percentile2022 Week 13: Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky · L 31–32; defense 56.8 percentile2023 Week 1: Florida Atlantic vs. Monmouth · W 42–20; defense 30.3 percentile2023 Week 2: Florida Atlantic vs. Ohio · L 10–17; defense 60.4 percentile2023 Week 3: Florida Atlantic at Clemson · L 14–48; defense 17.6 percentile2023 Week 4: Florida Atlantic at Illinois · L 17–23; defense 25.6 percentile2023 Week 6: Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa · W 20–17; defense 38.7 percentile2023 Week 7: Florida Atlantic at South Florida · W 56–14; defense 83.1 percentile2023 Week 8: Florida Atlantic vs. UTSA · L 10–36; defense 36.1 percentile2023 Week 9: Florida Atlantic at Charlotte · W 38–16; defense 54.7 percentile2023 Week 10: Florida Atlantic at UAB · L 42–45; defense 19.3 percentile2023 Week 11: Florida Atlantic vs. East Carolina · L 7–22; defense 40.6 percentile2023 Week 12: Florida Atlantic vs. Tulane · L 8–24; defense 32.3 percentile2023 Week 13: Florida Atlantic at Rice · L 21–24; defense 24.3 percentile2024 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Michigan State · L 10–16; defense 63.4 percentile2024 Week 2: Florida Atlantic vs. Army · L 7–24; defense 31.8 percentile2024 Week 3: Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International · W 38–20; defense 46.0 percentile2024 Week 7: Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas · L 37–41; defense 11.6 percentile2024 Week 8: Florida Atlantic at UTSA · L 24–38; defense 46.9 percentile2024 Week 10: Florida Atlantic vs. South Florida · L 21–44; defense 8.5 percentile2024 Week 11: Florida Atlantic at East Carolina · L 14–49; defense 0.7 percentile2024 Week 12: Florida Atlantic at Temple · L 15–18; defense 60.4 percentile2024 Week 13: Florida Atlantic vs. Charlotte · L 27–39; defense 22.6 percentile2024 Week 14: Florida Atlantic at Tulsa · W 63–16; defense 78.2 percentile2025 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Maryland · L 7–39; defense 66.2 percentile2025 Week 2: Florida Atlantic vs. Florida A&M · W 56–14; defense 20.3 percentile2025 Week 3: Florida Atlantic at Florida International · L 28–38; defense 63.0 percentile2025 Week 5: Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis · L 26–55; defense 20.5 percentile2025 Week 6: Florida Atlantic at Rice · W 27–21; defense 42.0 percentile2025 Week 7: Florida Atlantic vs. UAB · W 53–33; defense 61.0 percentile2025 Week 8: Florida Atlantic at South Florida · L 13–48; defense 37.1 percentile2025 Week 9: Florida Atlantic at Navy · L 32–42; defense 12.1 percentile2025 Week 11: Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa · W 40–21; defense 30.1 percentile2025 Week 12: Florida Atlantic at Tulane · L 24–35; defense 23.3 percentile2025 Week 13: Florida Atlantic vs. UConn · L 45–48; defense 6.0 percentile2025 Week 14: Florida Atlantic vs. East Carolina · L 3–42; defense 2.4 percentile2026 Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Florida · L 21–66; defense 6.4 percentile2014 defense season mean: 20.1 percentile2015 defense season mean: 37.0 percentile2016 defense season mean: 13.3 percentile2017 defense season mean: 46.5 percentile2018 defense season mean: 48.3 percentile2019 defense season mean: 72.6 percentile2020 defense season mean: 52.3 percentile2021 defense season mean: 57.3 percentile2022 defense season mean: 36.7 percentile2023 defense season mean: 38.0 percentile2024 defense season mean: 30.8 percentile2025 defense season mean: 27.7 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 24.3 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 6.4 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2014Charlie Partridge
2017Lane Kiffin
2020Willie Taggart
2023Tom Herman
2024Tom Herman / Chad Lunsford
2025Zach Kittley

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateZach Kittley1
47.2 estimate38.6 games-only average
24.3 estimate6.4 games-only average
2025Zach KittleyCoaching change1248.327.7
2024Tom Herman / Chad LunsfordCoaching change1037.830.8
2023Tom HermanCoaching change1238.738.0
2022Willie Taggart1059.936.7
2021Willie Taggart741.857.3
2020Willie TaggartCoaching change723.152.3
2019Lane Kiffin1456.972.6
2018Lane Kiffin947.348.3
2017Lane KiffinCoaching change1476.346.5
2016Charlie Partridge1045.013.3
2015Charlie Partridge1132.937.0
2014Charlie PartridgeCoaching change839.820.1