2014–2026 performance history

Florida International over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Conference USAHead coach: Willie SimmonsView Florida International games →
Offense · 2026 estimate30.2/100

18.2 average through 1 game

31.9 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate46.4/100

96.4 average through 1 game

37.2 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Florida International individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Turner · ’14–’16Ron Turner, 2014–2016Davis · ’17–’21Butch Davis, 2017–2021MacIntyre · ’22–’24Mike MacIntyre, 2022–2024Simmons · ’25–’26Willie Simmons, 2025–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Florida International vs. Bethune-Cookman · L 12–14; offense 0.1 percentile2014 Week 4: Florida International vs. Louisville · L 3–34; offense 3.0 percentile2014 Week 5: Florida International at UAB · W 34–20; offense 12.2 percentile2014 Week 6: Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic · W 38–10; offense 18.0 percentile2014 Week 7: Florida International at UTSA · L 13–16; offense 25.4 percentile2014 Week 8: Florida International vs. Marshall · L 13–45; offense 46.7 percentile2014 Week 10: Florida International vs. Rice · L 17–31; offense 18.8 percentile2014 Week 11: Florida International at Old Dominion · L 35–38; offense 55.3 percentile2014 Week 12: Florida International vs. Middle Tennessee · W 38–28; offense 24.5 percentile2014 Week 13: Florida International at North Texas · L 14–17; offense 0.6 percentile2015 Week 1: Florida International at UCF · W 15–14; offense 19.1 percentile2015 Week 2: Florida International at Indiana · L 22–36; offense 49.6 percentile2015 Week 3: Florida International vs. North Carolina Central · W 39–14; offense 30.1 percentile2015 Week 4: Florida International at Louisiana Tech · L 17–27; offense 15.3 percentile2015 Week 5: Florida International at Massachusetts · L 14–24; offense 11.1 percentile2015 Week 6: Florida International vs. UTEP · W 52–12; offense 94.0 percentile2015 Week 7: Florida International at Middle Tennessee · L 34–42; offense 45.1 percentile2015 Week 8: Florida International vs. Old Dominion · W 41–12; offense 54.7 percentile2015 Week 9: Florida International at Florida Atlantic · L 17–31; offense 53.4 percentile2015 Week 10: Florida International vs. Charlotte · W 48–31; offense 67.6 percentile2015 Week 11: Florida International at Marshall · L 0–52; offense 11.9 percentile2016 Week 1: Florida International vs. Indiana · L 13–34; offense 34.7 percentile2016 Week 2: Florida International vs. Maryland · L 14–41; offense 17.0 percentile2016 Week 3: Florida International at Massachusetts · L 13–21; offense 7.6 percentile2016 Week 4: Florida International vs. UCF · L 14–53; offense 14.0 percentile2016 Week 5: Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic · W 33–31; offense 39.8 percentile2016 Week 6: Florida International at UTEP · W 35–21; offense 63.3 percentile2016 Week 7: Florida International at Charlotte · W 27–26; offense 11.5 percentile2016 Week 8: Florida International vs. Louisiana Tech · L 24–44; offense 15.5 percentile2016 Week 9: Florida International vs. Middle Tennessee · L 35–42; offense 81.4 percentile2016 Week 10: Florida International at Western Kentucky · L 21–49; offense 36.0 percentile2016 Week 12: Florida International vs. Marshall · W 31–14; offense 77.3 percentile2016 Week 13: Florida International at Old Dominion · L 28–42; offense 22.4 percentile2017 Week 1: Florida International at UCF · L 17–61; offense 45.1 percentile2017 Week 2: Florida International vs. Alcorn State · W 17–10; offense 27.9 percentile2017 Week 4: Florida International at Rice · W 13–7; offense 13.4 percentile2017 Week 5: Florida International vs. Charlotte · W 30–29; offense 82.9 percentile2017 Week 6: Florida International at Middle Tennessee · L 17–37; offense 53.3 percentile2017 Week 7: Florida International vs. Tulane · W 23–10; offense 38.4 percentile2017 Week 9: Florida International at Marshall · W 41–30; offense 82.0 percentile2017 Week 10: Florida International vs. UTSA · W 14–7; offense 28.9 percentile2017 Week 11: Florida International vs. Old Dominion · L 30–37; offense 54.0 percentile2017 Week 12: Florida International at Florida Atlantic · L 24–52; offense 70.9 percentile2017 Week 13: Florida International vs. Western Kentucky · W 41–17; offense 83.4 percentile2017 Week 14: Florida International vs. Massachusetts · W 63–45; offense 98.6 percentile2017 Week 1: Florida International vs. Temple · L 3–28; offense 11.6 percentile2018 Week 1: Florida International vs. Indiana · L 28–38; offense 36.6 percentile2018 Week 2: Florida International at Old Dominion · W 28–20; offense 37.5 percentile2018 Week 3: Florida International vs. Massachusetts · W 63–24; offense 80.5 percentile2018 Week 4: Florida International at Miami · L 17–31; offense 3.4 percentile2018 Week 5: Florida International vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff · W 55–9; offense 81.9 percentile2018 Week 7: Florida International vs. Middle Tennessee · W 24–21; offense 43.6 percentile2018 Week 8: Florida International vs. Rice · W 36–17; offense 64.2 percentile2018 Week 9: Florida International at Western Kentucky · W 38–17; offense 81.4 percentile2018 Week 10: Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic · L 14–49; offense 20.5 percentile2018 Week 11: Florida International at UTSA · W 45–7; offense 66.1 percentile2018 Week 12: Florida International at Charlotte · W 42–35; offense 87.0 percentile2018 Week 13: Florida International vs. Marshall · L 25–28; offense 70.9 percentile2018 Week 1: Florida International vs. Toledo · W 35–32; offense 77.1 percentile2019 Week 1: Florida International at Tulane · L 14–42; offense 15.9 percentile2019 Week 2: Florida International vs. Western Kentucky · L 14–20; offense 7.3 percentile2019 Week 3: Florida International vs. New Hampshire · W 30–17; offense 13.0 percentile2019 Week 4: Florida International at Louisiana Tech · L 31–43; offense 92.2 percentile2019 Week 6: Florida International vs. Massachusetts · W 44–0; offense 45.1 percentile2019 Week 7: Florida International vs. Charlotte · W 48–23; offense 97.4 percentile2019 Week 8: Florida International vs. UTEP · W 32–17; offense 53.5 percentile2019 Week 9: Florida International at Middle Tennessee · L 17–50; offense 5.7 percentile2019 Week 10: Florida International vs. Old Dominion · W 24–17; offense 21.2 percentile2019 Week 11: Florida International at Florida Atlantic · L 7–37; offense 7.5 percentile2019 Week 13: Florida International vs. Miami · W 30–24; offense 62.2 percentile2019 Week 14: Florida International at Marshall · L 27–30; offense 28.5 percentile2019 Week 1: Florida International vs. Arkansas State · L 26–34; offense 41.6 percentile2020 Week 4: Florida International at Liberty · L 34–36; offense 80.7 percentile2020 Week 6: Florida International vs. Middle Tennessee · L 28–31; offense 20.0 percentile2020 Week 8: Florida International vs. Jacksonville State · L 10–19; offense 1.2 percentile2020 Week 12: Florida International at Western Kentucky · L 21–38; offense 7.1 percentile2021 Week 2: Florida International vs. Texas State · L 17–23; offense 20.9 percentile2021 Week 3: Florida International at Texas Tech · L 21–54; offense 14.0 percentile2021 Week 4: Florida International at Central Michigan · L 27–31; offense 46.0 percentile2021 Week 5: Florida International at Florida Atlantic · L 21–58; offense 14.9 percentile2021 Week 6: Florida International vs. Charlotte · L 33–45; offense 37.8 percentile2021 Week 9: Florida International at Marshall · L 0–38; offense 23.5 percentile2021 Week 10: Florida International vs. Old Dominion · L 24–47; offense 48.3 percentile2021 Week 13: Florida International at Southern Miss · L 17–37; offense 59.2 percentile2022 Week 2: Florida International at Texas State · L 12–41; offense 35.7 percentile2022 Week 4: Florida International at Western Kentucky · L 0–73; offense 0.7 percentile2022 Week 5: Florida International at New Mexico State · W 21–7; offense 53.9 percentile2022 Week 6: Florida International vs. UConn · L 12–33; offense 32.2 percentile2022 Week 7: Florida International vs. UTSA · L 10–30; offense 17.9 percentile2022 Week 8: Florida International at Charlotte · W 34–15; offense 41.2 percentile2022 Week 10: Florida International at North Texas · L 14–52; offense 7.1 percentile2022 Week 11: Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic · L 7–52; offense 21.5 percentile2022 Week 13: Florida International vs. Middle Tennessee · L 28–33; offense 73.2 percentile2023 Week 1: Florida International at Louisiana Tech · L 17–22; offense 11.5 percentile2023 Week 1: Florida International vs. Maine · W 14–12; offense 6.3 percentile2023 Week 3: Florida International at UConn · W 24–17; offense 14.3 percentile2023 Week 4: Florida International vs. Liberty · L 6–38; offense 1.6 percentile2023 Week 6: Florida International at New Mexico State · L 17–34; offense 55.5 percentile2023 Week 7: Florida International vs. UTEP · L 14–27; offense 5.8 percentile2023 Week 9: Florida International vs. Jacksonville State · L 16–41; offense 10.7 percentile2023 Week 11: Florida International at Middle Tennessee · L 6–40; offense 1.8 percentile2023 Week 12: Florida International at Arkansas · L 20–44; offense 41.7 percentile2023 Week 13: Florida International vs. Western Kentucky · L 28–41; offense 20.4 percentile2024 Week 1: Florida International at Indiana · L 7–31; offense 10.9 percentile2024 Week 3: Florida International at Florida Atlantic · L 20–38; offense 30.7 percentile2024 Week 4: Florida International vs. Monmouth · L 42–45; offense 23.3 percentile2024 Week 5: Florida International vs. Louisiana Tech · W 17–10; offense 27.9 percentile2024 Week 8: Florida International at UTEP · L 21–30; offense 17.7 percentile2024 Week 9: Florida International vs. Sam Houston · L 7–10; offense 6.4 percentile2024 Week 10: Florida International vs. New Mexico State · W 34–13; offense 42.8 percentile2024 Week 12: Florida International at Jacksonville State · L 31–34; offense 78.6 percentile2024 Week 13: Florida International at Kennesaw State · L 26–27; offense 52.2 percentile2024 Week 14: Florida International vs. Middle Tennessee · W 35–24; offense 52.0 percentile2025 Week 1: Florida International vs. Bethune-Cookman · W 42–9; offense 43.1 percentile2025 Week 2: Florida International at Penn State · L 0–34; offense 6.3 percentile2025 Week 3: Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic · W 38–28; offense 16.0 percentile2025 Week 4: Florida International vs. Delaware · L 16–38; offense 3.8 percentile2025 Week 6: Florida International at UConn · L 10–51; offense 5.0 percentile2025 Week 8: Florida International at Western Kentucky · W 25–6; offense 83.1 percentile2025 Week 9: Florida International vs. Kennesaw State · L 26–45; offense 45.8 percentile2025 Week 10: Florida International at Missouri State · L 21–28; offense 17.3 percentile2025 Week 11: Florida International at Middle Tennessee · W 56–30; offense 76.2 percentile2025 Week 13: Florida International vs. Jacksonville State · W 27–21; offense 50.2 percentile2025 Week 14: Florida International vs. Sam Houston · W 56–16; offense 76.2 percentile2025 Week 1: Florida International vs. UTSA · L 20–57; offense 19.1 percentile2026 Week 1: Florida International at South Florida · L 9–19; offense 18.2 percentile2014 offense season mean: 11.8 percentile2015 offense season mean: 40.2 percentile2016 offense season mean: 32.4 percentile2017 offense season mean: 55.9 percentile2018 offense season mean: 57.3 percentile2019 offense season mean: 36.4 percentile2020 offense season mean: 17.7 percentile2021 offense season mean: 31.4 percentile2022 offense season mean: 25.4 percentile2023 offense season mean: 12.0 percentile2024 offense season mean: 31.6 percentile2025 offense season mean: 31.9 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 30.2 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 18.2 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Florida International vs. Bethune-Cookman · L 12–14; defense 42.3 percentile2014 Week 4: Florida International vs. Louisville · L 3–34; defense 72.2 percentile2014 Week 5: Florida International at UAB · W 34–20; defense 71.1 percentile2014 Week 6: Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic · W 38–10; defense 41.8 percentile2014 Week 7: Florida International at UTSA · L 13–16; defense 75.3 percentile2014 Week 8: Florida International vs. Marshall · L 13–45; defense 28.3 percentile2014 Week 10: Florida International vs. Rice · L 17–31; defense 35.9 percentile2014 Week 11: Florida International at Old Dominion · L 35–38; defense 14.4 percentile2014 Week 12: Florida International vs. Middle Tennessee · W 38–28; defense 32.0 percentile2014 Week 13: Florida International at North Texas · L 14–17; defense 62.0 percentile2015 Week 1: Florida International at UCF · W 15–14; defense 61.1 percentile2015 Week 2: Florida International at Indiana · L 22–36; defense 57.2 percentile2015 Week 3: Florida International vs. North Carolina Central · W 39–14; defense 57.6 percentile2015 Week 4: Florida International at Louisiana Tech · L 17–27; defense 61.4 percentile2015 Week 5: Florida International at Massachusetts · L 14–24; defense 41.8 percentile2015 Week 6: Florida International vs. UTEP · W 52–12; defense 55.5 percentile2015 Week 7: Florida International at Middle Tennessee · L 34–42; defense 10.8 percentile2015 Week 8: Florida International vs. Old Dominion · W 41–12; defense 25.6 percentile2015 Week 9: Florida International at Florida Atlantic · L 17–31; defense 14.5 percentile2015 Week 10: Florida International vs. Charlotte · W 48–31; defense 20.4 percentile2015 Week 11: Florida International at Marshall · L 0–52; defense 1.4 percentile2016 Week 1: Florida International vs. Indiana · L 13–34; defense 35.0 percentile2016 Week 2: Florida International vs. Maryland · L 14–41; defense 4.7 percentile2016 Week 3: Florida International at Massachusetts · L 13–21; defense 41.3 percentile2016 Week 4: Florida International vs. UCF · L 14–53; defense 0.5 percentile2016 Week 5: Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic · W 33–31; defense 47.3 percentile2016 Week 6: Florida International at UTEP · W 35–21; defense 72.1 percentile2016 Week 7: Florida International at Charlotte · W 27–26; defense 23.6 percentile2016 Week 8: Florida International vs. Louisiana Tech · L 24–44; defense 28.9 percentile2016 Week 9: Florida International vs. Middle Tennessee · L 35–42; defense 14.7 percentile2016 Week 10: Florida International at Western Kentucky · L 21–49; defense 21.0 percentile2016 Week 12: Florida International vs. Marshall · W 31–14; defense 37.4 percentile2016 Week 13: Florida International at Old Dominion · L 28–42; defense 8.7 percentile2017 Week 1: Florida International at UCF · L 17–61; defense 44.6 percentile2017 Week 2: Florida International vs. Alcorn State · W 17–10; defense 47.4 percentile2017 Week 4: Florida International at Rice · W 13–7; defense 91.3 percentile2017 Week 5: Florida International vs. Charlotte · W 30–29; defense 5.2 percentile2017 Week 6: Florida International at Middle Tennessee · L 17–37; defense 23.4 percentile2017 Week 7: Florida International vs. Tulane · W 23–10; defense 68.7 percentile2017 Week 9: Florida International at Marshall · W 41–30; defense 51.7 percentile2017 Week 10: Florida International vs. UTSA · W 14–7; defense 75.9 percentile2017 Week 11: Florida International vs. Old Dominion · L 30–37; defense 14.7 percentile2017 Week 12: Florida International at Florida Atlantic · L 24–52; defense 8.7 percentile2017 Week 13: Florida International vs. Western Kentucky · W 41–17; defense 48.7 percentile2017 Week 14: Florida International vs. Massachusetts · W 63–45; defense 6.5 percentile2017 Week 1: Florida International vs. Temple · L 3–28; defense 65.2 percentile2018 Week 1: Florida International vs. Indiana · L 28–38; defense 13.8 percentile2018 Week 2: Florida International at Old Dominion · W 28–20; defense 72.8 percentile2018 Week 3: Florida International vs. Massachusetts · W 63–24; defense 19.2 percentile2018 Week 4: Florida International at Miami · L 17–31; defense 17.4 percentile2018 Week 5: Florida International vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff · W 55–9; defense 63.2 percentile2018 Week 7: Florida International vs. Middle Tennessee · W 24–21; defense 22.2 percentile2018 Week 8: Florida International vs. Rice · W 36–17; defense 21.0 percentile2018 Week 9: Florida International at Western Kentucky · W 38–17; defense 59.6 percentile2018 Week 10: Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic · L 14–49; defense 21.1 percentile2018 Week 11: Florida International at UTSA · W 45–7; defense 38.9 percentile2018 Week 12: Florida International at Charlotte · W 42–35; defense 5.0 percentile2018 Week 13: Florida International vs. Marshall · L 25–28; defense 53.5 percentile2018 Week 1: Florida International vs. Toledo · W 35–32; defense 58.8 percentile2019 Week 1: Florida International at Tulane · L 14–42; defense 1.6 percentile2019 Week 2: Florida International vs. Western Kentucky · L 14–20; defense 67.2 percentile2019 Week 3: Florida International vs. New Hampshire · W 30–17; defense 20.8 percentile2019 Week 4: Florida International at Louisiana Tech · L 31–43; defense 12.1 percentile2019 Week 6: Florida International vs. Massachusetts · W 44–0; defense 98.8 percentile2019 Week 7: Florida International vs. Charlotte · W 48–23; defense 18.6 percentile2019 Week 8: Florida International vs. UTEP · W 32–17; defense 58.8 percentile2019 Week 9: Florida International at Middle Tennessee · L 17–50; defense 4.2 percentile2019 Week 10: Florida International vs. Old Dominion · W 24–17; defense 57.1 percentile2019 Week 11: Florida International at Florida Atlantic · L 7–37; defense 18.2 percentile2019 Week 13: Florida International vs. Miami · W 30–24; defense 23.0 percentile2019 Week 14: Florida International at Marshall · L 27–30; defense 76.7 percentile2019 Week 1: Florida International vs. Arkansas State · L 26–34; defense 38.8 percentile2020 Week 4: Florida International at Liberty · L 34–36; defense 39.2 percentile2020 Week 6: Florida International vs. Middle Tennessee · L 28–31; defense 48.9 percentile2020 Week 8: Florida International vs. Jacksonville State · L 10–19; defense 25.0 percentile2020 Week 12: Florida International at Western Kentucky · L 21–38; defense 59.1 percentile2021 Week 2: Florida International vs. Texas State · L 17–23; defense 65.8 percentile2021 Week 3: Florida International at Texas Tech · L 21–54; defense 10.5 percentile2021 Week 4: Florida International at Central Michigan · L 27–31; defense 42.4 percentile2021 Week 5: Florida International at Florida Atlantic · L 21–58; defense 1.3 percentile2021 Week 6: Florida International vs. Charlotte · L 33–45; defense 16.8 percentile2021 Week 9: Florida International at Marshall · L 0–38; defense 41.8 percentile2021 Week 10: Florida International vs. Old Dominion · L 24–47; defense 4.6 percentile2021 Week 13: Florida International at Southern Miss · L 17–37; defense 0.5 percentile2022 Week 2: Florida International at Texas State · L 12–41; defense 9.3 percentile2022 Week 4: Florida International at Western Kentucky · L 0–73; defense 11.3 percentile2022 Week 5: Florida International at New Mexico State · W 21–7; defense 89.4 percentile2022 Week 6: Florida International vs. UConn · L 12–33; defense 1.8 percentile2022 Week 7: Florida International vs. UTSA · L 10–30; defense 32.4 percentile2022 Week 8: Florida International at Charlotte · W 34–15; defense 96.2 percentile2022 Week 10: Florida International at North Texas · L 14–52; defense 7.4 percentile2022 Week 11: Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic · L 7–52; defense 32.5 percentile2022 Week 13: Florida International vs. Middle Tennessee · L 28–33; defense 9.9 percentile2023 Week 1: Florida International at Louisiana Tech · L 17–22; defense 64.6 percentile2023 Week 1: Florida International vs. Maine · W 14–12; defense 25.0 percentile2023 Week 3: Florida International at UConn · W 24–17; defense 79.8 percentile2023 Week 4: Florida International vs. Liberty · L 6–38; defense 15.5 percentile2023 Week 6: Florida International at New Mexico State · L 17–34; defense 60.3 percentile2023 Week 7: Florida International vs. UTEP · L 14–27; defense 27.3 percentile2023 Week 9: Florida International vs. Jacksonville State · L 16–41; defense 57.6 percentile2023 Week 11: Florida International at Middle Tennessee · L 6–40; defense 26.0 percentile2023 Week 12: Florida International at Arkansas · L 20–44; defense 4.8 percentile2023 Week 13: Florida International vs. Western Kentucky · L 28–41; defense 30.9 percentile2024 Week 1: Florida International at Indiana · L 7–31; defense 51.2 percentile2024 Week 3: Florida International at Florida Atlantic · L 20–38; defense 28.4 percentile2024 Week 4: Florida International vs. Monmouth · L 42–45; defense 6.6 percentile2024 Week 5: Florida International vs. Louisiana Tech · W 17–10; defense 78.1 percentile2024 Week 8: Florida International at UTEP · L 21–30; defense 23.9 percentile2024 Week 9: Florida International vs. Sam Houston · L 7–10; defense 95.3 percentile2024 Week 10: Florida International vs. New Mexico State · W 34–13; defense 63.9 percentile2024 Week 12: Florida International at Jacksonville State · L 31–34; defense 47.5 percentile2024 Week 13: Florida International at Kennesaw State · L 26–27; defense 27.7 percentile2024 Week 14: Florida International vs. Middle Tennessee · W 35–24; defense 25.3 percentile2025 Week 1: Florida International vs. Bethune-Cookman · W 42–9; defense 36.4 percentile2025 Week 2: Florida International at Penn State · L 0–34; defense 53.3 percentile2025 Week 3: Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic · W 38–28; defense 50.4 percentile2025 Week 4: Florida International vs. Delaware · L 16–38; defense 18.1 percentile2025 Week 6: Florida International at UConn · L 10–51; defense 38.5 percentile2025 Week 8: Florida International at Western Kentucky · W 25–6; defense 56.3 percentile2025 Week 9: Florida International vs. Kennesaw State · L 26–45; defense 6.8 percentile2025 Week 10: Florida International at Missouri State · L 21–28; defense 41.8 percentile2025 Week 11: Florida International at Middle Tennessee · W 56–30; defense 80.2 percentile2025 Week 13: Florida International vs. Jacksonville State · W 27–21; defense 54.2 percentile2025 Week 14: Florida International vs. Sam Houston · W 56–16; defense 28.5 percentile2025 Week 1: Florida International vs. UTSA · L 20–57; defense 9.5 percentile2026 Week 1: Florida International at South Florida · L 9–19; defense 96.4 percentile2014 defense season mean: 47.1 percentile2015 defense season mean: 32.2 percentile2016 defense season mean: 22.3 percentile2017 defense season mean: 39.3 percentile2018 defense season mean: 33.0 percentile2019 defense season mean: 35.5 percentile2020 defense season mean: 42.6 percentile2021 defense season mean: 13.9 percentile2022 defense season mean: 28.0 percentile2023 defense season mean: 36.5 percentile2024 defense season mean: 45.0 percentile2025 defense season mean: 37.2 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 46.4 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 96.4 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2017Butch Davis
2022Mike MacIntyre
2025Willie Simmons

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateWillie Simmons1
30.2 estimate18.2 games-only average
46.4 estimate96.4 games-only average
2025Willie SimmonsCoaching change1231.937.2
2024Mike MacIntyre1031.645.0
2023Mike MacIntyre1012.036.5
2022Mike MacIntyreCoaching change925.428.0
2021Butch Davis831.413.9
2020Butch Davis417.742.6
2019Butch Davis1336.435.5
2018Butch Davis1357.333.0
2017Butch DavisCoaching change1355.939.3
2016Ron Turner1232.422.3
2015Ron Turner1140.232.2
2014Ron Turner1011.847.1