2014–2026 performance history

Florida State over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

ACCHead coach: Mike NorvellView Florida State games →
Offense · 2026 estimate79.8/100

64.0 average through 2 games

83.0 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate43.8/100

20.5 average through 2 games

50.4 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Florida State individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Fisher · ’14–’17Jimbo Fisher, 2014–2017Taggart · ’18–’19Willie Taggart, 2018–2019Norvell · ’20–’26Mike Norvell, 2020–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Florida State vs. Oklahoma State · W 37–31; offense 49.9 percentile2014 Week 2: Florida State vs. The Citadel · W 37–12; offense 78.7 percentile2014 Week 4: Florida State vs. Clemson · W 23–17; offense 35.2 percentile2014 Week 5: Florida State at NC State · W 56–41; offense 95.2 percentile2014 Week 6: Florida State vs. Wake Forest · W 43–3; offense 71.1 percentile2014 Week 7: Florida State at Syracuse · W 38–20; offense 97.8 percentile2014 Week 8: Florida State vs. Notre Dame · W 31–27; offense 32.8 percentile2014 Week 10: Florida State at Louisville · W 42–31; offense 93.7 percentile2014 Week 11: Florida State vs. Virginia · W 34–20; offense 54.8 percentile2014 Week 12: Florida State at Miami · W 30–26; offense 74.9 percentile2014 Week 13: Florida State vs. Boston College · W 20–17; offense 66.8 percentile2014 Week 14: Florida State vs. Florida · W 24–19; offense 35.8 percentile2014 Week 15: Florida State vs. Georgia Tech · W 37–35; offense 85.5 percentile2014 Week 1: Florida State vs. Oregon · L 20–59; offense 56.8 percentile2015 Week 1: Florida State vs. Texas State · W 59–16; offense 95.5 percentile2015 Week 2: Florida State vs. South Florida · W 34–14; offense 51.0 percentile2015 Week 3: Florida State at Boston College · W 14–0; offense 30.4 percentile2015 Week 5: Florida State at Wake Forest · W 24–16; offense 83.2 percentile2015 Week 6: Florida State vs. Miami · W 29–24; offense 67.6 percentile2015 Week 7: Florida State vs. Louisville · W 41–21; offense 85.3 percentile2015 Week 8: Florida State at Georgia Tech · L 16–22; offense 23.1 percentile2015 Week 9: Florida State vs. Syracuse · W 45–21; offense 86.6 percentile2015 Week 10: Florida State at Clemson · L 13–23; offense 59.9 percentile2015 Week 11: Florida State vs. NC State · W 34–17; offense 85.5 percentile2015 Week 12: Florida State vs. Chattanooga · W 52–13; offense 76.3 percentile2015 Week 13: Florida State at Florida · W 27–2; offense 59.8 percentile2015 Week 1: Florida State vs. Houston · L 24–38; offense 26.6 percentile2016 Week 1: Florida State vs. Ole Miss · W 45–34; offense 54.1 percentile2016 Week 2: Florida State vs. Charleston Southern · W 52–8; offense 70.3 percentile2016 Week 3: Florida State at Louisville · L 20–63; offense 29.9 percentile2016 Week 4: Florida State at South Florida · W 55–35; offense 98.9 percentile2016 Week 5: Florida State vs. North Carolina · L 35–37; offense 89.1 percentile2016 Week 6: Florida State at Miami · W 20–19; offense 75.9 percentile2016 Week 7: Florida State vs. Wake Forest · W 17–6; offense 50.2 percentile2016 Week 9: Florida State vs. Clemson · L 34–37; offense 87.1 percentile2016 Week 10: Florida State at NC State · W 24–20; offense 53.7 percentile2016 Week 11: Florida State vs. Boston College · W 45–7; offense 82.2 percentile2016 Week 12: Florida State at Syracuse · W 45–14; offense 97.1 percentile2016 Week 13: Florida State vs. Florida · W 31–13; offense 90.7 percentile2016 Week 1: Florida State vs. Michigan · W 33–32; offense 73.9 percentile2017 Week 1: Florida State vs. Alabama · L 7–24; offense 21.1 percentile2017 Week 4: Florida State vs. NC State · L 21–27; offense 32.5 percentile2017 Week 5: Florida State at Wake Forest · W 26–19; offense 14.0 percentile2017 Week 6: Florida State vs. Miami · L 20–24; offense 48.0 percentile2017 Week 7: Florida State at Duke · W 17–10; offense 88.9 percentile2017 Week 8: Florida State vs. Louisville · L 28–31; offense 63.0 percentile2017 Week 9: Florida State at Boston College · L 3–35; offense 6.1 percentile2017 Week 10: Florida State vs. Syracuse · W 27–24; offense 20.4 percentile2017 Week 11: Florida State at Clemson · L 14–31; offense 33.9 percentile2017 Week 12: Florida State vs. Delaware State · W 77–6; offense 80.7 percentile2017 Week 13: Florida State at Florida · W 38–22; offense 20.0 percentile2017 Week 14: Florida State vs. UL Monroe · W 42–10; offense 88.8 percentile2017 Week 1: Florida State vs. Southern Miss · W 42–13; offense 96.7 percentile2018 Week 1: Florida State vs. Virginia Tech · L 3–24; offense 0.7 percentile2018 Week 2: Florida State vs. Samford · W 36–26; offense 9.2 percentile2018 Week 3: Florida State at Syracuse · L 7–30; offense 6.4 percentile2018 Week 4: Florida State vs. Northern Illinois · W 37–19; offense 49.0 percentile2018 Week 5: Florida State at Louisville · W 28–24; offense 5.8 percentile2018 Week 6: Florida State at Miami · L 27–28; offense 32.5 percentile2018 Week 8: Florida State vs. Wake Forest · W 38–17; offense 50.5 percentile2018 Week 9: Florida State vs. Clemson · L 10–59; offense 16.7 percentile2018 Week 10: Florida State at NC State · L 28–47; offense 53.3 percentile2018 Week 11: Florida State at Notre Dame · L 13–42; offense 34.8 percentile2018 Week 12: Florida State vs. Boston College · W 22–21; offense 41.9 percentile2018 Week 13: Florida State vs. Florida · L 14–41; offense 32.7 percentile2019 Week 1: Florida State vs. Boise State · L 31–36; offense 42.6 percentile2019 Week 2: Florida State vs. UL Monroe · W 45–44; offense 44.6 percentile2019 Week 3: Florida State at Virginia · L 24–31; offense 26.4 percentile2019 Week 4: Florida State vs. Louisville · W 35–24; offense 32.4 percentile2019 Week 5: Florida State vs. NC State · W 31–13; offense 26.9 percentile2019 Week 7: Florida State at Clemson · L 14–45; offense 42.6 percentile2019 Week 8: Florida State at Wake Forest · L 20–22; offense 37.8 percentile2019 Week 9: Florida State vs. Syracuse · W 35–17; offense 68.2 percentile2019 Week 10: Florida State vs. Miami · L 10–27; offense 3.2 percentile2019 Week 11: Florida State at Boston College · W 38–31; offense 76.7 percentile2019 Week 12: Florida State vs. Alabama State · W 49–12; offense 66.7 percentile2019 Week 14: Florida State at Florida · L 17–40; offense 44.4 percentile2019 Week 1: Florida State vs. Arizona State · L 14–20; offense 37.1 percentile2020 Week 2: Florida State vs. Georgia Tech · L 13–16; offense 14.9 percentile2020 Week 4: Florida State at Miami · L 10–52; offense 43.2 percentile2020 Week 5: Florida State vs. Jacksonville State · W 41–24; offense 74.4 percentile2020 Week 6: Florida State at Notre Dame · L 26–42; offense 59.5 percentile2020 Week 7: Florida State vs. North Carolina · W 31–28; offense 60.9 percentile2020 Week 8: Florida State at Louisville · L 16–48; offense 41.4 percentile2020 Week 10: Florida State vs. Pittsburgh · L 17–41; offense 41.9 percentile2020 Week 11: Florida State at NC State · L 22–38; offense 45.2 percentile2020 Week 15: Florida State vs. Duke · W 56–35; offense 68.7 percentile2021 Week 1: Florida State vs. Notre Dame · L 38–41; offense 83.2 percentile2021 Week 2: Florida State vs. Jacksonville State · L 17–20; offense 23.2 percentile2021 Week 3: Florida State at Wake Forest · L 14–35; offense 11.1 percentile2021 Week 4: Florida State vs. Louisville · L 23–31; offense 22.5 percentile2021 Week 5: Florida State vs. Syracuse · W 33–30; offense 68.6 percentile2021 Week 6: Florida State at North Carolina · W 35–25; offense 93.5 percentile2021 Week 8: Florida State vs. Massachusetts · W 59–3; offense 95.7 percentile2021 Week 9: Florida State at Clemson · L 20–30; offense 51.0 percentile2021 Week 10: Florida State vs. NC State · L 14–28; offense 13.7 percentile2021 Week 11: Florida State vs. Miami · W 31–28; offense 33.3 percentile2021 Week 12: Florida State at Boston College · W 26–23; offense 55.1 percentile2021 Week 13: Florida State at Florida · L 21–24; offense 59.2 percentile2022 Week 1: Florida State vs. Duquesne · W 47–7; offense 91.4 percentile2022 Week 3: Florida State at Louisville · W 35–31; offense 81.3 percentile2022 Week 4: Florida State vs. Boston College · W 44–14; offense 84.8 percentile2022 Week 5: Florida State vs. Wake Forest · L 21–31; offense 41.5 percentile2022 Week 6: Florida State at NC State · L 17–19; offense 78.0 percentile2022 Week 7: Florida State vs. Clemson · L 28–34; offense 78.9 percentile2022 Week 9: Florida State vs. Georgia Tech · W 41–16; offense 96.7 percentile2022 Week 10: Florida State at Miami · W 45–3; offense 80.1 percentile2022 Week 11: Florida State at Syracuse · W 38–3; offense 86.4 percentile2022 Week 12: Florida State vs. Louisiana · W 49–17; offense 98.4 percentile2022 Week 13: Florida State vs. Florida · W 45–38; offense 67.9 percentile2022 Week 1: Florida State vs. Oklahoma · W 35–32; offense 63.8 percentile2023 Week 1: Florida State vs. LSU · W 45–24; offense 78.4 percentile2023 Week 2: Florida State vs. Southern Miss · W 66–13; offense 92.6 percentile2023 Week 3: Florida State at Boston College · W 31–29; offense 50.8 percentile2023 Week 4: Florida State at Clemson · W 31–24; offense 35.3 percentile2023 Week 6: Florida State vs. Virginia Tech · W 39–17; offense 97.6 percentile2023 Week 7: Florida State vs. Syracuse · W 41–3; offense 82.4 percentile2023 Week 8: Florida State vs. Duke · W 38–20; offense 81.2 percentile2023 Week 9: Florida State at Wake Forest · W 41–16; offense 82.7 percentile2023 Week 10: Florida State at Pittsburgh · W 24–7; offense 40.7 percentile2023 Week 11: Florida State vs. Miami · W 27–20; offense 25.6 percentile2023 Week 12: Florida State vs. North Alabama · W 58–13; offense 37.4 percentile2023 Week 13: Florida State at Florida · W 24–15; offense 17.6 percentile2023 Week 14: Florida State vs. Louisville · W 16–6; offense 5.3 percentile2023 Week 1: Florida State vs. Georgia · L 3–63; offense 14.0 percentile2024 Week 1: Florida State vs. Georgia Tech · L 21–24; offense 31.7 percentile2024 Week 1: Florida State vs. Boston College · L 13–28; offense 22.3 percentile2024 Week 3: Florida State vs. Memphis · L 12–20; offense 5.2 percentile2024 Week 4: Florida State vs. California · W 14–9; offense 42.3 percentile2024 Week 5: Florida State at SMU · L 16–42; offense 42.6 percentile2024 Week 6: Florida State vs. Clemson · L 13–29; offense 33.9 percentile2024 Week 8: Florida State at Duke · L 16–23; offense 21.8 percentile2024 Week 9: Florida State at Miami · L 14–36; offense 25.8 percentile2024 Week 10: Florida State vs. North Carolina · L 11–35; offense 10.7 percentile2024 Week 11: Florida State at Notre Dame · L 3–52; offense 31.3 percentile2024 Week 13: Florida State vs. Charleston Southern · W 41–7; offense 63.6 percentile2025 Week 1: Florida State vs. Alabama · W 31–17; offense 84.5 percentile2025 Week 2: Florida State vs. East Texas A&M · W 77–3; offense 94.9 percentile2025 Week 4: Florida State vs. Kent State · W 66–10; offense 99.9 percentile2025 Week 5: Florida State at Virginia · L 38–46; offense 97.9 percentile2025 Week 6: Florida State vs. Miami · L 22–28; offense 69.3 percentile2025 Week 7: Florida State vs. Pittsburgh · L 31–34; offense 80.0 percentile2025 Week 8: Florida State at Stanford · L 13–20; offense 23.0 percentile2025 Week 10: Florida State vs. Wake Forest · W 42–7; offense 94.6 percentile2025 Week 11: Florida State at Clemson · L 10–24; offense 52.2 percentile2025 Week 12: Florida State vs. Virginia Tech · W 34–14; offense 81.6 percentile2025 Week 13: Florida State at NC State · L 11–21; offense 47.0 percentile2025 Week 14: Florida State at Florida · L 21–40; offense 73.1 percentile2026 Week 1: Florida State vs. New Mexico State · W 34–17; offense 77.7 percentile2026 Week 1: Florida State vs. SMU · L 24–27; offense 48.2 percentile2014 offense season mean: 71.2 percentile2015 offense season mean: 66.9 percentile2016 offense season mean: 78.7 percentile2017 offense season mean: 48.3 percentile2018 offense season mean: 22.0 percentile2019 offense season mean: 40.2 percentile2020 offense season mean: 49.6 percentile2021 offense season mean: 52.8 percentile2022 offense season mean: 82.9 percentile2023 offense season mean: 55.0 percentile2024 offense season mean: 27.8 percentile2025 offense season mean: 83.0 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 79.8 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 64.0 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Florida State vs. Oklahoma State · W 37–31; defense 55.0 percentile2014 Week 2: Florida State vs. The Citadel · W 37–12; defense 43.9 percentile2014 Week 4: Florida State vs. Clemson · W 23–17; defense 70.9 percentile2014 Week 5: Florida State at NC State · W 56–41; defense 36.5 percentile2014 Week 6: Florida State vs. Wake Forest · W 43–3; defense 92.2 percentile2014 Week 7: Florida State at Syracuse · W 38–20; defense 23.4 percentile2014 Week 8: Florida State vs. Notre Dame · W 31–27; defense 54.6 percentile2014 Week 10: Florida State at Louisville · W 42–31; defense 39.3 percentile2014 Week 11: Florida State vs. Virginia · W 34–20; defense 79.0 percentile2014 Week 12: Florida State at Miami · W 30–26; defense 38.8 percentile2014 Week 13: Florida State vs. Boston College · W 20–17; defense 47.8 percentile2014 Week 14: Florida State vs. Florida · W 24–19; defense 60.2 percentile2014 Week 15: Florida State vs. Georgia Tech · W 37–35; defense 46.3 percentile2014 Week 1: Florida State vs. Oregon · L 20–59; defense 19.7 percentile2015 Week 1: Florida State vs. Texas State · W 59–16; defense 72.2 percentile2015 Week 2: Florida State vs. South Florida · W 34–14; defense 85.8 percentile2015 Week 3: Florida State at Boston College · W 14–0; defense 63.6 percentile2015 Week 5: Florida State at Wake Forest · W 24–16; defense 23.9 percentile2015 Week 6: Florida State vs. Miami · W 29–24; defense 52.3 percentile2015 Week 7: Florida State vs. Louisville · W 41–21; defense 21.8 percentile2015 Week 8: Florida State at Georgia Tech · L 16–22; defense 41.3 percentile2015 Week 9: Florida State vs. Syracuse · W 45–21; defense 55.0 percentile2015 Week 10: Florida State at Clemson · L 13–23; defense 61.3 percentile2015 Week 11: Florida State vs. NC State · W 34–17; defense 84.2 percentile2015 Week 12: Florida State vs. Chattanooga · W 52–13; defense 28.2 percentile2015 Week 13: Florida State at Florida · W 27–2; defense 87.6 percentile2015 Week 1: Florida State vs. Houston · L 24–38; defense 76.2 percentile2016 Week 1: Florida State vs. Ole Miss · W 45–34; defense 26.7 percentile2016 Week 2: Florida State vs. Charleston Southern · W 52–8; defense 44.9 percentile2016 Week 3: Florida State at Louisville · L 20–63; defense 10.6 percentile2016 Week 4: Florida State at South Florida · W 55–35; defense 66.5 percentile2016 Week 5: Florida State vs. North Carolina · L 35–37; defense 5.9 percentile2016 Week 6: Florida State at Miami · W 20–19; defense 76.8 percentile2016 Week 7: Florida State vs. Wake Forest · W 17–6; defense 89.7 percentile2016 Week 9: Florida State vs. Clemson · L 34–37; defense 40.8 percentile2016 Week 10: Florida State at NC State · W 24–20; defense 43.4 percentile2016 Week 11: Florida State vs. Boston College · W 45–7; defense 96.5 percentile2016 Week 12: Florida State at Syracuse · W 45–14; defense 97.4 percentile2016 Week 13: Florida State vs. Florida · W 31–13; defense 90.0 percentile2016 Week 1: Florida State vs. Michigan · W 33–32; defense 98.5 percentile2017 Week 1: Florida State vs. Alabama · L 7–24; defense 95.1 percentile2017 Week 4: Florida State vs. NC State · L 21–27; defense 63.9 percentile2017 Week 5: Florida State at Wake Forest · W 26–19; defense 91.4 percentile2017 Week 6: Florida State vs. Miami · L 20–24; defense 67.1 percentile2017 Week 7: Florida State at Duke · W 17–10; defense 49.1 percentile2017 Week 8: Florida State vs. Louisville · L 28–31; defense 53.9 percentile2017 Week 9: Florida State at Boston College · L 3–35; defense 39.3 percentile2017 Week 10: Florida State vs. Syracuse · W 27–24; defense 67.0 percentile2017 Week 11: Florida State at Clemson · L 14–31; defense 65.6 percentile2017 Week 12: Florida State vs. Delaware State · W 77–6; defense 69.5 percentile2017 Week 13: Florida State at Florida · W 38–22; defense 73.5 percentile2017 Week 14: Florida State vs. UL Monroe · W 42–10; defense 97.7 percentile2017 Week 1: Florida State vs. Southern Miss · W 42–13; defense 91.9 percentile2018 Week 1: Florida State vs. Virginia Tech · L 3–24; defense 73.7 percentile2018 Week 2: Florida State vs. Samford · W 36–26; defense 40.3 percentile2018 Week 3: Florida State at Syracuse · L 7–30; defense 68.8 percentile2018 Week 4: Florida State vs. Northern Illinois · W 37–19; defense 85.9 percentile2018 Week 5: Florida State at Louisville · W 28–24; defense 28.0 percentile2018 Week 6: Florida State at Miami · L 27–28; defense 83.0 percentile2018 Week 8: Florida State vs. Wake Forest · W 38–17; defense 94.9 percentile2018 Week 9: Florida State vs. Clemson · L 10–59; defense 96.6 percentile2018 Week 10: Florida State at NC State · L 28–47; defense 37.5 percentile2018 Week 11: Florida State at Notre Dame · L 13–42; defense 9.8 percentile2018 Week 12: Florida State vs. Boston College · W 22–21; defense 59.4 percentile2018 Week 13: Florida State vs. Florida · L 14–41; defense 33.1 percentile2019 Week 1: Florida State vs. Boise State · L 31–36; defense 46.4 percentile2019 Week 2: Florida State vs. UL Monroe · W 45–44; defense 57.8 percentile2019 Week 3: Florida State at Virginia · L 24–31; defense 38.7 percentile2019 Week 4: Florida State vs. Louisville · W 35–24; defense 73.0 percentile2019 Week 5: Florida State vs. NC State · W 31–13; defense 79.2 percentile2019 Week 7: Florida State at Clemson · L 14–45; defense 61.2 percentile2019 Week 8: Florida State at Wake Forest · L 20–22; defense 79.5 percentile2019 Week 9: Florida State vs. Syracuse · W 35–17; defense 69.9 percentile2019 Week 10: Florida State vs. Miami · L 10–27; defense 66.6 percentile2019 Week 11: Florida State at Boston College · W 38–31; defense 32.1 percentile2019 Week 12: Florida State vs. Alabama State · W 49–12; defense 38.1 percentile2019 Week 14: Florida State at Florida · L 17–40; defense 28.2 percentile2019 Week 1: Florida State vs. Arizona State · L 14–20; defense 94.2 percentile2020 Week 2: Florida State vs. Georgia Tech · L 13–16; defense 41.2 percentile2020 Week 4: Florida State at Miami · L 10–52; defense 4.7 percentile2020 Week 5: Florida State vs. Jacksonville State · W 41–24; defense 40.6 percentile2020 Week 6: Florida State at Notre Dame · L 26–42; defense 13.8 percentile2020 Week 7: Florida State vs. North Carolina · W 31–28; defense 73.8 percentile2020 Week 8: Florida State at Louisville · L 16–48; defense 3.8 percentile2020 Week 10: Florida State vs. Pittsburgh · L 17–41; defense 18.1 percentile2020 Week 11: Florida State at NC State · L 22–38; defense 41.9 percentile2020 Week 15: Florida State vs. Duke · W 56–35; defense 52.3 percentile2021 Week 1: Florida State vs. Notre Dame · L 38–41; defense 61.6 percentile2021 Week 2: Florida State vs. Jacksonville State · L 17–20; defense 15.0 percentile2021 Week 3: Florida State at Wake Forest · L 14–35; defense 49.0 percentile2021 Week 4: Florida State vs. Louisville · L 23–31; defense 72.2 percentile2021 Week 5: Florida State vs. Syracuse · W 33–30; defense 39.0 percentile2021 Week 6: Florida State at North Carolina · W 35–25; defense 43.5 percentile2021 Week 8: Florida State vs. Massachusetts · W 59–3; defense 75.0 percentile2021 Week 9: Florida State at Clemson · L 20–30; defense 40.6 percentile2021 Week 10: Florida State vs. NC State · L 14–28; defense 48.0 percentile2021 Week 11: Florida State vs. Miami · W 31–28; defense 66.0 percentile2021 Week 12: Florida State at Boston College · W 26–23; defense 57.6 percentile2021 Week 13: Florida State at Florida · L 21–24; defense 72.3 percentile2022 Week 1: Florida State vs. Duquesne · W 47–7; defense 70.0 percentile2022 Week 3: Florida State at Louisville · W 35–31; defense 25.4 percentile2022 Week 4: Florida State vs. Boston College · W 44–14; defense 69.8 percentile2022 Week 5: Florida State vs. Wake Forest · L 21–31; defense 42.8 percentile2022 Week 6: Florida State at NC State · L 17–19; defense 44.1 percentile2022 Week 7: Florida State vs. Clemson · L 28–34; defense 32.7 percentile2022 Week 9: Florida State vs. Georgia Tech · W 41–16; defense 46.8 percentile2022 Week 10: Florida State at Miami · W 45–3; defense 94.2 percentile2022 Week 11: Florida State at Syracuse · W 38–3; defense 99.3 percentile2022 Week 12: Florida State vs. Louisiana · W 49–17; defense 71.5 percentile2022 Week 13: Florida State vs. Florida · W 45–38; defense 34.3 percentile2022 Week 1: Florida State vs. Oklahoma · W 35–32; defense 40.8 percentile2023 Week 1: Florida State vs. LSU · W 45–24; defense 96.1 percentile2023 Week 2: Florida State vs. Southern Miss · W 66–13; defense 87.8 percentile2023 Week 3: Florida State at Boston College · W 31–29; defense 62.0 percentile2023 Week 4: Florida State at Clemson · W 31–24; defense 40.1 percentile2023 Week 6: Florida State vs. Virginia Tech · W 39–17; defense 73.3 percentile2023 Week 7: Florida State vs. Syracuse · W 41–3; defense 83.5 percentile2023 Week 8: Florida State vs. Duke · W 38–20; defense 73.0 percentile2023 Week 9: Florida State at Wake Forest · W 41–16; defense 92.4 percentile2023 Week 10: Florida State at Pittsburgh · W 24–7; defense 60.4 percentile2023 Week 11: Florida State vs. Miami · W 27–20; defense 92.5 percentile2023 Week 12: Florida State vs. North Alabama · W 58–13; defense 61.0 percentile2023 Week 13: Florida State at Florida · W 24–15; defense 90.6 percentile2023 Week 14: Florida State vs. Louisville · W 16–6; defense 99.4 percentile2023 Week 1: Florida State vs. Georgia · L 3–63; defense 0.3 percentile2024 Week 1: Florida State vs. Georgia Tech · L 21–24; defense 34.2 percentile2024 Week 1: Florida State vs. Boston College · L 13–28; defense 37.5 percentile2024 Week 3: Florida State vs. Memphis · L 12–20; defense 92.4 percentile2024 Week 4: Florida State vs. California · W 14–9; defense 49.1 percentile2024 Week 5: Florida State at SMU · L 16–42; defense 32.8 percentile2024 Week 6: Florida State vs. Clemson · L 13–29; defense 21.0 percentile2024 Week 8: Florida State at Duke · L 16–23; defense 93.8 percentile2024 Week 9: Florida State at Miami · L 14–36; defense 38.6 percentile2024 Week 10: Florida State vs. North Carolina · L 11–35; defense 6.0 percentile2024 Week 11: Florida State at Notre Dame · L 3–52; defense 37.6 percentile2024 Week 13: Florida State vs. Charleston Southern · W 41–7; defense 61.7 percentile2025 Week 1: Florida State vs. Alabama · W 31–17; defense 68.0 percentile2025 Week 2: Florida State vs. East Texas A&M · W 77–3; defense 65.9 percentile2025 Week 4: Florida State vs. Kent State · W 66–10; defense 95.1 percentile2025 Week 5: Florida State at Virginia · L 38–46; defense 17.6 percentile2025 Week 6: Florida State vs. Miami · L 22–28; defense 63.3 percentile2025 Week 7: Florida State vs. Pittsburgh · L 31–34; defense 7.9 percentile2025 Week 8: Florida State at Stanford · L 13–20; defense 65.3 percentile2025 Week 10: Florida State vs. Wake Forest · W 42–7; defense 90.9 percentile2025 Week 11: Florida State at Clemson · L 10–24; defense 66.4 percentile2025 Week 12: Florida State vs. Virginia Tech · W 34–14; defense 11.2 percentile2025 Week 13: Florida State at NC State · L 11–21; defense 75.2 percentile2025 Week 14: Florida State at Florida · L 21–40; defense 2.2 percentile2026 Week 1: Florida State vs. New Mexico State · W 34–17; defense 24.1 percentile2026 Week 1: Florida State vs. SMU · L 24–27; defense 17.3 percentile2014 defense season mean: 51.4 percentile2015 defense season mean: 59.3 percentile2016 defense season mean: 66.8 percentile2017 defense season mean: 75.6 percentile2018 defense season mean: 63.0 percentile2019 defense season mean: 60.7 percentile2020 defense season mean: 27.4 percentile2021 defense season mean: 53.2 percentile2022 defense season mean: 61.5 percentile2023 defense season mean: 75.7 percentile2024 defense season mean: 46.8 percentile2025 defense season mean: 50.4 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 43.8 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 20.5 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2017Jimbo Fisher / Odell Haggins
2018Willie Taggart
2019Willie Taggart / Odell Haggins
2020Mike Norvell

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateMike Norvell2
79.8 estimate64.0 games-only average
43.8 estimate20.5 games-only average
2025Mike Norvell1283.050.4
2024Mike Norvell1127.846.8
2023Mike Norvell1455.075.7
2022Mike Norvell1282.961.5
2021Mike Norvell1252.853.2
2020Mike NorvellCoaching change949.627.4
2019Willie Taggart / Odell HagginsCoaching change1340.260.7
2018Willie TaggartCoaching change1222.063.0
2017Jimbo Fisher / Odell HagginsCoaching change1348.375.6
2016Jimbo Fisher1378.766.8
2015Jimbo Fisher1366.959.3
2014Jimbo Fisher1471.251.4