2014–2026 performance history

Fresno State over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Pac-12Head coach: Matt EntzView Fresno State games →
Offense · 2026 estimate29.8/100

1.4 average through 1 game

37.4 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate61.7/100

35.9 average through 1 game

64.8 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Fresno State individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.DeRuyter · ’14–’16Tim DeRuyter, 2014–2016Tedford · ’17–’19Jeff Tedford, 2017–2019DeBoer · ’20–’21Kalen DeBoer, 2020–2021Tedford · ’22–’23Jeff Tedford, 2022–2023SkipperTim Skipper, 2024Entz · ’25–’26Matt Entz, 2025–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Fresno State at USC · L 13–52; offense 36.6 percentile2014 Week 2: Fresno State at Utah · L 27–59; offense 6.0 percentile2014 Week 3: Fresno State vs. Nebraska · L 19–55; offense 4.0 percentile2014 Week 4: Fresno State vs. Southern Utah · W 56–16; offense 48.5 percentile2014 Week 5: Fresno State at New Mexico · W 35–24; offense 72.6 percentile2014 Week 6: Fresno State vs. San Diego State · W 24–13; offense 39.1 percentile2014 Week 7: Fresno State at UNLV · L 27–30; offense 24.6 percentile2014 Week 8: Fresno State at Boise State · L 27–37; offense 63.9 percentile2014 Week 10: Fresno State vs. Wyoming · L 17–45; offense 26.9 percentile2014 Week 11: Fresno State vs. San José State · W 38–24; offense 52.2 percentile2014 Week 13: Fresno State at Nevada · W 40–20; offense 52.4 percentile2014 Week 14: Fresno State vs. Hawai'i · W 28–21; offense 70.7 percentile2014 Week 15: Fresno State at Boise State · L 14–28; offense 36.6 percentile2014 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Rice · L 6–30; offense 1.1 percentile2015 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Abilene Christian · W 34–13; offense 18.8 percentile2015 Week 2: Fresno State at Ole Miss · L 21–73; offense 24.6 percentile2015 Week 3: Fresno State vs. Utah · L 24–45; offense 53.6 percentile2015 Week 4: Fresno State at San José State · L 23–49; offense 20.4 percentile2015 Week 5: Fresno State at San Diego State · L 7–21; offense 3.8 percentile2015 Week 6: Fresno State vs. Utah State · L 14–56; offense 6.5 percentile2015 Week 7: Fresno State vs. UNLV · W 31–28; offense 34.6 percentile2015 Week 8: Fresno State at Air Force · L 14–42; offense 13.2 percentile2015 Week 10: Fresno State vs. Nevada · L 16–30; offense 37.2 percentile2015 Week 11: Fresno State at Hawai'i · W 42–14; offense 44.0 percentile2015 Week 12: Fresno State at BYU · L 10–52; offense 11.5 percentile2015 Week 13: Fresno State vs. Colorado State · L 31–34; offense 22.4 percentile2016 Week 1: Fresno State at Nebraska · L 10–43; offense 7.4 percentile2016 Week 2: Fresno State vs. Sacramento State · W 31–3; offense 9.1 percentile2016 Week 3: Fresno State at Toledo · L 17–52; offense 3.5 percentile2016 Week 4: Fresno State vs. Tulsa · L 41–48; offense 43.4 percentile2016 Week 5: Fresno State at UNLV · L 20–45; offense 7.1 percentile2016 Week 6: Fresno State at Nevada · L 22–27; offense 42.4 percentile2016 Week 7: Fresno State vs. San Diego State · L 3–17; offense 24.6 percentile2016 Week 8: Fresno State at Utah State · L 20–38; offense 21.0 percentile2016 Week 9: Fresno State vs. Air Force · L 21–31; offense 38.2 percentile2016 Week 10: Fresno State at Colorado State · L 0–37; offense 5.0 percentile2016 Week 12: Fresno State vs. Hawai'i · L 13–14; offense 11.1 percentile2016 Week 13: Fresno State vs. San José State · L 14–16; offense 0.3 percentile2017 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Incarnate Word · W 66–0; offense 69.3 percentile2017 Week 2: Fresno State at Alabama · L 10–41; offense 29.6 percentile2017 Week 3: Fresno State at Washington · L 16–48; offense 54.5 percentile2017 Week 5: Fresno State vs. Nevada · W 41–21; offense 58.5 percentile2017 Week 6: Fresno State at San José State · W 27–10; offense 18.5 percentile2017 Week 7: Fresno State vs. New Mexico · W 38–0; offense 77.2 percentile2017 Week 8: Fresno State at San Diego State · W 27–3; offense 95.0 percentile2017 Week 9: Fresno State vs. UNLV · L 16–26; offense 12.3 percentile2017 Week 10: Fresno State vs. BYU · W 20–13; offense 54.4 percentile2017 Week 11: Fresno State at Hawai'i · W 31–21; offense 42.1 percentile2017 Week 12: Fresno State at Wyoming · W 13–7; offense 34.8 percentile2017 Week 13: Fresno State vs. Boise State · W 28–17; offense 76.4 percentile2017 Week 14: Fresno State at Boise State · L 14–17; offense 35.6 percentile2017 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Houston · W 33–27; offense 54.6 percentile2018 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Idaho · W 79–13; offense 65.2 percentile2018 Week 2: Fresno State at Minnesota · L 14–21; offense 21.9 percentile2018 Week 3: Fresno State at UCLA · W 38–14; offense 53.5 percentile2018 Week 5: Fresno State vs. Toledo · W 49–27; offense 93.3 percentile2018 Week 6: Fresno State at Nevada · W 21–3; offense 5.0 percentile2018 Week 7: Fresno State vs. Wyoming · W 27–3; offense 64.5 percentile2018 Week 8: Fresno State at New Mexico · W 38–7; offense 73.4 percentile2018 Week 9: Fresno State vs. Hawai'i · W 50–20; offense 86.8 percentile2018 Week 10: Fresno State at UNLV · W 48–3; offense 84.8 percentile2018 Week 11: Fresno State at Boise State · L 17–24; offense 50.8 percentile2018 Week 12: Fresno State vs. San Diego State · W 23–14; offense 67.9 percentile2018 Week 13: Fresno State vs. San José State · W 31–13; offense 56.8 percentile2018 Week 14: Fresno State at Boise State · W 19–16; offense 21.6 percentile2018 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Arizona State · W 31–20; offense 83.2 percentile2019 Week 1: Fresno State at USC · L 23–31; offense 55.1 percentile2019 Week 2: Fresno State vs. Minnesota · L 35–38; offense 68.3 percentile2019 Week 4: Fresno State vs. Sacramento State · W 34–20; offense 50.0 percentile2019 Week 5: Fresno State at New Mexico State · W 30–17; offense 24.4 percentile2019 Week 7: Fresno State at Air Force · L 24–43; offense 69.8 percentile2019 Week 8: Fresno State vs. UNLV · W 56–27; offense 82.9 percentile2019 Week 9: Fresno State vs. Colorado State · L 31–41; offense 46.7 percentile2019 Week 10: Fresno State at Hawai'i · W 41–38; offense 83.3 percentile2019 Week 11: Fresno State vs. Utah State · L 35–37; offense 80.0 percentile2019 Week 12: Fresno State at San Diego State · L 7–17; offense 15.5 percentile2019 Week 13: Fresno State vs. Nevada · L 28–35; offense 45.7 percentile2019 Week 14: Fresno State at San José State · L 16–17; offense 7.7 percentile2020 Week 8: Fresno State vs. Hawai'i · L 19–34; offense 48.8 percentile2020 Week 9: Fresno State vs. Colorado State · W 38–17; offense 71.3 percentile2020 Week 10: Fresno State at UNLV · W 40–27; offense 57.3 percentile2020 Week 11: Fresno State at Utah State · W 35–16; offense 39.4 percentile2020 Week 14: Fresno State at Nevada · L 26–37; offense 45.1 percentile2020 Week 15: Fresno State at New Mexico · L 39–49; offense 73.0 percentile2021 Week 1: Fresno State vs. UConn · W 45–0; offense 46.7 percentile2021 Week 1: Fresno State at Oregon · L 24–31; offense 29.4 percentile2021 Week 2: Fresno State vs. Cal Poly · W 63–10; offense 72.6 percentile2021 Week 3: Fresno State at UCLA · W 40–37; offense 45.9 percentile2021 Week 4: Fresno State vs. UNLV · W 38–30; offense 40.8 percentile2021 Week 5: Fresno State at Hawai'i · L 24–27; offense 56.1 percentile2021 Week 7: Fresno State at Wyoming · W 17–0; offense 30.8 percentile2021 Week 8: Fresno State vs. Nevada · W 34–32; offense 53.4 percentile2021 Week 9: Fresno State at San Diego State · W 30–20; offense 90.1 percentile2021 Week 10: Fresno State vs. Boise State · L 14–40; offense 20.1 percentile2021 Week 11: Fresno State vs. New Mexico · W 34–7; offense 73.1 percentile2021 Week 13: Fresno State at San José State · W 40–9; offense 85.6 percentile2021 Week 1: Fresno State vs. UTEP · W 31–24; offense 83.5 percentile2022 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Cal Poly · W 35–7; offense 50.4 percentile2022 Week 2: Fresno State vs. Oregon State · L 32–35; offense 89.3 percentile2022 Week 3: Fresno State at USC · L 17–45; offense 33.8 percentile2022 Week 5: Fresno State at UConn · L 14–19; offense 0.9 percentile2022 Week 6: Fresno State at Boise State · L 20–40; offense 51.5 percentile2022 Week 7: Fresno State vs. San José State · W 17–10; offense 10.6 percentile2022 Week 8: Fresno State at New Mexico · W 41–9; offense 90.9 percentile2022 Week 9: Fresno State vs. San Diego State · W 32–28; offense 58.8 percentile2022 Week 10: Fresno State vs. Hawai'i · W 55–13; offense 98.2 percentile2022 Week 11: Fresno State at UNLV · W 37–30; offense 75.3 percentile2022 Week 12: Fresno State at Nevada · W 41–14; offense 77.3 percentile2022 Week 13: Fresno State vs. Wyoming · W 30–0; offense 42.0 percentile2022 Week 14: Fresno State at Boise State · W 28–16; offense 28.2 percentile2022 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Washington State · W 29–6; offense 92.8 percentile2023 Week 1: Fresno State at Purdue · W 39–35; offense 67.6 percentile2023 Week 2: Fresno State vs. Eastern Washington · W 34–31; offense 3.2 percentile2023 Week 3: Fresno State at Arizona State · W 29–0; offense 34.4 percentile2023 Week 5: Fresno State vs. Nevada · W 27–9; offense 51.7 percentile2023 Week 6: Fresno State at Wyoming · L 19–24; offense 44.0 percentile2023 Week 7: Fresno State at Utah State · W 37–32; offense 77.0 percentile2023 Week 9: Fresno State vs. UNLV · W 31–24; offense 36.6 percentile2023 Week 10: Fresno State vs. Boise State · W 37–30; offense 67.9 percentile2023 Week 11: Fresno State at San José State · L 18–42; offense 46.7 percentile2023 Week 12: Fresno State vs. New Mexico · L 17–25; offense 1.5 percentile2023 Week 13: Fresno State at San Diego State · L 18–33; offense 28.0 percentile2023 Week 1: Fresno State vs. New Mexico State · W 37–10; offense 71.9 percentile2024 Week 1: Fresno State at Michigan · L 10–30; offense 19.3 percentile2024 Week 2: Fresno State vs. Sacramento State · W 46–30; offense 35.4 percentile2024 Week 3: Fresno State vs. New Mexico State · W 48–0; offense 58.5 percentile2024 Week 4: Fresno State at New Mexico · W 38–21; offense 32.5 percentile2024 Week 5: Fresno State at UNLV · L 14–59; offense 15.9 percentile2024 Week 8: Fresno State at Nevada · W 24–21; offense 29.5 percentile2024 Week 9: Fresno State vs. San José State · W 33–10; offense 77.2 percentile2024 Week 10: Fresno State vs. Hawai'i · L 20–21; offense 3.8 percentile2024 Week 11: Fresno State at Air Force · L 28–36; offense 44.7 percentile2024 Week 13: Fresno State vs. Colorado State · W 28–22; offense 50.1 percentile2024 Week 14: Fresno State at UCLA · L 13–20; offense 32.6 percentile2024 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Northern Illinois · L 20–28; offense 68.1 percentile2025 Week 1: Fresno State at Kansas · L 7–31; offense 3.9 percentile2025 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Georgia Southern · W 42–14; offense 90.0 percentile2025 Week 2: Fresno State at Oregon State · W 36–27; offense 51.9 percentile2025 Week 3: Fresno State vs. Southern · W 56–7; offense 84.6 percentile2025 Week 4: Fresno State at Hawai'i · W 23–21; offense 21.9 percentile2025 Week 6: Fresno State vs. Nevada · W 20–17; offense 17.6 percentile2025 Week 7: Fresno State at Colorado State · L 21–49; offense 30.0 percentile2025 Week 9: Fresno State vs. San Diego State · L 0–23; offense 13.9 percentile2025 Week 10: Fresno State at Boise State · W 30–7; offense 37.9 percentile2025 Week 12: Fresno State vs. Wyoming · W 24–3; offense 33.8 percentile2025 Week 13: Fresno State vs. Utah State · L 17–28; offense 18.2 percentile2025 Week 14: Fresno State at San José State · W 41–14; offense 47.4 percentile2025 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Miami (OH) · W 18–3; offense 60.5 percentile2026 Week 1: Fresno State at USC · L 0–39; offense 1.4 percentile2014 offense season mean: 32.7 percentile2015 offense season mean: 21.3 percentile2016 offense season mean: 12.4 percentile2017 offense season mean: 51.7 percentile2018 offense season mean: 59.9 percentile2019 offense season mean: 51.8 percentile2020 offense season mean: 56.2 percentile2021 offense season mean: 57.5 percentile2022 offense season mean: 58.5 percentile2023 offense season mean: 39.2 percentile2024 offense season mean: 36.5 percentile2025 offense season mean: 37.4 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 29.8 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 1.4 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Fresno State at USC · L 13–52; defense 17.4 percentile2014 Week 2: Fresno State at Utah · L 27–59; defense 6.9 percentile2014 Week 3: Fresno State vs. Nebraska · L 19–55; defense 27.4 percentile2014 Week 4: Fresno State vs. Southern Utah · W 56–16; defense 49.6 percentile2014 Week 5: Fresno State at New Mexico · W 35–24; defense 56.8 percentile2014 Week 6: Fresno State vs. San Diego State · W 24–13; defense 76.1 percentile2014 Week 7: Fresno State at UNLV · L 27–30; defense 50.7 percentile2014 Week 8: Fresno State at Boise State · L 27–37; defense 27.9 percentile2014 Week 10: Fresno State vs. Wyoming · L 17–45; defense 1.9 percentile2014 Week 11: Fresno State vs. San José State · W 38–24; defense 42.9 percentile2014 Week 13: Fresno State at Nevada · W 40–20; defense 58.5 percentile2014 Week 14: Fresno State vs. Hawai'i · W 28–21; defense 82.7 percentile2014 Week 15: Fresno State at Boise State · L 14–28; defense 74.2 percentile2014 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Rice · L 6–30; defense 48.5 percentile2015 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Abilene Christian · W 34–13; defense 47.1 percentile2015 Week 2: Fresno State at Ole Miss · L 21–73; defense 1.4 percentile2015 Week 3: Fresno State vs. Utah · L 24–45; defense 35.2 percentile2015 Week 4: Fresno State at San José State · L 23–49; defense 3.0 percentile2015 Week 5: Fresno State at San Diego State · L 7–21; defense 50.7 percentile2015 Week 6: Fresno State vs. Utah State · L 14–56; defense 9.0 percentile2015 Week 7: Fresno State vs. UNLV · W 31–28; defense 36.2 percentile2015 Week 8: Fresno State at Air Force · L 14–42; defense 22.6 percentile2015 Week 10: Fresno State vs. Nevada · L 16–30; defense 21.0 percentile2015 Week 11: Fresno State at Hawai'i · W 42–14; defense 31.9 percentile2015 Week 12: Fresno State at BYU · L 10–52; defense 33.1 percentile2015 Week 13: Fresno State vs. Colorado State · L 31–34; defense 71.5 percentile2016 Week 1: Fresno State at Nebraska · L 10–43; defense 12.0 percentile2016 Week 2: Fresno State vs. Sacramento State · W 31–3; defense 64.5 percentile2016 Week 3: Fresno State at Toledo · L 17–52; defense 17.8 percentile2016 Week 4: Fresno State vs. Tulsa · L 41–48; defense 47.3 percentile2016 Week 5: Fresno State at UNLV · L 20–45; defense 21.4 percentile2016 Week 6: Fresno State at Nevada · L 22–27; defense 19.3 percentile2016 Week 7: Fresno State vs. San Diego State · L 3–17; defense 51.3 percentile2016 Week 8: Fresno State at Utah State · L 20–38; defense 13.2 percentile2016 Week 9: Fresno State vs. Air Force · L 21–31; defense 57.2 percentile2016 Week 10: Fresno State at Colorado State · L 0–37; defense 18.5 percentile2016 Week 12: Fresno State vs. Hawai'i · L 13–14; defense 79.4 percentile2016 Week 13: Fresno State vs. San José State · L 14–16; defense 55.5 percentile2017 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Incarnate Word · W 66–0; defense 91.6 percentile2017 Week 2: Fresno State at Alabama · L 10–41; defense 10.1 percentile2017 Week 3: Fresno State at Washington · L 16–48; defense 38.2 percentile2017 Week 5: Fresno State vs. Nevada · W 41–21; defense 85.9 percentile2017 Week 6: Fresno State at San José State · W 27–10; defense 57.7 percentile2017 Week 7: Fresno State vs. New Mexico · W 38–0; defense 90.6 percentile2017 Week 8: Fresno State at San Diego State · W 27–3; defense 97.8 percentile2017 Week 9: Fresno State vs. UNLV · L 16–26; defense 60.5 percentile2017 Week 10: Fresno State vs. BYU · W 20–13; defense 36.9 percentile2017 Week 11: Fresno State at Hawai'i · W 31–21; defense 56.8 percentile2017 Week 12: Fresno State at Wyoming · W 13–7; defense 78.4 percentile2017 Week 13: Fresno State vs. Boise State · W 28–17; defense 60.7 percentile2017 Week 14: Fresno State at Boise State · L 14–17; defense 81.4 percentile2017 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Houston · W 33–27; defense 87.3 percentile2018 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Idaho · W 79–13; defense 41.5 percentile2018 Week 2: Fresno State at Minnesota · L 14–21; defense 86.3 percentile2018 Week 3: Fresno State at UCLA · W 38–14; defense 73.1 percentile2018 Week 5: Fresno State vs. Toledo · W 49–27; defense 70.2 percentile2018 Week 6: Fresno State at Nevada · W 21–3; defense 83.2 percentile2018 Week 7: Fresno State vs. Wyoming · W 27–3; defense 86.1 percentile2018 Week 8: Fresno State at New Mexico · W 38–7; defense 56.8 percentile2018 Week 9: Fresno State vs. Hawai'i · W 50–20; defense 57.6 percentile2018 Week 10: Fresno State at UNLV · W 48–3; defense 87.1 percentile2018 Week 11: Fresno State at Boise State · L 17–24; defense 33.3 percentile2018 Week 12: Fresno State vs. San Diego State · W 23–14; defense 65.2 percentile2018 Week 13: Fresno State vs. San José State · W 31–13; defense 36.6 percentile2018 Week 14: Fresno State at Boise State · W 19–16; defense 92.7 percentile2018 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Arizona State · W 31–20; defense 62.8 percentile2019 Week 1: Fresno State at USC · L 23–31; defense 62.8 percentile2019 Week 2: Fresno State vs. Minnesota · L 35–38; defense 60.7 percentile2019 Week 4: Fresno State vs. Sacramento State · W 34–20; defense 48.8 percentile2019 Week 5: Fresno State at New Mexico State · W 30–17; defense 51.1 percentile2019 Week 7: Fresno State at Air Force · L 24–43; defense 20.6 percentile2019 Week 8: Fresno State vs. UNLV · W 56–27; defense 41.2 percentile2019 Week 9: Fresno State vs. Colorado State · L 31–41; defense 35.9 percentile2019 Week 10: Fresno State at Hawai'i · W 41–38; defense 28.1 percentile2019 Week 11: Fresno State vs. Utah State · L 35–37; defense 8.7 percentile2019 Week 12: Fresno State at San Diego State · L 7–17; defense 62.7 percentile2019 Week 13: Fresno State vs. Nevada · L 28–35; defense 3.2 percentile2019 Week 14: Fresno State at San José State · L 16–17; defense 85.9 percentile2020 Week 8: Fresno State vs. Hawai'i · L 19–34; defense 3.5 percentile2020 Week 9: Fresno State vs. Colorado State · W 38–17; defense 43.6 percentile2020 Week 10: Fresno State at UNLV · W 40–27; defense 24.5 percentile2020 Week 11: Fresno State at Utah State · W 35–16; defense 85.7 percentile2020 Week 14: Fresno State at Nevada · L 26–37; defense 52.1 percentile2020 Week 15: Fresno State at New Mexico · L 39–49; defense 4.4 percentile2021 Week 1: Fresno State vs. UConn · W 45–0; defense 96.8 percentile2021 Week 1: Fresno State at Oregon · L 24–31; defense 81.1 percentile2021 Week 2: Fresno State vs. Cal Poly · W 63–10; defense 74.8 percentile2021 Week 3: Fresno State at UCLA · W 40–37; defense 62.0 percentile2021 Week 4: Fresno State vs. UNLV · W 38–30; defense 27.3 percentile2021 Week 5: Fresno State at Hawai'i · L 24–27; defense 65.2 percentile2021 Week 7: Fresno State at Wyoming · W 17–0; defense 92.3 percentile2021 Week 8: Fresno State vs. Nevada · W 34–32; defense 50.0 percentile2021 Week 9: Fresno State at San Diego State · W 30–20; defense 51.6 percentile2021 Week 10: Fresno State vs. Boise State · L 14–40; defense 32.5 percentile2021 Week 11: Fresno State vs. New Mexico · W 34–7; defense 55.1 percentile2021 Week 13: Fresno State at San José State · W 40–9; defense 83.4 percentile2021 Week 1: Fresno State vs. UTEP · W 31–24; defense 22.4 percentile2022 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Cal Poly · W 35–7; defense 55.8 percentile2022 Week 2: Fresno State vs. Oregon State · L 32–35; defense 50.5 percentile2022 Week 3: Fresno State at USC · L 17–45; defense 17.9 percentile2022 Week 5: Fresno State at UConn · L 14–19; defense 59.8 percentile2022 Week 6: Fresno State at Boise State · L 20–40; defense 20.1 percentile2022 Week 7: Fresno State vs. San José State · W 17–10; defense 91.5 percentile2022 Week 8: Fresno State at New Mexico · W 41–9; defense 79.6 percentile2022 Week 9: Fresno State vs. San Diego State · W 32–28; defense 15.0 percentile2022 Week 10: Fresno State vs. Hawai'i · W 55–13; defense 67.9 percentile2022 Week 11: Fresno State at UNLV · W 37–30; defense 43.1 percentile2022 Week 12: Fresno State at Nevada · W 41–14; defense 33.9 percentile2022 Week 13: Fresno State vs. Wyoming · W 30–0; defense 98.1 percentile2022 Week 14: Fresno State at Boise State · W 28–16; defense 87.6 percentile2022 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Washington State · W 29–6; defense 94.1 percentile2023 Week 1: Fresno State at Purdue · W 39–35; defense 54.1 percentile2023 Week 2: Fresno State vs. Eastern Washington · W 34–31; defense 42.9 percentile2023 Week 3: Fresno State at Arizona State · W 29–0; defense 95.2 percentile2023 Week 5: Fresno State vs. Nevada · W 27–9; defense 82.9 percentile2023 Week 6: Fresno State at Wyoming · L 19–24; defense 42.1 percentile2023 Week 7: Fresno State at Utah State · W 37–32; defense 16.0 percentile2023 Week 9: Fresno State vs. UNLV · W 31–24; defense 75.5 percentile2023 Week 10: Fresno State vs. Boise State · W 37–30; defense 60.5 percentile2023 Week 11: Fresno State at San José State · L 18–42; defense 10.0 percentile2023 Week 12: Fresno State vs. New Mexico · L 17–25; defense 5.2 percentile2023 Week 13: Fresno State at San Diego State · L 18–33; defense 16.3 percentile2023 Week 1: Fresno State vs. New Mexico State · W 37–10; defense 90.5 percentile2024 Week 1: Fresno State at Michigan · L 10–30; defense 46.4 percentile2024 Week 2: Fresno State vs. Sacramento State · W 46–30; defense 34.8 percentile2024 Week 3: Fresno State vs. New Mexico State · W 48–0; defense 99.0 percentile2024 Week 4: Fresno State at New Mexico · W 38–21; defense 91.5 percentile2024 Week 5: Fresno State at UNLV · L 14–59; defense 32.0 percentile2024 Week 8: Fresno State at Nevada · W 24–21; defense 87.7 percentile2024 Week 9: Fresno State vs. San José State · W 33–10; defense 40.9 percentile2024 Week 10: Fresno State vs. Hawai'i · L 20–21; defense 57.9 percentile2024 Week 11: Fresno State at Air Force · L 28–36; defense 26.4 percentile2024 Week 13: Fresno State vs. Colorado State · W 28–22; defense 77.6 percentile2024 Week 14: Fresno State at UCLA · L 13–20; defense 47.5 percentile2024 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Northern Illinois · L 20–28; defense 85.5 percentile2025 Week 1: Fresno State at Kansas · L 7–31; defense 39.9 percentile2025 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Georgia Southern · W 42–14; defense 75.5 percentile2025 Week 2: Fresno State at Oregon State · W 36–27; defense 16.6 percentile2025 Week 3: Fresno State vs. Southern · W 56–7; defense 74.0 percentile2025 Week 4: Fresno State at Hawai'i · W 23–21; defense 73.7 percentile2025 Week 6: Fresno State vs. Nevada · W 20–17; defense 63.4 percentile2025 Week 7: Fresno State at Colorado State · L 21–49; defense 28.2 percentile2025 Week 9: Fresno State vs. San Diego State · L 0–23; defense 38.3 percentile2025 Week 10: Fresno State at Boise State · W 30–7; defense 96.1 percentile2025 Week 12: Fresno State vs. Wyoming · W 24–3; defense 85.4 percentile2025 Week 13: Fresno State vs. Utah State · L 17–28; defense 43.0 percentile2025 Week 14: Fresno State at San José State · W 41–14; defense 91.6 percentile2025 Week 1: Fresno State vs. Miami (OH) · W 18–3; defense 76.2 percentile2026 Week 1: Fresno State at USC · L 0–39; defense 35.9 percentile2014 defense season mean: 40.9 percentile2015 defense season mean: 25.0 percentile2016 defense season mean: 36.0 percentile2017 defense season mean: 70.7 percentile2018 defense season mean: 69.0 percentile2019 defense season mean: 39.5 percentile2020 defense season mean: 29.4 percentile2021 defense season mean: 64.5 percentile2022 defense season mean: 62.6 percentile2023 defense season mean: 49.1 percentile2024 defense season mean: 66.1 percentile2025 defense season mean: 64.8 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 61.7 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 35.9 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2016Tim DeRuyter / Eric Kiesau
2017Jeff Tedford
2020Kalen DeBoer
2021Kalen DeBoer / Lee Marks
2022Jeff Tedford
2024Tim Skipper
2025Matt Entz

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateMatt Entz1
29.8 estimate1.4 games-only average
61.7 estimate35.9 games-only average
2025Matt EntzCoaching change1337.464.8
2024Tim SkipperCoaching change1236.566.1
2023Jeff Tedford1239.249.1
2022Jeff TedfordCoaching change1458.562.6
2021Kalen DeBoer / Lee MarksCoaching change1357.564.5
2020Kalen DeBoerCoaching change656.229.4
2019Jeff Tedford1251.839.5
2018Jeff Tedford1459.969.0
2017Jeff TedfordCoaching change1451.770.7
2016Tim DeRuyter / Eric KiesauCoaching change1212.436.0
2015Tim DeRuyter1221.325.0
2014Tim DeRuyter1432.740.9