2014–2026 performance history

Hawai'i over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Mountain WestHead coach: Timmy ChangView Hawai'i games →
Offense · 2026 estimate42.8/100

25.7 average through 2 games

47.5 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate36.3/100

34.3 average through 2 games

36.9 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Hawai'i individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Chow · ’14–’15Norm Chow, 2014–2015Rolovich · ’16–’19Nick Rolovich, 2016–2019Graham · ’20–’21Todd Graham, 2020–2021Chang · ’22–’26Timmy Chang, 2022–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Washington · L 16–17; offense 37.4 percentile2014 Week 2: Hawai'i vs. Oregon State · L 30–38; offense 10.8 percentile2014 Week 3: Hawai'i vs. Northern Iowa · W 27–24; offense 1.9 percentile2014 Week 4: Hawai'i at Colorado · L 12–21; offense 5.1 percentile2014 Week 6: Hawai'i at Rice · L 14–28; offense 12.4 percentile2014 Week 7: Hawai'i vs. Wyoming · W 38–28; offense 53.5 percentile2014 Week 8: Hawai'i at San Diego State · L 10–20; offense 24.4 percentile2014 Week 10: Hawai'i vs. Utah State · L 14–35; offense 77.7 percentile2014 Week 11: Hawai'i at Colorado State · L 22–49; offense 34.2 percentile2014 Week 12: Hawai'i at San José State · W 13–0; offense 8.9 percentile2014 Week 13: Hawai'i vs. UNLV · W 37–35; offense 48.7 percentile2014 Week 14: Hawai'i at Fresno State · L 21–28; offense 8.5 percentile2015 Week 2: Hawai'i at Ohio State · L 0–38; offense 14.0 percentile2015 Week 3: Hawai'i vs. UC Davis · W 47–27; offense 57.2 percentile2015 Week 4: Hawai'i at Wisconsin · L 0–28; offense 15.2 percentile2015 Week 5: Hawai'i at Boise State · L 0–55; offense 10.5 percentile2015 Week 6: Hawai'i vs. San Diego State · L 14–28; offense 37.5 percentile2015 Week 7: Hawai'i at New Mexico · L 27–28; offense 64.1 percentile2015 Week 8: Hawai'i at Nevada · L 20–30; offense 21.5 percentile2015 Week 9: Hawai'i vs. Air Force · L 7–58; offense 2.4 percentile2015 Week 11: Hawai'i vs. Fresno State · L 14–42; offense 31.0 percentile2015 Week 12: Hawai'i vs. San José State · L 23–42; offense 52.5 percentile2015 Week 13: Hawai'i vs. UL Monroe · W 28–26; offense 31.8 percentile2016 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. California · L 31–51; offense 51.2 percentile2016 Week 1: Hawai'i at Michigan · L 3–63; offense 42.0 percentile2016 Week 2: Hawai'i vs. UT Martin · W 41–36; offense 45.1 percentile2016 Week 3: Hawai'i at Arizona · L 28–47; offense 38.6 percentile2016 Week 5: Hawai'i vs. Nevada · W 38–17; offense 93.0 percentile2016 Week 6: Hawai'i at San José State · W 34–17; offense 40.1 percentile2016 Week 7: Hawai'i vs. UNLV · L 38–41; offense 70.3 percentile2016 Week 8: Hawai'i at Air Force · W 34–27; offense 35.6 percentile2016 Week 9: Hawai'i vs. New Mexico · L 21–28; offense 12.3 percentile2016 Week 10: Hawai'i at San Diego State · L 0–55; offense 1.3 percentile2016 Week 11: Hawai'i vs. Boise State · L 16–52; offense 30.1 percentile2016 Week 12: Hawai'i at Fresno State · W 14–13; offense 6.5 percentile2016 Week 13: Hawai'i vs. Massachusetts · W 46–40; offense 70.4 percentile2016 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Middle Tennessee · W 52–35; offense 70.4 percentile2017 Week 1: Hawai'i at Massachusetts · W 38–35; offense 76.5 percentile2017 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Western Carolina · W 41–18; offense 24.2 percentile2017 Week 2: Hawai'i at UCLA · L 23–56; offense 46.8 percentile2017 Week 4: Hawai'i at Wyoming · L 21–28; offense 83.3 percentile2017 Week 5: Hawai'i vs. Colorado State · L 21–51; offense 62.1 percentile2017 Week 6: Hawai'i at Nevada · L 21–35; offense 57.2 percentile2017 Week 7: Hawai'i vs. San José State · W 37–26; offense 60.1 percentile2017 Week 9: Hawai'i vs. San Diego State · L 7–28; offense 2.7 percentile2017 Week 10: Hawai'i at UNLV · L 23–31; offense 37.2 percentile2017 Week 11: Hawai'i vs. Fresno State · L 21–31; offense 51.0 percentile2017 Week 12: Hawai'i at Utah State · L 0–38; offense 12.7 percentile2017 Week 13: Hawai'i vs. BYU · L 20–30; offense 9.8 percentile2018 Week 1: Hawai'i at Colorado State · W 43–34; offense 91.2 percentile2018 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Navy · W 59–41; offense 87.6 percentile2018 Week 2: Hawai'i vs. Rice · W 43–29; offense 81.2 percentile2018 Week 3: Hawai'i at Army · L 21–28; offense 77.3 percentile2018 Week 4: Hawai'i vs. Duquesne · W 42–21; offense 58.7 percentile2018 Week 5: Hawai'i at San José State · W 44–41; offense 50.2 percentile2018 Week 6: Hawai'i vs. Wyoming · W 17–13; offense 62.2 percentile2018 Week 7: Hawai'i at BYU · L 23–49; offense 49.5 percentile2018 Week 8: Hawai'i vs. Nevada · L 22–40; offense 31.2 percentile2018 Week 9: Hawai'i at Fresno State · L 20–50; offense 68.9 percentile2018 Week 10: Hawai'i vs. Utah State · L 17–56; offense 34.0 percentile2018 Week 12: Hawai'i vs. UNLV · W 35–28; offense 28.2 percentile2018 Week 13: Hawai'i at San Diego State · W 31–30; offense 77.6 percentile2018 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Louisiana Tech · L 14–31; offense 18.3 percentile2019 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Arizona · W 45–38; offense 83.1 percentile2019 Week 2: Hawai'i vs. Oregon State · W 31–28; offense 36.7 percentile2019 Week 3: Hawai'i at Washington · L 20–52; offense 60.7 percentile2019 Week 4: Hawai'i vs. Central Arkansas · W 35–16; offense 67.3 percentile2019 Week 7: Hawai'i at Boise State · L 37–59; offense 66.5 percentile2019 Week 8: Hawai'i vs. Air Force · L 26–56; offense 94.5 percentile2019 Week 9: Hawai'i at New Mexico · W 45–31; offense 84.2 percentile2019 Week 10: Hawai'i vs. Fresno State · L 38–41; offense 80.4 percentile2019 Week 11: Hawai'i vs. San José State · W 42–40; offense 87.1 percentile2019 Week 12: Hawai'i at UNLV · W 21–7; offense 37.4 percentile2019 Week 13: Hawai'i vs. San Diego State · W 14–11; offense 84.6 percentile2019 Week 14: Hawai'i vs. Army · W 52–31; offense 94.6 percentile2019 Week 15: Hawai'i at Boise State · L 10–31; offense 14.0 percentile2019 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. BYU · W 38–34; offense 61.9 percentile2020 Week 8: Hawai'i at Fresno State · W 34–19; offense 92.5 percentile2020 Week 9: Hawai'i at Wyoming · L 7–31; offense 39.6 percentile2020 Week 10: Hawai'i vs. New Mexico · W 39–33; offense 56.7 percentile2020 Week 11: Hawai'i at San Diego State · L 10–34; offense 30.6 percentile2020 Week 12: Hawai'i vs. Boise State · L 32–40; offense 22.9 percentile2020 Week 13: Hawai'i vs. Nevada · W 24–21; offense 62.7 percentile2020 Week 15: Hawai'i vs. UNLV · W 38–21; offense 52.0 percentile2020 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Houston · W 28–14; offense 13.8 percentile2021 Week 1: Hawai'i at UCLA · L 10–44; offense 1.8 percentile2021 Week 2: Hawai'i at Oregon State · L 27–45; offense 39.6 percentile2021 Week 3: Hawai'i vs. San José State · L 13–17; offense 11.7 percentile2021 Week 5: Hawai'i vs. Fresno State · W 27–24; offense 45.3 percentile2021 Week 7: Hawai'i at Nevada · L 17–34; offense 39.9 percentile2021 Week 8: Hawai'i vs. New Mexico State · W 48–34; offense 74.3 percentile2021 Week 9: Hawai'i at Utah State · L 31–51; offense 41.6 percentile2021 Week 10: Hawai'i vs. San Diego State · L 10–17; offense 43.3 percentile2021 Week 12: Hawai'i vs. Colorado State · W 50–45; offense 67.9 percentile2021 Week 13: Hawai'i at Wyoming · W 38–14; offense 88.9 percentile2022 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Vanderbilt · L 10–63; offense 12.4 percentile2022 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Western Kentucky · L 17–49; offense 24.0 percentile2022 Week 2: Hawai'i at Michigan · L 10–56; offense 20.5 percentile2022 Week 3: Hawai'i vs. Duquesne · W 24–14; offense 12.1 percentile2022 Week 6: Hawai'i at San Diego State · L 14–16; offense 66.1 percentile2022 Week 7: Hawai'i vs. Nevada · W 31–16; offense 86.1 percentile2022 Week 8: Hawai'i at Colorado State · L 13–17; offense 20.1 percentile2022 Week 9: Hawai'i vs. Wyoming · L 20–27; offense 39.3 percentile2022 Week 10: Hawai'i at Fresno State · L 13–55; offense 38.8 percentile2022 Week 11: Hawai'i vs. Utah State · L 34–41; offense 68.7 percentile2022 Week 12: Hawai'i vs. UNLV · W 31–25; offense 72.6 percentile2022 Week 13: Hawai'i at San José State · L 14–27; offense 11.1 percentile2023 Week 1: Hawai'i at Vanderbilt · L 28–35; offense 33.0 percentile2023 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Stanford · L 24–37; offense 2.4 percentile2023 Week 2: Hawai'i vs. UAlbany · W 31–20; offense 8.3 percentile2023 Week 3: Hawai'i at Oregon · L 10–55; offense 4.2 percentile2023 Week 4: Hawai'i vs. New Mexico State · W 20–17; offense 13.6 percentile2023 Week 5: Hawai'i at UNLV · L 20–44; offense 43.5 percentile2023 Week 7: Hawai'i vs. San Diego State · L 34–41; offense 53.1 percentile2023 Week 8: Hawai'i at New Mexico · L 21–42; offense 21.2 percentile2023 Week 9: Hawai'i vs. San José State · L 0–35; offense 3.4 percentile2023 Week 10: Hawai'i at Nevada · W 27–14; offense 22.9 percentile2023 Week 11: Hawai'i vs. Air Force · W 27–13; offense 64.9 percentile2023 Week 12: Hawai'i at Wyoming · L 9–42; offense 9.6 percentile2023 Week 13: Hawai'i vs. Colorado State · W 27–24; offense 77.4 percentile2024 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Delaware State · W 35–14; offense 11.6 percentile2024 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. UCLA · L 13–16; offense 0.9 percentile2024 Week 3: Hawai'i at Sam Houston · L 13–31; offense 41.3 percentile2024 Week 4: Hawai'i vs. Northern Iowa · W 36–7; offense 78.7 percentile2024 Week 6: Hawai'i at San Diego State · L 24–27; offense 47.5 percentile2024 Week 7: Hawai'i vs. Boise State · L 7–28; offense 6.9 percentile2024 Week 8: Hawai'i at Washington State · L 10–42; offense 27.7 percentile2024 Week 9: Hawai'i vs. Nevada · W 34–13; offense 86.2 percentile2024 Week 10: Hawai'i at Fresno State · W 21–20; offense 52.1 percentile2024 Week 11: Hawai'i vs. UNLV · L 27–29; offense 53.0 percentile2024 Week 14: Hawai'i vs. New Mexico · W 38–30; offense 66.2 percentile2025 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Stanford · W 23–20; offense 26.7 percentile2025 Week 1: Hawai'i at Arizona · L 6–40; offense 5.7 percentile2025 Week 2: Hawai'i vs. Sam Houston · W 37–20; offense 26.2 percentile2025 Week 3: Hawai'i vs. Portland State · W 23–3; offense 10.4 percentile2025 Week 4: Hawai'i vs. Fresno State · L 21–23; offense 49.9 percentile2025 Week 5: Hawai'i at Air Force · W 44–35; offense 61.4 percentile2025 Week 7: Hawai'i vs. Utah State · W 44–26; offense 66.8 percentile2025 Week 8: Hawai'i at Colorado State · W 31–19; offense 48.6 percentile2025 Week 10: Hawai'i at San José State · L 38–45; offense 86.6 percentile2025 Week 11: Hawai'i vs. San Diego State · W 38–6; offense 89.6 percentile2025 Week 13: Hawai'i at UNLV · L 10–38; offense 8.8 percentile2025 Week 14: Hawai'i vs. Wyoming · W 27–7; offense 85.1 percentile2025 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. California · W 35–31; offense 70.5 percentile2026 Week 1: Hawai'i at Stanford · L 27–37; offense 24.1 percentile2026 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. UNLV · L 6–21; offense 27.3 percentile2014 offense season mean: 21.6 percentile2015 offense season mean: 26.8 percentile2016 offense season mean: 40.0 percentile2017 offense season mean: 40.1 percentile2018 offense season mean: 60.0 percentile2019 offense season mean: 71.3 percentile2020 offense season mean: 46.9 percentile2021 offense season mean: 42.2 percentile2022 offense season mean: 37.3 percentile2023 offense season mean: 21.5 percentile2024 offense season mean: 37.5 percentile2025 offense season mean: 47.5 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 42.8 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 25.7 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Washington · L 16–17; defense 61.5 percentile2014 Week 2: Hawai'i vs. Oregon State · L 30–38; defense 30.3 percentile2014 Week 3: Hawai'i vs. Northern Iowa · W 27–24; defense 76.4 percentile2014 Week 4: Hawai'i at Colorado · L 12–21; defense 78.3 percentile2014 Week 6: Hawai'i at Rice · L 14–28; defense 65.4 percentile2014 Week 7: Hawai'i vs. Wyoming · W 38–28; defense 67.3 percentile2014 Week 8: Hawai'i at San Diego State · L 10–20; defense 37.4 percentile2014 Week 10: Hawai'i vs. Utah State · L 14–35; defense 5.6 percentile2014 Week 11: Hawai'i at Colorado State · L 22–49; defense 2.3 percentile2014 Week 12: Hawai'i at San José State · W 13–0; defense 50.8 percentile2014 Week 13: Hawai'i vs. UNLV · W 37–35; defense 47.1 percentile2014 Week 14: Hawai'i at Fresno State · L 21–28; defense 16.0 percentile2015 Week 2: Hawai'i at Ohio State · L 0–38; defense 87.4 percentile2015 Week 3: Hawai'i vs. UC Davis · W 47–27; defense 17.8 percentile2015 Week 4: Hawai'i at Wisconsin · L 0–28; defense 18.1 percentile2015 Week 5: Hawai'i at Boise State · L 0–55; defense 27.9 percentile2015 Week 6: Hawai'i vs. San Diego State · L 14–28; defense 70.4 percentile2015 Week 7: Hawai'i at New Mexico · L 27–28; defense 47.7 percentile2015 Week 8: Hawai'i at Nevada · L 20–30; defense 55.4 percentile2015 Week 9: Hawai'i vs. Air Force · L 7–58; defense 15.5 percentile2015 Week 11: Hawai'i vs. Fresno State · L 14–42; defense 19.8 percentile2015 Week 12: Hawai'i vs. San José State · L 23–42; defense 3.5 percentile2015 Week 13: Hawai'i vs. UL Monroe · W 28–26; defense 17.0 percentile2016 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. California · L 31–51; defense 13.1 percentile2016 Week 1: Hawai'i at Michigan · L 3–63; defense 0.3 percentile2016 Week 2: Hawai'i vs. UT Martin · W 41–36; defense 12.9 percentile2016 Week 3: Hawai'i at Arizona · L 28–47; defense 17.6 percentile2016 Week 5: Hawai'i vs. Nevada · W 38–17; defense 74.4 percentile2016 Week 6: Hawai'i at San José State · W 34–17; defense 67.9 percentile2016 Week 7: Hawai'i vs. UNLV · L 38–41; defense 13.4 percentile2016 Week 8: Hawai'i at Air Force · W 34–27; defense 75.4 percentile2016 Week 9: Hawai'i vs. New Mexico · L 21–28; defense 71.8 percentile2016 Week 10: Hawai'i at San Diego State · L 0–55; defense 33.4 percentile2016 Week 11: Hawai'i vs. Boise State · L 16–52; defense 8.1 percentile2016 Week 12: Hawai'i at Fresno State · W 14–13; defense 46.4 percentile2016 Week 13: Hawai'i vs. Massachusetts · W 46–40; defense 29.9 percentile2016 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Middle Tennessee · W 52–35; defense 48.0 percentile2017 Week 1: Hawai'i at Massachusetts · W 38–35; defense 45.1 percentile2017 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Western Carolina · W 41–18; defense 19.3 percentile2017 Week 2: Hawai'i at UCLA · L 23–56; defense 3.3 percentile2017 Week 4: Hawai'i at Wyoming · L 21–28; defense 48.4 percentile2017 Week 5: Hawai'i vs. Colorado State · L 21–51; defense 1.7 percentile2017 Week 6: Hawai'i at Nevada · L 21–35; defense 18.1 percentile2017 Week 7: Hawai'i vs. San José State · W 37–26; defense 3.3 percentile2017 Week 9: Hawai'i vs. San Diego State · L 7–28; defense 25.6 percentile2017 Week 10: Hawai'i at UNLV · L 23–31; defense 51.4 percentile2017 Week 11: Hawai'i vs. Fresno State · L 21–31; defense 17.9 percentile2017 Week 12: Hawai'i at Utah State · L 0–38; defense 2.6 percentile2017 Week 13: Hawai'i vs. BYU · L 20–30; defense 6.5 percentile2018 Week 1: Hawai'i at Colorado State · W 43–34; defense 5.0 percentile2018 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Navy · W 59–41; defense 6.8 percentile2018 Week 2: Hawai'i vs. Rice · W 43–29; defense 26.7 percentile2018 Week 3: Hawai'i at Army · L 21–28; defense 55.2 percentile2018 Week 4: Hawai'i vs. Duquesne · W 42–21; defense 54.4 percentile2018 Week 5: Hawai'i at San José State · W 44–41; defense 29.5 percentile2018 Week 6: Hawai'i vs. Wyoming · W 17–13; defense 68.5 percentile2018 Week 7: Hawai'i at BYU · L 23–49; defense 4.7 percentile2018 Week 8: Hawai'i vs. Nevada · L 22–40; defense 12.9 percentile2018 Week 9: Hawai'i at Fresno State · L 20–50; defense 8.6 percentile2018 Week 10: Hawai'i vs. Utah State · L 17–56; defense 2.9 percentile2018 Week 12: Hawai'i vs. UNLV · W 35–28; defense 49.5 percentile2018 Week 13: Hawai'i at San Diego State · W 31–30; defense 37.5 percentile2018 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Louisiana Tech · L 14–31; defense 24.3 percentile2019 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Arizona · W 45–38; defense 35.6 percentile2019 Week 2: Hawai'i vs. Oregon State · W 31–28; defense 46.1 percentile2019 Week 3: Hawai'i at Washington · L 20–52; defense 2.3 percentile2019 Week 4: Hawai'i vs. Central Arkansas · W 35–16; defense 28.4 percentile2019 Week 7: Hawai'i at Boise State · L 37–59; defense 12.0 percentile2019 Week 8: Hawai'i vs. Air Force · L 26–56; defense 5.4 percentile2019 Week 9: Hawai'i at New Mexico · W 45–31; defense 51.5 percentile2019 Week 10: Hawai'i vs. Fresno State · L 38–41; defense 4.8 percentile2019 Week 11: Hawai'i vs. San José State · W 42–40; defense 2.1 percentile2019 Week 12: Hawai'i at UNLV · W 21–7; defense 64.7 percentile2019 Week 13: Hawai'i vs. San Diego State · W 14–11; defense 55.5 percentile2019 Week 14: Hawai'i vs. Army · W 52–31; defense 16.5 percentile2019 Week 15: Hawai'i at Boise State · L 10–31; defense 38.3 percentile2019 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. BYU · W 38–34; defense 28.0 percentile2020 Week 8: Hawai'i at Fresno State · W 34–19; defense 59.3 percentile2020 Week 9: Hawai'i at Wyoming · L 7–31; defense 37.1 percentile2020 Week 10: Hawai'i vs. New Mexico · W 39–33; defense 16.3 percentile2020 Week 11: Hawai'i at San Diego State · L 10–34; defense 63.3 percentile2020 Week 12: Hawai'i vs. Boise State · L 32–40; defense 16.4 percentile2020 Week 13: Hawai'i vs. Nevada · W 24–21; defense 30.1 percentile2020 Week 15: Hawai'i vs. UNLV · W 38–21; defense 44.3 percentile2020 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Houston · W 28–14; defense 94.1 percentile2021 Week 1: Hawai'i at UCLA · L 10–44; defense 42.9 percentile2021 Week 2: Hawai'i at Oregon State · L 27–45; defense 11.0 percentile2021 Week 3: Hawai'i vs. San José State · L 13–17; defense 87.9 percentile2021 Week 5: Hawai'i vs. Fresno State · W 27–24; defense 39.7 percentile2021 Week 7: Hawai'i at Nevada · L 17–34; defense 43.7 percentile2021 Week 8: Hawai'i vs. New Mexico State · W 48–34; defense 6.7 percentile2021 Week 9: Hawai'i at Utah State · L 31–51; defense 20.8 percentile2021 Week 10: Hawai'i vs. San Diego State · L 10–17; defense 74.3 percentile2021 Week 12: Hawai'i vs. Colorado State · W 50–45; defense 16.0 percentile2021 Week 13: Hawai'i at Wyoming · W 38–14; defense 93.5 percentile2022 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Vanderbilt · L 10–63; defense 1.2 percentile2022 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Western Kentucky · L 17–49; defense 40.2 percentile2022 Week 2: Hawai'i at Michigan · L 10–56; defense 6.4 percentile2022 Week 3: Hawai'i vs. Duquesne · W 24–14; defense 18.5 percentile2022 Week 6: Hawai'i at San Diego State · L 14–16; defense 55.6 percentile2022 Week 7: Hawai'i vs. Nevada · W 31–16; defense 62.1 percentile2022 Week 8: Hawai'i at Colorado State · L 13–17; defense 29.4 percentile2022 Week 9: Hawai'i vs. Wyoming · L 20–27; defense 4.7 percentile2022 Week 10: Hawai'i at Fresno State · L 13–55; defense 0.5 percentile2022 Week 11: Hawai'i vs. Utah State · L 34–41; defense 16.7 percentile2022 Week 12: Hawai'i vs. UNLV · W 31–25; defense 43.3 percentile2022 Week 13: Hawai'i at San José State · L 14–27; defense 26.4 percentile2023 Week 1: Hawai'i at Vanderbilt · L 28–35; defense 40.4 percentile2023 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Stanford · L 24–37; defense 10.4 percentile2023 Week 2: Hawai'i vs. UAlbany · W 31–20; defense 50.0 percentile2023 Week 3: Hawai'i at Oregon · L 10–55; defense 21.5 percentile2023 Week 4: Hawai'i vs. New Mexico State · W 20–17; defense 33.4 percentile2023 Week 5: Hawai'i at UNLV · L 20–44; defense 5.9 percentile2023 Week 7: Hawai'i vs. San Diego State · L 34–41; defense 44.9 percentile2023 Week 8: Hawai'i at New Mexico · L 21–42; defense 4.9 percentile2023 Week 9: Hawai'i vs. San José State · L 0–35; defense 22.4 percentile2023 Week 10: Hawai'i at Nevada · W 27–14; defense 79.8 percentile2023 Week 11: Hawai'i vs. Air Force · W 27–13; defense 65.9 percentile2023 Week 12: Hawai'i at Wyoming · L 9–42; defense 15.3 percentile2023 Week 13: Hawai'i vs. Colorado State · W 27–24; defense 21.7 percentile2024 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Delaware State · W 35–14; defense 43.0 percentile2024 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. UCLA · L 13–16; defense 65.6 percentile2024 Week 3: Hawai'i at Sam Houston · L 13–31; defense 11.7 percentile2024 Week 4: Hawai'i vs. Northern Iowa · W 36–7; defense 34.6 percentile2024 Week 6: Hawai'i at San Diego State · L 24–27; defense 26.1 percentile2024 Week 7: Hawai'i vs. Boise State · L 7–28; defense 23.8 percentile2024 Week 8: Hawai'i at Washington State · L 10–42; defense 18.4 percentile2024 Week 9: Hawai'i vs. Nevada · W 34–13; defense 37.1 percentile2024 Week 10: Hawai'i at Fresno State · W 21–20; defense 90.4 percentile2024 Week 11: Hawai'i vs. UNLV · L 27–29; defense 53.6 percentile2024 Week 14: Hawai'i vs. New Mexico · W 38–30; defense 50.1 percentile2025 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. Stanford · W 23–20; defense 38.4 percentile2025 Week 1: Hawai'i at Arizona · L 6–40; defense 34.1 percentile2025 Week 2: Hawai'i vs. Sam Houston · W 37–20; defense 49.9 percentile2025 Week 3: Hawai'i vs. Portland State · W 23–3; defense 48.9 percentile2025 Week 4: Hawai'i vs. Fresno State · L 21–23; defense 64.6 percentile2025 Week 5: Hawai'i at Air Force · W 44–35; defense 18.7 percentile2025 Week 7: Hawai'i vs. Utah State · W 44–26; defense 34.9 percentile2025 Week 8: Hawai'i at Colorado State · W 31–19; defense 56.8 percentile2025 Week 10: Hawai'i at San José State · L 38–45; defense 6.2 percentile2025 Week 11: Hawai'i vs. San Diego State · W 38–6; defense 88.1 percentile2025 Week 13: Hawai'i at UNLV · L 10–38; defense 8.8 percentile2025 Week 14: Hawai'i vs. Wyoming · W 27–7; defense 80.9 percentile2025 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. California · W 35–31; defense 2.0 percentile2026 Week 1: Hawai'i at Stanford · L 27–37; defense 14.1 percentile2026 Week 1: Hawai'i vs. UNLV · L 6–21; defense 60.5 percentile2014 defense season mean: 40.7 percentile2015 defense season mean: 31.5 percentile2016 defense season mean: 30.5 percentile2017 defense season mean: 14.4 percentile2018 defense season mean: 22.3 percentile2019 defense season mean: 22.0 percentile2020 defense season mean: 46.0 percentile2021 defense season mean: 42.9 percentile2022 defense season mean: 17.9 percentile2023 defense season mean: 28.5 percentile2024 defense season mean: 40.8 percentile2025 defense season mean: 36.9 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 36.3 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 34.3 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2015Norm Chow / Chris Naeole
2016Nick Rolovich
2020Todd Graham
2022Timmy Chang

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateTimmy Chang2
42.8 estimate25.7 games-only average
36.3 estimate34.3 games-only average
2025Timmy Chang1347.536.9
2024Timmy Chang1137.540.8
2023Timmy Chang1321.528.5
2022Timmy ChangCoaching change1237.317.9
2021Todd Graham1042.242.9
2020Todd GrahamCoaching change846.946.0
2019Nick Rolovich1471.322.0
2018Nick Rolovich1460.022.3
2017Nick Rolovich1240.114.4
2016Nick RolovichCoaching change1440.030.5
2015Norm Chow / Chris NaeoleCoaching change1126.831.5
2014Norm Chow1221.640.7