2014–2026 performance history

Jacksonville State over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Conference USAHead coach: Charles KellyView Jacksonville State games →
Offense · 2026 estimate48.8/100

53.6 average through 2 games

47.6 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate37.0/100

22.0 average through 2 games

41.2 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Jacksonville State individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Rodriguez · ’23–’24Rich Rodriguez, 2023–2024Kelly · ’25–’26Charles Kelly, 2025–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512023 Week 1: Jacksonville State vs. UTEP · W 17–14; offense 14.6 percentile2023 Week 1: Jacksonville State vs. East Tennessee State · W 49–3; offense 17.1 percentile2023 Week 2: Jacksonville State at Coastal Carolina · L 16–30; offense 10.4 percentile2023 Week 4: Jacksonville State vs. Eastern Michigan · W 21–0; offense 35.4 percentile2023 Week 5: Jacksonville State at Sam Houston · W 35–28; offense 30.9 percentile2023 Week 6: Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · W 45–30; offense 25.4 percentile2023 Week 7: Jacksonville State vs. Liberty · L 13–31; offense 18.1 percentile2023 Week 8: Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky · W 20–17; offense 20.6 percentile2023 Week 9: Jacksonville State at Florida International · W 41–16; offense 28.3 percentile2023 Week 10: Jacksonville State at South Carolina · L 28–38; offense 58.5 percentile2023 Week 12: Jacksonville State vs. Louisiana Tech · W 56–17; offense 73.7 percentile2023 Week 13: Jacksonville State at New Mexico State · L 17–20; offense 23.0 percentile2023 Week 1: Jacksonville State vs. Louisiana · W 34–31; offense 43.8 percentile2024 Week 1: Jacksonville State vs. Coastal Carolina · L 27–55; offense 25.0 percentile2024 Week 2: Jacksonville State at Louisville · L 14–49; offense 16.9 percentile2024 Week 3: Jacksonville State at Eastern Michigan · L 34–37; offense 53.1 percentile2024 Week 4: Jacksonville State vs. Southern Miss · W 44–7; offense 86.7 percentile2024 Week 6: Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State · W 63–24; offense 98.0 percentile2024 Week 7: Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State · W 54–13; offense 75.7 percentile2024 Week 9: Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennessee · W 42–20; offense 95.0 percentile2024 Week 10: Jacksonville State at Liberty · W 31–21; offense 89.8 percentile2024 Week 11: Jacksonville State at Louisiana Tech · W 44–37; offense 60.2 percentile2024 Week 12: Jacksonville State vs. Florida International · W 34–31; offense 81.1 percentile2024 Week 13: Jacksonville State vs. Sam Houston · W 21–11; offense 60.7 percentile2024 Week 14: Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky · L 17–19; offense 19.6 percentile2024 Week 15: Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky · W 52–12; offense 95.3 percentile2024 Week 1: Jacksonville State vs. Ohio · L 27–30; offense 47.8 percentile2025 Week 1: Jacksonville State at UCF · L 10–17; offense 10.8 percentile2025 Week 2: Jacksonville State vs. Liberty · W 34–24; offense 76.5 percentile2025 Week 3: Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern · L 34–41; offense 42.7 percentile2025 Week 4: Jacksonville State vs. Murray State · W 45–10; offense 52.4 percentile2025 Week 5: Jacksonville State at Southern Miss · L 25–42; offense 41.7 percentile2025 Week 7: Jacksonville State vs. Sam Houston · W 29–27; offense 15.1 percentile2025 Week 8: Jacksonville State vs. Delaware · W 38–25; offense 29.4 percentile2025 Week 10: Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · W 24–21; offense 50.0 percentile2025 Week 11: Jacksonville State at UTEP · W 30–27; offense 80.7 percentile2025 Week 12: Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State · W 35–26; offense 82.9 percentile2025 Week 13: Jacksonville State at Florida International · L 21–27; offense 38.6 percentile2025 Week 14: Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky · W 37–34; offense 84.5 percentile2025 Week 15: Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State · L 15–19; offense 42.8 percentile2025 Week 1: Jacksonville State vs. Troy · W 17–13; offense 22.1 percentile2026 Week 1: Jacksonville State at North Dakota State · L 7–33; offense 14.1 percentile2026 Week 1: Jacksonville State vs. Eastern Kentucky · W 49–7; offense 89.5 percentile2023 offense season mean: 29.1 percentile2024 offense season mean: 70.2 percentile2025 offense season mean: 47.6 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 48.8 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 53.6 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512023 Week 1: Jacksonville State vs. UTEP · W 17–14; defense 66.3 percentile2023 Week 1: Jacksonville State vs. East Tennessee State · W 49–3; defense 84.8 percentile2023 Week 2: Jacksonville State at Coastal Carolina · L 16–30; defense 67.3 percentile2023 Week 4: Jacksonville State vs. Eastern Michigan · W 21–0; defense 99.7 percentile2023 Week 5: Jacksonville State at Sam Houston · W 35–28; defense 56.7 percentile2023 Week 6: Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · W 45–30; defense 67.5 percentile2023 Week 7: Jacksonville State vs. Liberty · L 13–31; defense 62.4 percentile2023 Week 8: Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky · W 20–17; defense 85.1 percentile2023 Week 9: Jacksonville State at Florida International · W 41–16; defense 86.7 percentile2023 Week 10: Jacksonville State at South Carolina · L 28–38; defense 63.4 percentile2023 Week 12: Jacksonville State vs. Louisiana Tech · W 56–17; defense 96.1 percentile2023 Week 13: Jacksonville State at New Mexico State · L 17–20; defense 76.9 percentile2023 Week 1: Jacksonville State vs. Louisiana · W 34–31; defense 97.3 percentile2024 Week 1: Jacksonville State vs. Coastal Carolina · L 27–55; defense 11.3 percentile2024 Week 2: Jacksonville State at Louisville · L 14–49; defense 3.0 percentile2024 Week 3: Jacksonville State at Eastern Michigan · L 34–37; defense 42.6 percentile2024 Week 4: Jacksonville State vs. Southern Miss · W 44–7; defense 69.1 percentile2024 Week 6: Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State · W 63–24; defense 43.2 percentile2024 Week 7: Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State · W 54–13; defense 59.1 percentile2024 Week 9: Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennessee · W 42–20; defense 32.0 percentile2024 Week 10: Jacksonville State at Liberty · W 31–21; defense 70.1 percentile2024 Week 11: Jacksonville State at Louisiana Tech · W 44–37; defense 31.0 percentile2024 Week 12: Jacksonville State vs. Florida International · W 34–31; defense 13.1 percentile2024 Week 13: Jacksonville State vs. Sam Houston · W 21–11; defense 62.1 percentile2024 Week 14: Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky · L 17–19; defense 83.4 percentile2024 Week 15: Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky · W 52–12; defense 95.2 percentile2024 Week 1: Jacksonville State vs. Ohio · L 27–30; defense 54.2 percentile2025 Week 1: Jacksonville State at UCF · L 10–17; defense 49.3 percentile2025 Week 2: Jacksonville State vs. Liberty · W 34–24; defense 28.9 percentile2025 Week 3: Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern · L 34–41; defense 26.8 percentile2025 Week 4: Jacksonville State vs. Murray State · W 45–10; defense 38.7 percentile2025 Week 5: Jacksonville State at Southern Miss · L 25–42; defense 29.2 percentile2025 Week 7: Jacksonville State vs. Sam Houston · W 29–27; defense 46.3 percentile2025 Week 8: Jacksonville State vs. Delaware · W 38–25; defense 79.2 percentile2025 Week 10: Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · W 24–21; defense 57.7 percentile2025 Week 11: Jacksonville State at UTEP · W 30–27; defense 19.3 percentile2025 Week 12: Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State · W 35–26; defense 12.7 percentile2025 Week 13: Jacksonville State at Florida International · L 21–27; defense 40.4 percentile2025 Week 14: Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky · W 37–34; defense 12.7 percentile2025 Week 15: Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State · L 15–19; defense 55.9 percentile2025 Week 1: Jacksonville State vs. Troy · W 17–13; defense 89.7 percentile2026 Week 1: Jacksonville State at North Dakota State · L 7–33; defense 31.4 percentile2026 Week 1: Jacksonville State vs. Eastern Kentucky · W 49–7; defense 14.5 percentile2023 defense season mean: 83.2 percentile2024 defense season mean: 46.5 percentile2025 defense season mean: 41.2 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 37.0 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 22.0 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2025Charles Kelly

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateCharles Kelly2
48.8 estimate53.6 games-only average
37.0 estimate22.0 games-only average
2025Charles KellyCoaching change1447.641.2
2024Rich Rodriguez1470.246.5
2023Rich Rodriguez1329.183.2