2014–2026 performance history

Kentucky over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

SECHead coach: Will SteinView Kentucky games →
Offense · 2026 estimate48.3/100

44.8 average through 2 games

49.1 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate45.1/100

21.1 average through 2 games

51.9 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Kentucky individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Stoops · ’14–’25Mark Stoops, 2014–2025SteinWill Stein, 2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Kentucky vs. UT Martin · W 59–14; offense 80.7 percentile2014 Week 2: Kentucky vs. Ohio · W 20–3; offense 43.3 percentile2014 Week 3: Kentucky at Florida · L 30–36; offense 52.1 percentile2014 Week 5: Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt · W 17–7; offense 19.0 percentile2014 Week 6: Kentucky vs. South Carolina · W 45–38; offense 75.3 percentile2014 Week 7: Kentucky vs. UL Monroe · W 48–14; offense 47.4 percentile2014 Week 8: Kentucky at LSU · L 3–41; offense 8.0 percentile2014 Week 9: Kentucky vs. Mississippi State · L 31–45; offense 72.9 percentile2014 Week 10: Kentucky at Missouri · L 10–20; offense 9.9 percentile2014 Week 11: Kentucky vs. Georgia · L 31–63; offense 65.9 percentile2014 Week 12: Kentucky at Tennessee · L 16–50; offense 21.6 percentile2014 Week 14: Kentucky at Louisville · L 40–44; offense 54.0 percentile2015 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Louisiana · W 40–33; offense 59.1 percentile2015 Week 3: Kentucky vs. Florida · L 9–14; offense 27.7 percentile2015 Week 4: Kentucky vs. Missouri · W 21–13; offense 76.5 percentile2015 Week 5: Kentucky vs. Eastern Kentucky · W 34–27; offense 6.5 percentile2015 Week 7: Kentucky vs. Auburn · L 27–30; offense 58.5 percentile2015 Week 8: Kentucky at Mississippi State · L 16–42; offense 34.8 percentile2015 Week 9: Kentucky vs. Tennessee · L 21–52; offense 56.6 percentile2015 Week 10: Kentucky at Georgia · L 3–27; offense 30.0 percentile2015 Week 11: Kentucky at Vanderbilt · L 17–21; offense 30.5 percentile2015 Week 12: Kentucky vs. Charlotte · W 58–10; offense 89.6 percentile2015 Week 13: Kentucky vs. Louisville · L 24–38; offense 23.6 percentile2016 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Southern Miss · L 35–44; offense 86.2 percentile2016 Week 2: Kentucky at Florida · L 7–45; offense 20.0 percentile2016 Week 3: Kentucky vs. New Mexico State · W 62–42; offense 96.2 percentile2016 Week 4: Kentucky vs. South Carolina · W 17–10; offense 35.0 percentile2016 Week 5: Kentucky at Alabama · L 6–34; offense 28.0 percentile2016 Week 6: Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt · W 20–13; offense 34.3 percentile2016 Week 8: Kentucky vs. Mississippi State · W 40–38; offense 78.6 percentile2016 Week 9: Kentucky at Missouri · W 35–21; offense 78.1 percentile2016 Week 10: Kentucky vs. Georgia · L 24–27; offense 49.5 percentile2016 Week 11: Kentucky at Tennessee · L 36–49; offense 57.7 percentile2016 Week 12: Kentucky vs. Austin Peay · W 49–13; offense 76.0 percentile2016 Week 13: Kentucky at Louisville · W 41–38; offense 96.3 percentile2016 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Georgia Tech · L 18–33; offense 38.7 percentile2017 Week 1: Kentucky at Southern Miss · W 24–17; offense 16.0 percentile2017 Week 2: Kentucky vs. Eastern Kentucky · W 27–16; offense 34.5 percentile2017 Week 3: Kentucky at South Carolina · W 23–13; offense 46.2 percentile2017 Week 4: Kentucky vs. Florida · L 27–28; offense 31.0 percentile2017 Week 5: Kentucky vs. Eastern Michigan · W 24–20; offense 15.6 percentile2017 Week 6: Kentucky vs. Missouri · W 40–34; offense 82.2 percentile2017 Week 8: Kentucky at Mississippi State · L 7–45; offense 29.1 percentile2017 Week 9: Kentucky vs. Tennessee · W 29–26; offense 69.1 percentile2017 Week 10: Kentucky vs. Ole Miss · L 34–37; offense 84.0 percentile2017 Week 11: Kentucky at Vanderbilt · W 44–21; offense 76.2 percentile2017 Week 12: Kentucky at Georgia · L 13–42; offense 58.1 percentile2017 Week 13: Kentucky vs. Louisville · L 17–44; offense 44.5 percentile2017 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Northwestern · L 23–24; offense 38.0 percentile2018 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Central Michigan · W 35–20; offense 90.1 percentile2018 Week 2: Kentucky at Florida · W 27–16; offense 94.6 percentile2018 Week 3: Kentucky vs. Murray State · W 48–10; offense 64.1 percentile2018 Week 4: Kentucky vs. Mississippi State · W 28–7; offense 76.9 percentile2018 Week 5: Kentucky vs. South Carolina · W 24–10; offense 34.6 percentile2018 Week 6: Kentucky at Texas A&M · L 14–20; offense 23.2 percentile2018 Week 8: Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt · W 14–7; offense 23.1 percentile2018 Week 9: Kentucky at Missouri · W 15–14; offense 13.9 percentile2018 Week 10: Kentucky vs. Georgia · L 17–34; offense 43.2 percentile2018 Week 11: Kentucky at Tennessee · L 7–24; offense 4.9 percentile2018 Week 12: Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee · W 34–23; offense 68.6 percentile2018 Week 13: Kentucky at Louisville · W 56–10; offense 97.6 percentile2018 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Penn State · W 27–24; offense 54.7 percentile2019 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Toledo · W 38–24; offense 27.0 percentile2019 Week 2: Kentucky vs. Eastern Michigan · W 38–17; offense 82.5 percentile2019 Week 3: Kentucky vs. Florida · L 21–29; offense 68.7 percentile2019 Week 4: Kentucky at Mississippi State · L 13–28; offense 19.4 percentile2019 Week 5: Kentucky at South Carolina · L 7–24; offense 7.1 percentile2019 Week 7: Kentucky vs. Arkansas · W 24–20; offense 30.1 percentile2019 Week 8: Kentucky at Georgia · L 0–21; offense 32.9 percentile2019 Week 9: Kentucky vs. Missouri · W 29–7; offense 75.0 percentile2019 Week 11: Kentucky vs. Tennessee · L 13–17; offense 38.3 percentile2019 Week 12: Kentucky at Vanderbilt · W 38–14; offense 99.2 percentile2019 Week 13: Kentucky vs. UT Martin · W 50–7; offense 37.3 percentile2019 Week 14: Kentucky vs. Louisville · W 45–13; offense 94.7 percentile2019 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Virginia Tech · W 37–30; offense 86.3 percentile2020 Week 4: Kentucky at Auburn · L 13–29; offense 23.5 percentile2020 Week 5: Kentucky vs. Ole Miss · L 41–42; offense 74.2 percentile2020 Week 6: Kentucky vs. Mississippi State · W 24–2; offense 1.7 percentile2020 Week 7: Kentucky at Tennessee · W 34–7; offense 44.8 percentile2020 Week 8: Kentucky at Missouri · L 10–20; offense 9.9 percentile2020 Week 9: Kentucky vs. Georgia · L 3–14; offense 32.0 percentile2020 Week 11: Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt · W 38–35; offense 92.3 percentile2020 Week 12: Kentucky at Alabama · L 3–63; offense 2.8 percentile2020 Week 13: Kentucky at Florida · L 10–34; offense 10.8 percentile2020 Week 14: Kentucky vs. South Carolina · W 41–18; offense 60.7 percentile2020 Week 1: Kentucky vs. NC State · W 23–21; offense 43.5 percentile2021 Week 1: Kentucky vs. UL Monroe · W 45–10; offense 88.4 percentile2021 Week 2: Kentucky vs. Missouri · W 35–28; offense 94.0 percentile2021 Week 3: Kentucky vs. Chattanooga · W 28–23; offense 21.5 percentile2021 Week 4: Kentucky at South Carolina · W 16–10; offense 35.8 percentile2021 Week 5: Kentucky vs. Florida · W 20–13; offense 48.6 percentile2021 Week 6: Kentucky vs. LSU · W 42–21; offense 93.7 percentile2021 Week 7: Kentucky at Georgia · L 13–30; offense 33.1 percentile2021 Week 9: Kentucky at Mississippi State · L 17–31; offense 20.4 percentile2021 Week 10: Kentucky vs. Tennessee · L 42–45; offense 86.8 percentile2021 Week 11: Kentucky at Vanderbilt · W 34–17; offense 93.5 percentile2021 Week 12: Kentucky vs. New Mexico State · W 56–16; offense 92.7 percentile2021 Week 13: Kentucky at Louisville · W 52–21; offense 97.9 percentile2021 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Iowa · W 20–17; offense 60.5 percentile2022 Week 2: Kentucky at Florida · W 26–16; offense 6.5 percentile2022 Week 3: Kentucky vs. Youngstown State · W 31–0; offense 26.6 percentile2022 Week 4: Kentucky vs. Northern Illinois · W 31–23; offense 67.6 percentile2022 Week 5: Kentucky at Ole Miss · L 19–22; offense 48.9 percentile2022 Week 6: Kentucky vs. South Carolina · L 14–24; offense 19.0 percentile2022 Week 7: Kentucky vs. Mississippi State · W 27–17; offense 92.4 percentile2022 Week 9: Kentucky at Tennessee · L 6–44; offense 14.8 percentile2022 Week 10: Kentucky at Missouri · W 21–17; offense 25.1 percentile2022 Week 11: Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt · L 21–24; offense 33.9 percentile2022 Week 12: Kentucky vs. Georgia · L 6–16; offense 59.4 percentile2022 Week 13: Kentucky vs. Louisville · W 26–13; offense 71.9 percentile2022 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Iowa · L 0–21; offense 7.3 percentile2023 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Ball State · W 44–14; offense 71.3 percentile2023 Week 2: Kentucky vs. Eastern Kentucky · W 28–17; offense 10.0 percentile2023 Week 3: Kentucky vs. Akron · W 35–3; offense 74.9 percentile2023 Week 4: Kentucky at Vanderbilt · W 45–28; offense 22.4 percentile2023 Week 5: Kentucky vs. Florida · W 33–14; offense 82.3 percentile2023 Week 6: Kentucky at Georgia · L 13–51; offense 40.5 percentile2023 Week 7: Kentucky vs. Missouri · L 21–38; offense 52.4 percentile2023 Week 9: Kentucky vs. Tennessee · L 27–33; offense 73.6 percentile2023 Week 10: Kentucky at Mississippi State · W 24–3; offense 19.0 percentile2023 Week 11: Kentucky vs. Alabama · L 21–49; offense 11.4 percentile2023 Week 12: Kentucky at South Carolina · L 14–17; offense 40.4 percentile2023 Week 13: Kentucky at Louisville · W 38–31; offense 77.1 percentile2023 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Clemson · L 35–38; offense 68.5 percentile2024 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Southern Miss · W 31–0; offense 87.7 percentile2024 Week 2: Kentucky vs. South Carolina · L 6–31; offense 6.8 percentile2024 Week 3: Kentucky vs. Georgia · L 12–13; offense 47.7 percentile2024 Week 4: Kentucky vs. Ohio · W 41–6; offense 94.9 percentile2024 Week 5: Kentucky at Ole Miss · W 20–17; offense 50.0 percentile2024 Week 7: Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt · L 13–20; offense 49.3 percentile2024 Week 8: Kentucky at Florida · L 20–48; offense 34.4 percentile2024 Week 9: Kentucky vs. Auburn · L 10–24; offense 10.6 percentile2024 Week 10: Kentucky at Tennessee · L 18–28; offense 70.6 percentile2024 Week 12: Kentucky vs. Murray State · W 48–6; offense 68.2 percentile2024 Week 13: Kentucky at Texas · L 14–31; offense 21.4 percentile2024 Week 14: Kentucky vs. Louisville · L 14–41; offense 26.4 percentile2025 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Toledo · W 24–16; offense 78.3 percentile2025 Week 2: Kentucky vs. Ole Miss · L 23–30; offense 45.4 percentile2025 Week 3: Kentucky vs. Eastern Michigan · W 48–23; offense 85.4 percentile2025 Week 5: Kentucky at South Carolina · L 13–35; offense 28.9 percentile2025 Week 6: Kentucky at Georgia · L 14–35; offense 16.1 percentile2025 Week 8: Kentucky vs. Texas · L 13–16; offense 37.6 percentile2025 Week 9: Kentucky vs. Tennessee · L 34–56; offense 72.3 percentile2025 Week 10: Kentucky at Auburn · W 10–3; offense 43.0 percentile2025 Week 11: Kentucky vs. Florida · W 38–7; offense 83.9 percentile2025 Week 12: Kentucky vs. Tennessee Tech · W 42–10; offense 68.7 percentile2025 Week 13: Kentucky at Vanderbilt · L 17–45; offense 16.3 percentile2025 Week 14: Kentucky at Louisville · L 0–41; offense 15.2 percentile2026 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Youngstown State · W 45–13; offense 73.6 percentile2026 Week 2: Kentucky vs. Alabama · L 17–45; offense 18.6 percentile2014 offense season mean: 43.8 percentile2015 offense season mean: 44.0 percentile2016 offense season mean: 63.8 percentile2017 offense season mean: 48.0 percentile2018 offense season mean: 55.5 percentile2019 offense season mean: 58.2 percentile2020 offense season mean: 30.2 percentile2021 offense season mean: 73.6 percentile2022 offense season mean: 37.2 percentile2023 offense season mean: 48.4 percentile2024 offense season mean: 47.2 percentile2025 offense season mean: 49.1 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 48.3 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 44.8 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Kentucky vs. UT Martin · W 59–14; defense 24.4 percentile2014 Week 2: Kentucky vs. Ohio · W 20–3; defense 97.4 percentile2014 Week 3: Kentucky at Florida · L 30–36; defense 33.9 percentile2014 Week 5: Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt · W 17–7; defense 92.1 percentile2014 Week 6: Kentucky vs. South Carolina · W 45–38; defense 7.2 percentile2014 Week 7: Kentucky vs. UL Monroe · W 48–14; defense 72.9 percentile2014 Week 8: Kentucky at LSU · L 3–41; defense 10.0 percentile2014 Week 9: Kentucky vs. Mississippi State · L 31–45; defense 40.3 percentile2014 Week 10: Kentucky at Missouri · L 10–20; defense 67.1 percentile2014 Week 11: Kentucky vs. Georgia · L 31–63; defense 0.3 percentile2014 Week 12: Kentucky at Tennessee · L 16–50; defense 5.7 percentile2014 Week 14: Kentucky at Louisville · L 40–44; defense 22.5 percentile2015 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Louisiana · W 40–33; defense 22.2 percentile2015 Week 3: Kentucky vs. Florida · L 9–14; defense 46.2 percentile2015 Week 4: Kentucky vs. Missouri · W 21–13; defense 26.4 percentile2015 Week 5: Kentucky vs. Eastern Kentucky · W 34–27; defense 5.7 percentile2015 Week 7: Kentucky vs. Auburn · L 27–30; defense 28.5 percentile2015 Week 8: Kentucky at Mississippi State · L 16–42; defense 7.4 percentile2015 Week 9: Kentucky vs. Tennessee · L 21–52; defense 13.9 percentile2015 Week 10: Kentucky at Georgia · L 3–27; defense 39.8 percentile2015 Week 11: Kentucky at Vanderbilt · L 17–21; defense 69.5 percentile2015 Week 12: Kentucky vs. Charlotte · W 58–10; defense 92.0 percentile2015 Week 13: Kentucky vs. Louisville · L 24–38; defense 2.4 percentile2016 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Southern Miss · L 35–44; defense 14.4 percentile2016 Week 2: Kentucky at Florida · L 7–45; defense 3.5 percentile2016 Week 3: Kentucky vs. New Mexico State · W 62–42; defense 5.7 percentile2016 Week 4: Kentucky vs. South Carolina · W 17–10; defense 63.5 percentile2016 Week 5: Kentucky at Alabama · L 6–34; defense 33.1 percentile2016 Week 6: Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt · W 20–13; defense 65.2 percentile2016 Week 8: Kentucky vs. Mississippi State · W 40–38; defense 19.2 percentile2016 Week 9: Kentucky at Missouri · W 35–21; defense 88.7 percentile2016 Week 10: Kentucky vs. Georgia · L 24–27; defense 32.5 percentile2016 Week 11: Kentucky at Tennessee · L 36–49; defense 8.9 percentile2016 Week 12: Kentucky vs. Austin Peay · W 49–13; defense 17.6 percentile2016 Week 13: Kentucky at Louisville · W 41–38; defense 34.7 percentile2016 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Georgia Tech · L 18–33; defense 35.5 percentile2017 Week 1: Kentucky at Southern Miss · W 24–17; defense 93.0 percentile2017 Week 2: Kentucky vs. Eastern Kentucky · W 27–16; defense 14.9 percentile2017 Week 3: Kentucky at South Carolina · W 23–13; defense 63.9 percentile2017 Week 4: Kentucky vs. Florida · L 27–28; defense 7.1 percentile2017 Week 5: Kentucky vs. Eastern Michigan · W 24–20; defense 90.5 percentile2017 Week 6: Kentucky vs. Missouri · W 40–34; defense 19.4 percentile2017 Week 8: Kentucky at Mississippi State · L 7–45; defense 23.0 percentile2017 Week 9: Kentucky vs. Tennessee · W 29–26; defense 11.0 percentile2017 Week 10: Kentucky vs. Ole Miss · L 34–37; defense 22.1 percentile2017 Week 11: Kentucky at Vanderbilt · W 44–21; defense 33.9 percentile2017 Week 12: Kentucky at Georgia · L 13–42; defense 5.0 percentile2017 Week 13: Kentucky vs. Louisville · L 17–44; defense 4.1 percentile2017 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Northwestern · L 23–24; defense 43.4 percentile2018 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Central Michigan · W 35–20; defense 46.4 percentile2018 Week 2: Kentucky at Florida · W 27–16; defense 49.2 percentile2018 Week 3: Kentucky vs. Murray State · W 48–10; defense 39.1 percentile2018 Week 4: Kentucky vs. Mississippi State · W 28–7; defense 94.4 percentile2018 Week 5: Kentucky vs. South Carolina · W 24–10; defense 72.0 percentile2018 Week 6: Kentucky at Texas A&M · L 14–20; defense 83.9 percentile2018 Week 8: Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt · W 14–7; defense 86.5 percentile2018 Week 9: Kentucky at Missouri · W 15–14; defense 99.3 percentile2018 Week 10: Kentucky vs. Georgia · L 17–34; defense 39.9 percentile2018 Week 11: Kentucky at Tennessee · L 7–24; defense 47.0 percentile2018 Week 12: Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee · W 34–23; defense 18.7 percentile2018 Week 13: Kentucky at Louisville · W 56–10; defense 60.8 percentile2018 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Penn State · W 27–24; defense 62.0 percentile2019 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Toledo · W 38–24; defense 43.7 percentile2019 Week 2: Kentucky vs. Eastern Michigan · W 38–17; defense 80.4 percentile2019 Week 3: Kentucky vs. Florida · L 21–29; defense 33.0 percentile2019 Week 4: Kentucky at Mississippi State · L 13–28; defense 19.7 percentile2019 Week 5: Kentucky at South Carolina · L 7–24; defense 26.8 percentile2019 Week 7: Kentucky vs. Arkansas · W 24–20; defense 26.2 percentile2019 Week 8: Kentucky at Georgia · L 0–21; defense 84.3 percentile2019 Week 9: Kentucky vs. Missouri · W 29–7; defense 72.3 percentile2019 Week 11: Kentucky vs. Tennessee · L 13–17; defense 37.8 percentile2019 Week 12: Kentucky at Vanderbilt · W 38–14; defense 55.9 percentile2019 Week 13: Kentucky vs. UT Martin · W 50–7; defense 68.6 percentile2019 Week 14: Kentucky vs. Louisville · W 45–13; defense 79.6 percentile2019 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Virginia Tech · W 37–30; defense 16.5 percentile2020 Week 4: Kentucky at Auburn · L 13–29; defense 56.9 percentile2020 Week 5: Kentucky vs. Ole Miss · L 41–42; defense 46.5 percentile2020 Week 6: Kentucky vs. Mississippi State · W 24–2; defense 94.4 percentile2020 Week 7: Kentucky at Tennessee · W 34–7; defense 55.1 percentile2020 Week 8: Kentucky at Missouri · L 10–20; defense 43.5 percentile2020 Week 9: Kentucky vs. Georgia · L 3–14; defense 45.6 percentile2020 Week 11: Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt · W 38–35; defense 7.3 percentile2020 Week 12: Kentucky at Alabama · L 3–63; defense 36.6 percentile2020 Week 13: Kentucky at Florida · L 10–34; defense 62.5 percentile2020 Week 14: Kentucky vs. South Carolina · W 41–18; defense 50.8 percentile2020 Week 1: Kentucky vs. NC State · W 23–21; defense 62.6 percentile2021 Week 1: Kentucky vs. UL Monroe · W 45–10; defense 95.5 percentile2021 Week 2: Kentucky vs. Missouri · W 35–28; defense 13.3 percentile2021 Week 3: Kentucky vs. Chattanooga · W 28–23; defense 7.8 percentile2021 Week 4: Kentucky at South Carolina · W 16–10; defense 92.2 percentile2021 Week 5: Kentucky vs. Florida · W 20–13; defense 79.5 percentile2021 Week 6: Kentucky vs. LSU · W 42–21; defense 23.9 percentile2021 Week 7: Kentucky at Georgia · L 13–30; defense 58.7 percentile2021 Week 9: Kentucky at Mississippi State · L 17–31; defense 34.8 percentile2021 Week 10: Kentucky vs. Tennessee · L 42–45; defense 30.0 percentile2021 Week 11: Kentucky at Vanderbilt · W 34–17; defense 63.1 percentile2021 Week 12: Kentucky vs. New Mexico State · W 56–16; defense 69.2 percentile2021 Week 13: Kentucky at Louisville · W 52–21; defense 86.8 percentile2021 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Iowa · W 20–17; defense 25.5 percentile2022 Week 2: Kentucky at Florida · W 26–16; defense 91.2 percentile2022 Week 3: Kentucky vs. Youngstown State · W 31–0; defense 69.4 percentile2022 Week 4: Kentucky vs. Northern Illinois · W 31–23; defense 58.3 percentile2022 Week 5: Kentucky at Ole Miss · L 19–22; defense 83.3 percentile2022 Week 6: Kentucky vs. South Carolina · L 14–24; defense 62.7 percentile2022 Week 7: Kentucky vs. Mississippi State · W 27–17; defense 90.9 percentile2022 Week 9: Kentucky at Tennessee · L 6–44; defense 31.5 percentile2022 Week 10: Kentucky at Missouri · W 21–17; defense 94.5 percentile2022 Week 11: Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt · L 21–24; defense 11.6 percentile2022 Week 12: Kentucky vs. Georgia · L 6–16; defense 84.6 percentile2022 Week 13: Kentucky vs. Louisville · W 26–13; defense 61.8 percentile2022 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Iowa · L 0–21; defense 88.1 percentile2023 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Ball State · W 44–14; defense 79.1 percentile2023 Week 2: Kentucky vs. Eastern Kentucky · W 28–17; defense 21.9 percentile2023 Week 3: Kentucky vs. Akron · W 35–3; defense 61.9 percentile2023 Week 4: Kentucky at Vanderbilt · W 45–28; defense 43.5 percentile2023 Week 5: Kentucky vs. Florida · W 33–14; defense 83.7 percentile2023 Week 6: Kentucky at Georgia · L 13–51; defense 15.7 percentile2023 Week 7: Kentucky vs. Missouri · L 21–38; defense 69.7 percentile2023 Week 9: Kentucky vs. Tennessee · L 27–33; defense 24.7 percentile2023 Week 10: Kentucky at Mississippi State · W 24–3; defense 88.7 percentile2023 Week 11: Kentucky vs. Alabama · L 21–49; defense 17.4 percentile2023 Week 12: Kentucky at South Carolina · L 14–17; defense 66.2 percentile2023 Week 13: Kentucky at Louisville · W 38–31; defense 55.9 percentile2023 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Clemson · L 35–38; defense 59.3 percentile2024 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Southern Miss · W 31–0; defense 89.4 percentile2024 Week 2: Kentucky vs. South Carolina · L 6–31; defense 72.8 percentile2024 Week 3: Kentucky vs. Georgia · L 12–13; defense 87.9 percentile2024 Week 4: Kentucky vs. Ohio · W 41–6; defense 97.4 percentile2024 Week 5: Kentucky at Ole Miss · W 20–17; defense 90.7 percentile2024 Week 7: Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt · L 13–20; defense 21.5 percentile2024 Week 8: Kentucky at Florida · L 20–48; defense 19.8 percentile2024 Week 9: Kentucky vs. Auburn · L 10–24; defense 14.2 percentile2024 Week 10: Kentucky at Tennessee · L 18–28; defense 47.8 percentile2024 Week 12: Kentucky vs. Murray State · W 48–6; defense 51.3 percentile2024 Week 13: Kentucky at Texas · L 14–31; defense 41.1 percentile2024 Week 14: Kentucky vs. Louisville · L 14–41; defense 39.3 percentile2025 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Toledo · W 24–16; defense 96.5 percentile2025 Week 2: Kentucky vs. Ole Miss · L 23–30; defense 71.4 percentile2025 Week 3: Kentucky vs. Eastern Michigan · W 48–23; defense 42.6 percentile2025 Week 5: Kentucky at South Carolina · L 13–35; defense 36.8 percentile2025 Week 6: Kentucky at Georgia · L 14–35; defense 20.8 percentile2025 Week 8: Kentucky vs. Texas · L 13–16; defense 97.6 percentile2025 Week 9: Kentucky vs. Tennessee · L 34–56; defense 7.9 percentile2025 Week 10: Kentucky at Auburn · W 10–3; defense 92.5 percentile2025 Week 11: Kentucky vs. Florida · W 38–7; defense 58.1 percentile2025 Week 12: Kentucky vs. Tennessee Tech · W 42–10; defense 10.9 percentile2025 Week 13: Kentucky at Vanderbilt · L 17–45; defense 28.6 percentile2025 Week 14: Kentucky at Louisville · L 0–41; defense 18.8 percentile2026 Week 1: Kentucky vs. Youngstown State · W 45–13; defense 19.5 percentile2026 Week 2: Kentucky vs. Alabama · L 17–45; defense 22.7 percentile2014 defense season mean: 34.4 percentile2015 defense season mean: 27.8 percentile2016 defense season mean: 28.7 percentile2017 defense season mean: 29.7 percentile2018 defense season mean: 66.9 percentile2019 defense season mean: 49.8 percentile2020 defense season mean: 51.5 percentile2021 defense season mean: 54.0 percentile2022 defense season mean: 72.3 percentile2023 defense season mean: 53.2 percentile2024 defense season mean: 60.1 percentile2025 defense season mean: 51.9 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 45.1 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 21.1 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2026Will Stein

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateWill SteinCoaching change2
48.3 estimate44.8 games-only average
45.1 estimate21.1 games-only average
2025Mark Stoops1249.151.9
2024Mark Stoops1247.260.1
2023Mark Stoops1348.453.2
2022Mark Stoops1237.272.3
2021Mark Stoops1373.654.0
2020Mark Stoops1130.251.5
2019Mark Stoops1358.249.8
2018Mark Stoops1355.566.9
2017Mark Stoops1348.029.7
2016Mark Stoops1363.828.7
2015Mark Stoops1144.027.8
2014Mark Stoops1243.834.4