2014–2026 performance history

Liberty over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Conference USAHead coach: Jamey ChadwellView Liberty games →
Offense · 2026 estimate48.3/100

35.1 average through 2 games

51.7 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate37.5/100

60.8 average through 2 games

32.0 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Liberty individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.GillTurner Gill, 2018Freeze · ’19–’22Hugh Freeze, 2019–2022Chadwell · ’23–’26Jamey Chadwell, 2023–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512018 Week 1: Liberty vs. Old Dominion · W 52–10; offense 59.0 percentile2018 Week 2: Liberty at Army · L 14–38; offense 55.1 percentile2018 Week 4: Liberty vs. North Texas · L 7–47; offense 12.1 percentile2018 Week 5: Liberty at New Mexico · W 52–43; offense 47.9 percentile2018 Week 6: Liberty at New Mexico State · L 41–49; offense 61.0 percentile2018 Week 7: Liberty vs. Troy · W 22–16; offense 23.3 percentile2018 Week 8: Liberty vs. Idaho State · W 48–41; offense 34.2 percentile2018 Week 11: Liberty at Virginia · L 24–45; offense 74.3 percentile2018 Week 12: Liberty at Auburn · L 0–53; offense 2.7 percentile2018 Week 13: Liberty vs. New Mexico State · W 28–21; offense 4.0 percentile2018 Week 14: Liberty vs. Norfolk State · W 52–17; offense 56.8 percentile2019 Week 1: Liberty vs. Syracuse · L 0–24; offense 0.1 percentile2019 Week 2: Liberty at Louisiana · L 14–35; offense 49.5 percentile2019 Week 3: Liberty vs. Buffalo · W 35–17; offense 93.4 percentile2019 Week 4: Liberty vs. Hampton · W 62–27; offense 70.3 percentile2019 Week 5: Liberty vs. New Mexico · W 17–10; offense 32.3 percentile2019 Week 6: Liberty at New Mexico State · W 20–13; offense 18.4 percentile2019 Week 8: Liberty vs. Maine · W 59–44; offense 60.5 percentile2019 Week 9: Liberty at Rutgers · L 34–44; offense 89.5 percentile2019 Week 10: Liberty at Massachusetts · W 63–21; offense 88.8 percentile2019 Week 11: Liberty at BYU · L 24–31; offense 61.8 percentile2019 Week 13: Liberty at Virginia · L 27–55; offense 58.9 percentile2019 Week 14: Liberty vs. New Mexico State · W 49–28; offense 73.0 percentile2019 Week 1: Liberty vs. Georgia Southern · W 23–16; offense 18.5 percentile2020 Week 3: Liberty at Western Kentucky · W 30–24; offense 88.7 percentile2020 Week 4: Liberty vs. Florida International · W 36–34; offense 77.3 percentile2020 Week 5: Liberty vs. North Alabama · W 28–7; offense 45.7 percentile2020 Week 6: Liberty vs. UL Monroe · W 40–7; offense 10.0 percentile2020 Week 7: Liberty at Syracuse · W 38–21; offense 84.8 percentile2020 Week 8: Liberty vs. Southern Miss · W 56–35; offense 86.6 percentile2020 Week 10: Liberty at Virginia Tech · W 38–35; offense 78.9 percentile2020 Week 11: Liberty vs. Western Carolina · W 58–14; offense 77.9 percentile2020 Week 12: Liberty at NC State · L 14–15; offense 7.5 percentile2020 Week 13: Liberty vs. Massachusetts · W 45–0; offense 92.4 percentile2020 Week 1: Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina · W 37–34; offense 88.8 percentile2021 Week 1: Liberty vs. Campbell · W 48–7; offense 75.4 percentile2021 Week 2: Liberty at Troy · W 21–13; offense 51.5 percentile2021 Week 3: Liberty vs. Old Dominion · W 45–17; offense 89.6 percentile2021 Week 4: Liberty at Syracuse · L 21–24; offense 61.1 percentile2021 Week 5: Liberty at UAB · W 36–12; offense 92.4 percentile2021 Week 6: Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee · W 41–13; offense 85.4 percentile2021 Week 7: Liberty at UL Monroe · L 28–31; offense 42.6 percentile2021 Week 8: Liberty at North Texas · W 35–26; offense 55.9 percentile2021 Week 9: Liberty vs. Massachusetts · W 62–17; offense 81.4 percentile2021 Week 10: Liberty at Ole Miss · L 14–27; offense 54.3 percentile2021 Week 12: Liberty vs. Louisiana · L 14–42; offense 48.2 percentile2021 Week 13: Liberty vs. Army · L 16–31; offense 39.3 percentile2021 Week 1: Liberty vs. Eastern Michigan · W 56–20; offense 89.7 percentile2022 Week 1: Liberty at Southern Miss · W 29–27; offense 52.7 percentile2022 Week 2: Liberty vs. UAB · W 21–14; offense 24.4 percentile2022 Week 3: Liberty at Wake Forest · L 36–37; offense 53.3 percentile2022 Week 4: Liberty vs. Akron · W 21–12; offense 11.3 percentile2022 Week 5: Liberty at Old Dominion · W 38–24; offense 85.8 percentile2022 Week 6: Liberty at Massachusetts · W 42–24; offense 56.9 percentile2022 Week 7: Liberty vs. Gardner-Webb · W 21–20; offense 4.1 percentile2022 Week 8: Liberty vs. BYU · W 41–14; offense 88.5 percentile2022 Week 10: Liberty at Arkansas · W 21–19; offense 21.0 percentile2022 Week 11: Liberty at UConn · L 33–36; offense 68.5 percentile2022 Week 12: Liberty vs. Virginia Tech · L 22–23; offense 19.5 percentile2022 Week 13: Liberty vs. New Mexico State · L 14–49; offense 11.7 percentile2022 Week 1: Liberty vs. Toledo · L 19–21; offense 82.7 percentile2023 Week 1: Liberty vs. Bowling Green · W 34–24; offense 57.1 percentile2023 Week 2: Liberty vs. New Mexico State · W 33–17; offense 89.1 percentile2023 Week 3: Liberty at Buffalo · W 55–27; offense 93.0 percentile2023 Week 4: Liberty at Florida International · W 38–6; offense 98.4 percentile2023 Week 6: Liberty vs. Sam Houston · W 21–16; offense 56.0 percentile2023 Week 7: Liberty at Jacksonville State · W 31–13; offense 97.3 percentile2023 Week 8: Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee · W 42–35; offense 94.3 percentile2023 Week 9: Liberty at Western Kentucky · W 42–29; offense 96.0 percentile2023 Week 10: Liberty vs. Louisiana Tech · W 56–30; offense 99.6 percentile2023 Week 12: Liberty vs. Massachusetts · W 49–25; offense 73.6 percentile2023 Week 13: Liberty at UTEP · W 42–28; offense 90.8 percentile2023 Week 14: Liberty vs. New Mexico State · W 49–35; offense 99.3 percentile2024 Week 1: Liberty vs. Campbell · W 41–24; offense 61.5 percentile2024 Week 2: Liberty at New Mexico State · W 30–24; offense 44.9 percentile2024 Week 3: Liberty vs. UTEP · W 28–10; offense 50.2 percentile2024 Week 4: Liberty vs. East Carolina · W 35–24; offense 71.5 percentile2024 Week 9: Liberty at Kennesaw State · L 24–27; offense 47.1 percentile2024 Week 10: Liberty vs. Jacksonville State · L 21–31; offense 48.0 percentile2024 Week 11: Liberty at Middle Tennessee · W 37–17; offense 90.5 percentile2024 Week 12: Liberty at Massachusetts · W 35–34; offense 66.6 percentile2024 Week 13: Liberty vs. Western Kentucky · W 38–21; offense 93.9 percentile2024 Week 14: Liberty at Sam Houston · L 18–20; offense 24.5 percentile2024 Week 1: Liberty vs. Buffalo · L 7–26; offense 2.3 percentile2025 Week 1: Liberty vs. Maine · W 28–7; offense 10.9 percentile2025 Week 2: Liberty at Jacksonville State · L 24–34; offense 78.3 percentile2025 Week 3: Liberty at Bowling Green · L 13–23; offense 35.3 percentile2025 Week 4: Liberty vs. James Madison · L 13–31; offense 40.6 percentile2025 Week 5: Liberty at Old Dominion · L 7–21; offense 22.1 percentile2025 Week 7: Liberty at UTEP · W 19–8; offense 29.5 percentile2025 Week 8: Liberty vs. New Mexico State · W 30–27; offense 44.3 percentile2025 Week 10: Liberty vs. Delaware · W 59–30; offense 96.8 percentile2025 Week 11: Liberty vs. Missouri State · L 17–21; offense 23.8 percentile2025 Week 13: Liberty at Louisiana Tech · L 28–34; offense 81.8 percentile2025 Week 14: Liberty vs. Kennesaw State · L 42–48; offense 82.3 percentile2026 Week 1: Liberty at James Madison · L 13–20; offense 61.4 percentile2026 Week 2: Liberty vs. Gardner-Webb · W 24–23; offense 14.5 percentile2018 offense season mean: 33.9 percentile2019 offense season mean: 51.3 percentile2020 offense season mean: 69.1 percentile2021 offense season mean: 69.6 percentile2022 offense season mean: 42.5 percentile2023 offense season mean: 92.8 percentile2024 offense season mean: 54.4 percentile2025 offense season mean: 51.7 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 48.3 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 35.1 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512018 Week 1: Liberty vs. Old Dominion · W 52–10; defense 93.1 percentile2018 Week 2: Liberty at Army · L 14–38; defense 38.0 percentile2018 Week 4: Liberty vs. North Texas · L 7–47; defense 7.7 percentile2018 Week 5: Liberty at New Mexico · W 52–43; defense 19.0 percentile2018 Week 6: Liberty at New Mexico State · L 41–49; defense 9.9 percentile2018 Week 7: Liberty vs. Troy · W 22–16; defense 63.3 percentile2018 Week 8: Liberty vs. Idaho State · W 48–41; defense 10.5 percentile2018 Week 11: Liberty at Virginia · L 24–45; defense 4.1 percentile2018 Week 12: Liberty at Auburn · L 0–53; defense 14.8 percentile2018 Week 13: Liberty vs. New Mexico State · W 28–21; defense 79.8 percentile2018 Week 14: Liberty vs. Norfolk State · W 52–17; defense 10.0 percentile2019 Week 1: Liberty vs. Syracuse · L 0–24; defense 34.6 percentile2019 Week 2: Liberty at Louisiana · L 14–35; defense 20.7 percentile2019 Week 3: Liberty vs. Buffalo · W 35–17; defense 69.1 percentile2019 Week 4: Liberty vs. Hampton · W 62–27; defense 36.6 percentile2019 Week 5: Liberty vs. New Mexico · W 17–10; defense 52.3 percentile2019 Week 6: Liberty at New Mexico State · W 20–13; defense 50.3 percentile2019 Week 8: Liberty vs. Maine · W 59–44; defense 1.9 percentile2019 Week 9: Liberty at Rutgers · L 34–44; defense 1.7 percentile2019 Week 10: Liberty at Massachusetts · W 63–21; defense 71.2 percentile2019 Week 11: Liberty at BYU · L 24–31; defense 23.4 percentile2019 Week 13: Liberty at Virginia · L 27–55; defense 8.4 percentile2019 Week 14: Liberty vs. New Mexico State · W 49–28; defense 62.9 percentile2019 Week 1: Liberty vs. Georgia Southern · W 23–16; defense 80.1 percentile2020 Week 3: Liberty at Western Kentucky · W 30–24; defense 54.0 percentile2020 Week 4: Liberty vs. Florida International · W 36–34; defense 17.7 percentile2020 Week 5: Liberty vs. North Alabama · W 28–7; defense 57.6 percentile2020 Week 6: Liberty vs. UL Monroe · W 40–7; defense 94.3 percentile2020 Week 7: Liberty at Syracuse · W 38–21; defense 38.7 percentile2020 Week 8: Liberty vs. Southern Miss · W 56–35; defense 28.1 percentile2020 Week 10: Liberty at Virginia Tech · W 38–35; defense 12.7 percentile2020 Week 11: Liberty vs. Western Carolina · W 58–14; defense 28.8 percentile2020 Week 12: Liberty at NC State · L 14–15; defense 87.7 percentile2020 Week 13: Liberty vs. Massachusetts · W 45–0; defense 83.4 percentile2020 Week 1: Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina · W 37–34; defense 47.5 percentile2021 Week 1: Liberty vs. Campbell · W 48–7; defense 31.4 percentile2021 Week 2: Liberty at Troy · W 21–13; defense 47.5 percentile2021 Week 3: Liberty vs. Old Dominion · W 45–17; defense 84.5 percentile2021 Week 4: Liberty at Syracuse · L 21–24; defense 72.9 percentile2021 Week 5: Liberty at UAB · W 36–12; defense 84.0 percentile2021 Week 6: Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee · W 41–13; defense 68.4 percentile2021 Week 7: Liberty at UL Monroe · L 28–31; defense 26.4 percentile2021 Week 8: Liberty at North Texas · W 35–26; defense 53.7 percentile2021 Week 9: Liberty vs. Massachusetts · W 62–17; defense 53.4 percentile2021 Week 10: Liberty at Ole Miss · L 14–27; defense 43.6 percentile2021 Week 12: Liberty vs. Louisiana · L 14–42; defense 62.4 percentile2021 Week 13: Liberty vs. Army · L 16–31; defense 31.6 percentile2021 Week 1: Liberty vs. Eastern Michigan · W 56–20; defense 79.3 percentile2022 Week 1: Liberty at Southern Miss · W 29–27; defense 50.1 percentile2022 Week 2: Liberty vs. UAB · W 21–14; defense 96.4 percentile2022 Week 3: Liberty at Wake Forest · L 36–37; defense 86.1 percentile2022 Week 4: Liberty vs. Akron · W 21–12; defense 81.8 percentile2022 Week 5: Liberty at Old Dominion · W 38–24; defense 46.6 percentile2022 Week 6: Liberty at Massachusetts · W 42–24; defense 73.6 percentile2022 Week 7: Liberty vs. Gardner-Webb · W 21–20; defense 56.2 percentile2022 Week 8: Liberty vs. BYU · W 41–14; defense 89.9 percentile2022 Week 10: Liberty at Arkansas · W 21–19; defense 96.7 percentile2022 Week 11: Liberty at UConn · L 33–36; defense 56.1 percentile2022 Week 12: Liberty vs. Virginia Tech · L 22–23; defense 22.0 percentile2022 Week 13: Liberty vs. New Mexico State · L 14–49; defense 8.3 percentile2022 Week 1: Liberty vs. Toledo · L 19–21; defense 75.1 percentile2023 Week 1: Liberty vs. Bowling Green · W 34–24; defense 69.1 percentile2023 Week 2: Liberty vs. New Mexico State · W 33–17; defense 27.6 percentile2023 Week 3: Liberty at Buffalo · W 55–27; defense 51.9 percentile2023 Week 4: Liberty at Florida International · W 38–6; defense 91.1 percentile2023 Week 6: Liberty vs. Sam Houston · W 21–16; defense 50.1 percentile2023 Week 7: Liberty at Jacksonville State · W 31–13; defense 79.9 percentile2023 Week 8: Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee · W 42–35; defense 24.5 percentile2023 Week 9: Liberty at Western Kentucky · W 42–29; defense 11.1 percentile2023 Week 10: Liberty vs. Louisiana Tech · W 56–30; defense 29.2 percentile2023 Week 12: Liberty vs. Massachusetts · W 49–25; defense 57.5 percentile2023 Week 13: Liberty at UTEP · W 42–28; defense 76.4 percentile2023 Week 14: Liberty vs. New Mexico State · W 49–35; defense 4.8 percentile2024 Week 1: Liberty vs. Campbell · W 41–24; defense 42.1 percentile2024 Week 2: Liberty at New Mexico State · W 30–24; defense 65.0 percentile2024 Week 3: Liberty vs. UTEP · W 28–10; defense 75.0 percentile2024 Week 4: Liberty vs. East Carolina · W 35–24; defense 56.7 percentile2024 Week 9: Liberty at Kennesaw State · L 24–27; defense 26.2 percentile2024 Week 10: Liberty vs. Jacksonville State · L 21–31; defense 24.4 percentile2024 Week 11: Liberty at Middle Tennessee · W 37–17; defense 59.4 percentile2024 Week 12: Liberty at Massachusetts · W 35–34; defense 38.9 percentile2024 Week 13: Liberty vs. Western Kentucky · W 38–21; defense 39.9 percentile2024 Week 14: Liberty at Sam Houston · L 18–20; defense 79.9 percentile2024 Week 1: Liberty vs. Buffalo · L 7–26; defense 49.8 percentile2025 Week 1: Liberty vs. Maine · W 28–7; defense 18.8 percentile2025 Week 2: Liberty at Jacksonville State · L 24–34; defense 20.6 percentile2025 Week 3: Liberty at Bowling Green · L 13–23; defense 35.0 percentile2025 Week 4: Liberty vs. James Madison · L 13–31; defense 15.0 percentile2025 Week 5: Liberty at Old Dominion · L 7–21; defense 43.3 percentile2025 Week 7: Liberty at UTEP · W 19–8; defense 97.8 percentile2025 Week 8: Liberty vs. New Mexico State · W 30–27; defense 10.6 percentile2025 Week 10: Liberty vs. Delaware · W 59–30; defense 20.2 percentile2025 Week 11: Liberty vs. Missouri State · L 17–21; defense 64.8 percentile2025 Week 13: Liberty at Louisiana Tech · L 28–34; defense 18.2 percentile2025 Week 14: Liberty vs. Kennesaw State · L 42–48; defense 10.7 percentile2026 Week 1: Liberty at James Madison · L 13–20; defense 67.3 percentile2026 Week 2: Liberty vs. Gardner-Webb · W 24–23; defense 54.1 percentile2018 defense season mean: 27.5 percentile2019 defense season mean: 33.5 percentile2020 defense season mean: 51.6 percentile2021 defense season mean: 57.9 percentile2022 defense season mean: 68.5 percentile2023 defense season mean: 46.4 percentile2024 defense season mean: 50.9 percentile2025 defense season mean: 32.0 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 37.5 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 60.8 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2019Hugh Freeze
2022Hugh Freeze / Josh Aldridge
2023Jamey Chadwell

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateJamey Chadwell2
48.3 estimate35.1 games-only average
37.5 estimate60.8 games-only average
2025Jamey Chadwell1151.732.0
2024Jamey Chadwell1154.450.9
2023Jamey ChadwellCoaching change1292.846.4
2022Hugh Freeze / Josh AldridgeCoaching change1342.568.5
2021Hugh Freeze1369.657.9
2020Hugh Freeze1169.151.6
2019Hugh FreezeCoaching change1351.333.5
2018Turner Gill1133.927.5