2014–2026 performance history

Memphis over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

American AthleticHead coach: Charles HuffView Memphis games →
Offense · 2026 estimate63.9/100

77.2 average through 2 games

60.2 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate61.1/100

56.8 average through 2 games

62.2 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Memphis individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Fuente · ’14–’15Justin Fuente, 2014–2015Norvell · ’16–’19Mike Norvell, 2016–2019Silverfield · ’20–’25Ryan Silverfield, 2020–2025HuffCharles Huff, 2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Memphis vs. Austin Peay · W 63–0; offense 69.3 percentile2014 Week 2: Memphis at UCLA · L 35–42; offense 61.4 percentile2014 Week 4: Memphis vs. Middle Tennessee · W 36–17; offense 40.3 percentile2014 Week 5: Memphis at Ole Miss · L 3–24; offense 2.6 percentile2014 Week 6: Memphis at Cincinnati · W 41–14; offense 77.3 percentile2014 Week 7: Memphis vs. Houston · L 24–28; offense 26.4 percentile2014 Week 9: Memphis at SMU · W 48–10; offense 73.9 percentile2014 Week 10: Memphis vs. Tulsa · W 40–20; offense 29.5 percentile2014 Week 11: Memphis at Temple · W 16–13; offense 17.1 percentile2014 Week 12: Memphis at Tulane · W 38–7; offense 14.3 percentile2014 Week 13: Memphis vs. South Florida · W 31–20; offense 75.0 percentile2014 Week 14: Memphis vs. UConn · W 41–10; offense 47.3 percentile2014 Week 1: Memphis vs. BYU · W 55–48; offense 68.9 percentile2015 Week 1: Memphis vs. Missouri State · W 63–7; offense 57.6 percentile2015 Week 2: Memphis at Kansas · W 55–23; offense 74.5 percentile2015 Week 3: Memphis at Bowling Green · W 44–41; offense 71.3 percentile2015 Week 4: Memphis vs. Cincinnati · W 53–46; offense 68.3 percentile2015 Week 5: Memphis at South Florida · W 24–17; offense 54.8 percentile2015 Week 7: Memphis vs. Ole Miss · W 37–24; offense 61.9 percentile2015 Week 8: Memphis at Tulsa · W 66–42; offense 75.1 percentile2015 Week 9: Memphis vs. Tulane · W 41–13; offense 78.1 percentile2015 Week 10: Memphis vs. Navy · L 20–45; offense 61.3 percentile2015 Week 11: Memphis at Houston · L 34–35; offense 79.2 percentile2015 Week 12: Memphis at Temple · L 12–31; offense 17.1 percentile2015 Week 13: Memphis vs. SMU · W 63–0; offense 73.0 percentile2015 Week 1: Memphis vs. Auburn · L 10–31; offense 4.6 percentile2016 Week 1: Memphis vs. Southeast Missouri State · W 35–17; offense 8.5 percentile2016 Week 3: Memphis vs. Kansas · W 43–7; offense 27.3 percentile2016 Week 4: Memphis vs. Bowling Green · W 77–3; offense 83.3 percentile2016 Week 5: Memphis at Ole Miss · L 28–48; offense 55.5 percentile2016 Week 6: Memphis vs. Temple · W 34–27; offense 34.2 percentile2016 Week 7: Memphis at Tulane · W 24–14; offense 47.2 percentile2016 Week 8: Memphis at Navy · L 28–42; offense 52.2 percentile2016 Week 9: Memphis vs. Tulsa · L 30–59; offense 63.6 percentile2016 Week 10: Memphis at SMU · W 51–7; offense 56.3 percentile2016 Week 11: Memphis vs. South Florida · L 42–49; offense 83.9 percentile2016 Week 12: Memphis at Cincinnati · W 34–7; offense 51.2 percentile2016 Week 13: Memphis vs. Houston · W 48–44; offense 93.4 percentile2016 Week 1: Memphis vs. Western Kentucky · L 31–51; offense 65.4 percentile2017 Week 3: Memphis vs. UCLA · W 48–45; offense 46.3 percentile2017 Week 4: Memphis vs. Southern Illinois · W 44–31; offense 44.4 percentile2017 Week 5: Memphis at UCF · L 13–40; offense 29.7 percentile2017 Week 6: Memphis at UConn · W 70–31; offense 90.5 percentile2017 Week 7: Memphis vs. Navy · W 30–27; offense 40.8 percentile2017 Week 8: Memphis at Houston · W 42–38; offense 58.4 percentile2017 Week 9: Memphis vs. Tulane · W 56–26; offense 79.8 percentile2017 Week 10: Memphis at Tulsa · W 41–14; offense 65.2 percentile2017 Week 12: Memphis vs. SMU · W 66–45; offense 93.7 percentile2017 Week 13: Memphis vs. East Carolina · W 70–13; offense 99.1 percentile2017 Week 14: Memphis at UCF · L 55–62; offense 95.9 percentile2017 Week 1: Memphis vs. Iowa State · L 20–21; offense 25.1 percentile2018 Week 1: Memphis vs. Mercer · W 66–14; offense 92.6 percentile2018 Week 2: Memphis at Navy · L 21–22; offense 35.8 percentile2018 Week 3: Memphis vs. Georgia State · W 59–22; offense 98.6 percentile2018 Week 4: Memphis vs. South Alabama · W 52–35; offense 56.6 percentile2018 Week 5: Memphis at Tulane · L 24–40; offense 29.9 percentile2018 Week 6: Memphis vs. UConn · W 55–14; offense 90.0 percentile2018 Week 7: Memphis vs. UCF · L 30–31; offense 52.1 percentile2018 Week 8: Memphis at Missouri · L 33–65; offense 72.4 percentile2018 Week 10: Memphis at East Carolina · W 59–41; offense 91.7 percentile2018 Week 11: Memphis vs. Tulsa · W 47–21; offense 80.8 percentile2018 Week 12: Memphis at SMU · W 28–18; offense 62.7 percentile2018 Week 13: Memphis vs. Houston · W 52–31; offense 80.2 percentile2018 Week 14: Memphis at UCF · L 41–56; offense 88.1 percentile2018 Week 1: Memphis vs. Wake Forest · L 34–37; offense 31.0 percentile2019 Week 1: Memphis vs. Ole Miss · W 15–10; offense 18.8 percentile2019 Week 2: Memphis vs. Southern · W 55–24; offense 71.0 percentile2019 Week 3: Memphis at South Alabama · W 42–6; offense 79.1 percentile2019 Week 5: Memphis vs. Navy · W 35–23; offense 65.1 percentile2019 Week 6: Memphis at UL Monroe · W 52–33; offense 87.2 percentile2019 Week 7: Memphis at Temple · L 28–30; offense 66.4 percentile2019 Week 8: Memphis vs. Tulane · W 47–17; offense 78.1 percentile2019 Week 9: Memphis at Tulsa · W 42–41; offense 90.3 percentile2019 Week 10: Memphis vs. SMU · W 54–48; offense 75.7 percentile2019 Week 12: Memphis at Houston · W 45–27; offense 86.8 percentile2019 Week 13: Memphis at South Florida · W 49–10; offense 98.4 percentile2019 Week 14: Memphis vs. Cincinnati · W 34–24; offense 84.0 percentile2019 Week 15: Memphis vs. Cincinnati · W 29–24; offense 51.4 percentile2019 Week 1: Memphis vs. Penn State · L 39–53; offense 74.9 percentile2020 Week 1: Memphis vs. Arkansas State · W 37–24; offense 69.1 percentile2020 Week 5: Memphis at SMU · L 27–30; offense 76.6 percentile2020 Week 7: Memphis vs. UCF · W 50–49; offense 74.8 percentile2020 Week 8: Memphis vs. Temple · W 41–29; offense 44.0 percentile2020 Week 9: Memphis at Cincinnati · L 10–49; offense 19.4 percentile2020 Week 10: Memphis vs. South Florida · W 34–33; offense 36.7 percentile2020 Week 12: Memphis vs. Stephen F. Austin · W 56–14; offense 37.1 percentile2020 Week 13: Memphis at Navy · W 10–7; offense 6.5 percentile2020 Week 14: Memphis at Tulane · L 21–35; offense 13.0 percentile2020 Week 15: Memphis vs. Houston · W 30–27; offense 29.6 percentile2020 Week 1: Memphis vs. Florida Atlantic · W 25–10; offense 95.5 percentile2021 Week 1: Memphis vs. Nicholls · W 42–17; offense 72.9 percentile2021 Week 2: Memphis at Arkansas State · W 55–50; offense 95.5 percentile2021 Week 3: Memphis vs. Mississippi State · W 31–29; offense 6.7 percentile2021 Week 4: Memphis vs. UTSA · L 28–31; offense 36.4 percentile2021 Week 5: Memphis at Temple · L 31–34; offense 64.1 percentile2021 Week 6: Memphis at Tulsa · L 29–35; offense 62.2 percentile2021 Week 7: Memphis vs. Navy · W 35–17; offense 95.3 percentile2021 Week 8: Memphis at UCF · L 7–24; offense 26.1 percentile2021 Week 10: Memphis vs. SMU · W 28–25; offense 25.2 percentile2021 Week 12: Memphis at Houston · L 13–31; offense 29.1 percentile2021 Week 13: Memphis vs. Tulane · W 33–28; offense 34.9 percentile2022 Week 1: Memphis at Mississippi State · L 23–49; offense 47.5 percentile2022 Week 2: Memphis at Navy · W 37–13; offense 84.5 percentile2022 Week 3: Memphis vs. Arkansas State · W 44–32; offense 79.8 percentile2022 Week 4: Memphis vs. North Texas · W 44–34; offense 24.4 percentile2022 Week 5: Memphis vs. Temple · W 24–3; offense 10.0 percentile2022 Week 6: Memphis vs. Houston · L 32–33; offense 45.2 percentile2022 Week 7: Memphis at East Carolina · L 45–47; offense 77.5 percentile2022 Week 8: Memphis at Tulane · L 28–38; offense 65.4 percentile2022 Week 10: Memphis vs. UCF · L 28–35; offense 54.1 percentile2022 Week 11: Memphis vs. Tulsa · W 26–10; offense 10.6 percentile2022 Week 12: Memphis vs. North Alabama · W 59–0; offense 64.1 percentile2022 Week 13: Memphis at SMU · L 31–34; offense 67.2 percentile2022 Week 1: Memphis vs. Utah State · W 38–10; offense 41.0 percentile2023 Week 1: Memphis vs. Bethune-Cookman · W 56–14; offense 47.5 percentile2023 Week 2: Memphis at Arkansas State · W 37–3; offense 31.4 percentile2023 Week 3: Memphis vs. Navy · W 28–24; offense 19.3 percentile2023 Week 4: Memphis vs. Missouri · L 27–34; offense 57.8 percentile2023 Week 5: Memphis vs. Boise State · W 35–32; offense 83.2 percentile2023 Week 7: Memphis vs. Tulane · L 21–31; offense 68.0 percentile2023 Week 8: Memphis at UAB · W 45–21; offense 66.9 percentile2023 Week 9: Memphis at North Texas · W 45–42; offense 65.9 percentile2023 Week 10: Memphis vs. South Florida · W 59–50; offense 89.4 percentile2023 Week 11: Memphis at Charlotte · W 44–38; offense 32.7 percentile2023 Week 12: Memphis vs. SMU · L 34–38; offense 72.3 percentile2023 Week 13: Memphis at Temple · W 45–21; offense 94.3 percentile2024 Week 1: Memphis vs. North Alabama · W 40–0; offense 34.6 percentile2024 Week 2: Memphis vs. Troy · W 38–17; offense 86.0 percentile2024 Week 3: Memphis at Florida State · W 20–12; offense 9.6 percentile2024 Week 4: Memphis at Navy · L 44–56; offense 99.8 percentile2024 Week 5: Memphis vs. Middle Tennessee · W 24–7; offense 23.9 percentile2024 Week 7: Memphis vs. South Florida · W 21–3; offense 17.7 percentile2024 Week 8: Memphis vs. North Texas · W 52–44; offense 61.3 percentile2024 Week 9: Memphis vs. Charlotte · W 33–28; offense 55.2 percentile2024 Week 10: Memphis at UTSA · L 36–44; offense 58.6 percentile2024 Week 11: Memphis vs. Rice · W 27–20; offense 69.9 percentile2024 Week 12: Memphis vs. UAB · W 53–18; offense 88.8 percentile2024 Week 14: Memphis at Tulane · W 34–24; offense 76.2 percentile2024 Week 1: Memphis vs. West Virginia · W 42–37; offense 91.5 percentile2025 Week 1: Memphis vs. Chattanooga · W 45–10; offense 77.8 percentile2025 Week 2: Memphis at Georgia State · W 38–16; offense 59.4 percentile2025 Week 3: Memphis at Troy · W 28–7; offense 80.6 percentile2025 Week 4: Memphis vs. Arkansas · W 32–31; offense 30.4 percentile2025 Week 5: Memphis at Florida Atlantic · W 55–26; offense 77.6 percentile2025 Week 6: Memphis vs. Tulsa · W 45–7; offense 87.0 percentile2025 Week 8: Memphis at UAB · L 24–31; offense 26.3 percentile2025 Week 9: Memphis vs. South Florida · W 34–31; offense 79.2 percentile2025 Week 10: Memphis at Rice · W 38–14; offense 56.9 percentile2025 Week 11: Memphis vs. Tulane · L 32–38; offense 62.1 percentile2025 Week 12: Memphis at East Carolina · L 27–31; offense 81.3 percentile2025 Week 14: Memphis vs. Navy · L 17–28; offense 23.1 percentile2025 Week 1: Memphis vs. NC State · L 7–31; offense 25.0 percentile2026 Week 1: Memphis at UNLV · W 27–21; offense 66.8 percentile2026 Week 1: Memphis vs. Arkansas State · W 42–24; offense 85.5 percentile2014 offense season mean: 43.6 percentile2015 offense season mean: 58.6 percentile2016 offense season mean: 56.5 percentile2017 offense season mean: 71.2 percentile2018 offense season mean: 73.9 percentile2019 offense season mean: 76.6 percentile2020 offense season mean: 45.4 percentile2021 offense season mean: 52.0 percentile2022 offense season mean: 50.9 percentile2023 offense season mean: 63.1 percentile2024 offense season mean: 65.0 percentile2025 offense season mean: 60.2 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 63.9 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 77.2 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Memphis vs. Austin Peay · W 63–0; defense 88.9 percentile2014 Week 2: Memphis at UCLA · L 35–42; defense 34.2 percentile2014 Week 4: Memphis vs. Middle Tennessee · W 36–17; defense 87.8 percentile2014 Week 5: Memphis at Ole Miss · L 3–24; defense 61.9 percentile2014 Week 6: Memphis at Cincinnati · W 41–14; defense 76.3 percentile2014 Week 7: Memphis vs. Houston · L 24–28; defense 74.6 percentile2014 Week 9: Memphis at SMU · W 48–10; defense 60.5 percentile2014 Week 10: Memphis vs. Tulsa · W 40–20; defense 86.4 percentile2014 Week 11: Memphis at Temple · W 16–13; defense 66.3 percentile2014 Week 12: Memphis at Tulane · W 38–7; defense 77.1 percentile2014 Week 13: Memphis vs. South Florida · W 31–20; defense 57.5 percentile2014 Week 14: Memphis vs. UConn · W 41–10; defense 86.8 percentile2014 Week 1: Memphis vs. BYU · W 55–48; defense 88.3 percentile2015 Week 1: Memphis vs. Missouri State · W 63–7; defense 92.9 percentile2015 Week 2: Memphis at Kansas · W 55–23; defense 42.3 percentile2015 Week 3: Memphis at Bowling Green · W 44–41; defense 44.7 percentile2015 Week 4: Memphis vs. Cincinnati · W 53–46; defense 32.6 percentile2015 Week 5: Memphis at South Florida · W 24–17; defense 94.2 percentile2015 Week 7: Memphis vs. Ole Miss · W 37–24; defense 82.6 percentile2015 Week 8: Memphis at Tulsa · W 66–42; defense 45.0 percentile2015 Week 9: Memphis vs. Tulane · W 41–13; defense 66.3 percentile2015 Week 10: Memphis vs. Navy · L 20–45; defense 19.6 percentile2015 Week 11: Memphis at Houston · L 34–35; defense 67.3 percentile2015 Week 12: Memphis at Temple · L 12–31; defense 20.0 percentile2015 Week 13: Memphis vs. SMU · W 63–0; defense 99.6 percentile2015 Week 1: Memphis vs. Auburn · L 10–31; defense 27.0 percentile2016 Week 1: Memphis vs. Southeast Missouri State · W 35–17; defense 62.0 percentile2016 Week 3: Memphis vs. Kansas · W 43–7; defense 67.7 percentile2016 Week 4: Memphis vs. Bowling Green · W 77–3; defense 91.9 percentile2016 Week 5: Memphis at Ole Miss · L 28–48; defense 22.4 percentile2016 Week 6: Memphis vs. Temple · W 34–27; defense 70.6 percentile2016 Week 7: Memphis at Tulane · W 24–14; defense 78.4 percentile2016 Week 8: Memphis at Navy · L 28–42; defense 22.6 percentile2016 Week 9: Memphis vs. Tulsa · L 30–59; defense 11.2 percentile2016 Week 10: Memphis at SMU · W 51–7; defense 80.1 percentile2016 Week 11: Memphis vs. South Florida · L 42–49; defense 11.5 percentile2016 Week 12: Memphis at Cincinnati · W 34–7; defense 82.2 percentile2016 Week 13: Memphis vs. Houston · W 48–44; defense 8.6 percentile2016 Week 1: Memphis vs. Western Kentucky · L 31–51; defense 26.8 percentile2017 Week 3: Memphis vs. UCLA · W 48–45; defense 32.6 percentile2017 Week 4: Memphis vs. Southern Illinois · W 44–31; defense 14.8 percentile2017 Week 5: Memphis at UCF · L 13–40; defense 36.5 percentile2017 Week 6: Memphis at UConn · W 70–31; defense 66.6 percentile2017 Week 7: Memphis vs. Navy · W 30–27; defense 74.1 percentile2017 Week 8: Memphis at Houston · W 42–38; defense 49.7 percentile2017 Week 9: Memphis vs. Tulane · W 56–26; defense 82.4 percentile2017 Week 10: Memphis at Tulsa · W 41–14; defense 88.5 percentile2017 Week 12: Memphis vs. SMU · W 66–45; defense 37.0 percentile2017 Week 13: Memphis vs. East Carolina · W 70–13; defense 73.9 percentile2017 Week 14: Memphis at UCF · L 55–62; defense 13.0 percentile2017 Week 1: Memphis vs. Iowa State · L 20–21; defense 79.0 percentile2018 Week 1: Memphis vs. Mercer · W 66–14; defense 74.8 percentile2018 Week 2: Memphis at Navy · L 21–22; defense 72.6 percentile2018 Week 3: Memphis vs. Georgia State · W 59–22; defense 70.2 percentile2018 Week 4: Memphis vs. South Alabama · W 52–35; defense 25.5 percentile2018 Week 5: Memphis at Tulane · L 24–40; defense 15.7 percentile2018 Week 6: Memphis vs. UConn · W 55–14; defense 47.2 percentile2018 Week 7: Memphis vs. UCF · L 30–31; defense 90.7 percentile2018 Week 8: Memphis at Missouri · L 33–65; defense 13.3 percentile2018 Week 10: Memphis at East Carolina · W 59–41; defense 20.4 percentile2018 Week 11: Memphis vs. Tulsa · W 47–21; defense 77.4 percentile2018 Week 12: Memphis at SMU · W 28–18; defense 76.4 percentile2018 Week 13: Memphis vs. Houston · W 52–31; defense 78.9 percentile2018 Week 14: Memphis at UCF · L 41–56; defense 31.4 percentile2018 Week 1: Memphis vs. Wake Forest · L 34–37; defense 29.8 percentile2019 Week 1: Memphis vs. Ole Miss · W 15–10; defense 97.3 percentile2019 Week 2: Memphis vs. Southern · W 55–24; defense 20.2 percentile2019 Week 3: Memphis at South Alabama · W 42–6; defense 93.2 percentile2019 Week 5: Memphis vs. Navy · W 35–23; defense 87.9 percentile2019 Week 6: Memphis at UL Monroe · W 52–33; defense 34.0 percentile2019 Week 7: Memphis at Temple · L 28–30; defense 35.5 percentile2019 Week 8: Memphis vs. Tulane · W 47–17; defense 80.1 percentile2019 Week 9: Memphis at Tulsa · W 42–41; defense 14.9 percentile2019 Week 10: Memphis vs. SMU · W 54–48; defense 48.1 percentile2019 Week 12: Memphis at Houston · W 45–27; defense 75.1 percentile2019 Week 13: Memphis at South Florida · W 49–10; defense 85.1 percentile2019 Week 14: Memphis vs. Cincinnati · W 34–24; defense 70.8 percentile2019 Week 15: Memphis vs. Cincinnati · W 29–24; defense 60.8 percentile2019 Week 1: Memphis vs. Penn State · L 39–53; defense 7.8 percentile2020 Week 1: Memphis vs. Arkansas State · W 37–24; defense 55.5 percentile2020 Week 5: Memphis at SMU · L 27–30; defense 49.0 percentile2020 Week 7: Memphis vs. UCF · W 50–49; defense 22.5 percentile2020 Week 8: Memphis vs. Temple · W 41–29; defense 40.5 percentile2020 Week 9: Memphis at Cincinnati · L 10–49; defense 11.1 percentile2020 Week 10: Memphis vs. South Florida · W 34–33; defense 44.8 percentile2020 Week 12: Memphis vs. Stephen F. Austin · W 56–14; defense 80.9 percentile2020 Week 13: Memphis at Navy · W 10–7; defense 62.5 percentile2020 Week 14: Memphis at Tulane · L 21–35; defense 42.6 percentile2020 Week 15: Memphis vs. Houston · W 30–27; defense 44.1 percentile2020 Week 1: Memphis vs. Florida Atlantic · W 25–10; defense 63.0 percentile2021 Week 1: Memphis vs. Nicholls · W 42–17; defense 31.0 percentile2021 Week 2: Memphis at Arkansas State · W 55–50; defense 9.9 percentile2021 Week 3: Memphis vs. Mississippi State · W 31–29; defense 14.7 percentile2021 Week 4: Memphis vs. UTSA · L 28–31; defense 85.5 percentile2021 Week 5: Memphis at Temple · L 31–34; defense 29.0 percentile2021 Week 6: Memphis at Tulsa · L 29–35; defense 20.7 percentile2021 Week 7: Memphis vs. Navy · W 35–17; defense 46.2 percentile2021 Week 8: Memphis at UCF · L 7–24; defense 73.5 percentile2021 Week 10: Memphis vs. SMU · W 28–25; defense 58.5 percentile2021 Week 12: Memphis at Houston · L 13–31; defense 26.7 percentile2021 Week 13: Memphis vs. Tulane · W 33–28; defense 11.5 percentile2022 Week 1: Memphis at Mississippi State · L 23–49; defense 14.8 percentile2022 Week 2: Memphis at Navy · W 37–13; defense 64.4 percentile2022 Week 3: Memphis vs. Arkansas State · W 44–32; defense 28.1 percentile2022 Week 4: Memphis vs. North Texas · W 44–34; defense 78.2 percentile2022 Week 5: Memphis vs. Temple · W 24–3; defense 90.8 percentile2022 Week 6: Memphis vs. Houston · L 32–33; defense 81.4 percentile2022 Week 7: Memphis at East Carolina · L 45–47; defense 31.9 percentile2022 Week 8: Memphis at Tulane · L 28–38; defense 50.0 percentile2022 Week 10: Memphis vs. UCF · L 28–35; defense 44.8 percentile2022 Week 11: Memphis vs. Tulsa · W 26–10; defense 98.4 percentile2022 Week 12: Memphis vs. North Alabama · W 59–0; defense 75.0 percentile2022 Week 13: Memphis at SMU · L 31–34; defense 49.4 percentile2022 Week 1: Memphis vs. Utah State · W 38–10; defense 59.7 percentile2023 Week 1: Memphis vs. Bethune-Cookman · W 56–14; defense 85.0 percentile2023 Week 2: Memphis at Arkansas State · W 37–3; defense 98.1 percentile2023 Week 3: Memphis vs. Navy · W 28–24; defense 20.7 percentile2023 Week 4: Memphis vs. Missouri · L 27–34; defense 18.8 percentile2023 Week 5: Memphis vs. Boise State · W 35–32; defense 69.4 percentile2023 Week 7: Memphis vs. Tulane · L 21–31; defense 45.8 percentile2023 Week 8: Memphis at UAB · W 45–21; defense 54.8 percentile2023 Week 9: Memphis at North Texas · W 45–42; defense 30.1 percentile2023 Week 10: Memphis vs. South Florida · W 59–50; defense 38.2 percentile2023 Week 11: Memphis at Charlotte · W 44–38; defense 5.9 percentile2023 Week 12: Memphis vs. SMU · L 34–38; defense 27.2 percentile2023 Week 13: Memphis at Temple · W 45–21; defense 33.0 percentile2024 Week 1: Memphis vs. North Alabama · W 40–0; defense 86.5 percentile2024 Week 2: Memphis vs. Troy · W 38–17; defense 86.8 percentile2024 Week 3: Memphis at Florida State · W 20–12; defense 80.9 percentile2024 Week 4: Memphis at Navy · L 44–56; defense 2.1 percentile2024 Week 5: Memphis vs. Middle Tennessee · W 24–7; defense 77.7 percentile2024 Week 7: Memphis vs. South Florida · W 21–3; defense 97.8 percentile2024 Week 8: Memphis vs. North Texas · W 52–44; defense 51.0 percentile2024 Week 9: Memphis vs. Charlotte · W 33–28; defense 15.7 percentile2024 Week 10: Memphis at UTSA · L 36–44; defense 54.6 percentile2024 Week 11: Memphis vs. Rice · W 27–20; defense 48.3 percentile2024 Week 12: Memphis vs. UAB · W 53–18; defense 56.8 percentile2024 Week 14: Memphis at Tulane · W 34–24; defense 58.4 percentile2024 Week 1: Memphis vs. West Virginia · W 42–37; defense 19.1 percentile2025 Week 1: Memphis vs. Chattanooga · W 45–10; defense 61.2 percentile2025 Week 2: Memphis at Georgia State · W 38–16; defense 65.0 percentile2025 Week 3: Memphis at Troy · W 28–7; defense 97.1 percentile2025 Week 4: Memphis vs. Arkansas · W 32–31; defense 57.0 percentile2025 Week 5: Memphis at Florida Atlantic · W 55–26; defense 81.8 percentile2025 Week 6: Memphis vs. Tulsa · W 45–7; defense 95.0 percentile2025 Week 8: Memphis at UAB · L 24–31; defense 14.1 percentile2025 Week 9: Memphis vs. South Florida · W 34–31; defense 43.0 percentile2025 Week 10: Memphis at Rice · W 38–14; defense 81.9 percentile2025 Week 11: Memphis vs. Tulane · L 32–38; defense 14.7 percentile2025 Week 12: Memphis at East Carolina · L 27–31; defense 43.4 percentile2025 Week 14: Memphis vs. Navy · L 17–28; defense 61.6 percentile2025 Week 1: Memphis vs. NC State · L 7–31; defense 50.0 percentile2026 Week 1: Memphis at UNLV · W 27–21; defense 93.6 percentile2026 Week 1: Memphis vs. Arkansas State · W 42–24; defense 11.8 percentile2014 defense season mean: 74.8 percentile2015 defense season mean: 63.0 percentile2016 defense season mean: 48.0 percentile2017 defense season mean: 54.5 percentile2018 defense season mean: 52.0 percentile2019 defense season mean: 60.8 percentile2020 defense season mean: 46.2 percentile2021 defense season mean: 35.0 percentile2022 defense season mean: 62.7 percentile2023 defense season mean: 45.0 percentile2024 defense season mean: 57.4 percentile2025 defense season mean: 62.2 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 61.1 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 56.8 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2016Mike Norvell
2020Ryan Silverfield
2025Ryan Silverfield / Reggie Howard
2026Charles Huff

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateCharles HuffCoaching change2
63.9 estimate77.2 games-only average
61.1 estimate56.8 games-only average
2025Ryan Silverfield / Reggie HowardCoaching change1360.262.2
2024Ryan Silverfield1365.057.4
2023Ryan Silverfield1263.145.0
2022Ryan Silverfield1350.962.7
2021Ryan Silverfield1152.035.0
2020Ryan SilverfieldCoaching change1145.446.2
2019Mike Norvell1476.660.8
2018Mike Norvell1473.952.0
2017Mike Norvell1271.254.5
2016Mike NorvellCoaching change1356.548.0
2015Justin Fuente1358.663.0
2014Justin Fuente1343.674.8