2014–2026 performance history

Middle Tennessee over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Conference USAHead coach: Derek MasonView Middle Tennessee games →
Offense · 2026 estimate30.4/100

71.8 average through 1 game

25.8 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate27.4/100

5.5 average through 1 game

31.8 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Middle Tennessee individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Stockstill · ’14–’23Rick Stockstill, 2014–2023Mason · ’24–’26Derek Mason, 2024–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Savannah State · W 61–7; offense 74.6 percentile2014 Week 2: Middle Tennessee at Minnesota · L 24–35; offense 39.7 percentile2014 Week 3: Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky · W 50–47; offense 55.5 percentile2014 Week 4: Middle Tennessee at Memphis · L 17–36; offense 40.9 percentile2014 Week 5: Middle Tennessee at Old Dominion · W 41–28; offense 55.4 percentile2014 Week 6: Middle Tennessee vs. Southern Miss · W 37–31; offense 86.7 percentile2014 Week 7: Middle Tennessee at Marshall · L 24–49; offense 53.2 percentile2014 Week 8: Middle Tennessee vs. UAB · W 34–22; offense 52.4 percentile2014 Week 10: Middle Tennessee vs. BYU · L 7–27; offense 23.9 percentile2014 Week 12: Middle Tennessee at Florida International · L 28–38; offense 74.1 percentile2014 Week 14: Middle Tennessee at UTEP · L 21–24; offense 72.0 percentile2015 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Jackson State · W 70–14; offense 66.6 percentile2015 Week 2: Middle Tennessee at Alabama · L 10–37; offense 28.3 percentile2015 Week 3: Middle Tennessee vs. Charlotte · W 73–14; offense 95.8 percentile2015 Week 4: Middle Tennessee at Illinois · L 25–27; offense 28.5 percentile2015 Week 5: Middle Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt · L 13–17; offense 13.5 percentile2015 Week 6: Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · L 28–58; offense 51.4 percentile2015 Week 7: Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International · W 42–34; offense 84.1 percentile2015 Week 8: Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech · L 16–45; offense 36.7 percentile2015 Week 11: Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic · W 24–17; offense 51.8 percentile2015 Week 12: Middle Tennessee vs. North Texas · W 41–7; offense 78.7 percentile2015 Week 13: Middle Tennessee at UTSA · W 42–7; offense 92.2 percentile2015 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Western Michigan · L 31–45; offense 53.2 percentile2016 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Alabama A&M · W 55–0; offense 66.2 percentile2016 Week 2: Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt · L 24–47; offense 78.8 percentile2016 Week 3: Middle Tennessee at Bowling Green · W 41–21; offense 55.6 percentile2016 Week 4: Middle Tennessee vs. Louisiana Tech · W 38–34; offense 79.2 percentile2016 Week 5: Middle Tennessee at North Texas · W 30–13; offense 53.6 percentile2016 Week 8: Middle Tennessee at Missouri · W 51–45; offense 76.5 percentile2016 Week 9: Middle Tennessee at Florida International · W 42–35; offense 84.4 percentile2016 Week 10: Middle Tennessee vs. UTSA · L 25–45; offense 43.2 percentile2016 Week 11: Middle Tennessee at Marshall · L 17–42; offense 4.6 percentile2016 Week 12: Middle Tennessee at Charlotte · W 38–31; offense 32.8 percentile2016 Week 13: Middle Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic · W 77–56; offense 97.4 percentile2016 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Hawai'i · L 35–52; offense 48.8 percentile2017 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt · L 6–28; offense 2.8 percentile2017 Week 2: Middle Tennessee at Syracuse · W 30–23; offense 10.4 percentile2017 Week 3: Middle Tennessee at Minnesota · L 3–34; offense 5.0 percentile2017 Week 4: Middle Tennessee vs. Bowling Green · W 24–13; offense 66.8 percentile2017 Week 5: Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic · L 20–38; offense 69.0 percentile2017 Week 6: Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International · W 37–17; offense 73.8 percentile2017 Week 7: Middle Tennessee at UAB · L 23–25; offense 24.6 percentile2017 Week 8: Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall · L 10–38; offense 36.9 percentile2017 Week 10: Middle Tennessee vs. UTEP · W 30–3; offense 38.1 percentile2017 Week 11: Middle Tennessee at Charlotte · W 35–21; offense 68.3 percentile2017 Week 13: Middle Tennessee vs. Old Dominion · W 41–10; offense 92.3 percentile2017 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Arkansas State · W 35–30; offense 48.3 percentile2018 Week 1: Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt · L 7–35; offense 18.1 percentile2018 Week 2: Middle Tennessee vs. UT Martin · W 61–37; offense 42.2 percentile2018 Week 3: Middle Tennessee at Georgia · L 7–49; offense 42.3 percentile2018 Week 6: Middle Tennessee at Marshall · W 34–24; offense 89.3 percentile2018 Week 7: Middle Tennessee at Florida International · L 21–24; offense 62.6 percentile2018 Week 8: Middle Tennessee vs. Charlotte · W 21–13; offense 0.6 percentile2018 Week 9: Middle Tennessee at Old Dominion · W 51–17; offense 72.8 percentile2018 Week 10: Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky · W 29–10; offense 20.7 percentile2018 Week 11: Middle Tennessee at UTEP · W 48–32; offense 55.2 percentile2018 Week 12: Middle Tennessee at Kentucky · L 23–34; offense 86.1 percentile2018 Week 13: Middle Tennessee vs. UAB · W 27–3; offense 65.6 percentile2018 Week 14: Middle Tennessee vs. UAB · L 25–27; offense 60.0 percentile2018 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. App State · L 13–45; offense 38.2 percentile2019 Week 1: Middle Tennessee at Michigan · L 21–40; offense 17.9 percentile2019 Week 2: Middle Tennessee vs. Tennessee State · W 45–26; offense 78.7 percentile2019 Week 3: Middle Tennessee vs. Duke · L 18–41; offense 33.9 percentile2019 Week 5: Middle Tennessee at Iowa · L 3–48; offense 16.8 percentile2019 Week 6: Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall · W 24–13; offense 54.1 percentile2019 Week 7: Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic · L 13–28; offense 66.6 percentile2019 Week 8: Middle Tennessee at North Texas · L 30–33; offense 60.0 percentile2019 Week 9: Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International · W 50–17; offense 92.8 percentile2019 Week 10: Middle Tennessee at Charlotte · L 20–34; offense 31.4 percentile2019 Week 12: Middle Tennessee vs. Rice · L 28–31; offense 54.6 percentile2019 Week 13: Middle Tennessee vs. Old Dominion · W 38–17; offense 53.3 percentile2019 Week 14: Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · L 26–31; offense 65.6 percentile2020 Week 1: Middle Tennessee at Army · L 0–42; offense 12.5 percentile2020 Week 3: Middle Tennessee vs. Troy · L 14–47; offense 8.1 percentile2020 Week 4: Middle Tennessee at UTSA · L 35–37; offense 50.6 percentile2020 Week 5: Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky · L 17–20; offense 21.3 percentile2020 Week 6: Middle Tennessee at Florida International · W 31–28; offense 33.6 percentile2020 Week 7: Middle Tennessee vs. North Texas · L 35–52; offense 24.4 percentile2020 Week 11: Middle Tennessee at Marshall · L 14–42; offense 36.8 percentile2020 Week 12: Middle Tennessee at Troy · W 20–17; offense 59.7 percentile2021 Week 3: Middle Tennessee at UTSA · L 13–27; offense 5.1 percentile2021 Week 4: Middle Tennessee at Charlotte · L 39–42; offense 60.3 percentile2021 Week 5: Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall · W 34–28; offense 30.6 percentile2021 Week 6: Middle Tennessee at Liberty · L 13–41; offense 31.4 percentile2021 Week 8: Middle Tennessee at UConn · W 44–13; offense 42.7 percentile2021 Week 9: Middle Tennessee vs. Southern Miss · W 35–10; offense 22.7 percentile2021 Week 10: Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · L 21–48; offense 13.9 percentile2021 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo · W 31–24; offense 50.6 percentile2022 Week 1: Middle Tennessee at James Madison · L 7–44; offense 3.1 percentile2022 Week 2: Middle Tennessee at Colorado State · W 34–19; offense 29.5 percentile2022 Week 3: Middle Tennessee vs. Tennessee State · W 49–6; offense 49.4 percentile2022 Week 4: Middle Tennessee at Miami · W 45–31; offense 62.6 percentile2022 Week 5: Middle Tennessee vs. UTSA · L 30–45; offense 39.0 percentile2022 Week 6: Middle Tennessee at UAB · L 14–41; offense 27.0 percentile2022 Week 9: Middle Tennessee at UTEP · W 24–13; offense 58.2 percentile2022 Week 10: Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech · L 24–40; offense 14.2 percentile2022 Week 11: Middle Tennessee vs. Charlotte · W 24–14; offense 2.3 percentile2022 Week 12: Middle Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic · W 49–21; offense 64.2 percentile2022 Week 13: Middle Tennessee at Florida International · W 33–28; offense 63.8 percentile2022 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. San Diego State · W 25–23; offense 6.4 percentile2023 Week 1: Middle Tennessee at Alabama · L 7–56; offense 26.9 percentile2023 Week 2: Middle Tennessee at Missouri · L 19–23; offense 31.1 percentile2023 Week 3: Middle Tennessee vs. Murray State · W 35–14; offense 25.1 percentile2023 Week 4: Middle Tennessee vs. Colorado State · L 23–31; offense 36.5 percentile2023 Week 5: Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · L 10–31; offense 22.4 percentile2023 Week 6: Middle Tennessee vs. Jacksonville State · L 30–45; offense 50.0 percentile2023 Week 7: Middle Tennessee vs. Louisiana Tech · W 31–23; offense 45.9 percentile2023 Week 8: Middle Tennessee at Liberty · L 35–42; offense 72.8 percentile2023 Week 10: Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · L 7–13; offense 31.2 percentile2023 Week 11: Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International · W 40–6; offense 60.1 percentile2023 Week 12: Middle Tennessee vs. UTEP · W 34–30; offense 55.7 percentile2023 Week 13: Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston · L 20–23; offense 34.1 percentile2024 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Tennessee Tech · W 32–25; offense 9.6 percentile2024 Week 2: Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss · L 3–52; offense 12.9 percentile2024 Week 3: Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky · L 21–49; offense 34.5 percentile2024 Week 4: Middle Tennessee vs. Duke · L 17–45; offense 20.2 percentile2024 Week 5: Middle Tennessee at Memphis · L 7–24; offense 14.5 percentile2024 Week 7: Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech · L 21–48; offense 78.1 percentile2024 Week 8: Middle Tennessee vs. Kennesaw State · W 14–5; offense 2.8 percentile2024 Week 9: Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State · L 20–42; offense 54.4 percentile2024 Week 10: Middle Tennessee at UTEP · W 20–13; offense 16.4 percentile2024 Week 11: Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty · L 17–37; offense 32.0 percentile2024 Week 13: Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State · L 21–36; offense 55.8 percentile2024 Week 14: Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International · L 24–35; offense 66.1 percentile2025 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Austin Peay · L 14–34; offense 0.6 percentile2025 Week 2: Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin · L 10–42; offense 11.0 percentile2025 Week 3: Middle Tennessee at Nevada · W 14–13; offense 12.2 percentile2025 Week 4: Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall · L 28–42; offense 40.3 percentile2025 Week 5: Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · L 16–24; offense 36.0 percentile2025 Week 9: Middle Tennessee at Delaware · L 28–31; offense 41.2 percentile2025 Week 10: Middle Tennessee vs. Jacksonville State · L 21–24; offense 38.0 percentile2025 Week 11: Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International · L 30–56; offense 10.1 percentile2025 Week 13: Middle Tennessee vs. Sam Houston · W 31–17; offense 71.7 percentile2025 Week 14: Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · W 31–24; offense 59.1 percentile2026 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Murray State · W 38–14; offense 71.8 percentile2014 offense season mean: 58.0 percentile2015 offense season mean: 59.7 percentile2016 offense season mean: 61.8 percentile2017 offense season mean: 41.0 percentile2018 offense season mean: 47.3 percentile2019 offense season mean: 52.9 percentile2020 offense season mean: 28.5 percentile2021 offense season mean: 29.3 percentile2022 offense season mean: 29.0 percentile2023 offense season mean: 40.5 percentile2024 offense season mean: 29.0 percentile2025 offense season mean: 25.8 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 30.4 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 71.8 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Savannah State · W 61–7; defense 42.2 percentile2014 Week 2: Middle Tennessee at Minnesota · L 24–35; defense 28.4 percentile2014 Week 3: Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky · W 50–47; defense 35.7 percentile2014 Week 4: Middle Tennessee at Memphis · L 17–36; defense 40.9 percentile2014 Week 5: Middle Tennessee at Old Dominion · W 41–28; defense 49.4 percentile2014 Week 6: Middle Tennessee vs. Southern Miss · W 37–31; defense 7.5 percentile2014 Week 7: Middle Tennessee at Marshall · L 24–49; defense 48.6 percentile2014 Week 8: Middle Tennessee vs. UAB · W 34–22; defense 53.5 percentile2014 Week 10: Middle Tennessee vs. BYU · L 7–27; defense 73.0 percentile2014 Week 12: Middle Tennessee at Florida International · L 28–38; defense 45.7 percentile2014 Week 14: Middle Tennessee at UTEP · L 21–24; defense 19.9 percentile2015 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Jackson State · W 70–14; defense 45.2 percentile2015 Week 2: Middle Tennessee at Alabama · L 10–37; defense 24.4 percentile2015 Week 3: Middle Tennessee vs. Charlotte · W 73–14; defense 62.9 percentile2015 Week 4: Middle Tennessee at Illinois · L 25–27; defense 37.8 percentile2015 Week 5: Middle Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt · L 13–17; defense 11.9 percentile2015 Week 6: Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · L 28–58; defense 9.9 percentile2015 Week 7: Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International · W 42–34; defense 54.6 percentile2015 Week 8: Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech · L 16–45; defense 24.8 percentile2015 Week 11: Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic · W 24–17; defense 83.8 percentile2015 Week 12: Middle Tennessee vs. North Texas · W 41–7; defense 64.3 percentile2015 Week 13: Middle Tennessee at UTSA · W 42–7; defense 85.2 percentile2015 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Western Michigan · L 31–45; defense 27.0 percentile2016 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Alabama A&M · W 55–0; defense 60.8 percentile2016 Week 2: Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt · L 24–47; defense 40.5 percentile2016 Week 3: Middle Tennessee at Bowling Green · W 41–21; defense 46.3 percentile2016 Week 4: Middle Tennessee vs. Louisiana Tech · W 38–34; defense 67.2 percentile2016 Week 5: Middle Tennessee at North Texas · W 30–13; defense 91.5 percentile2016 Week 8: Middle Tennessee at Missouri · W 51–45; defense 32.1 percentile2016 Week 9: Middle Tennessee at Florida International · W 42–35; defense 9.4 percentile2016 Week 10: Middle Tennessee vs. UTSA · L 25–45; defense 18.8 percentile2016 Week 11: Middle Tennessee at Marshall · L 17–42; defense 7.9 percentile2016 Week 12: Middle Tennessee at Charlotte · W 38–31; defense 59.4 percentile2016 Week 13: Middle Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic · W 77–56; defense 1.9 percentile2016 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Hawai'i · L 35–52; defense 20.5 percentile2017 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt · L 6–28; defense 36.9 percentile2017 Week 2: Middle Tennessee at Syracuse · W 30–23; defense 76.3 percentile2017 Week 3: Middle Tennessee at Minnesota · L 3–34; defense 32.8 percentile2017 Week 4: Middle Tennessee vs. Bowling Green · W 24–13; defense 88.1 percentile2017 Week 5: Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic · L 20–38; defense 49.0 percentile2017 Week 6: Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International · W 37–17; defense 72.2 percentile2017 Week 7: Middle Tennessee at UAB · L 23–25; defense 70.4 percentile2017 Week 8: Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall · L 10–38; defense 34.3 percentile2017 Week 10: Middle Tennessee vs. UTEP · W 30–3; defense 81.9 percentile2017 Week 11: Middle Tennessee at Charlotte · W 35–21; defense 59.2 percentile2017 Week 13: Middle Tennessee vs. Old Dominion · W 41–10; defense 76.6 percentile2017 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Arkansas State · W 35–30; defense 63.2 percentile2018 Week 1: Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt · L 7–35; defense 18.7 percentile2018 Week 2: Middle Tennessee vs. UT Martin · W 61–37; defense 24.6 percentile2018 Week 3: Middle Tennessee at Georgia · L 7–49; defense 10.7 percentile2018 Week 6: Middle Tennessee at Marshall · W 34–24; defense 43.5 percentile2018 Week 7: Middle Tennessee at Florida International · L 21–24; defense 64.1 percentile2018 Week 8: Middle Tennessee vs. Charlotte · W 21–13; defense 76.1 percentile2018 Week 9: Middle Tennessee at Old Dominion · W 51–17; defense 38.5 percentile2018 Week 10: Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky · W 29–10; defense 66.2 percentile2018 Week 11: Middle Tennessee at UTEP · W 48–32; defense 41.0 percentile2018 Week 12: Middle Tennessee at Kentucky · L 23–34; defense 29.9 percentile2018 Week 13: Middle Tennessee vs. UAB · W 27–3; defense 98.8 percentile2018 Week 14: Middle Tennessee vs. UAB · L 25–27; defense 42.1 percentile2018 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. App State · L 13–45; defense 21.6 percentile2019 Week 1: Middle Tennessee at Michigan · L 21–40; defense 32.4 percentile2019 Week 2: Middle Tennessee vs. Tennessee State · W 45–26; defense 6.6 percentile2019 Week 3: Middle Tennessee vs. Duke · L 18–41; defense 7.2 percentile2019 Week 5: Middle Tennessee at Iowa · L 3–48; defense 1.0 percentile2019 Week 6: Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall · W 24–13; defense 40.4 percentile2019 Week 7: Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic · L 13–28; defense 57.7 percentile2019 Week 8: Middle Tennessee at North Texas · L 30–33; defense 50.3 percentile2019 Week 9: Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International · W 50–17; defense 89.3 percentile2019 Week 10: Middle Tennessee at Charlotte · L 20–34; defense 25.3 percentile2019 Week 12: Middle Tennessee vs. Rice · L 28–31; defense 31.7 percentile2019 Week 13: Middle Tennessee vs. Old Dominion · W 38–17; defense 22.0 percentile2019 Week 14: Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · L 26–31; defense 13.1 percentile2020 Week 1: Middle Tennessee at Army · L 0–42; defense 5.9 percentile2020 Week 3: Middle Tennessee vs. Troy · L 14–47; defense 21.7 percentile2020 Week 4: Middle Tennessee at UTSA · L 35–37; defense 71.2 percentile2020 Week 5: Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky · L 17–20; defense 41.3 percentile2020 Week 6: Middle Tennessee at Florida International · W 31–28; defense 42.7 percentile2020 Week 7: Middle Tennessee vs. North Texas · L 35–52; defense 0.1 percentile2020 Week 11: Middle Tennessee at Marshall · L 14–42; defense 30.3 percentile2020 Week 12: Middle Tennessee at Troy · W 20–17; defense 39.9 percentile2021 Week 3: Middle Tennessee at UTSA · L 13–27; defense 53.0 percentile2021 Week 4: Middle Tennessee at Charlotte · L 39–42; defense 8.0 percentile2021 Week 5: Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall · W 34–28; defense 46.0 percentile2021 Week 6: Middle Tennessee at Liberty · L 13–41; defense 33.7 percentile2021 Week 8: Middle Tennessee at UConn · W 44–13; defense 67.0 percentile2021 Week 9: Middle Tennessee vs. Southern Miss · W 35–10; defense 58.2 percentile2021 Week 10: Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · L 21–48; defense 74.8 percentile2021 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo · W 31–24; defense 68.8 percentile2022 Week 1: Middle Tennessee at James Madison · L 7–44; defense 39.4 percentile2022 Week 2: Middle Tennessee at Colorado State · W 34–19; defense 68.7 percentile2022 Week 3: Middle Tennessee vs. Tennessee State · W 49–6; defense 78.3 percentile2022 Week 4: Middle Tennessee at Miami · W 45–31; defense 77.3 percentile2022 Week 5: Middle Tennessee vs. UTSA · L 30–45; defense 27.7 percentile2022 Week 6: Middle Tennessee at UAB · L 14–41; defense 1.9 percentile2022 Week 9: Middle Tennessee at UTEP · W 24–13; defense 70.1 percentile2022 Week 10: Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech · L 24–40; defense 43.0 percentile2022 Week 11: Middle Tennessee vs. Charlotte · W 24–14; defense 90.5 percentile2022 Week 12: Middle Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic · W 49–21; defense 85.2 percentile2022 Week 13: Middle Tennessee at Florida International · W 33–28; defense 14.9 percentile2022 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. San Diego State · W 25–23; defense 86.1 percentile2023 Week 1: Middle Tennessee at Alabama · L 7–56; defense 5.0 percentile2023 Week 2: Middle Tennessee at Missouri · L 19–23; defense 48.0 percentile2023 Week 3: Middle Tennessee vs. Murray State · W 35–14; defense 20.9 percentile2023 Week 4: Middle Tennessee vs. Colorado State · L 23–31; defense 45.9 percentile2023 Week 5: Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · L 10–31; defense 46.6 percentile2023 Week 6: Middle Tennessee vs. Jacksonville State · L 30–45; defense 70.4 percentile2023 Week 7: Middle Tennessee vs. Louisiana Tech · W 31–23; defense 41.7 percentile2023 Week 8: Middle Tennessee at Liberty · L 35–42; defense 36.6 percentile2023 Week 10: Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · L 7–13; defense 92.1 percentile2023 Week 11: Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International · W 40–6; defense 88.6 percentile2023 Week 12: Middle Tennessee vs. UTEP · W 34–30; defense 31.0 percentile2023 Week 13: Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston · L 20–23; defense 71.1 percentile2024 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Tennessee Tech · W 32–25; defense 7.2 percentile2024 Week 2: Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss · L 3–52; defense 2.0 percentile2024 Week 3: Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky · L 21–49; defense 1.8 percentile2024 Week 4: Middle Tennessee vs. Duke · L 17–45; defense 25.5 percentile2024 Week 5: Middle Tennessee at Memphis · L 7–24; defense 63.6 percentile2024 Week 7: Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech · L 21–48; defense 3.8 percentile2024 Week 8: Middle Tennessee vs. Kennesaw State · W 14–5; defense 86.3 percentile2024 Week 9: Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State · L 20–42; defense 2.5 percentile2024 Week 10: Middle Tennessee at UTEP · W 20–13; defense 73.2 percentile2024 Week 11: Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty · L 17–37; defense 1.5 percentile2024 Week 13: Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State · L 21–36; defense 15.3 percentile2024 Week 14: Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International · L 24–35; defense 16.4 percentile2025 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Austin Peay · L 14–34; defense 6.7 percentile2025 Week 2: Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin · L 10–42; defense 12.2 percentile2025 Week 3: Middle Tennessee at Nevada · W 14–13; defense 64.9 percentile2025 Week 4: Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall · L 28–42; defense 21.1 percentile2025 Week 5: Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · L 16–24; defense 32.8 percentile2025 Week 9: Middle Tennessee at Delaware · L 28–31; defense 54.5 percentile2025 Week 10: Middle Tennessee vs. Jacksonville State · L 21–24; defense 49.2 percentile2025 Week 11: Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International · L 30–56; defense 15.4 percentile2025 Week 13: Middle Tennessee vs. Sam Houston · W 31–17; defense 46.7 percentile2025 Week 14: Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · W 31–24; defense 41.9 percentile2026 Week 1: Middle Tennessee vs. Murray State · W 38–14; defense 5.5 percentile2014 defense season mean: 38.9 percentile2015 defense season mean: 43.3 percentile2016 defense season mean: 33.9 percentile2017 defense season mean: 63.1 percentile2018 defense season mean: 46.1 percentile2019 defense season mean: 26.4 percentile2020 defense season mean: 22.4 percentile2021 defense season mean: 49.8 percentile2022 defense season mean: 56.1 percentile2023 defense season mean: 49.9 percentile2024 defense season mean: 15.6 percentile2025 defense season mean: 31.8 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 27.4 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 5.5 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2024Derek Mason

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateDerek Mason1
30.4 estimate71.8 games-only average
27.4 estimate5.5 games-only average
2025Derek Mason1025.831.8
2024Derek MasonCoaching change1229.015.6
2023Rick Stockstill1240.549.9
2022Rick Stockstill1229.056.1
2021Rick Stockstill829.349.8
2020Rick Stockstill828.522.4
2019Rick Stockstill1252.926.4
2018Rick Stockstill1347.346.1
2017Rick Stockstill1241.063.1
2016Rick Stockstill1261.833.9
2015Rick Stockstill1259.743.3
2014Rick Stockstill1158.038.9