2014–2026 performance history

Navy over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

American AthleticHead coach: Brian NewberryView Navy games →
Offense · 2026 estimate77.9/100

77.3 average through 1 game

77.9 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate43.5/100

7.7 average through 1 game

49.8 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Navy individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Niumatalolo · ’14–’22Ken Niumatalolo, 2014–2022Newberry · ’23–’26Brian Newberry, 2023–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Navy vs. Ohio State · L 17–34; offense 75.2 percentile2014 Week 2: Navy at Temple · W 31–24; offense 99.0 percentile2014 Week 3: Navy at Texas State · W 35–21; offense 91.8 percentile2014 Week 4: Navy vs. Rutgers · L 24–31; offense 57.2 percentile2014 Week 5: Navy vs. Western Kentucky · L 27–36; offense 55.9 percentile2014 Week 6: Navy at Air Force · L 21–30; offense 57.0 percentile2014 Week 7: Navy vs. VMI · W 51–14; offense 76.9 percentile2014 Week 9: Navy vs. San José State · W 41–31; offense 95.3 percentile2014 Week 10: Navy vs. Notre Dame · L 39–49; offense 80.0 percentile2014 Week 12: Navy vs. Georgia Southern · W 52–19; offense 97.9 percentile2014 Week 14: Navy at South Alabama · W 42–40; offense 93.2 percentile2014 Week 16: Navy vs. Army · W 17–10; offense 32.6 percentile2014 Week 1: Navy vs. San Diego State · W 17–16; offense 42.3 percentile2015 Week 1: Navy vs. Colgate · W 48–10; offense 76.4 percentile2015 Week 3: Navy vs. East Carolina · W 45–21; offense 92.6 percentile2015 Week 4: Navy at UConn · W 28–18; offense 94.2 percentile2015 Week 5: Navy vs. Air Force · W 33–11; offense 64.0 percentile2015 Week 6: Navy at Notre Dame · L 24–41; offense 85.2 percentile2015 Week 8: Navy vs. Tulane · W 31–14; offense 50.8 percentile2015 Week 9: Navy vs. South Florida · W 29–17; offense 88.4 percentile2015 Week 10: Navy at Memphis · W 45–20; offense 97.8 percentile2015 Week 11: Navy vs. SMU · W 55–14; offense 94.0 percentile2015 Week 12: Navy at Tulsa · W 44–21; offense 96.1 percentile2015 Week 13: Navy at Houston · L 31–52; offense 88.9 percentile2015 Week 15: Navy vs. Army · W 21–17; offense 13.1 percentile2015 Week 1: Navy vs. Pittsburgh · W 44–28; offense 97.9 percentile2016 Week 1: Navy vs. Fordham · W 52–16; offense 86.6 percentile2016 Week 2: Navy vs. UConn · W 28–24; offense 76.7 percentile2016 Week 3: Navy at Tulane · W 21–14; offense 72.0 percentile2016 Week 5: Navy at Air Force · L 14–28; offense 28.7 percentile2016 Week 6: Navy vs. Houston · W 46–40; offense 83.8 percentile2016 Week 8: Navy vs. Memphis · W 42–28; offense 93.6 percentile2016 Week 9: Navy at South Florida · L 45–52; offense 96.9 percentile2016 Week 10: Navy vs. Notre Dame · W 28–27; offense 92.9 percentile2016 Week 11: Navy vs. Tulsa · W 42–40; offense 95.4 percentile2016 Week 12: Navy at East Carolina · W 66–31; offense 99.8 percentile2016 Week 13: Navy at SMU · W 75–31; offense 99.9 percentile2016 Week 14: Navy vs. Temple · L 10–34; offense 49.8 percentile2016 Week 15: Navy vs. Army · L 17–21; offense 32.1 percentile2016 Week 1: Navy vs. Louisiana Tech · L 45–48; offense 94.5 percentile2017 Week 1: Navy at Florida Atlantic · W 42–19; offense 97.0 percentile2017 Week 4: Navy vs. Cincinnati · W 42–32; offense 98.5 percentile2017 Week 5: Navy at Tulsa · W 31–21; offense 64.2 percentile2017 Week 6: Navy vs. Air Force · W 48–45; offense 90.0 percentile2017 Week 7: Navy at Memphis · L 27–30; offense 48.4 percentile2017 Week 8: Navy vs. UCF · L 21–31; offense 69.4 percentile2017 Week 10: Navy at Temple · L 26–34; offense 34.4 percentile2017 Week 11: Navy vs. SMU · W 43–40; offense 80.5 percentile2017 Week 12: Navy at Notre Dame · L 17–24; offense 63.2 percentile2017 Week 13: Navy at Houston · L 14–24; offense 41.6 percentile2017 Week 15: Navy vs. Army · L 13–14; offense 30.9 percentile2017 Week 1: Navy vs. Virginia · W 49–7; offense 71.6 percentile2018 Week 1: Navy at Hawai'i · L 41–59; offense 77.0 percentile2018 Week 2: Navy vs. Memphis · W 22–21; offense 18.9 percentile2018 Week 3: Navy vs. Lehigh · W 51–21; offense 69.8 percentile2018 Week 4: Navy at SMU · L 30–31; offense 37.8 percentile2018 Week 6: Navy at Air Force · L 7–35; offense 2.8 percentile2018 Week 7: Navy vs. Temple · L 17–24; offense 40.8 percentile2018 Week 8: Navy vs. Houston · L 36–49; offense 62.3 percentile2018 Week 9: Navy vs. Notre Dame · L 22–44; offense 68.5 percentile2018 Week 10: Navy at Cincinnati · L 0–42; offense 9.4 percentile2018 Week 11: Navy at UCF · L 24–35; offense 83.3 percentile2018 Week 12: Navy vs. Tulsa · W 37–29; offense 89.3 percentile2018 Week 13: Navy at Tulane · L 28–29; offense 41.5 percentile2018 Week 15: Navy vs. Army · L 10–17; offense 8.8 percentile2019 Week 1: Navy vs. Holy Cross · W 45–7; offense 82.0 percentile2019 Week 3: Navy vs. East Carolina · W 42–10; offense 73.1 percentile2019 Week 5: Navy at Memphis · L 23–35; offense 47.4 percentile2019 Week 6: Navy vs. Air Force · W 34–25; offense 46.1 percentile2019 Week 7: Navy at Tulsa · W 45–17; offense 86.6 percentile2019 Week 8: Navy vs. South Florida · W 35–3; offense 95.3 percentile2019 Week 9: Navy vs. Tulane · W 41–38; offense 85.1 percentile2019 Week 10: Navy at UConn · W 56–10; offense 95.9 percentile2019 Week 12: Navy at Notre Dame · L 20–52; offense 48.3 percentile2019 Week 13: Navy vs. SMU · W 35–28; offense 68.4 percentile2019 Week 14: Navy at Houston · W 56–41; offense 97.7 percentile2019 Week 15: Navy vs. Army · W 31–7; offense 87.9 percentile2019 Week 1: Navy vs. Kansas State · W 20–17; offense 75.0 percentile2020 Week 1: Navy vs. BYU · L 3–55; offense 6.0 percentile2020 Week 3: Navy at Tulane · W 27–24; offense 26.3 percentile2020 Week 5: Navy at Air Force · L 7–40; offense 34.5 percentile2020 Week 6: Navy vs. Temple · W 31–29; offense 67.6 percentile2020 Week 7: Navy at East Carolina · W 27–23; offense 44.4 percentile2020 Week 8: Navy vs. Houston · L 21–37; offense 30.8 percentile2020 Week 9: Navy at SMU · L 37–51; offense 43.1 percentile2020 Week 13: Navy vs. Memphis · L 7–10; offense 13.2 percentile2020 Week 14: Navy vs. Tulsa · L 6–19; offense 8.9 percentile2020 Week 15: Navy vs. Army · L 0–15; offense 1.3 percentile2021 Week 1: Navy vs. Marshall · L 7–49; offense 29.4 percentile2021 Week 2: Navy vs. Air Force · L 3–23; offense 0.2 percentile2021 Week 4: Navy at Houston · L 20–28; offense 48.9 percentile2021 Week 5: Navy vs. UCF · W 34–30; offense 80.1 percentile2021 Week 6: Navy vs. SMU · L 24–31; offense 11.6 percentile2021 Week 7: Navy at Memphis · L 17–35; offense 33.6 percentile2021 Week 8: Navy vs. Cincinnati · L 20–27; offense 29.6 percentile2021 Week 9: Navy at Tulsa · W 20–17; offense 40.4 percentile2021 Week 10: Navy at Notre Dame · L 6–34; offense 15.4 percentile2021 Week 12: Navy vs. East Carolina · L 35–38; offense 98.9 percentile2021 Week 13: Navy at Temple · W 38–14; offense 33.5 percentile2022 Week 1: Navy vs. Delaware · L 7–14; offense 3.5 percentile2022 Week 2: Navy vs. Memphis · L 13–37; offense 34.0 percentile2022 Week 5: Navy at Air Force · L 10–13; offense 34.7 percentile2022 Week 6: Navy vs. Tulsa · W 53–21; offense 89.6 percentile2022 Week 7: Navy at SMU · L 34–40; offense 35.0 percentile2022 Week 8: Navy vs. Houston · L 20–38; offense 36.2 percentile2022 Week 10: Navy at Cincinnati · L 10–20; offense 27.9 percentile2022 Week 11: Navy vs. Notre Dame · L 32–35; offense 62.0 percentile2022 Week 12: Navy at UCF · W 17–14; offense 33.5 percentile2022 Week 15: Navy vs. Army · L 17–20; offense 2.3 percentile2023 Week 1: Navy vs. Notre Dame · L 3–42; offense 11.7 percentile2023 Week 2: Navy vs. Wagner · W 24–0; offense 8.9 percentile2023 Week 3: Navy at Memphis · L 24–28; offense 34.4 percentile2023 Week 5: Navy vs. South Florida · L 30–44; offense 41.4 percentile2023 Week 6: Navy vs. North Texas · W 27–24; offense 51.2 percentile2023 Week 7: Navy at Charlotte · W 14–0; offense 3.6 percentile2023 Week 8: Navy vs. Air Force · L 6–17; offense 0.1 percentile2023 Week 10: Navy at Temple · L 18–32; offense 3.0 percentile2023 Week 11: Navy vs. UAB · W 31–6; offense 37.0 percentile2023 Week 12: Navy vs. East Carolina · W 10–0; offense 6.9 percentile2023 Week 13: Navy at SMU · L 14–59; offense 15.6 percentile2024 Week 1: Navy vs. Bucknell · W 49–21; offense 40.1 percentile2024 Week 2: Navy vs. Temple · W 38–11; offense 65.6 percentile2024 Week 4: Navy vs. Memphis · W 56–44; offense 99.0 percentile2024 Week 5: Navy at UAB · W 41–18; offense 98.2 percentile2024 Week 6: Navy at Air Force · W 34–7; offense 89.9 percentile2024 Week 8: Navy vs. Charlotte · W 51–17; offense 33.8 percentile2024 Week 9: Navy vs. Notre Dame · L 14–51; offense 69.8 percentile2024 Week 10: Navy at Rice · L 10–24; offense 13.0 percentile2024 Week 11: Navy at South Florida · W 28–7; offense 52.5 percentile2024 Week 12: Navy vs. Tulane · L 0–35; offense 2.4 percentile2024 Week 16: Navy vs. Army · W 31–13; offense 89.1 percentile2024 Week 1: Navy vs. Oklahoma · W 21–20; offense 52.7 percentile2025 Week 1: Navy vs. VMI · W 52–7; offense 91.4 percentile2025 Week 2: Navy vs. UAB · W 38–24; offense 91.3 percentile2025 Week 3: Navy at Tulsa · W 42–23; offense 87.8 percentile2025 Week 5: Navy vs. Rice · W 21–13; offense 63.9 percentile2025 Week 6: Navy vs. Air Force · W 34–31; offense 67.6 percentile2025 Week 7: Navy at Temple · W 32–31; offense 86.1 percentile2025 Week 9: Navy vs. Florida Atlantic · W 42–32; offense 92.0 percentile2025 Week 10: Navy at North Texas · L 17–31; offense 84.1 percentile2025 Week 11: Navy at Notre Dame · L 10–49; offense 41.8 percentile2025 Week 12: Navy vs. South Florida · W 41–38; offense 78.6 percentile2025 Week 14: Navy at Memphis · W 28–17; offense 76.4 percentile2025 Week 16: Navy vs. Army · W 17–16; offense 60.0 percentile2025 Week 1: Navy vs. Cincinnati · W 35–13; offense 60.3 percentile2026 Week 1: Navy vs. Towson · W 42–15; offense 77.3 percentile2014 offense season mean: 80.2 percentile2015 offense season mean: 85.6 percentile2016 offense season mean: 88.3 percentile2017 offense season mean: 71.5 percentile2018 offense season mean: 44.0 percentile2019 offense season mean: 80.6 percentile2020 offense season mean: 22.3 percentile2021 offense season mean: 35.3 percentile2022 offense season mean: 31.6 percentile2023 offense season mean: 12.5 percentile2024 offense season mean: 63.6 percentile2025 offense season mean: 77.9 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 77.9 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 77.3 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Navy vs. Ohio State · L 17–34; defense 67.4 percentile2014 Week 2: Navy at Temple · W 31–24; defense 26.8 percentile2014 Week 3: Navy at Texas State · W 35–21; defense 59.2 percentile2014 Week 4: Navy vs. Rutgers · L 24–31; defense 12.1 percentile2014 Week 5: Navy vs. Western Kentucky · L 27–36; defense 52.0 percentile2014 Week 6: Navy at Air Force · L 21–30; defense 38.7 percentile2014 Week 7: Navy vs. VMI · W 51–14; defense 71.6 percentile2014 Week 9: Navy vs. San José State · W 41–31; defense 20.7 percentile2014 Week 10: Navy vs. Notre Dame · L 39–49; defense 0.3 percentile2014 Week 12: Navy vs. Georgia Southern · W 52–19; defense 59.4 percentile2014 Week 14: Navy at South Alabama · W 42–40; defense 12.7 percentile2014 Week 16: Navy vs. Army · W 17–10; defense 65.8 percentile2014 Week 1: Navy vs. San Diego State · W 17–16; defense 65.5 percentile2015 Week 1: Navy vs. Colgate · W 48–10; defense 29.0 percentile2015 Week 3: Navy vs. East Carolina · W 45–21; defense 18.3 percentile2015 Week 4: Navy at UConn · W 28–18; defense 27.8 percentile2015 Week 5: Navy vs. Air Force · W 33–11; defense 90.3 percentile2015 Week 6: Navy at Notre Dame · L 24–41; defense 23.6 percentile2015 Week 8: Navy vs. Tulane · W 31–14; defense 24.5 percentile2015 Week 9: Navy vs. South Florida · W 29–17; defense 88.9 percentile2015 Week 10: Navy at Memphis · W 45–20; defense 47.4 percentile2015 Week 11: Navy vs. SMU · W 55–14; defense 42.4 percentile2015 Week 12: Navy at Tulsa · W 44–21; defense 85.8 percentile2015 Week 13: Navy at Houston · L 31–52; defense 6.4 percentile2015 Week 15: Navy vs. Army · W 21–17; defense 71.2 percentile2015 Week 1: Navy vs. Pittsburgh · W 44–28; defense 16.7 percentile2016 Week 1: Navy vs. Fordham · W 52–16; defense 11.9 percentile2016 Week 2: Navy vs. UConn · W 28–24; defense 30.7 percentile2016 Week 3: Navy at Tulane · W 21–14; defense 55.8 percentile2016 Week 5: Navy at Air Force · L 14–28; defense 51.4 percentile2016 Week 6: Navy vs. Houston · W 46–40; defense 10.3 percentile2016 Week 8: Navy vs. Memphis · W 42–28; defense 33.9 percentile2016 Week 9: Navy at South Florida · L 45–52; defense 3.7 percentile2016 Week 10: Navy vs. Notre Dame · W 28–27; defense 4.7 percentile2016 Week 11: Navy vs. Tulsa · W 42–40; defense 6.8 percentile2016 Week 12: Navy at East Carolina · W 66–31; defense 8.8 percentile2016 Week 13: Navy at SMU · W 75–31; defense 42.3 percentile2016 Week 14: Navy vs. Temple · L 10–34; defense 40.0 percentile2016 Week 15: Navy vs. Army · L 17–21; defense 45.5 percentile2016 Week 1: Navy vs. Louisiana Tech · L 45–48; defense 26.8 percentile2017 Week 1: Navy at Florida Atlantic · W 42–19; defense 95.3 percentile2017 Week 4: Navy vs. Cincinnati · W 42–32; defense 23.2 percentile2017 Week 5: Navy at Tulsa · W 31–21; defense 51.1 percentile2017 Week 6: Navy vs. Air Force · W 48–45; defense 3.4 percentile2017 Week 7: Navy at Memphis · L 27–30; defense 85.1 percentile2017 Week 8: Navy vs. UCF · L 21–31; defense 48.3 percentile2017 Week 10: Navy at Temple · L 26–34; defense 12.8 percentile2017 Week 11: Navy vs. SMU · W 43–40; defense 34.8 percentile2017 Week 12: Navy at Notre Dame · L 17–24; defense 20.1 percentile2017 Week 13: Navy at Houston · L 14–24; defense 49.3 percentile2017 Week 15: Navy vs. Army · L 13–14; defense 75.8 percentile2017 Week 1: Navy vs. Virginia · W 49–7; defense 98.3 percentile2018 Week 1: Navy at Hawai'i · L 41–59; defense 9.2 percentile2018 Week 2: Navy vs. Memphis · W 22–21; defense 64.2 percentile2018 Week 3: Navy vs. Lehigh · W 51–21; defense 30.0 percentile2018 Week 4: Navy at SMU · L 30–31; defense 59.8 percentile2018 Week 6: Navy at Air Force · L 7–35; defense 46.7 percentile2018 Week 7: Navy vs. Temple · L 17–24; defense 47.3 percentile2018 Week 8: Navy vs. Houston · L 36–49; defense 2.5 percentile2018 Week 9: Navy vs. Notre Dame · L 22–44; defense 5.8 percentile2018 Week 10: Navy at Cincinnati · L 0–42; defense 3.4 percentile2018 Week 11: Navy at UCF · L 24–35; defense 16.5 percentile2018 Week 12: Navy vs. Tulsa · W 37–29; defense 29.1 percentile2018 Week 13: Navy at Tulane · L 28–29; defense 19.3 percentile2018 Week 15: Navy vs. Army · L 10–17; defense 95.2 percentile2019 Week 1: Navy vs. Holy Cross · W 45–7; defense 34.5 percentile2019 Week 3: Navy vs. East Carolina · W 42–10; defense 95.7 percentile2019 Week 5: Navy at Memphis · L 23–35; defense 61.4 percentile2019 Week 6: Navy vs. Air Force · W 34–25; defense 94.1 percentile2019 Week 7: Navy at Tulsa · W 45–17; defense 77.7 percentile2019 Week 8: Navy vs. South Florida · W 35–3; defense 75.5 percentile2019 Week 9: Navy vs. Tulane · W 41–38; defense 27.1 percentile2019 Week 10: Navy at UConn · W 56–10; defense 71.9 percentile2019 Week 12: Navy at Notre Dame · L 20–52; defense 19.0 percentile2019 Week 13: Navy vs. SMU · W 35–28; defense 66.4 percentile2019 Week 14: Navy at Houston · W 56–41; defense 9.0 percentile2019 Week 15: Navy vs. Army · W 31–7; defense 97.0 percentile2019 Week 1: Navy vs. Kansas State · W 20–17; defense 93.3 percentile2020 Week 1: Navy vs. BYU · L 3–55; defense 11.3 percentile2020 Week 3: Navy at Tulane · W 27–24; defense 59.6 percentile2020 Week 5: Navy at Air Force · L 7–40; defense 33.3 percentile2020 Week 6: Navy vs. Temple · W 31–29; defense 0.7 percentile2020 Week 7: Navy at East Carolina · W 27–23; defense 55.3 percentile2020 Week 8: Navy vs. Houston · L 21–37; defense 35.8 percentile2020 Week 9: Navy at SMU · L 37–51; defense 3.3 percentile2020 Week 13: Navy vs. Memphis · L 7–10; defense 90.6 percentile2020 Week 14: Navy vs. Tulsa · L 6–19; defense 79.6 percentile2020 Week 15: Navy vs. Army · L 0–15; defense 99.3 percentile2021 Week 1: Navy vs. Marshall · L 7–49; defense 22.1 percentile2021 Week 2: Navy vs. Air Force · L 3–23; defense 98.3 percentile2021 Week 4: Navy at Houston · L 20–28; defense 35.6 percentile2021 Week 5: Navy vs. UCF · W 34–30; defense 42.8 percentile2021 Week 6: Navy vs. SMU · L 24–31; defense 78.7 percentile2021 Week 7: Navy at Memphis · L 17–35; defense 4.4 percentile2021 Week 8: Navy vs. Cincinnati · L 20–27; defense 74.2 percentile2021 Week 9: Navy at Tulsa · W 20–17; defense 93.7 percentile2021 Week 10: Navy at Notre Dame · L 6–34; defense 23.4 percentile2021 Week 12: Navy vs. East Carolina · L 35–38; defense 12.1 percentile2021 Week 13: Navy at Temple · W 38–14; defense 53.2 percentile2022 Week 1: Navy vs. Delaware · L 7–14; defense 51.2 percentile2022 Week 2: Navy vs. Memphis · L 13–37; defense 16.5 percentile2022 Week 5: Navy at Air Force · L 10–13; defense 76.6 percentile2022 Week 6: Navy vs. Tulsa · W 53–21; defense 50.8 percentile2022 Week 7: Navy at SMU · L 34–40; defense 24.4 percentile2022 Week 8: Navy vs. Houston · L 20–38; defense 12.7 percentile2022 Week 10: Navy at Cincinnati · L 10–20; defense 47.3 percentile2022 Week 11: Navy vs. Notre Dame · L 32–35; defense 46.9 percentile2022 Week 12: Navy at UCF · W 17–14; defense 82.1 percentile2022 Week 15: Navy vs. Army · L 17–20; defense 99.9 percentile2023 Week 1: Navy vs. Notre Dame · L 3–42; defense 3.5 percentile2023 Week 2: Navy vs. Wagner · W 24–0; defense 73.8 percentile2023 Week 3: Navy at Memphis · L 24–28; defense 91.6 percentile2023 Week 5: Navy vs. South Florida · L 30–44; defense 42.6 percentile2023 Week 6: Navy vs. North Texas · W 27–24; defense 56.9 percentile2023 Week 7: Navy at Charlotte · W 14–0; defense 82.3 percentile2023 Week 8: Navy vs. Air Force · L 6–17; defense 93.0 percentile2023 Week 10: Navy at Temple · L 18–32; defense 18.4 percentile2023 Week 11: Navy vs. UAB · W 31–6; defense 74.9 percentile2023 Week 12: Navy vs. East Carolina · W 10–0; defense 97.4 percentile2023 Week 13: Navy at SMU · L 14–59; defense 26.5 percentile2024 Week 1: Navy vs. Bucknell · W 49–21; defense 22.0 percentile2024 Week 2: Navy vs. Temple · W 38–11; defense 81.7 percentile2024 Week 4: Navy vs. Memphis · W 56–44; defense 2.1 percentile2024 Week 5: Navy at UAB · W 41–18; defense 36.7 percentile2024 Week 6: Navy at Air Force · W 34–7; defense 87.5 percentile2024 Week 8: Navy vs. Charlotte · W 51–17; defense 45.0 percentile2024 Week 9: Navy vs. Notre Dame · L 14–51; defense 4.7 percentile2024 Week 10: Navy at Rice · L 10–24; defense 19.9 percentile2024 Week 11: Navy at South Florida · W 28–7; defense 84.3 percentile2024 Week 12: Navy vs. Tulane · L 0–35; defense 35.5 percentile2024 Week 16: Navy vs. Army · W 31–13; defense 97.6 percentile2024 Week 1: Navy vs. Oklahoma · W 21–20; defense 27.3 percentile2025 Week 1: Navy vs. VMI · W 52–7; defense 27.9 percentile2025 Week 2: Navy vs. UAB · W 38–24; defense 21.2 percentile2025 Week 3: Navy at Tulsa · W 42–23; defense 62.3 percentile2025 Week 5: Navy vs. Rice · W 21–13; defense 87.8 percentile2025 Week 6: Navy vs. Air Force · W 34–31; defense 37.7 percentile2025 Week 7: Navy at Temple · W 32–31; defense 12.1 percentile2025 Week 9: Navy vs. Florida Atlantic · W 42–32; defense 44.8 percentile2025 Week 10: Navy at North Texas · L 17–31; defense 46.4 percentile2025 Week 11: Navy at Notre Dame · L 10–49; defense 7.2 percentile2025 Week 12: Navy vs. South Florida · W 41–38; defense 45.3 percentile2025 Week 14: Navy at Memphis · W 28–17; defense 83.4 percentile2025 Week 16: Navy vs. Army · W 17–16; defense 74.5 percentile2025 Week 1: Navy vs. Cincinnati · W 35–13; defense 93.2 percentile2026 Week 1: Navy vs. Towson · W 42–15; defense 7.7 percentile2014 defense season mean: 36.7 percentile2015 defense season mean: 43.7 percentile2016 defense season mean: 22.3 percentile2017 defense season mean: 52.0 percentile2018 defense season mean: 28.3 percentile2019 defense season mean: 68.3 percentile2020 defense season mean: 44.6 percentile2021 defense season mean: 50.9 percentile2022 defense season mean: 57.0 percentile2023 defense season mean: 63.1 percentile2024 defense season mean: 44.3 percentile2025 defense season mean: 49.8 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 43.5 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 7.7 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2023Brian Newberry

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateBrian Newberry1
77.9 estimate77.3 games-only average
43.5 estimate7.7 games-only average
2025Brian Newberry1377.949.8
2024Brian Newberry1263.644.3
2023Brian NewberryCoaching change1112.563.1
2022Ken Niumatalolo1031.657.0
2021Ken Niumatalolo1135.350.9
2020Ken Niumatalolo1022.344.6
2019Ken Niumatalolo1380.668.3
2018Ken Niumatalolo1344.028.3
2017Ken Niumatalolo1271.552.0
2016Ken Niumatalolo1488.322.3
2015Ken Niumatalolo1385.643.7
2014Ken Niumatalolo1380.236.7