2014–2026 performance history

North Texas over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

American AthleticHead coach: Neal BrownView North Texas games →
Offense · 2026 estimate87.2/100

73.2 average through 2 games

89.7 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate49.1/100

69.1 average through 2 games

44.0 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

North Texas individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.McCarney · ’14–’15Dan McCarney, 2014–2015Littrell · ’16–’22Seth Littrell, 2016–2022Morris · ’23–’25Eric Morris, 2023–2025BrownNeal Brown, 2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: North Texas at Texas · L 7–38; offense 4.5 percentile2014 Week 2: North Texas vs. SMU · W 43–6; offense 9.4 percentile2014 Week 3: North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech · L 21–42; offense 26.8 percentile2014 Week 4: North Texas vs. Nicholls · W 77–3; offense 88.6 percentile2014 Week 6: North Texas at Indiana · L 24–49; offense 46.1 percentile2014 Week 7: North Texas at UAB · L 21–56; offense 42.8 percentile2014 Week 8: North Texas vs. Southern Miss · L 20–30; offense 44.8 percentile2014 Week 9: North Texas at Rice · L 21–41; offense 5.8 percentile2014 Week 12: North Texas at UTEP · L 17–35; offense 6.5 percentile2014 Week 13: North Texas vs. Florida International · W 17–14; offense 14.7 percentile2014 Week 14: North Texas at UTSA · L 27–34; offense 66.0 percentile2015 Week 2: North Texas at SMU · L 13–31; offense 4.4 percentile2015 Week 3: North Texas vs. Rice · L 24–38; offense 49.1 percentile2015 Week 4: North Texas at Iowa · L 16–62; offense 58.2 percentile2015 Week 5: North Texas at Southern Miss · L 14–49; offense 31.1 percentile2015 Week 6: North Texas vs. Portland State · L 7–66; offense 0.1 percentile2015 Week 7: North Texas vs. Western Kentucky · L 28–55; offense 26.2 percentile2015 Week 8: North Texas at Marshall · L 13–30; offense 43.3 percentile2015 Week 9: North Texas vs. UTSA · W 30–23; offense 48.9 percentile2015 Week 10: North Texas at Louisiana Tech · L 13–56; offense 8.1 percentile2015 Week 11: North Texas at Tennessee · L 0–24; offense 6.9 percentile2015 Week 12: North Texas at Middle Tennessee · L 7–41; offense 12.6 percentile2015 Week 13: North Texas vs. UTEP · L 17–20; offense 3.7 percentile2016 Week 1: North Texas vs. SMU · L 21–34; offense 16.0 percentile2016 Week 2: North Texas vs. Bethune-Cookman · W 41–20; offense 19.1 percentile2016 Week 3: North Texas at Florida · L 0–32; offense 2.2 percentile2016 Week 4: North Texas at Rice · W 42–35; offense 23.3 percentile2016 Week 5: North Texas vs. Middle Tennessee · L 13–30; offense 0.9 percentile2016 Week 6: North Texas vs. Marshall · W 38–21; offense 32.6 percentile2016 Week 8: North Texas at Army · W 35–18; offense 63.5 percentile2016 Week 9: North Texas at UTSA · L 17–31; offense 32.8 percentile2016 Week 10: North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech · L 24–45; offense 34.2 percentile2016 Week 11: North Texas at Western Kentucky · L 7–45; offense 22.6 percentile2016 Week 12: North Texas vs. Southern Miss · W 29–23; offense 22.2 percentile2016 Week 1: North Texas vs. Army · L 31–38; offense 52.4 percentile2017 Week 1: North Texas vs. Lamar · W 59–14; offense 81.0 percentile2017 Week 2: North Texas at SMU · L 32–54; offense 42.8 percentile2017 Week 3: North Texas at Iowa · L 14–31; offense 70.2 percentile2017 Week 4: North Texas vs. UAB · W 46–43; offense 81.5 percentile2017 Week 5: North Texas at Southern Miss · W 43–28; offense 72.6 percentile2017 Week 7: North Texas vs. UTSA · W 29–26; offense 65.5 percentile2017 Week 8: North Texas at Florida Atlantic · L 31–69; offense 58.6 percentile2017 Week 9: North Texas vs. Old Dominion · W 45–38; offense 41.2 percentile2017 Week 10: North Texas at Louisiana Tech · W 24–23; offense 61.1 percentile2017 Week 11: North Texas vs. UTEP · W 45–10; offense 90.5 percentile2017 Week 12: North Texas vs. Army · W 52–49; offense 78.5 percentile2017 Week 13: North Texas at Rice · W 30–14; offense 37.3 percentile2017 Week 14: North Texas at Florida Atlantic · L 17–41; offense 49.4 percentile2017 Week 1: North Texas vs. Troy · L 30–50; offense 21.6 percentile2018 Week 1: North Texas vs. SMU · W 46–23; offense 49.6 percentile2018 Week 2: North Texas vs. Incarnate Word · W 58–16; offense 42.7 percentile2018 Week 3: North Texas at Arkansas · W 44–17; offense 18.4 percentile2018 Week 4: North Texas at Liberty · W 47–7; offense 90.3 percentile2018 Week 5: North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech · L 27–29; offense 58.1 percentile2018 Week 6: North Texas at UTEP · W 27–24; offense 47.0 percentile2018 Week 7: North Texas vs. Southern Miss · W 30–7; offense 73.7 percentile2018 Week 8: North Texas at UAB · L 21–29; offense 77.2 percentile2018 Week 9: North Texas vs. Rice · W 41–17; offense 84.1 percentile2018 Week 11: North Texas at Old Dominion · L 31–34; offense 33.7 percentile2018 Week 12: North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic · W 41–38; offense 35.9 percentile2018 Week 13: North Texas at UTSA · W 24–21; offense 85.4 percentile2018 Week 1: North Texas vs. Utah State · L 13–52; offense 9.7 percentile2019 Week 1: North Texas vs. Abilene Christian · W 51–31; offense 42.8 percentile2019 Week 2: North Texas at SMU · L 27–49; offense 48.5 percentile2019 Week 3: North Texas at California · L 17–23; offense 32.8 percentile2019 Week 4: North Texas vs. UTSA · W 45–3; offense 83.5 percentile2019 Week 5: North Texas vs. Houston · L 25–46; offense 4.4 percentile2019 Week 7: North Texas at Southern Miss · L 27–45; offense 44.3 percentile2019 Week 8: North Texas vs. Middle Tennessee · W 33–30; offense 30.2 percentile2019 Week 9: North Texas at Charlotte · L 38–39; offense 69.2 percentile2019 Week 10: North Texas vs. UTEP · W 52–26; offense 57.2 percentile2019 Week 11: North Texas at Louisiana Tech · L 17–52; offense 23.7 percentile2019 Week 13: North Texas at Rice · L 14–20; offense 8.6 percentile2019 Week 14: North Texas vs. UAB · L 21–26; offense 42.0 percentile2020 Week 1: North Texas vs. Houston Christian · W 57–31; offense 78.8 percentile2020 Week 3: North Texas vs. SMU · L 35–65; offense 50.4 percentile2020 Week 5: North Texas vs. Southern Miss · L 31–41; offense 42.8 percentile2020 Week 6: North Texas vs. Charlotte · L 21–49; offense 35.6 percentile2020 Week 7: North Texas at Middle Tennessee · W 52–35; offense 99.4 percentile2020 Week 12: North Texas vs. Rice · W 27–17; offense 84.1 percentile2020 Week 13: North Texas at UTSA · L 17–49; offense 47.6 percentile2020 Week 14: North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech · L 31–42; offense 28.1 percentile2020 Week 15: North Texas at UTEP · W 45–43; offense 62.8 percentile2020 Week 1: North Texas vs. App State · L 28–56; offense 73.4 percentile2021 Week 1: North Texas vs. Northwestern State · W 44–14; offense 47.6 percentile2021 Week 2: North Texas at SMU · L 12–35; offense 28.1 percentile2021 Week 3: North Texas vs. UAB · L 6–40; offense 4.1 percentile2021 Week 4: North Texas at Louisiana Tech · L 17–24; offense 11.1 percentile2021 Week 7: North Texas vs. Marshall · L 21–49; offense 13.3 percentile2021 Week 8: North Texas vs. Liberty · L 26–35; offense 41.3 percentile2021 Week 10: North Texas at Southern Miss · W 38–14; offense 68.9 percentile2021 Week 11: North Texas vs. UTEP · W 20–17; offense 34.7 percentile2021 Week 13: North Texas vs. UTSA · W 45–23; offense 87.0 percentile2021 Week 1: North Texas vs. Miami (OH) · L 14–27; offense 27.1 percentile2022 Week 1: North Texas at UTEP · W 31–13; offense 57.4 percentile2022 Week 1: North Texas vs. SMU · L 10–48; offense 2.7 percentile2022 Week 3: North Texas at UNLV · L 27–58; offense 46.4 percentile2022 Week 4: North Texas at Memphis · L 34–44; offense 42.1 percentile2022 Week 5: North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic · W 45–28; offense 81.5 percentile2022 Week 7: North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech · W 47–27; offense 88.6 percentile2022 Week 8: North Texas at UTSA · L 27–31; offense 67.6 percentile2022 Week 10: North Texas vs. Florida International · W 52–14; offense 88.8 percentile2022 Week 11: North Texas at UAB · L 21–41; offense 51.0 percentile2022 Week 13: North Texas vs. Rice · W 21–17; offense 21.6 percentile2022 Week 14: North Texas at UTSA · L 27–48; offense 73.3 percentile2022 Week 1: North Texas vs. Boise State · L 32–35; offense 86.8 percentile2023 Week 1: North Texas vs. California · L 21–58; offense 2.1 percentile2023 Week 3: North Texas at Louisiana Tech · W 40–37; offense 79.7 percentile2023 Week 5: North Texas vs. Abilene Christian · W 45–31; offense 52.2 percentile2023 Week 6: North Texas at Navy · L 24–27; offense 67.8 percentile2023 Week 7: North Texas vs. Temple · W 45–14; offense 79.9 percentile2023 Week 8: North Texas at Tulane · L 28–35; offense 73.9 percentile2023 Week 9: North Texas vs. Memphis · L 42–45; offense 77.9 percentile2023 Week 10: North Texas vs. UTSA · L 29–37; offense 82.8 percentile2023 Week 11: North Texas at SMU · L 21–45; offense 71.6 percentile2023 Week 12: North Texas at Tulsa · W 35–28; offense 83.1 percentile2023 Week 13: North Texas vs. UAB · W 45–42; offense 50.5 percentile2024 Week 1: North Texas at South Alabama · W 52–38; offense 91.9 percentile2024 Week 2: North Texas vs. Stephen F. Austin · W 35–20; offense 33.3 percentile2024 Week 3: North Texas at Texas Tech · L 21–66; offense 19.9 percentile2024 Week 5: North Texas vs. Tulsa · W 52–20; offense 48.7 percentile2024 Week 7: North Texas at Florida Atlantic · W 41–37; offense 81.0 percentile2024 Week 8: North Texas at Memphis · L 44–52; offense 55.4 percentile2024 Week 9: North Texas vs. Tulane · L 37–45; offense 57.1 percentile2024 Week 11: North Texas vs. Army · L 3–14; offense 14.3 percentile2024 Week 12: North Texas at UTSA · L 27–48; offense 81.2 percentile2024 Week 13: North Texas vs. East Carolina · L 28–40; offense 34.4 percentile2024 Week 14: North Texas at Temple · W 24–17; offense 13.5 percentile2024 Week 1: North Texas vs. Texas State · L 28–30; offense 61.8 percentile2025 Week 1: North Texas vs. Lamar · W 51–0; offense 51.8 percentile2025 Week 2: North Texas at Western Michigan · W 33–30; offense 95.2 percentile2025 Week 3: North Texas vs. Washington State · W 59–10; offense 96.9 percentile2025 Week 4: North Texas at Army · W 45–38; offense 90.9 percentile2025 Week 5: North Texas vs. South Alabama · W 36–22; offense 59.3 percentile2025 Week 7: North Texas vs. South Florida · L 36–63; offense 54.1 percentile2025 Week 8: North Texas vs. UTSA · W 55–17; offense 93.0 percentile2025 Week 9: North Texas at Charlotte · W 54–20; offense 79.7 percentile2025 Week 10: North Texas vs. Navy · W 31–17; offense 88.9 percentile2025 Week 12: North Texas at UAB · W 53–24; offense 92.7 percentile2025 Week 13: North Texas at Rice · W 56–24; offense 97.7 percentile2025 Week 14: North Texas vs. Temple · W 52–25; offense 99.0 percentile2025 Week 15: North Texas at Tulane · L 21–34; offense 86.9 percentile2025 Week 1: North Texas vs. San Diego State · W 49–47; offense 97.8 percentile2026 Week 1: North Texas at Indiana · L 16–52; offense 75.5 percentile2026 Week 2: North Texas vs. UNLV · W 44–6; offense 70.9 percentile2014 offense season mean: 27.5 percentile2015 offense season mean: 16.1 percentile2016 offense season mean: 21.7 percentile2017 offense season mean: 62.3 percentile2018 offense season mean: 55.1 percentile2019 offense season mean: 38.0 percentile2020 offense season mean: 65.9 percentile2021 offense season mean: 33.3 percentile2022 offense season mean: 59.0 percentile2023 offense season mean: 64.4 percentile2024 offense season mean: 49.7 percentile2025 offense season mean: 89.7 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 87.2 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 73.2 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: North Texas at Texas · L 7–38; defense 39.7 percentile2014 Week 2: North Texas vs. SMU · W 43–6; defense 62.5 percentile2014 Week 3: North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech · L 21–42; defense 42.1 percentile2014 Week 4: North Texas vs. Nicholls · W 77–3; defense 43.5 percentile2014 Week 6: North Texas at Indiana · L 24–49; defense 0.5 percentile2014 Week 7: North Texas at UAB · L 21–56; defense 26.9 percentile2014 Week 8: North Texas vs. Southern Miss · L 20–30; defense 2.0 percentile2014 Week 9: North Texas at Rice · L 21–41; defense 37.0 percentile2014 Week 12: North Texas at UTEP · L 17–35; defense 5.0 percentile2014 Week 13: North Texas vs. Florida International · W 17–14; defense 98.1 percentile2014 Week 14: North Texas at UTSA · L 27–34; defense 1.6 percentile2015 Week 2: North Texas at SMU · L 13–31; defense 44.2 percentile2015 Week 3: North Texas vs. Rice · L 24–38; defense 4.4 percentile2015 Week 4: North Texas at Iowa · L 16–62; defense 17.1 percentile2015 Week 5: North Texas at Southern Miss · L 14–49; defense 9.8 percentile2015 Week 6: North Texas vs. Portland State · L 7–66; defense 3.4 percentile2015 Week 7: North Texas vs. Western Kentucky · L 28–55; defense 1.7 percentile2015 Week 8: North Texas at Marshall · L 13–30; defense 44.9 percentile2015 Week 9: North Texas vs. UTSA · W 30–23; defense 20.2 percentile2015 Week 10: North Texas at Louisiana Tech · L 13–56; defense 2.1 percentile2015 Week 11: North Texas at Tennessee · L 0–24; defense 32.9 percentile2015 Week 12: North Texas at Middle Tennessee · L 7–41; defense 7.1 percentile2015 Week 13: North Texas vs. UTEP · L 17–20; defense 74.8 percentile2016 Week 1: North Texas vs. SMU · L 21–34; defense 5.8 percentile2016 Week 2: North Texas vs. Bethune-Cookman · W 41–20; defense 57.2 percentile2016 Week 3: North Texas at Florida · L 0–32; defense 20.8 percentile2016 Week 4: North Texas at Rice · W 42–35; defense 33.1 percentile2016 Week 5: North Texas vs. Middle Tennessee · L 13–30; defense 54.2 percentile2016 Week 6: North Texas vs. Marshall · W 38–21; defense 77.5 percentile2016 Week 8: North Texas at Army · W 35–18; defense 82.2 percentile2016 Week 9: North Texas at UTSA · L 17–31; defense 27.0 percentile2016 Week 10: North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech · L 24–45; defense 15.2 percentile2016 Week 11: North Texas at Western Kentucky · L 7–45; defense 42.8 percentile2016 Week 12: North Texas vs. Southern Miss · W 29–23; defense 74.4 percentile2016 Week 1: North Texas vs. Army · L 31–38; defense 4.2 percentile2017 Week 1: North Texas vs. Lamar · W 59–14; defense 37.9 percentile2017 Week 2: North Texas at SMU · L 32–54; defense 49.6 percentile2017 Week 3: North Texas at Iowa · L 14–31; defense 25.2 percentile2017 Week 4: North Texas vs. UAB · W 46–43; defense 35.0 percentile2017 Week 5: North Texas at Southern Miss · W 43–28; defense 63.1 percentile2017 Week 7: North Texas vs. UTSA · W 29–26; defense 49.5 percentile2017 Week 8: North Texas at Florida Atlantic · L 31–69; defense 0.5 percentile2017 Week 9: North Texas vs. Old Dominion · W 45–38; defense 40.4 percentile2017 Week 10: North Texas at Louisiana Tech · W 24–23; defense 62.8 percentile2017 Week 11: North Texas vs. UTEP · W 45–10; defense 78.5 percentile2017 Week 12: North Texas vs. Army · W 52–49; defense 0.7 percentile2017 Week 13: North Texas at Rice · W 30–14; defense 81.2 percentile2017 Week 14: North Texas at Florida Atlantic · L 17–41; defense 13.8 percentile2017 Week 1: North Texas vs. Troy · L 30–50; defense 21.8 percentile2018 Week 1: North Texas vs. SMU · W 46–23; defense 66.9 percentile2018 Week 2: North Texas vs. Incarnate Word · W 58–16; defense 68.8 percentile2018 Week 3: North Texas at Arkansas · W 44–17; defense 74.3 percentile2018 Week 4: North Texas at Liberty · W 47–7; defense 91.7 percentile2018 Week 5: North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech · L 27–29; defense 41.4 percentile2018 Week 6: North Texas at UTEP · W 27–24; defense 29.4 percentile2018 Week 7: North Texas vs. Southern Miss · W 30–7; defense 73.9 percentile2018 Week 8: North Texas at UAB · L 21–29; defense 46.6 percentile2018 Week 9: North Texas vs. Rice · W 41–17; defense 73.2 percentile2018 Week 11: North Texas at Old Dominion · L 31–34; defense 64.0 percentile2018 Week 12: North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic · W 41–38; defense 67.3 percentile2018 Week 13: North Texas at UTSA · W 24–21; defense 6.6 percentile2018 Week 1: North Texas vs. Utah State · L 13–52; defense 35.3 percentile2019 Week 1: North Texas vs. Abilene Christian · W 51–31; defense 11.0 percentile2019 Week 2: North Texas at SMU · L 27–49; defense 21.8 percentile2019 Week 3: North Texas at California · L 17–23; defense 65.1 percentile2019 Week 4: North Texas vs. UTSA · W 45–3; defense 87.2 percentile2019 Week 5: North Texas vs. Houston · L 25–46; defense 40.3 percentile2019 Week 7: North Texas at Southern Miss · L 27–45; defense 32.0 percentile2019 Week 8: North Texas vs. Middle Tennessee · W 33–30; defense 31.5 percentile2019 Week 9: North Texas at Charlotte · L 38–39; defense 13.2 percentile2019 Week 10: North Texas vs. UTEP · W 52–26; defense 39.2 percentile2019 Week 11: North Texas at Louisiana Tech · L 17–52; defense 16.6 percentile2019 Week 13: North Texas at Rice · L 14–20; defense 57.0 percentile2019 Week 14: North Texas vs. UAB · L 21–26; defense 34.2 percentile2020 Week 1: North Texas vs. Houston Christian · W 57–31; defense 19.3 percentile2020 Week 3: North Texas vs. SMU · L 35–65; defense 8.8 percentile2020 Week 5: North Texas vs. Southern Miss · L 31–41; defense 17.5 percentile2020 Week 6: North Texas vs. Charlotte · L 21–49; defense 7.9 percentile2020 Week 7: North Texas at Middle Tennessee · W 52–35; defense 21.2 percentile2020 Week 12: North Texas vs. Rice · W 27–17; defense 70.2 percentile2020 Week 13: North Texas at UTSA · L 17–49; defense 1.1 percentile2020 Week 14: North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech · L 31–42; defense 15.3 percentile2020 Week 15: North Texas at UTEP · W 45–43; defense 12.0 percentile2020 Week 1: North Texas vs. App State · L 28–56; defense 5.0 percentile2021 Week 1: North Texas vs. Northwestern State · W 44–14; defense 10.9 percentile2021 Week 2: North Texas at SMU · L 12–35; defense 38.9 percentile2021 Week 3: North Texas vs. UAB · L 6–40; defense 34.9 percentile2021 Week 4: North Texas at Louisiana Tech · L 17–24; defense 82.0 percentile2021 Week 7: North Texas vs. Marshall · L 21–49; defense 28.3 percentile2021 Week 8: North Texas vs. Liberty · L 26–35; defense 70.6 percentile2021 Week 10: North Texas at Southern Miss · W 38–14; defense 46.5 percentile2021 Week 11: North Texas vs. UTEP · W 20–17; defense 61.1 percentile2021 Week 13: North Texas vs. UTSA · W 45–23; defense 82.7 percentile2021 Week 1: North Texas vs. Miami (OH) · L 14–27; defense 29.5 percentile2022 Week 1: North Texas at UTEP · W 31–13; defense 73.3 percentile2022 Week 1: North Texas vs. SMU · L 10–48; defense 5.4 percentile2022 Week 3: North Texas at UNLV · L 27–58; defense 0.5 percentile2022 Week 4: North Texas at Memphis · L 34–44; defense 65.9 percentile2022 Week 5: North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic · W 45–28; defense 44.8 percentile2022 Week 7: North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech · W 47–27; defense 8.9 percentile2022 Week 8: North Texas at UTSA · L 27–31; defense 43.9 percentile2022 Week 10: North Texas vs. Florida International · W 52–14; defense 76.4 percentile2022 Week 11: North Texas at UAB · L 21–41; defense 20.7 percentile2022 Week 13: North Texas vs. Rice · W 21–17; defense 62.7 percentile2022 Week 14: North Texas at UTSA · L 27–48; defense 37.7 percentile2022 Week 1: North Texas vs. Boise State · L 32–35; defense 20.1 percentile2023 Week 1: North Texas vs. California · L 21–58; defense 17.9 percentile2023 Week 3: North Texas at Louisiana Tech · W 40–37; defense 8.7 percentile2023 Week 5: North Texas vs. Abilene Christian · W 45–31; defense 3.9 percentile2023 Week 6: North Texas at Navy · L 24–27; defense 5.1 percentile2023 Week 7: North Texas vs. Temple · W 45–14; defense 42.8 percentile2023 Week 8: North Texas at Tulane · L 28–35; defense 10.9 percentile2023 Week 9: North Texas vs. Memphis · L 42–45; defense 27.8 percentile2023 Week 10: North Texas vs. UTSA · L 29–37; defense 27.1 percentile2023 Week 11: North Texas at SMU · L 21–45; defense 9.1 percentile2023 Week 12: North Texas at Tulsa · W 35–28; defense 31.8 percentile2023 Week 13: North Texas vs. UAB · W 45–42; defense 5.6 percentile2024 Week 1: North Texas at South Alabama · W 52–38; defense 13.6 percentile2024 Week 2: North Texas vs. Stephen F. Austin · W 35–20; defense 56.0 percentile2024 Week 3: North Texas at Texas Tech · L 21–66; defense 12.6 percentile2024 Week 5: North Texas vs. Tulsa · W 52–20; defense 60.5 percentile2024 Week 7: North Texas at Florida Atlantic · W 41–37; defense 8.8 percentile2024 Week 8: North Texas at Memphis · L 44–52; defense 38.0 percentile2024 Week 9: North Texas vs. Tulane · L 37–45; defense 15.5 percentile2024 Week 11: North Texas vs. Army · L 3–14; defense 49.8 percentile2024 Week 12: North Texas at UTSA · L 27–48; defense 9.6 percentile2024 Week 13: North Texas vs. East Carolina · L 28–40; defense 18.6 percentile2024 Week 14: North Texas at Temple · W 24–17; defense 82.4 percentile2024 Week 1: North Texas vs. Texas State · L 28–30; defense 69.6 percentile2025 Week 1: North Texas vs. Lamar · W 51–0; defense 83.4 percentile2025 Week 2: North Texas at Western Michigan · W 33–30; defense 67.4 percentile2025 Week 3: North Texas vs. Washington State · W 59–10; defense 68.2 percentile2025 Week 4: North Texas at Army · W 45–38; defense 8.4 percentile2025 Week 5: North Texas vs. South Alabama · W 36–22; defense 63.2 percentile2025 Week 7: North Texas vs. South Florida · L 36–63; defense 17.0 percentile2025 Week 8: North Texas vs. UTSA · W 55–17; defense 87.9 percentile2025 Week 9: North Texas at Charlotte · W 54–20; defense 17.2 percentile2025 Week 10: North Texas vs. Navy · W 31–17; defense 36.3 percentile2025 Week 12: North Texas at UAB · W 53–24; defense 28.3 percentile2025 Week 13: North Texas at Rice · W 56–24; defense 15.4 percentile2025 Week 14: North Texas vs. Temple · W 52–25; defense 51.3 percentile2025 Week 15: North Texas at Tulane · L 21–34; defense 63.5 percentile2025 Week 1: North Texas vs. San Diego State · W 49–47; defense 25.0 percentile2026 Week 1: North Texas at Indiana · L 16–52; defense 28.6 percentile2026 Week 2: North Texas vs. UNLV · W 44–6; defense 94.1 percentile2014 defense season mean: 24.5 percentile2015 defense season mean: 15.3 percentile2016 defense season mean: 37.8 percentile2017 defense season mean: 33.0 percentile2018 defense season mean: 57.0 percentile2019 defense season mean: 36.1 percentile2020 defense season mean: 13.7 percentile2021 defense season mean: 48.3 percentile2022 defense season mean: 31.6 percentile2023 defense season mean: 14.4 percentile2024 defense season mean: 33.0 percentile2025 defense season mean: 44.0 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 49.1 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 69.1 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2016Seth Littrell
2022Seth Littrell / Phil Bennett
2023Eric Morris
2025Eric Morris / Drew Svoboda
2026Neal Brown

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateNeal BrownCoaching change2
87.2 estimate73.2 games-only average
49.1 estimate69.1 games-only average
2025Eric Morris / Drew SvobodaCoaching change1489.744.0
2024Eric Morris1249.733.0
2023Eric MorrisCoaching change1164.414.4
2022Seth Littrell / Phil BennettCoaching change1259.031.6
2021Seth Littrell1033.348.3
2020Seth Littrell1065.913.7
2019Seth Littrell1238.036.1
2018Seth Littrell1355.157.0
2017Seth Littrell1462.333.0
2016Seth LittrellCoaching change1221.737.8
2015Dan McCarney1216.115.3
2014Dan McCarney1127.524.5