2014–2026 performance history

Notre Dame over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

FBS IndependentsHead coach: Marcus FreemanView Notre Dame games →
Offense · 2026 estimate81.4/100

70.9 average through 2 games

83.6 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate80.5/100

74.1 average through 2 games

82.0 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Notre Dame individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Kelly · ’14–’21Brian Kelly, 2014–2021Freeman · ’22–’26Marcus Freeman, 2022–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Rice · W 48–17; offense 94.0 percentile2014 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Michigan · W 31–0; offense 56.5 percentile2014 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. Purdue · W 30–14; offense 47.4 percentile2014 Week 5: Notre Dame vs. Syracuse · W 31–15; offense 87.7 percentile2014 Week 6: Notre Dame vs. Stanford · W 17–14; offense 41.1 percentile2014 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. North Carolina · W 50–43; offense 68.1 percentile2014 Week 8: Notre Dame at Florida State · L 27–31; offense 67.3 percentile2014 Week 10: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 49–39; offense 99.6 percentile2014 Week 11: Notre Dame at Arizona State · L 31–55; offense 64.1 percentile2014 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Northwestern · L 40–43; offense 69.0 percentile2014 Week 13: Notre Dame vs. Louisville · L 28–31; offense 74.3 percentile2014 Week 14: Notre Dame at USC · L 14–49; offense 52.9 percentile2014 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. LSU · W 31–28; offense 86.4 percentile2015 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Texas · W 38–3; offense 77.3 percentile2015 Week 2: Notre Dame at Virginia · W 34–27; offense 73.7 percentile2015 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech · W 30–22; offense 78.2 percentile2015 Week 4: Notre Dame vs. Massachusetts · W 62–27; offense 98.9 percentile2015 Week 5: Notre Dame at Clemson · L 22–24; offense 65.7 percentile2015 Week 6: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 41–24; offense 86.3 percentile2015 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. USC · W 41–31; offense 89.5 percentile2015 Week 9: Notre Dame at Temple · W 24–20; offense 77.4 percentile2015 Week 10: Notre Dame at Pittsburgh · W 42–30; offense 93.7 percentile2015 Week 11: Notre Dame vs. Wake Forest · W 28–7; offense 55.4 percentile2015 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Boston College · W 19–16; offense 63.2 percentile2015 Week 13: Notre Dame at Stanford · L 36–38; offense 97.6 percentile2015 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Ohio State · L 28–44; offense 89.8 percentile2016 Week 1: Notre Dame at Texas · L 47–50; offense 72.8 percentile2016 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Nevada · W 39–10; offense 56.5 percentile2016 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. Michigan State · L 28–36; offense 37.4 percentile2016 Week 4: Notre Dame vs. Duke · L 35–38; offense 65.5 percentile2016 Week 5: Notre Dame vs. Syracuse · W 50–33; offense 65.8 percentile2016 Week 6: Notre Dame at NC State · L 3–10; offense 0.8 percentile2016 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. Stanford · L 10–17; offense 33.3 percentile2016 Week 9: Notre Dame vs. Miami · W 30–27; offense 87.7 percentile2016 Week 10: Notre Dame vs. Navy · L 27–28; offense 89.8 percentile2016 Week 11: Notre Dame vs. Army · W 44–6; offense 98.1 percentile2016 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Virginia Tech · L 31–34; offense 79.3 percentile2016 Week 13: Notre Dame at USC · L 27–45; offense 53.6 percentile2017 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Temple · W 49–16; offense 95.1 percentile2017 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Georgia · L 19–20; offense 16.7 percentile2017 Week 3: Notre Dame at Boston College · W 49–20; offense 94.7 percentile2017 Week 4: Notre Dame at Michigan State · W 38–18; offense 91.6 percentile2017 Week 5: Notre Dame vs. Miami (OH) · W 52–17; offense 97.3 percentile2017 Week 6: Notre Dame at North Carolina · W 33–10; offense 56.7 percentile2017 Week 8: Notre Dame vs. USC · W 49–14; offense 96.7 percentile2017 Week 9: Notre Dame vs. NC State · W 35–14; offense 79.5 percentile2017 Week 10: Notre Dame vs. Wake Forest · W 48–37; offense 95.1 percentile2017 Week 11: Notre Dame at Miami · L 8–41; offense 38.8 percentile2017 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 24–17; offense 86.4 percentile2017 Week 13: Notre Dame at Stanford · L 20–38; offense 49.0 percentile2017 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. LSU · W 21–17; offense 71.2 percentile2018 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Michigan · W 24–17; offense 60.2 percentile2018 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Ball State · W 24–16; offense 8.5 percentile2018 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. Vanderbilt · W 22–17; offense 31.7 percentile2018 Week 4: Notre Dame at Wake Forest · W 56–27; offense 97.6 percentile2018 Week 5: Notre Dame vs. Stanford · W 38–17; offense 84.0 percentile2018 Week 6: Notre Dame at Virginia Tech · W 45–23; offense 59.2 percentile2018 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh · W 19–14; offense 21.8 percentile2018 Week 9: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 44–22; offense 85.4 percentile2018 Week 10: Notre Dame at Northwestern · W 31–21; offense 68.4 percentile2018 Week 11: Notre Dame vs. Florida State · W 42–13; offense 97.2 percentile2018 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Syracuse · W 36–3; offense 73.7 percentile2018 Week 13: Notre Dame at USC · W 24–17; offense 56.9 percentile2018 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Clemson · L 3–30; offense 45.7 percentile2019 Week 1: Notre Dame at Louisville · W 35–17; offense 60.6 percentile2019 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. New Mexico · W 66–14; offense 61.9 percentile2019 Week 4: Notre Dame at Georgia · L 17–23; offense 64.1 percentile2019 Week 5: Notre Dame vs. Virginia · W 35–20; offense 59.4 percentile2019 Week 6: Notre Dame vs. Bowling Green · W 52–0; offense 96.1 percentile2019 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. USC · W 30–27; offense 77.0 percentile2019 Week 9: Notre Dame at Michigan · L 14–45; offense 3.1 percentile2019 Week 10: Notre Dame vs. Virginia Tech · W 21–20; offense 45.5 percentile2019 Week 11: Notre Dame at Duke · W 38–7; offense 73.3 percentile2019 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 52–20; offense 89.9 percentile2019 Week 13: Notre Dame vs. Boston College · W 40–7; offense 52.8 percentile2019 Week 14: Notre Dame at Stanford · W 45–24; offense 51.2 percentile2019 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Iowa State · W 33–9; offense 65.6 percentile2020 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Duke · W 27–13; offense 33.5 percentile2020 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. South Florida · W 52–0; offense 79.9 percentile2020 Week 6: Notre Dame vs. Florida State · W 42–26; offense 85.2 percentile2020 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. Louisville · W 12–7; offense 54.2 percentile2020 Week 8: Notre Dame at Pittsburgh · W 45–3; offense 68.1 percentile2020 Week 9: Notre Dame at Georgia Tech · W 31–13; offense 95.3 percentile2020 Week 10: Notre Dame vs. Clemson · W 47–40; offense 75.7 percentile2020 Week 11: Notre Dame at Boston College · W 45–31; offense 94.5 percentile2020 Week 13: Notre Dame at North Carolina · W 31–17; offense 67.7 percentile2020 Week 14: Notre Dame vs. Syracuse · W 45–21; offense 74.3 percentile2020 Week 16: Notre Dame vs. Clemson · L 10–34; offense 7.2 percentile2020 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Alabama · L 14–31; offense 43.9 percentile2021 Week 1: Notre Dame at Florida State · W 41–38; offense 55.5 percentile2021 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Toledo · W 32–29; offense 63.6 percentile2021 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. Purdue · W 27–13; offense 39.5 percentile2021 Week 4: Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin · W 41–13; offense 24.8 percentile2021 Week 5: Notre Dame vs. Cincinnati · L 13–24; offense 41.2 percentile2021 Week 6: Notre Dame at Virginia Tech · W 32–29; offense 53.8 percentile2021 Week 8: Notre Dame vs. USC · W 31–16; offense 66.5 percentile2021 Week 9: Notre Dame vs. North Carolina · W 44–34; offense 87.9 percentile2021 Week 10: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 34–6; offense 83.6 percentile2021 Week 11: Notre Dame at Virginia · W 28–3; offense 67.1 percentile2021 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech · W 55–0; offense 95.9 percentile2021 Week 13: Notre Dame at Stanford · W 45–14; offense 58.2 percentile2021 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Oklahoma State · L 35–37; offense 78.8 percentile2022 Week 1: Notre Dame at Ohio State · L 10–21; offense 45.5 percentile2022 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Marshall · L 21–26; offense 45.7 percentile2022 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. California · W 24–17; offense 20.3 percentile2022 Week 4: Notre Dame at North Carolina · W 45–32; offense 96.8 percentile2022 Week 6: Notre Dame vs. BYU · W 28–20; offense 77.6 percentile2022 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. Stanford · L 14–16; offense 1.5 percentile2022 Week 8: Notre Dame vs. UNLV · W 44–21; offense 55.6 percentile2022 Week 9: Notre Dame at Syracuse · W 41–24; offense 63.5 percentile2022 Week 10: Notre Dame vs. Clemson · W 35–14; offense 79.7 percentile2022 Week 11: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 35–32; offense 55.5 percentile2022 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Boston College · W 44–0; offense 93.0 percentile2022 Week 13: Notre Dame at USC · L 27–38; offense 72.4 percentile2022 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. South Carolina · W 45–38; offense 87.4 percentile2023 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 42–3; offense 99.8 percentile2023 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Tennessee State · W 56–3; offense 79.6 percentile2023 Week 2: Notre Dame at NC State · W 45–24; offense 85.4 percentile2023 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. Central Michigan · W 41–17; offense 90.6 percentile2023 Week 4: Notre Dame vs. Ohio State · L 14–17; offense 68.4 percentile2023 Week 5: Notre Dame at Duke · W 21–14; offense 67.5 percentile2023 Week 6: Notre Dame at Louisville · L 20–33; offense 29.4 percentile2023 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. USC · W 48–20; offense 45.8 percentile2023 Week 9: Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh · W 58–7; offense 74.4 percentile2023 Week 10: Notre Dame at Clemson · L 23–31; offense 60.6 percentile2023 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Wake Forest · W 45–7; offense 85.0 percentile2023 Week 13: Notre Dame at Stanford · W 56–23; offense 99.9 percentile2023 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Oregon State · W 40–8; offense 90.1 percentile2024 Week 1: Notre Dame at Texas A&M · W 23–13; offense 42.7 percentile2024 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Northern Illinois · L 14–16; offense 55.8 percentile2024 Week 3: Notre Dame at Purdue · W 66–7; offense 97.9 percentile2024 Week 4: Notre Dame vs. Miami (OH) · W 28–3; offense 87.1 percentile2024 Week 5: Notre Dame vs. Louisville · W 31–24; offense 55.5 percentile2024 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. Stanford · W 49–7; offense 92.0 percentile2024 Week 8: Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech · W 31–13; offense 53.8 percentile2024 Week 9: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 51–14; offense 98.7 percentile2024 Week 11: Notre Dame vs. Florida State · W 52–3; offense 75.9 percentile2024 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Virginia · W 35–14; offense 44.7 percentile2024 Week 13: Notre Dame vs. Army · W 49–14; offense 96.5 percentile2024 Week 14: Notre Dame at USC · W 49–35; offense 97.6 percentile2024 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Indiana · W 27–17; offense 82.5 percentile2024 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Georgia · W 23–10; offense 33.2 percentile2024 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Penn State · W 27–24; offense 72.5 percentile2024 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Ohio State · L 23–34; offense 71.1 percentile2025 Week 1: Notre Dame at Miami · L 24–27; offense 71.9 percentile2025 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M · L 40–41; offense 53.7 percentile2025 Week 4: Notre Dame vs. Purdue · W 56–30; offense 98.2 percentile2025 Week 5: Notre Dame at Arkansas · W 56–13; offense 92.8 percentile2025 Week 6: Notre Dame vs. Boise State · W 28–7; offense 70.3 percentile2025 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. NC State · W 36–7; offense 45.7 percentile2025 Week 8: Notre Dame vs. USC · W 34–24; offense 56.1 percentile2025 Week 10: Notre Dame at Boston College · W 25–10; offense 60.9 percentile2025 Week 11: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 49–10; offense 95.0 percentile2025 Week 13: Notre Dame vs. Syracuse · W 70–7; offense 99.7 percentile2025 Week 14: Notre Dame at Stanford · W 49–20; offense 90.3 percentile2026 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin · W 41–13; offense 72.3 percentile2026 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Rice · W 52–0; offense 69.5 percentile2014 offense season mean: 75.1 percentile2015 offense season mean: 84.5 percentile2016 offense season mean: 62.5 percentile2017 offense season mean: 81.1 percentile2018 offense season mean: 64.9 percentile2019 offense season mean: 62.3 percentile2020 offense season mean: 67.6 percentile2021 offense season mean: 65.5 percentile2022 offense season mean: 62.3 percentile2023 offense season mean: 83.3 percentile2024 offense season mean: 79.2 percentile2025 offense season mean: 83.6 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 81.4 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 70.9 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Rice · W 48–17; defense 68.8 percentile2014 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Michigan · W 31–0; defense 91.6 percentile2014 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. Purdue · W 30–14; defense 49.2 percentile2014 Week 5: Notre Dame vs. Syracuse · W 31–15; defense 53.1 percentile2014 Week 6: Notre Dame vs. Stanford · W 17–14; defense 97.0 percentile2014 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. North Carolina · W 50–43; defense 41.1 percentile2014 Week 8: Notre Dame at Florida State · L 27–31; defense 79.3 percentile2014 Week 10: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 49–39; defense 48.6 percentile2014 Week 11: Notre Dame at Arizona State · L 31–55; defense 48.9 percentile2014 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Northwestern · L 40–43; defense 15.1 percentile2014 Week 13: Notre Dame vs. Louisville · L 28–31; defense 12.6 percentile2014 Week 14: Notre Dame at USC · L 14–49; defense 9.5 percentile2014 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. LSU · W 31–28; defense 8.9 percentile2015 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Texas · W 38–3; defense 94.3 percentile2015 Week 2: Notre Dame at Virginia · W 34–27; defense 39.1 percentile2015 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech · W 30–22; defense 76.9 percentile2015 Week 4: Notre Dame vs. Massachusetts · W 62–27; defense 54.4 percentile2015 Week 5: Notre Dame at Clemson · L 22–24; defense 95.3 percentile2015 Week 6: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 41–24; defense 61.9 percentile2015 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. USC · W 41–31; defense 49.7 percentile2015 Week 9: Notre Dame at Temple · W 24–20; defense 85.3 percentile2015 Week 10: Notre Dame at Pittsburgh · W 42–30; defense 35.3 percentile2015 Week 11: Notre Dame vs. Wake Forest · W 28–7; defense 63.0 percentile2015 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Boston College · W 19–16; defense 43.4 percentile2015 Week 13: Notre Dame at Stanford · L 36–38; defense 43.3 percentile2015 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Ohio State · L 28–44; defense 20.9 percentile2016 Week 1: Notre Dame at Texas · L 47–50; defense 47.5 percentile2016 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Nevada · W 39–10; defense 88.0 percentile2016 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. Michigan State · L 28–36; defense 16.6 percentile2016 Week 4: Notre Dame vs. Duke · L 35–38; defense 15.1 percentile2016 Week 5: Notre Dame vs. Syracuse · W 50–33; defense 56.5 percentile2016 Week 6: Notre Dame at NC State · L 3–10; defense 99.9 percentile2016 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. Stanford · L 10–17; defense 63.3 percentile2016 Week 9: Notre Dame vs. Miami · W 30–27; defense 89.5 percentile2016 Week 10: Notre Dame vs. Navy · L 27–28; defense 32.8 percentile2016 Week 11: Notre Dame vs. Army · W 44–6; defense 87.4 percentile2016 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Virginia Tech · L 31–34; defense 43.0 percentile2016 Week 13: Notre Dame at USC · L 27–45; defense 69.6 percentile2017 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Temple · W 49–16; defense 88.8 percentile2017 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Georgia · L 19–20; defense 97.1 percentile2017 Week 3: Notre Dame at Boston College · W 49–20; defense 66.4 percentile2017 Week 4: Notre Dame at Michigan State · W 38–18; defense 38.0 percentile2017 Week 5: Notre Dame vs. Miami (OH) · W 52–17; defense 53.6 percentile2017 Week 6: Notre Dame at North Carolina · W 33–10; defense 92.0 percentile2017 Week 8: Notre Dame vs. USC · W 49–14; defense 90.9 percentile2017 Week 9: Notre Dame vs. NC State · W 35–14; defense 94.5 percentile2017 Week 10: Notre Dame vs. Wake Forest · W 48–37; defense 23.6 percentile2017 Week 11: Notre Dame at Miami · L 8–41; defense 35.0 percentile2017 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 24–17; defense 77.3 percentile2017 Week 13: Notre Dame at Stanford · L 20–38; defense 65.2 percentile2017 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. LSU · W 21–17; defense 71.2 percentile2018 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Michigan · W 24–17; defense 95.5 percentile2018 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Ball State · W 24–16; defense 73.0 percentile2018 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. Vanderbilt · W 22–17; defense 67.0 percentile2018 Week 4: Notre Dame at Wake Forest · W 56–27; defense 78.4 percentile2018 Week 5: Notre Dame vs. Stanford · W 38–17; defense 91.0 percentile2018 Week 6: Notre Dame at Virginia Tech · W 45–23; defense 50.5 percentile2018 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh · W 19–14; defense 82.1 percentile2018 Week 9: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 44–22; defense 40.4 percentile2018 Week 10: Notre Dame at Northwestern · W 31–21; defense 57.9 percentile2018 Week 11: Notre Dame vs. Florida State · W 42–13; defense 46.2 percentile2018 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Syracuse · W 36–3; defense 78.7 percentile2018 Week 13: Notre Dame at USC · W 24–17; defense 42.6 percentile2018 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Clemson · L 3–30; defense 38.1 percentile2019 Week 1: Notre Dame at Louisville · W 35–17; defense 76.0 percentile2019 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. New Mexico · W 66–14; defense 87.4 percentile2019 Week 4: Notre Dame at Georgia · L 17–23; defense 53.2 percentile2019 Week 5: Notre Dame vs. Virginia · W 35–20; defense 81.2 percentile2019 Week 6: Notre Dame vs. Bowling Green · W 52–0; defense 82.3 percentile2019 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. USC · W 30–27; defense 42.5 percentile2019 Week 9: Notre Dame at Michigan · L 14–45; defense 59.0 percentile2019 Week 10: Notre Dame vs. Virginia Tech · W 21–20; defense 95.1 percentile2019 Week 11: Notre Dame at Duke · W 38–7; defense 92.7 percentile2019 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 52–20; defense 89.2 percentile2019 Week 13: Notre Dame vs. Boston College · W 40–7; defense 89.6 percentile2019 Week 14: Notre Dame at Stanford · W 45–24; defense 52.1 percentile2019 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Iowa State · W 33–9; defense 97.5 percentile2020 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Duke · W 27–13; defense 64.1 percentile2020 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. South Florida · W 52–0; defense 98.0 percentile2020 Week 6: Notre Dame vs. Florida State · W 42–26; defense 54.2 percentile2020 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. Louisville · W 12–7; defense 95.5 percentile2020 Week 8: Notre Dame at Pittsburgh · W 45–3; defense 99.0 percentile2020 Week 9: Notre Dame at Georgia Tech · W 31–13; defense 89.2 percentile2020 Week 10: Notre Dame vs. Clemson · W 47–40; defense 77.6 percentile2020 Week 11: Notre Dame at Boston College · W 45–31; defense 76.6 percentile2020 Week 13: Notre Dame at North Carolina · W 31–17; defense 98.7 percentile2020 Week 14: Notre Dame vs. Syracuse · W 45–21; defense 28.6 percentile2020 Week 16: Notre Dame vs. Clemson · L 10–34; defense 4.6 percentile2020 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Alabama · L 14–31; defense 33.1 percentile2021 Week 1: Notre Dame at Florida State · W 41–38; defense 32.5 percentile2021 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Toledo · W 32–29; defense 86.2 percentile2021 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. Purdue · W 27–13; defense 97.6 percentile2021 Week 4: Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin · W 41–13; defense 85.6 percentile2021 Week 5: Notre Dame vs. Cincinnati · L 13–24; defense 73.8 percentile2021 Week 6: Notre Dame at Virginia Tech · W 32–29; defense 78.5 percentile2021 Week 8: Notre Dame vs. USC · W 31–16; defense 19.8 percentile2021 Week 9: Notre Dame vs. North Carolina · W 44–34; defense 19.1 percentile2021 Week 10: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 34–6; defense 89.0 percentile2021 Week 11: Notre Dame at Virginia · W 28–3; defense 91.3 percentile2021 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech · W 55–0; defense 61.5 percentile2021 Week 13: Notre Dame at Stanford · W 45–14; defense 82.5 percentile2021 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Oklahoma State · L 35–37; defense 41.3 percentile2022 Week 1: Notre Dame at Ohio State · L 10–21; defense 61.2 percentile2022 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Marshall · L 21–26; defense 47.9 percentile2022 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. California · W 24–17; defense 69.9 percentile2022 Week 4: Notre Dame at North Carolina · W 45–32; defense 73.0 percentile2022 Week 6: Notre Dame vs. BYU · W 28–20; defense 53.2 percentile2022 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. Stanford · L 14–16; defense 68.7 percentile2022 Week 8: Notre Dame vs. UNLV · W 44–21; defense 87.6 percentile2022 Week 9: Notre Dame at Syracuse · W 41–24; defense 91.5 percentile2022 Week 10: Notre Dame vs. Clemson · W 35–14; defense 82.0 percentile2022 Week 11: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 35–32; defense 38.7 percentile2022 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Boston College · W 44–0; defense 82.6 percentile2022 Week 13: Notre Dame at USC · L 27–38; defense 27.2 percentile2022 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. South Carolina · W 45–38; defense 84.4 percentile2023 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 42–3; defense 88.1 percentile2023 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Tennessee State · W 56–3; defense 77.3 percentile2023 Week 2: Notre Dame at NC State · W 45–24; defense 84.3 percentile2023 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. Central Michigan · W 41–17; defense 70.8 percentile2023 Week 4: Notre Dame vs. Ohio State · L 14–17; defense 70.2 percentile2023 Week 5: Notre Dame at Duke · W 21–14; defense 74.8 percentile2023 Week 6: Notre Dame at Louisville · L 20–33; defense 54.9 percentile2023 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. USC · W 48–20; defense 90.2 percentile2023 Week 9: Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh · W 58–7; defense 75.3 percentile2023 Week 10: Notre Dame at Clemson · L 23–31; defense 87.5 percentile2023 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Wake Forest · W 45–7; defense 81.7 percentile2023 Week 13: Notre Dame at Stanford · W 56–23; defense 50.7 percentile2023 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Oregon State · W 40–8; defense 99.9 percentile2024 Week 1: Notre Dame at Texas A&M · W 23–13; defense 90.6 percentile2024 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Northern Illinois · L 14–16; defense 58.2 percentile2024 Week 3: Notre Dame at Purdue · W 66–7; defense 69.1 percentile2024 Week 4: Notre Dame vs. Miami (OH) · W 28–3; defense 80.2 percentile2024 Week 5: Notre Dame vs. Louisville · W 31–24; defense 91.7 percentile2024 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. Stanford · W 49–7; defense 85.5 percentile2024 Week 8: Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech · W 31–13; defense 96.0 percentile2024 Week 9: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 51–14; defense 72.0 percentile2024 Week 11: Notre Dame vs. Florida State · W 52–3; defense 70.5 percentile2024 Week 12: Notre Dame vs. Virginia · W 35–14; defense 81.6 percentile2024 Week 13: Notre Dame vs. Army · W 49–14; defense 98.4 percentile2024 Week 14: Notre Dame at USC · W 49–35; defense 30.4 percentile2024 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Indiana · W 27–17; defense 97.4 percentile2024 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Georgia · W 23–10; defense 99.3 percentile2024 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Penn State · W 27–24; defense 73.3 percentile2024 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Ohio State · L 23–34; defense 25.8 percentile2025 Week 1: Notre Dame at Miami · L 24–27; defense 88.7 percentile2025 Week 3: Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M · L 40–41; defense 39.6 percentile2025 Week 4: Notre Dame vs. Purdue · W 56–30; defense 52.1 percentile2025 Week 5: Notre Dame at Arkansas · W 56–13; defense 74.0 percentile2025 Week 6: Notre Dame vs. Boise State · W 28–7; defense 82.2 percentile2025 Week 7: Notre Dame vs. NC State · W 36–7; defense 82.2 percentile2025 Week 8: Notre Dame vs. USC · W 34–24; defense 97.1 percentile2025 Week 10: Notre Dame at Boston College · W 25–10; defense 91.1 percentile2025 Week 11: Notre Dame vs. Navy · W 49–10; defense 94.8 percentile2025 Week 13: Notre Dame vs. Syracuse · W 70–7; defense 80.7 percentile2025 Week 14: Notre Dame at Stanford · W 49–20; defense 79.5 percentile2026 Week 1: Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin · W 41–13; defense 45.9 percentile2026 Week 2: Notre Dame vs. Rice · W 52–0; defense 91.8 percentile2014 defense season mean: 48.5 percentile2015 defense season mean: 62.0 percentile2016 defense season mean: 65.9 percentile2017 defense season mean: 73.7 percentile2018 defense season mean: 67.7 percentile2019 defense season mean: 81.0 percentile2020 defense season mean: 76.9 percentile2021 defense season mean: 70.4 percentile2022 defense season mean: 69.0 percentile2023 defense season mean: 82.4 percentile2024 defense season mean: 82.7 percentile2025 defense season mean: 82.0 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 80.5 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 74.1 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2021Brian Kelly / Marcus Freeman
2022Marcus Freeman

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateMarcus Freeman2
81.4 estimate70.9 games-only average
80.5 estimate74.1 games-only average
2025Marcus Freeman1183.682.0
2024Marcus Freeman1679.282.7
2023Marcus Freeman1383.382.4
2022Marcus FreemanCoaching change1362.369.0
2021Brian Kelly / Marcus FreemanCoaching change1365.570.4
2020Brian Kelly1267.676.9
2019Brian Kelly1362.381.0
2018Brian Kelly1364.967.7
2017Brian Kelly1381.173.7
2016Brian Kelly1262.565.9
2015Brian Kelly1384.562.0
2014Brian Kelly1375.148.5