2014–2026 performance history

Oregon over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Big TenHead coach: Dan LanningView Oregon games →
Offense · 2026 estimate83.5/100

51.9 average through 2 games

88.6 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate73.1/100

39.1 average through 2 games

79.9 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Oregon individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Helfrich · ’14–’16Mark Helfrich, 2014–2016TaggartWillie Taggart, 2017Cristobal · ’18–’21Mario Cristobal, 2018–2021Lanning · ’22–’26Dan Lanning, 2022–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Oregon vs. South Dakota · W 62–13; offense 96.7 percentile2014 Week 2: Oregon vs. Michigan State · W 46–27; offense 92.0 percentile2014 Week 3: Oregon vs. Wyoming · W 48–14; offense 96.9 percentile2014 Week 4: Oregon at Washington State · W 38–31; offense 91.6 percentile2014 Week 6: Oregon vs. Arizona · L 24–31; offense 60.4 percentile2014 Week 7: Oregon at UCLA · W 42–30; offense 98.4 percentile2014 Week 8: Oregon vs. Washington · W 45–20; offense 87.1 percentile2014 Week 9: Oregon at California · W 59–41; offense 94.7 percentile2014 Week 10: Oregon vs. Stanford · W 45–16; offense 99.4 percentile2014 Week 11: Oregon at Utah · W 51–27; offense 91.9 percentile2014 Week 13: Oregon vs. Colorado · W 44–10; offense 95.4 percentile2014 Week 14: Oregon at Oregon State · W 47–19; offense 88.8 percentile2014 Week 15: Oregon vs. Arizona · W 51–13; offense 90.6 percentile2014 Week 1: Oregon vs. Florida State · W 59–20; offense 98.8 percentile2014 Week 1: Oregon vs. Ohio State · L 20–42; offense 67.8 percentile2015 Week 1: Oregon vs. Eastern Washington · W 61–42; offense 91.1 percentile2015 Week 2: Oregon at Michigan State · L 28–31; offense 41.8 percentile2015 Week 3: Oregon vs. Georgia State · W 61–28; offense 75.9 percentile2015 Week 4: Oregon vs. Utah · L 20–62; offense 62.0 percentile2015 Week 5: Oregon at Colorado · W 41–24; offense 74.0 percentile2015 Week 6: Oregon vs. Washington State · L 38–45; offense 70.5 percentile2015 Week 7: Oregon at Washington · W 26–20; offense 62.1 percentile2015 Week 9: Oregon at Arizona State · W 61–55; offense 56.7 percentile2015 Week 10: Oregon vs. California · W 44–28; offense 98.4 percentile2015 Week 11: Oregon at Stanford · W 38–36; offense 78.9 percentile2015 Week 12: Oregon vs. USC · W 48–28; offense 92.4 percentile2015 Week 13: Oregon vs. Oregon State · W 52–42; offense 82.2 percentile2015 Week 1: Oregon vs. TCU · L 41–47; offense 49.3 percentile2016 Week 1: Oregon vs. UC Davis · W 53–28; offense 73.2 percentile2016 Week 2: Oregon vs. Virginia · W 44–26; offense 94.7 percentile2016 Week 3: Oregon at Nebraska · L 32–35; offense 90.0 percentile2016 Week 4: Oregon vs. Colorado · L 38–41; offense 85.2 percentile2016 Week 5: Oregon at Washington State · L 33–51; offense 83.7 percentile2016 Week 6: Oregon vs. Washington · L 21–70; offense 67.8 percentile2016 Week 8: Oregon at California · L 49–52; offense 28.5 percentile2016 Week 9: Oregon vs. Arizona State · W 54–35; offense 83.1 percentile2016 Week 10: Oregon at USC · L 20–45; offense 18.5 percentile2016 Week 11: Oregon vs. Stanford · L 27–52; offense 48.3 percentile2016 Week 12: Oregon at Utah · W 30–28; offense 80.9 percentile2016 Week 13: Oregon at Oregon State · L 24–34; offense 68.9 percentile2017 Week 1: Oregon vs. Southern Utah · W 77–21; offense 85.2 percentile2017 Week 2: Oregon vs. Nebraska · W 42–35; offense 59.6 percentile2017 Week 3: Oregon at Wyoming · W 49–13; offense 89.2 percentile2017 Week 4: Oregon at Arizona State · L 35–37; offense 34.2 percentile2017 Week 5: Oregon vs. California · W 45–24; offense 78.1 percentile2017 Week 6: Oregon vs. Washington State · L 10–33; offense 6.7 percentile2017 Week 7: Oregon at Stanford · L 7–49; offense 33.6 percentile2017 Week 8: Oregon at UCLA · L 14–31; offense 10.2 percentile2017 Week 9: Oregon vs. Utah · W 41–20; offense 86.2 percentile2017 Week 10: Oregon at Washington · L 3–38; offense 43.5 percentile2017 Week 12: Oregon vs. Arizona · W 48–28; offense 96.1 percentile2017 Week 13: Oregon vs. Oregon State · W 69–10; offense 77.0 percentile2017 Week 1: Oregon vs. Boise State · L 28–38; offense 19.9 percentile2018 Week 1: Oregon vs. Bowling Green · W 58–24; offense 77.8 percentile2018 Week 2: Oregon vs. Portland State · W 62–14; offense 48.3 percentile2018 Week 3: Oregon vs. San José State · W 35–22; offense 29.7 percentile2018 Week 5: Oregon at California · W 42–24; offense 93.8 percentile2018 Week 7: Oregon vs. Washington · W 30–27; offense 71.6 percentile2018 Week 8: Oregon at Washington State · L 20–34; offense 29.5 percentile2018 Week 9: Oregon at Arizona · L 15–44; offense 7.8 percentile2018 Week 10: Oregon vs. UCLA · W 42–21; offense 47.8 percentile2018 Week 11: Oregon at Utah · L 25–32; offense 71.0 percentile2018 Week 12: Oregon vs. Arizona State · W 31–29; offense 52.1 percentile2018 Week 13: Oregon at Oregon State · W 55–15; offense 66.0 percentile2018 Week 1: Oregon vs. Michigan State · W 7–6; offense 7.8 percentile2019 Week 1: Oregon vs. Auburn · L 21–27; offense 42.3 percentile2019 Week 2: Oregon vs. Nevada · W 77–6; offense 93.5 percentile2019 Week 3: Oregon vs. Montana · W 35–3; offense 54.6 percentile2019 Week 4: Oregon at Stanford · W 21–6; offense 33.3 percentile2019 Week 6: Oregon vs. California · W 17–7; offense 41.3 percentile2019 Week 7: Oregon vs. Colorado · W 45–3; offense 70.8 percentile2019 Week 8: Oregon at Washington · W 35–31; offense 71.1 percentile2019 Week 9: Oregon vs. Washington State · W 37–35; offense 60.2 percentile2019 Week 10: Oregon at USC · W 56–24; offense 93.3 percentile2019 Week 12: Oregon vs. Arizona · W 34–6; offense 69.4 percentile2019 Week 13: Oregon at Arizona State · L 28–31; offense 78.9 percentile2019 Week 14: Oregon vs. Oregon State · W 24–10; offense 19.5 percentile2019 Week 15: Oregon vs. Utah · W 37–15; offense 65.9 percentile2019 Week 1: Oregon vs. Wisconsin · W 28–27; offense 24.7 percentile2020 Week 10: Oregon vs. Stanford · W 35–14; offense 92.8 percentile2020 Week 11: Oregon at Washington State · W 43–29; offense 96.5 percentile2020 Week 12: Oregon vs. UCLA · W 38–35; offense 43.0 percentile2020 Week 13: Oregon at Oregon State · L 38–41; offense 69.0 percentile2020 Week 14: Oregon at California · L 17–21; offense 32.4 percentile2020 Week 16: Oregon at USC · W 31–24; offense 55.8 percentile2020 Week 1: Oregon vs. Iowa State · L 17–34; offense 61.3 percentile2021 Week 1: Oregon vs. Fresno State · W 31–24; offense 63.8 percentile2021 Week 2: Oregon at Ohio State · W 35–28; offense 96.0 percentile2021 Week 3: Oregon vs. Stony Brook · W 48–7; offense 41.5 percentile2021 Week 4: Oregon vs. Arizona · W 41–19; offense 83.9 percentile2021 Week 5: Oregon at Stanford · L 24–31; offense 37.1 percentile2021 Week 7: Oregon vs. California · W 24–17; offense 88.5 percentile2021 Week 8: Oregon at UCLA · W 34–31; offense 80.7 percentile2021 Week 9: Oregon vs. Colorado · W 52–29; offense 97.8 percentile2021 Week 10: Oregon at Washington · W 26–16; offense 81.0 percentile2021 Week 11: Oregon vs. Washington State · W 38–24; offense 94.7 percentile2021 Week 12: Oregon at Utah · L 7–38; offense 12.3 percentile2021 Week 13: Oregon vs. Oregon State · W 38–29; offense 96.6 percentile2021 Week 14: Oregon vs. Utah · L 10–38; offense 3.6 percentile2021 Week 1: Oregon vs. Oklahoma · L 32–47; offense 78.7 percentile2022 Week 1: Oregon vs. Georgia · L 3–49; offense 61.6 percentile2022 Week 2: Oregon vs. Eastern Washington · W 70–14; offense 70.2 percentile2022 Week 3: Oregon vs. BYU · W 41–20; offense 69.0 percentile2022 Week 4: Oregon at Washington State · W 44–41; offense 92.3 percentile2022 Week 5: Oregon vs. Stanford · W 45–27; offense 74.2 percentile2022 Week 6: Oregon at Arizona · W 49–22; offense 97.1 percentile2022 Week 8: Oregon vs. UCLA · W 45–30; offense 97.3 percentile2022 Week 9: Oregon at California · W 42–24; offense 77.9 percentile2022 Week 10: Oregon at Colorado · W 49–10; offense 65.5 percentile2022 Week 11: Oregon vs. Washington · L 34–37; offense 92.1 percentile2022 Week 12: Oregon vs. Utah · W 20–17; offense 33.9 percentile2022 Week 13: Oregon at Oregon State · L 34–38; offense 66.6 percentile2022 Week 1: Oregon vs. North Carolina · W 28–27; offense 86.5 percentile2023 Week 1: Oregon vs. Portland State · W 81–7; offense 98.1 percentile2023 Week 2: Oregon at Texas Tech · W 38–30; offense 72.7 percentile2023 Week 3: Oregon vs. Hawai'i · W 55–10; offense 89.6 percentile2023 Week 4: Oregon vs. Colorado · W 42–6; offense 91.6 percentile2023 Week 5: Oregon at Stanford · W 42–6; offense 98.0 percentile2023 Week 7: Oregon at Washington · L 33–36; offense 85.7 percentile2023 Week 8: Oregon vs. Washington State · W 38–24; offense 94.0 percentile2023 Week 9: Oregon at Utah · W 35–6; offense 98.5 percentile2023 Week 10: Oregon vs. California · W 63–19; offense 77.5 percentile2023 Week 11: Oregon vs. USC · W 36–27; offense 93.0 percentile2023 Week 12: Oregon at Arizona State · W 49–13; offense 99.8 percentile2023 Week 13: Oregon vs. Oregon State · W 31–7; offense 91.1 percentile2023 Week 14: Oregon vs. Washington · L 31–34; offense 64.7 percentile2024 Week 1: Oregon vs. Idaho · W 24–14; offense 26.8 percentile2024 Week 2: Oregon vs. Boise State · W 37–34; offense 72.0 percentile2024 Week 3: Oregon at Oregon State · W 49–14; offense 99.9 percentile2024 Week 5: Oregon at UCLA · W 34–13; offense 91.2 percentile2024 Week 6: Oregon vs. Michigan State · W 31–10; offense 93.1 percentile2024 Week 7: Oregon vs. Ohio State · W 32–31; offense 92.6 percentile2024 Week 8: Oregon at Purdue · W 35–0; offense 77.5 percentile2024 Week 9: Oregon vs. Illinois · W 38–9; offense 97.5 percentile2024 Week 10: Oregon at Michigan · W 38–17; offense 99.0 percentile2024 Week 11: Oregon vs. Maryland · W 39–18; offense 76.6 percentile2024 Week 12: Oregon at Wisconsin · W 16–13; offense 19.6 percentile2024 Week 14: Oregon vs. Washington · W 49–21; offense 99.4 percentile2024 Week 15: Oregon vs. Penn State · W 45–37; offense 95.3 percentile2024 Week 1: Oregon vs. Ohio State · L 21–41; offense 14.5 percentile2025 Week 1: Oregon vs. Montana State · W 59–13; offense 90.4 percentile2025 Week 2: Oregon vs. Oklahoma State · W 69–3; offense 94.2 percentile2025 Week 3: Oregon at Northwestern · W 34–14; offense 82.8 percentile2025 Week 4: Oregon vs. Oregon State · W 41–7; offense 95.5 percentile2025 Week 5: Oregon at Penn State · W 30–24; offense 71.0 percentile2025 Week 7: Oregon vs. Indiana · L 20–30; offense 50.8 percentile2025 Week 8: Oregon at Rutgers · W 56–10; offense 100.0 percentile2025 Week 9: Oregon vs. Wisconsin · W 21–7; offense 74.3 percentile2025 Week 11: Oregon at Iowa · W 18–16; offense 84.0 percentile2025 Week 12: Oregon vs. Minnesota · W 42–13; offense 97.5 percentile2025 Week 13: Oregon vs. USC · W 42–27; offense 86.0 percentile2025 Week 14: Oregon at Washington · W 26–14; offense 77.6 percentile2025 Week 1: Oregon vs. James Madison · W 51–34; offense 99.4 percentile2025 Week 1: Oregon vs. Texas Tech · W 23–0; offense 47.3 percentile2025 Week 1: Oregon vs. Indiana · L 22–56; offense 75.5 percentile2026 Week 1: Oregon vs. Boise State · W 34–27; offense 72.7 percentile2026 Week 2: Oregon at Oklahoma State · L 31–39; offense 30.5 percentile2014 offense season mean: 93.3 percentile2015 offense season mean: 75.8 percentile2016 offense season mean: 71.5 percentile2017 offense season mean: 56.9 percentile2018 offense season mean: 49.6 percentile2019 offense season mean: 60.8 percentile2020 offense season mean: 69.5 percentile2021 offense season mean: 73.5 percentile2022 offense season mean: 80.0 percentile2023 offense season mean: 92.8 percentile2024 offense season mean: 86.4 percentile2025 offense season mean: 88.6 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 83.5 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 51.9 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Oregon vs. South Dakota · W 62–13; defense 20.9 percentile2014 Week 2: Oregon vs. Michigan State · W 46–27; defense 82.7 percentile2014 Week 3: Oregon vs. Wyoming · W 48–14; defense 53.4 percentile2014 Week 4: Oregon at Washington State · W 38–31; defense 21.2 percentile2014 Week 6: Oregon vs. Arizona · L 24–31; defense 32.7 percentile2014 Week 7: Oregon at UCLA · W 42–30; defense 47.2 percentile2014 Week 8: Oregon vs. Washington · W 45–20; defense 70.6 percentile2014 Week 9: Oregon at California · W 59–41; defense 40.3 percentile2014 Week 10: Oregon vs. Stanford · W 45–16; defense 50.6 percentile2014 Week 11: Oregon at Utah · W 51–27; defense 35.7 percentile2014 Week 13: Oregon vs. Colorado · W 44–10; defense 93.7 percentile2014 Week 14: Oregon at Oregon State · W 47–19; defense 60.6 percentile2014 Week 15: Oregon vs. Arizona · W 51–13; defense 97.7 percentile2014 Week 1: Oregon vs. Florida State · W 59–20; defense 55.1 percentile2014 Week 1: Oregon vs. Ohio State · L 20–42; defense 57.0 percentile2015 Week 1: Oregon vs. Eastern Washington · W 61–42; defense 0.8 percentile2015 Week 2: Oregon at Michigan State · L 28–31; defense 59.0 percentile2015 Week 3: Oregon vs. Georgia State · W 61–28; defense 36.7 percentile2015 Week 4: Oregon vs. Utah · L 20–62; defense 4.4 percentile2015 Week 5: Oregon at Colorado · W 41–24; defense 64.0 percentile2015 Week 6: Oregon vs. Washington State · L 38–45; defense 37.5 percentile2015 Week 7: Oregon at Washington · W 26–20; defense 40.1 percentile2015 Week 9: Oregon at Arizona State · W 61–55; defense 7.1 percentile2015 Week 10: Oregon vs. California · W 44–28; defense 75.5 percentile2015 Week 11: Oregon at Stanford · W 38–36; defense 63.1 percentile2015 Week 12: Oregon vs. USC · W 48–28; defense 61.3 percentile2015 Week 13: Oregon vs. Oregon State · W 52–42; defense 8.1 percentile2015 Week 1: Oregon vs. TCU · L 41–47; defense 77.6 percentile2016 Week 1: Oregon vs. UC Davis · W 53–28; defense 27.0 percentile2016 Week 2: Oregon vs. Virginia · W 44–26; defense 25.4 percentile2016 Week 3: Oregon at Nebraska · L 32–35; defense 38.3 percentile2016 Week 4: Oregon vs. Colorado · L 38–41; defense 9.8 percentile2016 Week 5: Oregon at Washington State · L 33–51; defense 5.0 percentile2016 Week 6: Oregon vs. Washington · L 21–70; defense 11.1 percentile2016 Week 8: Oregon at California · L 49–52; defense 28.0 percentile2016 Week 9: Oregon vs. Arizona State · W 54–35; defense 17.5 percentile2016 Week 10: Oregon at USC · L 20–45; defense 18.7 percentile2016 Week 11: Oregon vs. Stanford · L 27–52; defense 10.0 percentile2016 Week 12: Oregon at Utah · W 30–28; defense 30.1 percentile2016 Week 13: Oregon at Oregon State · L 24–34; defense 11.0 percentile2017 Week 1: Oregon vs. Southern Utah · W 77–21; defense 32.7 percentile2017 Week 2: Oregon vs. Nebraska · W 42–35; defense 39.0 percentile2017 Week 3: Oregon at Wyoming · W 49–13; defense 79.9 percentile2017 Week 4: Oregon at Arizona State · L 35–37; defense 68.5 percentile2017 Week 5: Oregon vs. California · W 45–24; defense 84.5 percentile2017 Week 6: Oregon vs. Washington State · L 10–33; defense 45.0 percentile2017 Week 7: Oregon at Stanford · L 7–49; defense 23.7 percentile2017 Week 8: Oregon at UCLA · L 14–31; defense 38.9 percentile2017 Week 9: Oregon vs. Utah · W 41–20; defense 71.1 percentile2017 Week 10: Oregon at Washington · L 3–38; defense 30.7 percentile2017 Week 12: Oregon vs. Arizona · W 48–28; defense 76.5 percentile2017 Week 13: Oregon vs. Oregon State · W 69–10; defense 94.4 percentile2017 Week 1: Oregon vs. Boise State · L 28–38; defense 58.6 percentile2018 Week 1: Oregon vs. Bowling Green · W 58–24; defense 72.4 percentile2018 Week 2: Oregon vs. Portland State · W 62–14; defense 40.4 percentile2018 Week 3: Oregon vs. San José State · W 35–22; defense 71.6 percentile2018 Week 5: Oregon at California · W 42–24; defense 8.3 percentile2018 Week 7: Oregon vs. Washington · W 30–27; defense 35.9 percentile2018 Week 8: Oregon at Washington State · L 20–34; defense 49.8 percentile2018 Week 9: Oregon at Arizona · L 15–44; defense 32.1 percentile2018 Week 10: Oregon vs. UCLA · W 42–21; defense 37.0 percentile2018 Week 11: Oregon at Utah · L 25–32; defense 58.4 percentile2018 Week 12: Oregon vs. Arizona State · W 31–29; defense 87.6 percentile2018 Week 13: Oregon at Oregon State · W 55–15; defense 76.4 percentile2018 Week 1: Oregon vs. Michigan State · W 7–6; defense 74.5 percentile2019 Week 1: Oregon vs. Auburn · L 21–27; defense 62.2 percentile2019 Week 2: Oregon vs. Nevada · W 77–6; defense 90.8 percentile2019 Week 3: Oregon vs. Montana · W 35–3; defense 69.9 percentile2019 Week 4: Oregon at Stanford · W 21–6; defense 79.8 percentile2019 Week 6: Oregon vs. California · W 17–7; defense 86.1 percentile2019 Week 7: Oregon vs. Colorado · W 45–3; defense 77.5 percentile2019 Week 8: Oregon at Washington · W 35–31; defense 59.0 percentile2019 Week 9: Oregon vs. Washington State · W 37–35; defense 68.1 percentile2019 Week 10: Oregon at USC · W 56–24; defense 49.1 percentile2019 Week 12: Oregon vs. Arizona · W 34–6; defense 95.6 percentile2019 Week 13: Oregon at Arizona State · L 28–31; defense 35.1 percentile2019 Week 14: Oregon vs. Oregon State · W 24–10; defense 84.9 percentile2019 Week 15: Oregon vs. Utah · W 37–15; defense 98.2 percentile2019 Week 1: Oregon vs. Wisconsin · W 28–27; defense 92.3 percentile2020 Week 10: Oregon vs. Stanford · W 35–14; defense 66.8 percentile2020 Week 11: Oregon at Washington State · W 43–29; defense 41.7 percentile2020 Week 12: Oregon vs. UCLA · W 38–35; defense 22.4 percentile2020 Week 13: Oregon at Oregon State · L 38–41; defense 30.0 percentile2020 Week 14: Oregon at California · L 17–21; defense 84.6 percentile2020 Week 16: Oregon at USC · W 31–24; defense 87.8 percentile2020 Week 1: Oregon vs. Iowa State · L 17–34; defense 45.4 percentile2021 Week 1: Oregon vs. Fresno State · W 31–24; defense 73.9 percentile2021 Week 2: Oregon at Ohio State · W 35–28; defense 87.8 percentile2021 Week 3: Oregon vs. Stony Brook · W 48–7; defense 25.6 percentile2021 Week 4: Oregon vs. Arizona · W 41–19; defense 36.7 percentile2021 Week 5: Oregon at Stanford · L 24–31; defense 75.7 percentile2021 Week 7: Oregon vs. California · W 24–17; defense 39.2 percentile2021 Week 8: Oregon at UCLA · W 34–31; defense 80.0 percentile2021 Week 9: Oregon vs. Colorado · W 52–29; defense 19.7 percentile2021 Week 10: Oregon at Washington · W 26–16; defense 96.6 percentile2021 Week 11: Oregon vs. Washington State · W 38–24; defense 49.7 percentile2021 Week 12: Oregon at Utah · L 7–38; defense 33.1 percentile2021 Week 13: Oregon vs. Oregon State · W 38–29; defense 45.3 percentile2021 Week 14: Oregon vs. Utah · L 10–38; defense 61.8 percentile2021 Week 1: Oregon vs. Oklahoma · L 32–47; defense 1.7 percentile2022 Week 1: Oregon vs. Georgia · L 3–49; defense 0.1 percentile2022 Week 2: Oregon vs. Eastern Washington · W 70–14; defense 38.6 percentile2022 Week 3: Oregon vs. BYU · W 41–20; defense 88.9 percentile2022 Week 4: Oregon at Washington State · W 44–41; defense 38.1 percentile2022 Week 5: Oregon vs. Stanford · W 45–27; defense 74.0 percentile2022 Week 6: Oregon at Arizona · W 49–22; defense 87.7 percentile2022 Week 8: Oregon vs. UCLA · W 45–30; defense 30.5 percentile2022 Week 9: Oregon at California · W 42–24; defense 79.8 percentile2022 Week 10: Oregon at Colorado · W 49–10; defense 52.4 percentile2022 Week 11: Oregon vs. Washington · L 34–37; defense 24.6 percentile2022 Week 12: Oregon vs. Utah · W 20–17; defense 90.4 percentile2022 Week 13: Oregon at Oregon State · L 34–38; defense 21.1 percentile2022 Week 1: Oregon vs. North Carolina · W 28–27; defense 71.3 percentile2023 Week 1: Oregon vs. Portland State · W 81–7; defense 63.2 percentile2023 Week 2: Oregon at Texas Tech · W 38–30; defense 19.0 percentile2023 Week 3: Oregon vs. Hawai'i · W 55–10; defense 94.3 percentile2023 Week 4: Oregon vs. Colorado · W 42–6; defense 74.3 percentile2023 Week 5: Oregon at Stanford · W 42–6; defense 90.8 percentile2023 Week 7: Oregon at Washington · L 33–36; defense 45.1 percentile2023 Week 8: Oregon vs. Washington State · W 38–24; defense 37.7 percentile2023 Week 9: Oregon at Utah · W 35–6; defense 94.7 percentile2023 Week 10: Oregon vs. California · W 63–19; defense 78.2 percentile2023 Week 11: Oregon vs. USC · W 36–27; defense 82.1 percentile2023 Week 12: Oregon at Arizona State · W 49–13; defense 61.1 percentile2023 Week 13: Oregon vs. Oregon State · W 31–7; defense 94.8 percentile2023 Week 14: Oregon vs. Washington · L 31–34; defense 24.2 percentile2024 Week 1: Oregon vs. Idaho · W 24–14; defense 25.2 percentile2024 Week 2: Oregon vs. Boise State · W 37–34; defense 62.2 percentile2024 Week 3: Oregon at Oregon State · W 49–14; defense 70.9 percentile2024 Week 5: Oregon at UCLA · W 34–13; defense 98.9 percentile2024 Week 6: Oregon vs. Michigan State · W 31–10; defense 71.9 percentile2024 Week 7: Oregon vs. Ohio State · W 32–31; defense 36.7 percentile2024 Week 8: Oregon at Purdue · W 35–0; defense 57.5 percentile2024 Week 9: Oregon vs. Illinois · W 38–9; defense 74.7 percentile2024 Week 10: Oregon at Michigan · W 38–17; defense 39.1 percentile2024 Week 11: Oregon vs. Maryland · W 39–18; defense 62.0 percentile2024 Week 12: Oregon at Wisconsin · W 16–13; defense 87.3 percentile2024 Week 14: Oregon vs. Washington · W 49–21; defense 85.3 percentile2024 Week 15: Oregon vs. Penn State · W 45–37; defense 19.2 percentile2024 Week 1: Oregon vs. Ohio State · L 21–41; defense 30.2 percentile2025 Week 1: Oregon vs. Montana State · W 59–13; defense 58.7 percentile2025 Week 2: Oregon vs. Oklahoma State · W 69–3; defense 74.2 percentile2025 Week 3: Oregon at Northwestern · W 34–14; defense 83.0 percentile2025 Week 4: Oregon vs. Oregon State · W 41–7; defense 87.9 percentile2025 Week 5: Oregon at Penn State · W 30–24; defense 68.0 percentile2025 Week 7: Oregon vs. Indiana · L 20–30; defense 89.0 percentile2025 Week 8: Oregon at Rutgers · W 56–10; defense 98.9 percentile2025 Week 9: Oregon vs. Wisconsin · W 21–7; defense 80.3 percentile2025 Week 11: Oregon at Iowa · W 18–16; defense 67.9 percentile2025 Week 12: Oregon vs. Minnesota · W 42–13; defense 42.1 percentile2025 Week 13: Oregon vs. USC · W 42–27; defense 87.6 percentile2025 Week 14: Oregon at Washington · W 26–14; defense 77.6 percentile2025 Week 1: Oregon vs. James Madison · W 51–34; defense 76.2 percentile2025 Week 1: Oregon vs. Texas Tech · W 23–0; defense 99.3 percentile2025 Week 1: Oregon vs. Indiana · L 22–56; defense 27.7 percentile2026 Week 1: Oregon vs. Boise State · W 34–27; defense 68.6 percentile2026 Week 2: Oregon at Oklahoma State · L 31–39; defense 15.0 percentile2014 defense season mean: 57.8 percentile2015 defense season mean: 34.4 percentile2016 defense season mean: 17.6 percentile2017 defense season mean: 59.3 percentile2018 defense season mean: 53.7 percentile2019 defense season mean: 79.2 percentile2020 defense season mean: 55.8 percentile2021 defense season mean: 51.9 percentile2022 defense season mean: 50.5 percentile2023 defense season mean: 70.8 percentile2024 defense season mean: 62.4 percentile2025 defense season mean: 79.9 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 73.1 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 39.1 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2017Willie Taggart
2018Mario Cristobal
2021Mario Cristobal / Bryan McClendon
2022Dan Lanning

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateDan Lanning2
83.5 estimate51.9 games-only average
73.1 estimate39.1 games-only average
2025Dan Lanning1588.679.9
2024Dan Lanning1486.462.4
2023Dan Lanning1392.870.8
2022Dan LanningCoaching change1380.050.5
2021Mario Cristobal / Bryan McClendonCoaching change1473.551.9
2020Mario Cristobal769.555.8
2019Mario Cristobal1460.879.2
2018Mario CristobalCoaching change1249.653.7
2017Willie TaggartCoaching change1356.959.3
2016Mark Helfrich1271.517.6
2015Mark Helfrich1375.834.4
2014Mark Helfrich1593.357.8