2014–2026 performance history

South Florida over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

American AthleticHead coach: Brian HartlineView South Florida games →
Offense · 2026 estimate70.9/100

35.3 average through 2 games

78.3 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate68.6/100

67.5 average through 2 games

68.9 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

South Florida individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Taggart · ’14–’16Willie Taggart, 2014–2016Strong · ’17–’19Charlie Strong, 2017–2019Scott · ’20–’22Jeff Scott, 2020–2022Golesh · ’23–’25Alex Golesh, 2023–2025HartlineBrian Hartline, 2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: South Florida vs. Western Carolina · W 36–31; offense 40.4 percentile2014 Week 2: South Florida vs. Maryland · L 17–24; offense 1.3 percentile2014 Week 3: South Florida vs. NC State · L 17–49; offense 1.4 percentile2014 Week 4: South Florida vs. UConn · W 17–14; offense 24.4 percentile2014 Week 5: South Florida at Wisconsin · L 10–27; offense 58.4 percentile2014 Week 7: South Florida vs. East Carolina · L 17–28; offense 45.7 percentile2014 Week 8: South Florida at Tulsa · W 38–30; offense 60.6 percentile2014 Week 9: South Florida at Cincinnati · L 17–34; offense 7.2 percentile2014 Week 10: South Florida vs. Houston · L 3–27; offense 12.9 percentile2014 Week 12: South Florida at SMU · W 14–13; offense 19.7 percentile2014 Week 13: South Florida at Memphis · L 20–31; offense 42.5 percentile2014 Week 14: South Florida vs. UCF · L 0–16; offense 5.3 percentile2015 Week 1: South Florida vs. Florida A&M · W 51–3; offense 29.1 percentile2015 Week 2: South Florida at Florida State · L 14–34; offense 37.0 percentile2015 Week 3: South Florida at Maryland · L 17–35; offense 45.6 percentile2015 Week 5: South Florida vs. Memphis · L 17–24; offense 16.5 percentile2015 Week 6: South Florida vs. Syracuse · W 45–24; offense 91.5 percentile2015 Week 7: South Florida at UConn · W 28–20; offense 81.3 percentile2015 Week 8: South Florida vs. SMU · W 38–14; offense 8.3 percentile2015 Week 9: South Florida at Navy · L 17–29; offense 16.2 percentile2015 Week 10: South Florida at East Carolina · W 22–17; offense 30.9 percentile2015 Week 11: South Florida vs. Temple · W 44–23; offense 96.2 percentile2015 Week 12: South Florida vs. Cincinnati · W 65–27; offense 93.8 percentile2015 Week 13: South Florida at UCF · W 44–3; offense 82.9 percentile2015 Week 1: South Florida vs. Western Kentucky · L 35–45; offense 78.5 percentile2016 Week 1: South Florida vs. Towson · W 56–20; offense 76.9 percentile2016 Week 2: South Florida vs. Northern Illinois · W 48–17; offense 96.4 percentile2016 Week 3: South Florida at Syracuse · W 45–20; offense 78.7 percentile2016 Week 4: South Florida vs. Florida State · L 35–55; offense 69.3 percentile2016 Week 5: South Florida at Cincinnati · W 45–20; offense 68.9 percentile2016 Week 6: South Florida vs. East Carolina · W 38–22; offense 88.0 percentile2016 Week 7: South Florida vs. UConn · W 42–27; offense 75.0 percentile2016 Week 8: South Florida at Temple · L 30–46; offense 91.7 percentile2016 Week 9: South Florida vs. Navy · W 52–45; offense 98.2 percentile2016 Week 11: South Florida at Memphis · W 49–42; offense 96.5 percentile2016 Week 12: South Florida at SMU · W 35–27; offense 44.7 percentile2016 Week 1: South Florida vs. South Carolina · W 46–39; offense 55.0 percentile2017 Week 1: South Florida at San José State · W 42–22; offense 9.6 percentile2017 Week 1: South Florida vs. Stony Brook · W 31–17; offense 8.1 percentile2017 Week 3: South Florida vs. Illinois · W 47–23; offense 94.4 percentile2017 Week 4: South Florida vs. Temple · W 43–7; offense 40.6 percentile2017 Week 5: South Florida at East Carolina · W 61–31; offense 89.1 percentile2017 Week 7: South Florida vs. Cincinnati · W 33–3; offense 28.8 percentile2017 Week 8: South Florida at Tulane · W 34–28; offense 72.3 percentile2017 Week 9: South Florida vs. Houston · L 24–28; offense 19.2 percentile2017 Week 10: South Florida at UConn · W 37–20; offense 82.5 percentile2017 Week 12: South Florida vs. Tulsa · W 27–20; offense 24.1 percentile2017 Week 13: South Florida at UCF · L 42–49; offense 73.1 percentile2017 Week 1: South Florida vs. Texas Tech · W 38–34; offense 77.1 percentile2018 Week 2: South Florida vs. Georgia Tech · W 49–38; offense 65.4 percentile2018 Week 3: South Florida vs. Illinois · W 25–19; offense 42.6 percentile2018 Week 4: South Florida vs. East Carolina · W 20–13; offense 12.9 percentile2018 Week 6: South Florida at Massachusetts · W 58–42; offense 51.9 percentile2018 Week 7: South Florida at Tulsa · W 25–24; offense 42.7 percentile2018 Week 9: South Florida at Houston · L 36–57; offense 75.3 percentile2018 Week 11: South Florida at Cincinnati · L 23–35; offense 53.6 percentile2018 Week 12: South Florida at Temple · L 17–27; offense 19.7 percentile2018 Week 13: South Florida vs. UCF · L 10–38; offense 11.6 percentile2018 Week 1: South Florida vs. Marshall · L 20–38; offense 55.5 percentile2019 Week 1: South Florida vs. Wisconsin · L 0–49; offense 2.1 percentile2019 Week 2: South Florida at Georgia Tech · L 10–14; offense 6.9 percentile2019 Week 3: South Florida vs. South Carolina State · W 55–16; offense 22.9 percentile2019 Week 5: South Florida vs. SMU · L 21–48; offense 29.5 percentile2019 Week 6: South Florida at UConn · W 48–22; offense 90.6 percentile2019 Week 8: South Florida at Navy · L 3–35; offense 30.3 percentile2019 Week 9: South Florida at East Carolina · W 45–20; offense 96.2 percentile2019 Week 11: South Florida vs. Temple · L 7–17; offense 31.8 percentile2019 Week 13: South Florida vs. Memphis · L 10–49; offense 13.9 percentile2019 Week 14: South Florida at UCF · L 7–34; offense 23.7 percentile2020 Week 3: South Florida at Notre Dame · L 0–52; offense 2.0 percentile2020 Week 5: South Florida at Cincinnati · L 7–28; offense 20.7 percentile2020 Week 7: South Florida at Temple · L 37–39; offense 30.4 percentile2020 Week 8: South Florida vs. Tulsa · L 13–42; offense 21.8 percentile2020 Week 10: South Florida at Memphis · L 33–34; offense 25.7 percentile2020 Week 11: South Florida at Houston · L 21–56; offense 14.0 percentile2020 Week 13: South Florida vs. UCF · L 46–58; offense 78.0 percentile2021 Week 1: South Florida at NC State · L 0–45; offense 36.0 percentile2021 Week 2: South Florida vs. Florida · L 20–42; offense 4.8 percentile2021 Week 3: South Florida vs. Florida A&M · W 38–17; offense 14.7 percentile2021 Week 4: South Florida at BYU · L 27–35; offense 29.2 percentile2021 Week 5: South Florida at SMU · L 17–41; offense 16.8 percentile2021 Week 8: South Florida vs. Temple · W 34–14; offense 56.3 percentile2021 Week 9: South Florida at East Carolina · L 14–29; offense 54.9 percentile2021 Week 10: South Florida vs. Houston · L 42–54; offense 74.6 percentile2021 Week 11: South Florida vs. Cincinnati · L 28–45; offense 65.7 percentile2021 Week 12: South Florida at Tulane · L 14–45; offense 18.4 percentile2021 Week 13: South Florida at UCF · L 13–17; offense 30.9 percentile2022 Week 1: South Florida vs. BYU · L 21–50; offense 8.5 percentile2022 Week 2: South Florida vs. Howard · W 42–20; offense 38.6 percentile2022 Week 3: South Florida at Florida · L 28–31; offense 78.8 percentile2022 Week 4: South Florida at Louisville · L 3–41; offense 6.3 percentile2022 Week 6: South Florida at Cincinnati · L 24–28; offense 92.0 percentile2022 Week 7: South Florida vs. Tulane · L 31–45; offense 52.3 percentile2022 Week 9: South Florida at Houston · L 27–42; offense 59.9 percentile2022 Week 10: South Florida at Temple · L 28–54; offense 86.2 percentile2022 Week 11: South Florida vs. SMU · L 23–41; offense 18.6 percentile2022 Week 12: South Florida at Tulsa · L 42–48; offense 73.7 percentile2022 Week 13: South Florida vs. UCF · L 39–46; offense 90.2 percentile2023 Week 1: South Florida at Western Kentucky · L 24–41; offense 59.8 percentile2023 Week 2: South Florida vs. Florida A&M · W 38–24; offense 6.6 percentile2023 Week 3: South Florida vs. Alabama · L 3–17; offense 7.5 percentile2023 Week 5: South Florida at Navy · W 44–30; offense 56.1 percentile2023 Week 6: South Florida at UAB · L 35–56; offense 21.4 percentile2023 Week 7: South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic · L 14–56; offense 10.9 percentile2023 Week 8: South Florida at UConn · W 24–21; offense 21.0 percentile2023 Week 10: South Florida at Memphis · L 50–59; offense 51.5 percentile2023 Week 11: South Florida vs. Temple · W 27–23; offense 8.0 percentile2023 Week 12: South Florida at UTSA · L 21–49; offense 45.4 percentile2023 Week 13: South Florida vs. Charlotte · W 48–14; offense 75.8 percentile2023 Week 1: South Florida vs. Syracuse · W 45–0; offense 52.8 percentile2024 Week 1: South Florida vs. Bethune-Cookman · W 48–3; offense 23.0 percentile2024 Week 2: South Florida at Alabama · L 16–42; offense 28.9 percentile2024 Week 3: South Florida at Southern Miss · W 49–24; offense 84.8 percentile2024 Week 4: South Florida vs. Miami · L 15–50; offense 32.1 percentile2024 Week 5: South Florida at Tulane · L 10–45; offense 23.1 percentile2024 Week 7: South Florida vs. Memphis · L 3–21; offense 1.8 percentile2024 Week 8: South Florida vs. UAB · W 35–25; offense 19.5 percentile2024 Week 10: South Florida at Florida Atlantic · W 44–21; offense 80.2 percentile2024 Week 11: South Florida vs. Navy · L 7–28; offense 11.8 percentile2024 Week 12: South Florida at Charlotte · W 59–24; offense 96.3 percentile2024 Week 13: South Florida vs. Tulsa · W 63–30; offense 66.8 percentile2024 Week 14: South Florida at Rice · L 28–35; offense 40.2 percentile2024 Week 1: South Florida vs. San José State · W 41–39; offense 15.6 percentile2025 Week 1: South Florida vs. Boise State · W 34–7; offense 72.3 percentile2025 Week 2: South Florida at Florida · W 18–16; offense 37.0 percentile2025 Week 3: South Florida at Miami · L 12–49; offense 32.2 percentile2025 Week 4: South Florida vs. South Carolina State · W 63–14; offense 77.7 percentile2025 Week 6: South Florida vs. Charlotte · W 54–26; offense 72.6 percentile2025 Week 7: South Florida at North Texas · W 63–36; offense 94.7 percentile2025 Week 8: South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic · W 48–13; offense 76.8 percentile2025 Week 9: South Florida at Memphis · L 31–34; offense 91.1 percentile2025 Week 11: South Florida vs. UTSA · W 55–23; offense 96.0 percentile2025 Week 12: South Florida at Navy · L 38–41; offense 72.8 percentile2025 Week 13: South Florida at UAB · W 48–18; offense 97.2 percentile2025 Week 14: South Florida vs. Rice · W 52–3; offense 94.8 percentile2025 Week 1: South Florida vs. Old Dominion · L 10–24; offense 28.8 percentile2026 Week 1: South Florida vs. Florida International · W 19–9; offense 13.2 percentile2026 Week 2: South Florida at Army · W 28–24; offense 64.1 percentile2014 offense season mean: 19.7 percentile2015 offense season mean: 57.6 percentile2016 offense season mean: 83.0 percentile2017 offense season mean: 52.1 percentile2018 offense season mean: 41.3 percentile2019 offense season mean: 32.6 percentile2020 offense season mean: 23.3 percentile2021 offense season mean: 33.7 percentile2022 offense season mean: 55.2 percentile2023 offense season mean: 30.6 percentile2024 offense season mean: 38.5 percentile2025 offense season mean: 78.3 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 70.9 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 35.3 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: South Florida vs. Western Carolina · W 36–31; defense 22.7 percentile2014 Week 2: South Florida vs. Maryland · L 17–24; defense 43.4 percentile2014 Week 3: South Florida vs. NC State · L 17–49; defense 1.1 percentile2014 Week 4: South Florida vs. UConn · W 17–14; defense 94.9 percentile2014 Week 5: South Florida at Wisconsin · L 10–27; defense 64.5 percentile2014 Week 7: South Florida vs. East Carolina · L 17–28; defense 12.5 percentile2014 Week 8: South Florida at Tulsa · W 38–30; defense 52.6 percentile2014 Week 9: South Florida at Cincinnati · L 17–34; defense 52.8 percentile2014 Week 10: South Florida vs. Houston · L 3–27; defense 32.7 percentile2014 Week 12: South Florida at SMU · W 14–13; defense 54.2 percentile2014 Week 13: South Florida at Memphis · L 20–31; defense 14.1 percentile2014 Week 14: South Florida vs. UCF · L 0–16; defense 50.9 percentile2015 Week 1: South Florida vs. Florida A&M · W 51–3; defense 87.8 percentile2015 Week 2: South Florida at Florida State · L 14–34; defense 69.2 percentile2015 Week 3: South Florida at Maryland · L 17–35; defense 14.2 percentile2015 Week 5: South Florida vs. Memphis · L 17–24; defense 70.3 percentile2015 Week 6: South Florida vs. Syracuse · W 45–24; defense 49.8 percentile2015 Week 7: South Florida at UConn · W 28–20; defense 42.8 percentile2015 Week 8: South Florida vs. SMU · W 38–14; defense 73.5 percentile2015 Week 9: South Florida at Navy · L 17–29; defense 47.2 percentile2015 Week 10: South Florida at East Carolina · W 22–17; defense 96.1 percentile2015 Week 11: South Florida vs. Temple · W 44–23; defense 75.7 percentile2015 Week 12: South Florida vs. Cincinnati · W 65–27; defense 69.5 percentile2015 Week 13: South Florida at UCF · W 44–3; defense 72.8 percentile2015 Week 1: South Florida vs. Western Kentucky · L 35–45; defense 44.8 percentile2016 Week 1: South Florida vs. Towson · W 56–20; defense 26.2 percentile2016 Week 2: South Florida vs. Northern Illinois · W 48–17; defense 93.8 percentile2016 Week 3: South Florida at Syracuse · W 45–20; defense 39.9 percentile2016 Week 4: South Florida vs. Florida State · L 35–55; defense 0.6 percentile2016 Week 5: South Florida at Cincinnati · W 45–20; defense 53.7 percentile2016 Week 6: South Florida vs. East Carolina · W 38–22; defense 52.3 percentile2016 Week 7: South Florida vs. UConn · W 42–27; defense 52.2 percentile2016 Week 8: South Florida at Temple · L 30–46; defense 7.8 percentile2016 Week 9: South Florida vs. Navy · W 52–45; defense 15.5 percentile2016 Week 11: South Florida at Memphis · W 49–42; defense 19.0 percentile2016 Week 12: South Florida at SMU · W 35–27; defense 46.4 percentile2016 Week 1: South Florida vs. South Carolina · W 46–39; defense 19.1 percentile2017 Week 1: South Florida at San José State · W 42–22; defense 61.0 percentile2017 Week 1: South Florida vs. Stony Brook · W 31–17; defense 67.2 percentile2017 Week 3: South Florida vs. Illinois · W 47–23; defense 32.3 percentile2017 Week 4: South Florida vs. Temple · W 43–7; defense 99.9 percentile2017 Week 5: South Florida at East Carolina · W 61–31; defense 53.3 percentile2017 Week 7: South Florida vs. Cincinnati · W 33–3; defense 86.8 percentile2017 Week 8: South Florida at Tulane · W 34–28; defense 75.2 percentile2017 Week 9: South Florida vs. Houston · L 24–28; defense 77.7 percentile2017 Week 10: South Florida at UConn · W 37–20; defense 69.3 percentile2017 Week 12: South Florida vs. Tulsa · W 27–20; defense 85.3 percentile2017 Week 13: South Florida at UCF · L 42–49; defense 74.6 percentile2017 Week 1: South Florida vs. Texas Tech · W 38–34; defense 32.5 percentile2018 Week 2: South Florida vs. Georgia Tech · W 49–38; defense 20.0 percentile2018 Week 3: South Florida vs. Illinois · W 25–19; defense 70.8 percentile2018 Week 4: South Florida vs. East Carolina · W 20–13; defense 68.2 percentile2018 Week 6: South Florida at Massachusetts · W 58–42; defense 61.3 percentile2018 Week 7: South Florida at Tulsa · W 25–24; defense 71.1 percentile2018 Week 9: South Florida at Houston · L 36–57; defense 14.3 percentile2018 Week 11: South Florida at Cincinnati · L 23–35; defense 44.8 percentile2018 Week 12: South Florida at Temple · L 17–27; defense 96.7 percentile2018 Week 13: South Florida vs. UCF · L 10–38; defense 46.4 percentile2018 Week 1: South Florida vs. Marshall · L 20–38; defense 8.5 percentile2019 Week 1: South Florida vs. Wisconsin · L 0–49; defense 56.3 percentile2019 Week 2: South Florida at Georgia Tech · L 10–14; defense 78.7 percentile2019 Week 3: South Florida vs. South Carolina State · W 55–16; defense 29.1 percentile2019 Week 5: South Florida vs. SMU · L 21–48; defense 9.5 percentile2019 Week 6: South Florida at UConn · W 48–22; defense 72.4 percentile2019 Week 8: South Florida at Navy · L 3–35; defense 14.5 percentile2019 Week 9: South Florida at East Carolina · W 45–20; defense 82.2 percentile2019 Week 11: South Florida vs. Temple · L 7–17; defense 52.5 percentile2019 Week 13: South Florida vs. Memphis · L 10–49; defense 8.6 percentile2019 Week 14: South Florida at UCF · L 7–34; defense 32.7 percentile2020 Week 3: South Florida at Notre Dame · L 0–52; defense 15.4 percentile2020 Week 5: South Florida at Cincinnati · L 7–28; defense 66.4 percentile2020 Week 7: South Florida at Temple · L 37–39; defense 25.6 percentile2020 Week 8: South Florida vs. Tulsa · L 13–42; defense 10.0 percentile2020 Week 10: South Florida at Memphis · L 33–34; defense 32.1 percentile2020 Week 11: South Florida at Houston · L 21–56; defense 10.9 percentile2020 Week 13: South Florida vs. UCF · L 46–58; defense 17.8 percentile2021 Week 1: South Florida at NC State · L 0–45; defense 3.6 percentile2021 Week 2: South Florida vs. Florida · L 20–42; defense 8.4 percentile2021 Week 3: South Florida vs. Florida A&M · W 38–17; defense 50.7 percentile2021 Week 4: South Florida at BYU · L 27–35; defense 11.1 percentile2021 Week 5: South Florida at SMU · L 17–41; defense 35.4 percentile2021 Week 8: South Florida vs. Temple · W 34–14; defense 34.3 percentile2021 Week 9: South Florida at East Carolina · L 14–29; defense 37.3 percentile2021 Week 10: South Florida vs. Houston · L 42–54; defense 14.8 percentile2021 Week 11: South Florida vs. Cincinnati · L 28–45; defense 27.2 percentile2021 Week 12: South Florida at Tulane · L 14–45; defense 14.0 percentile2021 Week 13: South Florida at UCF · L 13–17; defense 86.3 percentile2022 Week 1: South Florida vs. BYU · L 21–50; defense 8.7 percentile2022 Week 2: South Florida vs. Howard · W 42–20; defense 29.3 percentile2022 Week 3: South Florida at Florida · L 28–31; defense 17.1 percentile2022 Week 4: South Florida at Louisville · L 3–41; defense 30.9 percentile2022 Week 6: South Florida at Cincinnati · L 24–28; defense 11.5 percentile2022 Week 7: South Florida vs. Tulane · L 31–45; defense 28.7 percentile2022 Week 9: South Florida at Houston · L 27–42; defense 7.3 percentile2022 Week 10: South Florida at Temple · L 28–54; defense 0.3 percentile2022 Week 11: South Florida vs. SMU · L 23–41; defense 5.9 percentile2022 Week 12: South Florida at Tulsa · L 42–48; defense 16.2 percentile2022 Week 13: South Florida vs. UCF · L 39–46; defense 3.0 percentile2023 Week 1: South Florida at Western Kentucky · L 24–41; defense 30.6 percentile2023 Week 2: South Florida vs. Florida A&M · W 38–24; defense 40.5 percentile2023 Week 3: South Florida vs. Alabama · L 3–17; defense 87.8 percentile2023 Week 5: South Florida at Navy · W 44–30; defense 29.2 percentile2023 Week 6: South Florida at UAB · L 35–56; defense 1.5 percentile2023 Week 7: South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic · L 14–56; defense 10.3 percentile2023 Week 8: South Florida at UConn · W 24–21; defense 68.5 percentile2023 Week 10: South Florida at Memphis · L 50–59; defense 19.1 percentile2023 Week 11: South Florida vs. Temple · W 27–23; defense 63.5 percentile2023 Week 12: South Florida at UTSA · L 21–49; defense 21.5 percentile2023 Week 13: South Florida vs. Charlotte · W 48–14; defense 71.4 percentile2023 Week 1: South Florida vs. Syracuse · W 45–0; defense 97.9 percentile2024 Week 1: South Florida vs. Bethune-Cookman · W 48–3; defense 80.5 percentile2024 Week 2: South Florida at Alabama · L 16–42; defense 69.9 percentile2024 Week 3: South Florida at Southern Miss · W 49–24; defense 27.7 percentile2024 Week 4: South Florida vs. Miami · L 15–50; defense 17.5 percentile2024 Week 5: South Florida at Tulane · L 10–45; defense 17.1 percentile2024 Week 7: South Florida vs. Memphis · L 3–21; defense 93.5 percentile2024 Week 8: South Florida vs. UAB · W 35–25; defense 79.2 percentile2024 Week 10: South Florida at Florida Atlantic · W 44–21; defense 40.5 percentile2024 Week 11: South Florida vs. Navy · L 7–28; defense 64.0 percentile2024 Week 12: South Florida at Charlotte · W 59–24; defense 55.0 percentile2024 Week 13: South Florida vs. Tulsa · W 63–30; defense 65.2 percentile2024 Week 14: South Florida at Rice · L 28–35; defense 40.7 percentile2024 Week 1: South Florida vs. San José State · W 41–39; defense 59.8 percentile2025 Week 1: South Florida vs. Boise State · W 34–7; defense 97.5 percentile2025 Week 2: South Florida at Florida · W 18–16; defense 60.9 percentile2025 Week 3: South Florida at Miami · L 12–49; defense 10.3 percentile2025 Week 4: South Florida vs. South Carolina State · W 63–14; defense 51.2 percentile2025 Week 6: South Florida vs. Charlotte · W 54–26; defense 45.5 percentile2025 Week 7: South Florida at North Texas · W 63–36; defense 93.0 percentile2025 Week 8: South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic · W 48–13; defense 94.2 percentile2025 Week 9: South Florida at Memphis · L 31–34; defense 48.5 percentile2025 Week 11: South Florida vs. UTSA · W 55–23; defense 54.9 percentile2025 Week 12: South Florida at Navy · L 38–41; defense 57.4 percentile2025 Week 13: South Florida at UAB · W 48–18; defense 74.6 percentile2025 Week 14: South Florida vs. Rice · W 52–3; defense 80.1 percentile2025 Week 1: South Florida vs. Old Dominion · L 10–24; defense 75.3 percentile2026 Week 1: South Florida vs. Florida International · W 19–9; defense 82.7 percentile2026 Week 2: South Florida at Army · W 28–24; defense 48.6 percentile2014 defense season mean: 38.1 percentile2015 defense season mean: 64.8 percentile2016 defense season mean: 31.0 percentile2017 defense season mean: 73.9 percentile2018 defense season mean: 50.8 percentile2019 defense season mean: 41.3 percentile2020 defense season mean: 23.1 percentile2021 defense season mean: 25.9 percentile2022 defense season mean: 10.5 percentile2023 defense season mean: 44.0 percentile2024 defense season mean: 55.7 percentile2025 defense season mean: 68.9 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 68.6 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 67.5 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2017Charlie Strong
2020Jeff Scott
2022Jeff Scott / Daniel Da Prato
2023Alex Golesh
2025Alex Golesh / Kevin Patrick
2026Brian Hartline

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateBrian HartlineCoaching change2
70.9 estimate35.3 games-only average
68.6 estimate67.5 games-only average
2025Alex Golesh / Kevin PatrickCoaching change1378.368.9
2024Alex Golesh1338.555.7
2023Alex GoleshCoaching change1230.644.0
2022Jeff Scott / Daniel Da PratoCoaching change1155.210.5
2021Jeff Scott1133.725.9
2020Jeff ScottCoaching change723.323.1
2019Charlie Strong1032.641.3
2018Charlie Strong1041.350.8
2017Charlie StrongCoaching change1252.173.9
2016Willie Taggart1283.031.0
2015Willie Taggart1357.664.8
2014Willie Taggart1219.738.1