2014–2026 performance history

TCU over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Big 12Head coach: Sonny DykesView TCU games →
Offense · 2026 estimate53.0/100

20.0 average through 1 game

57.5 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate50.8/100

37.3 average through 1 game

52.5 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

TCU individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Patterson · ’14–’21Gary Patterson, 2014–2021Dykes · ’22–’26Sonny Dykes, 2022–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: TCU vs. Samford · W 48–14; offense 49.6 percentile2014 Week 3: TCU vs. Minnesota · W 30–7; offense 42.7 percentile2014 Week 5: TCU at SMU · W 56–0; offense 67.5 percentile2014 Week 6: TCU vs. Oklahoma · W 37–33; offense 77.1 percentile2014 Week 7: TCU at Baylor · L 58–61; offense 38.8 percentile2014 Week 8: TCU vs. Oklahoma State · W 42–9; offense 95.5 percentile2014 Week 9: TCU vs. Texas Tech · W 82–27; offense 86.4 percentile2014 Week 10: TCU at West Virginia · W 31–30; offense 57.0 percentile2014 Week 11: TCU vs. Kansas State · W 41–20; offense 79.0 percentile2014 Week 12: TCU at Kansas · W 34–30; offense 49.7 percentile2014 Week 14: TCU at Texas · W 48–10; offense 64.4 percentile2014 Week 15: TCU vs. Iowa State · W 55–3; offense 67.0 percentile2014 Week 1: TCU vs. Ole Miss · W 42–3; offense 90.8 percentile2015 Week 1: TCU at Minnesota · W 23–17; offense 50.2 percentile2015 Week 2: TCU vs. Stephen F. Austin · W 70–7; offense 83.0 percentile2015 Week 3: TCU vs. SMU · W 56–37; offense 88.6 percentile2015 Week 4: TCU at Texas Tech · W 55–52; offense 78.9 percentile2015 Week 5: TCU vs. Texas · W 50–7; offense 88.1 percentile2015 Week 6: TCU at Kansas State · W 52–45; offense 87.6 percentile2015 Week 7: TCU at Iowa State · W 45–21; offense 90.8 percentile2015 Week 9: TCU vs. West Virginia · W 40–10; offense 90.9 percentile2015 Week 10: TCU at Oklahoma State · L 29–49; offense 66.8 percentile2015 Week 11: TCU vs. Kansas · W 23–17; offense 4.5 percentile2015 Week 12: TCU at Oklahoma · L 29–30; offense 66.7 percentile2015 Week 13: TCU vs. Baylor · W 28–21; offense 11.8 percentile2015 Week 1: TCU vs. Oregon · W 47–41; offense 31.4 percentile2016 Week 1: TCU vs. South Dakota State · W 59–41; offense 73.1 percentile2016 Week 2: TCU vs. Arkansas · L 38–41; offense 70.6 percentile2016 Week 3: TCU vs. Iowa State · W 41–20; offense 59.5 percentile2016 Week 4: TCU at SMU · W 33–3; offense 73.5 percentile2016 Week 5: TCU vs. Oklahoma · L 46–52; offense 54.3 percentile2016 Week 6: TCU at Kansas · W 24–23; offense 23.3 percentile2016 Week 8: TCU at West Virginia · L 10–34; offense 54.6 percentile2016 Week 9: TCU vs. Texas Tech · L 24–27; offense 8.8 percentile2016 Week 10: TCU at Baylor · W 62–22; offense 97.9 percentile2016 Week 12: TCU vs. Oklahoma State · L 6–31; offense 3.3 percentile2016 Week 13: TCU at Texas · W 31–9; offense 71.3 percentile2016 Week 14: TCU vs. Kansas State · L 6–30; offense 6.9 percentile2016 Week 1: TCU vs. Georgia · L 23–31; offense 62.0 percentile2017 Week 1: TCU vs. Jackson State · W 63–0; offense 73.9 percentile2017 Week 2: TCU at Arkansas · W 28–7; offense 44.4 percentile2017 Week 3: TCU vs. SMU · W 56–36; offense 78.9 percentile2017 Week 4: TCU at Oklahoma State · W 44–31; offense 80.1 percentile2017 Week 6: TCU vs. West Virginia · W 31–24; offense 57.6 percentile2017 Week 7: TCU at Kansas State · W 26–6; offense 49.8 percentile2017 Week 8: TCU vs. Kansas · W 43–0; offense 72.9 percentile2017 Week 9: TCU at Iowa State · L 7–14; offense 38.7 percentile2017 Week 10: TCU vs. Texas · W 24–7; offense 59.2 percentile2017 Week 11: TCU at Oklahoma · L 20–38; offense 75.1 percentile2017 Week 12: TCU at Texas Tech · W 27–3; offense 13.1 percentile2017 Week 13: TCU vs. Baylor · W 45–22; offense 39.0 percentile2017 Week 14: TCU vs. Oklahoma · L 17–41; offense 39.3 percentile2017 Week 1: TCU vs. Stanford · W 39–37; offense 74.2 percentile2018 Week 1: TCU vs. Southern · W 55–7; offense 59.8 percentile2018 Week 2: TCU at SMU · W 42–12; offense 56.5 percentile2018 Week 3: TCU vs. Ohio State · L 28–40; offense 88.9 percentile2018 Week 4: TCU at Texas · L 16–31; offense 38.9 percentile2018 Week 5: TCU vs. Iowa State · W 17–14; offense 24.7 percentile2018 Week 7: TCU vs. Texas Tech · L 14–17; offense 4.3 percentile2018 Week 8: TCU vs. Oklahoma · L 27–52; offense 25.2 percentile2018 Week 9: TCU at Kansas · L 26–27; offense 70.0 percentile2018 Week 10: TCU vs. Kansas State · W 14–13; offense 2.0 percentile2018 Week 11: TCU at West Virginia · L 10–47; offense 1.8 percentile2018 Week 12: TCU at Baylor · W 16–9; offense 5.5 percentile2018 Week 13: TCU vs. Oklahoma State · W 31–24; offense 17.7 percentile2018 Week 1: TCU vs. California · W 10–7; offense 27.2 percentile2019 Week 1: TCU vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff · W 39–7; offense 34.5 percentile2019 Week 3: TCU at Purdue · W 34–13; offense 55.8 percentile2019 Week 4: TCU vs. SMU · L 38–41; offense 51.1 percentile2019 Week 5: TCU vs. Kansas · W 51–14; offense 86.2 percentile2019 Week 6: TCU at Iowa State · L 24–49; offense 58.8 percentile2019 Week 8: TCU at Kansas State · L 17–24; offense 53.2 percentile2019 Week 9: TCU vs. Texas · W 37–27; offense 70.2 percentile2019 Week 10: TCU at Oklahoma State · L 27–34; offense 46.3 percentile2019 Week 11: TCU vs. Baylor · L 23–29; offense 27.7 percentile2019 Week 12: TCU at Texas Tech · W 33–31; offense 66.9 percentile2019 Week 13: TCU at Oklahoma · L 24–28; offense 31.0 percentile2019 Week 14: TCU vs. West Virginia · L 17–20; offense 10.6 percentile2020 Week 4: TCU vs. Iowa State · L 34–37; offense 60.2 percentile2020 Week 5: TCU at Texas · W 33–31; offense 65.8 percentile2020 Week 6: TCU vs. Kansas State · L 14–21; offense 24.5 percentile2020 Week 8: TCU vs. Oklahoma · L 14–33; offense 15.5 percentile2020 Week 9: TCU at Baylor · W 33–23; offense 32.3 percentile2020 Week 10: TCU vs. Texas Tech · W 34–18; offense 27.6 percentile2020 Week 11: TCU at West Virginia · L 6–24; offense 41.1 percentile2020 Week 13: TCU at Kansas · W 59–23; offense 74.0 percentile2020 Week 14: TCU vs. Oklahoma State · W 29–22; offense 70.2 percentile2020 Week 15: TCU vs. Louisiana Tech · W 52–10; offense 94.7 percentile2021 Week 2: TCU vs. California · W 34–32; offense 84.6 percentile2021 Week 4: TCU vs. SMU · L 34–42; offense 91.9 percentile2021 Week 5: TCU vs. Texas · L 27–32; offense 47.4 percentile2021 Week 6: TCU at Texas Tech · W 52–31; offense 91.1 percentile2021 Week 7: TCU at Oklahoma · L 31–52; offense 84.4 percentile2021 Week 8: TCU vs. West Virginia · L 17–29; offense 64.5 percentile2021 Week 10: TCU vs. Baylor · W 30–28; offense 70.1 percentile2021 Week 12: TCU vs. Kansas · W 31–28; offense 42.4 percentile2021 Week 13: TCU at Iowa State · L 14–48; offense 53.6 percentile2022 Week 1: TCU at Colorado · W 38–13; offense 62.2 percentile2022 Week 2: TCU vs. Tarleton State · W 59–17; offense 77.9 percentile2022 Week 4: TCU at SMU · W 42–34; offense 88.7 percentile2022 Week 5: TCU vs. Oklahoma · W 55–24; offense 94.4 percentile2022 Week 6: TCU at Kansas · W 38–31; offense 64.7 percentile2022 Week 7: TCU vs. Oklahoma State · W 43–40; offense 53.5 percentile2022 Week 8: TCU vs. Kansas State · W 38–28; offense 80.3 percentile2022 Week 9: TCU at West Virginia · W 41–31; offense 80.5 percentile2022 Week 10: TCU vs. Texas Tech · W 34–24; offense 43.9 percentile2022 Week 11: TCU at Texas · W 17–10; offense 30.2 percentile2022 Week 12: TCU at Baylor · W 29–28; offense 72.1 percentile2022 Week 13: TCU vs. Iowa State · W 62–14; offense 79.0 percentile2022 Week 14: TCU vs. Kansas State · L 28–31; offense 68.1 percentile2022 Week 1: TCU vs. Michigan · W 51–45; offense 98.6 percentile2022 Week 1: TCU vs. Georgia · L 7–65; offense 18.8 percentile2023 Week 1: TCU vs. Colorado · L 42–45; offense 79.0 percentile2023 Week 2: TCU vs. Nicholls · W 41–6; offense 11.0 percentile2023 Week 3: TCU at Houston · W 36–13; offense 61.6 percentile2023 Week 4: TCU vs. SMU · W 34–17; offense 94.9 percentile2023 Week 5: TCU vs. West Virginia · L 21–24; offense 54.1 percentile2023 Week 6: TCU at Iowa State · L 14–27; offense 39.9 percentile2023 Week 7: TCU vs. BYU · W 44–11; offense 76.8 percentile2023 Week 8: TCU at Kansas State · L 3–41; offense 20.2 percentile2023 Week 10: TCU at Texas Tech · L 28–35; offense 56.6 percentile2023 Week 11: TCU vs. Texas · L 26–29; offense 75.4 percentile2023 Week 12: TCU vs. Baylor · W 42–17; offense 83.2 percentile2023 Week 13: TCU at Oklahoma · L 45–69; offense 88.7 percentile2024 Week 1: TCU at Stanford · W 34–27; offense 26.7 percentile2024 Week 2: TCU vs. Long Island University · W 45–0; offense 60.1 percentile2024 Week 3: TCU vs. UCF · L 34–35; offense 92.3 percentile2024 Week 4: TCU at SMU · L 42–66; offense 80.6 percentile2024 Week 5: TCU vs. Kansas · W 38–27; offense 71.8 percentile2024 Week 6: TCU vs. Houston · L 19–30; offense 30.6 percentile2024 Week 8: TCU at Utah · W 13–7; offense 38.7 percentile2024 Week 9: TCU vs. Texas Tech · W 35–34; offense 83.1 percentile2024 Week 10: TCU at Baylor · L 34–37; offense 72.3 percentile2024 Week 11: TCU vs. Oklahoma State · W 38–13; offense 83.1 percentile2024 Week 13: TCU vs. Arizona · W 49–28; offense 84.1 percentile2024 Week 14: TCU at Cincinnati · W 20–13; offense 31.8 percentile2024 Week 1: TCU vs. Louisiana · W 34–3; offense 63.6 percentile2025 Week 1: TCU at North Carolina · W 48–14; offense 95.6 percentile2025 Week 3: TCU vs. Abilene Christian · W 42–21; offense 81.8 percentile2025 Week 4: TCU vs. SMU · W 35–24; offense 77.3 percentile2025 Week 5: TCU at Arizona State · L 24–27; offense 25.2 percentile2025 Week 6: TCU vs. Colorado · W 35–21; offense 38.3 percentile2025 Week 7: TCU at Kansas State · L 28–41; offense 45.5 percentile2025 Week 8: TCU vs. Baylor · W 42–36; offense 31.9 percentile2025 Week 9: TCU at West Virginia · W 23–17; offense 30.1 percentile2025 Week 11: TCU vs. Iowa State · L 17–20; offense 44.2 percentile2025 Week 12: TCU at BYU · L 13–44; offense 54.0 percentile2025 Week 13: TCU at Houston · W 17–14; offense 62.4 percentile2025 Week 14: TCU vs. Cincinnati · W 45–23; offense 76.7 percentile2025 Week 1: TCU vs. USC · W 30–27; offense 57.0 percentile2026 Week 1: TCU vs. North Carolina · L 10–15; offense 20.0 percentile2014 offense season mean: 69.5 percentile2015 offense season mean: 66.3 percentile2016 offense season mean: 49.2 percentile2017 offense season mean: 57.2 percentile2018 offense season mean: 25.7 percentile2019 offense season mean: 49.0 percentile2020 offense season mean: 51.9 percentile2021 offense season mean: 73.0 percentile2022 offense season mean: 71.5 percentile2023 offense season mean: 63.9 percentile2024 offense season mean: 65.2 percentile2025 offense season mean: 57.5 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 53.0 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 20.0 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: TCU vs. Samford · W 48–14; defense 84.8 percentile2014 Week 3: TCU vs. Minnesota · W 30–7; defense 95.4 percentile2014 Week 5: TCU at SMU · W 56–0; defense 89.0 percentile2014 Week 6: TCU vs. Oklahoma · W 37–33; defense 66.0 percentile2014 Week 7: TCU at Baylor · L 58–61; defense 32.9 percentile2014 Week 8: TCU vs. Oklahoma State · W 42–9; defense 88.7 percentile2014 Week 9: TCU vs. Texas Tech · W 82–27; defense 61.2 percentile2014 Week 10: TCU at West Virginia · W 31–30; defense 90.6 percentile2014 Week 11: TCU vs. Kansas State · W 41–20; defense 75.4 percentile2014 Week 12: TCU at Kansas · W 34–30; defense 36.8 percentile2014 Week 14: TCU at Texas · W 48–10; defense 82.0 percentile2014 Week 15: TCU vs. Iowa State · W 55–3; defense 98.7 percentile2014 Week 1: TCU vs. Ole Miss · W 42–3; defense 99.9 percentile2015 Week 1: TCU at Minnesota · W 23–17; defense 66.9 percentile2015 Week 2: TCU vs. Stephen F. Austin · W 70–7; defense 58.5 percentile2015 Week 3: TCU vs. SMU · W 56–37; defense 26.8 percentile2015 Week 4: TCU at Texas Tech · W 55–52; defense 18.8 percentile2015 Week 5: TCU vs. Texas · W 50–7; defense 79.7 percentile2015 Week 6: TCU at Kansas State · W 52–45; defense 23.7 percentile2015 Week 7: TCU at Iowa State · W 45–21; defense 54.1 percentile2015 Week 9: TCU vs. West Virginia · W 40–10; defense 75.9 percentile2015 Week 10: TCU at Oklahoma State · L 29–49; defense 42.7 percentile2015 Week 11: TCU vs. Kansas · W 23–17; defense 48.3 percentile2015 Week 12: TCU at Oklahoma · L 29–30; defense 93.8 percentile2015 Week 13: TCU vs. Baylor · W 28–21; defense 98.8 percentile2015 Week 1: TCU vs. Oregon · W 47–41; defense 81.0 percentile2016 Week 1: TCU vs. South Dakota State · W 59–41; defense 13.3 percentile2016 Week 2: TCU vs. Arkansas · L 38–41; defense 63.3 percentile2016 Week 3: TCU vs. Iowa State · W 41–20; defense 86.5 percentile2016 Week 4: TCU at SMU · W 33–3; defense 91.8 percentile2016 Week 5: TCU vs. Oklahoma · L 46–52; defense 42.5 percentile2016 Week 6: TCU at Kansas · W 24–23; defense 33.0 percentile2016 Week 8: TCU at West Virginia · L 10–34; defense 45.2 percentile2016 Week 9: TCU vs. Texas Tech · L 24–27; defense 86.8 percentile2016 Week 10: TCU at Baylor · W 62–22; defense 89.8 percentile2016 Week 12: TCU vs. Oklahoma State · L 6–31; defense 18.5 percentile2016 Week 13: TCU at Texas · W 31–9; defense 97.1 percentile2016 Week 14: TCU vs. Kansas State · L 6–30; defense 25.8 percentile2016 Week 1: TCU vs. Georgia · L 23–31; defense 10.1 percentile2017 Week 1: TCU vs. Jackson State · W 63–0; defense 93.2 percentile2017 Week 2: TCU at Arkansas · W 28–7; defense 86.0 percentile2017 Week 3: TCU vs. SMU · W 56–36; defense 50.3 percentile2017 Week 4: TCU at Oklahoma State · W 44–31; defense 66.7 percentile2017 Week 6: TCU vs. West Virginia · W 31–24; defense 44.9 percentile2017 Week 7: TCU at Kansas State · W 26–6; defense 100.0 percentile2017 Week 8: TCU vs. Kansas · W 43–0; defense 99.3 percentile2017 Week 9: TCU at Iowa State · L 7–14; defense 98.9 percentile2017 Week 10: TCU vs. Texas · W 24–7; defense 96.1 percentile2017 Week 11: TCU at Oklahoma · L 20–38; defense 64.3 percentile2017 Week 12: TCU at Texas Tech · W 27–3; defense 81.6 percentile2017 Week 13: TCU vs. Baylor · W 45–22; defense 59.3 percentile2017 Week 14: TCU vs. Oklahoma · L 17–41; defense 47.6 percentile2017 Week 1: TCU vs. Stanford · W 39–37; defense 53.7 percentile2018 Week 1: TCU vs. Southern · W 55–7; defense 62.9 percentile2018 Week 2: TCU at SMU · W 42–12; defense 82.1 percentile2018 Week 3: TCU vs. Ohio State · L 28–40; defense 71.3 percentile2018 Week 4: TCU at Texas · L 16–31; defense 79.2 percentile2018 Week 5: TCU vs. Iowa State · W 17–14; defense 69.9 percentile2018 Week 7: TCU vs. Texas Tech · L 14–17; defense 88.3 percentile2018 Week 8: TCU vs. Oklahoma · L 27–52; defense 53.7 percentile2018 Week 9: TCU at Kansas · L 26–27; defense 58.5 percentile2018 Week 10: TCU vs. Kansas State · W 14–13; defense 81.4 percentile2018 Week 11: TCU at West Virginia · L 10–47; defense 54.3 percentile2018 Week 12: TCU at Baylor · W 16–9; defense 94.9 percentile2018 Week 13: TCU vs. Oklahoma State · W 31–24; defense 96.3 percentile2018 Week 1: TCU vs. California · W 10–7; defense 57.4 percentile2019 Week 1: TCU vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff · W 39–7; defense 59.2 percentile2019 Week 3: TCU at Purdue · W 34–13; defense 99.0 percentile2019 Week 4: TCU vs. SMU · L 38–41; defense 69.7 percentile2019 Week 5: TCU vs. Kansas · W 51–14; defense 98.9 percentile2019 Week 6: TCU at Iowa State · L 24–49; defense 24.0 percentile2019 Week 8: TCU at Kansas State · L 17–24; defense 80.9 percentile2019 Week 9: TCU vs. Texas · W 37–27; defense 66.8 percentile2019 Week 10: TCU at Oklahoma State · L 27–34; defense 47.7 percentile2019 Week 11: TCU vs. Baylor · L 23–29; defense 90.5 percentile2019 Week 12: TCU at Texas Tech · W 33–31; defense 21.6 percentile2019 Week 13: TCU at Oklahoma · L 24–28; defense 69.5 percentile2019 Week 14: TCU vs. West Virginia · L 17–20; defense 74.8 percentile2020 Week 4: TCU vs. Iowa State · L 34–37; defense 54.4 percentile2020 Week 5: TCU at Texas · W 33–31; defense 55.9 percentile2020 Week 6: TCU vs. Kansas State · L 14–21; defense 83.1 percentile2020 Week 8: TCU vs. Oklahoma · L 14–33; defense 44.1 percentile2020 Week 9: TCU at Baylor · W 33–23; defense 82.6 percentile2020 Week 10: TCU vs. Texas Tech · W 34–18; defense 73.9 percentile2020 Week 11: TCU at West Virginia · L 6–24; defense 19.4 percentile2020 Week 13: TCU at Kansas · W 59–23; defense 68.5 percentile2020 Week 14: TCU vs. Oklahoma State · W 29–22; defense 77.1 percentile2020 Week 15: TCU vs. Louisiana Tech · W 52–10; defense 88.9 percentile2021 Week 2: TCU vs. California · W 34–32; defense 6.9 percentile2021 Week 4: TCU vs. SMU · L 34–42; defense 2.7 percentile2021 Week 5: TCU vs. Texas · L 27–32; defense 28.0 percentile2021 Week 6: TCU at Texas Tech · W 52–31; defense 21.8 percentile2021 Week 7: TCU at Oklahoma · L 31–52; defense 22.0 percentile2021 Week 8: TCU vs. West Virginia · L 17–29; defense 6.5 percentile2021 Week 10: TCU vs. Baylor · W 30–28; defense 43.9 percentile2021 Week 12: TCU vs. Kansas · W 31–28; defense 16.3 percentile2021 Week 13: TCU at Iowa State · L 14–48; defense 1.6 percentile2022 Week 1: TCU at Colorado · W 38–13; defense 49.6 percentile2022 Week 2: TCU vs. Tarleton State · W 59–17; defense 24.8 percentile2022 Week 4: TCU at SMU · W 42–34; defense 49.0 percentile2022 Week 5: TCU vs. Oklahoma · W 55–24; defense 85.4 percentile2022 Week 6: TCU at Kansas · W 38–31; defense 30.0 percentile2022 Week 7: TCU vs. Oklahoma State · W 43–40; defense 47.6 percentile2022 Week 8: TCU vs. Kansas State · W 38–28; defense 44.0 percentile2022 Week 9: TCU at West Virginia · W 41–31; defense 22.4 percentile2022 Week 10: TCU vs. Texas Tech · W 34–24; defense 82.0 percentile2022 Week 11: TCU at Texas · W 17–10; defense 100.0 percentile2022 Week 12: TCU at Baylor · W 29–28; defense 40.1 percentile2022 Week 13: TCU vs. Iowa State · W 62–14; defense 66.3 percentile2022 Week 14: TCU vs. Kansas State · L 28–31; defense 54.7 percentile2022 Week 1: TCU vs. Michigan · W 51–45; defense 68.9 percentile2022 Week 1: TCU vs. Georgia · L 7–65; defense 3.5 percentile2023 Week 1: TCU vs. Colorado · L 42–45; defense 9.6 percentile2023 Week 2: TCU vs. Nicholls · W 41–6; defense 65.4 percentile2023 Week 3: TCU at Houston · W 36–13; defense 96.8 percentile2023 Week 4: TCU vs. SMU · W 34–17; defense 53.3 percentile2023 Week 5: TCU vs. West Virginia · L 21–24; defense 72.9 percentile2023 Week 6: TCU at Iowa State · L 14–27; defense 56.8 percentile2023 Week 7: TCU vs. BYU · W 44–11; defense 89.1 percentile2023 Week 8: TCU at Kansas State · L 3–41; defense 4.2 percentile2023 Week 10: TCU at Texas Tech · L 28–35; defense 44.8 percentile2023 Week 11: TCU vs. Texas · L 26–29; defense 48.2 percentile2023 Week 12: TCU vs. Baylor · W 42–17; defense 30.5 percentile2023 Week 13: TCU at Oklahoma · L 45–69; defense 12.6 percentile2024 Week 1: TCU at Stanford · W 34–27; defense 76.4 percentile2024 Week 2: TCU vs. Long Island University · W 45–0; defense 61.2 percentile2024 Week 3: TCU vs. UCF · L 34–35; defense 18.3 percentile2024 Week 4: TCU at SMU · L 42–66; defense 9.4 percentile2024 Week 5: TCU vs. Kansas · W 38–27; defense 54.2 percentile2024 Week 6: TCU vs. Houston · L 19–30; defense 17.2 percentile2024 Week 8: TCU at Utah · W 13–7; defense 85.7 percentile2024 Week 9: TCU vs. Texas Tech · W 35–34; defense 65.0 percentile2024 Week 10: TCU at Baylor · L 34–37; defense 17.7 percentile2024 Week 11: TCU vs. Oklahoma State · W 38–13; defense 19.1 percentile2024 Week 13: TCU vs. Arizona · W 49–28; defense 46.6 percentile2024 Week 14: TCU at Cincinnati · W 20–13; defense 63.9 percentile2024 Week 1: TCU vs. Louisiana · W 34–3; defense 98.8 percentile2025 Week 1: TCU at North Carolina · W 48–14; defense 86.3 percentile2025 Week 3: TCU vs. Abilene Christian · W 42–21; defense 2.3 percentile2025 Week 4: TCU vs. SMU · W 35–24; defense 43.9 percentile2025 Week 5: TCU at Arizona State · L 24–27; defense 42.8 percentile2025 Week 6: TCU vs. Colorado · W 35–21; defense 37.4 percentile2025 Week 7: TCU at Kansas State · L 28–41; defense 55.4 percentile2025 Week 8: TCU vs. Baylor · W 42–36; defense 80.3 percentile2025 Week 9: TCU at West Virginia · W 23–17; defense 73.6 percentile2025 Week 11: TCU vs. Iowa State · L 17–20; defense 63.8 percentile2025 Week 12: TCU at BYU · L 13–44; defense 13.4 percentile2025 Week 13: TCU at Houston · W 17–14; defense 79.8 percentile2025 Week 14: TCU vs. Cincinnati · W 45–23; defense 33.5 percentile2025 Week 1: TCU vs. USC · W 30–27; defense 86.9 percentile2026 Week 1: TCU vs. North Carolina · L 10–15; defense 37.3 percentile2014 defense season mean: 85.0 percentile2015 defense season mean: 63.6 percentile2016 defense season mean: 57.4 percentile2017 defense season mean: 84.7 percentile2018 defense season mean: 76.2 percentile2019 defense season mean: 73.7 percentile2020 defense season mean: 66.4 percentile2021 defense season mean: 12.5 percentile2022 defense season mean: 55.6 percentile2023 defense season mean: 48.3 percentile2024 defense season mean: 50.4 percentile2025 defense season mean: 52.5 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 50.8 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 37.3 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2021Gary Patterson / Jerry Kill
2022Sonny Dykes

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateSonny Dykes1
53.0 estimate20.0 games-only average
50.8 estimate37.3 games-only average
2025Sonny Dykes1357.552.5
2024Sonny Dykes1365.250.4
2023Sonny Dykes1263.948.3
2022Sonny DykesCoaching change1571.555.6
2021Gary Patterson / Jerry KillCoaching change973.012.5
2020Gary Patterson1051.966.4
2019Gary Patterson1249.073.7
2018Gary Patterson1325.776.2
2017Gary Patterson1457.284.7
2016Gary Patterson1349.257.4
2015Gary Patterson1366.363.6
2014Gary Patterson1369.585.0