2014–2026 performance history

Texas over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

SECHead coach: Steve SarkisianView Texas games →
Offense · 2026 estimate63.1/100

75.0 average through 1 game

61.5 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate83.3/100

89.5 average through 1 game

82.4 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Texas individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Strong · ’14–’16Charlie Strong, 2014–2016Herman · ’17–’20Tom Herman, 2017–2020Sarkisian · ’21–’26Steve Sarkisian, 2021–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Texas vs. North Texas · W 38–7; offense 28.5 percentile2014 Week 2: Texas vs. BYU · L 7–41; offense 4.3 percentile2014 Week 3: Texas vs. UCLA · L 17–20; offense 34.3 percentile2014 Week 5: Texas at Kansas · W 23–0; offense 9.2 percentile2014 Week 6: Texas vs. Baylor · L 7–28; offense 31.0 percentile2014 Week 7: Texas vs. Oklahoma · L 26–31; offense 56.8 percentile2014 Week 8: Texas vs. Iowa State · W 48–45; offense 58.0 percentile2014 Week 9: Texas at Kansas State · L 0–23; offense 8.5 percentile2014 Week 10: Texas at Texas Tech · W 34–13; offense 28.8 percentile2014 Week 11: Texas vs. West Virginia · W 33–16; offense 26.8 percentile2014 Week 12: Texas at Oklahoma State · W 28–7; offense 61.9 percentile2014 Week 14: Texas vs. TCU · L 10–48; offense 24.1 percentile2014 Week 1: Texas vs. Arkansas · L 7–31; offense 5.0 percentile2015 Week 1: Texas at Notre Dame · L 3–38; offense 12.8 percentile2015 Week 2: Texas vs. Rice · W 42–28; offense 43.0 percentile2015 Week 3: Texas vs. California · L 44–45; offense 76.0 percentile2015 Week 4: Texas vs. Oklahoma State · L 27–30; offense 14.7 percentile2015 Week 5: Texas at TCU · L 7–50; offense 22.2 percentile2015 Week 6: Texas vs. Oklahoma · W 24–17; offense 70.1 percentile2015 Week 8: Texas vs. Kansas State · W 23–9; offense 24.8 percentile2015 Week 9: Texas at Iowa State · L 0–24; offense 15.2 percentile2015 Week 10: Texas vs. Kansas · W 59–20; offense 72.2 percentile2015 Week 11: Texas at West Virginia · L 20–38; offense 82.5 percentile2015 Week 13: Texas vs. Texas Tech · L 45–48; offense 32.9 percentile2015 Week 14: Texas at Baylor · W 23–17; offense 36.3 percentile2016 Week 1: Texas vs. Notre Dame · W 50–47; offense 69.5 percentile2016 Week 2: Texas vs. UTEP · W 41–7; offense 42.9 percentile2016 Week 3: Texas at California · L 43–50; offense 70.2 percentile2016 Week 5: Texas at Oklahoma State · L 31–49; offense 85.1 percentile2016 Week 6: Texas vs. Oklahoma · L 40–45; offense 60.6 percentile2016 Week 7: Texas vs. Iowa State · W 27–6; offense 59.0 percentile2016 Week 8: Texas at Kansas State · L 21–24; offense 32.3 percentile2016 Week 9: Texas vs. Baylor · W 35–34; offense 62.1 percentile2016 Week 10: Texas at Texas Tech · W 45–37; offense 74.6 percentile2016 Week 11: Texas vs. West Virginia · L 20–24; offense 43.7 percentile2016 Week 12: Texas at Kansas · L 21–24; offense 19.7 percentile2016 Week 13: Texas vs. TCU · L 9–31; offense 8.8 percentile2017 Week 1: Texas vs. Maryland · L 41–51; offense 29.8 percentile2017 Week 2: Texas vs. San José State · W 56–0; offense 87.1 percentile2017 Week 3: Texas at USC · L 24–27; offense 10.9 percentile2017 Week 5: Texas at Iowa State · W 17–7; offense 39.8 percentile2017 Week 6: Texas vs. Kansas State · W 40–34; offense 64.4 percentile2017 Week 7: Texas vs. Oklahoma · L 24–29; offense 35.3 percentile2017 Week 8: Texas vs. Oklahoma State · L 10–13; offense 5.5 percentile2017 Week 9: Texas at Baylor · W 38–7; offense 18.9 percentile2017 Week 10: Texas at TCU · L 7–24; offense 6.9 percentile2017 Week 11: Texas vs. Kansas · W 42–27; offense 18.6 percentile2017 Week 12: Texas at West Virginia · W 28–14; offense 61.7 percentile2017 Week 13: Texas vs. Texas Tech · L 23–27; offense 10.9 percentile2017 Week 1: Texas vs. Missouri · W 33–16; offense 4.2 percentile2018 Week 1: Texas vs. Maryland · L 29–34; offense 24.5 percentile2018 Week 2: Texas vs. Tulsa · W 28–21; offense 48.1 percentile2018 Week 3: Texas vs. USC · W 37–14; offense 70.2 percentile2018 Week 4: Texas vs. TCU · W 31–16; offense 46.3 percentile2018 Week 5: Texas at Kansas State · W 19–14; offense 24.8 percentile2018 Week 6: Texas vs. Oklahoma · W 48–45; offense 85.3 percentile2018 Week 7: Texas vs. Baylor · W 23–17; offense 30.0 percentile2018 Week 9: Texas at Oklahoma State · L 35–38; offense 57.1 percentile2018 Week 10: Texas vs. West Virginia · L 41–42; offense 93.9 percentile2018 Week 11: Texas at Texas Tech · W 41–34; offense 86.4 percentile2018 Week 12: Texas vs. Iowa State · W 24–10; offense 62.8 percentile2018 Week 13: Texas at Kansas · W 24–17; offense 27.3 percentile2018 Week 14: Texas vs. Oklahoma · L 27–39; offense 69.2 percentile2018 Week 1: Texas vs. Georgia · W 28–21; offense 62.2 percentile2019 Week 1: Texas vs. Louisiana Tech · W 45–14; offense 95.6 percentile2019 Week 2: Texas vs. LSU · L 38–45; offense 93.0 percentile2019 Week 3: Texas vs. Rice · W 48–13; offense 94.5 percentile2019 Week 4: Texas vs. Oklahoma State · W 36–30; offense 88.6 percentile2019 Week 6: Texas at West Virginia · W 42–31; offense 68.1 percentile2019 Week 7: Texas vs. Oklahoma · L 27–34; offense 34.1 percentile2019 Week 8: Texas vs. Kansas · W 50–48; offense 88.2 percentile2019 Week 9: Texas at TCU · L 27–37; offense 77.8 percentile2019 Week 11: Texas vs. Kansas State · W 27–24; offense 82.8 percentile2019 Week 12: Texas at Iowa State · L 21–23; offense 19.7 percentile2019 Week 13: Texas at Baylor · L 10–24; offense 55.5 percentile2019 Week 14: Texas vs. Texas Tech · W 49–24; offense 92.7 percentile2019 Week 1: Texas vs. Utah · W 38–10; offense 98.5 percentile2020 Week 2: Texas vs. UTEP · W 59–3; offense 97.4 percentile2020 Week 4: Texas at Texas Tech · W 63–56; offense 52.3 percentile2020 Week 5: Texas vs. TCU · L 31–33; offense 82.0 percentile2020 Week 6: Texas vs. Oklahoma · L 45–53; offense 57.2 percentile2020 Week 8: Texas vs. Baylor · W 27–16; offense 79.5 percentile2020 Week 9: Texas at Oklahoma State · W 41–34; offense 27.7 percentile2020 Week 10: Texas vs. West Virginia · W 17–13; offense 57.1 percentile2020 Week 13: Texas vs. Iowa State · L 20–23; offense 76.8 percentile2020 Week 14: Texas at Kansas State · W 69–31; offense 98.0 percentile2020 Week 1: Texas vs. Colorado · W 55–23; offense 87.8 percentile2021 Week 1: Texas vs. Louisiana · W 38–18; offense 92.2 percentile2021 Week 2: Texas at Arkansas · L 21–40; offense 9.6 percentile2021 Week 4: Texas vs. Texas Tech · W 70–35; offense 99.3 percentile2021 Week 5: Texas at TCU · W 32–27; offense 45.5 percentile2021 Week 6: Texas vs. Oklahoma · L 48–55; offense 64.4 percentile2021 Week 7: Texas vs. Oklahoma State · L 24–32; offense 70.2 percentile2021 Week 9: Texas at Baylor · L 24–31; offense 50.7 percentile2021 Week 10: Texas at Iowa State · L 7–30; offense 24.8 percentile2021 Week 12: Texas at West Virginia · L 23–31; offense 66.9 percentile2021 Week 13: Texas vs. Kansas State · W 22–17; offense 65.2 percentile2022 Week 1: Texas vs. UL Monroe · W 52–10; offense 89.7 percentile2022 Week 2: Texas vs. Alabama · L 19–20; offense 36.2 percentile2022 Week 4: Texas at Texas Tech · L 34–37; offense 70.5 percentile2022 Week 5: Texas vs. West Virginia · W 38–20; offense 97.9 percentile2022 Week 6: Texas vs. Oklahoma · W 49–0; offense 98.4 percentile2022 Week 7: Texas vs. Iowa State · W 24–21; offense 68.4 percentile2022 Week 8: Texas at Oklahoma State · L 34–41; offense 37.1 percentile2022 Week 10: Texas at Kansas State · W 34–27; offense 86.0 percentile2022 Week 11: Texas vs. TCU · L 10–17; offense 0.1 percentile2022 Week 12: Texas at Kansas · W 55–14; offense 90.3 percentile2022 Week 13: Texas vs. Baylor · W 38–27; offense 91.3 percentile2022 Week 1: Texas vs. Washington · L 20–27; offense 47.9 percentile2023 Week 1: Texas vs. Rice · W 37–10; offense 50.8 percentile2023 Week 2: Texas at Alabama · W 34–24; offense 66.7 percentile2023 Week 3: Texas vs. Wyoming · W 31–10; offense 79.2 percentile2023 Week 4: Texas at Baylor · W 38–6; offense 82.8 percentile2023 Week 5: Texas vs. Kansas · W 40–14; offense 80.5 percentile2023 Week 6: Texas vs. Oklahoma · L 30–34; offense 67.2 percentile2023 Week 8: Texas at Houston · W 31–24; offense 62.4 percentile2023 Week 9: Texas vs. BYU · W 35–6; offense 46.4 percentile2023 Week 10: Texas vs. Kansas State · W 33–30; offense 47.6 percentile2023 Week 11: Texas at TCU · W 29–26; offense 66.2 percentile2023 Week 12: Texas at Iowa State · W 26–16; offense 81.9 percentile2023 Week 13: Texas vs. Texas Tech · W 57–7; offense 84.5 percentile2023 Week 14: Texas vs. Oklahoma State · W 49–21; offense 90.0 percentile2023 Week 1: Texas vs. Washington · L 31–37; offense 81.6 percentile2024 Week 1: Texas vs. Colorado State · W 52–0; offense 92.4 percentile2024 Week 2: Texas at Michigan · W 31–12; offense 79.8 percentile2024 Week 3: Texas vs. UTSA · W 56–7; offense 78.3 percentile2024 Week 4: Texas vs. UL Monroe · W 51–3; offense 79.4 percentile2024 Week 5: Texas vs. Mississippi State · W 35–13; offense 56.4 percentile2024 Week 7: Texas vs. Oklahoma · W 34–3; offense 69.1 percentile2024 Week 8: Texas vs. Georgia · L 15–30; offense 21.7 percentile2024 Week 9: Texas at Vanderbilt · W 27–24; offense 51.1 percentile2024 Week 11: Texas vs. Florida · W 49–17; offense 91.0 percentile2024 Week 12: Texas at Arkansas · W 20–10; offense 25.7 percentile2024 Week 13: Texas vs. Kentucky · W 31–14; offense 77.3 percentile2024 Week 14: Texas at Texas A&M · W 17–7; offense 89.4 percentile2024 Week 15: Texas vs. Georgia · L 19–22; offense 34.7 percentile2024 Week 1: Texas vs. Clemson · W 38–24; offense 79.4 percentile2024 Week 1: Texas vs. Arizona State · W 39–31; offense 49.9 percentile2024 Week 1: Texas vs. Ohio State · L 14–28; offense 51.2 percentile2025 Week 1: Texas at Ohio State · L 7–14; offense 67.7 percentile2025 Week 2: Texas vs. San José State · W 38–7; offense 67.4 percentile2025 Week 3: Texas vs. UTEP · W 27–10; offense 34.9 percentile2025 Week 4: Texas vs. Sam Houston · W 55–0; offense 91.9 percentile2025 Week 6: Texas at Florida · L 21–29; offense 19.7 percentile2025 Week 7: Texas vs. Oklahoma · W 23–6; offense 62.8 percentile2025 Week 8: Texas at Kentucky · W 16–13; offense 3.6 percentile2025 Week 9: Texas at Mississippi State · W 45–38; offense 24.4 percentile2025 Week 10: Texas vs. Vanderbilt · W 34–31; offense 91.1 percentile2025 Week 12: Texas at Georgia · L 10–35; offense 44.5 percentile2025 Week 13: Texas vs. Arkansas · W 52–37; offense 91.7 percentile2025 Week 14: Texas vs. Texas A&M · W 27–17; offense 77.0 percentile2025 Week 1: Texas vs. Michigan · W 41–27; offense 94.0 percentile2026 Week 1: Texas vs. Texas State · W 59–7; offense 75.0 percentile2014 offense season mean: 25.1 percentile2015 offense season mean: 40.5 percentile2016 offense season mean: 51.8 percentile2017 offense season mean: 25.9 percentile2018 offense season mean: 58.2 percentile2019 offense season mean: 82.0 percentile2020 offense season mean: 77.2 percentile2021 offense season mean: 63.8 percentile2022 offense season mean: 70.4 percentile2023 offense season mean: 72.1 percentile2024 offense season mean: 66.7 percentile2025 offense season mean: 61.5 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 63.1 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 75.0 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Texas vs. North Texas · W 38–7; defense 92.5 percentile2014 Week 2: Texas vs. BYU · L 7–41; defense 52.3 percentile2014 Week 3: Texas vs. UCLA · L 17–20; defense 67.6 percentile2014 Week 5: Texas at Kansas · W 23–0; defense 59.0 percentile2014 Week 6: Texas vs. Baylor · L 7–28; defense 72.4 percentile2014 Week 7: Texas vs. Oklahoma · L 26–31; defense 98.6 percentile2014 Week 8: Texas vs. Iowa State · W 48–45; defense 11.7 percentile2014 Week 9: Texas at Kansas State · L 0–23; defense 63.8 percentile2014 Week 10: Texas at Texas Tech · W 34–13; defense 92.7 percentile2014 Week 11: Texas vs. West Virginia · W 33–16; defense 70.1 percentile2014 Week 12: Texas at Oklahoma State · W 28–7; defense 96.4 percentile2014 Week 14: Texas vs. TCU · L 10–48; defense 77.1 percentile2014 Week 1: Texas vs. Arkansas · L 7–31; defense 52.1 percentile2015 Week 1: Texas at Notre Dame · L 3–38; defense 33.6 percentile2015 Week 2: Texas vs. Rice · W 42–28; defense 37.9 percentile2015 Week 3: Texas vs. California · L 44–45; defense 38.1 percentile2015 Week 4: Texas vs. Oklahoma State · L 27–30; defense 63.5 percentile2015 Week 5: Texas at TCU · L 7–50; defense 19.5 percentile2015 Week 6: Texas vs. Oklahoma · W 24–17; defense 96.0 percentile2015 Week 8: Texas vs. Kansas State · W 23–9; defense 78.6 percentile2015 Week 9: Texas at Iowa State · L 0–24; defense 49.0 percentile2015 Week 10: Texas vs. Kansas · W 59–20; defense 19.0 percentile2015 Week 11: Texas at West Virginia · L 20–38; defense 64.1 percentile2015 Week 13: Texas vs. Texas Tech · L 45–48; defense 51.3 percentile2015 Week 14: Texas at Baylor · W 23–17; defense 87.1 percentile2016 Week 1: Texas vs. Notre Dame · W 50–47; defense 45.6 percentile2016 Week 2: Texas vs. UTEP · W 41–7; defense 87.5 percentile2016 Week 3: Texas at California · L 43–50; defense 47.1 percentile2016 Week 5: Texas at Oklahoma State · L 31–49; defense 29.4 percentile2016 Week 6: Texas vs. Oklahoma · L 40–45; defense 27.9 percentile2016 Week 7: Texas vs. Iowa State · W 27–6; defense 95.5 percentile2016 Week 8: Texas at Kansas State · L 21–24; defense 46.1 percentile2016 Week 9: Texas vs. Baylor · W 35–34; defense 36.9 percentile2016 Week 10: Texas at Texas Tech · W 45–37; defense 80.3 percentile2016 Week 11: Texas vs. West Virginia · L 20–24; defense 72.7 percentile2016 Week 12: Texas at Kansas · L 21–24; defense 94.5 percentile2016 Week 13: Texas vs. TCU · L 9–31; defense 35.4 percentile2017 Week 1: Texas vs. Maryland · L 41–51; defense 5.1 percentile2017 Week 2: Texas vs. San José State · W 56–0; defense 94.8 percentile2017 Week 3: Texas at USC · L 24–27; defense 96.3 percentile2017 Week 5: Texas at Iowa State · W 17–7; defense 84.9 percentile2017 Week 6: Texas vs. Kansas State · W 40–34; defense 51.9 percentile2017 Week 7: Texas vs. Oklahoma · L 24–29; defense 83.8 percentile2017 Week 8: Texas vs. Oklahoma State · L 10–13; defense 97.7 percentile2017 Week 9: Texas at Baylor · W 38–7; defense 98.6 percentile2017 Week 10: Texas at TCU · L 7–24; defense 80.5 percentile2017 Week 11: Texas vs. Kansas · W 42–27; defense 44.4 percentile2017 Week 12: Texas at West Virginia · W 28–14; defense 93.5 percentile2017 Week 13: Texas vs. Texas Tech · L 23–27; defense 82.0 percentile2017 Week 1: Texas vs. Missouri · W 33–16; defense 92.9 percentile2018 Week 1: Texas vs. Maryland · L 29–34; defense 69.2 percentile2018 Week 2: Texas vs. Tulsa · W 28–21; defense 53.2 percentile2018 Week 3: Texas vs. USC · W 37–14; defense 70.4 percentile2018 Week 4: Texas vs. TCU · W 31–16; defense 39.8 percentile2018 Week 5: Texas at Kansas State · W 19–14; defense 69.7 percentile2018 Week 6: Texas vs. Oklahoma · W 48–45; defense 35.6 percentile2018 Week 7: Texas vs. Baylor · W 23–17; defense 86.7 percentile2018 Week 9: Texas at Oklahoma State · L 35–38; defense 52.5 percentile2018 Week 10: Texas vs. West Virginia · L 41–42; defense 9.2 percentile2018 Week 11: Texas at Texas Tech · W 41–34; defense 10.2 percentile2018 Week 12: Texas vs. Iowa State · W 24–10; defense 79.3 percentile2018 Week 13: Texas at Kansas · W 24–17; defense 59.0 percentile2018 Week 14: Texas vs. Oklahoma · L 27–39; defense 65.9 percentile2018 Week 1: Texas vs. Georgia · W 28–21; defense 98.3 percentile2019 Week 1: Texas vs. Louisiana Tech · W 45–14; defense 90.3 percentile2019 Week 2: Texas vs. LSU · L 38–45; defense 27.0 percentile2019 Week 3: Texas vs. Rice · W 48–13; defense 59.6 percentile2019 Week 4: Texas vs. Oklahoma State · W 36–30; defense 61.6 percentile2019 Week 6: Texas at West Virginia · W 42–31; defense 29.9 percentile2019 Week 7: Texas vs. Oklahoma · L 27–34; defense 51.4 percentile2019 Week 8: Texas vs. Kansas · W 50–48; defense 3.8 percentile2019 Week 9: Texas at TCU · L 27–37; defense 29.8 percentile2019 Week 11: Texas vs. Kansas State · W 27–24; defense 59.3 percentile2019 Week 12: Texas at Iowa State · L 21–23; defense 85.8 percentile2019 Week 13: Texas at Baylor · L 10–24; defense 41.8 percentile2019 Week 14: Texas vs. Texas Tech · W 49–24; defense 54.8 percentile2019 Week 1: Texas vs. Utah · W 38–10; defense 98.3 percentile2020 Week 2: Texas vs. UTEP · W 59–3; defense 99.3 percentile2020 Week 4: Texas at Texas Tech · W 63–56; defense 32.9 percentile2020 Week 5: Texas vs. TCU · L 31–33; defense 52.4 percentile2020 Week 6: Texas vs. Oklahoma · L 45–53; defense 87.4 percentile2020 Week 8: Texas vs. Baylor · W 27–16; defense 53.9 percentile2020 Week 9: Texas at Oklahoma State · W 41–34; defense 49.9 percentile2020 Week 10: Texas vs. West Virginia · W 17–13; defense 76.1 percentile2020 Week 13: Texas vs. Iowa State · L 20–23; defense 65.2 percentile2020 Week 14: Texas at Kansas State · W 69–31; defense 21.5 percentile2020 Week 1: Texas vs. Colorado · W 55–23; defense 79.2 percentile2021 Week 1: Texas vs. Louisiana · W 38–18; defense 69.3 percentile2021 Week 2: Texas at Arkansas · L 21–40; defense 26.7 percentile2021 Week 4: Texas vs. Texas Tech · W 70–35; defense 42.4 percentile2021 Week 5: Texas at TCU · W 32–27; defense 71.5 percentile2021 Week 6: Texas vs. Oklahoma · L 48–55; defense 18.4 percentile2021 Week 7: Texas vs. Oklahoma State · L 24–32; defense 69.1 percentile2021 Week 9: Texas at Baylor · L 24–31; defense 56.4 percentile2021 Week 10: Texas at Iowa State · L 7–30; defense 67.7 percentile2021 Week 12: Texas at West Virginia · L 23–31; defense 27.1 percentile2021 Week 13: Texas vs. Kansas State · W 22–17; defense 68.6 percentile2022 Week 1: Texas vs. UL Monroe · W 52–10; defense 69.7 percentile2022 Week 2: Texas vs. Alabama · L 19–20; defense 79.1 percentile2022 Week 4: Texas at Texas Tech · L 34–37; defense 54.9 percentile2022 Week 5: Texas vs. West Virginia · W 38–20; defense 71.6 percentile2022 Week 6: Texas vs. Oklahoma · W 49–0; defense 98.7 percentile2022 Week 7: Texas vs. Iowa State · W 24–21; defense 15.8 percentile2022 Week 8: Texas at Oklahoma State · L 34–41; defense 54.5 percentile2022 Week 10: Texas at Kansas State · W 34–27; defense 38.0 percentile2022 Week 11: Texas vs. TCU · L 10–17; defense 92.2 percentile2022 Week 12: Texas at Kansas · W 55–14; defense 78.4 percentile2022 Week 13: Texas vs. Baylor · W 38–27; defense 90.7 percentile2022 Week 1: Texas vs. Washington · L 20–27; defense 72.9 percentile2023 Week 1: Texas vs. Rice · W 37–10; defense 94.5 percentile2023 Week 2: Texas at Alabama · W 34–24; defense 71.2 percentile2023 Week 3: Texas vs. Wyoming · W 31–10; defense 88.5 percentile2023 Week 4: Texas at Baylor · W 38–6; defense 94.2 percentile2023 Week 5: Texas vs. Kansas · W 40–14; defense 98.4 percentile2023 Week 6: Texas vs. Oklahoma · L 30–34; defense 85.3 percentile2023 Week 8: Texas at Houston · W 31–24; defense 60.2 percentile2023 Week 9: Texas vs. BYU · W 35–6; defense 76.8 percentile2023 Week 10: Texas vs. Kansas State · W 33–30; defense 92.5 percentile2023 Week 11: Texas at TCU · W 29–26; defense 67.2 percentile2023 Week 12: Texas at Iowa State · W 26–16; defense 77.1 percentile2023 Week 13: Texas vs. Texas Tech · W 57–7; defense 93.9 percentile2023 Week 14: Texas vs. Oklahoma State · W 49–21; defense 89.0 percentile2023 Week 1: Texas vs. Washington · L 31–37; defense 61.8 percentile2024 Week 1: Texas vs. Colorado State · W 52–0; defense 92.0 percentile2024 Week 2: Texas at Michigan · W 31–12; defense 68.3 percentile2024 Week 3: Texas vs. UTSA · W 56–7; defense 98.0 percentile2024 Week 4: Texas vs. UL Monroe · W 51–3; defense 94.0 percentile2024 Week 5: Texas vs. Mississippi State · W 35–13; defense 71.6 percentile2024 Week 7: Texas vs. Oklahoma · W 34–3; defense 94.6 percentile2024 Week 8: Texas vs. Georgia · L 15–30; defense 80.3 percentile2024 Week 9: Texas at Vanderbilt · W 27–24; defense 87.2 percentile2024 Week 11: Texas vs. Florida · W 49–17; defense 57.8 percentile2024 Week 12: Texas at Arkansas · W 20–10; defense 80.7 percentile2024 Week 13: Texas vs. Kentucky · W 31–14; defense 93.1 percentile2024 Week 14: Texas at Texas A&M · W 17–7; defense 98.5 percentile2024 Week 15: Texas vs. Georgia · L 19–22; defense 86.4 percentile2024 Week 1: Texas vs. Clemson · W 38–24; defense 73.8 percentile2024 Week 1: Texas vs. Arizona State · W 39–31; defense 87.6 percentile2024 Week 1: Texas vs. Ohio State · L 14–28; defense 80.6 percentile2025 Week 1: Texas at Ohio State · L 7–14; defense 99.9 percentile2025 Week 2: Texas vs. San José State · W 38–7; defense 96.7 percentile2025 Week 3: Texas vs. UTEP · W 27–10; defense 92.7 percentile2025 Week 4: Texas vs. Sam Houston · W 55–0; defense 99.6 percentile2025 Week 6: Texas at Florida · L 21–29; defense 30.1 percentile2025 Week 7: Texas vs. Oklahoma · W 23–6; defense 96.3 percentile2025 Week 8: Texas at Kentucky · W 16–13; defense 78.2 percentile2025 Week 9: Texas at Mississippi State · W 45–38; defense 67.8 percentile2025 Week 10: Texas vs. Vanderbilt · W 34–31; defense 39.2 percentile2025 Week 12: Texas at Georgia · L 10–35; defense 59.0 percentile2025 Week 13: Texas vs. Arkansas · W 52–37; defense 28.7 percentile2025 Week 14: Texas vs. Texas A&M · W 27–17; defense 82.4 percentile2025 Week 1: Texas vs. Michigan · W 41–27; defense 54.0 percentile2026 Week 1: Texas vs. Texas State · W 59–7; defense 89.5 percentile2014 defense season mean: 74.8 percentile2015 defense season mean: 55.4 percentile2016 defense season mean: 62.4 percentile2017 defense season mean: 83.5 percentile2018 defense season mean: 58.9 percentile2019 defense season mean: 55.4 percentile2020 defense season mean: 67.2 percentile2021 defense season mean: 51.4 percentile2022 defense season mean: 72.5 percentile2023 defense season mean: 85.5 percentile2024 defense season mean: 87.1 percentile2025 defense season mean: 82.4 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 83.3 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 89.5 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2014Charlie Strong
2017Tom Herman
2021Steve Sarkisian

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateSteve Sarkisian1
63.1 estimate75.0 games-only average
83.3 estimate89.5 games-only average
2025Steve Sarkisian1361.582.4
2024Steve Sarkisian1666.787.1
2023Steve Sarkisian1472.185.5
2022Steve Sarkisian1270.472.5
2021Steve SarkisianCoaching change1063.851.4
2020Tom Herman1077.267.2
2019Tom Herman1382.055.4
2018Tom Herman1458.258.9
2017Tom HermanCoaching change1325.983.5
2016Charlie Strong1251.862.4
2015Charlie Strong1240.555.4
2014Charlie StrongCoaching change1325.174.8