2014–2026 performance history

Troy over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Sun BeltHead coach: Gerad ParkerView Troy games →
Offense · 2026 estimate20.7/100

15.4 average through 2 games

22.2 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate51.8/100

54.6 average through 2 games

51.0 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Troy individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.BlakeneyLarry Blakeney, 2014Brown · ’15–’18Neal Brown, 2015–2018Lindsey · ’19–’21Chip Lindsey, 2019–2021Sumrall · ’22–’23Jon Sumrall, 2022–2023Parker · ’24–’26Gerad Parker, 2024–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Troy at UAB · L 10–48; offense 7.0 percentile2014 Week 2: Troy vs. Duke · L 17–34; offense 39.3 percentile2014 Week 3: Troy vs. Abilene Christian · L 35–38; offense 26.7 percentile2014 Week 4: Troy at Georgia · L 0–66; offense 1.9 percentile2014 Week 5: Troy at UL Monroe · L 20–22; offense 45.5 percentile2014 Week 7: Troy vs. New Mexico State · W 41–24; offense 54.5 percentile2014 Week 8: Troy vs. App State · L 14–53; offense 12.6 percentile2014 Week 9: Troy at South Alabama · L 13–27; offense 14.1 percentile2014 Week 10: Troy at Georgia Southern · L 10–42; offense 16.6 percentile2014 Week 11: Troy vs. Georgia State · W 45–21; offense 70.7 percentile2014 Week 12: Troy at Idaho · W 34–17; offense 37.1 percentile2014 Week 14: Troy vs. Louisiana · L 23–42; offense 52.8 percentile2015 Week 1: Troy at NC State · L 21–49; offense 41.0 percentile2015 Week 2: Troy vs. Charleston Southern · W 44–16; offense 8.9 percentile2015 Week 3: Troy at Wisconsin · L 3–28; offense 41.6 percentile2015 Week 5: Troy vs. South Alabama · L 18–24; offense 2.4 percentile2015 Week 6: Troy at Mississippi State · L 17–45; offense 8.9 percentile2015 Week 7: Troy vs. Idaho · L 16–19; offense 3.7 percentile2015 Week 8: Troy at New Mexico State · W 52–7; offense 64.4 percentile2015 Week 9: Troy at App State · L 41–44; offense 73.0 percentile2015 Week 10: Troy vs. UL Monroe · W 51–14; offense 81.5 percentile2015 Week 11: Troy vs. Georgia Southern · L 10–45; offense 18.8 percentile2015 Week 13: Troy at Georgia State · L 21–31; offense 34.1 percentile2015 Week 14: Troy at Louisiana · W 41–17; offense 74.4 percentile2016 Week 1: Troy vs. Austin Peay · W 57–17; offense 77.8 percentile2016 Week 2: Troy at Clemson · L 24–30; offense 26.1 percentile2016 Week 3: Troy at Southern Miss · W 37–31; offense 18.6 percentile2016 Week 4: Troy vs. New Mexico State · W 52–6; offense 71.0 percentile2016 Week 7: Troy vs. Georgia State · W 31–21; offense 31.6 percentile2016 Week 8: Troy at South Alabama · W 28–21; offense 50.9 percentile2016 Week 10: Troy vs. Massachusetts · W 52–31; offense 59.7 percentile2016 Week 12: Troy vs. Arkansas State · L 3–35; offense 11.2 percentile2016 Week 13: Troy at Texas State · W 40–7; offense 45.0 percentile2016 Week 14: Troy at Georgia Southern · L 24–28; offense 32.6 percentile2016 Week 1: Troy vs. Ohio · W 28–23; offense 37.6 percentile2017 Week 1: Troy at Boise State · L 13–24; offense 5.8 percentile2017 Week 2: Troy vs. Alabama State · W 34–7; offense 77.9 percentile2017 Week 3: Troy at New Mexico State · W 27–24; offense 87.8 percentile2017 Week 4: Troy vs. Akron · W 22–17; offense 55.9 percentile2017 Week 5: Troy at LSU · W 24–21; offense 71.2 percentile2017 Week 7: Troy vs. South Alabama · L 8–19; offense 0.3 percentile2017 Week 9: Troy vs. Georgia Southern · W 38–16; offense 89.9 percentile2017 Week 10: Troy vs. Idaho · W 24–21; offense 67.3 percentile2017 Week 11: Troy at Coastal Carolina · W 42–17; offense 57.3 percentile2017 Week 13: Troy vs. Texas State · W 62–9; offense 85.6 percentile2017 Week 14: Troy at Arkansas State · W 32–25; offense 17.5 percentile2017 Week 1: Troy vs. North Texas · W 50–30; offense 68.7 percentile2018 Week 1: Troy vs. Boise State · L 20–56; offense 45.6 percentile2018 Week 2: Troy vs. Florida A&M · W 59–7; offense 48.6 percentile2018 Week 3: Troy at Nebraska · W 24–19; offense 7.0 percentile2018 Week 4: Troy at UL Monroe · W 35–27; offense 79.7 percentile2018 Week 5: Troy vs. Coastal Carolina · W 45–21; offense 63.1 percentile2018 Week 6: Troy vs. Georgia State · W 37–20; offense 65.6 percentile2018 Week 7: Troy at Liberty · L 16–22; offense 26.9 percentile2018 Week 9: Troy at South Alabama · W 38–17; offense 67.8 percentile2018 Week 10: Troy vs. Louisiana · W 26–16; offense 20.9 percentile2018 Week 11: Troy at Georgia Southern · W 35–21; offense 67.1 percentile2018 Week 12: Troy vs. Texas State · W 12–7; offense 5.0 percentile2018 Week 13: Troy at App State · L 10–21; offense 16.6 percentile2018 Week 1: Troy vs. Buffalo · W 42–32; offense 71.4 percentile2019 Week 1: Troy vs. Campbell · W 43–14; offense 76.4 percentile2019 Week 3: Troy vs. Southern Miss · L 42–47; offense 83.5 percentile2019 Week 4: Troy at Akron · W 35–7; offense 75.5 percentile2019 Week 5: Troy vs. Arkansas State · L 43–50; offense 71.0 percentile2019 Week 6: Troy at Missouri · L 10–42; offense 16.9 percentile2019 Week 8: Troy vs. South Alabama · W 37–13; offense 55.9 percentile2019 Week 9: Troy at Georgia State · L 33–52; offense 82.8 percentile2019 Week 10: Troy at Coastal Carolina · L 35–36; offense 70.4 percentile2019 Week 11: Troy vs. Georgia Southern · W 49–28; offense 92.2 percentile2019 Week 12: Troy at Texas State · W 63–27; offense 61.4 percentile2019 Week 13: Troy at Louisiana · L 3–53; offense 34.2 percentile2019 Week 14: Troy vs. App State · L 13–48; offense 29.4 percentile2020 Week 3: Troy at Middle Tennessee · W 47–14; offense 53.1 percentile2020 Week 4: Troy at BYU · L 7–48; offense 10.4 percentile2020 Week 6: Troy vs. Texas State · W 37–17; offense 24.0 percentile2020 Week 7: Troy vs. Eastern Kentucky · W 31–29; offense 20.3 percentile2020 Week 8: Troy vs. Georgia State · L 34–36; offense 61.2 percentile2020 Week 9: Troy at Arkansas State · W 38–10; offense 56.1 percentile2020 Week 10: Troy at Georgia Southern · L 13–20; offense 8.5 percentile2020 Week 12: Troy vs. Middle Tennessee · L 17–20; offense 32.9 percentile2020 Week 13: Troy at App State · L 10–47; offense 28.3 percentile2020 Week 14: Troy at South Alabama · W 29–0; offense 62.5 percentile2020 Week 15: Troy vs. Coastal Carolina · L 38–42; offense 79.3 percentile2021 Week 1: Troy vs. Southern · W 55–3; offense 41.9 percentile2021 Week 2: Troy vs. Liberty · L 13–21; offense 43.9 percentile2021 Week 3: Troy at Southern Miss · W 21–9; offense 8.9 percentile2021 Week 4: Troy at UL Monroe · L 16–29; offense 30.1 percentile2021 Week 5: Troy at South Carolina · L 14–23; offense 44.7 percentile2021 Week 6: Troy vs. Georgia Southern · W 27–24; offense 16.1 percentile2021 Week 7: Troy at Texas State · W 31–28; offense 45.5 percentile2021 Week 9: Troy at Coastal Carolina · L 28–35; offense 72.7 percentile2021 Week 10: Troy vs. South Alabama · W 31–24; offense 58.3 percentile2021 Week 11: Troy vs. Louisiana · L 21–35; offense 34.8 percentile2021 Week 12: Troy vs. App State · L 7–45; offense 1.2 percentile2021 Week 13: Troy at Georgia State · L 10–37; offense 30.0 percentile2022 Week 1: Troy at Ole Miss · L 10–28; offense 4.0 percentile2022 Week 2: Troy vs. Alabama A&M · W 38–17; offense 9.9 percentile2022 Week 3: Troy at App State · L 28–32; offense 66.4 percentile2022 Week 4: Troy vs. Marshall · W 16–7; offense 48.1 percentile2022 Week 5: Troy at Western Kentucky · W 34–27; offense 75.9 percentile2022 Week 6: Troy vs. Southern Miss · W 27–10; offense 47.7 percentile2022 Week 7: Troy vs. Texas State · W 17–14; offense 37.5 percentile2022 Week 8: Troy at South Alabama · W 10–6; offense 38.4 percentile2022 Week 10: Troy at Louisiana · W 23–17; offense 60.3 percentile2022 Week 11: Troy vs. Army · W 10–9; offense 5.0 percentile2022 Week 12: Troy vs. UL Monroe · W 34–16; offense 54.3 percentile2022 Week 13: Troy at Arkansas State · W 48–19; offense 81.1 percentile2022 Week 14: Troy vs. Coastal Carolina · W 45–26; offense 53.9 percentile2022 Week 1: Troy vs. UTSA · W 18–12; offense 5.0 percentile2023 Week 1: Troy vs. Stephen F. Austin · W 48–30; offense 64.8 percentile2023 Week 2: Troy at Kansas State · L 13–42; offense 11.9 percentile2023 Week 3: Troy vs. James Madison · L 14–16; offense 11.1 percentile2023 Week 4: Troy vs. Western Kentucky · W 27–24; offense 59.1 percentile2023 Week 5: Troy at Georgia State · W 28–7; offense 53.3 percentile2023 Week 6: Troy vs. Arkansas State · W 37–3; offense 53.0 percentile2023 Week 7: Troy at Army · W 19–0; offense 58.3 percentile2023 Week 9: Troy at Texas State · W 31–13; offense 50.7 percentile2023 Week 10: Troy vs. South Alabama · W 28–10; offense 56.0 percentile2023 Week 11: Troy at UL Monroe · W 45–14; offense 30.0 percentile2023 Week 12: Troy vs. Louisiana · W 31–24; offense 60.7 percentile2023 Week 13: Troy at Southern Miss · W 35–17; offense 25.0 percentile2023 Week 14: Troy vs. App State · W 49–23; offense 93.3 percentile2023 Week 1: Troy vs. Duke · L 10–17; offense 32.3 percentile2024 Week 1: Troy vs. Nevada · L 26–28; offense 50.7 percentile2024 Week 2: Troy at Memphis · L 17–38; offense 16.8 percentile2024 Week 3: Troy at Iowa · L 21–38; offense 42.3 percentile2024 Week 4: Troy vs. Florida A&M · W 34–12; offense 64.5 percentile2024 Week 5: Troy vs. UL Monroe · L 9–13; offense 4.4 percentile2024 Week 6: Troy vs. Texas State · L 17–38; offense 32.9 percentile2024 Week 8: Troy at South Alabama · L 9–25; offense 6.1 percentile2024 Week 9: Troy at Arkansas State · L 31–34; offense 37.6 percentile2024 Week 10: Troy vs. Coastal Carolina · W 38–24; offense 98.1 percentile2024 Week 12: Troy at Georgia Southern · W 28–20; offense 63.1 percentile2024 Week 13: Troy at Louisiana · L 30–51; offense 48.5 percentile2024 Week 14: Troy vs. Southern Miss · W 52–20; offense 46.7 percentile2025 Week 1: Troy vs. Nicholls · W 38–20; offense 35.6 percentile2025 Week 2: Troy at Clemson · L 16–27; offense 24.5 percentile2025 Week 3: Troy vs. Memphis · L 7–28; offense 1.9 percentile2025 Week 4: Troy at Buffalo · W 21–17; offense 51.0 percentile2025 Week 7: Troy at Texas State · W 48–41; offense 61.9 percentile2025 Week 8: Troy at UL Monroe · W 37–14; offense 36.1 percentile2025 Week 9: Troy vs. Louisiana · W 35–23; offense 62.6 percentile2025 Week 10: Troy vs. Arkansas State · L 10–23; offense 5.3 percentile2025 Week 12: Troy at Old Dominion · L 0–33; offense 2.8 percentile2025 Week 13: Troy vs. Georgia State · W 31–19; offense 19.9 percentile2025 Week 14: Troy at Southern Miss · W 28–18; offense 64.7 percentile2025 Week 15: Troy at James Madison · L 14–31; offense 7.7 percentile2025 Week 1: Troy vs. Jacksonville State · L 13–17; offense 4.3 percentile2026 Week 1: Troy vs. Sam Houston · W 24–21; offense 11.8 percentile2026 Week 2: Troy vs. Alabama State · W 34–17; offense 19.5 percentile2014 offense season mean: 27.0 percentile2015 offense season mean: 31.9 percentile2016 offense season mean: 40.9 percentile2017 offense season mean: 52.8 percentile2018 offense season mean: 42.0 percentile2019 offense season mean: 64.2 percentile2020 offense season mean: 37.4 percentile2021 offense season mean: 31.4 percentile2022 offense season mean: 37.2 percentile2023 offense season mean: 46.8 percentile2024 offense season mean: 41.8 percentile2025 offense season mean: 22.2 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 20.7 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 15.4 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Troy at UAB · L 10–48; defense 3.5 percentile2014 Week 2: Troy vs. Duke · L 17–34; defense 22.4 percentile2014 Week 3: Troy vs. Abilene Christian · L 35–38; defense 2.2 percentile2014 Week 4: Troy at Georgia · L 0–66; defense 1.2 percentile2014 Week 5: Troy at UL Monroe · L 20–22; defense 57.8 percentile2014 Week 7: Troy vs. New Mexico State · W 41–24; defense 33.5 percentile2014 Week 8: Troy vs. App State · L 14–53; defense 7.2 percentile2014 Week 9: Troy at South Alabama · L 13–27; defense 20.4 percentile2014 Week 10: Troy at Georgia Southern · L 10–42; defense 15.3 percentile2014 Week 11: Troy vs. Georgia State · W 45–21; defense 36.2 percentile2014 Week 12: Troy at Idaho · W 34–17; defense 67.8 percentile2014 Week 14: Troy vs. Louisiana · L 23–42; defense 1.6 percentile2015 Week 1: Troy at NC State · L 21–49; defense 22.0 percentile2015 Week 2: Troy vs. Charleston Southern · W 44–16; defense 40.3 percentile2015 Week 3: Troy at Wisconsin · L 3–28; defense 14.9 percentile2015 Week 5: Troy vs. South Alabama · L 18–24; defense 48.2 percentile2015 Week 6: Troy at Mississippi State · L 17–45; defense 50.9 percentile2015 Week 7: Troy vs. Idaho · L 16–19; defense 72.7 percentile2015 Week 8: Troy at New Mexico State · W 52–7; defense 92.9 percentile2015 Week 9: Troy at App State · L 41–44; defense 78.2 percentile2015 Week 10: Troy vs. UL Monroe · W 51–14; defense 28.3 percentile2015 Week 11: Troy vs. Georgia Southern · L 10–45; defense 28.1 percentile2015 Week 13: Troy at Georgia State · L 21–31; defense 34.2 percentile2015 Week 14: Troy at Louisiana · W 41–17; defense 67.2 percentile2016 Week 1: Troy vs. Austin Peay · W 57–17; defense 59.2 percentile2016 Week 2: Troy at Clemson · L 24–30; defense 72.8 percentile2016 Week 3: Troy at Southern Miss · W 37–31; defense 94.2 percentile2016 Week 4: Troy vs. New Mexico State · W 52–6; defense 73.2 percentile2016 Week 7: Troy vs. Georgia State · W 31–21; defense 56.5 percentile2016 Week 8: Troy at South Alabama · W 28–21; defense 53.5 percentile2016 Week 10: Troy vs. Massachusetts · W 52–31; defense 37.7 percentile2016 Week 12: Troy vs. Arkansas State · L 3–35; defense 41.6 percentile2016 Week 13: Troy at Texas State · W 40–7; defense 84.8 percentile2016 Week 14: Troy at Georgia Southern · L 24–28; defense 31.6 percentile2016 Week 1: Troy vs. Ohio · W 28–23; defense 50.6 percentile2017 Week 1: Troy at Boise State · L 13–24; defense 87.0 percentile2017 Week 2: Troy vs. Alabama State · W 34–7; defense 81.3 percentile2017 Week 3: Troy at New Mexico State · W 27–24; defense 65.4 percentile2017 Week 4: Troy vs. Akron · W 22–17; defense 46.9 percentile2017 Week 5: Troy at LSU · W 24–21; defense 57.0 percentile2017 Week 7: Troy vs. South Alabama · L 8–19; defense 82.5 percentile2017 Week 9: Troy vs. Georgia Southern · W 38–16; defense 60.5 percentile2017 Week 10: Troy vs. Idaho · W 24–21; defense 18.2 percentile2017 Week 11: Troy at Coastal Carolina · W 42–17; defense 76.9 percentile2017 Week 13: Troy vs. Texas State · W 62–9; defense 83.1 percentile2017 Week 14: Troy at Arkansas State · W 32–25; defense 47.8 percentile2017 Week 1: Troy vs. North Texas · W 50–30; defense 96.7 percentile2018 Week 1: Troy vs. Boise State · L 20–56; defense 38.8 percentile2018 Week 2: Troy vs. Florida A&M · W 59–7; defense 67.5 percentile2018 Week 3: Troy at Nebraska · W 24–19; defense 82.2 percentile2018 Week 4: Troy at UL Monroe · W 35–27; defense 34.4 percentile2018 Week 5: Troy vs. Coastal Carolina · W 45–21; defense 59.5 percentile2018 Week 6: Troy vs. Georgia State · W 37–20; defense 44.2 percentile2018 Week 7: Troy at Liberty · L 16–22; defense 75.7 percentile2018 Week 9: Troy at South Alabama · W 38–17; defense 40.5 percentile2018 Week 10: Troy vs. Louisiana · W 26–16; defense 90.3 percentile2018 Week 11: Troy at Georgia Southern · W 35–21; defense 90.9 percentile2018 Week 12: Troy vs. Texas State · W 12–7; defense 62.8 percentile2018 Week 13: Troy at App State · L 10–21; defense 94.5 percentile2018 Week 1: Troy vs. Buffalo · W 42–32; defense 44.5 percentile2019 Week 1: Troy vs. Campbell · W 43–14; defense 65.9 percentile2019 Week 3: Troy vs. Southern Miss · L 42–47; defense 8.5 percentile2019 Week 4: Troy at Akron · W 35–7; defense 64.1 percentile2019 Week 5: Troy vs. Arkansas State · L 43–50; defense 24.9 percentile2019 Week 6: Troy at Missouri · L 10–42; defense 7.0 percentile2019 Week 8: Troy vs. South Alabama · W 37–13; defense 71.2 percentile2019 Week 9: Troy at Georgia State · L 33–52; defense 4.5 percentile2019 Week 10: Troy at Coastal Carolina · L 35–36; defense 31.5 percentile2019 Week 11: Troy vs. Georgia Southern · W 49–28; defense 39.5 percentile2019 Week 12: Troy at Texas State · W 63–27; defense 19.9 percentile2019 Week 13: Troy at Louisiana · L 3–53; defense 30.0 percentile2019 Week 14: Troy vs. App State · L 13–48; defense 4.1 percentile2020 Week 3: Troy at Middle Tennessee · W 47–14; defense 86.9 percentile2020 Week 4: Troy at BYU · L 7–48; defense 30.4 percentile2020 Week 6: Troy vs. Texas State · W 37–17; defense 94.8 percentile2020 Week 7: Troy vs. Eastern Kentucky · W 31–29; defense 26.6 percentile2020 Week 8: Troy vs. Georgia State · L 34–36; defense 54.6 percentile2020 Week 9: Troy at Arkansas State · W 38–10; defense 86.0 percentile2020 Week 10: Troy at Georgia Southern · L 13–20; defense 70.4 percentile2020 Week 12: Troy vs. Middle Tennessee · L 17–20; defense 24.1 percentile2020 Week 13: Troy at App State · L 10–47; defense 6.4 percentile2020 Week 14: Troy at South Alabama · W 29–0; defense 93.6 percentile2020 Week 15: Troy vs. Coastal Carolina · L 38–42; defense 32.7 percentile2021 Week 1: Troy vs. Southern · W 55–3; defense 64.3 percentile2021 Week 2: Troy vs. Liberty · L 13–21; defense 79.7 percentile2021 Week 3: Troy at Southern Miss · W 21–9; defense 97.8 percentile2021 Week 4: Troy at UL Monroe · L 16–29; defense 68.6 percentile2021 Week 5: Troy at South Carolina · L 14–23; defense 26.8 percentile2021 Week 6: Troy vs. Georgia Southern · W 27–24; defense 85.6 percentile2021 Week 7: Troy at Texas State · W 31–28; defense 27.1 percentile2021 Week 9: Troy at Coastal Carolina · L 28–35; defense 53.0 percentile2021 Week 10: Troy vs. South Alabama · W 31–24; defense 64.2 percentile2021 Week 11: Troy vs. Louisiana · L 21–35; defense 37.8 percentile2021 Week 12: Troy vs. App State · L 7–45; defense 30.3 percentile2021 Week 13: Troy at Georgia State · L 10–37; defense 39.1 percentile2022 Week 1: Troy at Ole Miss · L 10–28; defense 36.6 percentile2022 Week 2: Troy vs. Alabama A&M · W 38–17; defense 68.3 percentile2022 Week 3: Troy at App State · L 28–32; defense 6.9 percentile2022 Week 4: Troy vs. Marshall · W 16–7; defense 87.4 percentile2022 Week 5: Troy at Western Kentucky · W 34–27; defense 83.5 percentile2022 Week 6: Troy vs. Southern Miss · W 27–10; defense 70.5 percentile2022 Week 7: Troy vs. Texas State · W 17–14; defense 75.3 percentile2022 Week 8: Troy at South Alabama · W 10–6; defense 97.5 percentile2022 Week 10: Troy at Louisiana · W 23–17; defense 65.4 percentile2022 Week 11: Troy vs. Army · W 10–9; defense 66.6 percentile2022 Week 12: Troy vs. UL Monroe · W 34–16; defense 62.5 percentile2022 Week 13: Troy at Arkansas State · W 48–19; defense 70.2 percentile2022 Week 14: Troy vs. Coastal Carolina · W 45–26; defense 82.8 percentile2022 Week 1: Troy vs. UTSA · W 18–12; defense 84.7 percentile2023 Week 1: Troy vs. Stephen F. Austin · W 48–30; defense 52.2 percentile2023 Week 2: Troy at Kansas State · L 13–42; defense 57.4 percentile2023 Week 3: Troy vs. James Madison · L 14–16; defense 98.7 percentile2023 Week 4: Troy vs. Western Kentucky · W 27–24; defense 88.9 percentile2023 Week 5: Troy at Georgia State · W 28–7; defense 86.0 percentile2023 Week 6: Troy vs. Arkansas State · W 37–3; defense 96.9 percentile2023 Week 7: Troy at Army · W 19–0; defense 84.2 percentile2023 Week 9: Troy at Texas State · W 31–13; defense 63.1 percentile2023 Week 10: Troy vs. South Alabama · W 28–10; defense 98.8 percentile2023 Week 11: Troy at UL Monroe · W 45–14; defense 71.9 percentile2023 Week 12: Troy vs. Louisiana · W 31–24; defense 72.2 percentile2023 Week 13: Troy at Southern Miss · W 35–17; defense 61.6 percentile2023 Week 14: Troy vs. App State · W 49–23; defense 76.6 percentile2023 Week 1: Troy vs. Duke · L 10–17; defense 75.4 percentile2024 Week 1: Troy vs. Nevada · L 26–28; defense 15.0 percentile2024 Week 2: Troy at Memphis · L 17–38; defense 19.0 percentile2024 Week 3: Troy at Iowa · L 21–38; defense 15.6 percentile2024 Week 4: Troy vs. Florida A&M · W 34–12; defense 26.3 percentile2024 Week 5: Troy vs. UL Monroe · L 9–13; defense 58.5 percentile2024 Week 6: Troy vs. Texas State · L 17–38; defense 33.5 percentile2024 Week 8: Troy at South Alabama · L 9–25; defense 62.5 percentile2024 Week 9: Troy at Arkansas State · L 31–34; defense 26.8 percentile2024 Week 10: Troy vs. Coastal Carolina · W 38–24; defense 41.6 percentile2024 Week 12: Troy at Georgia Southern · W 28–20; defense 44.6 percentile2024 Week 13: Troy at Louisiana · L 30–51; defense 49.3 percentile2024 Week 14: Troy vs. Southern Miss · W 52–20; defense 50.6 percentile2025 Week 1: Troy vs. Nicholls · W 38–20; defense 14.9 percentile2025 Week 2: Troy at Clemson · L 16–27; defense 47.1 percentile2025 Week 3: Troy vs. Memphis · L 7–28; defense 37.1 percentile2025 Week 4: Troy at Buffalo · W 21–17; defense 84.0 percentile2025 Week 7: Troy at Texas State · W 48–41; defense 24.8 percentile2025 Week 8: Troy at UL Monroe · W 37–14; defense 51.5 percentile2025 Week 9: Troy vs. Louisiana · W 35–23; defense 15.7 percentile2025 Week 10: Troy vs. Arkansas State · L 10–23; defense 77.3 percentile2025 Week 12: Troy at Old Dominion · L 0–33; defense 57.2 percentile2025 Week 13: Troy vs. Georgia State · W 31–19; defense 33.3 percentile2025 Week 14: Troy at Southern Miss · W 28–18; defense 73.1 percentile2025 Week 15: Troy at James Madison · L 14–31; defense 60.9 percentile2025 Week 1: Troy vs. Jacksonville State · L 13–17; defense 85.2 percentile2026 Week 1: Troy vs. Sam Houston · W 24–21; defense 46.8 percentile2026 Week 2: Troy vs. Alabama State · W 34–17; defense 62.3 percentile2014 defense season mean: 15.0 percentile2015 defense season mean: 48.9 percentile2016 defense season mean: 61.9 percentile2017 defense season mean: 70.0 percentile2018 defense season mean: 66.8 percentile2019 defense season mean: 25.9 percentile2020 defense season mean: 57.9 percentile2021 defense season mean: 59.4 percentile2022 defense season mean: 70.7 percentile2023 defense season mean: 82.5 percentile2024 defense season mean: 35.6 percentile2025 defense season mean: 51.0 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 51.8 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 54.6 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2015Neal Brown
2019Chip Lindsey
2021Chip Lindsey / Brandon Hall
2022Jon Sumrall
2023Jon Sumrall / Greg Gasparato
2024Gerad Parker

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateGerad Parker2
20.7 estimate15.4 games-only average
51.8 estimate54.6 games-only average
2025Gerad Parker1322.251.0
2024Gerad ParkerCoaching change1241.835.6
2023Jon Sumrall / Greg GasparatoCoaching change1446.882.5
2022Jon SumrallCoaching change1437.270.7
2021Chip Lindsey / Brandon HallCoaching change1231.459.4
2020Chip Lindsey1137.457.9
2019Chip LindseyCoaching change1264.225.9
2018Neal Brown1342.066.8
2017Neal Brown1252.870.0
2016Neal Brown1140.961.9
2015Neal BrownCoaching change1231.948.9
2014Larry Blakeney1227.015.0