20142026 performance history

Tulsa over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

American AthleticHead coach: Tre LambView Tulsa games →
Offense · 2026 estimate30.1/100

26.8 average through 1 game

30.5 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate42.4/100

44.5 average through 1 game

42.1 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Tulsa individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.BlankenshipBill Blankenship, 2014Montgomery · ’15–’22Philip Montgomery, 2015–2022Wilson · ’23–’24Kevin Wilson, 2023–2024Lamb · ’25–’26Tre Lamb, 2025–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Tulane · W 38–31; offense 79.1 percentile2014 Week 2: Tulsa vs. Oklahoma · L 7–52; offense 18.9 percentile2014 Week 5: Tulsa vs. Texas State · L 34–37; offense 19.6 percentile2014 Week 6: Tulsa at Colorado State · L 17–42; offense 33.5 percentile2014 Week 7: Tulsa at Temple · L 24–35; offense 45.1 percentile2014 Week 8: Tulsa vs. South Florida · L 30–38; offense 30.5 percentile2014 Week 10: Tulsa at Memphis · L 20–40; offense 28.5 percentile2014 Week 11: Tulsa vs. SMU · W 38–28; offense 69.2 percentile2014 Week 12: Tulsa at UCF · L 7–31; offense 31.0 percentile2014 Week 13: Tulsa at Houston · L 28–38; offense 85.4 percentile2014 Week 14: Tulsa vs. East Carolina · L 32–49; offense 52.5 percentile2015 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Florida Atlantic · W 47–44; offense 81.5 percentile2015 Week 2: Tulsa at New Mexico · W 40–21; offense 83.8 percentile2015 Week 3: Tulsa at Oklahoma · L 38–52; offense 81.0 percentile2015 Week 5: Tulsa vs. Houston · L 24–38; offense 37.7 percentile2015 Week 6: Tulsa vs. UL Monroe · W 34–24; offense 33.7 percentile2015 Week 7: Tulsa at East Carolina · L 17–30; offense 41.1 percentile2015 Week 8: Tulsa vs. Memphis · L 42–66; offense 67.1 percentile2015 Week 9: Tulsa at SMU · W 40–31; offense 19.6 percentile2015 Week 10: Tulsa vs. UCF · W 45–30; offense 81.1 percentile2015 Week 11: Tulsa at Cincinnati · L 38–49; offense 59.0 percentile2015 Week 12: Tulsa vs. Navy · L 21–44; offense 18.0 percentile2015 Week 13: Tulsa at Tulane · W 45–34; offense 58.1 percentile2015 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Virginia Tech · L 52–55; offense 74.8 percentile2016 Week 1: Tulsa vs. San José State · W 45–10; offense 68.4 percentile2016 Week 2: Tulsa at Ohio State · L 3–48; offense 9.3 percentile2016 Week 3: Tulsa vs. North Carolina A&T · W 58–21; offense 43.3 percentile2016 Week 4: Tulsa at Fresno State · W 48–41; offense 55.9 percentile2016 Week 6: Tulsa vs. SMU · W 43–40; offense 45.2 percentile2016 Week 7: Tulsa at Houston · L 31–38; offense 70.8 percentile2016 Week 8: Tulsa vs. Tulane · W 50–27; offense 88.2 percentile2016 Week 9: Tulsa at Memphis · W 59–30; offense 93.6 percentile2016 Week 10: Tulsa vs. East Carolina · W 45–24; offense 64.0 percentile2016 Week 11: Tulsa at Navy · L 40–42; offense 89.7 percentile2016 Week 12: Tulsa at UCF · W 35–20; offense 77.9 percentile2016 Week 13: Tulsa vs. Cincinnati · W 40–37; offense 60.1 percentile2016 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Central Michigan · W 55–10; offense 96.1 percentile2017 Week 1: Tulsa at Oklahoma State · L 24–59; offense 35.4 percentile2017 Week 2: Tulsa vs. Louisiana · W 66–42; offense 90.2 percentile2017 Week 3: Tulsa at Toledo · L 51–54; offense 91.3 percentile2017 Week 4: Tulsa vs. New Mexico · L 13–16; offense 18.6 percentile2017 Week 5: Tulsa vs. Navy · L 21–31; offense 45.7 percentile2017 Week 6: Tulsa at Tulane · L 28–62; offense 55.5 percentile2017 Week 7: Tulsa vs. Houston · W 45–17; offense 89.4 percentile2017 Week 8: Tulsa at UConn · L 14–20; offense 24.6 percentile2017 Week 9: Tulsa at SMU · L 34–38; offense 39.8 percentile2017 Week 10: Tulsa vs. Memphis · L 14–41; offense 16.8 percentile2017 Week 12: Tulsa at South Florida · L 20–27; offense 38.9 percentile2017 Week 13: Tulsa vs. Temple · L 22–43; offense 67.1 percentile2018 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Central Arkansas · W 38–27; offense 32.0 percentile2018 Week 2: Tulsa at Texas · L 21–28; offense 38.0 percentile2018 Week 3: Tulsa vs. Arkansas State · L 20–29; offense 57.1 percentile2018 Week 4: Tulsa at Temple · L 17–31; offense 42.3 percentile2018 Week 6: Tulsa at Houston · L 26–41; offense 20.8 percentile2018 Week 7: Tulsa vs. South Florida · L 24–25; offense 15.1 percentile2018 Week 8: Tulsa at Arkansas · L 0–23; offense 11.8 percentile2018 Week 9: Tulsa vs. Tulane · L 17–24; offense 27.8 percentile2018 Week 10: Tulsa vs. UConn · W 49–19; offense 56.3 percentile2018 Week 11: Tulsa at Memphis · L 21–47; offense 13.3 percentile2018 Week 12: Tulsa at Navy · L 29–37; offense 30.5 percentile2018 Week 13: Tulsa vs. SMU · W 27–24; offense 26.3 percentile2019 Week 1: Tulsa at Michigan State · L 7–28; offense 1.8 percentile2019 Week 2: Tulsa at San José State · W 34–16; offense 77.1 percentile2019 Week 3: Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State · L 21–40; offense 21.6 percentile2019 Week 4: Tulsa vs. Wyoming · W 24–21; offense 39.5 percentile2019 Week 6: Tulsa at SMU · L 37–43; offense 58.3 percentile2019 Week 7: Tulsa vs. Navy · L 17–45; offense 22.5 percentile2019 Week 8: Tulsa at Cincinnati · L 13–24; offense 62.0 percentile2019 Week 9: Tulsa vs. Memphis · L 41–42; offense 80.6 percentile2019 Week 10: Tulsa at Tulane · L 26–38; offense 53.1 percentile2019 Week 11: Tulsa vs. UCF · W 34–31; offense 47.6 percentile2019 Week 13: Tulsa vs. Houston · L 14–24; offense 3.3 percentile2019 Week 14: Tulsa at East Carolina · W 49–24; offense 94.0 percentile2020 Week 3: Tulsa at Oklahoma State · L 7–16; offense 14.1 percentile2020 Week 5: Tulsa at UCF · W 34–26; offense 34.9 percentile2020 Week 8: Tulsa at South Florida · W 42–13; offense 76.0 percentile2020 Week 9: Tulsa vs. East Carolina · W 34–30; offense 58.0 percentile2020 Week 11: Tulsa vs. SMU · W 28–24; offense 43.8 percentile2020 Week 12: Tulsa vs. Tulane · W 30–24; offense 65.1 percentile2020 Week 14: Tulsa at Navy · W 19–6; offense 13.5 percentile2020 Week 16: Tulsa at Cincinnati · L 24–27; offense 83.1 percentile2020 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Mississippi State · L 26–28; offense 76.7 percentile2021 Week 3: Tulsa at Ohio State · L 20–41; offense 50.1 percentile2021 Week 5: Tulsa vs. Houston · L 10–45; offense 5.8 percentile2021 Week 6: Tulsa vs. Memphis · W 35–29; offense 60.3 percentile2021 Week 9: Tulsa vs. Navy · L 17–20; offense 2.8 percentile2021 Week 10: Tulsa at Cincinnati · L 20–28; offense 70.3 percentile2021 Week 11: Tulsa at Tulane · W 20–13; offense 27.9 percentile2021 Week 12: Tulsa vs. Temple · W 44–10; offense 82.4 percentile2021 Week 13: Tulsa at SMU · W 34–31; offense 36.9 percentile2021 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Old Dominion · W 30–17; offense 57.9 percentile2022 Week 1: Tulsa at Wyoming · L 37–40; offense 76.5 percentile2022 Week 2: Tulsa vs. Northern Illinois · W 38–35; offense 69.7 percentile2022 Week 3: Tulsa vs. Jacksonville State · W 54–17; offense 61.9 percentile2022 Week 4: Tulsa at Ole Miss · L 27–35; offense 70.7 percentile2022 Week 5: Tulsa vs. Cincinnati · L 21–31; offense 36.1 percentile2022 Week 6: Tulsa at Navy · L 21–53; offense 48.1 percentile2022 Week 8: Tulsa at Temple · W 27–16; offense 37.3 percentile2022 Week 9: Tulsa vs. SMU · L 34–45; offense 60.3 percentile2022 Week 10: Tulsa vs. Tulane · L 13–27; offense 28.7 percentile2022 Week 11: Tulsa at Memphis · L 10–26; offense 3.8 percentile2022 Week 12: Tulsa vs. South Florida · W 48–42; offense 52.1 percentile2022 Week 13: Tulsa at Houston · W 37–30; offense 47.4 percentile2023 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff · W 42–7; offense 68.3 percentile2023 Week 2: Tulsa at Washington · L 10–43; offense 20.7 percentile2023 Week 3: Tulsa vs. Oklahoma · L 17–66; offense 27.3 percentile2023 Week 4: Tulsa at Northern Illinois · W 22–14; offense 47.9 percentile2023 Week 5: Tulsa vs. Temple · W 48–26; offense 88.4 percentile2023 Week 6: Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · L 17–20; offense 45.7 percentile2023 Week 8: Tulsa vs. Rice · L 10–42; offense 16.4 percentile2023 Week 9: Tulsa at SMU · L 10–69; offense 12.2 percentile2023 Week 10: Tulsa vs. Charlotte · L 26–33; offense 63.7 percentile2023 Week 11: Tulsa at Tulane · L 22–24; offense 53.4 percentile2023 Week 12: Tulsa vs. North Texas · L 28–35; offense 31.3 percentile2023 Week 13: Tulsa at East Carolina · W 29–27; offense 47.7 percentile2024 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Northwestern State · W 62–28; offense 74.4 percentile2024 Week 2: Tulsa at Arkansas State · L 24–28; offense 14.8 percentile2024 Week 3: Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State · L 10–45; offense 5.9 percentile2024 Week 4: Tulsa at Louisiana Tech · W 23–20; offense 20.5 percentile2024 Week 5: Tulsa at North Texas · L 20–52; offense 12.3 percentile2024 Week 6: Tulsa vs. Army · L 7–49; offense 26.9 percentile2024 Week 8: Tulsa at Temple · L 10–20; offense 7.7 percentile2024 Week 9: Tulsa vs. UTSA · W 46–45; offense 72.8 percentile2024 Week 10: Tulsa at UAB · L 21–59; offense 24.1 percentile2024 Week 12: Tulsa vs. East Carolina · L 31–38; offense 19.1 percentile2024 Week 13: Tulsa at South Florida · L 30–63; offense 14.4 percentile2024 Week 14: Tulsa vs. Florida Atlantic · L 16–63; offense 3.0 percentile2025 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Abilene Christian · W 35–7; offense 17.4 percentile2025 Week 2: Tulsa at New Mexico State · L 14–21; offense 10.3 percentile2025 Week 3: Tulsa vs. Navy · L 23–42; offense 21.7 percentile2025 Week 5: Tulsa vs. Tulane · L 14–31; offense 6.4 percentile2025 Week 6: Tulsa at Memphis · L 7–45; offense 4.7 percentile2025 Week 8: Tulsa at East Carolina · L 27–41; offense 28.7 percentile2025 Week 9: Tulsa vs. Temple · L 37–38; offense 37.5 percentile2025 Week 11: Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · L 21–40; offense 37.2 percentile2025 Week 12: Tulsa vs. Oregon State · W 31–14; offense 85.2 percentile2025 Week 13: Tulsa at Army · W 26–25; offense 93.8 percentile2025 Week 14: Tulsa vs. UAB · L 24–31; offense 21.0 percentile2026 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State · W 24–10; offense 26.8 percentile2014 offense season mean: 44.8 percentile2015 offense season mean: 57.5 percentile2016 offense season mean: 69.6 percentile2017 offense season mean: 53.0 percentile2018 offense season mean: 29.4 percentile2019 offense season mean: 43.2 percentile2020 offense season mean: 51.1 percentile2021 offense season mean: 39.2 percentile2022 offense season mean: 47.6 percentile2023 offense season mean: 42.8 percentile2024 offense season mean: 20.5 percentile2025 offense season mean: 30.5 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 30.1 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 26.8 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Tulane · W 38–31; defense 16.8 percentile2014 Week 2: Tulsa vs. Oklahoma · L 7–52; defense 1.8 percentile2014 Week 5: Tulsa vs. Texas State · L 34–37; defense 73.4 percentile2014 Week 6: Tulsa at Colorado State · L 17–42; defense 30.7 percentile2014 Week 7: Tulsa at Temple · L 24–35; defense 19.2 percentile2014 Week 8: Tulsa vs. South Florida · L 30–38; defense 9.3 percentile2014 Week 10: Tulsa at Memphis · L 20–40; defense 39.2 percentile2014 Week 11: Tulsa vs. SMU · W 38–28; defense 1.1 percentile2014 Week 12: Tulsa at UCF · L 7–31; defense 14.9 percentile2014 Week 13: Tulsa at Houston · L 28–38; defense 7.6 percentile2014 Week 14: Tulsa vs. East Carolina · L 32–49; defense 29.9 percentile2015 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Florida Atlantic · W 47–44; defense 21.9 percentile2015 Week 2: Tulsa at New Mexico · W 40–21; defense 74.3 percentile2015 Week 3: Tulsa at Oklahoma · L 38–52; defense 6.2 percentile2015 Week 5: Tulsa vs. Houston · L 24–38; defense 56.4 percentile2015 Week 6: Tulsa vs. UL Monroe · W 34–24; defense 23.4 percentile2015 Week 7: Tulsa at East Carolina · L 17–30; defense 84.8 percentile2015 Week 8: Tulsa vs. Memphis · L 42–66; defense 18.5 percentile2015 Week 9: Tulsa at SMU · W 40–31; defense 45.1 percentile2015 Week 10: Tulsa vs. UCF · W 45–30; defense 22.9 percentile2015 Week 11: Tulsa at Cincinnati · L 38–49; defense 4.5 percentile2015 Week 12: Tulsa vs. Navy · L 21–44; defense 10.6 percentile2015 Week 13: Tulsa at Tulane · W 45–34; defense 1.6 percentile2015 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Virginia Tech · L 52–55; defense 2.7 percentile2016 Week 1: Tulsa vs. San José State · W 45–10; defense 77.1 percentile2016 Week 2: Tulsa at Ohio State · L 3–48; defense 61.7 percentile2016 Week 3: Tulsa vs. North Carolina A&T · W 58–21; defense 59.5 percentile2016 Week 4: Tulsa at Fresno State · W 48–41; defense 28.1 percentile2016 Week 6: Tulsa vs. SMU · W 43–40; defense 81.0 percentile2016 Week 7: Tulsa at Houston · L 31–38; defense 29.1 percentile2016 Week 8: Tulsa vs. Tulane · W 50–27; defense 17.1 percentile2016 Week 9: Tulsa at Memphis · W 59–30; defense 53.6 percentile2016 Week 10: Tulsa vs. East Carolina · W 45–24; defense 59.7 percentile2016 Week 11: Tulsa at Navy · L 40–42; defense 20.1 percentile2016 Week 12: Tulsa at UCF · W 35–20; defense 86.7 percentile2016 Week 13: Tulsa vs. Cincinnati · W 40–37; defense 14.9 percentile2016 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Central Michigan · W 55–10; defense 67.4 percentile2017 Week 1: Tulsa at Oklahoma State · L 24–59; defense 7.0 percentile2017 Week 2: Tulsa vs. Louisiana · W 66–42; defense 2.9 percentile2017 Week 3: Tulsa at Toledo · L 51–54; defense 6.6 percentile2017 Week 4: Tulsa vs. New Mexico · L 13–16; defense 28.0 percentile2017 Week 5: Tulsa vs. Navy · L 21–31; defense 23.8 percentile2017 Week 6: Tulsa at Tulane · L 28–62; defense 1.5 percentile2017 Week 7: Tulsa vs. Houston · W 45–17; defense 74.3 percentile2017 Week 8: Tulsa at UConn · L 14–20; defense 74.1 percentile2017 Week 9: Tulsa at SMU · L 34–38; defense 43.9 percentile2017 Week 10: Tulsa vs. Memphis · L 14–41; defense 32.9 percentile2017 Week 12: Tulsa at South Florida · L 20–27; defense 59.6 percentile2017 Week 13: Tulsa vs. Temple · L 22–43; defense 11.3 percentile2018 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Central Arkansas · W 38–27; defense 47.0 percentile2018 Week 2: Tulsa at Texas · L 21–28; defense 50.8 percentile2018 Week 3: Tulsa vs. Arkansas State · L 20–29; defense 60.9 percentile2018 Week 4: Tulsa at Temple · L 17–31; defense 68.9 percentile2018 Week 6: Tulsa at Houston · L 26–41; defense 28.9 percentile2018 Week 7: Tulsa vs. South Florida · L 24–25; defense 44.0 percentile2018 Week 8: Tulsa at Arkansas · L 0–23; defense 41.6 percentile2018 Week 9: Tulsa vs. Tulane · L 17–24; defense 38.7 percentile2018 Week 10: Tulsa vs. UConn · W 49–19; defense 23.5 percentile2018 Week 11: Tulsa at Memphis · L 21–47; defense 34.5 percentile2018 Week 12: Tulsa at Navy · L 29–37; defense 5.9 percentile2018 Week 13: Tulsa vs. SMU · W 27–24; defense 51.0 percentile2019 Week 1: Tulsa at Michigan State · L 7–28; defense 78.9 percentile2019 Week 2: Tulsa at San José State · W 34–16; defense 90.9 percentile2019 Week 3: Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State · L 21–40; defense 13.8 percentile2019 Week 4: Tulsa vs. Wyoming · W 24–21; defense 76.6 percentile2019 Week 6: Tulsa at SMU · L 37–43; defense 90.8 percentile2019 Week 7: Tulsa vs. Navy · L 17–45; defense 44.0 percentile2019 Week 8: Tulsa at Cincinnati · L 13–24; defense 63.0 percentile2019 Week 9: Tulsa vs. Memphis · L 41–42; defense 21.1 percentile2019 Week 10: Tulsa at Tulane · L 26–38; defense 17.7 percentile2019 Week 11: Tulsa vs. UCF · W 34–31; defense 56.8 percentile2019 Week 13: Tulsa vs. Houston · L 14–24; defense 96.3 percentile2019 Week 14: Tulsa at East Carolina · W 49–24; defense 80.2 percentile2020 Week 3: Tulsa at Oklahoma State · L 7–16; defense 90.5 percentile2020 Week 5: Tulsa at UCF · W 34–26; defense 96.3 percentile2020 Week 8: Tulsa at South Florida · W 42–13; defense 77.3 percentile2020 Week 9: Tulsa vs. East Carolina · W 34–30; defense 23.0 percentile2020 Week 11: Tulsa vs. SMU · W 28–24; defense 91.1 percentile2020 Week 12: Tulsa vs. Tulane · W 30–24; defense 68.6 percentile2020 Week 14: Tulsa at Navy · W 19–6; defense 92.0 percentile2020 Week 16: Tulsa at Cincinnati · L 24–27; defense 86.3 percentile2020 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Mississippi State · L 26–28; defense 38.9 percentile2021 Week 3: Tulsa at Ohio State · L 20–41; defense 60.1 percentile2021 Week 5: Tulsa vs. Houston · L 10–45; defense 38.1 percentile2021 Week 6: Tulsa vs. Memphis · W 35–29; defense 41.7 percentile2021 Week 9: Tulsa vs. Navy · L 17–20; defense 41.0 percentile2021 Week 10: Tulsa at Cincinnati · L 20–28; defense 52.5 percentile2021 Week 11: Tulsa at Tulane · W 20–13; defense 87.9 percentile2021 Week 12: Tulsa vs. Temple · W 44–10; defense 52.1 percentile2021 Week 13: Tulsa at SMU · W 34–31; defense 85.8 percentile2021 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Old Dominion · W 30–17; defense 74.5 percentile2022 Week 1: Tulsa at Wyoming · L 37–40; defense 37.5 percentile2022 Week 2: Tulsa vs. Northern Illinois · W 38–35; defense 30.2 percentile2022 Week 3: Tulsa vs. Jacksonville State · W 54–17; defense 21.2 percentile2022 Week 4: Tulsa at Ole Miss · L 27–35; defense 33.4 percentile2022 Week 5: Tulsa vs. Cincinnati · L 21–31; defense 39.6 percentile2022 Week 6: Tulsa at Navy · L 21–53; defense 6.1 percentile2022 Week 8: Tulsa at Temple · W 27–16; defense 95.6 percentile2022 Week 9: Tulsa vs. SMU · L 34–45; defense 25.5 percentile2022 Week 10: Tulsa vs. Tulane · L 13–27; defense 21.5 percentile2022 Week 11: Tulsa at Memphis · L 10–26; defense 91.7 percentile2022 Week 12: Tulsa vs. South Florida · W 48–42; defense 25.8 percentile2022 Week 13: Tulsa at Houston · W 37–30; defense 86.2 percentile2023 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff · W 42–7; defense 36.8 percentile2023 Week 2: Tulsa at Washington · L 10–43; defense 5.0 percentile2023 Week 3: Tulsa vs. Oklahoma · L 17–66; defense 3.8 percentile2023 Week 4: Tulsa at Northern Illinois · W 22–14; defense 81.2 percentile2023 Week 5: Tulsa vs. Temple · W 48–26; defense 67.6 percentile2023 Week 6: Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · L 17–20; defense 43.1 percentile2023 Week 8: Tulsa vs. Rice · L 10–42; defense 3.1 percentile2023 Week 9: Tulsa at SMU · L 10–69; defense 4.2 percentile2023 Week 10: Tulsa vs. Charlotte · L 26–33; defense 20.5 percentile2023 Week 11: Tulsa at Tulane · L 22–24; defense 81.9 percentile2023 Week 12: Tulsa vs. North Texas · L 28–35; defense 10.8 percentile2023 Week 13: Tulsa at East Carolina · W 29–27; defense 11.0 percentile2024 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Northwestern State · W 62–28; defense 21.3 percentile2024 Week 2: Tulsa at Arkansas State · L 24–28; defense 57.0 percentile2024 Week 3: Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State · L 10–45; defense 1.0 percentile2024 Week 4: Tulsa at Louisiana Tech · W 23–20; defense 81.0 percentile2024 Week 5: Tulsa at North Texas · L 20–52; defense 37.3 percentile2024 Week 6: Tulsa vs. Army · L 7–49; defense 1.3 percentile2024 Week 8: Tulsa at Temple · L 10–20; defense 46.7 percentile2024 Week 9: Tulsa vs. UTSA · W 46–45; defense 43.3 percentile2024 Week 10: Tulsa at UAB · L 21–59; defense 4.7 percentile2024 Week 12: Tulsa vs. East Carolina · L 31–38; defense 53.9 percentile2024 Week 13: Tulsa at South Florida · L 30–63; defense 15.3 percentile2024 Week 14: Tulsa vs. Florida Atlantic · L 16–63; defense 5.8 percentile2025 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Abilene Christian · W 35–7; defense 54.3 percentile2025 Week 2: Tulsa at New Mexico State · L 14–21; defense 77.4 percentile2025 Week 3: Tulsa vs. Navy · L 23–42; defense 32.5 percentile2025 Week 5: Tulsa vs. Tulane · L 14–31; defense 38.0 percentile2025 Week 6: Tulsa at Memphis · L 7–45; defense 20.5 percentile2025 Week 8: Tulsa at East Carolina · L 27–41; defense 31.0 percentile2025 Week 9: Tulsa vs. Temple · L 37–38; defense 30.7 percentile2025 Week 11: Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · L 21–40; defense 20.2 percentile2025 Week 12: Tulsa vs. Oregon State · W 31–14; defense 68.9 percentile2025 Week 13: Tulsa at Army · W 26–25; defense 72.6 percentile2025 Week 14: Tulsa vs. UAB · L 24–31; defense 23.7 percentile2026 Week 1: Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State · W 24–10; defense 44.5 percentile2014 defense season mean: 16.6 percentile2015 defense season mean: 22.1 percentile2016 defense season mean: 50.3 percentile2017 defense season mean: 23.6 percentile2018 defense season mean: 39.6 percentile2019 defense season mean: 64.2 percentile2020 defense season mean: 78.7 percentile2021 defense season mean: 61.1 percentile2022 defense season mean: 44.1 percentile2023 defense season mean: 23.8 percentile2024 defense season mean: 22.6 percentile2025 defense season mean: 42.1 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 42.4 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 44.5 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2015Philip Montgomery
2023Kevin Wilson
2024Kevin Wilson / Ryan Switzer
2025Tre Lamb

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateTre Lamb1
30.1 estimate26.8 games-only average
42.4 estimate44.5 games-only average
2025Tre LambCoaching change1130.542.1
2024Kevin Wilson / Ryan SwitzerCoaching change1220.522.6
2023Kevin WilsonCoaching change1242.823.8
2022Philip Montgomery1247.644.1
2021Philip Montgomery939.261.1
2020Philip Montgomery951.178.7
2019Philip Montgomery1243.264.2
2018Philip Montgomery1229.439.6
2017Philip Montgomery1253.023.6
2016Philip Montgomery1369.650.3
2015Philip MontgomeryCoaching change1357.522.1
2014Bill Blankenship1144.816.6