2014–2026 performance history

UNLV over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Mountain WestHead coach: Dan MullenView UNLV games →
Offense · 2026 estimate63.2/100

33.8 average through 3 games

73.3 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate37.1/100

51.8 average through 3 games

31.9 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

UNLV individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.HauckBobby Hauck, 2014Sanchez · ’15–’19Tony Sanchez, 2015–2019Arroyo · ’20–’22Marcus Arroyo, 2020–2022Odom · ’23–’24Barry Odom, 2023–2024Mullen · ’25–’26Dan Mullen, 2025–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: UNLV at Arizona · L 13–58; offense 22.0 percentile2014 Week 2: UNLV vs. Northern Colorado · W 13–12; offense 14.6 percentile2014 Week 3: UNLV vs. Northern Illinois · L 34–48; offense 77.2 percentile2014 Week 4: UNLV at Houston · L 14–47; offense 23.7 percentile2014 Week 5: UNLV at San Diego State · L 17–34; offense 79.0 percentile2014 Week 6: UNLV at San José State · L 10–33; offense 1.2 percentile2014 Week 7: UNLV vs. Fresno State · W 30–27; offense 24.7 percentile2014 Week 9: UNLV at Utah State · L 20–34; offense 30.2 percentile2014 Week 10: UNLV vs. New Mexico · L 28–31; offense 49.0 percentile2014 Week 11: UNLV vs. Air Force · L 21–48; offense 29.0 percentile2014 Week 12: UNLV at BYU · L 23–42; offense 44.3 percentile2014 Week 13: UNLV at Hawai'i · L 35–37; offense 40.0 percentile2014 Week 14: UNLV vs. Nevada · L 27–49; offense 25.3 percentile2015 Week 1: UNLV at Northern Illinois · L 30–38; offense 54.5 percentile2015 Week 2: UNLV vs. UCLA · L 3–37; offense 1.4 percentile2015 Week 3: UNLV at Michigan · L 7–28; offense 15.9 percentile2015 Week 4: UNLV vs. Idaho State · W 80–8; offense 75.9 percentile2015 Week 5: UNLV at Nevada · W 23–17; offense 18.4 percentile2015 Week 6: UNLV vs. San José State · L 27–33; offense 50.3 percentile2015 Week 7: UNLV at Fresno State · L 28–31; offense 26.4 percentile2015 Week 9: UNLV vs. Boise State · L 27–55; offense 60.8 percentile2015 Week 11: UNLV at Colorado State · L 35–49; offense 68.4 percentile2015 Week 12: UNLV vs. San Diego State · L 14–52; offense 30.3 percentile2015 Week 13: UNLV at Wyoming · L 28–35; offense 57.9 percentile2016 Week 1: UNLV vs. Jackson State · W 63–13; offense 71.4 percentile2016 Week 2: UNLV at UCLA · L 21–42; offense 86.3 percentile2016 Week 3: UNLV at Central Michigan · L 21–44; offense 1.8 percentile2016 Week 4: UNLV vs. Idaho · L 30–33; offense 62.9 percentile2016 Week 5: UNLV vs. Fresno State · W 45–20; offense 57.8 percentile2016 Week 6: UNLV at San Diego State · L 7–26; offense 10.1 percentile2016 Week 7: UNLV at Hawai'i · W 41–38; offense 71.8 percentile2016 Week 8: UNLV vs. Colorado State · L 23–42; offense 39.6 percentile2016 Week 9: UNLV at San José State · L 24–30; offense 31.8 percentile2016 Week 11: UNLV vs. Wyoming · W 69–66; offense 64.1 percentile2016 Week 12: UNLV at Boise State · L 25–42; offense 59.8 percentile2016 Week 13: UNLV vs. Nevada · L 10–45; offense 4.3 percentile2017 Week 1: UNLV vs. Howard · L 40–43; offense 58.8 percentile2017 Week 2: UNLV at Idaho · W 44–16; offense 97.4 percentile2017 Week 4: UNLV at Ohio State · L 21–54; offense 48.8 percentile2017 Week 5: UNLV vs. San José State · W 41–13; offense 96.5 percentile2017 Week 6: UNLV vs. San Diego State · L 10–41; offense 10.3 percentile2017 Week 7: UNLV at Air Force · L 30–34; offense 29.0 percentile2017 Week 8: UNLV vs. Utah State · L 28–52; offense 72.5 percentile2017 Week 9: UNLV at Fresno State · W 26–16; offense 57.3 percentile2017 Week 10: UNLV vs. Hawai'i · W 31–23; offense 20.2 percentile2017 Week 11: UNLV vs. BYU · L 21–31; offense 51.6 percentile2017 Week 12: UNLV at New Mexico · W 38–35; offense 86.8 percentile2017 Week 13: UNLV at Nevada · L 16–23; offense 12.4 percentile2018 Week 1: UNLV at USC · L 21–43; offense 50.3 percentile2018 Week 2: UNLV vs. UTEP · W 52–24; offense 96.8 percentile2018 Week 3: UNLV vs. Prairie View A&M · W 46–17; offense 28.8 percentile2018 Week 4: UNLV at Arkansas State · L 20–27; offense 45.3 percentile2018 Week 6: UNLV vs. New Mexico · L 14–50; offense 0.1 percentile2018 Week 7: UNLV at Utah State · L 28–59; offense 43.2 percentile2018 Week 8: UNLV vs. Air Force · L 35–41; offense 49.2 percentile2018 Week 9: UNLV at San José State · L 37–50; offense 56.6 percentile2018 Week 10: UNLV vs. Fresno State · L 3–48; offense 17.4 percentile2018 Week 11: UNLV at San Diego State · W 27–24; offense 80.6 percentile2018 Week 12: UNLV at Hawai'i · L 28–35; offense 25.9 percentile2018 Week 13: UNLV vs. Nevada · W 34–29; offense 64.0 percentile2019 Week 1: UNLV vs. Southern Utah · W 56–23; offense 63.4 percentile2019 Week 2: UNLV vs. Arkansas State · L 17–43; offense 10.9 percentile2019 Week 3: UNLV at Northwestern · L 14–30; offense 45.4 percentile2019 Week 5: UNLV at Wyoming · L 17–53; offense 35.3 percentile2019 Week 6: UNLV vs. Boise State · L 13–38; offense 5.3 percentile2019 Week 7: UNLV at Vanderbilt · W 34–10; offense 47.3 percentile2019 Week 8: UNLV at Fresno State · L 27–56; offense 31.8 percentile2019 Week 9: UNLV vs. San Diego State · L 17–20; offense 46.1 percentile2019 Week 10: UNLV at Colorado State · L 17–37; offense 36.6 percentile2019 Week 12: UNLV vs. Hawai'i · L 7–21; offense 7.8 percentile2019 Week 13: UNLV vs. San José State · W 38–35; offense 57.9 percentile2019 Week 14: UNLV at Nevada · W 33–30; offense 61.0 percentile2020 Week 8: UNLV at San Diego State · L 6–34; offense 26.8 percentile2020 Week 9: UNLV vs. Nevada · L 19–37; offense 64.7 percentile2020 Week 10: UNLV vs. Fresno State · L 27–40; offense 54.4 percentile2020 Week 11: UNLV at San José State · L 17–34; offense 40.7 percentile2020 Week 13: UNLV vs. Wyoming · L 14–45; offense 32.1 percentile2020 Week 15: UNLV at Hawai'i · L 21–38; offense 39.5 percentile2021 Week 2: UNLV at Arizona State · L 10–37; offense 24.3 percentile2021 Week 4: UNLV at Fresno State · L 30–38; offense 75.1 percentile2021 Week 5: UNLV at UTSA · L 17–24; offense 17.7 percentile2021 Week 7: UNLV vs. Utah State · L 24–28; offense 59.0 percentile2021 Week 8: UNLV vs. San José State · L 20–27; offense 39.1 percentile2021 Week 9: UNLV at Nevada · L 20–51; offense 22.9 percentile2021 Week 10: UNLV at New Mexico · W 31–17; offense 28.2 percentile2021 Week 12: UNLV vs. San Diego State · L 20–28; offense 57.0 percentile2021 Week 13: UNLV at Air Force · L 14–48; offense 42.3 percentile2022 Week 2: UNLV at California · L 14–20; offense 19.9 percentile2022 Week 3: UNLV vs. North Texas · W 58–27; offense 97.7 percentile2022 Week 5: UNLV vs. New Mexico · W 31–20; offense 62.3 percentile2022 Week 6: UNLV at San José State · L 7–40; offense 4.5 percentile2022 Week 7: UNLV vs. Air Force · L 7–42; offense 64.2 percentile2022 Week 8: UNLV at Notre Dame · L 21–44; offense 17.3 percentile2022 Week 10: UNLV at San Diego State · L 10–14; offense 25.3 percentile2022 Week 11: UNLV vs. Fresno State · L 30–37; offense 56.4 percentile2022 Week 12: UNLV at Hawai'i · L 25–31; offense 20.3 percentile2022 Week 13: UNLV vs. Nevada · W 27–22; offense 22.5 percentile2023 Week 2: UNLV at Michigan · L 7–35; offense 6.5 percentile2023 Week 3: UNLV vs. Vanderbilt · W 40–37; offense 40.8 percentile2023 Week 4: UNLV at UTEP · W 45–28; offense 78.2 percentile2023 Week 5: UNLV vs. Hawai'i · W 44–20; offense 89.9 percentile2023 Week 7: UNLV at Nevada · W 45–27; offense 78.2 percentile2023 Week 8: UNLV vs. Colorado State · W 25–23; offense 47.6 percentile2023 Week 9: UNLV at Fresno State · L 24–31; offense 44.1 percentile2023 Week 10: UNLV at New Mexico · W 56–14; offense 94.4 percentile2023 Week 11: UNLV vs. Wyoming · W 34–14; offense 82.0 percentile2023 Week 12: UNLV at Air Force · W 31–27; offense 76.5 percentile2023 Week 13: UNLV vs. San José State · L 31–37; offense 71.0 percentile2023 Week 14: UNLV vs. Boise State · L 20–44; offense 25.7 percentile2023 Week 1: UNLV vs. Kansas · L 36–49; offense 57.2 percentile2024 Week 1: UNLV at Houston · W 27–7; offense 57.4 percentile2024 Week 2: UNLV vs. Utah Tech · W 72–14; offense 84.4 percentile2024 Week 3: UNLV vs. Kansas · W 23–20; offense 20.3 percentile2024 Week 5: UNLV vs. Fresno State · W 59–14; offense 83.3 percentile2024 Week 6: UNLV vs. Syracuse · L 41–44; offense 90.3 percentile2024 Week 7: UNLV at Utah State · W 50–34; offense 87.9 percentile2024 Week 8: UNLV at Oregon State · W 33–25; offense 53.1 percentile2024 Week 9: UNLV vs. Boise State · L 24–29; offense 85.2 percentile2024 Week 11: UNLV at Hawai'i · W 29–27; offense 58.7 percentile2024 Week 12: UNLV vs. San Diego State · W 41–20; offense 56.7 percentile2024 Week 13: UNLV at San José State · W 27–16; offense 35.2 percentile2024 Week 14: UNLV vs. Nevada · W 38–14; offense 96.9 percentile2024 Week 15: UNLV at Boise State · L 7–21; offense 21.2 percentile2024 Week 1: UNLV vs. California · W 24–13; offense 29.1 percentile2025 Week 1: UNLV vs. Idaho State · W 38–31; offense 35.8 percentile2025 Week 2: UNLV vs. UCLA · W 30–23; offense 70.4 percentile2025 Week 4: UNLV at Miami (OH) · W 41–38; offense 80.3 percentile2025 Week 6: UNLV at Wyoming · W 31–17; offense 33.2 percentile2025 Week 7: UNLV vs. Air Force · W 51–48; offense 86.7 percentile2025 Week 8: UNLV at Boise State · L 31–56; offense 69.6 percentile2025 Week 10: UNLV vs. New Mexico · L 35–40; offense 58.2 percentile2025 Week 11: UNLV at Colorado State · W 42–10; offense 92.6 percentile2025 Week 12: UNLV vs. Utah State · W 29–26; offense 48.7 percentile2025 Week 13: UNLV vs. Hawai'i · W 38–10; offense 95.9 percentile2025 Week 14: UNLV at Nevada · W 42–17; offense 99.8 percentile2025 Week 15: UNLV at Boise State · L 21–38; offense 64.7 percentile2025 Week 1: UNLV vs. Ohio · L 10–17; offense 21.5 percentile2026 Week 1: UNLV vs. Memphis · L 21–27; offense 39.5 percentile2026 Week 1: UNLV at Hawai'i · W 21–6; offense 58.6 percentile2026 Week 2: UNLV at North Texas · L 6–44; offense 11.4 percentile2014 offense season mean: 32.0 percentile2015 offense season mean: 37.6 percentile2016 offense season mean: 41.9 percentile2017 offense season mean: 56.8 percentile2018 offense season mean: 41.9 percentile2019 offense season mean: 34.1 percentile2020 offense season mean: 42.7 percentile2021 offense season mean: 39.8 percentile2022 offense season mean: 38.6 percentile2023 offense season mean: 62.6 percentile2024 offense season mean: 65.1 percentile2025 offense season mean: 73.3 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 63.2 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 33.8 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: UNLV at Arizona · L 13–58; defense 3.0 percentile2014 Week 2: UNLV vs. Northern Colorado · W 13–12; defense 28.5 percentile2014 Week 3: UNLV vs. Northern Illinois · L 34–48; defense 7.4 percentile2014 Week 4: UNLV at Houston · L 14–47; defense 9.4 percentile2014 Week 5: UNLV at San Diego State · L 17–34; defense 25.2 percentile2014 Week 6: UNLV at San José State · L 10–33; defense 16.4 percentile2014 Week 7: UNLV vs. Fresno State · W 30–27; defense 35.2 percentile2014 Week 9: UNLV at Utah State · L 20–34; defense 59.3 percentile2014 Week 10: UNLV vs. New Mexico · L 28–31; defense 60.7 percentile2014 Week 11: UNLV vs. Air Force · L 21–48; defense 9.5 percentile2014 Week 12: UNLV at BYU · L 23–42; defense 18.8 percentile2014 Week 13: UNLV at Hawai'i · L 35–37; defense 13.8 percentile2014 Week 14: UNLV vs. Nevada · L 27–49; defense 9.0 percentile2015 Week 1: UNLV at Northern Illinois · L 30–38; defense 13.4 percentile2015 Week 2: UNLV vs. UCLA · L 3–37; defense 42.9 percentile2015 Week 3: UNLV at Michigan · L 7–28; defense 41.3 percentile2015 Week 4: UNLV vs. Idaho State · W 80–8; defense 56.3 percentile2015 Week 5: UNLV at Nevada · W 23–17; defense 59.7 percentile2015 Week 6: UNLV vs. San José State · L 27–33; defense 38.3 percentile2015 Week 7: UNLV at Fresno State · L 28–31; defense 20.3 percentile2015 Week 9: UNLV vs. Boise State · L 27–55; defense 10.2 percentile2015 Week 11: UNLV at Colorado State · L 35–49; defense 4.0 percentile2015 Week 12: UNLV vs. San Diego State · L 14–52; defense 14.5 percentile2015 Week 13: UNLV at Wyoming · L 28–35; defense 7.0 percentile2016 Week 1: UNLV vs. Jackson State · W 63–13; defense 32.6 percentile2016 Week 2: UNLV at UCLA · L 21–42; defense 2.9 percentile2016 Week 3: UNLV at Central Michigan · L 21–44; defense 11.7 percentile2016 Week 4: UNLV vs. Idaho · L 30–33; defense 46.1 percentile2016 Week 5: UNLV vs. Fresno State · W 45–20; defense 50.3 percentile2016 Week 6: UNLV at San Diego State · L 7–26; defense 45.0 percentile2016 Week 7: UNLV at Hawai'i · W 41–38; defense 10.1 percentile2016 Week 8: UNLV vs. Colorado State · L 23–42; defense 31.0 percentile2016 Week 9: UNLV at San José State · L 24–30; defense 46.6 percentile2016 Week 11: UNLV vs. Wyoming · W 69–66; defense 28.7 percentile2016 Week 12: UNLV at Boise State · L 25–42; defense 25.9 percentile2016 Week 13: UNLV vs. Nevada · L 10–45; defense 0.9 percentile2017 Week 1: UNLV vs. Howard · L 40–43; defense 12.3 percentile2017 Week 2: UNLV at Idaho · W 44–16; defense 39.4 percentile2017 Week 4: UNLV at Ohio State · L 21–54; defense 15.6 percentile2017 Week 5: UNLV vs. San José State · W 41–13; defense 14.4 percentile2017 Week 6: UNLV vs. San Diego State · L 10–41; defense 12.5 percentile2017 Week 7: UNLV at Air Force · L 30–34; defense 48.5 percentile2017 Week 8: UNLV vs. Utah State · L 28–52; defense 0.7 percentile2017 Week 9: UNLV at Fresno State · W 26–16; defense 68.7 percentile2017 Week 10: UNLV vs. Hawai'i · W 31–23; defense 36.1 percentile2017 Week 11: UNLV vs. BYU · L 21–31; defense 11.8 percentile2017 Week 12: UNLV at New Mexico · W 38–35; defense 9.3 percentile2017 Week 13: UNLV at Nevada · L 16–23; defense 25.7 percentile2018 Week 1: UNLV at USC · L 21–43; defense 12.1 percentile2018 Week 2: UNLV vs. UTEP · W 52–24; defense 32.8 percentile2018 Week 3: UNLV vs. Prairie View A&M · W 46–17; defense 34.5 percentile2018 Week 4: UNLV at Arkansas State · L 20–27; defense 64.4 percentile2018 Week 6: UNLV vs. New Mexico · L 14–50; defense 12.0 percentile2018 Week 7: UNLV at Utah State · L 28–59; defense 26.2 percentile2018 Week 8: UNLV vs. Air Force · L 35–41; defense 5.6 percentile2018 Week 9: UNLV at San José State · L 37–50; defense 4.3 percentile2018 Week 10: UNLV vs. Fresno State · L 3–48; defense 9.7 percentile2018 Week 11: UNLV at San Diego State · W 27–24; defense 50.0 percentile2018 Week 12: UNLV at Hawai'i · L 28–35; defense 59.3 percentile2018 Week 13: UNLV vs. Nevada · W 34–29; defense 25.5 percentile2019 Week 1: UNLV vs. Southern Utah · W 56–23; defense 56.6 percentile2019 Week 2: UNLV vs. Arkansas State · L 17–43; defense 24.4 percentile2019 Week 3: UNLV at Northwestern · L 14–30; defense 9.9 percentile2019 Week 5: UNLV at Wyoming · L 17–53; defense 16.3 percentile2019 Week 6: UNLV vs. Boise State · L 13–38; defense 44.7 percentile2019 Week 7: UNLV at Vanderbilt · W 34–10; defense 32.4 percentile2019 Week 8: UNLV at Fresno State · L 27–56; defense 15.0 percentile2019 Week 9: UNLV vs. San Diego State · L 17–20; defense 56.4 percentile2019 Week 10: UNLV at Colorado State · L 17–37; defense 24.7 percentile2019 Week 12: UNLV vs. Hawai'i · L 7–21; defense 74.1 percentile2019 Week 13: UNLV vs. San José State · W 38–35; defense 28.6 percentile2019 Week 14: UNLV at Nevada · W 33–30; defense 54.0 percentile2020 Week 8: UNLV at San Diego State · L 6–34; defense 20.8 percentile2020 Week 9: UNLV vs. Nevada · L 19–37; defense 6.1 percentile2020 Week 10: UNLV vs. Fresno State · L 27–40; defense 17.4 percentile2020 Week 11: UNLV at San José State · L 17–34; defense 3.3 percentile2020 Week 13: UNLV vs. Wyoming · L 14–45; defense 1.0 percentile2020 Week 15: UNLV at Hawai'i · L 21–38; defense 13.8 percentile2021 Week 2: UNLV at Arizona State · L 10–37; defense 17.5 percentile2021 Week 4: UNLV at Fresno State · L 30–38; defense 49.1 percentile2021 Week 5: UNLV at UTSA · L 17–24; defense 79.9 percentile2021 Week 7: UNLV vs. Utah State · L 24–28; defense 35.1 percentile2021 Week 8: UNLV vs. San José State · L 20–27; defense 10.3 percentile2021 Week 9: UNLV at Nevada · L 20–51; defense 26.0 percentile2021 Week 10: UNLV at New Mexico · W 31–17; defense 36.3 percentile2021 Week 12: UNLV vs. San Diego State · L 20–28; defense 44.6 percentile2021 Week 13: UNLV at Air Force · L 14–48; defense 3.8 percentile2022 Week 2: UNLV at California · L 14–20; defense 28.8 percentile2022 Week 3: UNLV vs. North Texas · W 58–27; defense 48.8 percentile2022 Week 5: UNLV vs. New Mexico · W 31–20; defense 11.8 percentile2022 Week 6: UNLV at San José State · L 7–40; defense 4.4 percentile2022 Week 7: UNLV vs. Air Force · L 7–42; defense 11.1 percentile2022 Week 8: UNLV at Notre Dame · L 21–44; defense 40.5 percentile2022 Week 10: UNLV at San Diego State · L 10–14; defense 89.6 percentile2022 Week 11: UNLV vs. Fresno State · L 30–37; defense 14.5 percentile2022 Week 12: UNLV at Hawai'i · L 25–31; defense 8.4 percentile2022 Week 13: UNLV vs. Nevada · W 27–22; defense 18.8 percentile2023 Week 2: UNLV at Michigan · L 7–35; defense 20.9 percentile2023 Week 3: UNLV vs. Vanderbilt · W 40–37; defense 20.1 percentile2023 Week 4: UNLV at UTEP · W 45–28; defense 60.1 percentile2023 Week 5: UNLV vs. Hawai'i · W 44–20; defense 28.1 percentile2023 Week 7: UNLV at Nevada · W 45–27; defense 17.9 percentile2023 Week 8: UNLV vs. Colorado State · W 25–23; defense 28.0 percentile2023 Week 9: UNLV at Fresno State · L 24–31; defense 55.0 percentile2023 Week 10: UNLV at New Mexico · W 56–14; defense 91.1 percentile2023 Week 11: UNLV vs. Wyoming · W 34–14; defense 63.6 percentile2023 Week 12: UNLV at Air Force · W 31–27; defense 66.2 percentile2023 Week 13: UNLV vs. San José State · L 31–37; defense 11.1 percentile2023 Week 14: UNLV vs. Boise State · L 20–44; defense 6.8 percentile2023 Week 1: UNLV vs. Kansas · L 36–49; defense 28.5 percentile2024 Week 1: UNLV at Houston · W 27–7; defense 90.6 percentile2024 Week 2: UNLV vs. Utah Tech · W 72–14; defense 44.7 percentile2024 Week 3: UNLV vs. Kansas · W 23–20; defense 59.9 percentile2024 Week 5: UNLV vs. Fresno State · W 59–14; defense 89.6 percentile2024 Week 6: UNLV vs. Syracuse · L 41–44; defense 30.0 percentile2024 Week 7: UNLV at Utah State · W 50–34; defense 33.9 percentile2024 Week 8: UNLV at Oregon State · W 33–25; defense 66.6 percentile2024 Week 9: UNLV vs. Boise State · L 24–29; defense 73.7 percentile2024 Week 11: UNLV at Hawai'i · W 29–27; defense 65.8 percentile2024 Week 12: UNLV vs. San Diego State · W 41–20; defense 72.5 percentile2024 Week 13: UNLV at San José State · W 27–16; defense 100.0 percentile2024 Week 14: UNLV vs. Nevada · W 38–14; defense 83.3 percentile2024 Week 15: UNLV at Boise State · L 7–21; defense 74.4 percentile2024 Week 1: UNLV vs. California · W 24–13; defense 79.6 percentile2025 Week 1: UNLV vs. Idaho State · W 38–31; defense 10.4 percentile2025 Week 2: UNLV vs. UCLA · W 30–23; defense 31.9 percentile2025 Week 4: UNLV at Miami (OH) · W 41–38; defense 23.5 percentile2025 Week 6: UNLV at Wyoming · W 31–17; defense 74.3 percentile2025 Week 7: UNLV vs. Air Force · W 51–48; defense 11.7 percentile2025 Week 8: UNLV at Boise State · L 31–56; defense 6.5 percentile2025 Week 10: UNLV vs. New Mexico · L 35–40; defense 19.9 percentile2025 Week 11: UNLV at Colorado State · W 42–10; defense 82.4 percentile2025 Week 12: UNLV vs. Utah State · W 29–26; defense 12.0 percentile2025 Week 13: UNLV vs. Hawai'i · W 38–10; defense 89.1 percentile2025 Week 14: UNLV at Nevada · W 42–17; defense 45.8 percentile2025 Week 15: UNLV at Boise State · L 21–38; defense 17.8 percentile2025 Week 1: UNLV vs. Ohio · L 10–17; defense 23.8 percentile2026 Week 1: UNLV vs. Memphis · L 21–27; defense 30.5 percentile2026 Week 1: UNLV at Hawai'i · W 21–6; defense 71.4 percentile2026 Week 2: UNLV at North Texas · L 6–44; defense 53.2 percentile2014 defense season mean: 19.1 percentile2015 defense season mean: 23.9 percentile2016 defense season mean: 22.2 percentile2017 defense season mean: 19.8 percentile2018 defense season mean: 24.0 percentile2019 defense season mean: 34.6 percentile2020 defense season mean: 7.7 percentile2021 defense season mean: 30.2 percentile2022 defense season mean: 24.2 percentile2023 defense season mean: 36.4 percentile2024 defense season mean: 75.6 percentile2025 defense season mean: 31.9 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 37.1 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 51.8 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2015Tony Sanchez
2020Marcus Arroyo
2023Barry Odom
2025Dan Mullen

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateDan Mullen3
63.2 estimate33.8 games-only average
37.1 estimate51.8 games-only average
2025Dan MullenCoaching change1373.331.9
2024Barry Odom1465.175.6
2023Barry OdomCoaching change1362.636.4
2022Marcus Arroyo1038.624.2
2021Marcus Arroyo939.830.2
2020Marcus ArroyoCoaching change642.77.7
2019Tony Sanchez1234.134.6
2018Tony Sanchez1241.924.0
2017Tony Sanchez1256.819.8
2016Tony Sanchez1241.922.2
2015Tony SanchezCoaching change1137.623.9
2014Bobby Hauck1332.019.1