2014–2026 performance history

Wake Forest over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

ACCHead coach: Jake DickertView Wake Forest games →
Offense · 2026 estimate52.4/100

77.3 average through 2 games

45.6 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate70.7/100

36.4 average through 2 games

77.8 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Wake Forest individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Clawson · ’14–’24Dave Clawson, 2014–2024Dickert · ’25–’26Jake Dickert, 2025–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Wake Forest at UL Monroe · L 10–17; offense 3.4 percentile2014 Week 2: Wake Forest vs. Gardner-Webb · W 23–7; offense 8.4 percentile2014 Week 3: Wake Forest at Utah State · L 24–36; offense 17.0 percentile2014 Week 4: Wake Forest vs. Army · W 24–21; offense 15.1 percentile2014 Week 5: Wake Forest at Louisville · L 10–20; offense 2.9 percentile2014 Week 6: Wake Forest at Florida State · L 3–43; offense 0.8 percentile2014 Week 8: Wake Forest vs. Syracuse · L 7–30; offense 7.5 percentile2014 Week 9: Wake Forest vs. Boston College · L 17–23; offense 14.5 percentile2014 Week 11: Wake Forest vs. Clemson · L 20–34; offense 10.9 percentile2014 Week 12: Wake Forest at NC State · L 13–42; offense 2.4 percentile2014 Week 13: Wake Forest vs. Virginia Tech · W 6–3; offense 5.5 percentile2014 Week 14: Wake Forest at Duke · L 21–41; offense 36.5 percentile2015 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Elon · W 41–3; offense 33.3 percentile2015 Week 2: Wake Forest at Syracuse · L 17–30; offense 19.8 percentile2015 Week 3: Wake Forest at Army · W 17–14; offense 39.3 percentile2015 Week 4: Wake Forest vs. Indiana · L 24–31; offense 20.7 percentile2015 Week 5: Wake Forest vs. Florida State · L 16–24; offense 65.2 percentile2015 Week 6: Wake Forest at Boston College · W 3–0; offense 2.1 percentile2015 Week 7: Wake Forest at North Carolina · L 14–50; offense 12.0 percentile2015 Week 8: Wake Forest vs. NC State · L 17–35; offense 6.3 percentile2015 Week 9: Wake Forest vs. Louisville · L 19–20; offense 19.0 percentile2015 Week 11: Wake Forest at Notre Dame · L 7–28; offense 17.7 percentile2015 Week 12: Wake Forest at Clemson · L 13–33; offense 13.9 percentile2015 Week 13: Wake Forest vs. Duke · L 21–27; offense 71.1 percentile2016 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Tulane · W 7–3; offense 7.4 percentile2016 Week 2: Wake Forest at Duke · W 24–14; offense 24.4 percentile2016 Week 3: Wake Forest vs. Delaware · W 38–21; offense 47.3 percentile2016 Week 4: Wake Forest at Indiana · W 33–28; offense 62.3 percentile2016 Week 5: Wake Forest at NC State · L 16–33; offense 52.4 percentile2016 Week 6: Wake Forest vs. Syracuse · W 28–9; offense 9.1 percentile2016 Week 7: Wake Forest at Florida State · L 6–17; offense 4.9 percentile2016 Week 9: Wake Forest vs. Army · L 13–21; offense 29.6 percentile2016 Week 10: Wake Forest vs. Virginia · W 27–20; offense 21.3 percentile2016 Week 11: Wake Forest at Louisville · L 12–44; offense 12.9 percentile2016 Week 12: Wake Forest vs. Clemson · L 13–35; offense 12.0 percentile2016 Week 13: Wake Forest vs. Boston College · L 14–17; offense 29.1 percentile2016 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Temple · W 34–26; offense 84.3 percentile2017 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Presbyterian · W 51–7; offense 85.3 percentile2017 Week 2: Wake Forest at Boston College · W 34–10; offense 33.1 percentile2017 Week 3: Wake Forest vs. Utah State · W 46–10; offense 83.5 percentile2017 Week 4: Wake Forest at App State · W 20–19; offense 49.9 percentile2017 Week 5: Wake Forest vs. Florida State · L 19–26; offense 27.2 percentile2017 Week 6: Wake Forest at Clemson · L 14–28; offense 35.2 percentile2017 Week 8: Wake Forest at Georgia Tech · L 24–38; offense 53.7 percentile2017 Week 9: Wake Forest vs. Louisville · W 42–32; offense 81.3 percentile2017 Week 10: Wake Forest at Notre Dame · L 37–48; offense 90.8 percentile2017 Week 11: Wake Forest at Syracuse · W 64–43; offense 99.4 percentile2017 Week 12: Wake Forest vs. NC State · W 30–24; offense 55.0 percentile2017 Week 13: Wake Forest vs. Duke · L 23–31; offense 39.0 percentile2017 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Texas A&M · W 55–52; offense 83.3 percentile2018 Week 1: Wake Forest at Tulane · W 23–17; offense 45.3 percentile2018 Week 2: Wake Forest vs. Towson · W 51–20; offense 58.4 percentile2018 Week 3: Wake Forest vs. Boston College · L 34–41; offense 46.4 percentile2018 Week 4: Wake Forest vs. Notre Dame · L 27–56; offense 36.8 percentile2018 Week 5: Wake Forest vs. Rice · W 56–24; offense 79.8 percentile2018 Week 6: Wake Forest vs. Clemson · L 3–63; offense 6.2 percentile2018 Week 8: Wake Forest at Florida State · L 17–38; offense 9.7 percentile2018 Week 9: Wake Forest at Louisville · W 56–35; offense 92.0 percentile2018 Week 10: Wake Forest vs. Syracuse · L 24–41; offense 48.2 percentile2018 Week 11: Wake Forest at NC State · W 27–23; offense 59.2 percentile2018 Week 12: Wake Forest vs. Pittsburgh · L 13–34; offense 16.0 percentile2018 Week 13: Wake Forest at Duke · W 59–7; offense 93.2 percentile2018 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Memphis · W 37–34; offense 68.2 percentile2019 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Utah State · W 38–35; offense 34.7 percentile2019 Week 2: Wake Forest at Rice · W 41–21; offense 84.4 percentile2019 Week 3: Wake Forest vs. North Carolina · W 24–18; offense 53.6 percentile2019 Week 4: Wake Forest vs. Elon · W 49–7; offense 65.1 percentile2019 Week 5: Wake Forest at Boston College · W 27–24; offense 45.9 percentile2019 Week 7: Wake Forest vs. Louisville · L 59–62; offense 71.5 percentile2019 Week 8: Wake Forest vs. Florida State · W 22–20; offense 25.4 percentile2019 Week 10: Wake Forest vs. NC State · W 44–10; offense 54.4 percentile2019 Week 11: Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · L 17–36; offense 28.3 percentile2019 Week 12: Wake Forest at Clemson · L 3–52; offense 7.2 percentile2019 Week 13: Wake Forest vs. Duke · W 39–27; offense 83.7 percentile2019 Week 14: Wake Forest at Syracuse · L 30–39; offense 38.7 percentile2019 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Michigan State · L 21–27; offense 69.9 percentile2020 Week 2: Wake Forest vs. Clemson · L 13–37; offense 9.0 percentile2020 Week 3: Wake Forest at NC State · L 42–45; offense 55.5 percentile2020 Week 5: Wake Forest vs. Campbell · W 66–14; offense 90.0 percentile2020 Week 7: Wake Forest vs. Virginia · W 40–23; offense 47.1 percentile2020 Week 8: Wake Forest vs. Virginia Tech · W 23–16; offense 21.2 percentile2020 Week 9: Wake Forest at Syracuse · W 38–14; offense 57.6 percentile2020 Week 11: Wake Forest at North Carolina · L 53–59; offense 71.8 percentile2020 Week 15: Wake Forest at Louisville · L 21–45; offense 31.8 percentile2020 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Wisconsin · L 28–42; offense 77.8 percentile2021 Week 2: Wake Forest vs. Norfolk State · W 41–16; offense 67.6 percentile2021 Week 3: Wake Forest vs. Florida State · W 35–14; offense 80.2 percentile2021 Week 4: Wake Forest at Virginia · W 37–17; offense 59.1 percentile2021 Week 5: Wake Forest vs. Louisville · W 37–34; offense 70.6 percentile2021 Week 6: Wake Forest at Syracuse · W 40–37; offense 66.3 percentile2021 Week 8: Wake Forest at Army · W 70–56; offense 99.9 percentile2021 Week 9: Wake Forest vs. Duke · W 45–7; offense 93.1 percentile2021 Week 10: Wake Forest at North Carolina · L 55–58; offense 88.7 percentile2021 Week 11: Wake Forest vs. NC State · W 45–42; offense 57.8 percentile2021 Week 12: Wake Forest at Clemson · L 27–48; offense 61.5 percentile2021 Week 13: Wake Forest at Boston College · W 41–10; offense 64.7 percentile2021 Week 14: Wake Forest vs. Pittsburgh · L 21–45; offense 27.1 percentile2021 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Rutgers · W 38–10; offense 59.3 percentile2022 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. VMI · W 44–10; offense 33.0 percentile2022 Week 2: Wake Forest at Vanderbilt · W 45–25; offense 39.2 percentile2022 Week 3: Wake Forest vs. Liberty · W 37–36; offense 43.4 percentile2022 Week 4: Wake Forest vs. Clemson · L 45–51; offense 83.1 percentile2022 Week 5: Wake Forest at Florida State · W 31–21; offense 71.3 percentile2022 Week 6: Wake Forest vs. Army · W 45–10; offense 96.0 percentile2022 Week 8: Wake Forest vs. Boston College · W 43–15; offense 53.0 percentile2022 Week 9: Wake Forest at Louisville · L 21–48; offense 46.0 percentile2022 Week 10: Wake Forest at NC State · L 21–30; offense 51.1 percentile2022 Week 11: Wake Forest vs. North Carolina · L 34–36; offense 69.6 percentile2022 Week 12: Wake Forest vs. Syracuse · W 45–35; offense 84.9 percentile2022 Week 13: Wake Forest at Duke · L 31–34; offense 93.7 percentile2022 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Missouri · W 27–17; offense 54.5 percentile2023 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Elon · W 37–17; offense 17.9 percentile2023 Week 2: Wake Forest vs. Vanderbilt · W 36–20; offense 67.1 percentile2023 Week 3: Wake Forest at Old Dominion · W 27–24; offense 40.6 percentile2023 Week 4: Wake Forest vs. Georgia Tech · L 16–30; offense 22.8 percentile2023 Week 6: Wake Forest at Clemson · L 12–17; offense 24.5 percentile2023 Week 7: Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · L 13–30; offense 2.8 percentile2023 Week 8: Wake Forest vs. Pittsburgh · W 21–17; offense 40.4 percentile2023 Week 9: Wake Forest vs. Florida State · L 16–41; offense 9.8 percentile2023 Week 10: Wake Forest at Duke · L 21–24; offense 63.4 percentile2023 Week 12: Wake Forest at Notre Dame · L 7–45; offense 32.4 percentile2023 Week 13: Wake Forest at Syracuse · L 31–35; offense 91.5 percentile2024 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. North Carolina A&T · W 45–13; offense 55.9 percentile2024 Week 2: Wake Forest vs. Virginia · L 30–31; offense 46.4 percentile2024 Week 3: Wake Forest vs. Ole Miss · L 6–40; offense 9.7 percentile2024 Week 5: Wake Forest vs. Louisiana · L 38–41; offense 84.5 percentile2024 Week 6: Wake Forest at NC State · W 34–30; offense 65.8 percentile2024 Week 7: Wake Forest vs. Clemson · L 14–49; offense 40.2 percentile2024 Week 8: Wake Forest at UConn · W 23–20; offense 50.1 percentile2024 Week 9: Wake Forest at Stanford · W 27–24; offense 49.5 percentile2024 Week 11: Wake Forest vs. California · L 36–46; offense 64.7 percentile2024 Week 12: Wake Forest at North Carolina · L 24–31; offense 22.0 percentile2024 Week 13: Wake Forest at Miami · L 14–42; offense 21.5 percentile2024 Week 14: Wake Forest vs. Duke · L 17–23; offense 29.6 percentile2025 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Kennesaw State · W 10–9; offense 14.9 percentile2025 Week 2: Wake Forest vs. Western Carolina · W 42–10; offense 28.0 percentile2025 Week 3: Wake Forest vs. NC State · L 24–34; offense 21.6 percentile2025 Week 5: Wake Forest vs. Georgia Tech · L 29–30; offense 30.6 percentile2025 Week 6: Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · W 30–23; offense 33.9 percentile2025 Week 7: Wake Forest at Oregon State · W 39–14; offense 70.8 percentile2025 Week 9: Wake Forest vs. SMU · W 13–12; offense 19.5 percentile2025 Week 10: Wake Forest at Florida State · L 7–42; offense 13.3 percentile2025 Week 11: Wake Forest at Virginia · W 16–9; offense 14.3 percentile2025 Week 12: Wake Forest vs. North Carolina · W 28–12; offense 81.2 percentile2025 Week 13: Wake Forest vs. Delaware · W 52–14; offense 98.4 percentile2025 Week 14: Wake Forest at Duke · L 32–49; offense 65.1 percentile2025 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State · W 43–29; offense 83.2 percentile2026 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Akron · W 38–16; offense 94.1 percentile2026 Week 2: Wake Forest at Purdue · W 38–36; offense 47.3 percentile2014 offense season mean: 7.6 percentile2015 offense season mean: 22.5 percentile2016 offense season mean: 26.9 percentile2017 offense season mean: 68.5 percentile2018 offense season mean: 50.7 percentile2019 offense season mean: 50.6 percentile2020 offense season mean: 51.2 percentile2021 offense season mean: 75.3 percentile2022 offense season mean: 66.6 percentile2023 offense season mean: 34.6 percentile2024 offense season mean: 44.0 percentile2025 offense season mean: 45.6 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 52.4 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 77.3 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Wake Forest at UL Monroe · L 10–17; defense 70.2 percentile2014 Week 2: Wake Forest vs. Gardner-Webb · W 23–7; defense 87.1 percentile2014 Week 3: Wake Forest at Utah State · L 24–36; defense 73.2 percentile2014 Week 4: Wake Forest vs. Army · W 24–21; defense 38.3 percentile2014 Week 5: Wake Forest at Louisville · L 10–20; defense 57.0 percentile2014 Week 6: Wake Forest at Florida State · L 3–43; defense 45.0 percentile2014 Week 8: Wake Forest vs. Syracuse · L 7–30; defense 32.8 percentile2014 Week 9: Wake Forest vs. Boston College · L 17–23; defense 33.4 percentile2014 Week 11: Wake Forest vs. Clemson · L 20–34; defense 41.3 percentile2014 Week 12: Wake Forest at NC State · L 13–42; defense 30.6 percentile2014 Week 13: Wake Forest vs. Virginia Tech · W 6–3; defense 93.1 percentile2014 Week 14: Wake Forest at Duke · L 21–41; defense 26.4 percentile2015 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Elon · W 41–3; defense 71.1 percentile2015 Week 2: Wake Forest at Syracuse · L 17–30; defense 28.4 percentile2015 Week 3: Wake Forest at Army · W 17–14; defense 88.9 percentile2015 Week 4: Wake Forest vs. Indiana · L 24–31; defense 48.9 percentile2015 Week 5: Wake Forest vs. Florida State · L 16–24; defense 22.5 percentile2015 Week 6: Wake Forest at Boston College · W 3–0; defense 76.1 percentile2015 Week 7: Wake Forest at North Carolina · L 14–50; defense 18.9 percentile2015 Week 8: Wake Forest vs. NC State · L 17–35; defense 26.8 percentile2015 Week 9: Wake Forest vs. Louisville · L 19–20; defense 89.4 percentile2015 Week 11: Wake Forest at Notre Dame · L 7–28; defense 68.6 percentile2015 Week 12: Wake Forest at Clemson · L 13–33; defense 50.2 percentile2015 Week 13: Wake Forest vs. Duke · L 21–27; defense 47.5 percentile2016 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Tulane · W 7–3; defense 79.7 percentile2016 Week 2: Wake Forest at Duke · W 24–14; defense 85.9 percentile2016 Week 3: Wake Forest vs. Delaware · W 38–21; defense 65.2 percentile2016 Week 4: Wake Forest at Indiana · W 33–28; defense 37.4 percentile2016 Week 5: Wake Forest at NC State · L 16–33; defense 8.3 percentile2016 Week 6: Wake Forest vs. Syracuse · W 28–9; defense 58.7 percentile2016 Week 7: Wake Forest at Florida State · L 6–17; defense 73.1 percentile2016 Week 9: Wake Forest vs. Army · L 13–21; defense 64.7 percentile2016 Week 10: Wake Forest vs. Virginia · W 27–20; defense 63.8 percentile2016 Week 11: Wake Forest at Louisville · L 12–44; defense 38.4 percentile2016 Week 12: Wake Forest vs. Clemson · L 13–35; defense 27.7 percentile2016 Week 13: Wake Forest vs. Boston College · L 14–17; defense 77.4 percentile2016 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Temple · W 34–26; defense 93.2 percentile2017 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Presbyterian · W 51–7; defense 54.0 percentile2017 Week 2: Wake Forest at Boston College · W 34–10; defense 95.4 percentile2017 Week 3: Wake Forest vs. Utah State · W 46–10; defense 94.7 percentile2017 Week 4: Wake Forest at App State · W 20–19; defense 91.0 percentile2017 Week 5: Wake Forest vs. Florida State · L 19–26; defense 82.1 percentile2017 Week 6: Wake Forest at Clemson · L 14–28; defense 53.1 percentile2017 Week 8: Wake Forest at Georgia Tech · L 24–38; defense 10.1 percentile2017 Week 9: Wake Forest vs. Louisville · W 42–32; defense 82.7 percentile2017 Week 10: Wake Forest at Notre Dame · L 37–48; defense 21.3 percentile2017 Week 11: Wake Forest at Syracuse · W 64–43; defense 28.7 percentile2017 Week 12: Wake Forest vs. NC State · W 30–24; defense 44.5 percentile2017 Week 13: Wake Forest vs. Duke · L 23–31; defense 60.4 percentile2017 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Texas A&M · W 55–52; defense 45.4 percentile2018 Week 1: Wake Forest at Tulane · W 23–17; defense 63.7 percentile2018 Week 2: Wake Forest vs. Towson · W 51–20; defense 22.5 percentile2018 Week 3: Wake Forest vs. Boston College · L 34–41; defense 27.6 percentile2018 Week 4: Wake Forest vs. Notre Dame · L 27–56; defense 4.2 percentile2018 Week 5: Wake Forest vs. Rice · W 56–24; defense 28.2 percentile2018 Week 6: Wake Forest vs. Clemson · L 3–63; defense 24.0 percentile2018 Week 8: Wake Forest at Florida State · L 17–38; defense 20.6 percentile2018 Week 9: Wake Forest at Louisville · W 56–35; defense 16.0 percentile2018 Week 10: Wake Forest vs. Syracuse · L 24–41; defense 42.6 percentile2018 Week 11: Wake Forest at NC State · W 27–23; defense 95.2 percentile2018 Week 12: Wake Forest vs. Pittsburgh · L 13–34; defense 33.9 percentile2018 Week 13: Wake Forest at Duke · W 59–7; defense 96.0 percentile2018 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Memphis · W 37–34; defense 88.2 percentile2019 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Utah State · W 38–35; defense 26.5 percentile2019 Week 2: Wake Forest at Rice · W 41–21; defense 75.3 percentile2019 Week 3: Wake Forest vs. North Carolina · W 24–18; defense 93.8 percentile2019 Week 4: Wake Forest vs. Elon · W 49–7; defense 60.9 percentile2019 Week 5: Wake Forest at Boston College · W 27–24; defense 43.3 percentile2019 Week 7: Wake Forest vs. Louisville · L 59–62; defense 27.1 percentile2019 Week 8: Wake Forest vs. Florida State · W 22–20; defense 58.3 percentile2019 Week 10: Wake Forest vs. NC State · W 44–10; defense 67.0 percentile2019 Week 11: Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · L 17–36; defense 34.4 percentile2019 Week 12: Wake Forest at Clemson · L 3–52; defense 58.0 percentile2019 Week 13: Wake Forest vs. Duke · W 39–27; defense 67.2 percentile2019 Week 14: Wake Forest at Syracuse · L 30–39; defense 50.2 percentile2019 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Michigan State · L 21–27; defense 29.7 percentile2020 Week 2: Wake Forest vs. Clemson · L 13–37; defense 27.4 percentile2020 Week 3: Wake Forest at NC State · L 42–45; defense 32.8 percentile2020 Week 5: Wake Forest vs. Campbell · W 66–14; defense 67.4 percentile2020 Week 7: Wake Forest vs. Virginia · W 40–23; defense 59.9 percentile2020 Week 8: Wake Forest vs. Virginia Tech · W 23–16; defense 71.9 percentile2020 Week 9: Wake Forest at Syracuse · W 38–14; defense 64.7 percentile2020 Week 11: Wake Forest at North Carolina · L 53–59; defense 24.3 percentile2020 Week 15: Wake Forest at Louisville · L 21–45; defense 55.0 percentile2020 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Wisconsin · L 28–42; defense 67.1 percentile2021 Week 2: Wake Forest vs. Norfolk State · W 41–16; defense 21.9 percentile2021 Week 3: Wake Forest vs. Florida State · W 35–14; defense 88.1 percentile2021 Week 4: Wake Forest at Virginia · W 37–17; defense 83.9 percentile2021 Week 5: Wake Forest vs. Louisville · W 37–34; defense 16.5 percentile2021 Week 6: Wake Forest at Syracuse · W 40–37; defense 7.3 percentile2021 Week 8: Wake Forest at Army · W 70–56; defense 7.6 percentile2021 Week 9: Wake Forest vs. Duke · W 45–7; defense 95.5 percentile2021 Week 10: Wake Forest at North Carolina · L 55–58; defense 18.1 percentile2021 Week 11: Wake Forest vs. NC State · W 45–42; defense 47.4 percentile2021 Week 12: Wake Forest at Clemson · L 27–48; defense 5.9 percentile2021 Week 13: Wake Forest at Boston College · W 41–10; defense 87.6 percentile2021 Week 14: Wake Forest vs. Pittsburgh · L 21–45; defense 78.9 percentile2021 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Rutgers · W 38–10; defense 58.1 percentile2022 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. VMI · W 44–10; defense 73.7 percentile2022 Week 2: Wake Forest at Vanderbilt · W 45–25; defense 67.0 percentile2022 Week 3: Wake Forest vs. Liberty · W 37–36; defense 45.0 percentile2022 Week 4: Wake Forest vs. Clemson · L 45–51; defense 27.0 percentile2022 Week 5: Wake Forest at Florida State · W 31–21; defense 86.3 percentile2022 Week 6: Wake Forest vs. Army · W 45–10; defense 68.3 percentile2022 Week 8: Wake Forest vs. Boston College · W 43–15; defense 70.2 percentile2022 Week 9: Wake Forest at Louisville · L 21–48; defense 30.8 percentile2022 Week 10: Wake Forest at NC State · L 21–30; defense 34.5 percentile2022 Week 11: Wake Forest vs. North Carolina · L 34–36; defense 22.2 percentile2022 Week 12: Wake Forest vs. Syracuse · W 45–35; defense 17.8 percentile2022 Week 13: Wake Forest at Duke · L 31–34; defense 16.7 percentile2022 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Missouri · W 27–17; defense 78.8 percentile2023 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Elon · W 37–17; defense 66.4 percentile2023 Week 2: Wake Forest vs. Vanderbilt · W 36–20; defense 31.4 percentile2023 Week 3: Wake Forest at Old Dominion · W 27–24; defense 83.9 percentile2023 Week 4: Wake Forest vs. Georgia Tech · L 16–30; defense 39.5 percentile2023 Week 6: Wake Forest at Clemson · L 12–17; defense 50.9 percentile2023 Week 7: Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · L 13–30; defense 58.0 percentile2023 Week 8: Wake Forest vs. Pittsburgh · W 21–17; defense 28.9 percentile2023 Week 9: Wake Forest vs. Florida State · L 16–41; defense 9.1 percentile2023 Week 10: Wake Forest at Duke · L 21–24; defense 66.1 percentile2023 Week 12: Wake Forest at Notre Dame · L 7–45; defense 24.9 percentile2023 Week 13: Wake Forest at Syracuse · L 31–35; defense 4.1 percentile2024 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. North Carolina A&T · W 45–13; defense 12.9 percentile2024 Week 2: Wake Forest vs. Virginia · L 30–31; defense 44.8 percentile2024 Week 3: Wake Forest vs. Ole Miss · L 6–40; defense 6.1 percentile2024 Week 5: Wake Forest vs. Louisiana · L 38–41; defense 15.0 percentile2024 Week 6: Wake Forest at NC State · W 34–30; defense 27.4 percentile2024 Week 7: Wake Forest vs. Clemson · L 14–49; defense 1.9 percentile2024 Week 8: Wake Forest at UConn · W 23–20; defense 89.3 percentile2024 Week 9: Wake Forest at Stanford · W 27–24; defense 52.0 percentile2024 Week 11: Wake Forest vs. California · L 36–46; defense 24.6 percentile2024 Week 12: Wake Forest at North Carolina · L 24–31; defense 62.7 percentile2024 Week 13: Wake Forest at Miami · L 14–42; defense 59.7 percentile2024 Week 14: Wake Forest vs. Duke · L 17–23; defense 46.0 percentile2025 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Kennesaw State · W 10–9; defense 90.5 percentile2025 Week 2: Wake Forest vs. Western Carolina · W 42–10; defense 78.9 percentile2025 Week 3: Wake Forest vs. NC State · L 24–34; defense 57.1 percentile2025 Week 5: Wake Forest vs. Georgia Tech · L 29–30; defense 92.9 percentile2025 Week 6: Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · W 30–23; defense 71.6 percentile2025 Week 7: Wake Forest at Oregon State · W 39–14; defense 88.5 percentile2025 Week 9: Wake Forest vs. SMU · W 13–12; defense 95.7 percentile2025 Week 10: Wake Forest at Florida State · L 7–42; defense 27.4 percentile2025 Week 11: Wake Forest at Virginia · W 16–9; defense 92.3 percentile2025 Week 12: Wake Forest vs. North Carolina · W 28–12; defense 78.3 percentile2025 Week 13: Wake Forest vs. Delaware · W 52–14; defense 75.2 percentile2025 Week 14: Wake Forest at Duke · L 32–49; defense 53.9 percentile2025 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State · W 43–29; defense 63.3 percentile2026 Week 1: Wake Forest vs. Akron · W 38–16; defense 49.1 percentile2026 Week 2: Wake Forest at Purdue · W 38–36; defense 25.0 percentile2014 defense season mean: 54.2 percentile2015 defense season mean: 54.4 percentile2016 defense season mean: 60.6 percentile2017 defense season mean: 62.2 percentile2018 defense season mean: 44.4 percentile2019 defense season mean: 54.5 percentile2020 defense season mean: 52.1 percentile2021 defense season mean: 46.5 percentile2022 defense season mean: 49.0 percentile2023 defense season mean: 39.2 percentile2024 defense season mean: 32.5 percentile2025 defense season mean: 77.8 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 70.7 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 36.4 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2014Dave Clawson
2025Jake Dickert

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateJake Dickert2
52.4 estimate77.3 games-only average
70.7 estimate36.4 games-only average
2025Jake DickertCoaching change1345.677.8
2024Dave Clawson1244.032.5
2023Dave Clawson1134.639.2
2022Dave Clawson1366.649.0
2021Dave Clawson1375.346.5
2020Dave Clawson951.252.1
2019Dave Clawson1350.654.5
2018Dave Clawson1350.744.4
2017Dave Clawson1368.562.2
2016Dave Clawson1326.960.6
2015Dave Clawson1222.554.4
2014Dave ClawsonCoaching change127.654.2