2014–2026 performance history

Washington over time

Season-by-season offense and defense game grades, with head-coaching changes placed on the timeline.

Big TenHead coach: Jedd FischView Washington games →
Offense · 2026 estimate62.5/100

28.7 average through 2 games

70.5 prior · 8 equivalent games
Defense · 2026 estimate66.5/100

85.2 average through 2 games

60.6 prior · 8 equivalent games

The trajectory

Game and Season Unit Ratings

Each small dot is one offensive or defensive game rating, arranged in the order played. For completed seasons, the short bar is that season’s average game rating. Both dot and bar values are labeled on a percentile scale. For 2026, the bar is the Bayesian estimate, while the outlined circle is the empirical games-only mean. Labeled background bands show each head coach’s era.

Washington individual offense and defense game grades by seasonEach small point is one game. Horizontal bars show completed-season means and the Bayesian estimate for 2026. The outlined 2026 circle is the empirical games-only mean. Alternating labeled bands identify head-coaching eras.Petersen · ’14–’19Chris Petersen, 2014–2019Lake · ’20–’21Jimmy Lake, 2020–2021DeBoer · ’22–’23Kalen DeBoer, 2022–2023Fisch · ’24–’26Jedd Fisch, 2024–2026offenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Washington at Hawai'i · W 17–16; offense 27.3 percentile2014 Week 2: Washington vs. Eastern Washington · W 59–52; offense 73.1 percentile2014 Week 3: Washington vs. Illinois · W 44–19; offense 51.6 percentile2014 Week 4: Washington vs. Georgia State · W 45–14; offense 17.4 percentile2014 Week 5: Washington vs. Stanford · L 13–20; offense 9.2 percentile2014 Week 7: Washington at California · W 31–7; offense 32.7 percentile2014 Week 8: Washington at Oregon · L 20–45; offense 29.4 percentile2014 Week 9: Washington vs. Arizona State · L 10–24; offense 11.4 percentile2014 Week 10: Washington at Colorado · W 38–23; offense 37.4 percentile2014 Week 11: Washington vs. UCLA · L 30–44; offense 64.7 percentile2014 Week 12: Washington at Arizona · L 26–27; offense 57.7 percentile2014 Week 13: Washington vs. Oregon State · W 37–13; offense 78.4 percentile2014 Week 14: Washington at Washington State · W 31–13; offense 36.3 percentile2014 Week 1: Washington vs. Oklahoma State · L 22–30; offense 21.7 percentile2015 Week 1: Washington at Boise State · L 13–16; offense 9.8 percentile2015 Week 2: Washington vs. Sacramento State · W 49–0; offense 58.7 percentile2015 Week 3: Washington vs. Utah State · W 31–17; offense 77.3 percentile2015 Week 4: Washington vs. California · L 24–30; offense 12.5 percentile2015 Week 6: Washington at USC · W 17–12; offense 16.7 percentile2015 Week 7: Washington vs. Oregon · L 20–26; offense 46.7 percentile2015 Week 8: Washington at Stanford · L 14–31; offense 25.2 percentile2015 Week 9: Washington vs. Arizona · W 49–3; offense 66.0 percentile2015 Week 10: Washington vs. Utah · L 23–34; offense 40.5 percentile2015 Week 11: Washington at Arizona State · L 17–27; offense 39.7 percentile2015 Week 12: Washington at Oregon State · W 52–7; offense 74.0 percentile2015 Week 13: Washington vs. Washington State · W 45–10; offense 69.8 percentile2015 Week 1: Washington vs. Southern Miss · W 44–31; offense 85.8 percentile2016 Week 1: Washington vs. Rutgers · W 48–13; offense 33.1 percentile2016 Week 2: Washington vs. Idaho · W 59–14; offense 93.1 percentile2016 Week 3: Washington vs. Portland State · W 41–3; offense 72.2 percentile2016 Week 4: Washington at Arizona · W 35–28; offense 60.8 percentile2016 Week 5: Washington vs. Stanford · W 44–6; offense 98.4 percentile2016 Week 6: Washington at Oregon · W 70–21; offense 83.4 percentile2016 Week 8: Washington vs. Oregon State · W 41–17; offense 91.9 percentile2016 Week 9: Washington at Utah · W 31–24; offense 83.6 percentile2016 Week 10: Washington at California · W 66–27; offense 94.9 percentile2016 Week 11: Washington vs. USC · L 13–26; offense 9.2 percentile2016 Week 12: Washington vs. Arizona State · W 44–18; offense 72.1 percentile2016 Week 13: Washington at Washington State · W 45–17; offense 95.1 percentile2016 Week 14: Washington vs. Colorado · W 41–10; offense 77.9 percentile2016 Week 1: Washington vs. Alabama · L 7–24; offense 34.6 percentile2017 Week 1: Washington at Rutgers · W 30–14; offense 53.6 percentile2017 Week 2: Washington vs. Montana · W 63–7; offense 71.9 percentile2017 Week 3: Washington vs. Fresno State · W 48–16; offense 73.4 percentile2017 Week 4: Washington at Colorado · W 37–10; offense 78.2 percentile2017 Week 5: Washington at Oregon State · W 42–7; offense 68.8 percentile2017 Week 6: Washington vs. California · W 38–7; offense 80.5 percentile2017 Week 7: Washington at Arizona State · L 7–13; offense 10.6 percentile2017 Week 9: Washington vs. UCLA · W 44–23; offense 67.2 percentile2017 Week 10: Washington vs. Oregon · W 38–3; offense 86.3 percentile2017 Week 11: Washington at Stanford · L 22–30; offense 41.5 percentile2017 Week 12: Washington vs. Utah · W 33–30; offense 91.0 percentile2017 Week 13: Washington vs. Washington State · W 41–14; offense 89.6 percentile2017 Week 1: Washington vs. Penn State · L 28–35; offense 70.9 percentile2018 Week 1: Washington vs. Auburn · L 16–21; offense 40.5 percentile2018 Week 2: Washington vs. North Dakota · W 45–3; offense 35.0 percentile2018 Week 3: Washington at Utah · W 21–7; offense 69.1 percentile2018 Week 4: Washington vs. Arizona State · W 27–20; offense 71.0 percentile2018 Week 5: Washington vs. BYU · W 35–7; offense 98.8 percentile2018 Week 6: Washington at UCLA · W 31–24; offense 65.9 percentile2018 Week 7: Washington at Oregon · L 27–30; offense 82.3 percentile2018 Week 8: Washington vs. Colorado · W 27–13; offense 66.9 percentile2018 Week 9: Washington at California · L 10–12; offense 22.8 percentile2018 Week 10: Washington vs. Stanford · W 27–23; offense 52.5 percentile2018 Week 12: Washington vs. Oregon State · W 42–23; offense 35.8 percentile2018 Week 13: Washington at Washington State · W 28–15; offense 99.1 percentile2018 Week 14: Washington vs. Utah · W 10–3; offense 32.6 percentile2018 Week 1: Washington vs. Ohio State · L 23–28; offense 52.4 percentile2019 Week 1: Washington vs. Eastern Washington · W 47–14; offense 49.4 percentile2019 Week 2: Washington vs. California · L 19–20; offense 39.8 percentile2019 Week 3: Washington vs. Hawai'i · W 52–20; offense 91.7 percentile2019 Week 4: Washington at BYU · W 45–19; offense 91.2 percentile2019 Week 5: Washington vs. USC · W 28–14; offense 38.4 percentile2019 Week 6: Washington at Stanford · L 13–23; offense 32.4 percentile2019 Week 7: Washington at Arizona · W 51–27; offense 51.8 percentile2019 Week 8: Washington vs. Oregon · L 31–35; offense 65.4 percentile2019 Week 10: Washington vs. Utah · L 28–33; offense 79.4 percentile2019 Week 11: Washington at Oregon State · W 19–7; offense 28.0 percentile2019 Week 13: Washington at Colorado · L 14–20; offense 4.3 percentile2019 Week 14: Washington vs. Washington State · W 31–13; offense 36.7 percentile2019 Week 1: Washington vs. Boise State · W 38–7; offense 71.5 percentile2020 Week 11: Washington vs. Oregon State · W 27–21; offense 53.5 percentile2020 Week 12: Washington vs. Arizona · W 44–27; offense 89.9 percentile2020 Week 13: Washington vs. Utah · W 24–21; offense 57.2 percentile2020 Week 14: Washington vs. Stanford · L 26–31; offense 60.8 percentile2021 Week 1: Washington vs. Montana · L 7–13; offense 4.9 percentile2021 Week 2: Washington at Michigan · L 10–31; offense 27.6 percentile2021 Week 3: Washington vs. Arkansas State · W 52–3; offense 82.1 percentile2021 Week 5: Washington at Oregon State · L 24–27; offense 46.4 percentile2021 Week 7: Washington vs. UCLA · L 17–24; offense 22.1 percentile2021 Week 8: Washington at Arizona · W 21–16; offense 26.8 percentile2021 Week 10: Washington vs. Oregon · L 16–26; offense 1.7 percentile2021 Week 11: Washington vs. Arizona State · L 30–35; offense 58.1 percentile2021 Week 12: Washington at Colorado · L 17–20; offense 25.8 percentile2021 Week 13: Washington vs. Washington State · L 13–40; offense 48.4 percentile2022 Week 1: Washington vs. Kent State · W 45–20; offense 83.1 percentile2022 Week 2: Washington vs. Portland State · W 52–6; offense 97.2 percentile2022 Week 3: Washington vs. Michigan State · W 39–28; offense 63.1 percentile2022 Week 4: Washington vs. Stanford · W 40–22; offense 74.9 percentile2022 Week 5: Washington at UCLA · L 32–40; offense 62.9 percentile2022 Week 6: Washington at Arizona State · L 38–45; offense 53.2 percentile2022 Week 7: Washington vs. Arizona · W 49–39; offense 89.8 percentile2022 Week 8: Washington at California · W 28–21; offense 69.8 percentile2022 Week 10: Washington vs. Oregon State · W 24–21; offense 66.8 percentile2022 Week 11: Washington at Oregon · W 37–34; offense 92.6 percentile2022 Week 12: Washington vs. Colorado · W 54–7; offense 87.9 percentile2022 Week 13: Washington at Washington State · W 51–33; offense 100.0 percentile2022 Week 1: Washington vs. Texas · W 27–20; offense 84.1 percentile2023 Week 1: Washington vs. Boise State · W 56–19; offense 84.3 percentile2023 Week 2: Washington vs. Tulsa · W 43–10; offense 94.5 percentile2023 Week 3: Washington at Michigan State · W 41–7; offense 84.1 percentile2023 Week 4: Washington vs. California · W 59–32; offense 79.1 percentile2023 Week 5: Washington at Arizona · W 31–24; offense 89.5 percentile2023 Week 7: Washington vs. Oregon · W 36–33; offense 88.0 percentile2023 Week 8: Washington vs. Arizona State · W 15–7; offense 5.4 percentile2023 Week 9: Washington at Stanford · W 42–33; offense 74.9 percentile2023 Week 10: Washington at USC · W 52–42; offense 99.6 percentile2023 Week 11: Washington vs. Utah · W 35–28; offense 92.1 percentile2023 Week 12: Washington at Oregon State · W 22–20; offense 61.0 percentile2023 Week 13: Washington vs. Washington State · W 24–21; offense 47.8 percentile2023 Week 14: Washington vs. Oregon · W 34–31; offense 97.4 percentile2023 Week 1: Washington vs. Texas · W 37–31; offense 84.6 percentile2023 Week 1: Washington vs. Michigan · L 13–34; offense 57.0 percentile2024 Week 1: Washington vs. Weber State · W 35–3; offense 62.3 percentile2024 Week 2: Washington vs. Eastern Michigan · W 30–9; offense 99.5 percentile2024 Week 3: Washington vs. Washington State · L 19–24; offense 25.9 percentile2024 Week 4: Washington vs. Northwestern · W 24–5; offense 69.6 percentile2024 Week 5: Washington at Rutgers · L 18–21; offense 53.9 percentile2024 Week 6: Washington vs. Michigan · W 27–17; offense 81.0 percentile2024 Week 7: Washington at Iowa · L 16–40; offense 59.0 percentile2024 Week 9: Washington at Indiana · L 17–31; offense 72.9 percentile2024 Week 10: Washington vs. USC · W 26–21; offense 68.7 percentile2024 Week 11: Washington at Penn State · L 6–35; offense 10.1 percentile2024 Week 12: Washington vs. UCLA · W 31–19; offense 50.2 percentile2024 Week 14: Washington at Oregon · L 21–49; offense 25.1 percentile2024 Week 1: Washington vs. Louisville · L 34–35; offense 70.9 percentile2025 Week 1: Washington vs. Colorado State · W 38–21; offense 68.6 percentile2025 Week 2: Washington vs. UC Davis · W 70–10; offense 96.6 percentile2025 Week 4: Washington at Washington State · W 59–24; offense 93.6 percentile2025 Week 5: Washington vs. Ohio State · L 6–24; offense 32.4 percentile2025 Week 6: Washington at Maryland · W 24–20; offense 38.4 percentile2025 Week 7: Washington vs. Rutgers · W 38–19; offense 67.0 percentile2025 Week 8: Washington at Michigan · L 7–24; offense 21.8 percentile2025 Week 9: Washington vs. Illinois · W 42–25; offense 98.8 percentile2025 Week 11: Washington at Wisconsin · L 10–13; offense 19.4 percentile2025 Week 12: Washington vs. Purdue · W 49–13; offense 96.3 percentile2025 Week 13: Washington at UCLA · W 48–14; offense 61.2 percentile2025 Week 14: Washington vs. Oregon · L 14–26; offense 60.7 percentile2026 Week 1: Washington vs. Washington State · W 24–10; offense 61.8 percentile2026 Week 2: Washington vs. Utah State · W 16–14; offense 7.7 percentile2014 offense season mean: 37.4 percentile2015 offense season mean: 46.8 percentile2016 offense season mean: 77.0 percentile2017 offense season mean: 69.5 percentile2018 offense season mean: 65.0 percentile2019 offense season mean: 52.8 percentile2020 offense season mean: 67.5 percentile2021 offense season mean: 29.4 percentile2022 offense season mean: 85.1 percentile2023 offense season mean: 81.3 percentile2024 offense season mean: 61.1 percentile2025 offense season mean: 70.5 percentile2026 offense Bayesian estimate: 62.5 percentile2026 offense empirical mean: 28.7 percentiledefenseGame-grade percentile · higher is better9975502512014 Week 1: Washington at Hawai'i · W 17–16; defense 50.0 percentile2014 Week 2: Washington vs. Eastern Washington · W 59–52; defense 0.4 percentile2014 Week 3: Washington vs. Illinois · W 44–19; defense 28.1 percentile2014 Week 4: Washington vs. Georgia State · W 45–14; defense 83.9 percentile2014 Week 5: Washington vs. Stanford · L 13–20; defense 47.2 percentile2014 Week 7: Washington at California · W 31–7; defense 84.0 percentile2014 Week 8: Washington at Oregon · L 20–45; defense 43.8 percentile2014 Week 9: Washington vs. Arizona State · L 10–24; defense 90.8 percentile2014 Week 10: Washington at Colorado · W 38–23; defense 39.4 percentile2014 Week 11: Washington vs. UCLA · L 30–44; defense 16.2 percentile2014 Week 12: Washington at Arizona · L 26–27; defense 82.3 percentile2014 Week 13: Washington vs. Oregon State · W 37–13; defense 33.4 percentile2014 Week 14: Washington at Washington State · W 31–13; defense 75.6 percentile2014 Week 1: Washington vs. Oklahoma State · L 22–30; defense 26.5 percentile2015 Week 1: Washington at Boise State · L 13–16; defense 79.6 percentile2015 Week 2: Washington vs. Sacramento State · W 49–0; defense 85.0 percentile2015 Week 3: Washington vs. Utah State · W 31–17; defense 87.9 percentile2015 Week 4: Washington vs. California · L 24–30; defense 71.0 percentile2015 Week 6: Washington at USC · W 17–12; defense 77.4 percentile2015 Week 7: Washington vs. Oregon · L 20–26; defense 72.2 percentile2015 Week 8: Washington at Stanford · L 14–31; defense 39.2 percentile2015 Week 9: Washington vs. Arizona · W 49–3; defense 89.3 percentile2015 Week 10: Washington vs. Utah · L 23–34; defense 51.0 percentile2015 Week 11: Washington at Arizona State · L 17–27; defense 72.7 percentile2015 Week 12: Washington at Oregon State · W 52–7; defense 63.8 percentile2015 Week 13: Washington vs. Washington State · W 45–10; defense 69.4 percentile2015 Week 1: Washington vs. Southern Miss · W 44–31; defense 81.1 percentile2016 Week 1: Washington vs. Rutgers · W 48–13; defense 62.9 percentile2016 Week 2: Washington vs. Idaho · W 59–14; defense 70.9 percentile2016 Week 3: Washington vs. Portland State · W 41–3; defense 87.2 percentile2016 Week 4: Washington at Arizona · W 35–28; defense 18.4 percentile2016 Week 5: Washington vs. Stanford · W 44–6; defense 96.3 percentile2016 Week 6: Washington at Oregon · W 70–21; defense 71.6 percentile2016 Week 8: Washington vs. Oregon State · W 41–17; defense 73.9 percentile2016 Week 9: Washington at Utah · W 31–24; defense 53.7 percentile2016 Week 10: Washington at California · W 66–27; defense 81.7 percentile2016 Week 11: Washington vs. USC · L 13–26; defense 54.1 percentile2016 Week 12: Washington vs. Arizona State · W 44–18; defense 96.2 percentile2016 Week 13: Washington at Washington State · W 45–17; defense 88.1 percentile2016 Week 14: Washington vs. Colorado · W 41–10; defense 97.9 percentile2016 Week 1: Washington vs. Alabama · L 7–24; defense 90.6 percentile2017 Week 1: Washington at Rutgers · W 30–14; defense 43.5 percentile2017 Week 2: Washington vs. Montana · W 63–7; defense 76.6 percentile2017 Week 3: Washington vs. Fresno State · W 48–16; defense 77.1 percentile2017 Week 4: Washington at Colorado · W 37–10; defense 81.1 percentile2017 Week 5: Washington at Oregon State · W 42–7; defense 97.3 percentile2017 Week 6: Washington vs. California · W 38–7; defense 99.8 percentile2017 Week 7: Washington at Arizona State · L 7–13; defense 96.5 percentile2017 Week 9: Washington vs. UCLA · W 44–23; defense 88.3 percentile2017 Week 10: Washington vs. Oregon · W 38–3; defense 73.8 percentile2017 Week 11: Washington at Stanford · L 22–30; defense 34.0 percentile2017 Week 12: Washington vs. Utah · W 33–30; defense 42.9 percentile2017 Week 13: Washington vs. Washington State · W 41–14; defense 78.9 percentile2017 Week 1: Washington vs. Penn State · L 28–35; defense 36.0 percentile2018 Week 1: Washington vs. Auburn · L 16–21; defense 41.3 percentile2018 Week 2: Washington vs. North Dakota · W 45–3; defense 63.1 percentile2018 Week 3: Washington at Utah · W 21–7; defense 75.9 percentile2018 Week 4: Washington vs. Arizona State · W 27–20; defense 66.4 percentile2018 Week 5: Washington vs. BYU · W 35–7; defense 96.6 percentile2018 Week 6: Washington at UCLA · W 31–24; defense 24.5 percentile2018 Week 7: Washington at Oregon · L 27–30; defense 44.6 percentile2018 Week 8: Washington vs. Colorado · W 27–13; defense 76.8 percentile2018 Week 9: Washington at California · L 10–12; defense 89.8 percentile2018 Week 10: Washington vs. Stanford · W 27–23; defense 52.6 percentile2018 Week 12: Washington vs. Oregon State · W 42–23; defense 62.2 percentile2018 Week 13: Washington at Washington State · W 28–15; defense 89.2 percentile2018 Week 14: Washington vs. Utah · W 10–3; defense 96.4 percentile2018 Week 1: Washington vs. Ohio State · L 23–28; defense 74.3 percentile2019 Week 1: Washington vs. Eastern Washington · W 47–14; defense 40.5 percentile2019 Week 2: Washington vs. California · L 19–20; defense 27.7 percentile2019 Week 3: Washington vs. Hawai'i · W 52–20; defense 68.4 percentile2019 Week 4: Washington at BYU · W 45–19; defense 82.9 percentile2019 Week 5: Washington vs. USC · W 28–14; defense 63.8 percentile2019 Week 6: Washington at Stanford · L 13–23; defense 23.9 percentile2019 Week 7: Washington at Arizona · W 51–27; defense 55.4 percentile2019 Week 8: Washington vs. Oregon · L 31–35; defense 43.2 percentile2019 Week 10: Washington vs. Utah · L 28–33; defense 69.3 percentile2019 Week 11: Washington at Oregon State · W 19–7; defense 99.5 percentile2019 Week 13: Washington at Colorado · L 14–20; defense 36.0 percentile2019 Week 14: Washington vs. Washington State · W 31–13; defense 66.9 percentile2019 Week 1: Washington vs. Boise State · W 38–7; defense 89.0 percentile2020 Week 11: Washington vs. Oregon State · W 27–21; defense 69.5 percentile2020 Week 12: Washington vs. Arizona · W 44–27; defense 68.0 percentile2020 Week 13: Washington vs. Utah · W 24–21; defense 29.1 percentile2020 Week 14: Washington vs. Stanford · L 26–31; defense 8.9 percentile2021 Week 1: Washington vs. Montana · L 7–13; defense 38.7 percentile2021 Week 2: Washington at Michigan · L 10–31; defense 57.4 percentile2021 Week 3: Washington vs. Arkansas State · W 52–3; defense 66.8 percentile2021 Week 5: Washington at Oregon State · L 24–27; defense 70.2 percentile2021 Week 7: Washington vs. UCLA · L 17–24; defense 39.9 percentile2021 Week 8: Washington at Arizona · W 21–16; defense 52.8 percentile2021 Week 10: Washington vs. Oregon · L 16–26; defense 40.3 percentile2021 Week 11: Washington vs. Arizona State · L 30–35; defense 46.4 percentile2021 Week 12: Washington at Colorado · L 17–20; defense 88.9 percentile2021 Week 13: Washington vs. Washington State · L 13–40; defense 4.5 percentile2022 Week 1: Washington vs. Kent State · W 45–20; defense 44.3 percentile2022 Week 2: Washington vs. Portland State · W 52–6; defense 55.1 percentile2022 Week 3: Washington vs. Michigan State · W 39–28; defense 52.6 percentile2022 Week 4: Washington vs. Stanford · W 40–22; defense 29.8 percentile2022 Week 5: Washington at UCLA · L 32–40; defense 10.2 percentile2022 Week 6: Washington at Arizona State · L 38–45; defense 6.1 percentile2022 Week 7: Washington vs. Arizona · W 49–39; defense 3.1 percentile2022 Week 8: Washington at California · W 28–21; defense 53.9 percentile2022 Week 10: Washington vs. Oregon State · W 24–21; defense 86.9 percentile2022 Week 11: Washington at Oregon · W 37–34; defense 23.5 percentile2022 Week 12: Washington vs. Colorado · W 54–7; defense 56.7 percentile2022 Week 13: Washington at Washington State · W 51–33; defense 57.3 percentile2022 Week 1: Washington vs. Texas · W 27–20; defense 61.2 percentile2023 Week 1: Washington vs. Boise State · W 56–19; defense 71.4 percentile2023 Week 2: Washington vs. Tulsa · W 43–10; defense 68.7 percentile2023 Week 3: Washington at Michigan State · W 41–7; defense 88.0 percentile2023 Week 4: Washington vs. California · W 59–32; defense 29.7 percentile2023 Week 5: Washington at Arizona · W 31–24; defense 82.8 percentile2023 Week 7: Washington vs. Oregon · W 36–33; defense 68.3 percentile2023 Week 8: Washington vs. Arizona State · W 15–7; defense 45.3 percentile2023 Week 9: Washington at Stanford · W 42–33; defense 15.0 percentile2023 Week 10: Washington at USC · W 52–42; defense 13.3 percentile2023 Week 11: Washington vs. Utah · W 35–28; defense 12.2 percentile2023 Week 12: Washington at Oregon State · W 22–20; defense 84.9 percentile2023 Week 13: Washington vs. Washington State · W 24–21; defense 45.5 percentile2023 Week 14: Washington vs. Oregon · W 34–31; defense 87.1 percentile2023 Week 1: Washington vs. Texas · W 37–31; defense 37.9 percentile2023 Week 1: Washington vs. Michigan · L 13–34; defense 47.6 percentile2024 Week 1: Washington vs. Weber State · W 35–3; defense 46.3 percentile2024 Week 2: Washington vs. Eastern Michigan · W 30–9; defense 90.2 percentile2024 Week 3: Washington vs. Washington State · L 19–24; defense 67.9 percentile2024 Week 4: Washington vs. Northwestern · W 24–5; defense 83.6 percentile2024 Week 5: Washington at Rutgers · L 18–21; defense 73.4 percentile2024 Week 6: Washington vs. Michigan · W 27–17; defense 41.5 percentile2024 Week 7: Washington at Iowa · L 16–40; defense 16.8 percentile2024 Week 9: Washington at Indiana · L 17–31; defense 67.4 percentile2024 Week 10: Washington vs. USC · W 26–21; defense 58.7 percentile2024 Week 11: Washington at Penn State · L 6–35; defense 7.8 percentile2024 Week 12: Washington vs. UCLA · W 31–19; defense 61.3 percentile2024 Week 14: Washington at Oregon · L 21–49; defense 4.8 percentile2024 Week 1: Washington vs. Louisville · L 34–35; defense 56.6 percentile2025 Week 1: Washington vs. Colorado State · W 38–21; defense 67.7 percentile2025 Week 2: Washington vs. UC Davis · W 70–10; defense 19.8 percentile2025 Week 4: Washington at Washington State · W 59–24; defense 44.5 percentile2025 Week 5: Washington vs. Ohio State · L 6–24; defense 41.7 percentile2025 Week 6: Washington at Maryland · W 24–20; defense 70.0 percentile2025 Week 7: Washington vs. Rutgers · W 38–19; defense 54.7 percentile2025 Week 8: Washington at Michigan · L 7–24; defense 51.5 percentile2025 Week 9: Washington vs. Illinois · W 42–25; defense 14.2 percentile2025 Week 11: Washington at Wisconsin · L 10–13; defense 71.1 percentile2025 Week 12: Washington vs. Purdue · W 49–13; defense 91.7 percentile2025 Week 13: Washington at UCLA · W 48–14; defense 94.4 percentile2025 Week 14: Washington vs. Oregon · L 14–26; defense 79.8 percentile2026 Week 1: Washington vs. Washington State · W 24–10; defense 85.0 percentile2026 Week 2: Washington vs. Utah State · W 16–14; defense 85.5 percentile2014 defense season mean: 47.6 percentile2015 defense season mean: 73.8 percentile2016 defense season mean: 79.5 percentile2017 defense season mean: 78.8 percentile2018 defense season mean: 72.4 percentile2019 defense season mean: 63.7 percentile2020 defense season mean: 40.9 percentile2021 defense season mean: 49.5 percentile2022 defense season mean: 37.8 percentile2023 defense season mean: 53.6 percentile2024 defense season mean: 50.4 percentile2025 defense season mean: 60.6 percentile2026 defense Bayesian estimate: 66.5 percentile2026 defense empirical mean: 85.2 percentile2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Individual gameSeason bar · 2026 is the estimate2026 empirical meanCoaching-era band
2014Chris Petersen
2020Jimmy Lake
2021Jimmy Lake / Bob Gregory
2022Kalen DeBoer
2024Jedd Fisch

How to read 2026

The current-season estimate intelligently blends last season with new data.

The 2026 estimate is a Bayesian weighted average of normal-score Z-values. The 2025 season mean counts like 8 games of prior evidence; each completed 2026 game counts once. The result is then translated back to the 0–100 percentile scale.

2026 Z = (8 × 2025 mean Z + games played × 2026 mean Z) ÷ (8 + games played)

Season record

Every annual grade and coach

Retrospective rows average the available single-game grades in normal-score space. The result is shown as a percentile. Roughly speaking, a 95th-percentile season corresponds to about the eighth-best team in a 160-team field.

SeasonHead coachGamesOffenseDefense
2026Live estimateJedd Fisch2
62.5 estimate28.7 games-only average
66.5 estimate85.2 games-only average
2025Jedd Fisch1270.560.6
2024Jedd FischCoaching change1361.150.4
2023Kalen DeBoer1581.353.6
2022Kalen DeBoerCoaching change1385.137.8
2021Jimmy Lake / Bob GregoryCoaching change1029.449.5
2020Jimmy LakeCoaching change467.540.9
2019Chris Petersen1352.863.7
2018Chris Petersen1465.072.4
2017Chris Petersen1369.578.8
2016Chris Petersen1477.079.5
2015Chris Petersen1346.873.8
2014Chris PetersenCoaching change1437.447.6