Use the QB who played—or the confirmed starter
Week 1 participation replaces preseason guesses first. Fresh team and local news then overrides it when a coach names an injury replacement.
Sept. 11–12 / Week 2
The full Week 2 argument.
Every lined FBS-vs-FBS game now carries the same coverage as Week 1: market numbers, All-Takes sides and totals, projected scores, SP+, CFBPredictor, Cover 3 and a fixed slot for each local perspective.
49lined FBS games
23ATS picks
32totals bets
30local reads on file
Week 2 replay · 2017–2025
58.2%ATS57–41–1 when the model changed the market number.
The policy changed 99 historical Week 2 predictions and improved average spread error from 11.957 to 11.920 points. It earned +11.9 units at standard −110 pricing and finished profitable in 6 of 9 seasons.
This is historical research against an archived current-line proxy for the original Week 2 policy. It supports a selective move off the market, while the exact record remains too small to promise the same future win rate. The matchup additions have their own research record below. The reviewed Oregon adjustment sits outside this replay and will be graded separately.
See the season-by-season Week 2 results
SeasonRecordWin rateUnits
20171–516.7%−4.5
20189–11–145.0%−3.1
20199–190.0%+7.9
20201–0100.0%+1.0
20216–460.0%+1.6
20229–564.3%+3.5
202310–471.4%+5.6
20243–633.3%−3.6
20259–564.3%+3.5
Matchup additions · Week 2
63.5%55 historical bets33–19–3 on additional Week 2 sides.
Across 2020–2025, these additional Week 2 selections won 63.5% of settled bets and earned +11.0 units at assumed −110 odds. Across all weeks, the rule added 963 selections: 530–413–20, or 56.2%, with +68.8 units and a profit in all six seasons.
Efficiency and line play supplied the clearest evidence. Earlier tests helped shape this model, and the Week 2 sample contains only 52 settled bets; these are research results rather than a live record or a win probability for today’s picks.
The additions use the frozen matchup forecast and require at least one point of edge at the named book. Similar-game comparisons provide context and do not change the recommendation or its size.
How Week 1 changes the number
One result earns a measured share of the forecast.
The Week 2 update measures how each team played before garbage time, adjusts for possessions and opponent quality, then checks whether efficiency, success rate and line play support the score. The additional matchup picks examine offensive and defensive unit profiles in games the original policy passed.
Shrink one-game QB stats
Opponent-adjusted efficiency, success rate and line play help separate durable performance from a few volatile plays.
Read the market response
The model can back a team the market has not fully rewarded or fade a move that ran beyond the football evidence.
Show transition risk
QB evidence, coaching changes and roster turnover describe uncertainty without automatically deleting a bet.
How to read the board
The same evidence lanes for every game.
Each matchup starts with the saved spread and total, our projected score and the published SP+ score. Below that are explicit ATS and total calls, any All-Takes recommendation detail, the published Cover 3 picks, the locked CFBPredictor projection and one fixed slot for each local perspective.
Lines retrieved Sep 8, 9:29 PM EDT · SP+ and CFBPredictor retrieved Sept. 10 · outside-source check through Sept. 11, 2026
Availability audit
23/49matchups fully clearedNews first. Covers is the cross-check.
Each matchup now requires four searches per team: general injury news, the named quarterback, coach availability comments and a Covers check. A clean Covers page never clears a team by itself.
46/98teams cleared
184/392fresh searches cleared
The audit is intentionally strict: only a completed review inside the final 72 hours and before kickoff counts. Rutgers’ missed quarterback change is logged as a post-kickoff finding, so it diagnoses the gap without rewriting the original card.
The board
Kickoff to last call.
All 49 lined FBS-vs-FBS games in chronological order: 23 ATS picks, 26 side passes and 32 totals bets. Empty outside-pick slots remain visible rather than being treated as consensus.
Week 2 slate
Friday, September 11
2 games7:30 PM EDT
Rutgers at Boston College
Final · Rutgers 21 · Boston College 28
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadBoston College −3Consensus snapshot
Saved total54.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreRutgers 24.7 · Boston College 27.7Boston College by 3.0
SP+ projected scoreRutgers 28 · Boston College 27Rutgers by 1.3 · 53.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 52.4 points, 1.9 from the 54.3 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.20
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Rutgers by 1.3SP+ projects Rutgers 28, Boston College 27, with Rutgers at 53.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Rutgers +3CFPi+ projects Rutgers 31, Boston College 30: Rutgers by 1.0, with a 52.3% win probability. Against its captured Boston College −3 line, the model gap favors Rutgers by 3.98 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
RutgersRutgers 34, Boston College 24
Arnav Sarkar
Sarkar's game-by-game card gives Rutgers a two-score road win in Chestnut Hill.
On the Banks · June 25 ↗Boston CollegeBoston College
Trevor Hass
Hass marks Rutgers as a Boston College win in his game-by-game season forecast.
Boston.com · Sept. 3 ↗8:00 PM EDT
Missouri at Kansas
Final · Missouri 38 · Kansas 21
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadMissouri −5.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total50.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreMissouri 27.3 · Kansas 21.8Missouri by 5.5
SP+ projected scoreMissouri 27 · Kansas 25Missouri by 2.9 · 57.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 49.0 points, 1.2 from the 50.3 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.15
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
2 main-host plays- Chip PattersonKansas–Missouri over 50.5
- Danny KanellKansas 1H +3.5
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Missouri by 2.9SP+ projects Missouri 27, Kansas 25, with Missouri at 57.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Kansas +5.5CFPi+ projects Missouri 27, Kansas 26: Missouri by 1.7, with a 54.0% win probability. Against its captured Missouri −5.5 line, the model gap favors Kansas by 3.77 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
MissouriNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026KansasMissouri 28, Kansas 23
Henry Greenstein
Greenstein expects the renewed rivalry to stay close, with Missouri pulling it out late.
KU Sports · Sept. 10 ↗Week 2 slate
Saturday, September 12
47 games12:00 PM EDT · Reviewed adjustment
Oregon at Oklahoma State
Final · Oregon 31 · Oklahoma State 39
ATS callOregonInjury search cleared
Saved spreadOregon −22.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total57.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreOregon 40.7 · Oklahoma State 15.7Oregon by 25.0
SP+ projected scoreOregon 37 · Oklahoma State 16Oregon by 20.3 · 90.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is Oregon −25, leaving a 2.50-point gap from that number.
- Official fair line
- −25
- Reviewed edge
- 2.50
- Official stake
- 0.75 unit
The model projects 56.5 points, 1.0 from the 57.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.31
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Base model before reviewOklahoma State +22.5
The unchanged production forecast has Oregon by 21.9, creating a 0.60-point Oklahoma State lean at this price. The reviewed fair line adds 3.3 points to Oregon and keeps the game in the higher-uncertainty group.
Oklahoma State's rebuilt defense projects for below-average pass disruption, a favorable matchup for Dante Moore's timing and downfield efficiency. The staff and bounce-back evidence support the remaining adjustment.
Cassity's recent defenses created above-average pressure, and Oklahoma State's eight failed possessions against Tulsa leave real backdoor risk if its ball security improves.
Pass havoc counts sacks and passes defended per dropback. Moore averaged a 183.1 passer rating against his seven lower-havoc FBS opponents in 2025 and 145.8 against the upper half. Oklahoma State produced one disrupted pass and no sacks on 24 Tulsa dropbacks, while coordinator Skyler Cassity's recent defenses suggest a more conservative 14% to 16% range.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Oregon by 20.3SP+ projects Oregon 37, Oklahoma State 16, with Oregon at 90.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Oklahoma State +22.5CFPi+ projects Oregon 34, Oklahoma State 17: Oregon by 17.6, with a 84.3% win probability. Against its captured Oregon −22.5 line, the model gap favors Oklahoma State by 4.94 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Oregon · inferredInferred ATQ: Oregon −27.5 · Total 55.5
hythloday1 · inference by All Takes
ATQ does not publish a betting pick here. We infer Oklahoma State at roughly −10.2 on a neutral-field power scale, four points below the −6.2 strength implied by Oregon −23.5. The rebuilt line and failed perimeter game cut the Cowboys to 14.0 points; the weak pass rush and explosive-pass exposure lift Oregon to 41.5.
Addicted To Quack · Sept. 11 · underlying film study ↗Oklahoma StateOregon 44, Oklahoma State 34
Matt Postins
Postins' season scorecard gives the Cowboys enough offense to compete but not enough stops to win.
Oklahoma State Cowboys On SI · Aug. 12 ↗12:00 PM EDT · Matchup pick
Arizona State at Texas A&M
Final · Arizona State 20 · Texas A&M 48
ATS callArizona StateInjury search cleared
Saved spreadTexas A&M −14.25Consensus snapshot
Saved total50.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreArizona State 18.4 · Texas A&M 31.3Texas A&M by 12.9
SP+ projected scoreArizona State 17 · Texas A&M 35Texas A&M by 17.7 · 87.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at DraftKings. The fair line is Arizona State +12.85, leaving a 1.65-point gap from that number.
- Matchup fair line
- +12.85
- Model edge
- 1.65
- Transition risk
- typical
The model projects 49.8 points, 0.5 from the 50.3 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.61
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Efficiency, line play and finishing estimates all pull this projection toward Arizona State. Taking more than two touchdowns leaves room above the matchup fair line.
The broader game context pulls toward Texas A&M; Arizona State still projects to lose the game.
Both head coaches return from last season. The combined QB, coaching and roster uncertainty is near the middle of this week’s slate.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
4 main-host plays- Bud ElliottArizona State +14.5
- Chip PattersonArizona State team total over 17.5
- Danny KanellArizona State +14.5
- Chip PattersonArizona State +517 ML sprinkle
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Texas A&M by 17.7SP+ projects Arizona State 17, Texas A&M 35, with Texas A&M at 87.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Texas A&M −14.5CFPi+ projects Arizona State 14, Texas A&M 38: Texas A&M by 24.5, with a 92.0% win probability. Against its captured Texas A&M −14.5 line, the model gap favors Texas A&M by 9.99 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Arizona StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Texas A&MTexas A&M 24, Arizona State 17
Jay Arnold
Arnold expects the Aggies' defense to decide a close, low-scoring game while the offense remains uneven.
Dave Campbell's Texas Football · Sept. 10 ↗12:00 PM EDT · Matchup pick
South Florida at Army
Final · South Florida 28 · Army 24
ATS callArmyInjury search cleared
Saved spreadArmy −3.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total47.0Bovada · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreSouth Florida 20.5 · Army 25.4Army by 4.9
SP+ projected scoreSouth Florida 23 · Army 31Army by 7.9 · 69.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is Army −4.87, leaving a 1.37-point gap from that number.
- Matchup fair line
- −4.87
- Model edge
- 1.37
- Transition risk
- higher
The model projects 45.9 points, 0.9 from the 46.8 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 10.86
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Line play and efficiency profiles support Army, with a smaller contribution from pass disruption. Together they support Army by nearly five.
The defensive response curves pull against Army. At four points, the remaining price advantage is too small.
South Florida has new coach Brian Hartline. QB evidence, coaching continuity and roster turnover make this game less predictable than most of the slate.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Army by 7.9SP+ projects South Florida 23, Army 31, with Army at 69.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
South Florida +3.5CFPi+ projects South Florida 28, Army 27: South Florida by 1.0, with a 52.2% win probability. Against its captured Army −3.5 line, the model gap favors South Florida by 4.45 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
South FloridaNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026ArmyNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 202612:00 PM EDT
Oklahoma at Michigan
Final · Oklahoma 10 · Michigan 17
ATS callOklahomaInjury search cleared
Saved spreadOklahoma −5.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total43.5Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreOklahoma 24.7 · Michigan 18.2Oklahoma by 6.5
SP+ projected scoreOklahoma 27 · Michigan 20Oklahoma by 7.0 · 67.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is Oklahoma −6.46, leaving a 0.96-point gap from that number.
- Model line
- −6.46
- Model edge
- 0.96
- Transition risk
- typical
The model projects 42.9 points, 0.6 from the 43.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.43
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Week 1 moved the football estimate toward Oklahoma by 6.9 points. The market moved the same way, but the model still finds 1.0 points on Oklahoma.
Oklahoma: John Mateer, projected rating 143.5. Michigan: Bryce Underwood, projected rating 140.7.
Michigan has new coach Kyle Whittingham. The combined QB, coaching and roster uncertainty is near the middle of this week’s slate.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
4 main-host plays- Chip PattersonMichigan 1H team total under 9.5
- Danny KanellMichigan +5.5
- Danny KanellMichigan–Oklahoma 1H under 21.5
- Tom FornelliMichigan–Oklahoma under 43.5
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Oklahoma by 7.0SP+ projects Oklahoma 27, Michigan 20, with Oklahoma at 67.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Michigan +5.5CFPi+ projects Oklahoma 21, Michigan 24: Michigan by 3.1, with a 57.1% win probability. Against its captured Oklahoma −5.5 line, the model gap favors Michigan by 8.61 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
OklahomaOklahoma — unanimous
Sooners Wire staff
John Williams, Aaron Gelvin and Jaron Spor all take the Sooners in the staff's schedule predictions.
Sooners Wire · Aug. 29 ↗MichiganMichigan
Nick Durand
Durand's bold-predictions card calls for Michigan to avenge last season's loss to Oklahoma.
Maize n Brew · Aug. 25 ↗12:00 PM EDT
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech
Final · Old Dominion 21 · Virginia Tech 44
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadVirginia Tech −19.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total50.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreOld Dominion 14.8 · Virginia Tech 34.3Virginia Tech by 19.5
SP+ projected scoreOld Dominion 14 · Virginia Tech 35Virginia Tech by 21.0 · 91.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 49.0 points, 1.2 from the 50.3 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.71
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Virginia Tech by 21.0SP+ projects Old Dominion 14, Virginia Tech 35, with Virginia Tech at 91.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Virginia Tech −19.5CFPi+ projects Old Dominion 16, Virginia Tech 38: Virginia Tech by 21.9, with a 89.6% win probability. Against its captured Virginia Tech −19.5 line, the model gap favors Virginia Tech by 2.45 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Old DominionNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Virginia TechVirginia Tech 31, Old Dominion 14
Chris Coleman
Coleman expects the Hokies to handle ODU behind the deeper roster and a cleaner offensive day.
TechSideline · Sept. 9 ↗12:00 PM EDT
Penn State at Temple
Final · Penn State 27 · Temple 9
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadPenn State −23.75Consensus snapshot
Saved total49.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scorePenn State 37.0 · Temple 13.3Penn State by 23.8
SP+ projected scorePenn State 39 · Temple 17Penn State by 22.2 · 92.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 50.3 points, 0.5 from the 49.8 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.03
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
1 main-host play- Danny KanellPenn State −23.5
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Penn State by 22.2SP+ projects Penn State 39, Temple 17, with Penn State at 92.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Temple +23.5CFPi+ projects Penn State 38, Temple 21: Penn State by 16.6, with a 83.0% win probability. Against its captured Penn State −23.5 line, the model gap favors Temple by 6.89 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Penn StatePenn State — unanimous
Mark Wogenrich, Keith Horstman and Daniel Fisher
All three writers pick Penn State, with projected scores of 27–13, 33–10 and 38–10.
Penn State Nittany Lions On SI · Aug. 30 ↗TempleNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 202612:00 PM EDT
Washington State at Kansas State
Final · Washington State 7 · Kansas State 34
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadKansas State −19.25Consensus snapshot
Saved total48.8Saved consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreWashington State 14.9 · Kansas State 34.2Kansas State by 19.3
SP+ projected scoreWashington State 16 · Kansas State 35Kansas State by 18.9 · 88.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 49.1 points, 0.4 from the 48.8 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.37
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
2 main-host plays- Bud ElliottWashington State +18
- Tom FornelliKansas State −17.5
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Kansas State by 18.9SP+ projects Washington State 16, Kansas State 35, with Kansas State at 88.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Washington State +18.5CFPi+ projects Washington State 17, Kansas State 31: Kansas State by 14.7, with a 80.1% win probability. Against its captured Kansas State −18.5 line, the model gap favors Washington State by 3.79 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Washington StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Kansas StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 202612:00 PM EDT
App State at East Carolina
Final · App State 27 · East Carolina 24
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadEast Carolina −7Consensus snapshot
Saved total56.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreApp State 24.1 · East Carolina 31.1East Carolina by 7.0
SP+ projected scoreApp State 26 · East Carolina 27East Carolina by 1.6 · 54.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 55.1 points, 1.4 from the 56.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.77
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
2 main-host plays- Bud ElliottApp State +7.5
- Bud ElliottApp State +244 ML sprinkle
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
East Carolina by 1.6SP+ projects App State 26, East Carolina 27, with East Carolina at 54.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
App State +7.5CFPi+ projects App State 27, East Carolina 30: East Carolina by 3.1, with a 57.1% win probability. Against its captured East Carolina −7.5 line, the model gap favors App State by 4.40 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
App StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026East CarolinaNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 202612:00 PM EDT
Wake Forest at Purdue
Final · Wake Forest 38 · Purdue 36
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadWake Forest −3Consensus snapshot
Saved total49.8Saved consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreWake Forest 26.5 · Purdue 23.5Wake Forest by 3.0
SP+ projected scoreWake Forest 23 · Purdue 26Purdue by 2.1 · 55.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 50.0 points, 0.2 from the 49.8 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.65
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
3 main-host plays- Tom FornelliPurdue +3.5
- Danny KanellPurdue +138 ML sprinkle
- Tom FornelliPurdue +138 ML sprinkle
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Purdue by 2.1SP+ projects Wake Forest 23, Purdue 26, with Purdue at 55.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Purdue +3CFPi+ projects Wake Forest 24, Purdue 27: Purdue by 2.0, with a 54.5% win probability. Against its captured Wake Forest −3 line, the model gap favors Purdue by 4.99 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Wake ForestWake Forest
Adam Bridgers
Bridgers' season outlook marks the Purdue trip as a Wake Forest win.
Blogger So Dear · Aug. 27 ↗PurdueNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 202612:45 PM EDT
Western Kentucky at Georgia
Final · Western Kentucky 20 · Georgia 70
ATS callGeorgiaInjury search cleared
Saved spreadGeorgia −40.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total55.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreWestern Kentucky 6.5 · Georgia 48.1Georgia by 41.6
SP+ projected scoreWestern Kentucky 5 · Georgia 49Georgia by 44.3 · 100.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is Georgia −41.57, leaving a 1.07-point gap from that number.
- Model line
- −41.57
- Model edge
- 1.07
- Transition risk
- lower
The model projects 54.6 points, 0.9 from the 55.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.31
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Week 1 moved the football estimate toward Georgia by 4.4 points. The market moved the same way, but the model still finds 1.1 points on Georgia.
Western Kentucky: Rodney Tisdale Jr., projected rating 130.9. Georgia: Gunner Stockton, projected rating 151.3.
Both head coaches return from last season. The available QB, coaching and roster evidence puts this game among the slate’s more stable matchups.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Georgia by 44.3SP+ projects Western Kentucky 5, Georgia 49, with Georgia at 100.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Georgia −40.5CFPi+ projects Western Kentucky 7, Georgia 49: Georgia by 43.7, with a 99.4% win probability. Against its captured Georgia −40.5 line, the model gap favors Georgia by 3.23 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Western KentuckyNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026GeorgiaNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20263:30 PM EDT
UL Monroe at UAB
Final · UL Monroe 20 · UAB 26
ATS callUABInjury search cleared
Saved spreadUAB −9.75Consensus snapshot
Saved total55.8Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreUL Monroe 21.8 · UAB 33.7UAB by 11.9
SP+ projected scoreUL Monroe 18 · UAB 38UAB by 19.6 · 89.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is UAB −11.88, leaving a 2.38-point gap from that number.
- Model line
- −11.88
- Model edge
- 2.38
- Transition risk
- typical
The model projects 55.4 points, 0.3 from the 55.8 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.34
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Week 1 moved the football estimate toward UAB by 4.9 points. The market moved the same way, but the model still finds 2.1 points on UAB.
UL Monroe: Aidan Armenta, projected rating 125.8. UAB: Ryder Burton, projected rating 124.1.
Both head coaches return from last season. The combined QB, coaching and roster uncertainty is near the middle of this week’s slate.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
UAB by 19.6SP+ projects UL Monroe 18, UAB 38, with UAB at 89.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
UAB −10CFPi+ projects UL Monroe 21, UAB 35: UAB by 14.2, with a 79.2% win probability. Against its captured UAB −10 line, the model gap favors UAB by 4.17 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
UL MonroeNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026UABNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20263:30 PM EDT · Matchup pick
Duke at Illinois
Final · Duke 31 · Illinois 27
ATS callIllinoisInjury search cleared
Saved spreadIllinois −5.75Consensus snapshot
Saved total51.5Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreDuke 22.0 · Illinois 29.0Illinois by 7.0
SP+ projected scoreDuke 26 · Illinois 30Illinois by 3.4 · 58.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is Illinois −6.99, leaving a 1.49-point gap from that number.
- Matchup fair line
- −6.99
- Model edge
- 1.49
- Transition risk
- typical
The model projects 50.9 points, 0.6 from the 51.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.20
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Line play is the largest contributor to the move toward Illinois. Efficiency and the defensive response estimates also support laying fewer than six points.
Pass-disruption estimates lean slightly toward Duke. Laying six would leave less than the required one-point edge.
Both head coaches return from last season. The combined QB, coaching and roster uncertainty is near the middle of this week’s slate.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
2 main-host plays- Tom FornelliIllinois–Duke over 51.5
- Danny KanellDuke +186 ML sprinkle
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Illinois by 3.4SP+ projects Duke 26, Illinois 30, with Illinois at 58.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Duke +6CFPi+ projects Duke 28, Illinois 34: Illinois by 4.9, with a 61.2% win probability. Against its captured Illinois −6 line, the model gap favors Duke by 1.06 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
DukeNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026IllinoisIllinois −5.5 · Illinois 31, Duke 20
Stephen Cohn
Cohn backs the Illini to cover and expects their defense to hold Duke near 20 points.
The Champaign Room · Sept. 10 ↗3:30 PM EDT
UTSA at Texas State
Final · UTSA 31 · Texas State 26
ATS callUTSAInjury search cleared
Saved spreadTexas State −1.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total66.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreUTSA 31.6 · Texas State 32.5Texas State by 0.9
SP+ projected scoreUTSA 36 · Texas State 28UTSA by 8.1 · 69.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is UTSA +0.89, leaving a 0.61-point gap from that number.
- Model line
- +0.89
- Model edge
- 0.61
- Transition risk
- lower
The model projects 64.2 points, 2.1 from the 66.3 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.70
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Week 1 moved the football estimate toward UTSA by 3.0 points. The market moved the same way, but the model still finds 0.6 points on UTSA.
UTSA: Owen McCown, projected rating 144.8. Texas State: Brad Jackson, projected rating 148.9.
Both head coaches return from last season. The available QB, coaching and roster evidence puts this game among the slate’s more stable matchups.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
UTSA by 8.1SP+ projects UTSA 36, Texas State 28, with UTSA at 69.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
UTSA +1.5CFPi+ projects UTSA 34, Texas State 31: UTSA by 3.0, with a 56.9% win probability. Against its captured Texas State −1.5 line, the model gap favors UTSA by 4.54 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
UTSANo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Texas StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20263:30 PM EDT
Arizona at BYU
Final · Arizona 17 · BYU 28
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadBYU −7.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total47.8Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreArizona 19.9 · BYU 27.4BYU by 7.5
SP+ projected scoreArizona 23 · BYU 29BYU by 6.7 · 66.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 47.4 points, 0.4 from the 47.8 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.34
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
1 main-host play- Danny KanellArizona +7.5
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
BYU by 6.7SP+ projects Arizona 23, BYU 29, with BYU at 66.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
BYU −7.5CFPi+ projects Arizona 20, BYU 31: BYU by 11.2, with a 73.9% win probability. Against its captured BYU −7.5 line, the model gap favors BYU by 3.66 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
ArizonaBYU — 4 of 6
Arizona Desert Swarm staff
Four of six staff writers pick BYU in a split panel; the two Arizona calls are 35–24 and 24–20.
Arizona Desert Swarm · Sept. 10 ↗BYUNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20263:30 PM EDT
Alabama at Kentucky
Final · Alabama 45 · Kentucky 17
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadAlabama −10.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total49.3Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreAlabama 29.8 · Kentucky 19.3Alabama by 10.5
SP+ projected scoreAlabama 28 · Kentucky 19Alabama by 9.0 · 71.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 49.2 points, 0.1 from the 49.3 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.28
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
2 main-host plays- Danny KanellKentucky +10.5
- Chip PattersonKentucky +315 ML sprinkle
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Alabama by 9.0SP+ projects Alabama 28, Kentucky 19, with Alabama at 71.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Kentucky +10.5CFPi+ projects Alabama 28, Kentucky 20: Alabama by 8.7, with a 69.1% win probability. Against its captured Alabama −10.5 line, the model gap favors Kentucky by 1.81 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
AlabamaAlabama 31, Kentucky 14
Jess Nicholas
Nicholas expects Kentucky's offense to struggle to sustain enough drives against Alabama.
TideFans.com · Sept. 7 ↗KentuckyNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20263:30 PM EDT
California at Syracuse
Final · California 21 · Syracuse 18
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadSyracuse −3.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total56.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreCalifornia 25.9 · Syracuse 29.4Syracuse by 3.5
SP+ projected scoreCalifornia 22 · Syracuse 31Syracuse by 8.7 · 71.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 55.3 points, 1.2 from the 56.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.58
- Weather
- Indoor — no weather adjustment
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Syracuse by 8.7SP+ projects California 22, Syracuse 31, with Syracuse at 71.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Syracuse −3.5CFPi+ projects California 24, Syracuse 28: Syracuse by 4.4, with a 59.9% win probability. Against its captured Syracuse −3.5 line, the model gap favors Syracuse by 0.88 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
CaliforniaNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026SyracuseSyracuse 31, California 27
Kevin Wall
Wall gives Syracuse a four-point home win in a matchup he expects to remain competitive throughout.
Troy Nunes Is An Absolute Magician · Sept. 10 ↗3:30 PM EDT
UCF at Pittsburgh
Final · UCF 7 · Pittsburgh 12
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadPittsburgh −7Consensus snapshot
Saved total56.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreUCF 23.9 · Pittsburgh 30.9Pittsburgh by 7.0
SP+ projected scoreUCF 22 · Pittsburgh 29Pittsburgh by 6.7 · 66.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 54.8 points, 1.7 from the 56.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.68
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
1 main-host play- Bud ElliottUCF +235 ML sprinkle
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Pittsburgh by 6.7SP+ projects UCF 22, Pittsburgh 29, with Pittsburgh at 66.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Pittsburgh −7CFPi+ projects UCF 21, Pittsburgh 30: Pittsburgh by 8.8, with a 69.3% win probability. Against its captured Pittsburgh −7 line, the model gap favors Pittsburgh by 1.81 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
UCFNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026PittsburghNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20263:30 PM EDT
Utah State at Washington
Final · Utah State 14 · Washington 16
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadWashington −26.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total55.5Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreUtah State 14.4 · Washington 40.9Washington by 26.5
SP+ projected scoreUtah State 12 · Washington 38Washington by 26.0 · 95.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 55.2 points, 0.3 from the 55.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.50
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
1 main-host play- Bud ElliottWashington −26.5
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Washington by 26.0SP+ projects Utah State 12, Washington 38, with Washington at 95.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Utah State +26.5CFPi+ projects Utah State 14, Washington 38: Washington by 23.7, with a 91.3% win probability. Against its captured Washington −26.5 line, the model gap favors Utah State by 2.83 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Utah StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026WashingtonWashington
Jeffrey Gorman
Gorman expects Washington's defense to force mistakes and keep Utah State from generating enough explosive plays.
UW Dawg Pound · Sept. 9 ↗3:30 PM EDT
Maryland at UConn
Final · Maryland 38 · UConn 14
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadMaryland −12.25Consensus snapshot
Saved total52.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreMaryland 32.1 · UConn 19.8Maryland by 12.3
SP+ projected scoreMaryland 32 · UConn 19Maryland by 13.0 · 79.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 51.9 points, 0.6 from the 52.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.64
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
1 main-host play- Bud ElliottMaryland −13
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Maryland by 13.0SP+ projects Maryland 32, UConn 19, with Maryland at 79.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
UConn +12.5CFPi+ projects Maryland 31, UConn 24: Maryland by 7.8, with a 67.3% win probability. Against its captured Maryland −12.5 line, the model gap favors UConn by 4.70 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
MarylandNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026UConnNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20263:30 PM EDT
Eastern Michigan at Michigan State
Final · Eastern Michigan 7 · Michigan State 35
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadMichigan State −17.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total49.8Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreEastern Michigan 16.0 · Michigan State 33.5Michigan State by 17.5
SP+ projected scoreEastern Michigan 16 · Michigan State 35Michigan State by 19.1 · 88.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 49.6 points, 0.2 from the 49.8 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.43
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Michigan State by 19.1SP+ projects Eastern Michigan 16, Michigan State 35, with Michigan State at 88.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Eastern Michigan +17.5CFPi+ projects Eastern Michigan 20, Michigan State 34: Michigan State by 14.8, with a 80.3% win probability. Against its captured Michigan State −17.5 line, the model gap favors Eastern Michigan by 2.67 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Eastern MichiganNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Michigan StateMichigan State 38, Eastern Michigan 10
Jacob Cotsonika
Cotsonika's game-by-game card projects a comfortable in-state win for the Spartans.
Michigan State Spartans On SI · July 29 ↗3:30 PM EDT
Rice at Notre Dame
Final · Rice 0 · Notre Dame 52
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadNotre Dame −44.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total55.0Bovada · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreRice 5.4 · Notre Dame 49.9Notre Dame by 44.5
SP+ projected scoreRice 6 · Notre Dame 46Notre Dame by 39.7 · 99.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 55.3 points, 0.1 from the 55.3 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.37
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
2 main-host plays- Chip PattersonRice +44.5
- Tom FornelliNotre Dame team total over 48.5
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Notre Dame by 39.7SP+ projects Rice 6, Notre Dame 46, with Notre Dame at 99.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Rice +44.5CFPi+ projects Rice 7, Notre Dame 49: Notre Dame by 44.4, with a 99.5% win probability. Against its captured Notre Dame −44.5 line, the model gap favors Rice by 0.09 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
RiceNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Notre DameNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20263:30 PM EDT
Mississippi State at Minnesota
Final · Mississippi State 38 · Minnesota 13
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadMississippi State −0.25Consensus snapshot
Saved total55.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreMississippi State 26.4 · Minnesota 26.1Mississippi State by 0.3
SP+ projected scoreMississippi State 25 · Minnesota 27Minnesota by 2.7 · 57.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 52.5 points, 2.7 from the 55.3 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.40
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
1 main-host play- Bud ElliottMinnesota 1H +0.5
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Minnesota by 2.7SP+ projects Mississippi State 25, Minnesota 27, with Minnesota at 57.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Minnesota +1.5CFPi+ projects Mississippi State 27, Minnesota 24: Mississippi State by 1.5, with a 53.3% win probability. Against its captured Mississippi State −1.5 line, the model gap favors Minnesota by 0.04 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Mississippi StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026MinnesotaMinnesota
GopherNation
The game preview's three keys culminate in a Minnesota win over Mississippi State.
The Daily Gopher · Sept. 10 ↗3:45 PM EDT · Matchup pick
UNLV at North Texas
Final · UNLV 6 · North Texas 44
ATS callNorth TexasInjury search cleared
Saved spreadUNLV −3.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total57.0Bovada · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreUNLV 29.1 · North Texas 26.8UNLV by 2.3
SP+ projected scoreUNLV 36 · North Texas 23UNLV by 13.0 · 79.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is North Texas +2.29, leaving a 1.21-point gap from that number.
- Matchup fair line
- +2.29
- Model edge
- 1.21
- Transition risk
- higher
The model projects 55.9 points, 0.9 from the 56.8 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.55
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Line play is the largest contribution toward North Texas, with efficiency and finishing also helping. Taking more than a field goal clears the price requirement.
The broader game context favors UNLV. At +3, the remaining edge would be less than one point.
North Texas has new coach Neal Brown. QB evidence, coaching continuity and roster turnover make this game less predictable than most of the slate.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
1 main-host play- Danny KanellNorth Texas +140 ML sprinkle
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
UNLV by 13.0SP+ projects UNLV 36, North Texas 23, with UNLV at 79.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
UNLV −3.5CFPi+ projects UNLV 38, North Texas 31: UNLV by 6.4, with a 64.3% win probability. Against its captured UNLV −3.5 line, the model gap favors UNLV by 2.88 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
UNLVNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026North TexasNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20264:15 PM EDT
Delaware at Vanderbilt
Final · Delaware 26 · Vanderbilt 35
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadVanderbilt −20.75Consensus snapshot
Saved total55.0Bovada · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreDelaware 16.5 · Vanderbilt 37.2Vanderbilt by 20.8
SP+ projected scoreDelaware 17 · Vanderbilt 40Vanderbilt by 22.2 · 92.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 53.7 points, 1.1 from the 54.8 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.26
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Vanderbilt by 22.2SP+ projects Delaware 17, Vanderbilt 40, with Vanderbilt at 92.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Vanderbilt −20.5CFPi+ projects Delaware 20, Vanderbilt 42: Vanderbilt by 23.7, with a 91.3% win probability. Against its captured Vanderbilt −20.5 line, the model gap favors Vanderbilt by 3.15 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
DelawareNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026VanderbiltVanderbilt 35, Delaware 17
Joey Dwyer
Dwyer expects Vanderbilt to pull away by establishing control around three matchup keys.
VandySports · Sept. 10 ↗6:00 PM EDT · Matchup pick
Memphis at Boise State
Final · Memphis 20 · Boise State 38
ATS callMemphisInjury search cleared
Saved spreadBoise State −9Consensus snapshot
Saved total55.0Bovada · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreMemphis 22.9 · Boise State 29.9Boise State by 7.1
SP+ projected scoreMemphis 25 · Boise State 31Boise State by 5.6 · 64.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is Memphis +7.07, leaving a 2.43-point gap from that number.
- Matchup fair line
- +7.07
- Model edge
- 2.43
- Transition risk
- higher
The model projects 52.8 points, 1.9 from the 54.8 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.61
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Efficiency and finishing profiles give Memphis the largest matchup adjustment among the eligible underdogs. The offered spread leaves the largest price advantage on this added card.
The defensive response curves pull modestly toward Boise State. This is a points recommendation; Boise State remains the projected winner.
Memphis has new coach Charles Huff. QB evidence, coaching continuity and roster turnover make this game less predictable than most of the slate.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
5 main-host plays- Chip PattersonMemphis team total over 22.5
- Tom FornelliBoise State–Memphis under 55
- Bud ElliottMemphis +285 ML sprinkle
- Chip PattersonMemphis +285 ML sprinkle
- Danny KanellMemphis +285 ML sprinkle
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Boise State by 5.6SP+ projects Memphis 25, Boise State 31, with Boise State at 64.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Memphis +8.5CFPi+ projects Memphis 27, Boise State 31: Boise State by 5.2, with a 61.7% win probability. Against its captured Boise State −8.5 line, the model gap favors Memphis by 3.33 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
MemphisNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Boise StateBoise State 27, Memphis 23
Kevin Nix
Nix's season scorecard projects a close home win for the Broncos.
Boise State Broncos On SI · Sept. 4 ↗6:00 PM EDT
Jacksonville State at Ohio
Final · Jacksonville State 27 · Ohio 29
ATS callOhioInjury search cleared
Saved spreadOhio −2.75Consensus snapshot
Saved total50.5Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreJacksonville State 22.8 · Ohio 27.4Ohio by 4.6
SP+ projected scoreJacksonville State 28 · Ohio 21Jacksonville State by 6.9 · 67.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is Ohio −4.58, leaving a 2.08-point gap from that number.
- Model line
- −4.58
- Model edge
- 2.08
- Transition risk
- typical
The model projects 50.2 points, 0.3 from the 50.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.29
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Week 1 moved the football estimate toward Ohio by 3.6 points. The market moved the same way, but the model still finds 1.8 points on Ohio.
Jacksonville State: Caden Creel, projected rating 138.6. Ohio: Nick Poulos, projected rating 118.5.
Both head coaches return from last season. The combined QB, coaching and roster uncertainty is near the middle of this week’s slate.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Jacksonville State by 6.9SP+ projects Jacksonville State 28, Ohio 21, with Jacksonville State at 67.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Jacksonville State +3CFPi+ projects Jacksonville State 27, Ohio 26: Jacksonville State by 1.2, with a 52.8% win probability. Against its captured Ohio −3 line, the model gap favors Jacksonville State by 4.23 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Jacksonville StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026OhioNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20266:00 PM EDT
Buffalo at Florida International
Final · Buffalo 20 · Florida International 33
ATS callBuffaloInjury search cleared
Saved spreadFlorida International −10.25Consensus snapshot
Saved total47.5Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreBuffalo 19.0 · Florida International 27.9Florida International by 9.0
SP+ projected scoreBuffalo 24 · Florida International 24Florida International by 0.6 · 51.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at DraftKings. The fair line is Buffalo +8.98, leaving a 1.52-point gap from that number.
- Model line
- +8.98
- Model edge
- 1.52
- Transition risk
- higher
The model projects 46.9 points, 0.6 from the 47.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 12.12
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
The market moved 2.1 points toward Florida International, farther than the Week 1 performance update supports. The model buys back 1.3 points on Buffalo.
Buffalo: Elijah Holmes, projected rating 114.7. Florida International: JJ Kohl (transfer), projected rating 134.2.
Both head coaches return from last season. QB evidence, coaching continuity and roster turnover make this game less predictable than most of the slate.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
1 main-host play- Bud ElliottFIU −10
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Florida International by 0.6SP+ projects Buffalo 24, Florida International 24, with Florida International at 51.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Buffalo +10.5CFPi+ projects Buffalo 27, Florida International 28: Florida International by 0.1, with a 50.2% win probability. Against its captured Florida International −10.5 line, the model gap favors Buffalo by 10.41 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
BuffaloNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Florida InternationalNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20267:00 PM EDT · Matchup pick
Georgia State at Kennesaw State
Final · Georgia State 31 · Kennesaw State 17
ATS callGeorgia StateInjury search cleared
Saved spreadKennesaw State −9.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total54.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreGeorgia State 22.7 · Kennesaw State 30.9Kennesaw State by 8.3
SP+ projected scoreGeorgia State 19 · Kennesaw State 36Kennesaw State by 17.8 · 87.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is Georgia State +8.26, leaving a 1.24-point gap from that number.
- Matchup fair line
- +8.26
- Model edge
- 1.24
- Transition risk
- higher
The model projects 53.6 points, 0.9 from the 54.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.58
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Line play and conversion efficiency are the main reasons to take Georgia State. They outweigh a weaker contribution from the broader efficiency profile.
The overall efficiency component leans toward Kennesaw State; the case depends more heavily on line play and finishing.
Both head coaches return from last season. QB evidence, coaching continuity and roster turnover make this game less predictable than most of the slate.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Kennesaw State by 17.8SP+ projects Georgia State 19, Kennesaw State 36, with Kennesaw State at 87.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Georgia State +9.5CFPi+ projects Georgia State 24, Kennesaw State 31: Kennesaw State by 7.6, with a 66.9% win probability. Against its captured Kennesaw State −9.5 line, the model gap favors Georgia State by 1.86 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Georgia StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Kennesaw StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20267:00 PM EDT
Tennessee at Georgia Tech
Final · Tennessee 45 · Georgia Tech 24
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadTennessee −12.75Consensus snapshot
Saved total55.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreTennessee 33.7 · Georgia Tech 20.9Tennessee by 12.8
SP+ projected scoreTennessee 35 · Georgia Tech 20Tennessee by 15.6 · 84.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 54.6 points, 0.9 from the 55.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.29
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
1 main-host play- Danny KanellGeorgia Tech +12.5
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Tennessee by 15.6SP+ projects Tennessee 35, Georgia Tech 20, with Tennessee at 84.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Georgia Tech +12.5CFPi+ projects Tennessee 35, Georgia Tech 27: Tennessee by 8.7, with a 69.0% win probability. Against its captured Tennessee −12.5 line, the model gap favors Georgia Tech by 3.84 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
TennesseeTennessee 33, Georgia Tech 22
Patrick Sharyon
Sharyon expects Tennessee to cover behind the stronger passing game and defensive front.
Rocky Top Insider · Sept. 10 ↗Georgia TechNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20267:00 PM EDT
Middle Tennessee at Marshall
Final · Middle Tennessee 26 · Marshall 28
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadMarshall −13.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total57.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreMiddle Tennessee 21.4 · Marshall 34.9Marshall by 13.5
SP+ projected scoreMiddle Tennessee 25 · Marshall 34Marshall by 8.9 · 71.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 56.3 points, 1.0 from the 57.3 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.75
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Marshall by 8.9SP+ projects Middle Tennessee 25, Marshall 34, with Marshall at 71.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Middle Tennessee +13.5CFPi+ projects Middle Tennessee 27, Marshall 34: Marshall by 7.7, with a 67.1% win probability. Against its captured Marshall −13.5 line, the model gap favors Middle Tennessee by 5.79 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Middle TennesseeNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026MarshallNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20267:00 PM EDT
South Alabama at Tulane
Final · South Alabama 24 · Tulane 28
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadTulane −9.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total49.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreSouth Alabama 19.7 · Tulane 29.2Tulane by 9.5
SP+ projected scoreSouth Alabama 23 · Tulane 29Tulane by 6.5 · 66.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 48.8 points, 0.7 from the 49.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.24
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
1 main-host play- Bud ElliottSouth Alabama +300 ML sprinkle
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Tulane by 6.5SP+ projects South Alabama 23, Tulane 29, with Tulane at 66.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
South Alabama +9.5CFPi+ projects South Alabama 27, Tulane 34: Tulane by 7.8, with a 67.4% win probability. Against its captured Tulane −9.5 line, the model gap favors South Alabama by 1.66 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
South AlabamaNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026TulaneTulane — both reporters
Doug Joubert and Colin Cummings
Both season forecasts pick Tulane; one expects a two- or three-touchdown win and the other a lower-scoring result.
Tulane Green Wave On SI · Aug. 17 ↗7:00 PM EDT
Bowling Green at Nebraska
Final · Bowling Green 7 · Nebraska 56
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadNebraska −29.25Consensus snapshot
Saved total51.8Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreBowling Green 11.0 · Nebraska 40.3Nebraska by 29.3
SP+ projected scoreBowling Green 10 · Nebraska 38Nebraska by 27.4 · 96.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 51.3 points, 0.4 from the 51.8 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.26
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Nebraska by 27.4SP+ projects Bowling Green 10, Nebraska 38, with Nebraska at 96.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Bowling Green +28.5CFPi+ projects Bowling Green 10, Nebraska 38: Nebraska by 27.6, with a 94.3% win probability. Against its captured Nebraska −28.5 line, the model gap favors Bowling Green by 0.94 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Bowling GreenNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026NebraskaNebraska
Brianna C
The preview lays out five reasons Nebraska should win, led by the trenches and home-field setting.
Corn Nation · Sept. 10 ↗7:00 PM EDT
Tulsa at Sam Houston
Final · Tulsa 23 · Sam Houston 17
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadTulsa −14Consensus snapshot
Saved total51.5Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreTulsa 32.8 · Sam Houston 18.8Tulsa by 14.0
SP+ projected scoreTulsa 35 · Sam Houston 18Tulsa by 16.7 · 85.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 51.7 points, 0.2 from the 51.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.96
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
2 main-host plays- Bud ElliottSam Houston +14
- Bud ElliottSam Houston +440 ML sprinkle
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Tulsa by 16.7SP+ projects Tulsa 35, Sam Houston 18, with Tulsa at 85.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Tulsa −13.5CFPi+ projects Tulsa 35, Sam Houston 20: Tulsa by 15.2, with a 80.8% win probability. Against its captured Tulsa −13.5 line, the model gap favors Tulsa by 1.66 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
TulsaNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Sam HoustonNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20267:15 PM EDT · Matchup pick
San Diego State at UCLA
Final · San Diego State 10 · UCLA 28
ATS callSan Diego StateInjury search cleared
Saved spreadUCLA −11.75Consensus snapshot
Saved total55.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreSan Diego State 21.7 · UCLA 32.5UCLA by 10.7
SP+ projected scoreSan Diego State 22 · UCLA 30UCLA by 8.6 · 71.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is San Diego State +10.74, leaving a 1.26-point gap from that number.
- Matchup fair line
- +10.74
- Model edge
- 1.26
- Transition risk
- higher
The model projects 54.2 points, 1.0 from the 55.3 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 10.99
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Line play and conversion efficiency account for most of the move toward San Diego State. The matchup forecast makes the game closer than UCLA by twelve.
The overall efficiency advantage is small, and the pass-disruption component leans toward UCLA.
UCLA has new coach Bob Chesney. QB evidence, coaching continuity and roster turnover make this game less predictable than most of the slate.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
UCLA by 8.6SP+ projects San Diego State 22, UCLA 30, with UCLA at 71.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
San Diego State +11.5CFPi+ projects San Diego State 20, UCLA 28: UCLA by 9.1, with a 69.8% win probability. Against its captured UCLA −11.5 line, the model gap favors San Diego State by 2.45 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
San Diego StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026UCLANo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20267:30 PM EDT
Navy at Florida Atlantic
Final · Navy 30 · Florida Atlantic 38
ATS callFlorida AtlanticInjury search cleared
Saved spreadNavy −4.75Consensus snapshot
Saved total58.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreNavy 29.6 · Florida Atlantic 26.1Navy by 3.5
SP+ projected scoreNavy 37 · Florida Atlantic 23Navy by 13.3 · 80.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is Florida Atlantic +3.45, leaving a 1.55-point gap from that number.
- Model line
- +3.45
- Model edge
- 1.55
- Transition risk
- typical
The model projects 55.7 points, 2.8 from the 58.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.11
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
The market moved 4.1 points toward Navy, farther than the Week 1 performance update supports. The model buys back 1.3 points on Florida Atlantic.
Navy: Braxton Woodson, projected rating 124.5. Florida Atlantic: Caden Veltkamp, projected rating 140.7.
Both head coaches return from last season. The combined QB, coaching and roster uncertainty is near the middle of this week’s slate.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Navy by 13.3SP+ projects Navy 37, Florida Atlantic 23, with Navy at 80.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Florida Atlantic +4.5CFPi+ projects Navy 34, Florida Atlantic 31: Navy by 2.6, with a 56.0% win probability. Against its captured Navy −4.5 line, the model gap favors Florida Atlantic by 1.86 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
NavyNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Florida AtlanticNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20267:30 PM EDT
Georgia Southern at Clemson
Final · Georgia Southern 7 · Clemson 22
ATS callGeorgia SouthernInjury search cleared
Saved spreadClemson −20.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total55.8Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreGeorgia Southern 18.4 · Clemson 37.5Clemson by 19.1
SP+ projected scoreGeorgia Southern 19 · Clemson 33Clemson by 13.5 · 80.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is Georgia Southern +19.10, leaving a 1.40-point gap from that number.
- Model line
- +19.10
- Model edge
- 1.40
- Transition risk
- lower
The model projects 55.8 points, 0.1 from the 55.8 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.61
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Week 1 moved the football estimate toward Georgia Southern by 5.4 points. The market moved the same way, but the model still finds 1.4 points on Georgia Southern.
Georgia Southern: Max Johnson (transfer), projected rating 125.2. Clemson: Christopher Vizzina, projected rating 138.3.
Both head coaches return from last season. The available QB, coaching and roster evidence puts this game among the slate’s more stable matchups.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
1 main-host play- Danny KanellGeorgia Southern +20.5
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Clemson by 13.5SP+ projects Georgia Southern 19, Clemson 33, with Clemson at 80.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Clemson −20.5CFPi+ projects Georgia Southern 17, Clemson 38: Clemson by 22.3, with a 90.0% win probability. Against its captured Clemson −20.5 line, the model gap favors Clemson by 1.85 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Georgia SouthernNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026ClemsonClemson — unanimous
Clemson Sports Media staff
The full staff picks Clemson; Zach Lentz's game-by-game score is 41–10.
Clemson Sports Media · Aug. 27 ↗7:30 PM EDT
Ohio State at Texas
Final · Ohio State 23 · Texas 24
ATS callTexasInjury search cleared
Saved spreadTexas −1.75Consensus snapshot
Saved total49.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreOhio State 22.3 · Texas 25.2Texas by 2.9
SP+ projected scoreOhio State 27 · Texas 25Ohio State by 2.0 · 55.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at DraftKings. The fair line is Texas −2.86, leaving a 1.36-point gap from that number.
- Model line
- −2.86
- Model edge
- 1.36
- Transition risk
- lower
The model projects 47.5 points, 2.0 from the 49.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.05
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Week 1 moved the football estimate toward Texas by 4.7 points. The market moved the same way, but the model still finds 1.1 points on Texas.
Ohio State: Julian Sayin, projected rating 164.7. Texas: Arch Manning, projected rating 157.6.
Both head coaches return from last season. The available QB, coaching and roster evidence puts this game among the slate’s more stable matchups.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
4 main-host plays- Chip PattersonTexas −1
- Chip PattersonOhio State 3Q PK
- Danny KanellTexas–Ohio State under 49.5
- Tom FornelliOhio State +2
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Ohio State by 2.0SP+ projects Ohio State 27, Texas 25, with Ohio State at 55.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Texas −1.5CFPi+ projects Ohio State 21, Texas 28: Texas by 6.6, with a 64.9% win probability. Against its captured Texas −1.5 line, the model gap favors Texas by 5.15 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Ohio StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026TexasNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20267:30 PM EDT
Iowa State at Iowa
Final · Iowa State 13 · Iowa 16
ATS callIowa StateInjury search cleared
Saved spreadIowa −14Consensus snapshot
Saved total40.5Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreIowa State 13.5 · Iowa 27.0Iowa by 13.5
SP+ projected scoreIowa State 14 · Iowa 32Iowa by 17.4 · 86.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is Iowa State +13.45, leaving a 0.55-point gap from that number.
- Model line
- +13.45
- Model edge
- 0.55
- Transition risk
- higher
The model projects 40.5 points, 0.0 from the 40.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.27
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
The market moved 3.2 points toward Iowa, farther than the Week 1 performance update supports. The model buys back 0.5 points on Iowa State.
Iowa State: Jaylen Raynor (transfer), projected rating 134.2. Iowa: Hank Brown, projected rating 118.9.
Iowa State has new coach Jimmy Rogers. QB evidence, coaching continuity and roster turnover make this game less predictable than most of the slate.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
4 main-host plays- Bud ElliottIowa −13.5
- Chip PattersonIowa −13.5
- Danny KanellIowa −13.5
- Tom FornelliIowa −13.5
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Iowa by 17.4SP+ projects Iowa State 14, Iowa 32, with Iowa at 86.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Iowa −14CFPi+ projects Iowa State 17, Iowa 31: Iowa by 15.3, with a 81.0% win probability. Against its captured Iowa −14 line, the model gap favors Iowa by 1.28 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Iowa StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026IowaIowa −13.5 · Over 40.5
Black Heart Gold Pants staff
The panel's consensus score is Iowa 30, Iowa State 13, backing both the Hawkeyes and the over.
Black Heart Gold Pants · Sept. 11 ↗7:30 PM EDT
Texas Tech at Oregon State
Final · Texas Tech 35 · Oregon State 24
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadTexas Tech −26.75Consensus snapshot
Saved total53.8Saved consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreTexas Tech 40.5 · Oregon State 13.7Texas Tech by 26.8
SP+ projected scoreTexas Tech 36 · Oregon State 13Texas Tech by 23.2 · 93.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 54.2 points, 0.5 from the 53.8 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.85
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Texas Tech by 23.2SP+ projects Texas Tech 36, Oregon State 13, with Texas Tech at 93.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Oregon State +26.5CFPi+ projects Texas Tech 34, Oregon State 14: Texas Tech by 19.1, with a 86.3% win probability. Against its captured Texas Tech −26.5 line, the model gap favors Oregon State by 7.41 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Texas TechNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Oregon StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 20267:30 PM EDT
Louisiana Tech at LSU
Final · Louisiana Tech 14 · LSU 45
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadLSU −35.25Consensus snapshot
Saved total56.0Bovada · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreLouisiana Tech 9.8 · LSU 45.1LSU by 35.3
SP+ projected scoreLouisiana Tech 10 · LSU 40LSU by 29.5 · 97.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 54.9 points, 0.8 from the 55.8 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.45
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
LSU by 29.5SP+ projects Louisiana Tech 10, LSU 40, with LSU at 97.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
LSU −35.5CFPi+ projects Louisiana Tech 7, LSU 42: LSU by 36.2, with a 98.1% win probability. Against its captured LSU −35.5 line, the model gap favors LSU by 0.66 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Louisiana TechNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026LSULSU — unanimous
Jake Crain, David Cone and Blain Crain
All three season forecasts mark Louisiana Tech as an LSU win.
Crain & Company · Aug. 7 ↗7:45 PM EDT · Matchup pick
Southern Miss at Auburn
Final · Southern Miss 8 · Auburn 43
ATS callAuburnInjury search cleared
Saved spreadAuburn −33.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total56.5Bovada · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreSouthern Miss 10.7 · Auburn 45.7Auburn by 35.0
SP+ projected scoreSouthern Miss 13 · Auburn 37Auburn by 24.3 · 94.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is Auburn −35.01, leaving a 1.51-point gap from that number.
- Matchup fair line
- −35.01
- Model edge
- 1.51
- Transition risk
- typical
The model projects 56.5 points, 0.0 from the 56.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.59
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
The defensive response estimates and broader efficiency profile support Auburn extending the margin beyond the offered spread.
Finishing estimates and the independent similar-game model favor Southern Miss. The model still qualifies Auburn, but those signals do not provide extra confirmation.
Auburn has new coach Alex Golesh. The combined QB, coaching and roster uncertainty is near the middle of this week’s slate.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
1 main-host play- Tom FornelliAuburn team total over 44.5
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Auburn by 24.3SP+ projects Southern Miss 13, Auburn 37, with Auburn at 94.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Southern Miss +33.5CFPi+ projects Southern Miss 14, Auburn 38: Auburn by 24.7, with a 92.2% win probability. Against its captured Auburn −33.5 line, the model gap favors Southern Miss by 8.76 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Southern MissAuburn — both reporters
Dalton Trigg and Charlie Lanehart
Both Southern Miss season forecasts mark the trip to Auburn as a loss.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles On SI · Aug. 20 ↗AuburnAuburn — both reporters
Griffin Barfield and Brooks Crew
Both writers forecast a rout, with projected scores of 59–14 and 66–10.
Auburn Tigers On SI · Sept. 5 ↗7:45 PM EDT
Charlotte at Ole Miss
Final · Charlotte 9 · Ole Miss 41
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadOle Miss −47.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total60.5Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreCharlotte 6.2 · Ole Miss 53.7Ole Miss by 47.5
SP+ projected scoreCharlotte 7 · Ole Miss 49Ole Miss by 41.8 · 100.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 59.9 points, 0.6 from the 60.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.51
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
1 main-host play- Chip PattersonOle Miss 1H team total over 30.5
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Ole Miss by 41.8SP+ projects Charlotte 7, Ole Miss 49, with Ole Miss at 100.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Charlotte +47.5CFPi+ projects Charlotte 10, Ole Miss 48: Ole Miss by 39.0, with a 98.7% win probability. Against its captured Ole Miss −47.5 line, the model gap favors Charlotte by 8.53 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
CharlotteNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Ole MissOle Miss
Zion Trammel
Trammel's game-by-game season forecast treats Charlotte as an Ole Miss win.
Ole Miss Rebels On SI · Sept. 4 ↗10:00 PM EDT · Matchup pick
North Dakota State at Air Force
Final · North Dakota State 38 · Air Force 32
ATS callAir ForceInjury search cleared
Saved spreadNorth Dakota State −2.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total47.5DraftKings · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreNorth Dakota State 23.7 · Air Force 22.2North Dakota State by 1.5
SP+ projected scoreNorth Dakota State 25 · Air Force 26Air Force by 1.0 · 52.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is Air Force +1.50, leaving a 1.00-point gap from that number.
- Matchup fair line
- +1.50
- Model edge
- 1.00
- Transition risk
- higher
The model projects 45.8 points, 1.4 from the 47.3 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 10.79
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
The broader efficiency profile and defensive response estimates make Air Force a smaller underdog than the book does.
Conversion efficiency pulls against Air Force. The edge at +2.5 is only 1.00 point, so a half-point move ends the recommendation.
North Dakota State has new coach Tim Polasek. QB evidence, coaching continuity and roster turnover make this game less predictable than most of the slate.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
1 main-host play- Tom FornelliAir Force +112 ML sprinkle
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Air Force by 1.0SP+ projects North Dakota State 25, Air Force 26, with Air Force at 52.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Air Force +2.5CFPi+ projects North Dakota State 28, Air Force 27: North Dakota State by 0.2, with a 50.5% win probability. Against its captured North Dakota State −2.5 line, the model gap favors Air Force by 2.26 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
North Dakota StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Air ForceNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 202610:15 PM EDT
Arkansas at Utah
Final · Arkansas 10 · Utah 43
ATS callPassInjury search pending
Saved spreadUtah −12.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total55.0Bovada · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreArkansas 20.2 · Utah 32.7Utah by 12.5
SP+ projected scoreArkansas 23 · Utah 35Utah by 12.2 · 78.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
The Week 2 side model stays at the market for this matchup, so the pass remains visible instead of disappearing from the board.
The model projects 53.0 points, 1.8 from the 54.8 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.38
- Weather
- Forecast applied
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Utah by 12.2SP+ projects Arkansas 23, Utah 35, with Utah at 78.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Arkansas +12.5CFPi+ projects Arkansas 27, Utah 35: Utah by 8.4, with a 68.4% win probability. Against its captured Utah −12.5 line, the model gap favors Arkansas by 4.14 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
ArkansasUtah 27, Arkansas 23 · Arkansas +11.5
Josh Throne
Throne expects Utah to win but backs Arkansas to stay well inside the number.
4th & Five · Sept. 9 ↗UtahNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 202610:30 PM EDT
Sacramento State at Fresno State
Final · Sacramento State 3 · Fresno State 49
ATS callSacramento StateInjury search cleared
Saved spreadFresno State −18.25Consensus snapshot
Saved total45.3Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreSacramento State 14.1 · Fresno State 31.1Fresno State by 17.0
SP+ projected scoreSacramento State 17 · Fresno State 31Fresno State by 14.0 · 81.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at DraftKings. The fair line is Sacramento State +17.00, leaving a 1.50-point gap from that number.
- Model line
- +17.00
- Model edge
- 1.50
- Transition risk
- higher
The model projects 45.2 points, 0.0 from the 45.3 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.58
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
The market moved 2.3 points toward Fresno State, farther than the Week 1 performance update supports. The model buys back 1.2 points on Sacramento State.
Sacramento State: Jackson Sharman, projected rating 119.9. Fresno State: Jayden Mandal, projected rating 119.8.
Sacramento State has new coach Alonzo Carter. QB evidence, coaching continuity and roster turnover make this game less predictable than most of the slate.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Fresno State by 14.0SP+ projects Sacramento State 17, Fresno State 31, with Fresno State at 81.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Sacramento State +18.5CFPi+ projects Sacramento State 20, Fresno State 28: Fresno State by 8.2, with a 68.2% win probability. Against its captured Fresno State −18.5 line, the model gap favors Sacramento State by 10.26 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
Sacramento StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Fresno StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 202611:00 PM EDT
Louisiana at USC
Final · Louisiana 30 · USC 49
ATS callUSCInjury search cleared
Saved spreadUSC −30.75Consensus snapshot
Saved total59.5Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreLouisiana 12.8 · USC 46.0USC by 33.2
SP+ projected scoreLouisiana 16 · USC 42USC by 25.9 · 95.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at DraftKings. The fair line is USC −33.25, leaving a 2.75-point gap from that number.
- Model line
- −33.25
- Model edge
- 2.75
- Transition risk
- lower
The model projects 58.8 points, 0.7 from the 59.5 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.05
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Week 1 moved the football estimate toward USC by 3.7 points. The market moved the same way, but the model still finds 2.5 points on USC.
Louisiana: Lunch Winfield, projected rating 137.4. USC: Jayden Maiava, projected rating 158.5.
Both head coaches return from last season. The available QB, coaching and roster evidence puts this game among the slate’s more stable matchups.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
No main-host lock hereThis matchup was not on Bud Elliott, Chip Patterson, Danny Kanell or Tom Fornelli’s Week 2 lists.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
USC by 25.9SP+ projects Louisiana 16, USC 42, with USC at 95.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Louisiana +30.5CFPi+ projects Louisiana 14, USC 45: USC by 30.4, with a 95.9% win probability. Against its captured USC −30.5 line, the model gap favors Louisiana by 0.12 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
LouisianaNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026USCNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 202611:59 PM EDT
New Mexico State at Hawai'i
Final · New Mexico State 19 · Hawai'i 29
ATS callNew Mexico StateInjury search cleared
Saved spreadHawai'i −7.5Consensus snapshot
Saved total49.8Consensus · saved price
All-Takes projected scoreNew Mexico State 21.5 · Hawai'i 27.7Hawai'i by 6.3
SP+ projected scoreNew Mexico State 21 · Hawai'i 31Hawai'i by 10.5 · 74.0%
All-Takes projections
What our models are saying
Best saved price at Bovada. The fair line is New Mexico State +6.27, leaving a 1.73-point gap from that number.
- Model line
- +6.27
- Model edge
- 1.73
- Transition risk
- lower
The model projects 49.2 points, 0.5 from the 49.8 market consensus.
- Possessions
- 11.65
- Weather
- Forecast applied
Why All Takes made this call
Week 1 moved the football estimate toward New Mexico State by 6.1 points. The market moved the same way, but the model still finds 1.2 points on New Mexico State.
New Mexico State: Trey Hedden (transfer), projected rating 130.0. Hawai'i: Micah Alejado, projected rating 133.5.
Both head coaches return from last season. The available QB, coaching and roster evidence puts this game among the slate’s more stable matchups.
The wider argument
What Cover 3, SP+ and CFBPredictor see
Cover 3 locksSept. 10 episode
1 main-host play- Bud ElliottNew Mexico State +245 ML sprinkle
The number and market shown are the ones used on the show.
ESPN SP+Published Week 2 score
Hawai'i by 10.5SP+ projects New Mexico State 21, Hawai'i 31, with Hawai'i at 74.0% to win. The rounded score is the center of a range, not an exact-score call.
CFBPredictor CFPi+Locked projection · not a bet
Hawai'i −8.5CFPi+ projects New Mexico State 24, Hawai'i 34: Hawai'i by 9.3, with a 70.4% win probability. Against its captured Hawai'i −8.5 line, the model gap favors Hawai'i by 0.82 points.
Close to the teams
One local read from each perspective
New Mexico StateNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Hawai'iNo sourced pick on file
No attributable Week 2 call is attached
This fixed slot remains visible so missing local coverage is not mistaken for agreement, disagreement or a prediction from the team’s beat.
Perspective preserved · checked through Sept. 11, 2026Source notes
Every lane keeps its own meaning.
All-Takes ATS. The current card contains 23 side recommendations. The other 26 games say Pass explicitly.
All-Takes totals. The totals model recommends 6 overs and 26 unders. Its 17 passes stay on the board.
SP+. The published Sept. 8 Week 2 sheet supplies a rounded projected score, margin and win probability for every matchup above.
CFBPredictor. The locked CFPi+ V2026.2 board supplies a projected score, win probability and market gap for all 49 matchups. Its DraftKings lines were captured at the Sept. 8 at 2:29 p.m. ET snapshot; the displayed gap is model disagreement rather than a betting recommendation.
Cover 3. The four main hosts made 53 board-relevant Week 2 plays across 28 matchups in the Sept. 10 locks episode, including first-half, quarter, team-total and moneyline-sprinkle markets. Tom Fornelli’s Wofford spread and moneyline plays are the two episode calls outside this FBS-vs-FBS board. Club Kenz, dentist and producer segments are not included because an independently checkable pick list was not available at this update.
Injury news. Team and local reporting supply the primary availability evidence, with explicit quarterback and coach searches for both sides. Covers is retained as a supplement. Confirmed pregame starter changes rebuild the quarterback input; a mismatch holds the side until the new starter is reconciled.
Local reads. We sourced 29 matchup-specific calls from team-focused and local outlets, plus one explicitly labeled All-Takes inference from ATQ’s Oklahoma State film study, while preserving all 98 team-perspective slots. A blank side is an unsuccessful search, not evidence that local writers agree or have no view.
Week 2 SP+ score sheet ↗CFBPredictor Week 2 board ↗Cover 3 Week 2 locks episode ↗Cover 3 pick recap ↗Before kickoff
The saved price matters as much as the pick.
Late quarterback news and line movement can erase a small edge. Use the team, named book and spread together. Confirm the current line and odds before betting.